Chapter 1 Getting Started Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared...

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Chapter 1 Getting Started Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze

Transcript of Chapter 1 Getting Started Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared...

Page 1: Chapter 1 Getting Started Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze.

Chapter 1

Getting Started

Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition

By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze

Page 2: Chapter 1 Getting Started Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze.

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What is Statistics?

• Collecting data• Organizing data• Analyzing data• Interpreting data

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Individuals and Variables

• Individuals are people or objects included in the study.

• Variables are characteristics of the individual to be measured or observed.

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Variables

• Quantitative Variable – The variable is numerical, so operations such as adding and averaging make sense.

• Qualitative Variable – The variable describes an individual through grouping or categorization.

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Data

• Population Data – The data are from every individual of interest.

• Sample Data – The data are from only some of the individuals of interest.

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DataWhich of the following Venn diagrams shows the

relationship between population data and sample data?

a). b).

c). d).

S P

S

P S

P

P

S

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Levels of Measurement

• Nominal Level – The data consists of names, labels, or categories.

• Ordinal Level – The data can be ordered, but the differences between data values are meaningless.

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Levels of Measurement

• Interval Level – The data can be ordered and the differences between data values are meaningful.

• Ratio Level – The data can be ordered, differences and ratios are meaningful, and there is a meaningful zero value.

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Levels of Measurement

The freezing points of four liquids are 32°F, 6°F, 13°F, and 20°F. What is the level of these measurements?

a). Nominalb). Ordinalc). Intervald). Ratio

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Levels of Measurement

The freezing points of four liquids are 32°F, 6°F, 13°F, and 20°F. What is the level of these measurements?

a). Nominalb). Ordinalc). Intervald). Ratio

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Two Branches of Statistics

• Descriptive Statistics: Organizing, summarizing, and graphing information from populations or samples.

• Inferential Statistics: Using information from a sample to draw conclusions about a population.

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Sampling Techniques• Simple Random Sampling, Sample size = n

– Each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected.

– Each sample of size n has an equal chance of being selected.

• Stratified sampling Population

Subgroup 4

Subgroup 1Subgroup 2Subgroup 3

sample

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Sampling Techniques • Systematic sampling

– Number every member of the population.– Select every kth member.

• Cluster sampling– Population is naturally divided into pre-

existing segments.– Make a random selection of clusters, then

select all members of each cluster.

• Convenience sampling - Collect sample data from a readily-available population database.

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Critical Thinking

Which of the following sampling strategies is likely to lead to a non-sampling error?

Individuals are selected at random from…a). A database of social security numbers.b). A cluster of phone books.c). A collection of birth certificates.d). None of these is likely to introduce non-

sampling error.

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Critical Thinking

Which of the following sampling strategies is likely to lead to a non-sampling error?

Individuals are selected at random from…a). A database of social security numbers.b). A cluster of phone books.c). A collection of birth certificates.d). None of these is likely to introduce non-sampling

error.Not everyone has a phone. Sampling from phone

books may introduce bias.

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Guidelines For Planning a Statistical Study

1. Identify individuals or objects of interest.2. Specify the variables.3. Determine if you will use the entire

population. If not, determine an appropriate sampling method

4. Determine a data collection plan, addressing privacy, ethics, and confidentiality if necessary.

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Guidelines For Planning a Statistical Study

5. Collect data.6. Analyze the data using appropriate statistical

methods.7. Note any concerns about the data and

recommend any remedies for further studies.

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Census vs. Sample

• In a census, measurements or observations are obtained from the entire population (uncommon and often impractical).

• In a sample, measurements or observations are obtained from part of the population (common).

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Observational Studies and Experiments

• Observational Study – Measurements are obtained in a way that does not change the response or the variable being measured. (No treatment is applied.)

• Experiment – A treatment is applied in order to observe its effect on the variable being measured.

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Experiment

• Used to determine the effect of a treatment.

• Experimental design needs to control for other possible causes of the effect.

– Placebo effect. – Lurking variables.

• To minimize these confounds, create one or more control groups that receive no treatment.

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Experiment Designs

• Double-Blinding – minimizes the unintentional transfer of bias between researcher and subject.

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Surveys• Collecting data from respondents by asking them

questions.

Survey Pitfalls• Nonresponse → undercoverage of population.• Truthfulness – respondents sometimes lie.• Faulty recall of respondent• Hidden bias – due to poor question wording.• Vague wording – “sometimes”, “often”, “seldom”• Interviewer influence – who is asking the

questions and in what manner.• Voluntary response – relatively interested

individuals are more likely to participate.

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Chapter 2

Organizing Data

Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition

By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze

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Frequency Tables

• A frequency table– organizes quantitative data.– partitions data into classes (intervals).– shows how many data values are in each

class.

Test Score Number of Students

61-70 4

71-80 8

81-90 15

91-100 7

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Data Classes and Class Frequency• Class: an interval of values.

– Example: 61 x 70

• Frequency: the number of data values that fall within a class.

– “Five data fall within the class 61 x 70”.

• Relative Frequency: the proportion of data values that fall within a class.

– “18% of the data fall within the class 61 x 70”.

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Structure of a Data ClassA “data class” is basically an interval on a number

line.

It has:• A lower limit a and an upper limit b.• A width.• A lower boundary and an upper boundary (integer data).• A midpoint.

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Structure of a Data ClassA “data class” is basically an interval on a number

line.

If a = 60 and b = 69 for integer data, what is the value of the lower boundary?

a). 60 b). 59.5

c). 9 d). 64.5

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Constructing Data Classes• Find the class width.

– Increase the computed value to the next higher whole number.

• Find the class limits. – The lower limit of the “leftmost” class is set

equal to the smallest value in the data set.

Largest data value – smallest data valueDesired number of classes

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Constructing Data Classes, cont’d

• Find the class boundaries (integer data).– Subtract 0.5 from the lower class limit and

add 0.5 to the upper class limit.

For a certain data set, the minimum value is 25 and the maximum value is 58. If you wish to partition the data into 5 classes, what would be the class width?

a). 5 b). 6 c). 7 d). 8

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Constructing Data Classes, cont’d

• Find the class boundaries (integer data).– Subtract 0.5 from the lower class limit and

add 0.5 to the upper class limit.

For a certain data set, the minimum value is 25 and the maximum value is 58. If you wish to partition the data into 5 classes, what would be the class width?

a). 5 b). 6 c). 7 d). 8

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Histograms• Histogram – graphical summary of a frequency

table.• Uses bars to plot the data classes versus the

class frequencies.

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Making a Histogram• Make a frequency table.

• Place class boundaries on horizontal axis. Place frequencies on vertical axis.

• For each class, draw a bar with height equal to the class frequency and width equal to the class width plus 1.

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Making a Histogram

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Distribution Shapes

Symmetric Uniform

Skewed Left Skewed Right

Bimodal

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Graphical Displays…

• … represent the data.

• … induce the viewer to think about the substance of the graphic.

• …should avoid distorting the message of the data.

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Bar Graphs

• Used for qualitative or quantitative data.

• Can be vertical or horizontal.

• Bars are uniformly spaced and have equal widths.

• Length/height of bars indicate counts or percentages of the variable.

• “Good practice” requires including titles and units and labeling axes.

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Bar Graphs

Example:

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Pareto Charts

• A bar chart with two specific features:

– Heights of bars represent frequencies.

– Bars are vertical and are ordered from tallest to shortest.

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Circle Graphs/Pie Charts• Used for qualitative data

• Wedges of the circle represent proportions of the data that share a common characteristic.

• “Good practice” requires including a title and either wedge labels or legend.

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Time-Series• Shows data measurements in chronological

order.

• Data are plotted in order of occurrence at regular intervals over a period of time.

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Critical Thinking – which type of graph to use?

• Bar graphs are useful for quantitative or qualitative data.

• Pareto charts identify the frequency in decreasing order.

• Circle graphs display how a total is dispersed into several categories.

• Time-series graphs display how data change over time.

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Critical Thinking – which type of graph to use?

What type of graph would be best for showing the ice cream flavor preferences of a group of 100 children?

a). Histogram b). Pareto graphc). Time series graph d). Circle graph

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Critical Thinking – which type of graph to use?

What type of graph would be best for showing the ice cream flavor preferences of a group of 100 children?

a). Histogram b). Pareto graphc). Time series graph d). Circle graph

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Stem and Leaf Plots• Displays the distribution of the data while

maintaining the actual data values.

• Each data value is split into a stem and a leaf.

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Stem and Leaf Plot Construction

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Critical Thinking

• Large gaps between stems containing leaves, especially at the top or bottom, suggest the existence of outliers.

• Watch the outliers – are they data errors or simply unusual data values?

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Chapter 3

Averages and Variation

Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition

By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze

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Measures of Central Tendency

• Average – a measure of the center value or central tendency of a distribution of values.

• Three types of average:– Mode– Median– Mean

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ModeThe mode is the most frequently occurring value in

a data set.

Example: Sixteen students are asked how many college math classes they have completed.

{0, 3, 2, 2, 1, 1, 0, 5, 1, 1, 0, 2, 2,

7, 1, 3}

The mode is 1.

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Median

Finding the median:1). Order the data from smallest to largest.

2). For an odd number of data values:Median = Middle data value

3). For an even number of data values:Sum of middle two valuesMedian

2

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Sample mean Population mean

Mean

xx

n x

N

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Resistant Measures of Central Tendency

• A resistant measure will not be affected by extreme values in the data set.

• The mean is not resistant to extreme values.

• The median is resistant to extreme values.

• A trimmed mean is also resistant.

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Critical Thinking

• Four levels of data – nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio (Chapter 1)

• Mode – can be used with all four levels.

• Median – may be used with ordinal, interval, of ratio level.

• Mean – may be used with interval or ratio level.

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Critical Thinking

• Mound-shaped data – values of mean, median and mode are nearly equal.

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Measures of Variation

• Range = Largest value – smallest value

Only two data values are used in the computation, so much of the information in the data is lost.

Three measures of variation: rangevariancestandard deviation

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The Coefficient of Variation

100x

sCV 100

CV

For Samples For Populations

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Percentiles and Quartiles

• For whole numbers P, 1 ≤ P ≤ 99, the Pth percentile of a distribution is a value such that P% of the data fall below it, and (100-P)% of the data fall at or above it.

• Q1 = 25th Percentile• Q2 = 50th Percentile = The Median• Q3 = 75th Percentile

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Quartiles and Interquartile Range (IQR)

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Computing Quartiles

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Five Number Summary

• A listing of the following statistics:

– Minimum, Q1, Median, Q3, Maximum

• Box-and-Whisder plot – represents the five-number summary graphically.

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Box-and-Whisker Plot Construction

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• Box-and-whisker plots display the spread of data about the median.

• If the median is centered and the whiskers are about the same length, then the data distribution is symmetric around the median.

• Fences – may be placed on either side of the box. Values lie beyond the fences are outliers. (See problem 10)

Critical Thinking

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Problems

• Pg. 109 #4, 5