Cf8e prs macro06

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair Prepared by: Fernando & Yvonn Quijano 6 Chapter Measuring National Output and National Income

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Transcript of Cf8e prs macro06

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Prepared by:

Fernando & Yvonn Quijano

6Chapter

Measuring National Outputand National Income

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Chapter Outline

6Measuring National Outputand National Income

Gross Domestic ProductFinal Goods and ServicesExclusion of Used Goods and Paper TransactionsExclusion of Output Produced Abroad by Domestically Owned Factors of ProductionCalculating GDPThe Expenditure ApproachThe Income ApproachNominal versus Real GDPCalculating Real GDPCalculating the GDP DeflatorThe Problems of Fixed WeightsLimitations of the GDP ConceptGDP and Social WelfareThe Underground EconomyGross National Income Per CapitaLooking Ahead

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

MEASURING NATIONAL OUTPUTAND NATIONAL INCOME

national income and product accounts Data collected and published by the government describing thevarious components of national income and output in the economy.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

gross domestic product (GDP) The total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production located within acountry.

GDP is the total market value of a country’s output. It is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period of time by factors of production located within a country.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

final goods and services Goods and services produced for final use.

FINAL GOODS AND SERVICES

intermediate goods Goods that are produced by one firm for use in further processing by another firm.

value added The difference between the value of goods as they leave a stage of production and the cost of the goods as they entered that stage.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

To arrive at GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) counts:

a. The value of total sales, including sales to suppliers and sales to consumers.

b. The value of final sales.

c. The value of intermediate goods and final goods.

d. Value added plus the value of sales at the retail level.

e. Any of the above.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

To arrive at GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) counts:

a. The value of total sales, including sales to suppliers and sales to consumers.

b.b. The value of final sales.The value of final sales.

c. The value of intermediate goods and final goods.

d. Value added plus the value of sales at the retail level.

e. Any of the above.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Tires taken from that pile and mounted on the wheels of the new car before it is sold are considered intermediate goods to the auto producer. Tires from that pile to replace tires on your old car are considered final goods. If, in calculating GDP, we included the value of the tires (an intermediate good) on new cars and the value of new cars (including the tires), we would be double counting.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

In calculating GDP, we can either sum up the value added at each stage of production or we can take the value of final sales. We do not use the value of total sales in an economy to measure how much output has been produced.

TABLE 6.1 Value Added in the Production of a Gallon of Gasoline (Hypothetical Numbers)

STAGE OF PRODUCTION VALUE OF SALES VALUE ADDED

(1) Oil drilling $ 1.00 $1.00

(2) Refining 1.30 0.30

(3) Shipping 1.60 0.30

(4) Retail sale 2.00 0.40

Total value added $2.00

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

GDP ignores all transactions in which money or goods change hands but in which no new goods and services are produced.

EXCLUSION OF USED GOODS AND PAPER TRANSACTIONS

GDP is concerned only with new, or current, production.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

GDP is the value of output produced by factors of production located within a country.

EXCLUSION OF OUTPUT PRODUCED ABROAD BY DOMESTICALLY OWNED FACTORS OF PRODUCTION

gross national product (GNP) The total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production owned by acountry’s citizens, regardless of where the output is produced.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following is counted in GDP?

a. The output produced by U.S. citizens abroad.

b. The profits earned abroad by U.S. companies.

c. The output produced by foreigners working in U.S. companies abroad.

d. The profits earned in the Unites States by foreign-owned companies.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following is counted in GDP?

a. The output produced by U.S. citizens abroad.

b. The profits earned abroad by U.S. companies.

c. The output produced by foreigners working in U.S. companies abroad.

d.d. The profits earned in the Unites States by The profits earned in the Unites States by foreign-owned companies.foreign-owned companies.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

expenditure approach A method of computing GDP that measures the amount spent on all final goods during a given period.

income approach A method of computing GDP that measures the income—wages, rents, interest, and profits—received by all factors of production in producing final goods.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

THE EXPENDITURE APPROACH

There are four main categories of expenditure:

Expenditure Categories:■ Personal consumption expenditures (C):

household spending on consumer goods■ Gross private domestic investment (I):

spending by firms and households on new capital, i.e., plant, equipment, inventory, and new residential structures

■ Government consumption and gross investment (G)

■ Net exports (EX - IM): net spending by the rest of the world, or exports (EX) minus imports (IM)

GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

TABLE 6.2 Components of U.S. GDP, 2004: The Expenditure ApproachBILLIONS OF

DOLLARSPERCENTAGE

OF GDP

Personal consumption expenditures (C) 8,214.3 70.0Durable goods 987.8 8.4Nondurable goods 2,368.3 20.2

Services 4,858.2 41.4

Gross private domestic investment (l) 1,928.1 16.4

Nonresidential 1,198.8 10.2

Residential 673.8 5.7

Change in business inventories 55.4 0.5

Government consumption and gross investment (G)

2,215.9 18.9

Federal 827.6 7.1

State and local 1,388.3 11.8

Net exports (EX – IM) 624.0 5.3

Exports (EX) 1,173.8 10.0

Imports (IM) 1,797.8 15.3

Gross domestic product (GDP) 11,734.3 100.0Note: Numbers may not add exactly because of rounding.Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

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For the year 2004, the percentages of C, I, G, and (EX – IM) in U.S. aggregate expenditure were roughly as follows:

a. 70%, 16%, 19%, and –5%.

b. 40%, 18%, 25%, and 17%.

c. 24%, 35%, 45%, and –4%

d. 35%, 27%, 41%, and –3%.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

For the year 2004, the percentages of C, I, G, and (EX – IM) in U.S. aggregate expenditure were roughly as follows:

a.a. 70%, 16%, 19%, and –5%.70%, 16%, 19%, and –5%.

b. 40%, 18%, 25%, and 17%.

c. 24%, 35%, 45%, and –4%

d. 35%, 27%, 41%, and –3%.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

personal consumption expenditures (C) A major component of GDP: expenditures by consumers on goods and services.

Personal Consumption Expenditures (C)

There are three main categories of consumer expenditures: durable goods, nondurable goods, and services.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

durable goods Goods that last a relatively long time, such as cars and household appliances.

nondurable goods Goods that are used up fairly quickly, such as food and clothing.

services The things we buy that do not involve the production of physical things,such as legal and medical services and education.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

The largest component of Personal Consumption Expenditures (C) is:

a. Durable goods.

b. Nondurable goods.

c. Services.

d. Residential Investment.

e. Imports.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

The largest component of Personal Consumption Expenditures (C) is:

a. Durable goods.

b. Nondurable goods.

c.c. Services.Services.

d. Residential Investment.

e. Imports.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

gross private domestic investment (I) Total investment in capital—that is,the purchase of new housing, plants, equipment, and inventory by the private (or nongovernment) sector.

Gross Private Domestic Investment (I)

nonresidential investment Expenditures by firms for machines, tools, plants, and so on.

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CALCULATING GDP

residential investment Expenditures by households and firms on new houses and apartment buildings.

change in business inventories The amount by which firms’ inventories change during a period. Inventories arethe goods that firms produce now but intend to sell later.

Change in Business Inventories

GDP = final sales + change in business inventories

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CALCULATING GDP

depreciation The amount by which an asset’s value falls in a given period.

Gross Investment versus Net Investment

gross investment The total value of all newly produced capital goods (plant, equipment, housing, and inventory) produced in a given period.

net investment Gross investment minus depreciation.

capitalend of period = capitalbeginning of period + net investment

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

government consumption and grossinvestment (G) Expenditures by federal, state, and local governments for final goods and services.

Government Consumption and Gross Investment (G)

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CALCULATING GDP

net exports (EX - IM) The difference between exports (sales to foreigners of U.S.- produced goods and services) and imports (U.S. purchases of goods and services from abroad). The figure can be positive or negative.

Net Exports (EX - IM)

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following statements about exports and imports is correct?

a. Exports must be subtracted out of GDP to obtain the correct figure.

b. Imports must be subtracted out of GDP to obtain the correct figure.

c. The difference between exports and imports is negative when the country is a net exporter.

d. Before 1976, the United States was generally a net importer. Only after 1976, exports began to exceed imports.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following statements about exports and imports is correct?

a. Exports must be subtracted out of GDP to obtain the correct figure.

b.b. Imports must be subtracted out of GDP to Imports must be subtracted out of GDP to obtain the correct figure.obtain the correct figure.

c. The difference between exports and imports is negative when the country is a net exporter.

d. Before 1976, the United States was generally a net importer. Only after 1976, exports began to exceed imports.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

national income The total income earned by the factors of production owned by a country’s citizens.

THE INCOME APPROACH

TABLE 6.3 National Income, 2004BILLIONS OF

DOLLARSPERCENTAGE

OF NATIONAL INCOME

National Income 10,275.9 100.0Compensation of employees 6,687.6 65.1Proprietors’ income 889.6 8.7Corporate profits 134.2 1.3Net interest 1,161.5 11.3Rental income 505.5 4.9

Indirect taxes minus subsidies 809.3 7.9Net business transfer payments 91.1 0.9Surplus of government enterprises 3.0 0.0

Source: See Table 6.2.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

compensation of employees Includes wages, salaries, and various supplements—employer contributions to social insurance and pension funds, forexample—paid to households by firms and by the government.

proprietors’ income The income of unincorporated businesses.

rental income The income received by property owners in the form of rent.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

corporate profits The income of corporate businesses.

net interest The interest paid by business.

indirect taxes minus subsidies Taxes such as sales taxes, customs duties, and license fees, less subsidies that the government pays for which it receives no goods or services in return.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following statements is/are correct about the components of GDP using the income approach?

a. Compensation of employees is the largest item in national income.

b. Proprietor’s income refers to the profits earned by corporations.

c. Net interest refers to interest paid by households, business firms, and the government.

d. Rental income is a major component of national income.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Which of the following statements is/are correct about the components of GDP using the income approach?

a.a. Compensation of employees is the largest Compensation of employees is the largest item in national income.item in national income.

b. Proprietor’s income refers to the profits earned by corporations.

c. Net interest refers to interest paid by households, business firms, and the government.

d. Rental income is a major component of national income.

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CALCULATING GDP

net business transfer payments Net transfer payments by businesses toothers.

surplus of government enterprises Income of government enterprises.

TABLE 6.4 GDP, GNP, NNP and National Income, 2004

DOLLARS(BILLIONS)

GDP 11,734.3

Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world + 415.4

Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world 361.7

Equals: GNP 11,788.0

Less: Depreciation 1,435.3

Equals: Net national product (NNP) 10,352.8

Less: Statistical discrepancy 76.9

Equals: National income 10,275.9

Source: See Table 6.2.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

CALCULATING GDP

net national product (NNP) Gross national product minus depreciation; a nation’s total product minus what isrequired to maintain the value of its capital stock.

TABLE 6.5 National Income, Personal Income, Disposable Personal Income, and Personal Saving, 2004

DOLLARS(BILLIONS)

National income 10,275.9

Less: Amount of national income not going to households 562.6

Equals: Personal income 9,713.3

Less: Personal income taxes 1,049.1

Equals: Disposable personal income 8,664.2

Personal consumption expenditures 8,214.3

Personal interest payments 186.7

Transfer payments made by households 111.5

Equals: Personal saving 151.8

Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income: 1.8%

Source: See Table 6.2.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

The difference between gross national product (GNP) and net national product (NNP) is:

a. Net exports.

b. The surplus of government enterprises.

c. Net interest.

d. Depreciation.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

The difference between gross national product (GNP) and net national product (NNP) is:

a. Net exports.

b. The surplus of government enterprises.

c. Net interest.

d.d. Depreciation.Depreciation.

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CALCULATING GDP

statistical discrepancy Data measurement error.

personal income The total income of households before paying personal income taxes.

disposable personal income or after-tax income Personal income minus personal income taxes. The amount that households have to spend or save.

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CALCULATING GDP

personal saving The amount of disposable income that is left after total personal spending in a given period.

personal saving rate The percentage of disposable personal income that is saved. If the personal saving rate is low,households are spending a large amount relative to their incomes; if it is high, households are spending cautiously.

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Fill in the blanks. Saving rates tend to ________ during recessionary periods and ________ during boom times.

a. rise; rise

b. rise; fall

c. fall; fall

d. fall; rise

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Fill in the blanks. Saving rates tend to ________ during recessionary periods and ________ during boom times.

a. rise; rise

b.b. rise; fallrise; fall

c. fall; fall

d. fall; rise

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NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP

current dollars The current prices that one pays for goods and services.

nominal GDP Gross domestic product measured in current dollars.

weight The importance attached to an item within a group of items.

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NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP

TABLE 6.6 A Three-Good Economy(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

GDP IN GDP IN GDP IN GDP INYEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 1 YEAR 2

IN IN IN INPRODUCTION PRICE PER UNIT YEAR 1 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 2

YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 1 YEAR 2 PRICES PRICES PRICES PRICESQ1 Q2 P1 P2 P1 x Q1 P1 x Q2 P2 x Q1 P2 X Q2

Good A 6 11 $.50 $ .40 $3.00 $5.50 $2.40 $4.40

Good B 7 4 .30 1.00 2.10 1.20 7.00 4.00

Good C 10 12 .70 .90 7.00 8.40 9.00 10.80

Total $12.10 $15.10 $18.40 $19.20

Nominal GDPin year 1

Nominal GDPin year 2

CALCULATING REAL GDP

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NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP

base year The year chosen for the weights in a fixed-weight procedure.

fixed-weight procedure A procedure that uses weights from a given base year.

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The difference between nominal GDP and real GDP comes from:

a. Changes in the level of income.

b. Changes in purchasing power of the dollar caused by changes in the exchanger rate.

c. Changes in prices.

d. Differences in the value of GDP depending on whether the income approach or the expenditure approach is chosen to compute GDP.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

The difference between nominal GDP and real GDP comes from:

a. Changes in the level of income.

b. Changes in purchasing power of the dollar caused by changes in the exchanger rate.

c.c. Changes in prices.Changes in prices.

d. Differences in the value of GDP depending on whether the income approach or the expenditure approach is chosen to compute GDP.

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NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP

CALCULATING THE GDP DEFLATOR

The GDP deflator is one measure of the overall price level. The GDP deflator is computed by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

Overall price increases can be sensitive to the choice of the base year. For this reason, using fixed-price weights to compute real GDP has some problems.

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NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP

THE PROBLEMS OF FIXED WEIGHTS

The use of fixed-price weights to estimate real GDP leads to problems because it ignores:

• Structural changes in the economy.

• Supply shifts, which cause large decreases in price and large increases in quantity supplied.

• The substitution effect of price increases.

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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT

GDP AND SOCIAL WELFARE

Society is better off when crime decreases; however, a decrease in crime is not reflected in GDP.

An increase in leisure is an increase in social welfare, but not counted in GDP.

Nonmarket and household activities are not counted in GDP even though they amount to real production.

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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT

THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY

underground economy The part of the economy in which transactions take place and in which income is generated that is unreported and therefore notcounted in GDP.

Whenever sellers looking for a profit come into contact with buyers willing to pay, markets will arise, often “underground.”

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Legalizing all forms of illegal activities would:

a. Reduce both the underground economy and GDP.

b. Increase both the underground economy and GDP.

c. Increase the underground economy but reduce the value of GDP.

d. Reduce the underground economy and increase the value of GDP.

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© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair

Legalizing all forms of illegal activities would:

a. Reduce both the underground economy and GDP.

b. Increase both the underground economy and GDP.

c. Increase the underground economy but reduce the value of GDP.

d.d. Reduce the underground economy and Reduce the underground economy and increase the value of GDP.increase the value of GDP.

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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT

GROSS NATIONAL INCOME PER CAPITA

gross national income (GNI) GNP converted into dollars using an average of currency exchange rates over several years adjusted for rates of inflation.

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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT

TABLE 6.7 Per Capita Gross National Income for Selected Countries, 2004

COUNTRY U.S. DOLLARS COUNTRY U.S. DOLLARSNorway 52,030 Portugal 14,350

Switzerland 48,230 South Korea 13,980

United States 41,400 Czech Republic 9,150

Denmark 40,650 Mexico 6,770

Japan 37,180 Argentina 3,720

Sweden 35,270 Turkey 3,750

Ireland 34,280 South Africa 3,630

United Kingdom 33,940 Brazil 3,090Finland 32,790 Romania 2,920

Austria 32,300 Jordan 2,140

Netherlands 31,700 Colombia 2,000

Belgium 31,030 Philippines 1,170

Germany 30,120 China 1,290France 30,090 Indonesia 1,140

Canada 28,390 India 620

Australia 26,900 Pakistan 600

Italy 26,120 Nepal 260

Spain 21,210 Rwanda 220

Greece 16,610 Ethiopia 110

Source: World Bank, 2005.

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base yearchange in business inventoriescompensation of employeescorporate profitscurrent dollarsdepreciationdisposable personal income, or after-tax incomedurable goodsexpenditure approachfinal goods and servicesfixed-weight proceduregovernment consumption and gross investment (G)gross domestic product (GDP)gross investmentgross national income (GNI)gross national product (GNP) gross private domestic investment (I)income approachindirect taxes minus subsidiesintermediate goodsnational incomenational income and product accounts

net business transfer paymentsnet exports (EX - IM)net interestnet investmentnet national product (NNP)nominal GDPnondurable goodsnonresidential investmentpersonal consumption expenditures (C)personal incomepersonal savingpersonal saving rateproprietors’ incomerental incomeresidential investmentservicesstatistical discrepancysurplus of government enterprisesunderground economyvalue addedweightExpenditure approach to GDP: GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)GDP = final sales - change in business inventoriesnet investment = capital end of period - capital beginning of

period

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