CEO update - AAK Market Day 2016/CEO update 2… · 3 The Co-Development Company . Agenda . CEO ....

39
CEO update Arne Frank

Transcript of CEO update - AAK Market Day 2016/CEO update 2… · 3 The Co-Development Company . Agenda . CEO ....

CEO update Arne Frank

2 The Co-Development Company

Forward-looking statement

This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performances, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. AAK has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and AAK does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

3 The Co-Development Company

Agenda CEO

CFO

Infant Nutrition

US – special focus CalOils

Dairy

Asia – special focus India/China

4 The Co-Development Company

AAK speakers

Arne Frank CEO

Fredrik Nilsson CFO

Torben Friis Lange President AAK Asia

Terry Thomas President AAK USA and Canada

Henning Villadsen Marketing Director, Dairy

Karel Stoschek President Infant Nutrition

5 The Co-Development Company

The Co-Development Company

2,700

100 Global

Leading

Talented Employees

Sales in countries

positions

footprint

More than

20 Production and Customization plants

25 Sales offices

6 The Co-Development Company

September YTD

Volume 1,442,000 MT (up 1% organically y/y)

* Excluding non-recurring items ** Fixed FX and comp. units

Operating profit* SEK 1,180 million (up 15% y/y, up 13% y/y**)

Operating profit per kilo* SEK 0.82 kg (up 8% y/y, up 12% y/y**)

ROCE R12M 15.7% (unchanged since December 2015)

Cash flow from op. activities SEK 369 million (last year 1,075)

EPS SEK 17.03 (up 3% y/y)

7 The Co-Development Company

FI – January to September

870

890

910

930

950

970

990

2015 2016

Volume ('000 MT)

600

625

650

675

700

725

750

2015 2016

Operating profit (SEK million)

0,50

0,60

0,70

0,80

0,90

2015 2016

Operating profit per kilo (SEK)

+5% +11%

+6%

8 The Co-Development Company

FI volume – January to September

0255075

100125150175200225250275300325350375400425

Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition

DairySolutions

Other nichespecialities

Frying &Other

commodity

MT

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

9 The Co-Development Company

FI EBIT– January to September

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition

DairySolutions

Other nichespecialities

Frying &Other

commodity

SEK

mill

ion

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

10 The Co-Development Company

FI EBIT/kg– January to September

0,000,200,400,600,801,001,201,401,601,802,002,202,402,602,803,003,20

Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition

DairySolutions

Other nichespecialities

Frying &Other

commodity

SEK

/kg 2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

11 The Co-Development Company

FI organic growth – January to September

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Bakery Food Service Infant Nutrition Dairy

12 The Co-Development Company

CCF – January to September

200

220

240

260

280

300

2015 2016

Volume ('000 MT)

375400425450475500525550

2015 2016

Operating profit (SEK million)

1,60

1,70

1,80

1,90

2,00

2015 2016

Operating profit per kilo (SEK)

+19% +18%

-1%

The Co-Development Company 13

Cocoa butter price

For information regarding cocoa and cocoa butter please refer to information at www.icco.org

14 The Co-Development Company

Since last Capital Market Day

Acquisition

Product development AAKtion

New factories in Brazil and China

CSR

15 The Co-Development Company

On plan

Sales

Customer co-development

Innovation Service

Quality

Productivity

The first choice for value-adding vegetable oil solutions

SALES INNOVATION EXECUTION

PEOPLE

Behind plan

Ahead of plan

16 The Co-Development Company

AAK Palm Oil Policy Source palm oil produced without destruction of

High Conservation Value (HCV) areas High Carbon Stocks (HCS) forest Peatland of any depth

Ensure Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) takes place prior to new plantation development

Strongly act on any violations

Increase volume of RSPO certified palm oil

Ensure traceability in our palm oil supply chain To mills by 2014 To plantations by 2017 – under review

17 The Co-Development Company

Progress on sustainable palm oil Strong engagement with suppliers

Signed the AAK Palm Oil Policy Traceable to mill Independent risk assessment by Proforest Workshops at supplier locations On-site third party verification Tight and continuous follow-up Smallholder projects

Strong engagement with customers Training global sales force Workshops with customers and retailers

Continuing dialogue with all key stakeholders

Founding member and continuing on the RSPO Board

18 The Co-Development Company

Women group program in Burkina Faso and Ghana now reached approx 117,000 women with 99,000 in Burkina Faso

Pre-financing and micro credits done in May-July in front of the coming season

Very good results on quality Very small credit losses

Great interest from several large customers

Women Deliver is the world’s largest global conference on girls’ and women’s health, rights, and well-being

AAK was part of an exhibition showing the efforts that businesses are doing to make a positive difference for women in developing countries

CSR within shea in West Africa

The Co-Development Company 19

Biodiesel

Very high use of rapeseed oil and palm oil for biodiesel particularly within the EU

Encouraging information on potential “second generation” of biodiesel

New rules and then potentially followed by a “second generation” would over time significantly reduce the pressure on the availability of these raw materials

A tropical revolution in chocolate production

TROPICAOTM

21 The Co-Development Company

Medium and fast growing markets

Nordics West Europe

USA CEE CIS

Asia Latin America

69%62%

47%38%

25%

18%18%

31%35%

35%

13%20% 22% 27%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2009 2012 2016 2020

Slow growing markets Medium growing markets Fast growing markets

22 The Co-Development Company

Agenda Inauguration of new factory in Brazil

New speciality and semi-speciality edible oils factory Major step forward for our global growth strategy Closer to our customers in a key market

The Co-Development Company 23

Agenda China – according to plan

24 The Co-Development Company

California Oils Corporation

Annual volume of 110,000 MT Revenues of approximately SEK 1,350 million in 2015 Factory in Richmond, California Production facility offers capabilities across AAK’s core product spectrum

Dairy Infant Nutrition

Frying Confectionery

Strengthen AAK’s presence in a very important market Transform AAK into a true national speciality and semi-speciality edible oils company in the US Bring AAK's customer co-development approach to a national level in the US and Canada Focus on cross-selling AAK products, leveraging customers and customer co-development

Bakery

25 The Co-Development Company

Management ambition, 2010–2016* Ambition probably reached in 2016 but with some support of M&A and partly translation differences

Much larger investments in organization for;

Organic growth, particularly in China and Brazil R&D, people and IP

Situations in Russia, Ukraine, Middle East and Brazil not anticipated in 2010

* As expressed at the Capital Market Day November 10, 2010

800 800

400

400

Acquisitions Organic growth Productivity Operating profit 2010

26 The Co-Development Company

Our strategy for future profitable growth

Innovation &

Mix

Organic growth Efficiency Selective

acquisitions Efficiency

27 The Co-Development Company

World population is increasing

7.3 billion in 2015 8.5 billion in 2030 16%

By 2030, 5 billion will be living in urban areas – up

from 3.5 billion 43%

45% of all population growth is in Asia

Global middle class population will grow by 150% *United Population Fund; UN projections; Reuters

Strong business drivers

28 The Co-Development Company

Population growth* - market opportunity

Production plants Customization plants Sales offices Sourcing operations Customer innovation centres

+12% (420m)

+13% (53m)

+12% (60m)

* United Nation population growth 2015-2030

29 The Co-Development Company

Current market growth estimates

Production plants Customization plants Sales offices Sourcing operations Customer innovation centres

30 The Co-Development Company

AAK year to date vs market growth

Production plants Customization plants Sales offices Sourcing operations Customer innovation centres

31 The Co-Development Company

AAK’s position in growing markets

North America Strong position with national wide presence through recent acquisition

Asia Pacific Invested in future growth through greenfield in China and a perfect match between surging population in India and our stake in AAK Kamani

South Latin America Invested for future growth with greenfield in Brazil, new product launches and complete team This year, these areas represent more than 50% of AAK volumes, with

substantial capacity increase pending through greenfields and acquisitions. We target to continue to grow faster than the markets

32 The Co-Development Company

What’s next?

33 The Co-Development Company

Our drivers

Health No trans Low sat

Dairy fat alternatives and Plant based dairy Nutrition Costs optimization for

Customers Retailers Consumers

34 The Co-Development Company

M&A? - AAK has a very good track record of selective add on acquisitions and their integrations

California Oils Corporation (US) Q3/2016 TLC/Belovo (Belgium) Q4/2015 Miyoshi Oils & Fats Co. (JV, Japan) Q4/2015 Kamani Oil Industries Pvt Ltd. (JV, India) Q3/2015 Frita brand from Unilever (Turkey) Q3/2014 FANAGRA (Colombia) Q3/2014 CSM Benelux NV (Belgium) Q2/2014 Unipro (Turkey) Q3/2013 Crown-Foods (Denmark) Q2/2012 Oasis Foods Company (US) Q2/2012 Golden Foods/Golden Brands (US) Q3/2011

35 The Co-Development Company

A history of double-digit EBIT growth

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Q312

Q412

Q113

Q213

Q313

Q413

Q114

Q214

Q314

Q414

Q115

Q215

Q315

Q415

Q116

Q216

Q316

AAK quarterly EBIT growth y-o-y

Quarterly growth Average growth Average organic growth

36 The Co-Development Company

Next management ambition?

We have built and continue building a very solid foundation

We are supported by very strong business drivers Strong organization with strong executive and local management Clear and very well aligned strategy and strategy execution High activity levels in the AAK Acceleration and AAKtion programs as well as in the 2017-2019 coming company program

So why slow down?

37 The Co-Development Company

Management ambition for the coming years

Average 10% year-over-year

EBIT improvement* &

Supporting a good and consistent

EPS improvement

* Excluding acquisitions and at fixed FX

Innovation &

Mix

Organic growth

Efficiency Selective acquisitions

38 The Co-Development Company

Concluding remarks

Based on AAK’s customer value propositions for Health and reduced costs Customer product co-development and solutions approach

We continue to remain prudently optimistic about the future

The main drivers;

We are expecting a continued positive underlying development for Food Ingredients We are expecting continued improvement in Chocolate & Confectionery Fats

www.aak.com