Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver,...

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Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk

Transcript of Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver,...

Page 1: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Center for Developmental

ResearchÖrebro University, Sweden

Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk

Page 2: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Overview Our main interests

Current SIENA studies

Main issues & many wishes

Page 3: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Personal interests

Page 4: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Interests Online vs. offline networks (Maarten)

Personality: psychopathic traits, Big Five (Maarten, Margaret)

Externalizing: delinquency, bullying, aggression (Margaret, Håkan, Lauree)

Internalizing: depression, social anxiety (Maarten, Nejra)

Parents, peers, & externalizing (Lauree)

Page 5: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Data Seven Schools: up to 8 friends in the school (N

= 2,500)

Political Socialization Program: Up to 10 friends in school (N = 4,500)

10-to-18: large community, up to 23 friends, romantic partners, and siblings in the community (N = 4,500)

ONLINE vs.OFFLINE: small community & 89% of all friends found exclusively online (N = 700)

ALL data also have independent parental reports

Lauree Tilton-Weaver
Is this true of 7 schools?
Page 6: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Recent publications Kerr, M, Van Zalk, M., Stattin, H. (in press). Psychopathic traits moderate

peer influence on delinquency. Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry.

Van Zalk, N., Van Zalk, M., Kerr, M. & Stattin, H. (in press). Socialization of social anxiety in adolescent crowds: Punks, goths, and other eye-catching peer crowds revisited. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology.

Van Zalk, N., Van Zalk, M., Kerr, M. & Stattin, H. (2011). Social anxiety as basis for friendship selection and socialization in a youth social network. Journal of Personality, 29, 499-525.

Van Zalk, M., Kerr, M.. Branje, S., Stattin, Håkan, & Meeus, W. (2010). Peer contagion and adolescent depression: The role of failure anticipation. Journal of Clinical Child and Adolescent Psychology, 39, 837-848.

Van Zalk M., Branje, S. Kerr, M.,Stattin, H., & Meeus, M. (2010). It takes three: Selection, influence, and de-selection processes of depression in adolescent peer networks. Developmental Psychology, 46, 927-938.

Page 7: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Issues & Wishes Moderation / Interaction effects

Mediation / Indirect effects

Page 8: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Plotting Simple Slopes

Y' = b1(x1-x1^) + b2(x2-x2^) + b3((x1-x1^)(x2-x2^))

b1 = IV (parenting-ego estimate)b2 = Moderator (delinquency-alter estimate)b3 = Interaction: parenting-ego×delinquency-alter estimate

For x1^ the average parenting score was used

For x2^ the average delinquency score was used

Page 9: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Moderation Approach to graphing: Plot simple slopes

Is there a user-friendly way to visualize and test differences between groups?

Is this the best for two variables with a wide range of values?

Average scores or average for ego/alter?

If only for ego or alters, how do you get this information?

Are ego-alter tables the way to go?

Wish: Function in RSiena that can help visualize interaction effects, visualize the slopes for the different effects

Page 10: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Mediation Processes / mechanisms underlying peer

influence effects

Crucial for understanding how peer influence works

Stages in influence

Indirect effects

Page 11: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Mediation Do negative cognitions mediate peer

influence on depressive symptoms?

Traditional conditions for mediation:

1) X on Y

2) X on Z

3) When X and Z together on Y, only X remains

Page 12: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Mediation Do negative cognitions mediate peer

influence on depressive symptoms?

Recently:

Indirect effects of X on Y VIA Z

Friends depr

Targets’ depression

Negative cognitions

Page 13: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

MediationDepressive symptoms Cognitions

Behavioral evolution (influence)

Parameter

s.e. Parameter

s.e.

Rate period 1 10.1221***

1.79 8.1231*** 1.43

Rate period 2 10.2134***

1.89 8.975*** 1.31

Linear shape 1.21*** .24 1.45*** .23

Quadratic shape 1.12*** .23 1.81*** .33

Ego’s negative cognitions

.43*** .08

Average alter .12*** .04 .74*** .12

Average alt

Targets’ depression

Negative cognitions

.74*** .43***

.12***

Page 14: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Mediation Indirect effects of X on Y VIA Z

Can we use a Sobel’s test?

Boots-trapping?

Average alt

Targets’ depression

Negative cognitions

.74*** .43***

.12***

Page 15: Center for Developmental Research Örebro University, Sweden Maarten van Zalk, Lauree Tilton-Weaver, Margaret Kerr, Håkan Stattin, Nejra van Zalk.

Overview Our main interests

Current SIENA studies

Main issues & many wishes