CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm...

19
CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns

Transcript of CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm...

Page 1: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

CAVLAR®

Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns

Page 2: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

400 mm NGIJ400

mm

NG

IJ

Valve failure III

500 mm GGIJValve failure II

300 mm GGIJ

Known valve failure

Mains replacement

• Failure of valves:– I (known): 2 extra valves, no

extra customers– II: 4 extra valves plus extra

customers– III: 5 extra valves plus extra

customers

Valves can fail

Page 3: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

CAVLAR®

• Quantifying the contribution of valves (or the fialure of valves) to the supply of drinking water

Page 4: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

CAVLAR®

CAVLAR® :

Criticality Analysis Valve Locations And Reliability

Location valves: section analysis of distribution network

Reliability of valves: calculate performance distribution net

critical sections

critical valves

Effect of valve maintenance: improvement valve reliability

improvement of performance distribution net

1

2

3

Page 5: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

CAVLAR®: required input

Required information:

• LIS data:

• Failure data:

• Maintenance data:

Volendam

number of connections, length, diameter

failure probability

supply interruption durance

valve reliability

Page 6: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Insight in existing distribution net

0

50

100

150

200

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Num

ber

of

sect

ions

Number of valves per section

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Leng

th p

er

sect

ion (

m)

Number of sections

0

50

100

150

200

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Connect

ions

per

sect

ion

Number of sections

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Volu

me p

er

sect

ion (

m3

)

Number of sections

Page 7: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Location of valves

Section:

number of connections

diameter

length

failure probability

Valve:

Reliability

Section diagram

Page 8: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Adjust valve configuration

Page 9: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Adjust valve configuration (2)

Page 10: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

New valve locations: comparison of configurations

number of valves per section

020406080

100120140160180200

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

number of valves

nu

mb

er o

f se

ctio

ns

Original configuration

New configuration

number of connections in a section

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0-20

21-4

0

41-6

0

61-8

0

81-1

00

101-

120

121-

140

141-

160

161-

180

181-

200

number of connections in a sectionn

um

ber

of

sect

ion

s

less dependent sectionsnew config.:

less valves in a section

50% of valvesmore connections in a sectionnorm Groningen:< 200

33% of sections

Page 11: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Reliability of valves: critical sections (1)

• For each section CAVLAR® calculates performance indicators at a certain valve

reliability:

• Impact : number of connections

• Ratio : impact/number of connections in section

• CML (min/section/year) : minutes that costumer does not have water

• CI (1/year) : customer interruptions

highest CML critical sections

Page 12: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Performance indicator:ImpactRatio

CICML

critical sectioncritical valves

Reliability of valves: critical sections (2)

Page 13: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

159 conn.3 valves

I = 181Ratio = 1.138CML = 06:54:08CI = 0.042vave rel.=0.90

Critical

section 1:

A_123Y

Reliability of valves: critical sections (3)

Page 14: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Reliability of valves: critical sections (4)

First 10 (5%) sections: 24% of total CML

First 22 (10%) sections: 40 % of total CML

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

0 50 100 150 200 250

number of sections

per

cen

tag

e o

f C

ML

Page 15: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Reliability of valves: critical sections (5) Judge new valve configuration based on CML

number of valves reliability number of sections CML [min]

original configuration 712 0.90 555 5:01

new configuration 333 0.90 183 11:56

new configuration + maintenance

333 0.95 183 9:42

x 0.5 x 0.33 x 2.3

CML improvement: 18.7%

weight reduction operational costs and CML increase

optimalisation valve configuration

Page 16: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Influence of increased valve reliability

0:00:00

0:07:12

0:14:24

0:21:36

0:28:48

0:36:00

0:43:12

0:50:24

0.7 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 0.98 1

valve reliability [-]

CM

L [

min

/co

nn

./ye

ar]

original configuration

new configuration

Page 17: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Effect of valve maintenance: Judge maintenance scenarios

Maintenance of valves:

• increase of valve reliability 0.90 0.95 effect maintenance for Winschoten: improvement CML with 18.7%

• CAVLAR® determines prioritization of valves

(ranking valves with diminishing effect on performance of distribution net)

input for maintenance scenarios

Page 18: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Effect of maintenance on CML maintain 50% of

most critical valves

75% of max.

possible result

same effect with

maintenance of

22% of most

critical valves to

higher reliability

btbh 0.95

btbh 0.98

willekeurig naar 0.95

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

percentage valves

imp

rove

men

t C

ML

vs

0.90

Page 19: CAVLAR ® Ilse Pieterse-Quirijns. 400 mm NGIJ Valve failure III 500 mm GGIJ Valve failure II 300 mm GGIJ Known valve failure Mains replacement Failure.

Conclusion

Roll of CAVLAR®: tool for optimisation of distribution network tool for prioritisation of sections and valves tool for advise in maintenance plans

1

2

3

Smart maintenance: good maintenance of critical valves results in

same performance

Smart configuration: judgement and optimisation of valve configuration