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Transcript of Case-Control Studies Abdualziz BinSaeed. Case-Control Studies Type of analytic study Unit of...
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Case-Control Studies
Abdualziz BinSaeed
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Case-Control Studies
• Type of analytic study
• Unit of observation and analysis: Individual (not group)
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Case-Control Studies
• Definition: It is a type of observational analytic epidemiologic
investigation in which subjects are selected on the basis of whether they do or do not have a particular disease under study.
• Importance of case-control studies ∂ (drawback of cohort study “large population”)∂ Achieving the same goals of cohort study efficiently
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Case-Control Studies
• Case-control studies are the most frequently undertaken analytical epidemiological studies
• They are the only practical approach for identifying risk factors for rare diseases
• They are best suited to the study of diseases for which medical care is sought, such as cancers or hip fracture
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Design
• At baseline:
– Selection of cases (disease) and controls (no disease) based on disease status
– Exposure status is unknown
• Retrospective design – lacks temporality!
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Case Control Study Design
Target Population
Diseased(Cases)
Not Diseased(Controls)
Exposed
Not Exposed
Exposed
Not Exposed
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Selecting Cases
• Select cases after the diagnostic criteria and definition of the disease is clearly established
• Study cases should be representative of all cases
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Selecting Cases (cont.)
• The study need not include all cases in the population
• Cases may be located from hospitals, clinics, disease registries, screenings, etc.
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Selecting Cases (cont.)
• Incident cases are preferable to prevalent cases for reducing (a) recall bias and (b) over-representation of cases of long duration
• The most desirable way to obtain cases is to include all incident cases in a defined population over a specified period of time
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Selecting Controls
• Controls should come from the same population at risk for the disease as the cases
• Controls should be representative of the target population
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Selecting Controls (cont.)
• Controls estimate the exposure rate to be expected in cases if there were no association between exposure and disease
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Selecting Controls (cont.)
• Multiple controls can be used to help add statistical power when cases are unduly difficult to obtain
• Using more than one control group lends credibility to the results
• More than 3 controls for a case is usually not cost-efficient
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Sources of cases and controls
Spouses, siblings or associates of cases
Any of the above methods
Sample of patients in the same hospital who do not have the disease
All cases diagnosed in a single hospital
Sample of patients in all hospitals who do not have the disease
All cases diagnosed in all hospitals
Non-cases in a sample of the population
All cases diagnosed in a sample of the population
Sample of general populationAll cases diagnosed in the community
CONTROLSCASES
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Assessing Exposure
• Exposure is usually an estimate unless past measurements are available– It has to be assumed that the exposure incurred
at the time the disease process began (this may not be valid)
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Assessing Exposure (cont.)
• Exposure estimates are subject to recall bias and interviewer bias– Some protection may be afforded by blinding
interviewers and carefully phrasing interview questions
• Potential confounders need to be accurately assessed in order to be controlled in the analysis
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Odds Ratio (OR)
• A ratio that measures the odds of exposure for cases compared to controls
• Odds of exposure = number exposed number unexposed
• OR Numerator: Odds of exposure for cases• OR Denominator: Odds of exposure for controls
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Calculating the Odds Ratio
400200Total
22488Non-smoker
176112SmokerExposure Status
No CHD
(Controls)
CHD cases
(Cases)
Disease Status
Odds Ratio = =AD
BC
112 x 224176 x 88
= 1.62
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Exposure increases
disease risk(Risk factor)
Particular exposure is not
a risk factor
Exposure reduces
disease risk
(Protectivefactor)
Exposure as a risk factor for
the disease?
Odds of exposure for cases are
greater than the odds of exposure
for controls
Odds of exposure are equal among
cases and controls
Odds of exposure for cases are less than the odds of
exposure for controls
Odds comparison
between cases and controls
OR>1OR=1OR<1
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Interpreting the Odds Ratio
The odds of exposure for cases are 1.62 times the odds of exposure for controls.
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Interpreting the Odds Ratio
Those with CHD are 62% more likely to be smokers than those without CHD
Those with CHD are 1.62 times more likely to be smokers than those without CHD
or
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Possible Sources of Bias and Error
• Information on the potential risk factor (exposure) may not be available either from records or the study subjects’ memories
• Information on potentially important confounding variables may not be available either from records or the study subjects’ memories
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Possible Sources of Bias and Error (cont.)
• Cases may search for a cause for their disease and thereby be more likely to report an exposure than controls (recall bias)
• The investigator may be unable to determine with certainty whether the suspected agent caused the disease or whether the occurrence of the disease caused the person to be exposed to the agent
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Possible Sources of Bias and Error (cont.)
• Identifying and assembling a case group representative of all cases may be unduly difficult
• Identifying and assembling an appropriate control group may be unduly difficult
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Nested Case-Control Study
SubgroupSelected as
“Controls”
”Cases”
CASE-CONTROL STUDY
Population
DevelopDisease
Do NotDevelopDisease
Year
s
Initial Data and/orSerum, Urine, or Other
Specimens Obtained
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ORs, P-Values and 95% CIs for Case-Control Study with 3 Different Sample Sizes
Sample Size
Parameter Computed
n=20n=50n=500
OR2.02.02.0
p-value0.5000.2000.001
95% CIs0.5, 7.70.9, 4.71.5, 2.6
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Advantages of Case-Control Studies
• Quick and easy to complete, cost effective
• Most efficient design for rare diseases
• Usually requires a smaller study population than a cohort study
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Disadvantages of Case-Control Studies
• Uncertainty of exposure-disease time relationship
• Inability to provide a direct estimate of risk
• Not efficient for studying rare exposures
• Subject to biases (recall & selection bias)