Carat Media NewsLetter 763 Report
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Transcript of Carat Media NewsLetter 763 Report
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CARAT MEDIA WEEKLY NEWSLETTER
No. 763
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37.32009
(Goldman Sachs)
7 (Adex)
7%
14.6
22.4
12.3 14.0 15.2
6.1 7.4 7.9
Source: : China Statistics Bureau; IMF; Aegis media
14.2
9.6 9.110.4
9.27.8 7.7 7.5
Y2007 Y2008 Y2011 Y2012 Y2013Y2010Y2009 Y2014E
3
A
dex
GDP
%
http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/breakingnews/1149619http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/breakingnews/1149619 -
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(disposable income)2013
26,955.113.6
2004186%
2.2% 1.8%
18.6% 20.0%
11.6% 11.3%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2012w1 2012w3 2013w1 2012w1 2012w3 2013w1 2012w1 2012w3 2013w1
spending growth rate(RMB)
Source: Carat CHINA CCS/CMMS 2012 W1-2013W3
Basic consumption&
Quality consumption/
Spiritual consumption
26,955.10
18,022.64
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000()
()
RMB
Source:
http://data.stats.gov.cn/viewchart/index?m=hgndhttp://data.stats.gov.cn/viewchart/index?m=hgnd -
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200911
350 1.71
105%
75%
70%66%
42%
2% 16% 16% 16%17%
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
China USA Growth rate China Growth rate USA
Billion(RMB)
Source: iResearch, US Department of Commerce, Tmall; Exchange rate: 6.0901
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(
)
Source: CCS 2013
14.9
51.7
26.3
2.8
17.5
52.8
25.5
2.9
12.5
53.6
22.4
4.3
(%)
90
100
110
120
Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13
15 9
5.4%
12 8
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2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
3%10% 10% 11% 12%
14% 13% 13%4% 5% 6%
8%10%
14% 17%
65%66%
63%
62%60%
59%
57%
17%
16%
15%
14%12%
10%
9%
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
NP
TV
DIGITAL
OOH
RADIO
MG
12%
15%
7.4%
RMB million
14%
6.1%
Source: Aegis estimation based on CTR for TV/Print /Radio, CODC for OOH, iRsearch for Internet
337,656
296,118
388,950
443,222
263,574
412,570 7.9%
478,300
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CNNIC34
6.32(3.18)
46.9%5.2783.4%PC
80.9%
66
10%
12%
4% 5% 1%5% 3%
19%
9%
5%
12%
9%
8% 10%
31% 35%
7%
7%
1%
7% 7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2009.12 2010.6 2010.12 2011.6 2011.12 2012.6 2012.12 2013.6
Unit:million
/
Source: CNNIC
http://www.cnnic.net.cn/gywm/xwzx/rdxw/2014/201407/t20140721_47439.htmhttp://www.cnnic.net.cn/gywm/xwzx/rdxw/2014/201407/t20140721_47439.htm -
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201322%
201321%
53.5
(media meshing)(media meshing)
Source: iResearch, CCS 2013, Business Insider
10%13%
26%29%
44%40%
51%
57%
63%
75%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1
39
5%
3%
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4G
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
14- 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
2011 Q1 2011 Q3 2012 Q1 2012 Q3 2013 Q1 2013 Q3
Penetration%
428 mil.(15.2%)
69.3%(5.2%)
61.1 72.477.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2011 2012 2013
+18%
+7%
Source: CSM, 2011-2013, CNNIC, iResearch
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/
5
155
5500million
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App
App
PPTV
6
BTV
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SOLOMOCOSocial, Location, Mobile Commer
SOLOMOCO
(big
data)
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(Carat)
(Vizeum)(AAA)(Isobar)
(Posterscope)(iProspect)
(Amnet)
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(02) 2717-5238 ext.9285
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