BUSINESS STATISTICS I Descriptive Statistics & Data Collection.

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BUSINESS STATISTICS I Descriptive Statistics & Data Collection

Transcript of BUSINESS STATISTICS I Descriptive Statistics & Data Collection.

Page 1: BUSINESS STATISTICS I Descriptive Statistics & Data Collection.

BUSINESS STATISTICS IDescriptive Statistics & Data Collection

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Descriptive Statistics – Graphic Guidelines

• Pie charts – nominal variables, eg. ‘religion’; cross-sectional data

• Bar charts – nominal or interval variables, eg. ‘religion’ or ‘margin debt’; time series or cross sectional data

• Line graphs – interval variables, eg. margin debt; time series data

• Histograms – interval variables, eg. golf scores; cross sectional data – depicts the SHAPE of a frequency distribution• Stem and Leaf Plot– quick and dirty histogram• Ogive – depicts a cumulative percentage frequency

distribution• Scatter diagram – two interval variables, eg. Margin vs, the

market value

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Graphic Deception – some widely used methods• Graphs without a scale on one axis• Captions or titles intended to influence• Reporting only absolute changes in value and not percentage changes

• Changing the scale of the vertical axis with breaks or truncations

• Changing the scale of the horizontal axis• Changing the width as well as the height of bars or pictogram figures

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Summary of data types and available graphic techniques

Interval Nominal

Cross-sectional data Histograms Pie charts Percentage histograms Bar charts Ogives Stem and leaf plots Box plotsTime-series data Line charts Complex pie

Bar charts or bar charts

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Describing the frequency distribution for interval, cross sectional data• Shape• Center• Spread

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Describing distributions• SHAPE

• Graphs• Histograms• Percentage histograms• Ogives • Stem and leaf plots• Box plots

• Words• Symmetric, skewed, bell shaped, flat, peaked

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Descriptive statistics –• CENTER

• Quantitative measures• Mean (arithmetic)• Median• Mode• Geometric mean• Mid-point of the range

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Descriptive statistics –

• Numeric Measures – cont’d.• SPREAD (dispersion)

• Range• Symmetric distributions

• Standard deviation• Variance• Coefficient of variation

• Skewed distributions• Quartiles• Min• Max• Interquartile range• Percentiles

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Z Scores and t-scores• Measures distance from the mean in standard deviations

• Eg. T score for bone density – 1 to 2.5 standard deviations below the norm (mean) for a 23 year old indicates osteopenia; 2.5 or more indicates osteoporosis

• (X-z score• (X – Xbar)/s = t score

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Empirical Rule• For mound shaped distributions

• About 68% of observations are within one standard deviation of the mean

• About 95% of observations are within two standard deviations of the mean

• Almost all (99.7%) observations are within three standard deviations of the mean

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Chebysheff’s Rule• For all distributions

• Let k be greater than or equal to 1• At least 1-(1/k2) of the observations are within k standard

deviations of the mean• Examples• K=1 zero observations may be within one standard

deviation of the mean• K=2 3/4th’s of observations must be within two

standard deviations of the mean• K=3 8/9th’s of observations must be within three

standard deviations of the mean

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Sampling• ‘Scientific sampling’ is random sampling

• Simple random samples• Systematic random samples• Stratified random samples• Random cluster samples

• What?• Why?• How?

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What is random sampling?

• Simple random sample -Every sample with the same number of observations has the same probability of being chosen

• Choose first sample member randomly• Stratified random sample – Choose simple random samples from the mutually exclusive strata of a population

• Cluster sample – Choose a simple random sample of groups or clusters

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Why sample randomly?• To make valid statistical inferences to a population• Conclusions from a non-probability sample can be

questioned• Conclusions from a self-selected sample are SLOP

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How can samples be randomly chosen?• Random number generators (software)• Ping pong balls in a hopper• Other mechanical devices• Random number tables• Slips of paper in a ‘hat’

With or without replacement