Business plan( for all )
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Transcript of Business plan( for all )
BUSINESS PLAN
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CONTENTS
Elements of a Business Plan• Executive Summary• Business Description• Define Your Market• Identify and Analyse Your competition• Design and Development Plan• Operations and Management Plan• Financial Statements
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INTRODUCTION
What is a Business Plan?• A business plan is a document which
highlights (for the given year):– The plan as to how the company will be
run– The goals of the company– The money required to meet those goals– The strategy employed to meet those
goals (including marketing)
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INTRODUCTION (I) Why should I create a business
plan?• A business plan forces a business
to assess the market place• It forces a business to identify a
clear marketing strategy• It also serves as a benchmark
which the companies performance can be measured against.
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INTRODUCTION (II)
There are seven essential sections of a business plan. These are the:• Executive Summary• Business Description• Define Your Market• Identify and Analyse Your competition• Design and Development Plan• Operations and Management Plan• Financial Statements
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The executive summary follows the
title page of the business plan The purpose of the executive
summary is to explain to the reader what the business wants
The summary should be short and concise (maybe half a page, typically no longer than a page)• People do not have time to waste reading
long documents6
Key Elements of an Executive Summary
1. THE BUSINESS CONCEPT• What is the business you are proposing, its
products and the advantages over the competition
2. THE FINANCIAL FEATURES• Highlight the forecasted sales, profits,
cash flows and return on investment 3. THE FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS
• What are the start-up costs and the cost of expansion. How will this money be used?
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Key Elements of an Executive Summary (I)
4. CURRENT BUSINESS POSITION• This includes any relevant
information about the company, its formation date, its owners and key personnel
5. MAJOR ACHIEVEMENT• Are there any developments which
are essential to the success of the business? These may include prototypes, patents or crucial contracts
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Business Description This section often begins with a short
description of the industry, its present outlook and future possibilities• Include any products or developments that
might affect your business State whether the business is new or
already in existence; and the type of operation, e.g. is it retail, food service, manufacturing or service-oriented?
State who your customers will be and how your product will be distributed and advertised
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Business Description (I)
Describe the product or service you intend to market
Show how your business will gain the competitive edge
Explain how the business will be profitable
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Define Your Market
Define the entire market for your industry• in terms of size, structure, growth
prospects, trends and sales potential
Define the specific market that you will be targeting (market segmentation)
Define your niche in this market11
Define Your Market (I) After defining your market you
must:• Estimate your market share for the
period of time the business plan covers• Position your business• Price your product• Determine the distribution strategy• Create a promotion plan• Estimate your sales potential
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Identify and Analyse Your competition
Determine who your competitors are
What strategies are they using to sell their products or service
What are they strengths and weaknesses
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Design and Development Plan
The design and development plan allows investors to understand:• The design of your product• How it is produced• How it will be marketing• The development budget required
to allow the company to meet its goals
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Design and Development Plan (I)
The sections included in the development plan include:• Product development• Market development• Organisational development
Each of these sections should be described from a funding point of view
Finally, identify measurable goals for the overall design and development plan
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Operations and Management Plan
Describes how the business functions• It explains business logistics:
– The responsibilities of the management team– The task assigned to each company division– Capital and expense requirements related to
the operation of the business
• And the financial tables– The operating expense table– The capital requirements table– The cost of goods table
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Financial Statements
The three common financial statements are:• The balance sheet
– A statement of your assets, liabilities and equity
• The Income statement– Reflects when sales are made and expenses
are incurred
• The statement of cash flows shows– The amount of cash required to meet
obligations, when it is required and from where it will come
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Introduction
Focus your thinking Establish realistic strategy Financing and other support Reaction by others
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Definition Document that can convince
the reader that the business can produce enough revenue to make a satisfactory profit and therefore attractive as an investment opportunity
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Many reasons to build one
BP should sell the writer/reader on the business: • Writer: so that you can go out
and do it, • Reader: to invest in it
Confidence of knowing the issues
Improve chances of success20
Many Purposes in real life
Bank Financing Strategic alliances Large contracts Key employees Mergers and acquisitions Mgt team motivation
Ours here : Investment by VC or Angels
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Principles of BP No right way: plans can differ Be creative but set a limit Concise and focused Captures energy and
personality of business leader Include negatives and issues Spend some time on it
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Sections of Business Plan
Cover Page: contact name and info
Table of contents Executive summary The company: past, present and
future The market The Product/service
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Sections of Business Plan - continued
Sales and Promotion Financial projections
• Profit and loss• Balance sheet• Cash flow
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OTHER SECTIONS: TECHNOLOGY BASED
Management team: people who fund other people value management skills above “ideas”
Risk factors: shows that you know what could go wrong and plan to avert it
Marketing plan: if this is “innovative” how are you going to get people to use it
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PACKAGING THE PLAN It is a ”living” document No right/wrong way: the need
of reader is essential What are the challenges/
questions that can be raised by reader: answer these.
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Packaging the Plan
Include supporting materials Don’t make unsupported
statements Designate an outside reviewer/
reader that can critique plan
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EXAMPLE………
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What’s the Business Objective?
Long Term ISP business Growth and Sale National Agenda Leverage from other activities Risk protection
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Business Planning Process
Identify Market opportunity Identify Costs Model Tariffs Model Business Requirements
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Market Identification Define Market segment
• size• uptake• competitive position• market position
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Identifying Costs
Capital Costs Recurrent Costs Marketing Costs Staff and Administrative Costs
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Capital Costs
Equipment• Core routers
– capital cost depreciation at 30% p.a.
• Access servers– capital cost depreciation at 30%pa– capital cost per access port charged to
customer
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Capital Costs
• service platforms– ratio of service platforms to
customer numbers– depreciation at 30% pa
• staff equipment– fixed capital cost per staff member– can be converted to recurrent via
capital depreciation at a rate of 30% pa
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Recurrent Costs
equipment housing costs• equipment location costs
lease line costs• Telco Leases• Radio Equipment Costs
– can be converted to recurrent cost of ownership at 20% depreciation of capital value
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Marketing costs
advertising staff publications, seminars, other
marketing activities Total can be considered as a
connection cost per client
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Staff and Administrative costs
technical support staff• usually fixed number• staff churn cost (30%)
support desk staff• usually incremental off the customer base
administrative staff• usually fixed number
Other administrative costs• billing costs• debt risk factor
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Lets put this together for a medium sized
national ISP Cost Totals Cost proportions Scaling overheads as a
percentage of capacity costs generation of the business
model via marginal cost examination
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Costs Leased Line costs - recurrent
expenditureLink Cost Calculation Worksheet
The costs used here are not derived from any particular network - they are a simple example only
Target Line Loading Factor50% Line loading before more bandwidth is required
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International Line costs
International Circuit cost calculationCapacity of the circuit Kbps 2048
Cost of the circuit - total lease cost monthly 120,000$
Megabytes monthly 685,670 Max sustainable loading factor 50%
Max sustainable traffic level 342835Break even cost per megabyte at target load 0.35$
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Domestic Line costsDomestic Circuit cost calculation
Capacity of the circuit Kbps 2048
Average cost of the circuit - total lease cost monthly 8,000$
Megabytes monthly 685,670 Max sustainable loading 50%
Max sustainable traffic level 342,835 cost per megabyte 0.02$
line imbalance 0.75
Topology Factor 1.5
cost per megabyte 0.02$
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Marginal Transmission cost
Traffic BalanceInternational 65% 0.24$
Trunk 22% 0.01$
Local 13% -$
Total Delivered cost per Mb 0.25$
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Marginal Cost
Total Delivered cost per Mb 0.25$
OverheadsFixed rate overhead calculation 20%
Marginal Cost 0.30$
• Calculate staff and equipment costs as a fixed overhead on the traffic volume - this allows the business to generate working capital to expand
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Capital Investment cost
Marginal Cost 0.30$
Return on cashflow 5%
Target Average Retail Price per delivered Megabyte 0.31$
• The enterprise will require initial capital investment which must generate positive earnings, which must be factored into the model
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Retail Pricing Model Use a 64K access line as the basic
unit of connection Assume an average line loading of
business usage• average line occupancy of 20%
Determine retail pricing from marginal cost at average line occupancy
Flat Rate pricing45
Retail Pricing Model
Retail Model
64K connection Costs
Maximum delivery capacity (Mb) monthly 21427Average line occupancy 27%
Average line delivery (Mb) monthly 5,785 marginal cost 0.31$
Net service cost (transmission) monthly 1,806.46$
Max service liability (avg traffic flow) monthly 6,690.60$
Max service liability (absolute risk) monthly 9,450.00$
Fixed Flat rate tariff Monthly 1,806.46$ 46
Risk Reduction Reduce risk of over exposure
by using ‘high’ and ‘low’ volume tariff stepsClient Spread
0
10
20
30
40
50
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Line Occupancy
Nu
mb
er
of
Cli
en
ts
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Stepped Retail TariffFixed Flat rate tariff Monthly 1,806.46$
Dual Rate Tariff 40%Low band average line occupancy 18%High band average line occupancy 59%
Low monthly 1,204.31$ High monthly 3,934.07$
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Additional Services
Offer services at a variety of access speeds
Use differential tariffs to encourage reselling
Use a flater tariffs to strength direct retail position
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Additional ServicesTiered Access Pricing
Tier Factorleased PSTN modem, rated at 19.2K 19.2 1.40
64K 64 1.20
128K 128 1.10
256K 256 1.05
512K 512 1.00
Retail ScheduleFixed 2 Tier
Low High
leased PSTN modem, rated at 19.2K 759$ 281$ 918$
64K 2,168$ 1,445$ 4,721$
128K 3,974$ 2,649$ 8,655$
256K 7,587$ 5,058$ 20,654$
512K 14,452$ 9,634$ 31,473$ 50
Dial Access Transmission is a minor cost for
dial access Also must factor in:
• modem capital cost and limited service life• phone support with large after hours
component• marketing cost• customer churn rate• target market capture level (competitive
price sensivity)51
Dial AccessModem Access Pricing
Cost per modem hourAverage modem speed kbps 26
MBytes/hour 10.4Average line loading level 10%
At Marginal Retail 0.32$ Service Activity Loading 300%
Retail - minimum level hourly 1.30$
Initial retail marketing margin 30%
Retail hourly 1.69$
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The Business Challenge
How to manage exponential
GROWTH53
The Business Plan
Establish tariff position Estimate Market size for the
service Calculate Revenue Calculate service provision
costs Revenue - costs = bottom line
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Estimate DemandBusiness Plan
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Services In Operation (SIO)
Type
dial 300 2000 4000 10000dial modems 30 200 400 1000
pstn 10 20 40 15064K 20 40 100 200128K 4 6 15 40256K 0 2 8 25512K 0 0 5 15
TOTAL 64 268 568 1430
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Calculate RevenueRevenue $ $ $ $
Connection charges 210,000 588,000 832,000 2,250,000Access charges
dial 73,962 394,466 739,623 1,479,246pstn 7,587 15,174 30,349 113,80764K 72,837 145,673 364,183 728,365
128K 26,707 40,060 100,150 267,067256K 0 29,210 116,842 365,131512K 0 0 121,394 364,183
TOTAL 391,093 1,212,584 2,304,541 5,567,800
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Capacity calculationCalc Line Lease 132 427 1,116 2,827
Actual Line Lease 128 512 1,024 3,036
Scale the Network Estimate communications
capacity to service the client base
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CostsEquipment 140,000 420,000 640,000 1,800,000Line Lease 82,500 330,000 660,000 1,956,797
Staff 250,000 350,000 450,000 500,000Marketing 0 50,000 100,000 150,000Overheads 120,000 120,000 140,000 200,000
TOTAL 592,500 1,270,000 1,990,000 4,606,797
Estimate Costs Factor in service provision
costs
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The Bottom Line
Revenue 391,093 1,212,584 2,304,541 5,567,800
Costs 592,500 1,270,000 1,990,000 4,606,797
Profit/ loss (201,407) (57,416) 314,541 961,003
Am I winning or losing at this tariff and market level?
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THANK YOU
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