Building development trajectories

Building Development TrajectoriesJeremy Gibberd

Jeremy Gibberd

Jeremy Gibberd

http://sfari.org/news-and-opinion/news/2012/long-term-studies-chart-autisms-different-trajectories

Structure

• Trajectories: natural, accidental, intentional

• Sustainable development trajectories • Building development trajectories

Electron trajectories

http://www.cstl.nist.gov/div837/837.02/epq/Example1.html

http://nadp.sws.uiuc.edu/fukushima/

Radioactive trajectories

http://tracmass.org/

Ocean current trajectories

Sound trajectories in space

http://dvlpt.gmem.free.fr/web/static.php?page=HoloEdit_main

http://sfari.org/news-and-opinion/news/2012/long-term-studies-chart-autisms-different-trajectories

Growth trajectories

Sendagire I, Schim Van der Loeff M, Mubiru M, Konde-Lule J, et al. (2010) Long Delays and Missed Opportunities in Diagnosing Smear-Positive Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Kampala, Uganda: A Cross-Sectional Study. PLoS ONE 5(12): e14459. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0014459http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0014459

Patients' trajectories through the health system

http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0014459

Income per capita trajectories

Chris Martin

Building development trajectories?

Chris Martin


http://www.masdar.ae/


Carbon concentration trajectories

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/

Carbon emission trajectories

http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/figure-5-1.html

Slum population trajectories expected to be 889 million by 2020. HABITAT)

Global Urban Observatory, UNHABITAT 2005

Development of the SBAT

WWF 2006

National developmenttrajectories

USAHungary

South Africa

Built Environment Sustainability Capability• Ecological Footprint Capability (EFC): Is a measure of the

extent to which the built environment is configured and includes the characteristics required to support the achievement of Ecological Footprint targets.

• Human Development Capability (HDC): Is a measure of the extent to which the built environment is configured for includes the characteristics required to support the achievement of Human Development targets

• Built Environment Sustainability Capability (BESC): (EFC + HDC) / 2

Built Environment Sustainability Capability Measurement

Ecological• Shelter• Mobility• Goods• Services• Waste• Biocapacity

Human Development• Health• Knowledge• Employment

Built Environment Sustainability Capability Measurement: Elements of the BEST tool

Assessment criteria

‘Existing’ performance

‘Proposed’ performance

Options evaluation

Congruence and resilience

‘Existing’ and ‘Proposed’ sustainability performance and difference

Pretoria, South Africa

D

A

B

C

A: Rietfontein

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Human Development Capability

Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Recycling schemeEnergy efficiency and renewablesPublic transport / pedestrian upgradeHome business / densification

Existing ProposedECFC Ecological Footprint Capability 2.80 3.73HDIC Human Development Capabilty 2.82 3.49BESC Built Environment Sustainability Capability 2.81 3.61

Built Environment Sustainability Capability

B: Sunnyside

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00


Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Energy efficiency & renewablesUrban greeningPedestrian & NMT upgradesBusiness incubators



C: Attridgeville

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00


Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Building envelope upgrades Non motorised transportSchools with ICTFood gardens



D: Moikloof

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00


Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Energy efficiency and renewablesRecycling schemeHome enterprise schemeLocal mixed market



ConclusionsBuilding development trajectories, a useful concept:

• Demonstrates need to understand existing situation and develop responsive approaches

• If combined with appropriate tool and processes, enables:

• Assessment of capability for sustainability of existing built environments

• Sustainability capability targets to be set• Development, and testing, of options to achieve

targets• Development of local ‘sustainability plans’ which set

out linked actions to efficiently improve local capability for sustainability

Further information: www.sustainablebuiltenvironments.com

Building development trajectories

Environment

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