Asian Monsoon Years (AMY)

Brief Review and ExpectationBrief Review and Expectation

Guoxiong WU

26 January, 2008 Yokohama, Japan

1st AMY Workshop1st AMY Workshop

Asian Monsoon Year 2008 Asian Monsoon Year 2008 (AMY08)(AMY08)

International WorkshopInternational Workshop

April 23rd-25th, 2007April 23rd-25th, 2007

Beijing, ChinaBeijing, China

More than 50 scientists from 13 countries and

regions are attending this workshop.

Session 1: Introduction of relevant programs – 1.5 days;

Session 2: Coordinate the field experiments: observation sites,

periods, variables and the need of Intensified Observation

Periods (IOP);

Session3: Discuss the data sharing, assembling, quality

controlling and assimilation-- 0.5 day;

Session 4: Modelling and prediction –0.5 day;

Session 5: IMY & Set up working groups and Scientific

Steering Committee –0.5 day.

Self introduction

Agenda approval

Following the resolution of the First International Workshop on AMY’08 at Beijing, the Second AMY’08 workshop was held at Bali, Indonesia on September 3-4, 2007.

The major objectives of 2nd workshop are to discuss and finalize the Science plan and Implementation Plan for AMY’08.

2nd AMY Workshop2nd AMY Workshop

http://mahasri.cr.chiba-u.ac.jp/

Jun Matsumoto & Bin Wang

　　　　The 2nd AMY’08 Workshop

at Bali, Indonesia, September 3-4, 2007

Kuta Beach in the morning of September 2, 2007

AMY’08 Science and AMY’08 Science and Implementation PlanImplementation Plan

AMY

Some concluding remarks

Howard Cattle

AMY AMY brings together some 21 regional projects

plus other national and international programme contributions. But what does AMY bring us?

At one level, AMY acts to provide communication between these facilitating interactions between them

Challenge is to meld AMY into a coordinated international programme rather than a loose collection of projects/activites - on way (this meeting)

Science plan - still work to do on observation, modelling and data management issues

How will AMY be delivered - need for focussed Implementation Plan

AMY Science Plan

Science Plan identifies a wide range of science questions; classified according to timescale (diurnal -> decadal) and against a number of science foci:

Science plan objectives which emerge are focused around: Ocean-atmosphere interaction Land-atmosphere interaction Improve skill in seasonal to interannual prediction of the Asian monsoon Development of a hydrometeorological prediction system and database Human interactions with the monsoon

SSC plus Working Groups are against observations, modelling and data management

Doesn’t yet bring a fully coordinated science approach between inputs and objectives

Classification of projects

1. Continental hydroclimatology; land-atmosphere interactions and weather-monsoon interactions

2. Impact of the Tibetan Plateau3. Aerosol/cloud/radiation/water cycle interactions4. Ocean-atmosphere interactions; tropical

cyclones5. Monsoon prediction including climate trends6. Interactions between human and natural

componentsPlus contributions from wider national/international activities

1-3 above part of land surface interactions overall. Hydromet prediction system can be added in (MAHASRI)

Classification of Projects

Hydroclimatology, weather

CEOP, SACOL, PRAISE, SCHeREX, SoWMEX/TiMREX, IITM/rain, CTCZ, STORM, MAHASRI/JEPP

Tibetan Plateau

ITP/TORP JICA/Tibet

Aerosols CEOP, SACOL, IITM/CAIPEX, JAMEX, EAST-AIRE & AMF, SMART-COMMIT, ARCS-ASia

Ocean interactions

AIPO, CTCZ, JEPP/IO, PALAU2008, TCS08

Monsoon prediction

AAMP, APEC, CEOP, …

Human interactions

MAIRS; others link across

Plus other National & International contributions

Implementation Plan strawman

1.Overall aims and objectives of AMY & key deliverables

2.Overall strategy for implementing AMY3.How/do the project activities integrate?4.Cross programme integrated modelling

and observational programmes and data management

5.Links to international activities6.Others…

IP - development Finalize science plan - soon Develop IP asap through e.g:

A. SSC (Sections 1, 2, 5)

B. Working groups (Sections 4) with feed in/interactions with:

C. Email science area groups (Sections 3.4) each led by SSC member against mapping of projects to existing objectives or

Land surface interactions

Hydroclimatology, weather

Tibetan Plateau

Aerosols

Ocean interactions

Monsoon prediction

Hydromet prediction system

Human interactions

Timescale - over next few months?

AMY-08

AMY “year” 08/09Many projects extend beyond thisSome have main phase on later

timescale (e.g CTCZ)What is vision beyond 08/09?Should timeframe be extended? e.g

08-09 spin up period 09/010 main AMY year 010-011 consolidation phase

Logo?

AMY Logo prepared by AMY Office for selection

1 2 3

64 5

Finalize the AMY SP and IP;

Activate Working Group Coordination;

bring coordinated science approach between

inputs and objectives

Schedule the Activities in 2008/2009;

Discuss the Strategic Plan of IMS…

3rd AMY Workshop3rd AMY Workshop

Science Plan for Asian Monsoon Years (2007-2011)--- AMY

(Revised, January 19 2008)

Table of Content

Summary

1. Introduction

1.1 Programmatic development

1.2 Participants

2. Background

2.1 Observational and process studies

2.2 Modeling and prediction

2.3 The monsoon environment and its future change

3. Science foci

3.1 Cross-cutting themes

3.2 Overarching science questions

4. Goals and objectives

4.1 The overarching goals

4.2 Objectives

5. Strategy

5.1 Balanced and integrated approach

5.2 Geographic foci and capacity building

5.3 Utilization of satellite observations

5.4 Organization

5.5 Collaboration and linkages

6. Planned activities

6.1 Observations

6.2 Data management

6.3 Modeling and prediction

7. Expectations