Big data & analytics for banking new york lars hamberg

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Lars Hamberg Predictive Analytics in The Investment Industry BIG DATA & ANALYTICS FOR BANKING SUMMIT December 1 & 2, 2015 | New York

Transcript of Big data & analytics for banking new york lars hamberg

Page 1: Big data & analytics for banking new york   lars hamberg

Lars Hamberg

Predictive Analytics in The Investment Industry  

BIG DATA & ANALYTICS FOR BANKING SUMMIT December 1 & 2, 2015 | New York

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STRATEGIC SCOPEOVERVIEW & OUTLOOK  

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QUESTION:

Has Big Data failed  

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QUESTION 1:

Has Big Data failed …to deliver on its hype?  

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 Big  data  defini'on?  

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 Big  data  defini'on?  “too  large  OR  complex    for  tradi'onal  processing  methods”  

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       general blur ? buzzwords and distinction?  

big  data  analy'cs    or    

advanced  analy'cs  ?  

predic've  analy'cs    

or    big  data  predic've  analy'cs                                

?      

machine  learning  ?      

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   modern companies want to know everything – what about banks?  

structured  data      

advanced  analy'cs    

 staying  ahead  of  the  connected  

clients        

predic've  analy'cs                                

   

machine  learning        

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QUESTION 2:

Why has Big Data failed to deliver on its hype?  

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B I G D A T A – V I S I O N R U N N I N G A H E A D O F R E A L I T Y ?

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BIG DATA HYPE CYCLE

Trigger

Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

Peak of Inflated Expectations

Trough of Disillusion

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BIG DATA HYPE CYCLE

Trigger

Enlightenment

Plateau of Productivity

Peak of Inflated Expectations

Trough of Disillusion

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BIG DATA HYPE CYCLE

WHY ARE WE HERE?

Trough of Disillusion

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BIG DATA HYPE CYCLETHE CHALLENGE OF DEALING WITH THE REALITY OF THE BIG UNSTRUCTURED DATA STACK

Trough of Disillusion

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In the big data stack

Unstructured

80-90%

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2.5+  million  words  in  english    

 

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QUESTION 3:

Will Big Data deliver on its hype?  

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Yes!  

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Why?  

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Confluence of trends  

   

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Confluence of trends  1. Data explosion - 24m doubling rate

   

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Confluence of trends  1. Data explosion - 24m doubling rate

2. Smartphone user behavior – 150x/day

   

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Confluence of trends  1. Data explosion - 24m doubling rate

2. Smartphone user behavior – 150x/day

3. Breakthrough technologies: Machines are learning to ”read and understand” unstructured data on a large scale

   

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Confluence of trends  1. Data explosion - 24m doubling rate

2. Smartphone user behavior – 150x/day

3. Breakthrough technologies: Machines are learning to ”read and understand” unstructured data on a large scale (!)

   

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Confluence of trends  = the necessary conditions for Big Data to deliver - and even ”over-deliver” - on its hype and to transform many industries, including the Investment Industry

   

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Breakthroughs  

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Understanding  the  meaning    of  words…  

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Big  Data  Predic5ve  Analy5cs  in  Produc5on  and  in  Distribu5on  

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Big  Data  Predic5ve  Analy5cs  

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Magic  or  OSINT?  

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     Magic  or  OSINT?  

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Big  Data  Predic5ve  Analy5cs  in  Produc5on  and  in  Distribu5on  

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The mysteries of monetizing vast streams of unstructured language data…

From data… …to dollars?

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MUCH BETTER TEXT ANALYTICS

MUCH BETTER PREDICTIONS

MUCH BETTER SENTIMENTS

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Magic  or  OSINT?  wha5smonitor.com  

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Big  Data  Predic5ve  Analy5cs  in  Produc5on  and  in  Distribu5on  

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I  am  special,  but  not  very  different…    

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Watson  Personality  Profile  (IBM)   Seman'c  Profile  (Gavagai)  

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Use cases from financial industry  Distribution of investment products with massive increases in profitability – Task & Question

Common denominators for success

Common denominators for failure

   

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Use cases from financial industry  Production of investment products – alpha creation with big data predictive analytics – Task & Question

Common denominators for success

Common denominators for failure

   

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QUESTION 4:

Impact of Big Data on your business?  

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Huge (transformative)

Imminent (surprising)

Winners & Losers (during the shift – like in all major shifts)  

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Key take-aways:Big Data has so far failed to deliver on its promise/hype – BUT will over-deliver on its hype: Unsupervised, learning, scalable, systems that understand the Big Data stack of language data, enabling useful sentiment analysis and useful prediction analytics on vast amounts of data

Predictive analytics, profiling, alias matching – use cases show huge potential for disrupting most industries…Expect a transformative shift in competitive landscape across most industries – including banking

Banks – expect margin pressure, use case success stories in analytics & opportunities for incumbents in and outside “non-bank services” – uniquely positioned as distribution partners

Everybody can be a winner in this imminent shift – get involved in advanced data analytics!

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Lars Hamberg

Predictive Analytics in The Investment Industry  

BIG DATA & ANALYTICS FOR BANKING SUMMIT December 1 & 2, 2015 | New York