Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

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CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley Predictors of Child Welfare Contact Between Birth and Age Five: An Examination of California’s 2002 Birth Cohort Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author) Center for Social Services Research University of California at Berkeley The Performance Indicators Project is a collaboration of the California Department of Social Services and the University of California at Berkeley, and is supported by the California Department of Social Services and the Stuart Foundation Presentation designed by Bryn King

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Predictors of Child Welfare Contact Between Birth and Age Five: An Examination of California’s 2002 Birth Cohort. Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author) Center for Social Services Research University of California at Berkeley - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

Page 1: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Predictors of Child Welfare Contact Between Birth and Age Five:

An Examination of California’s 2002 Birth Cohort

Barbara Needell, MSW, PhDEmily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

Center for Social Services Research University of California at Berkeley

The Performance Indicators Project is a collaboration of the California Department of Social Services and the University of California at Berkeley,

and is supported by the California Department of Social Services and the Stuart Foundation

Presentation designed by Bryn King

Page 2: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Using Birth Records (and other Administrative Data Sources) to Examine

Opportunity and Equality• Birth records and other administrative datasets may contain

valuable information—with variables that are associated with substantial differences in outcomes

• Findings based on linkages of administrative data sources may assist in targeting vulnerable populations

• The study presented today is an example of how linked administrative data can inform our work--what other data linkages might be useful?

Page 3: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

California's 2002 Birth Cohort Study

• Utilized population-level birth data to describe those children who may be at greatest risk of maltreatment during the first five years of life

• Constructed a unique dataset by linking California’s administrative child welfare data to statewide vital birth records

• Employed a cohort study design to track contacts with child protective services (CPS) for children born in 2002

• Analyzed twelve variables captured in the birth record to determine predictive capability for later CPS contact

Page 4: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Understanding the Variation Hidden Beneath Summary Data

• Seeing the forest for the trees:– Of the 531,035 children born in California in 2002, 14%

(N=74,182) were found to have been referred for possible maltreatment before age 5.

– There was tremendous variation in rates of CPS contact among a number of birth variables, including: birth weight; level of prenatal care; maternal birth place, age and education; paternity information; Medi-Cal coverage; and race/ethnicity.

Page 5: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Birth Weight

rate per 1,000

187 1370

100

200

300

400

500

low (<2,500 g) normal (>=2,500 g)

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 6: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Prenatal Care

rate per 1,000

489 254 223 1230

100

200

300

400

500

none third trimester second trimester first trimester

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 7: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Maternal Birth Place

rate per 1,000

183 900

100

200

300

400

500

US-born foreign-born

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 8: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Maternal Age at Birth

rate per 1,000

257 190 126 930

100

200

300

400

500

<20 yrs 20-24 yrs 25-29 yrs 30+ yrs

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 9: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Maternal Education

rate per 1,000

201 179 114 340

100

200

300

400

500

<12th grade 12th grade some college college+

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 10: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Paternity Information

rate per 1,000

344 1240

100

200

300

400

500

missing present

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 11: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Medi-Cal Coverage at Birth

rate per 1,000

212 850

100

200

300

400

500

medi-cal other

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 12: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Rate of CPS Involvement:Maternal Race / Ethnicity

rate per 1,000

349 300 143 54 1340

100

200

300

400

500

native am black hispanic asian / pi white

overall rate of 140/1,000

Page 13: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Risk of CPS Contact (and 95% CI) by Race and Medi-Cal Coverage at Birth

Page 14: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Conclusion

• Summary statistics (e.g., 14% of California’s children are reported to CPS before age 5) can mask extraordinary important variation.

• Strong interactions may occur among variables of interest (e.g., race and poverty).

• We must dig below the surface, and be wary of “facts” that hide the information we really need to understand the populations we serve.

• Birth records can be a useful source of information to view events and outcomes from a public health perspective.

Page 15: Barbara Needell, MSW, PhD Emily Putnam-Hornstein, MSW (lead author)

CENTER FOR SOCIAL SERVICES RESEARCH School of Social Welfare, UC Berkeley

Barbara [email protected]

510 290 6334

CSSR.BERKELEY.EDU/UCB_CHILDWELFARE