Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis...

53
Bank of Canada Banque du Canada Working Paper 98-11 / Document de travail 98-11 Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions by Scott Hendry and Guang-Jia Zhang

Transcript of Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis...

Page 1: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

Bank of Canada Banque du Canada

Working Paper 98-11 / Document de travail 98-11

Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions

byScott Hendry and Guang-Jia Zhang

Page 2: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

ISSN 1192-5434ISBN 0-662-27048-7

Printed in Canada on recycled paper

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July 1998

Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions

Scott Hendry

Guang-Jia Zhang

Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis

Bank of CanadaOttawa, Ontario

Canada K1A 0G9

[email protected]@bank-banque-canada.ca

The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors. No

responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank of Canada.

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Acknowledgments

We gratefully acknowledge the comments of Jean-PierreAubry, Kevin Clinton, Pierre Duguay, Walter Engert, John Coleman,Jack Selody, and seminar participants at the Bank of Canada, theUniversity of Guelph, the University of Quebec at Montreal, the 1997Annual Meeting of the Society of Economic Dynamics held in Oxford,England, the 1998 Midwest Macroeconomics Conference in St.Louis, USA, the 1998 CEA meetings in Ottawa, and the 1998 NorthAmerican Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society in Montreal.We thank Rebecca Szeto for her valuable research assistance.

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Abstract

The goal of this paper is to shed light on the nature of themonetary transmission mechanism. Specifically, we attempt totackle two problems in standard limited-participation models: (1)the interest rate liquidity effect is not as persistent as in the data;and (2) some nominal variables are unrealistically volatile. Toaddress these problems, we introduce nominal wage and pricerigidities, as well as portfolio adjustment costs and monopolisticallycompetitive firms, to better understand how each of these costsaffects the size and length of the liquidity effect following a central-bank policy action.

Quantitative analysis shows that including these rigiditiesdoes improve the model, to some extent at least, in the expectedmanner. The main findings are: (1) wage and portfolio adjustmentcosts are able to deepen and lengthen the liquidity effect following amonetary policy action; (2) these two adjustment costs, especiallywage adjustment costs, can reduce inflation volatility; (3) priceadjustment costs, at least under money-growth policy rules, causeexcessive interest-rate volatility and are unable to significantlyreduce inflation volatility.

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Résumé

L’étude cherche à clarifier la nature du mécanisme de trans-mission de la politique monétaire. Les auteurs s’attachent plus pré-cisément à deux problèmes que posent les modèles traditionnels à« participation limitée » : 1) le fait que l’effet de liquidité sur les tauxd’intérêt soit moins persistant dans ces modèles que selon les don-nées; 2) le degré irréaliste de volatilité de certaines variables nomi-nales. Afin de résoudre ces deux problèmes, les auteurs postulentla rigidité des salaires et des prix nominaux, ainsi que l’existence decoûts d’ajustement des portefeuilles et d’un cadre de concurrencemonopolistique; leur objectif est de comprendre comment chacunde ces facteurs influe sur la taille et la durée de l’effet de liquiditéproduit par les mesures de politique monétaire de la banque cen-trale.

L’analyse quantitative montre que l’insertion de rigidités apour effet d’améliorer le modèle de la façon prévue, du moins dansune certaine mesure. Voici les principaux résultats obtenus par lesauteurs : l’incorporation dans le modèle de coûts d’ajustement dessalaires et des portefeuilles permet d’accentuer et de prolongerl’effet de liquidité produit par une mesure de politique monétaire; 2)la prise en compte de ces deux types de coûts, en particulier ceuxse rapportant aux salaires, peut réduire la volatilité de l’inflation; 3)l’addition de coûts d’ajustement des prix, à tout le moins dans lecontexte de règles de politique avec croissance monétaire, entraîneune volatilité excessive des taux d’intérêt et ne parvient pas àatténuer de façon sensible la volatilité de l’inflation.

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Contents

1. Introduction ...................................................................1

2. The model ......................................................................4

2.1 Economic environment ............................................4

2.1.1 Households ......................................................4

2.1.2 The final goods firm .........................................7

2.1.3 The intermediate goods firms ...........................9

2.1.4 Financial intermediary ...................................11

2.1.5 The central bank and government ..................12

2.1.6 Market clearing ..............................................13

2.2 A notion of competitive equilibrium ........................13

3. Calibration ...................................................................14

4. Results .........................................................................16

4.1 Impacts of an expansionary policy shock: impulseresponses .............................................................16

4.2 Higher moments ....................................................19

5. Concluding remarks .....................................................21

Appendix I: Model solution technique ...............................32

Appendix II: Euler equations ............................................32

Appendix III: The stationary representation of the equilibrium....................................................................35

References .......................................................................42

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1. Introduction

Economists are only beginning to reach an understanding ofthe complexities of the monetary transmission mechanism.Achieving a thorough comprehension of the workings of monetarypolicies will require an exploration of the complex structure of thecomplete macroeconomy.1 In this spirit, we use a generalequilibrium model in which money plays an important role in eachof the investment, production and consumption processes.

Economists have generally accepted the idea that money playsa role in the economy due to its asymmetric distribution to economicagents. That is, money is first distributed to financial intermediariesand then to firms before it finally reaches consumers’ hands. This isthe basic idea embedded in a standard limited-participation model.However, there are still some limitations with the basic version ofthis model. First, the liquidity effect is not as persistent as thatobserved in the data. For instance, most empirical estimates findthat the interest rate should fall for several quarters following anexpansionary monetary policy shock, specifically a money-growthshock or a series of unexpected money-level shocks. Second,stochastic simulations of limited-participation models generally findtoo much volatility of inflation and other nominal variables.

As we know, monetary policy shocks are transmitted throughagents’ decision-making processes via dynamic mechanisms, suchas adjustment costs. If markets operated without any frictions,monetary policies would have no (persistent) effect on interest ratesor any real variables. In addition, some economists have conjecturedthat price and wage rigidities may be a primary cause of thepersistent liquidity effect of a monetary shock.2

1. See the Presidential Address made by Michael Parkin at the 1998 CEA meeting.2. As Williamson (1996) observes, ‘‘It is necessary to seriously confront the frictionswhich make monetary and financial factors matter.”Similarly, Aiyagari (1997) points outthat a modelling approach that considers frictions can be expected to have a significantimpact on answers to questions of interest to macroeconomists and policymakers. Finn(1995) also argues that the combination of the assumptions of increasing return to scaleand market frictions can lead to prolonged liquidity effects.

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In this vein, Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (1996) introduce astaggered-price-setting mechanism into a money-in-the-utility-function model (Taylor, 1980). They show that such a model cannotgenerate persistent movements in output following monetary shocksif the model has any of the following features: zero-income effectpreferences (Beaudry and Devereux, 1996); non-constant elasticityof demand for intermediate goods (Kimball, 1995); upward-slopingmarginal cost curve for firms (Rotemberg, 1995); or an input-outputstructure (Basu, 1995).

Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (1996) compare sticky-price models with limited-participation models. They conclude thatany model equipped with only one type of friction cannotsuccessfully account for the basic stylized facts unless unrealisticparameter values are assumed. Aiyagari and Braun (1997) speculatethat a combination of the limited-participation model and a price-adjustment cost will lead to useful insights into businessfluctuations. In this paper, we pursue our research along thisavenue. More precisely, we attempt to determine the relativeimportance of three major frictions -- price, wage and portfolioadjustment costs -- in understanding the monetary transmissionmechanism. Our model is developed from the basic limited-participation model originated by Lucas (1990) and Fuerst (1992).

This paper introduces different types of adjustment costs toinvestigate whether they improve the model’s ability to replicatesome of the major stylized facts of empirical impulse responsefunctions and higher moments. First, portfolio-adjustment costs areintroduced to prolong the interest-rate effects of a monetary policyshock. Second, nominal price and wage adjustment costs are alsoadded to the model to dampen the volatility of the nominal side ofthe economy.3

3. Dow (1995) has looked at the liquidity effects of monetary shocks by consideringfrictions in both commodity and credit markets. Unfortunately, his model does not lead tomore persistent liquidity effects.

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In general, the adjustment costs we introduce do improve themodel, to some extent at least, in the expected manner. Wage andportfolio adjustment costs are able to lengthen and/or deepen theinterest rate liquidity effect following a monetary policy action.

Wage adjustment costs, which can be wage negotiation costsor possibly information accumulation costs, are particularlyeffective in lowering the volatility of inflation and increasing theresponse of output to a monetary policy action. These costs reduceworkers’ power to increase wage rates following a positive moneyshock. With firms borrowing to pay wages, this implies thatintermediaries must further cut interest rates in order to inducefirms to borrow the new funds. Given lower wages but a fixed supplyof funds, firms will increase hours worked and output compared toan economy with no wage adjustment costs.

Portfolio adjustment costs reduce the incentives forhouseholds to change the level of their cash holdings therebylimiting the adjustment of deposits and creating a persistentliquidity effect. The extended deviation of the interest rate fromsteady state induces persistent deviation of inflation and output aswell.

In contrast, price adjustment costs are less effective, havingbasically no effect on inflation and output when wage and portfolioadjustment costs have already been introduced into the model. Priceadjustment costs can be marketing costs, advertising costs, andinformation accumulation costs. In examples with only priceadjustment costs, there were reductions of inflation volatility, butmostly in expected future volatility not the contemporary response.For small price adjustment costs there is a deepening of the interest-rate liquidity effect. However, as the costs are increased, the liquidityeffect is reversed as firms try to avoid the costs by increasing hoursand output and hence loan demand and the interest rate. In general,the firms attempt to reduce the price adjustment costs leads toexcessive interest-rate volatility in the model.

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In sum, this paper finds that real and nominal adjustmentcosts can greatly improve the characteristics of limited-participationmodels, but more work is necessary to properly calibrate thesecosts. Once this is accomplished, this model of the monetarytransmission mechanism should be able to replicate more of thenominal and real characteristics of business cycles.

The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2provides a detailed description of the economic environment and thedynamic general equilibrium problem of money. Section 3 calibratesthe model. The quantitative analysis is presented in Section 4.Finally, Section 5 summarizes the findings in this paper, and pointsto the direction of our future research.

2. The model

2.1 Economic Environment

2.1.1 Households

The preferences for a typical household, i, are given by:

(1)

where 0<β<1 and,

(2)

where Cit, Lsit, and ACQ

it are the period t consumption, labour sup-

ply, and time cost of portfolio adjustment, respectively. We assumethat households must take time to adjust their financial portfoliosbetween periods. As with the standard limited-participation models,households cannot adjust their portfolios within a period. The port-

E0 βtU Cit 1 Lits

– ACitQ

–( , )t 0=

U Cit 1 Lits

– ACitQ

–( , )1φ--- Cit 1 Lit

s– ACit

Q–( )

γ[ ]

φif φ 0≠

Cit γ 1 Lits

– ACitQ

–( ) if φ 0=ln+ln

=

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folio adjustment cost is assumed to be a convex function of the fol-lowing form:

(3)

In deterministic steady state, the adjustment cost will be zero since

all nominal variables will grow at the money growth rate, 1+x.4 Asthe growth rate of cash holdings deviates from its steady state level,the adjustment cost increases quadratically.

We assume that money is introduced in the economy by amodified cash-in-advance (CIA) constraint. That is, householdsmake their consumption and investment purchases out of the sumof the nominal cash balance transferred from the last period and thelabour income earned in the current period. This constraint isdescribed in (4). The periodic budget constraint given by (5), whichsays that cash and deposits carried forward to period t is the sum ofinterest payments, dividends, capital income, and unspent cashfrom the goods market.5

(4)

(5)

where Iit is period t investment; Qit is the amount of cash that

household i has at the beginning of period t; Nit is the household’s

level of demand deposits for period t determined in period t-1;6 Dit

and Fit are the dividends received from the firm and the financial

4. This function form is similar to that in Christiano and Eichenbaum (1992). Obviously,there are no adjustment costs in steady state. This applies to all the adjustment costsdiscussed in the model.5. Our model treats money primarily as a medium of exchange, even though otherfactors, such as variation in velocity, might have important roles in the monetarytransmission mechanism. In addition, a binding CIA constraint is not imposed in thismodel.6. The sum of cash and deposit holdings is equal to the money supply so that∑(Qit+Nit)=Mt.

ACitQ ϕq

2-----

Qit 1+

Qit-------------- 1 x+( )–

2=

PtCit PtIit P+ tACitW Qit WitLit+≤+

Qit 1+ Nit 1++ RtdNit Dit Fit RktKit

Qit WitLit PtCit– PtIit PtACitW

––+[ ]+ + + +=

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intermediaries, respectively, at the end of period t; and ACWit is the

wage adjustment cost. The rental price of capital is given by Rkt so

that households earn RktKt from their capital stock in period t.

Given a relative stable Canadian labour market, the employ-ers do not often change their workers’ wage rates. On the otherhand, most workers do not frequently negotiate with their employ-ers in order to avoid paying the costs involved in the negotiationprocess. We assume that a worker has to bear a real cost to proposeand realize a change in their nominal wages; we can think of this asa negotiating cost. Even though the magnitude of the cost can besmall, the impact of the cost on aggregate labour supply might besignificant. This wage adjustment cost is very different from thenominal wage rigidities reflected in the long-term contracts betweenworkers and firms. In this model, the wage can be changed at anytime but only after a cost is paid.

During period t, households take as given from period t-1 theircapital stock holdings (Kit) and their distribution of money holdingsbetween deposits (Nit) and cash (Qit). Assume that households mustchoose their period t+1 split of financial assets between cash (Qit+1)and deposits (Nit+1) before the end of period t. This is the standardassumption of the limited-participation models.

The law of motion for the physical capital stock is given inequation (6).7

(6)

7. We can easily introduce capital-adjustment costs in this model by assuming thefollowing form,

Unlike in some other limited-participation models, these costs are found to be

unnecessary for generating liquidity effects or reducing the volatility of investment.

ACjtk I jt

ϕk

2-----

Kjt 1+

Kjt--------------- µ( )exp–

2

=

Kit 1+ 1 δ–( )Kit Iit+=

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Wage adjustment costs are assumed to have the followingfunctional form:

(7)

The adjustment costs are comprised of a symmetric compo-nent (when ϕw2>0) and an asymmetric component when ϕw1≠0. If

ϕw1<0 then adjustment costs will be higher for wage decreases than

wage increases. Since households have monopoly power over theirdifferentiated labour, they recognize that their wage rate, Wit, is a

function of their labour supply as shown in (11) and account forthis when maximizing their utility. Consequently, the wage adjust-ment cost function can be written as a function of Lit by combining

(7) and (11).

A household’s decision problem, shown in the Appendix II, isto maximize utility given by (1) and (2) by selecting decision variablesQit+1, Nit+1, Cit, Kit+1, and Ls

it subject to the constraints in (11) and(3) to (7).

2.1.2 The Final Goods Firm

The final goods producer in this economy is simply anaggregator which buys inputs from the intermediate goodsproducers and combines them into the final good. Also, theaggregator hires labour from the differentiated households togenerate a composite labour commodity which is used byintermediate goods firms in their production process. The final goodcan either be consumed or invested. The production technology forthe final good is summarized by the following constant return to scale

function

ACitw Wt

Pt-------- 1– φw1

WitWit 1–------------------- 1 x+( )–

ϕw1

WitWit 1–------------------- 1 x+( )–

–ϕw2

2-----------

WitWit 1–------------------- 1 x+( )–

2

+

exp+

=

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(8)

where Yt is the output of the final good, Yjt is the amount of input

acquired from intermediate producer j, and J is the number of inter-mediate firms. The parameter θy is the elasticity of substitution

between any two different intermediate goods.

The final goods producer’s profit maximization problem isgiven as

(9)

From its first order condition for Yjt, we can easily derive the follow-

ing simple relation between the price, Pt, for the final good and the

price, Pjt, charged by the producer of the intermediate good j.

(10)

Following the same logic, we can assume this final goodproducer also buys heterogeneous labour, Lit, from household i andsells a composite labour input to the intermediate goods producers.8

Therefore, the relationship between the competitive wage rate, Wt,faced by the firms and the individual wage rate, Wit, set byhousehold i is given by9

8. The composite labour is produced by the aggregator with constant return to scaletechnology,

9. For simplicity, we assume there is a unit mass of both households and firms.

Yt J

11 θy–--------------

Yjt

θy 1–( )θy

-------------------

j 1=

J

θy

θy 1–( )-------------------

=

Max Πt PtYt PjtYjtj 1=

J

∑–=

Pjt PtJYjt

Yt----------

1θy-----–

=

Lt J

11 θl–-------------

l jt

θl 1–( )θl

------------------

j 1=

J

θl

θl 1–( )------------------

=

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(11)

where θL is the elasticity of substitution between any two types of

labour.

2.1.3 The Intermediate Goods Firms

Each intermediate good producer j (j=1,2,...,J) hires theaggregate labour commodity available from the aggregator, Ld

jt, in aperfectly competitive market at wage rate Wt. The firm also rentscapital goods (Kjt) from the households, in a competitive market, ata rental price of Rkt. The firm must borrow cash from the financialintermediary each period, at interest rate Rt, in order to have thefunds to hire labour and begin production. The total amount ofborrowing in period t is the sum of the firm’s nominal wage bills,WtLjt. The capital rental cost is assumed to be financed throughinternally generated revenue. Capital and labour inputs arecombined in an increasing returns to scale production function toproduce a differentiated product, Yjt.

The firm sells its output in a monopolistically competitivemarket in which it has the power to set its own price, Pjt. However,it is costly for a firm to change the price of its product. Thismotivates us to assume that the intermediate firms face the priceadjustment costs. This assumption might help to a certain extentgenerate the persistent effects of a policy shock.

Let ACpjt represent a price adjustment cost which the firm

must pay whenever it changes its price level at a rate different fromthe steady state growth rate. These are real costs measured in termsof the final good purchased by the firm and used up in the processof changing prices. These can be thought of as menu, advertising, ormarketing costs for the setting of new prices. Firm j’s objective is tomaximize the present value of its lifetime stream of dividendpayments to its shareholders, Djt. These dividends are discounted by

Wit WtILit

s

Lts

---------

1θL-----–

=

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a factor, β, as well as by a term representing the marginal utilityvalue of the dividends, λ2t, for the households, which own the firms.

(12)

where

. (13)

The price-adjustment cost function is described in equation (14)

and has the same basic form as the other adjustment costs.10

(14)

The production technology exhibits increasing return to scalewith labour-augmented technological progress, that is,

(15)

where 0<a<1, Φ≥1. The variable zt represents labour-augmenting

technological progress

. (16)

The parameter η is the steady state growth rate of the technologylevel in the economy and the technology shock, θt, is assumed to

follow the random process,

. (17)

This is a simple AR(1) process for which 0<ρθ<1 and εθt is i.i.d. with

zero mean and standard deviation σθ.

10. Asymmetric price adjustment cost results have not been reported since the symmetriccosts have only a small effect in the final model.

max E0 βt λ2t Djt Ω1t⋅ ⋅t 0=

Djt Pjt Yjt Rt W⋅ t Ljtd⋅ Rkt– Kjt⋅– Pt ACjt

p⋅–⋅=

ACjtp Yt

ϕp

2------

Pjt

Pjt 1–------------- 1 x+

µ( )exp------------------–

2

⋅=

Yjt F Kjt Ljtd,( ) Kjt

α ztLjtd( )

1 α–( )

Φ= =

zt ηt θt+( )exp=

θt 1 ρθ–( )θ ρθθt 1– εθt+ +=

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Firm j’s dividend-maximization problem can be characterizedby a set of marginal conditions for labour and capital as given inAppendix I.

2.1.4 Financial Intermediary

At the beginning of period t, the financial intermediary hasdemand deposits of Nt that it received from the households in theprevious period. The financial intermediary uses these funds, alongwith any transfer from the government, Tb

t, to make loans to theintermediate firms, Bf

t.

(18)

At the end of each period, the financial intermediary paysback the household deposits, with interest, using the debtrepayments collected from firms.11 The objective of the financialintermediary is to choose the optimal amount of loans made to firmsand the optimal level of demand deposits to maximize the expectedpresent value of its dividend:

(19)

where the dividend is given by,

(20)

Financial intermediation is assumed to be a costless activity.With no barriers to entry, competitive forces will ensure that theequilibrium interest rate on loans equals the rate paid on deposits,that is Rl

t=Rdt=Rt. Consequently, in equilibrium, the financial

intermediary will pay Ft=(1+Rt)Tb

t in dividends to the households.

11. We assume that there is no risk of default in this model.

Btf Nt Tt

b+=

max E0 βtλ2tFtt 0=

Ft 1 Rtl

+( )Btf

1 Rtd

+( )Nt–=

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2.1.5 The Central Bank and Government

Since the focus of this paper is on monetary policy, we assumethat the government neither collects taxes nor issues debt.12

However, the government makes transfer, Tbt, to the financial

intermediaries through the central bank. Specifically,

. (21)

In this case, new money is distributed directly by the central bank

to only financial institutions.13 This restriction on how money isdistributed is the main cause of why money is non-neutral in theshort run in this model. Again, money is not a source of revenue forthe government; what matters in the model is the level of liquiditywhich has a real impact on economic activity.

Assume that the central bank follows a money growth raterule as described in equation (22)

(22)

where xt is the money growth rate, Xt/Mt.

An exogenous positive monetary shock, εxt>0, increases thefunds available to the financial intermediary in period t.Consequently, the financial intermediary responds by lending moreto firms for the employment of labour. To ensure that firms willborrow these excess fund, the banks lower the equilibrium interestrate thereby creating the liquidity effect.

12. We can easily incorporate the fiscal side of the government into the current setup andconduct the relevant policy analysis.13. In Canada, monetary expansions and contractions are carried out by the centralbank’s cash management: drawdowns and redeposits of federal government deposits withdirect clearers.

Xt Ttb

=

xt 1 ρx–( )x ρxxt 1– εxt+ +=

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2.1.6 Market Clearing

Assuming a unit mass of households and firms, the followingequations describe the market-clearing conditions which must holdfor an equilibrium to exist:

(1) Goods:

(23)

(2) Loans:

(24)

(3) Money:

(25)

(4) Labour:

(26)

2.2 A Notion of Competitive Equilibrium

A stationary competitive equilibrium is defined to be asequence of allocations Cit, Ls

it, Nit+1, Qit+1, Iit for households, Kjt,Ld

it for firms, a set of prices Pit, Pt; Wjt, Wt; Rt; rkt, and a centralbank reaction function xt such that, given the equilibrium pricesand other parties’ actions,

(1) households choose Cit, Lsit, Nit+1, Qit+1, Iit, Wit to maximize

(1) subject to constraints (2) to (7) and (11);

(2) firms choose Kjt, Ldit, Pjt to maximize (12) subject to

constraints (13) to (17);

(3) financial intermediaries solve the maximization problem in(19);

Ct It ACtw ACt

p+ + + Yt=

WtLt Nt Ttb

+=

Mt 1+ Mt Xt+=

Lts Lt

d=

Page 22: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

14

(4) prices adjust to ensure that market-clearing conditionshold: Pt clears the final-goods market, Wt clears the compositelabour market, Rt clears the loan (or credit) market.

The equilibrium allocations and prices are the solution to thesystem of 12 equations in the 12 unknowns Cit, Ls

it, Nit+1, Qit+1,Kjt+1, Ld

it, Pit, Pt, Wjt, Wt, Rt, λ1t, λ2t. The equations are given by (4),(11), (12), (24), (25), (A1)-(A5), (A11), and (A12). Equation (28) can beused if the cash-in-advance constraint proves to be non-binding:14

(27)

3. Calibration

The balanced growth path of the model is calibrated toquarterly Canadian data for the 1955 to 1996 period. The meanannual growth rate of per capita output during this period was1.83%, so we set µ=0.004563 (1.83% = (exp(µ)-1)*4). The discountfactor β was assumed to be 0.993, so the annual real rate of returnon investment is about 2.8%. The annualized depreciation rate, δ,was set at 10% to approximately match the capital-output ratioobserved in the Canadian data.

The parameters θy and θl represent the market power that afirm and a household have to adjust their price and wage,respectively. Smaller θ values represent stronger market power. Aconstant-return-to-scale (CRS) economy would set these θ values toinfinity so that firms and households would be price and wagetakers. However, with an increasing-return-to-scale (IRS) economywe choose values closer to those used in Kim (1996) and set θy=5.0and θl=10.0.15 The increasing return to scale parameter, Φ, is set ata moderate value of only 1.25. Finn (1995) has suggested that Φ

14. According to the precautionary-saving argument, in a volatile market economy,households always want to hold a certain amount of cash in their saving and/or chequingaccounts from time to time to accommodate the unexpected needs. That is why the cash-in-advance constraint is not necessarily binding.

λ1t Qit WitLit PtCit– PtIit– PtACitw

–+( ) 0=

Page 23: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

15

should not be too large because the volatility of real variables isdecreasing in the degree of IRS. The value of α=0.3369 is chosen suchthat the steady state labour share of income is 0.65, which is foundin the data.

The preference parameters γ=3.8068 and φ=−0.4213 arecalibrated such that the steady state employment and consumption-output ratio are equal to 0.171 and 0.745, respectively, as observedin the Canadian data.16

As described in equation (17), the technology shock isassumed to follow an AR(1) process. The autocorrelation parameter,ρθ, is set to be 0.95 based on the assumption that the technologyshock is fairly persistent. The standard deviation of the technologyshock is set so that the standard deviation of output from the modelis close to that from the data (0.0166)

The monetary policy parameters describing the money growthrate process from equation (22) are calibrated to match the quarterlymean growth rate and autocorrelation coefficient of the Canadianmoney base. This implies x=0.011 and ρx=0.18. The standarddeviation of the monetary policy shock is set such that the varianceof money growth rate from the model is close to that from the data(0.0096).

For the adjustment-cost parameters, we use φp=1, φw1=0,φw2=10, and φq=1 during our computation but these coefficients donot affect the steady state. Future work will need to devote moreattention to the calibration of these costs.

15. To verify calibration which is used for remainder of the paper, we used the GeneralizedMethod of Moments to estimate all of the parameters in the model. These estimatesobtained are close to those we calibrate.

16. The consumption-output ratio may seem high since government and privateconsumption have been lumped together for simplicity. Future work will reintroducegovernment spending as a separate entity.

Page 24: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

16

4. Results

4.1 Impacts of an expansionary policy shock: impulse respons-es

This section analyses the model through a discussion of themodel’s impulse responses to a one period monetary policy action.17

The innovation, εxt, in equation (22) is set to 0.01, representing a 4per cent annualized money growth rate shock, in period 5. Theimpulse response functions for the interest rate, inflation rate, andoutput are plotted in each of Figures 1 to 5 for different adjustmentcost assumptions. Figure 1 shows the combined impact of price,wage, and portfolio adjustment costs while Figures 2 to 4 show theimpact of these costs individually. The experiments consider price-adjustment costs of φp=1, wage costs of φw1=0, φw2=10, and portfoliocosts of φq=1.

Figure 1 illustrates that the base case model with noadjustment costs does generate a liquidity effect after an increase inthe money growth rate. However, the deviation of the interest rateand output from steady state lasts for only one period. The inflationrate is only slightly more persistent since it is above steady state fortwo periods. The addition of adjustment costs makes the deviationof each variable from steady state more persistent and alsomagnifies the initial responses of output and the interest rate.

With adjustment costs, the interest rate is at least onepercentage point below steady state for about three quarters. Theresponse of inflation is initially negligible but increases insubsequent periods. This result does not appear in an equilibriummodel with only price rigidities, such as the model by Chari, Kehoe,and McGrattan (1996). It is obvious that the three costs help toreduce the upward pressure on inflation. Finally, a lower interestrate leads to a jump in output production. To understand how each

17. Fung and Kasumovich (1998) provides the empirical evidence on the liquidity effectsof money supply shocks in Canada.

Page 25: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

17

adjustment cost works in the system, we need to examineindividually its effects on the key macroeconomic variables.

Figure 2 shows the effect of adding price adjustment costswhen wage and portfolio costs are already present. The magnitudeof the interest-rate liquidity effect is increased by about onepercentage point. In addition, there is only a very marginaldampening effect of the inflation response. The output response isalso only marginally affected. This leads us to speculate that theprice adjustment cost is not the crucial factor in generatingpersistent output fluctuations at least in this version of a monetarytransmission mechanism model. To verify this, consider another setof experiments.

Figure 5 shows the effects of adding price adjustment costswhen there are already wage costs but no portfolio adjustment costs.In this case, the price adjustment costs do have a minor impact onthe inflation rate, output, and the interest rate. The interest rateliquidity effect is, once again, magnified by the adjustment costs butthere is no change in the persistence of the liquidity effect. As well,including price adjustment costs has only a modest effect on theresponse of inflation, reducing it by about half a percentage point inthe period after the shock. It seems that price adjustment costs arenot a very effective way to reduce the volatility of inflation whenportfolio adjustment costs have already been introduced into themodel.18 From Figures 2 and 5, we learn that a model built with asimple price adjustment cost does not help to generate persistenceof the liquidity effect. Our finding is consistent with the findings inChari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (1996).

Figure 3 plots the impulse responses with and without wage-adjustment costs. An expansionary policy shock increasesequilibrium employment and wages. Because this cost is paid byhouseholds, slower wage adjustment implies there will be an

18. If all portfolio costs and restrictions are removed from the model so that householdsare free to adjust in response to a shock, then the price adjustment costs are effective atlowering the volatility of inflation. However, they still introduce relatively more volatilityinto the interest rate than is removed from the inflation rate.

Page 26: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

18

increase in labour supply. Given that labour demand is relativelyinelastic for the calibration used, the total wage bill will bedecreasing in wage adjustment costs thereby requiring a larger dropin interest rates in order to maintain loan market equilibrium.Consequently, the output response is almost doubled over the entireperiod. That is why the wage adjustment cost is able to dampen theoverall response of inflation. This cost is also largely responsible forpostponing the peak inflation response from the first to the secondperiod.

The effect of portfolio adjustment costs is shown in Figure 4.These costs reduce a household’s time available for work. With asteep labour demand curve, there is an initial increase in the totalwage bill, following a monetary injection, compared to the base casewithout portfolio adjustment costs. This implies an increase in thedemand for loans at the initial lending rate. Because the supply ofloans is fixed, the market will adjust the lending rate to a higher levelto reach a new equilibrium. That is why the initial size of the liquidityeffect is smaller with portfolio adjustment costs. However, in thepresence of this cost, the liquidity effect becomes much morepersistent, which is consistent with empirical studies on Canadiandata. With the interest rate persistently below steady state, theeconomy is able to maintain output more significantly above steadystate for a longer period as shown in Figure 4. These portfolioadjustment costs also dampen the initial response of inflation to amonetary policy action.

The formula in equation (7) for wage adjustment costs permitsus to examine a model with asymmetric costs when φw1≠0. Assumingφw1<0 yields a model with downward wage rigidity but only minimalcosts if households wish to raise their wages. Figures 6 and 7 plotthe impulse responses for a 1 per cent expansionary andcontractionary shock, respectively, for both the symmetric andasymmetric wage cost cases. The impulse responses for anexpansionary monetary policy action show that there are only minorcosts imposed on the economy. The asymmetric case is closer to theno-wage-cost example although the cost does have some effect by

Page 27: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

19

reducing nominal volatility and increasing the output responseslightly. In contrast, Figure 7 presents the effects of a contractionarypolicy action on the key macroeconomic variables. The asymmetriccost results are now almost the same as the symmetric cost results(by construction) with much less nominal response of inflation andwages than in the no-cost case. The deviation of output in responseto the shock has almost doubled relative to the base case. In sum,these two graphs illustrate that the model is capable of replicatingthe real world observation of downward wage rigidity. The modeleconomy would thus experience, on average, deeper recessions thanbooms.

4.2 Higher Moments

This section analyses the higher moments of a number ofdifferent versions of the model to illustrate some of the relativecontributions of each of the adjustment costs. Table 1 contains somesummary statistics for Canada from 1955 to 1996 for the primaryreal and nominal variables.

A 42-year sample was replicated 50 times assuming σθ=0.01and σx=0.0096. The model’s trend was reintroduced into thesimulated data before it was logged and HP detrended. The summarystatistics for certain variables of interest are given in Table 2. Thefirst set of columns in Table 2 shows the results of the model whenthere are no adjustment costs included. The next two columns addprice adjustment costs, followed by wage adjustment costs, andfinally, in the last column, portfolio adjustment costs are added.

On the real side, comparing Tables1 and 2 shows that thestandard deviations of output and consumption are quite close tothat found in the Canadian data although the simulated investmentseries are not as volatile as they should be.19 The data on hoursworked is also not quite volatile enough although the addition of

19. Capital adjustment costs were not added in any of the higher moment exercisesbecause investment never became volatile enough to warrant these costs. A preliminaryexamination of policy rules which smoothed interest rates revealed much more volatileinvestment data which may justify the reintroduction of capital adjustment costs.

Page 28: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

20

wage and portfolio adjustment costs helps to substantially increasethe standard deviation of this variable.

Investment and consumption were correlated much moreclosely with output than observed in the Canadian data. This isbecause investment and consumption are closely tied to themovement in output as described by the goods-market clearingcondition, (25). The number of hours worked was correlated withoutput to the same degree as in the data. In general, our model, likethe other dynamic general equilibrium models, can mimic well thecyclical behavior of the real economy.

On the nominal side, all nominal variables are more volatilecompared with their counterparts in the data. This is causedpartially by the monopolistic-competition structure, where workersand intermediate producers are not price takers. All threeadjustment costs reduce the volatility of inflation but not by enoughto replicate the variance observed in the Canadian data. The priceadjustment costs greatly increase the volatility of the nominalinterest rate. This implies that the real interest rate also becomesmore volatile given that price adjustment costs reduce the inflationvolatility. That is why the real variables also fluctuate more with theaddition of price adjustment costs, as shown in the second columnof Table 2. The last two columns of the table present the effect of thewage and portfolio adjustment costs. It is clear that the wage andportfolio adjustment costs offset some of the volatility of the interestrate, but not enough to allow the price adjustment costs to beincreased until the model’s inflation volatility matched the Canadiandata.

All versions of the model exhibit negative correlations of theinterest rate, price level, and inflation rate with output while theactual data has a negative correlation between only output and theprice level. This is determined by the basic feature of a limited-participation model, that is, the strong negative correlation betweeninterest rate and output. The inclusion of the adjustment costsstrengthens this negative relation, as we can see in Table 2. As well,

Page 29: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

21

the wage adjustment costs are most useful for trying to reverse thenegative correlations of the inflation rate and interest rate withoutput.20 This finding indicates that wage adjustment costs play amore important role than portfolio and price adjustment costs inreplicating the stylized facts.

The basic version of the model also has a negativelyautocorrelated interest rate, contrary to the Canadian data, whichthe portfolio adjustment cost is capable of reversing. However, theactual interest rate was still much more persistent than could begenerated by the model. The inflation rate in the model was alsonegatively autocorrelated until portfolio adjustment costs wereadded, but, again, none of the costs could really create the desireddegree of inflation persistence. Our findings imply that the marketadjustment costs can help generate the persistence in outputfluctuation, but cannot successfully replicate the variation of thenominal side of the Canadian economy.

5. Concluding remarks

This paper examines how different types of market frictionscan affect the transmission of monetary policy. It is shown thatdifferent types of real and nominal side adjustment costs can beused to improve the impulse response functions and higher momentcharacteristics of limited-participation models.

Perhaps surprisingly, a sticky price assumption is not crucialfor the model to produce a persistent liquidity effect. In addition, theprice adjustment cost could not effectively reduce inflation volatilitywithout introducing excessive interest rate volatility. In contrast,wage and portfolio adjustment costs are relatively more effective

20. In a version of the model in which firms owned capital instead of households, theinclusion of the wage adjustment cost generates results with a positive correlationbetween inflation and output and a negative correlation between the price level andoutput, as in the data.

Page 30: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

22

than the price rigidity in reducing the nominal volatility in theeconomy.

Future research will extend the current model by consideringvarious specifications of the monetary policy reaction function,including money growth rules, interest rate rules, as well as inflationor price level targeting. In particular, the policy rules would beranked to determine whether an inflation-targeting rule dominatesthe others according to a central banks objective function. Also itwould be interesting to completely endogenize the money growthrule and determine the globally optimal policy reaction functionwhen faced with a particular set of shocks.

Another related extension would be to incorporate a morefinely articulated banking sector, which would inform ourunderstanding of the role of financial intermediation, and theinteraction of money and credit, in the transmission of monetarypolicy.

Page 31: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

23

Table 1: Cyclical Behaviour of the Canadian Economy: 1955:01 to1996:04

Variables

StandardDeviation

(%)Correlation with

real GDP Autocorrelation

Real:a

a. All the real variables and the price level are logged and then HP detrended.Money growth, the interest rate and the inflation rate are HP detrended. Thereal variables are in per capita terms. The data on hours worked spans the1976 to 1996 period only. We also apply this same procedure to the time seriesgenerated from the model.

GDP 1.66 1.00 0.82

Consumption 0.75 0.61 0.60

Investment 5.38 0.88 0.77

Hours 1.85 0.85 0.93

Nominal:

Money base growth rate 0.96 0.07 0.18

Interest rate 0.38 0.32 0.75

Price 1.40 -0.45 0.94

Inflation 1.93 0.29 0.42

Page 32: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

24

a.

All

the

realv

ari

able

san

dth

epri

cele

vela

relo

gged

an

dth

enH

Pdet

ren

ded

.M

oney

grow

th,th

ein

tere

stra

te,an

dth

ein

flati

onra

te

are

HP d

etre

nded

. Th

e re

al va

riable

s are

in

per

capit

a t

erm

s.

Tab

le 2

: C

ycl

ical

Beh

avio

r of

the

Sim

ula

ted M

on

etar

y E

conom

ies

Va

ria

ble

s

No

adju

stm

ent

cost

(50

Rep

lica

tion

s)

Add p

rice

adju

stm

ent

cost

s(φ

p=1;φ

w2=

0;φ

q=0)

Add w

age

adju

stm

ent

cost

s(φ

p=1;φ

w2=

10;φ

q=0)

Add p

ortf

olio

adju

stm

ent

cost

s(φ

p=1;φ

w2=

10;φ

q=1)

S.D

.(%

)

Cor

r.w

ith

YA

uto

corr

.S

.D.

(%)

Cor

r/Y

Au

toco

rr.

S.D

.(%

)

Cor

r.w

ith

YA

uto

corr

.S

.D.

(%)

Cor

r.w

ith

YA

uto

corr

.

Rea

l:

Ou

tpu

t1.7

11.0

0.5

41.7

31.0

0.5

81.6

31.0

0.6

11.7

71.0

0.6

9

Con

sum

pti

on0.7

50.9

70.6

30.7

60.9

70.6

50.7

20.9

70.6

80.8

20.9

80.7

0

Inve

stm

ent

4.6

00.9

90.5

04.6

90.9

90.5

54.4

20.9

90.5

94.6

30.9

90.6

9

Hou

rs1.0

30.8

80.2

01.0

50.8

80.3

61.2

80.7

80.4

51.5

10.8

20.6

4

Nom

inal:

Mon

ey g

row

th r

ate

0.9

60.3

30.1

80.9

60.3

30.1

80.9

60.5

20.1

80.9

60.4

60.1

8

Inte

rest

rate

0.5

1-0

.23

-0.0

71.3

0-0

.46

-0.1

61.1

5-0

.45

-0.1

50.9

9-0

.61

0.2

0

Pri

ce2.0

7-0

.72

0.7

12.0

3-0

.71

0.7

21.6

2-0

.60

0.7

71.5

5-0

.63

0.7

9

Inflati

on6.1

6-0

.30

-0.0

75.9

2-0

.27

-0.0

54.2

2-0

.12

-0.0

02

3.8

6-0

.11

0.0

2

Page 33: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

25

Figure 1: Positive Monetary Action: With and Without AdjustmentCosts

0

1

2

3

4

5

Mo

ne

y G

row

th (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

No

min

al I

nte

rest

Ra

te (

%)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Infla

tion

(%

)

-0.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Ou

tpu

t (%

)

Solid: φp=0, φw1=0, φw2=0, φq=0

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

With all adjustment costs

Without any adjustment costs

Page 34: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

26

0

1

2

3

4

5

xt:

%p

t.D

ev

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

(Rt-

1)*

40

0:%

pt.

De

v

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

pit*4

00

:%p

t.D

ev

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

yt:

%p

t.D

ev

Figure 2: Effect of Price Adjustment Cost

0

1

2

3

4

5M

on

ey G

row

th (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

No

min

al In

tere

st

Ra

te (

%)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Infla

tio

n (

%)

-0.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Ou

tpu

t (%

)Solid: φp=0, φw1=0, φw2=10, φq=1

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

Without price adjustmentcosts but with other costs

With price adjustment costsand other costs

Page 35: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

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Figure 3: Effect of Wage Adjustment Cost

0

1

2

3

4

5M

on

ey G

row

th (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

No

min

al In

tere

st R

ate

(%

)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Infla

tio

n (

%)

-0.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Ou

tpu

t (%

)

Solid: φp=1, φw1=0, φw2=0, φq=1

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

Without wage adjustmentcosts but with other costs

With wage adjustmentand other costs

Page 36: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

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Figure 4: Effect of Portfolio Adjustment Cost

0

1

2

3

4

5M

on

ey G

row

th (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

No

min

al In

tere

st R

ate

(%

)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Infla

tio

n (

%)

-0.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Ou

tpu

t (%

)Solid: φp=1, φw1=0, φw2=10, φq=0

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

Without portfolio adjustment

costs but with other costs

With portfolio adjustment

and other costs

Page 37: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

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Figure 5: Effect of Price Adjustment Costs (No Portfolio Costs)

0

1

2

3

4

5M

on

ey G

row

th (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

No

min

al In

tere

st

Ra

te (

%)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Infla

tio

n (

%)

-0.20.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Ou

tpu

t (%

)Solid: φp=0, φw1=0, φw2=10, φq=0

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=0

With only symmetric wage

adjustment costs

With price and symmetricwage adjustment costs

Page 38: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

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Figure 6: Effect of Asymmetric Wage Adjustment Costs (Positive)

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5N

omin

al In

tere

st R

ate

(%pt

)

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Infla

tion

(%)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Out

put (

%)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Wag

e gr

owth

(%

)

Solid: φp=1, φw1=0, φw2=0, φq=1

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

Dotted: φp=1, φw1=-500 φw2=.01, φq=1

Without wage adjustment

With symmetric wage adjustmentcosts and other costs

With asymmetric wageadjustment and other costs

costs but with other costs

Page 39: Bank of Canada Banque du Canada · Guang-Jia Zhang Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis Bank of Canada Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1A 0G9 shendry@bank-banque-canada.ca gzhang@bank-banque-canada.ca

31

Figure 7: Effect of Asymmetric Wage Adjustment Costs (Negative)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0N

omin

al In

tere

st R

ate

(%pt

)

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

Infla

tion

(%)

-1.2

-1.0

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

Out

put (

%)

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

Wag

e gr

owth

(%

)Solid: φp=1, φw1=0, φw2=0, φq=1

Dashed: φp=1, φw1=0 φw2=10, φq=1

Dotted: φp=1, φw1=-500 φw2=.01, φq=1

,

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32

Appendix: Model Details

Appendix I: Model Solution Technique

The model is solved using a technique which “stacks” the firstorder conditions and market clearing conditions, one for eachendogenous variable at each period of a proposed horizon, and thensolves the complete system simultaneously using a Newtonprocedure. A more complete description of this ‘stacked time’methodology and a comparison to similar techniques can be foundin Armstrong et al. (1995). Two of the primary benefits of thistechnique are that it does not involve a linear approximation so thatthe model’s important nonlinearities are not lost, and that itconverges on a solution relatively easily and quickly.

Nonlinear solutions for basic versions of the model were alsogenerated using Coleman’s algorithm (see examples of this inColeman (1991), Gomme and Greenwood (1995) and Andolfatto andGomme (1997)) which finds approximations for the policy rules ofthe economy across a grid of relevant state values. While havingexpressions for the policy rules would make doing impulse responsefunctions and stochastic simulations much easier, it was found thatonly the very basic versions of the model without adjustment costscould be solved in realistic time frames with Coleman’s algorithm.

All of the results shown in Section 4 use the ‘stacked time’technique described above.

Appendix II: Euler Equations

Household i’s decision problem is summarized by thefollowing set of marginal conditions, where λ1t and λ2t represent thelagrangean multipliers associated with the CIA and individualbudget constraint, respectively.

(A1)U1t Pt λ1t λ2t+( )=

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33

(A2)

(A3)

(A4)

(A5)

where

(A6)

(A7)

(A8)

(A9)

λ2t U2t∂ ACit

Q( )∂Qit 1+--------------------+ βEt λ1t 1+ λ2t 1+ U2t 1+–

∂ ACit 1+Q( )

∂Qit 1+---------------------------+=

βEt λ2t 1+ Rt 1+d( ) λ2t=

U2t Pt λ1t λ2t+( )∂ ACit

w( )∂Wit

--------------------∂Wit

∂Lits

------------⋅+

λ1t λ2t+( ) Wit Lit∂Wit

∂Lits

------------+

β

Et Pt 1+ λ1t 1+ λ2t 1++( )∂ ACit 1+

w( )∂Wit

---------------------------∂Wit

∂Lits

------------

=

Pt λ1t λ2t+( )⋅ βEt Pt 1+ λ1t 1+ λ2t 1++( ) 1 δ–( ) Rkt 1+ λ2t 1++[ ]=

∂ ACitQ( )

∂Qit 1+-------------------- 1

Qit------- ϕq

Qit 1+

Qit-------------- 1 x+( )–

⋅=

∂ ACit 1+Q( )

∂Qit 1+---------------------------

Qit 2+

Qit 1+2

--------------– ϕqQit 2+

Qit 1+-------------- 1 x+( )–

⋅=

∂ ACitw( )

∂Wit-------------------- 1

Wit 1–---------------

Wt

Pt------- ϕw1 ϕw1

Wit

Wit 1–--------------- 1 x+( )–

ϕw1 ϕw2

Wit

Wit 1–--------------- 1 x+( )–

⋅+

exp

⋅=

∂ ACit 1+w( )

∂Wit---------------------------

Wit 1+–

Wit2

-------------------Wt 1+

Pt 1+-------------- ϕw1 ϕw1

Wit 1+

Wit---------------- 1 x+( )–

ϕw1 ϕw2

Wit 1+

Wit---------------- 1 x+( )–

⋅+

exp

⋅=

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34

(A10)

Firm j’s dividend maximization problem can be characterizedby the following set of marginal conditions for labour, Ld

jt, andcapital, Kjt.

(A11)

and

(A12)

where

(A13)

(A14)

(A15)

(A16)

∂Wit

∂Lits

------------ 1θL-----–

Wit

Lits

---------⋅=

λ2t PjtFL jt, Yjt∂Pjt

∂Ljtd

----------+

βEt λ2t 1+ Pt 1+

∂ACjt 1+p

∂Ljtd

----------------------–

λ2t RtlWt Pt

∂ ACjtp( )

∂Ljtd

--------------------⋅+

=

λ2tPjtFK jt, βEt λ2t 1+ Pt 1+

∂ ACjt 1+p( )

∂Kjt---------------------------–

λ2t Rkt P+ t

∂ ACjtp( )

∂Kjt-------------------- Yjt

∂Pjt

∂Kjt----------⋅–

=

∂Pjt

∂Ljtd

---------- 1θy-----

Pjt

Yjt-------

∂Yjt

∂Ljtd

----------⋅–=

∂Pjt

∂Kjt---------- 1

θ---y

Pjt

Yjt-------

∂Yjt

∂Kjt----------⋅–=

∂ ACjtp( )

∂Ljtd

--------------------Yt

Pjt 1–-------------

∂Pjt

∂Ljtd

---------- ϕpPjt

Pjt 1–------------- 1 x+

µ( )exp------------------–

⋅=

∂ ACjt 1+p( )

∂Ljtd

--------------------------- YtPjt 1+

Pjt2

--------------∂Pjt

∂Ljtd

---------- ϕpPjt 1+

Pjt-------------- 1 x+

µ( )exp------------------–

⋅ ⋅–=

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35

(A17)

and

(A18)

Appendix III: The Stationary Representation of theEquilibrium

We assume that along the balanced growth path all the realvariables grow at the rate of µ and nominal variables at the rate of x.To solve the model we need to find the stationary representation forthe economy. All stationary variables, except Lt and Rt, along thebalanced growth path are denoted by lower case letters. Notice thatthere is no population growth in the model economy.

Define the stationary marginal utilities as follows for the casein which φ<¹¹0,

(A19)

∂ ACjtp( )

∂Kjt--------------------

Yt

Pjt 1–-------------

∂Pjt

∂Kjt---------- ϕp

Pjt

Pjt 1–------------- 1 x+

µ( )exp------------------–

⋅=

∂ ACjt 1+p( )

∂Kjt--------------------------- Yt

Pjt 1+

Pjt2

--------------∂Pjt

∂Kjt---------- ϕp

Pjt 1+

Pjt-------------- 1 x+

µ( )exp------------------–

⋅ ⋅–=

citCit

µt( )exp--------------------- kjt 1+,

Kjt 1+

µt( )exp--------------------- i jt,

I jt

µt( )exp---------------------= = =

nitNit

Mt--------, qit

Qit

Mt-------, pjt

µt( )PjtexpMt

----------------------------, rktµt( )Rktexp

Mt-----------------------------, wt

Wt

Mt-------=====

u1tU1t

µ φ 1–( )t( )exp-------------------------------------- cit

φ 1–1 Lit

s– acit

q–( )

γ φ⋅≡ ≡

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36

(A20)

Now define the following stationary variables

(A21)

(A22)

(A23)

The stationary representation of the adjustment costs andtheir derivatives is given in the following equations.

(A24)

(A25)

(A26)

(A27)

u2tU2t

µφt( )exp------------------------ γ cit

φ1 Lit

s– acit

q–( )

γ φ 1–⋅≡ ≡

λ2tMt 1+

µφt( )exp------------------------ λ2t⋅=

β* β µφ( )exp=

1 δ*– 1 δ–

µ( )exp------------------=

acitq ACit

Q ϕq

2-----

qit 1+

qit------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

2≡ ≡

acitw ACit

W

µt( )exp---------------------

wt

pt------ 1– ϕw1

wit

wit 1–-------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

ϕw1

wit

wit 1–-------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

–ϕw2

2---------

wit

wit 1–-------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

2+

exp+

≡ ≡

∂ acitq( )

∂qit 1+---------------- Mt

∂ ACitq( )

∂Qit 1+-------------------- 1

qit------ ϕq

qit 1+

qit------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

≡⋅≡

∂ acit 1+q( )

∂qit 1+----------------------- Mt 1+

∂ ACit 1+q( )

∂Qit 1+---------------------------

1 xt 1++( )qit 2+

qit 1+2

---------------------------------------

ϕqqit 2+

qit 1+------------- 1 xt 1++( ) 1 x+( )–

–≡≡

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37

(A28)

(A29)

(A30)

(A31)

The household’s first order conditions, equations (A1)-(A5),can be combined to obtain the following set of equations.

(A32)

(A33)

(A34)

∂ acitw( )

∂wit-----------------

Mt 1–

µt( )exp---------------------

∂ ACitw( )

∂Wit--------------------

wt

ptwit 1–-------------------

ϕw1 ϕw1

wit

wit 1–-------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

ϕw1–

ϕw2

wit

wit 1–-------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

+

exp

≡≡

∂ acit 1+w( )

∂wit-----------------------

Mt

µ t 1+( )( )exp-----------------------------------

∂ ACit 1+w( )

∂Wit--------------------------- 1 xt+( )–

wit 1+

wit2

--------------wt 1+

pt 1+-------------

ϕw1 ϕw1

wit 1+

wit-------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

ϕw1– ϕw2

wit 1+

wit-------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

+exp

⋅≡≡

∂wit

∂Lits

---------- 1Mt-------

∂Wit

∂Lits

------------ 1θl----

wit

Lits

-------⋅–≡⋅≡

i jt k jt 1+ 1 δ*–( )kjt–=

U2t U1t∂ ACit

w( )∂Wit

--------------------∂Wit

∂Lits

------------⋅+U1t

Pt--------- Wit Lit

∂Wit

∂Lits

------------+

β– Et U1t 1+

∂ ACit 1+w( )

∂Wit---------------------------

∂Wit

∂Lits

------------

⋅=

λ2t U– 2t∂ACit

Q

∂Qit 1+------------------ β+ Et

U1t 1+

Pt 1+---------------- U2t 1+–

∂ ACit 1+Q( )

∂Qit 1+---------------------------=

βEt λ2t 1+ Rt 1+d( ) λ2t=

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38

(A35)

The stationary representation of the household’s first orderconditions is given by the following set of three equations.

(A36)

(A37)

(A38)

(A39)

The binding CIA constraint becomes

(A40)

For the firm’s problem, let

(A41)

The stationary representation of the production function is given bythe following:

U1t βEt U1t 1+ 1 δ–( ) Rkt 1+ λ2t 1++[ ]=

u2t u1t 1 xt 1–+( )∂ ACit

w( )∂wit

--------------------∂wit

∂Lits

----------⋅ ⋅+

u1t

pt------- wit Lit

∂wit

∂Lits

----------+

β*– Et u1t 1+

∂ ACit 1+w( )

∂wit---------------------------

∂wit

∂Lits

----------⋅

=

λ2t 1 xt+( )u– 2t

∂acitq

∂qit 1+---------------- β*

+ Etu1t 1+

pt 1+-------------- u2t 1+–

∂ acit 1+q( )

∂qit 1+-----------------------=

β* Etλ2t 1+ Rt 1+

d

1 xt 1++--------------------------- λ2t=

u1t β* Et u1t 1+ 1 δ*–( ) µ–( )rexp kt 1+

λ2t 1+

1 xt 1++---------------------+=

pt cit iit acitw

+ +( )⋅ qit witLit+=

acjtp ACjt

P

µt( )exp--------------------- yt 2µ–( )exp

ϕp

2------

pjt

pjt 1–------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

2≡=

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39

(A42)

where capital grows at rate m and productivity at rate h in steadystate. Along a balanced growth path with all real variables growing

at the same rate, the following restriction must be satisfied.1

(A43)

Under this condition, the stationary representation of output canbe written as

(A44)

The resulting stationary representations for the marginalproductivities of labour and capital are

(A45)

and

. (A46)

The stationary representation of the derivatives of firm pricesare given by

(A47)

(A48)

1. Given , then .

yjtYjt

αµ η 1 α–( )+( )Φt[ ]exp---------------------------------------------------------------≡

Φ 1≥ µ η≥

Φ µαµ η 1 α–( )+-----------------------------------=

yjtYjt

µt( )exp--------------------- α– µΦ( ) kjt

α θt( )Ljtdexp( )

1 α–[ ]

Φexp≡ ≡

f l jt,FL jt,

µt( )exp--------------------- 1 α–( )Φ

yjt

Ljtd

------≡=

f k jt,FK jt,

µ( )exp------------------ α Φ

yjt

k jt------⋅ ⋅≡ ≡

∂pjt

∂Ljtd

---------- µt( )expMt

---------------------∂Pjt

∂Ljtd

----------⋅ 1θy-----

pjt

yjt------ f l jt,⋅ ⋅–≡ ≡

∂pjt

∂kjt--------- 2µt( )exp

Mt µ( )exp--------------------------

∂Pjt

∂Kjt---------- 1

θy-----

pjt

yjt------ f k jt,⋅ ⋅–≡⋅≡

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40

Similarly, we can show the representation for the marginaladjustment costs with the following equations.

(A49)

(A50)

(A51)

(A52)

The firm’s first order conditions from equations (A11) and(A12) can be written as,

∂ acjtp( )

∂Ljtd

----------------- 1µt( )exp

---------------------∂ ACjt

p( )

∂Ljtd

--------------------⋅1 xt 1–+

µ( )exp--------------------

yt

pjt 1–-------------

∂pjt

∂Ljtd

----------

ϕp µ–( )exp⋅( )pjt

pjt 1–------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

⋅ ⋅ ⋅≡=

∂ acjt 1+p( )

∂Ljtd

------------------------ 1µ t 1+( )( )exp

-----------------------------------∂ ACjt 1+

p( )

∂Ljtd

---------------------------⋅1 xt+( )

µ( )exp------------------ yt 1+

pjt 1+

pjt2

-------------∂pjt

∂Ljtd

----------

ϕp µ–( )exppjt 1+

pjt------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

⋅ ⋅ ⋅–= =

∂ acjtp( )

∂kjt----------------- 1

1 xt 1–+( )-------------------------∂ ACjt

p( )∂Kjt 1+--------------------

yt

pjt 1–-------------

∂pjt

∂kjt---------

ϕp1 µ–( )exp ϕp1

pjt

pjt 1–------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

ϕp1– ϕp2 µ–( )exppjt

pjt 1–------------- 1 xt 1–+( ) 1 x+( )–

+

exp

⋅ ⋅≡≡

∂ acjt 1+p( )

∂kjt------------------------ 1

1 xt+( ) µ( )exp--------------------------------------

∂ ACjt 1+p( )

∂Kjt--------------------------- yt

pjt 1+

pjt2

-------------∂pjt

∂kjt---------

ϕp µ–( )exppjt 1+

pjt------------- 1 xt+( ) 1 x+( )–

⋅ ⋅ ⋅–≡⋅≡

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41

(A53)

(A54)

(A55)

The stationary presentation of the market clearing conditionsare:

(A56)

(A57)

(A58)

(A59)

For simplicity, we assume that the government expenditure isexactly financed by the tax revenue from the households and firms.This leads to xt=tb

t.

λ2t

1 xt+-------------- pjt f l jt, yjt

∂pjt

∂Ljtd

---------- β* Etλ2t 1+

1 xt 1++--------------------- pt 1+

∂ acjt 1+p( )

∂Ljtd

------------------------⋅ ⋅–⋅+⋅

λ2t

1 xt+-------------- Rt

l wt pt∂ acjt

p( )

∂Ljtd

-----------------⋅+⋅

=

λ2t

1 xt+--------------pjt f k jt, µ( )exp⋅ ⋅ β* Et

λ2t 1+

1 xt 1++--------------------- 1 xt+( ) pt 1+

∂ acjt 1+p( )

∂kjt------------------------⋅ ⋅ ⋅

λ2t

1 xt+-------------- rkt pt 1 xt 1–+( )⋅+

∂ acjtp( )

∂kjt-----------------⋅ exp µ( )yjt

∂pjt

∂kjt---------⋅–

=

cit iit ac jtp acit

w+ ++ yt=

wtLjt 1 qjt– ttb

+=

ptcit ptacitw

+ qit=

ttb xt=

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42

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Bank of Canada Working Papers1998

98-11 Liquidity Effects and Market Frictions S. Hendry and G. Zhang

98-10 Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises: An Empirical AnalysisM. Kruger, P. Osakwe and J. Page

98-9 Buying Back Government Bonds: Mechanics and Other Considerations T. Gravelle

98-8 Easing Restrictions on the Stripping and Reconstitution of Government of Canada BondsD. Bolder and S. Boisvert

98-7 Uncertainty and Multiple Paradigms of the Transmission Mechanism W. Engert and J. Selody

98-6 Forecasting Inflation with the M1-VECM: Part Two W. Engert and S. Hendry

98-5 Predicting Canadian Recessions Using Financial Variables: A Probit ApproachJ. Atta-Mensah and G. Tkacz

98-4 A Discussion of the Reliability of Results Obtained with Long-RunIdentifying Restrictions P. St-Amant and D. Tessier

98-3 Tendance des dépenses publiques et de l’inflation et évolutioncomparative du taux de chômage au Canada et aux États-Unis P. St-Amant et D. Tessier

98-2 International Borrowing, Specialization and Unemployment ina Small, Open Economy P. Osakwe and S. Shi

98-1 Food Aid Delivery, Food Security & Aggregate Welfare in a SmallOpen Economy: Theory & Evidence P. Osakwe

1997

97-20 A Measure of Underlying Inflation in the United States I. Claus

97-19 Modelling the Behaviour of U.S. Inventories: A Cointegration-Euler Approach I. Claus

97-18 Canadian Short-Term Interest Rates and the BAX Futures Market D. G. Watt

97-17 Les marchés du travail régionaux : une comparaison entre le Canada et les États-Unis M. Lefebvre

97-16 Canadian Policy Analysis Model: CPAM R. Black and D. Rose

97-15 The Effects of Budget Rules on Fiscal Performance and MacroeconomicStabilization J. Millar

97-14 Menu Costs, Relative Prices, and Inflation: Evidence for Canada R. Amano and R. T. Macklem

97-13 What Does Downward Nominal-Wage Rigidity Imply for Monetary Policy? S. Hogan

Earlier papers not listed here are also available.Single copies of Bank of Canada papers may be obtained fromPublications Distribution, Bank of Canada, 234 Wellington Street Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0G9E-mail: [email protected] WWW:http://www.bank-banque-canada.ca/FTP: ftp.bank-banque-canada.ca

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