BANGCHAK CORPORATIONbcp.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200227-bcp... · 2020. 2. 27. ·...
Transcript of BANGCHAK CORPORATIONbcp.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200227-bcp... · 2020. 2. 27. ·...
BANGCHAK CORPORATIONPUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Opportunity Day Y2019
February 27, 2020
Table of Content
FY2019
Financial
Performance
02 03Appendix
04FY2019
Performance
Update
01Business
Updates
BCP PERFORMANCE
3,9282,871
Refinery
Marketing
Power Plant*
Bio-based products
Natural Resources
EBITDA by Business Group (MB)
FY2018 FY2019
3,5692,964
2,177 2,279
692 1,000
117
-36
+44% YoY
-27% YoY
2,4631,732
FY2018 FY2019
Net Profit
Profit attributable to the owners of the parent
EPS(THB/Share)
1.79 1.18
10,201
8,709
FY2018 FY2019
AccountingEBITDA
2019 Recap
- Refinery business was affected fromcollapsed oil price and crack spreads
- Portfolio diversification helped balanceoverall performance
*BCPG 2018 EBITDA included 793 MB profit from selling of 2 power plant projects in Japan to infrastructure fund
Consolidated Performance (MB)
3
BCP Group Portfolios – FY2019 Key Takeaways
4
Refinery & Trading
Marketing
Power Plant
Bio-basedProducts Natural Resources
• Crude run at ~ 113 KBD despite unexpected HCU maintenance
• Total GRM declined to 4.55 $/BBL from dropping crack spreads, rising crude cost and inventory loss
• BCPT trading volume increased 71% YoY
• Sales volume +5% YoY mainly from retails sales growth +7% YoY
• Maximize throughput to gain retails market share at 16%
• Non-oil business has been progressing pleasantly
• B100 performance markedly turnaroundimprovements
• Ethanol sales volume grew YoY from capacity added of KGI
• BCPG acquired Hydro power plant Namsan3A in Laos (69 MW)
• Total electricity sales + 24% from additional capacity
• OKEA has successfully listed in Oslo stock exchange
• OKEA production at ~ 19 kboe/d
• Realize share of profit from OKEA at 26 MB
• OKEA was main contributor to group performance
-361,000
2,964
2,279
2,871
EBITDA 8,709 MB
Refinery& Trading
Marketing
Power Plant
Bio-Based Products
Natural Resources
Net Profit 1,732 MB
1/ attributable to owners of the parent
1/
Refinery Business – Satisfactory operations was challenged by external factors
Production Profile
Actual Crude RunUnit: KBD
GRM Performance Unit: $/BBL
3.43 4.95
7.68 5.61
7.10 5.41
0.09
(0.09)
0.02
0.43
(0.27)
0.11
(0.03)(0.33)
(3.70)
0.08
(1.23)(0.98)
3.49 4.53
4.00 6.12 5.61
4.55
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Operating GRM Hedging Inventory Gain/Loss
FY2019 Refinery Group Acc. EBITDA 2,871 MB (-27% YoY) Operating EBITDA 4,229 MB
o High production level at 112.6 KBD with the highest record of 123.5 KBD in Sep, despite the minor tripping during the year
o Operating GRM was weakened as the crack spread declining across the board, resulting from the global economic slowdown caused both excess supply and lower market demand
o Inventory loss of 1,253MB (incl. LCM) as oil price fluctuated through the year from global political issues
o BCPT succeeded in expanding market and trading volume
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Q1/1
8
Q2/1
8
Q3/1
8
Q4/1
8
Q1/1
9
Q2/1
9
Q3/1
9
Q4/1
9
GO/DB
UNL95/DB
IK/DB
FO/DB50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Q1/1
8
Q2/1
8
Q3/1
8
Q4/1
8
Q1/1
9
Q2/1
9
Q3/1
9
Q4/1
9
DB
DTD
Crude price & Crack spread movement ($/BBL)
* Operating EBITDA: exclude Inventory gain/loss, One-time items, Gain/loss from FX forward contracts
110.1 112.7 110.8116.9
102.4112.6
92% 94% 92% 97%85%
94%
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
0102030405060708090
100110120130140
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Crude Run Utilization
TAM
5
10% 11%
3% 4%
53% 51%
12% 13%
19% 18%
3% 2%
2018 2019
Product Yield
LPG
UNL
Jet
GO
FOUCO
LSFO/DB
Distribution Channel – Retail market sales continues to grow as our main priority
283 284
307 307317
334 336 342
364 365
185 179 176190 184 184
149167
150
179
56 51
79 86
59 5848 50 50 49
7393
74 8296
112
47
111
68
105
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Unit: ML/Mo
Total Sales Volume
Retail
Industrial
Wholesales
Exports (FO & UCO)
FY 2019 Marketing Group Acc. EBITDA 2,279 MB (+5% YoY)
o Retail sales volume increased mainly from customer base expansion, including B20 and B10 diesel sales promoting
o Industrial sales volume slightly soften due to the intense competition within the industrial market, and stock management during the Hydrocracking unit maintenance period
o Net Marketing Margin declined since the oil price surged while retail price adjustment was slower in Q1 and Q4, and the cost of B100 products also rose during the end of the year
Non-oil business
o The branch expansion, better store management, and various sales promotion campaigns has led BCR revenue to increase 34% YoY and EBITDA rose 30% YoY
Net Marketing Margin Unit: Baht/Litre
0.70
0.83
0.77
0.70
0.780.75
Q3/18 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Retail
54%
Industrial
24%
Total Sales Volume(% Portion of total sales volume in 2019)
Service Stations
Factories, Jobbers, Aviations
Export
Very low sulfur Fuel Oil
7%Other oil companies
14%Wholesale
6
Marketing Network – Increasing market share & Thruput per station
15
.6%
12
.5%
12
.5%
9.1
%
4.3
% 1.7
%
1.7
%
1.7
%
16
.0%
12
.2%
11
.8%
10
.0%
4.1
% 1.9
%
1.8
%
1.7
%
2018 2019
Retail sales volume market share (%)4
0.9
%4
0.5
%
+48 New service stations in 2019
service stations as of Dec 20191,201
Standard Type 589 sites
(≈80% of Retail Sales Volume)
COOP Type 612 sites
(≈20% of Retail Sales Volume)
600 branches
Dec’19
+111 New stores in 2019
46 stores
Dec’19
Supporting non-oil businesses
Service stations outlets
436
479510 496 498
128 131 125 118 117
495
464 452 446 431
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Thruput per station Unit: K.Litre/Mo BCP
Standard
BCP Co-op
AVG Major oil*(excl. BCP)
Source: DOEB & BCP
BCP market share reach all time high
at 16.5% in SEP 2019
7
+3 New stores in 2019
Power Plant Business
Bio-based Products Business Natural Resources
Business
PoweBCP Group Portfolio – Refinery & Marketing BusinessBCP Group Portfolio – Subsidiaries
BCP Group Portfolio Subsidiaries
8
Power Plant Business – Another step into the new technology and territory
139 148 148 150 139 15015 15 15 15 15 15
158 158 158 158 158 158
14 14 14 14 14 1469 69 69326 335
404 406
326
406
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Operating Capacity (MW PPA)
72 76 70 79
270 297
4 5 5 4
42 18
8 64
72
76 8183
147
312
387
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Laos JP TH Total
Electricity Sales
Unit: Million kWh
Operating capacity rose 25% from the successful acquisition of Hydro power plant Namsan 3A in Laos (69 MW)
Electricity sales performance +24% YoY
o TH projects recorded higher sales primarily from the clearer weather, and 2019 was the 1st full year performance recognition of 2 solar projects totaling 9MW, including COD of a private solar plant with 2MW in Nov
o JP sales 60% reduced, mainly owing to divestment of 19.3 MW to IFF in Sep 2018
o Laos sales initially recognized this year from Sep
Share of profit from associated companies:
o Geothermal power plant 328 MB: doubled from 2018 which refinance cost was fully recorded
o PH Wind power plant 27 MB: decreased 32% YOY due to drops in wind speed and increase in interest expense followed a higher of the Philippines’s policy rate
FY 2019 Power Plant Group Acc. EBITDA 2,964 MB (-17% YoY)
9
SolarWind
Solar
Geothermal
Wind
Hydro
Bio-Based Product Business – Performance significantly improved
FY 2019 Bio-based Products Group Acc. EBITDA 1,000 MB (+44% YoY)
48
46 51
45
14
9 18
9
54
44 53
44
15
0 19
4
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Sales Production
Ethanol Production & Sales Volume
Unit: Million litres
71
82
87
88
28
1 32
8
67
74
80
78
26
4 29
9
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 2018 2019
Sales Production
Biodiesel Production & Sales Volume
Unit: Million litres
15
20
25
30
35
40
B100 average price Unit: Baht/Litre
Source: EPPO
Jan20 @ 40.13Dec19 @ 30.64
Biodiesel – Government’s advocacy escalated B100 demand
o The national policy to advocate the B20 and B10 diesel adoption led to the consumption of B100. Production and sales volume rose, as well as B100 price picked up and surged in Dec
o Even the average B100 price declined from the previous year, the better stock management brought the inventory gain including higher gross profit
Ethanol – Capacity expansion matched up with domestic demand growth
o Capacity added of 100 KL/day and process improvement allowed the group to take benefit of the demand growth in ethanol blended retail products
o Increasing sale volume promoted the higher revenue, despite the decline in ethanol price. Successful cost management and lower raw material price also contributed to higher gross profit
20
22
24
26
Ethanol average price
10
Source: EPPO
Unit: Baht/Litre
34.14
23.07
Jan20 @ 22.61Dec19 @ 22.04
Natural Resource Business – Share from OKEA performance has not yet covered the group expenses
11
0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
8.6 9.2 9.7 8.8 9.1
10.49 10.508.14
7.849.23
19.5 20.018.1
17.018.7
Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 FY2019
56.260.7
56.461.2
56.6
6.5
4.13.0 3.5 4.3 Gas Price
($/MMBTU)
Liquid Price ($/boe)
Realized Prices
Production Volume - Net to OKEA (unit: kboe/d)
Source: OKEA
Ivar Assen
Gjoa
Draugen
Share of gain 26 MB from OKEA
Year production and sales nearly achieved the target
o Lower production in Q4 due to maintenance, well shut-in and SEGAL capacity
Generated a solid cash flow of NOK 2,111 million from operations
But performance was softened by
o Drill through exploration well
o Impairments of Technical Goodwill on Gjøa from lower gas price
o Higher interest expense and FX loss from the USD appreciation against NOK
IPO listing resulted in Gain from changes in investment interest 82 MB
FY 2019 Natural Resource Business Group Acc. EBITDA -36 MB (-131% YoY)
Group performance was mainly contributed by OKEA result sharing
- Nido’s operating asset was divested and the group recorded profit 78 MB in 2018
Gain on foreign exchange forward contract 118 MB (75 MB in 2018)
Table of Content
FY2019 Financial
Performance
02BusinessUpdates
03Appendix
04FY2019
PerformanceUpdate
01
12
FY2019 Highlights
13
Acquisition of NamSan 3A Power Sole Co., Ltd (69 MW Hydro power plant) in Laos 5,352 MBOperation
Dividend paid 1,279 MB (0.16 ฿/share every quarter), paid to BCP 897 MBFinancial
Activities
COD of wind power plant project, Lomligor 9 MW
Change in TFRS 15: Revenue from Contract with Customers
Effecting in the sales of steam according to the Minimum take or pay contract of an associated company’s group in Indonesia (Decreased in investment in asso., R/E and NCI)
Accounting Standard
Refinery Operation
Hydrocracking Unit shutdown for maintenance (19 July - 19 Aug 19)
Financial Activities
Perpetual debentures: 10,000 MB with callable option at YE 5th
Treasury stock: ≤ 2,100 MB or 70 M.shares (≈ 5% of total shares) from 6 Dec 19 – 5 Jun 20As of 30 Dec 19 16.5 M.shares (1.2% of total shares), accounting for 432MB were executed
Dividend paid 1,377 MB (0.50 ฿/share for 2 times)
Regulation Labor Protection Act: Severance payment of 400 days for employees with ≥ 20Yr experience with company, added 140 MB cost to consolidated result
BCPT’s sales expanded from expanding market and trading volume
BBGI’s performance significantly improved from overall operation
Market GRM decreased & Inventory loss 1,253 MB (incl. reversion of LCM 689 MB)
Other subsidiaries
Operation
REVENUE
• BCP revenue decreased slightly from petroleum-related business group
o Even the total sale volume rose, but lower selling price
o BCPT revenue increased mainly from expanding market and trading volume
Statement of Income - Consolidated
14
Statement of Income (Unit: MB) FY2018 FY2019
Revenue 192,025 190,489
Cost of goods sold (180,594) (180,257)
Gross Profit 11,431 10,232
Interest income and dividend income 55 158
Other income 1,260 337
Selling and administrative expenses (7,421) (7,615)
Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract (442) 147
Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts 162 13
Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 415 614
Loss from impairment of assets (441) (34)
Share of profit of associate and JV 254 404
EBIT 5,273 4,257
Finance costs (1,545) (1,701)
Income tax expense (493) (68)
Profit for the period 3,235 2,488
Owners of the Company 2,463 1,732
Non-controlling interests 772 757
Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 1.79 1.18
FY2018 FY2019
Average selling price (THB/L) 22.2 20.4
Sales Volume (ML) 7,593 7,892
GROSS PROFIT
• Operating GRM was weakened as crack spreads declining across the board
• The fluctuations in cost, oil prices and higher B100 price, were the main
reason for the reduction in marketing business gross profit
(Unit: $/BBL) FY2018 FY2019
Operating GRM 7.10 5.41
Inv. G/L (1.23) (0.98)
Hedging (0.27) 0.11
Accounting GRM 5.61 4.55
Statement of Income - Consolidated
Bangchak Corporation Plc. 15
Statement of Income (Unit: MB) FY2018 FY2019
Revenue 192,025 190,489
Cost of goods sold (180,594) (180,257)
Gross Profit 11,431 10,232
Interest income and dividend income 55 158
Other income 1,260 337
Selling and administrative expenses (7,421) (7,615)
Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract (442) 147
Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts 162 13
Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 415 614
Loss from impairment of assets (441) (34)
Share of profit of associate and JV 254 404
EBIT 5,273 4,257
Finance costs (1,545) (1,701)
Income tax expense (493) (68)
Profit for the period 3,235 2,488
Owners of the Company 2,463 1,732
Non-controlling interests 772 757
Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 1.79 1.18
OTHER INCOME
• Less special item than 2018 (gain from selling 2 power plant projects to IFF
793 MB was recorded)
SELLING AND ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES
• Increased in employee expense and depreciation & amortization
SHARE OF PROFIT OF ASSOCIATE AND JV
Star Energy Group Holdings Pte. Ltd 328 MB
Petrowind Energy Inc. 27 MB
Bongkot Marine Services 32 MB
Ubon Bioethanol Plc. (9) MB
OKEA ASA 26 MB
404 MB
10
,20
1
8,7
09
2018 2019
EBITDA
Statement of Income - Consolidated
16
Statement of Income (Unit: MB) FY2018 FY2019
Revenue 192,025 190,489
Cost of goods sold (180,594) (180,257)
Gross Profit 11,431 10,232
Interest income and dividend income 55 158
Other income 1,260 337
Selling and administrative expenses (7,421) (7,615)
Gain (loss) from oil hedging contract (442) 147
Gain (loss) from FX forward contracts 162 13
Gain (loss) on foreign exchange 415 614
Loss from impairment of assets (441) (34)
Share of profit of associate and JV 254 404
EBIT 5,273 4,257
Finance costs (1,545) (1,701)
Income tax expense (493) (68)
Profit for the period 3,235 2,488
Owners of the Company 2,463 1,732
Non-controlling interests 772 757
Earnings per share (Baht per Share) 1.79 1.18
Unit: MBYoY -15%
YoY – Adj. -10%
Inv. Loss* 1,594 MB
Other incomes** 793 MB:
Adjusted EBITDA11,002 MB
Inv. Loss* 1,161 MB
Adjusted EBITDA9,870 MB
* Inventory Loss included LCM** Profit from selling BCPG’s assets to an infrastructure fund in Japan
Statements of Financial Position - Consolidated
17
Current Assets (+0.1%)
• Cash and Cash Equivalents
• Accounts receivable
o BCPT had higher product price and trading volume
• PP&E
o Mainly from investing in BCP 3E project 4,074 MB, BCPG power plants
1,478 MB and BBGI ethanol expansion 1,101 MB
o Depreciation 4,478 MB
• Inventorieso Volume rose and reversion of LCM 689 MB, even the unit price declined
Inventory 2018 2019
Crude (Volume MBBL) 3.2 3.3
Crude ($/BBL) 70.5 70.1
Product (Volume BBL) 1.8 2.2
Product ($/BBL) 76.7 72.7
Non Current Assets (+13%)
• Other Non Current Assets
o Loan to LAC 837 MB and investing in startups 254 MB
o Goodwill & Intangible Asset increased 5,154 MB from
acquisition of Hydro power plant (BCPG)
9%
30,896 37,583
48,877
52,584
3,680
5,184 15,135
15,835 6,969
9,038 11,813
7,564
31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19
Cash & Cash Equivalents
Other Current Asset
PP&E
Other Non Current Assets
127,788
Accounts Receivable
Inventories
117,369
49,538 58,815
7,300
9,133
50,464
48,041
3,387
1,242 6,680
10,556
31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19
117,369
127,788Account Payable
Interest Bearing Debt
Equity
Excise Tax & Oil Fund
Other Liabilities
Unit: MB
Statements of Financial Position - Consolidated
18
9%
30,896 37,583
48,877
52,584
3,680
5,184 15,135
15,835 6,969
9,038 11,813
7,564
31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19
Cash & Cash Equivalents
Other Current Asset
PP&E
Other Non Current Assets
127,788
Accounts Receivable
Inventories
117,369
49,538 58,815
7,300
9,133
50,464
48,041
3,387
1,242 6,680
10,556
31 Dec 18 31 Dec 19
117,369
127,788Account Payable
Interest Bearing Debt
Equity
Excise Tax & Oil Fund
Other Liabilities
Unit: MB
Liabilities (+13%)
• Accounts payable o Crude purchase in Dec 2018 was less than the usual level
• Excise tax and oil fuel fund payable
o The Excise department has shortened the payment term
Interest Bearing Debt (-5%)
• BCP bond repayment 4,000 MB
• Loans from financial institutions increased by 1,525 MB
o mainly from BCPG’s Hydro power plant acquisition
Equity (+19%)
• Perpetual bond issuance 9,941 MB• Treasury shares 432 MB• Other components of equity decreased 751 MB
o Differences in net fair value change in available-for-sale investment
(LAC) increased 5 MB
o Loss in translating financial statements 753 MB
o Share of other comprehensive loss of associates 3 MB
19
Beginning Cash11,551 MB
Ending Cash7,276 MB
FX adjustment(182) MB
Cash movement(4,093) MB
2019: Cash movement Unit: MB
Cash Flow - Consolidated
(7,835)
(5,506)
(5,897)
(10,953) 10,000
8,899
6,857
342
Debt Service
PP&E
Inv. in Sub & Asso.
Dividend & Tax paid and Others
Others
Cash from Operation
Perp bond
Funding
Uses of Cash
Sources of Cash(30,191)
26,098
Table of Content
FY2019
Financial
Performance
02Business
Updates
03Appendix
04FY2019
Performance
Update
01
21
2020 Performance Target
8,709
2019 2020(F)
EBITDA +20%
Accounting EBITDA (unit : THB million)
Marketing
• Retail sales to outpace market & Maintain 2nd rank market share
• To manage Marketing Margin at 70-80 st./litre
• Expedite sales of profitable products
Refinery & Trading
• Target crude run at 106 KBD due to TAM 40 days
• GRM to be closely managed and actively engaged
• 3E completion and maximizing benefit from rocket project
• BCPT to increase 50% trading volume
Power Plant
• Full year recognition from Lomligor and hydro power plant (Namsan 3A&3B)
• New acquisitions in CLMV and other regions focusing on operating assets
Bio-Based Product
• Capture B100 demand benefits
• To prepare for E20 mandate as base product
• Plan to submit IPO filing
Natural Resources
• Seek out growth both organically and inorganically
• Develop downstream for lithium
111
102
113 106
120
2017 2018 TAM 2019 2020 TAM 2021
REFINERY BUSINESS
22
PRODUCTION PROFILE
93%
85%
94%
88%Utilization Rate
Crude Run(Unit: KBD)
2021TAM for 40 Days
115KBDduring the
non-TAM period
2020 Highlights:
Target crude run at 106 KBD due to
TAM 40 days
3E completion
Rocket project realized benefit
IMO positive impact on LSFO
Increase Competitiveness
“Fill up with significant projects
to enhance the refinery
performance and flexibility”
3E project will be completed in 2020
Maximize Value from current assets
“Maximize value via flexibility units
with beyond standard of safety,
environment and community”
Targeting benefit
~900 MB/Year
Expand Trading ActivitiesExpand Trading Activities
Target to
+50% Trading Volume
“Synergize with potential partners to contribute
growth”
2020 Highlights:
Increase service station’s Market Share
Improve profitability
Promote more environmental friendly products
Enhance brand royalty program
Target MK Sales Volume
≈550 ML/MO
Retail sales outpace market
Expand service station network
Promote “Same Store Sales Growth”
+60 stations
Push sales of high margin products
Non-oil partnership enhancement
& New business model
+160 stores
Support
government policy
Promote more
environmental friendly products
369 sites across the country
As of 16 Feb
23
Aim for > 30% EBITDA improvement
Retail Sales CAGR
7% in the last five years
MARKETING BUSINESS
THANK YOU
[email protected] Tel. +662 335 4370, 8663
www.bangchak.co.th
click Investor Relations
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This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are not historical or current facts. These statements include projections, valuations and statistical analyses based on the intent, belief or current
expectations on the date hereof of the Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited (the “Company”) or its officers with respect to the consolidated results of operations and financial condition, and future events
and plans of the Company. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "expects," "plans," "will," "estimates," "projects," “intends,” “would,” “may” or other similar expression in this
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The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable; however, the Company or any of their respective members, directors, officers, employees, or affiliates makes no
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associated therewith as of any future date.