Automotive #2 Market Overview Context and Headlines (2/4) • Fuel cells • Fuel Cell Vehicles have...
Transcript of Automotive #2 Market Overview Context and Headlines (2/4) • Fuel cells • Fuel Cell Vehicles have...
1
Automotive #2 Market Overview
– Prepared for Intesa Sanpaolo Innovation Centre –
October 2016
2
Introduction
• In 2016, OEMs’ thinking and strategies continue to be shaped by a range of factors. These notably
include the need and/or desire to;
• Reduce emissions
From a powertrain perspective, this manifests itself in;
o the adoption of after treatment technologies
o the development of alternative fuels, including fuel cells
• Improve comfort
From a systems perspective, this manifests itself in;
o the deployment of advanced driver assistance systems
• Manage costs
From a strategy perspective, this manifests itself in;
o the shift towards modular and mega platforms
• On the aftermarket side, the market will be shaped by developments that are related to increased
connectivity in and outside cars;
This will drive dramatic changes in the provision and distribution of parts and services
3
Context and Headlines (1/4)
• Powertrain
• The quality of urban air is set to worsen between 2020 and 2025 with vehicle emission reduction
measures expected; Europe and the USA currently have tight regulations, with China and India likely to
catch up with international norms in the mid term
• All major national markets, except Germany and Italy, have already seen a significant fall in the
production of diesel fired vehicles
• Lasting emission reduction will, however, require the deployment of advanced after-treatment
technologies; OEMs are adopting a broad range of technologies with variations in strategies both across
and between volume and premium suppliers
• Gasoline boosting solutions are expected to see a 25% growth globally in 2016, driven by deployment
in APAC in particular
• Stop start systems will become standard in Europe in almost all passenger vehicles which are not
electrified from 2015 to 2020
• Gasoline Direct Injection technologies are set to grow 12% globally by 2020 notably via adoption from
VW and GM in North America
• Dual-Clutch Transmissions are an attractive option for OEMs and suppliers due to their potential to
enable hybrid transmissions
• Light weighting forms a key plank of all of the key global manufacturers’ strategies with reductions of
10% -15% being targeted
4
Context and Headlines (2/4)
• Fuel cells
• Fuel Cell Vehicles have fuel cell stacks (instead of Internal Combustion engines) which are connected to
and act as a battery for an electric motor that, in turn, is connected to the wheels
• The global market is nascent and heavily dependent on the extent to which incentives are available and
infrastructure is developed
• Typically, countries with EV incentives extend these to FCVs, making a more attractive environment in
which to launch new vehicles
• From an infrastructure point of view, Europe is expected to have a well-established hydrogen fuel
network by 2025 due to the participation of automakers, governments and operators
• The key OEMs have plans to launch at least 12 fuel cell fired passenger cars by 2020 across Europe,
North America and Japan
• From a technology point of view, Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell stacks are currently the most
popular solutions with manufacturers focussing on increasing power density and reducing price
• Fuel cell vehicle suppliers are targeting high-income customers who are interested in emerging
technologies as early adopters
• Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
• The Advanced Driver Assistance Systems market includes a range of solutions which are in turn
supported by a variety of sensors
• Between 2015 and 2020, there is expected to be a five fold growth in the deployment of ADAS fitments in
Europe and North America
5
Context and Headlines (3/4)
• Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (continued)
• Uptake will be driven, on the demand side, by increased consumer acceptance but is shaped in particular
by a regulatory “push”
• Park assist, lane departure warning and forward collision warning are amongst the technologies that
are on legislators’ agendas
• From a technology point of view, OEMs have opted for a complex sensor suite to comprehensively meet
the needs of ADAS systems
• From a competitive point of view, the present-day value chain is complex with M&A activity expected to
consolidate Tier 2; Bosch is the leading supplier in the largest segment with its multi-sensor capability in
RADAR and LIDAR essential to help integration with existing OEM solutions and build a stronger LDW
roadmap for the future
• OEM Platform Strategies
• The platform architecture defines the framework for a vehicle with OEMs increasingly moving to modular
and mega platforms which break up the vehicle into various elements; By 2022, 13 manufacturers will
account for 77.3% of global PV production but their vehicles will be based on 26.7% fewer platforms than
in 2015
• Renault-Nissan and VW are anticipated to lead the adoption of modular platforms
• Renault’s Common Modular Family platforms will produce 65% of its global volumes in 2022, with 67
models using between 11 and 15 modules
• VW’s Modular Transversal Toolkit (MQB) platform is expected to produce 9.1m units encompassing 50
models using 12 standardized modules
6
Context and Headlines (4/4)
• Aftermarket
• In 2016, the aftermarket will be shaped by developments that are related to increased connectivity in and
outside cars, with six key trends
• The service bay of the future will evolve under the influence of a combination of vehicle and market
related factors to the extent that the garage of tomorrow will become a truly digital experience to the
benefit of the customer and service provider
• The total global aftermarket is expected to increase by 4.8% with particular growth from emission
control components
• eRetailing penetration will, from a low base, increase most rapidly in developing South American and
Asian markets
• Aggregators are emerging as a popular choice in Europe and North America for owners to research
and arrange service appointments
• eRetailers are also expanding into B2B channel sales, creating niche service areas and helping to
boost revenues for all stakeholders
• Private labelling is becoming a key contributor in North America and this trend could well take hold in
other major markets globally
7
Powertrain
8
The quality of urban air is set to worsen between 2020 and 2025 with dramatic vehicle
emission reduction measures expected
No Risk
High
Risk
Air
Quality-
Good
Air
Quality-
Moderate
Paris:
London:
Amsterdam:
Berlin:
Cologne, Dusseldorf:
Stuttgart:
Rome
:
Athens:
Prague:
Stockholm:
Madrid:
Zurich:
Milan
Vienna, Graz
Lyon:
Glasgow:
Copenhagen:
Brussels:
Notes: Cascading colors represent
worsening air quality levels and
increasing stringency of measures
from outer boroughs to central
areas in a city .
Government Agencies, Frost & Sullivan
9
Light Vehicle Test Procedure Market: Emission Legislation– Passenger Cars (Global), 2005-2025
Europe and the USA currently have tight regulations, with China and India likely to catch
up with international norms in the mid term
Russia
India
Brazil
USA
China
Europe
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Bharat IV(NOx= 0.25,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.025) (g/km)- Only in
select regions
Bharat III Stds
(NOx= 0.50,
CO=0.64,
PM= 0.05) (g/km)
Euro III
(CO=1.0,
PM= 0.080) (g/km)
Euro IV
(NOx= 0.50, CO=0.64,
PM= 0.050) (g/km)
China V (NOx= 0.180,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.005) (g/km)
Euro VI (NOx= 0.080,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.005) (g/km)
Euro IV (NOx= 0.25,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.025) (g/km)
Euro V (NOx= 0.180, CO=0.50,
PM= 0.005)
(g/km)
Euro VII (NOx= 0.04-0.05,
CO=0.50, PM= 0.0045)
(g/km)
China III
(NOx= 0.25,
CO=0.64,
PM= 0.050) (g/km)
China IV (NOx= 0.25,
CO=0.50),
PM= 0.025) (g/km)
Euro III
(CO=2,
PM= 0.050) (g/km)
PROCONVE L-5 (Euro IV )
(NOx= 0.12(Gasoline)/0.25(Diesel),
CO=2, PM= 0.050) (g/km)
Tier 3 Emission Standards
(NMOG + NOx= 0-0.16 g/mi,CO=0-4.2g/mi,
PM=0-0.003 g/mi)
China V (NOx= 0.180,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.005) (g/km)
Euro V
(NOx= 0.25, CO=0.50, PM= 0.025)
(g/km)
PROCONVE L-5 (Euro V)
(NOx= 0.08, CO=1.3, PM= 0.025)
(g/km)
Tier 2 Emission Standards (NOx= 0-0.2, CO=0-4.2,
PM=0-0.02) (g/mi)
Bharat V(NOx= 0.18,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.005) (g/km)
Bharat VI(NOx= 0.08,
CO=0.50,
PM= 0.0045) (g/km)
Frost & Sullivan
Note: Bharat V was proposed for 2015 in India, but is delayed. Bharat V is expected to be introduced at a later date, or will be skipped to move straight to Bharat VI
10
All major national markets, except Germany and Italy, have already seen a significant fall
in the production of diesel fired vehicles
(4.1%) (3.5%) (6.2%) 0.1% 0.1% (2.7%) (3.4)% (2.3%) (0.8%)
29,937,8
60,1 64,0
25,0
38,2
50,6 51,0
33,4 31,2
64,3 66,5
29,535,0
27,736,4
47,8 48,9
68,959,9
38,235,5
72,9
57,8
48,1 48,0
53,1 55,1
28,2 24,4
68,963,1
66,857,0
50,8 48,4
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015 2012 2015
Gasoline Diesel
YoY
Diesel %
Change
(2012–2015)
Gaso
lin
e a
nd
Die
sel S
hare
(%
)
Powertrain Market: Passenger Vehicle Sales by Country–Gasoline vs. Diesel Share, Europe, 2012–2015
Belgium Finland France Germany* Italy NL Spain Sweden UK
Government Agencies, Frost & Sullivan
Selected countries
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7
NOx PM
Lasting emission reduction will however require the deployment of advanced after-
treatment technologies which are likely to significantly increase the cost of vehicles as
they move towards Euro 7 norm compliance
Euro Emission Limits—Diesel Engines, Europe Reduction of Emissions—Diesel Engines, Europe
Em
issio
ns (
g/m
ile)
Em
issio
n R
ed
uctio
n (
%)
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 Euro 7
CO HC + NOx NOx PM
Euro Norms Euro Norms
70% reduction in
NOx emissions for
diesel engines
between Euro 5 and
Euro 7.
Frost & Sullivan
12
OEMs are adopting a broad range of technologies with variations in strategies across
and between volume/premium suppliers
Engine Downsizing + Boosting Improvements
Battery Electrics, eREVs, Plug in Hybrids
Hybridization- Full and Mild Hybrid
Stop Starts + Micro hybrid
GDI, Lean Burn and Combustion improvements
Improved Thermal Management, Energy Regeneration
Cooled EGR and Exhaust Heat Recovery
DCTs / High Speed ATs
Light weighting, Friction Reduction and Others
1 2 3 4 5
Premium OEMs
Strong Influencer
Moderate Influencer
Low High Low High
Technology adoption rate Technology adoption rate
European CO2 compliance - Technologies for Fuel
Consumption Reduction, Europe, 2020
Category Category
Volume OEMs
1 2 3 4 5
Frost & Sullivan
13
Powertrain Market: Boosted Gasoline Engine Production and Regional Split, Global, 2016
Gasoline boosting solutions are expected to see a 25% growth globally in 2016, driven
by deployment in APAC in particular
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BoostedEngines
NaturallyAspirated
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Africa Asia-Pacific Europe N.America
2016 North America Europe APAC
% of Boosted Engines in
Gasoline
19-20%
(3 – 3.3 million units)
54-56%
(6 – 6.5 million units)
19-20%
(7.5 – 8.0 million units)
YOY Growth 19% 8% 20%
B-Segment 20% 7% 50%
C-Segment 38% 5% 20%
D-Segment 9% 11% 9%
Region based split of boosted engines
Strong Growth Moderate Growth
Frost & Sullivan
All figures are rounded. The base year is 2015
14
Stop start systems will become standard in Europe in almost all passenger vehicles
which are not electrified from 2015 to 2020
1,7 1,71,5 1,5
1,1
0,6
1,92,0
0,6
5,1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6M
ilio
ni
2020
13.5-14Mn
2015
98.5% 98.0% 87.3% 88.3% 77.9%
42.0%
87.8% 55.5%
74.0%
90.3%
19-19.5Mn
Frost & Sullivan
Powertrain Production Mix (Europe), 2015 – 2020
15
Powertrain Market: GDI Unit Production Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2020
Gasoline Direct Injection technologies are set to grow 12% globally by 2020 notably via
adoption from VW and GM in North America
2015
17.8–18.0
Million
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
Asia Pacific Europe North America South America
Un
its (
Millio
n)
BMW Daimler Fiat Chrysler Ford GM Hyundai PSA Renault Nissan VW
5.7–5.9 5.7–5.9
4.4–4.6
0.09–0.11
2020
31-32 Million
• Europe will witness 10-12% CAGR in the number of GDI engines produced primarily to move closer to EURO VII targets, in the
context of declining diesel uptake.
• NA & APAC: Gasoline-dominated markets such as NA and APAC will see significant advancement in DI technology and will,
therefore, be a principal element in all almost OEMs’ strategies. NA and APAC are expected to witness 15% and 12% CAGR
respectively in GDI engines towards 2020.
OEM
LMC, Frost & Sullivan
16
Dual-Clutch Transmissions are an attractive option for OEMs and suppliers due to their
potential to enable hybrid transmissions
2005 2010
Four- and six-speed ATs
Dual Clutch
Transmissions
wet and dry applications
Infinitely Variable
Transmissions*
• Development
of ‘add-on’
and ‘add-in’
modules
• Packaging
developments
• Competitive
benchmarking
• Increased
outsourcing
Au
tom
ati
c T
ran
sm
issio
ns
Man
ual
Tra
nsm
issio
ns
MO
DU
LA
RIS
AT
ION
Continuously Variable
Transmissions
Stepped Manual Transmissions
Automated Manual Transmissions
*As Prototype only
Hybridisation of Transmissions – Integration of
Integration of DCTs / ATs / CVTs / AMTs with
electric mach
5- and 7-speed ATs
Hydraulic Support Elements
[Hydraulic impulse storage developed by ZF to aid fuel
consumption reduction]
Noise Vibration
Harness (NVH)
Optimisation
Software tools
development7-speed
DCTs
Hybrid Powershift Mechanisms
Clutch automation to eliminate power interruptions
Smart Sensors
Optimisation of drive and hold
functions
Low-cost DCTs
20202015
Transmission Market: Transmission Technology and Product Roadmap, Global, 2015
Frost & Sullivan
17
Lightweighting forms a key plank of all of the key global manufacturers’ strategies with
reductions of 10% to 15% being targeted
Future Weight Reduction Strategy of OEMS
General motors targets to become a best in class OEM in almost all vehicle segments in terms of fuel efficiency.• Reduce curb weight by up to 15%o All models by 2020o Advanced steel in cars (Recent investments in NanoSteel) and Al
bodies in (Novelis) is an important part of GM’s future material strategy
Honda aims to meet increasing demands for improved fuel economy and improved collision safety from increased body strength from new body concepts (ACE Body Structure)• 10-15% weight reduction (small cars to large SUVs)o All models by 2020o Advanced steel is an important part of Honda’s future material
strategy (in multi material joining with Al)
Ford focuses on innovation as the key to its future lightweighting strategy, coming from its Sustainable Materials Strategy. • Atleast 12% in each model by 2020, generation over generationo Focus to F-Series (All models)o Steel to CFRP in bonnet to reduce weight up to 50% and steel to Al
in F-150 beds to reduce up to 50%.
VW targets to get to a fundamental ecological restructuring formula to accelerate and meet its CO2 targets.• Atleast 7-10% by 2020, generation over generationo All models (MQB is key)o Al instead of steel engine hood to save up to 7 kg weight or new
steel grades in areas including pillars, floor panels, roof arch, and side sills to save up to 18 kg.
Toyota targets weight reduction to improve all aspects of dynamic performance, especially in areas of fuel efficiency, handling performance• Atleast 10%weight reduction by 2020o Largely in small to mid-size cars200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Toyota
VW
Ford
Honda
GM
Weight Reduction (lbs)
OE
M
Fit Civic Accord
F-Series HD
ExplorerEscapeFusionFiestaFocus
Yaris Prius
Corolla Camry
RAV4
Highlander
Tundra
Golf Passat
Jetta
Tiguan Touareg
F-Series LD
CR-V Pilot
Sonic Malibu
Cruze Terrain
Equinox
Sierra
Silverado
Acadia Traverse
Frost & Sullivan
18
Fuel cells
19
Air
Vapor
Exhaust
Air
supplier
Hydrogen
TankMotor
DCAC
Hydrogen
Booster
Inverter Fuel cell
Assistant
power system
Fuel cell
system
Trans-axle drivetrain
H2
storage
NiMH
battery
Cooling
module
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Structure, Europe,
North America, and Japan, 2014
Technology
Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel
Cell (PEMFC) stacks are used as
engines to propel vehicles and have
a 100% electric drivetrain
Key OEMs
Honda, Toyota, Nissan, and Suzuki in
Japan; Hyundai and Kia in South
Korea
Key Fuel Cell Stack Suppliers
LG Chemistry, South Korea,
Ballard, Japan,
Nuvera, Japan,
Toshiba, Japan
Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle
FCV Structure
Fuel Cell Vehicles (FCVs) have fuel cell stacks (instead of Internal Combustion (IC)
engines) which are connected to and act as a battery to an electric motor that, in turn, is
connected to the wheels
Frost & Sullivan
Image: Honda
20
The global market is nascent and heavily dependent on the extent to which incentives
are available and infrastructure is developed
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Market Attractiveness, Europe, North America, and Japan, 2014
Region Incentives for Fuel Cell Incentive on Electric Cars
Infrastructure
Development
Japan $25,000 $8,000 High
Europe $5,000–$6,000 $5,000–$6,000 Medium
United States $7,500 $7,500 Medium
OEM Views on Launching New Fuel Cell Passenger Cars
• Automakers will focus on selling or leasing fuel cell passenger cars to customers that are in close proximity to
hydrogen fueling stations.
• Infrastructure operators estimate a viable business case after 5–7 years; it is mostly the industrial gas companies
including Air Products, Air Liquide, and Linde that are developing such infrastructure.
• Support for fuel cell technology will grow after new vehicles are launched, as this will help the technology be better
understood.
Market Attraction
Japan Europe: Germany United States
Low
Hig
h
1 52 3 4
Low
Hig
h
1 52 3 4
Low
Hig
h
1 52 3 4
Frost & Sullivan
21
Country
Cash
Incentive
Alternate
Fuel Tax
Exemption
Congestion
Charge
Benefit
Parking
Incentive
Registration
Tax
Exemption
Annual
Circulation Tax
Exemption
Other Tax
Exemption
Access to
Special
Lanes
Austria $1,100 100% - - - -
Australia - - - ~75% - -
China $9,600 - - - - - - -
Denmark - - - - 100% - -
France $6,700 - - - 100% - -
Germany - - - - - 100% (10 years) - -
Italy - - - - - 100% - -
Ireland $6,700 - - - 100% - -
Japan $2,500 - - - - - -
Malaysia - - - - - - -
The Netherlands - - - - 100% 100% - -
Norway - - 100% -
South Korea $3,600 - - - - -
UK $8,000 - - 100%
US $7,500 100% - - -
√
Attractive markets in
which to launch fuel
cell passenger cars
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Availability of Electric Vehicle Incentives, Europe, North America, and
Japan, 2015–2020
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
√
Typically, countries with EV incentives extend these to FCVs, making a more attractive
environment in which to launch new vehicles
Frost & Sullivan
22
From an infrastructure point of view, Europe is expected to have a well-established
hydrogen fuel network by 2025 due to the participation of automakers, governments and
infrastructure operators
Local Support
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Hydrogen Refueling Stations, Europe, 2015–2020
Volkswagen BMWDaimlerOEMs
Infrastructure
OperatorsLinde, Air Liquide, Shell, and Total
Installation Target
2015 2018 2020
Approximately
80
Government Support
• The Scandinavian Highway Hydrogen Project aims to establish 15
hydrogen stations and 30 mobile stations along with a fleet of 100
buses, 300 cars, and 500 specialty vehicles.
• There are three associations collaborating in FCV development:
Hynor (Norway), Hydrogen Link (Denmark), and Hydrogen Sweden
(Sweden).
Approximately
150Approximately
350
Region
No. of H2
Stations
Germany 35
UK 10
Denmark 9
Norway 6
Italy 4
Netherlands 4
Region No. of H2
Stations
Austria 3
Belgium 2
Sweden 2
Scotland 2
France 1
Switzerland 1
1
10
9
6
4
4
35
3
2
1
2
2
Frost & Sullivan
23
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Toyota
BMW
Hyundai
Porsche
Lexus
Honda
Daimler
Volkswagen
Nissan
Ford
General Motors
Toyota Mirai
BMW i5
Hyundai iX35
Porsche Pajun
Lexus LS600
FCX Clarity
F-Cell
VW Golf VW Passat
FCV
FCV
FCV
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
12
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Expected Model Launches by OEM, Europe,
North America, and Japan, 2015–2020
The key OEMs have plans to launch at least 12 fuel cell fired passenger cars by 2020
across Europe, North America and Japan
Frost & Sullivan
24
From a technology point of view, Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell stacks are
currently the most popular solutions with manufacturers focussing on increasing power
density and reducing price
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Technology Roadmap, Europe, North America, and Japan, 2010–2022
Liquefaction storage
(10,000 liters per
hour)
1,400 Watts net per liter
(W net/liter)–2,200 W net/literPower density
2,200 hours–4,000 hoursDurability
Fuel cell type
Fuel cell stack
More than 3,000 W net/liter
5,000 hours–6,500 hours
Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM)
25 kiloWatts (kW)–80kW 80kW–300kW
$1,000–$1,200 per kW$600–$800
per kW$200–$300 per kWEstimated price
$100–$200
per kW
2010 2014 2018 2022
Technology development of high-pressure compressed storage
(approximately 350–700 bar)
Expansion of on-site station
Technology
DemonstrationCustomer
Acceptance
Market
Introduction
Cost
Reduction
Mass
ProductionMarket Scenario
Hydrogen
Storage
Tank
Frost & Sullivan
25
Fuel cell vehicle suppliers are targeting high-income customers who are interested in
emerging technologies as early adopters
Potential Customers (near-term luxury customers)
Social Characteristics
• Belong to well-networked groups
• Environmentally conscientious
• Live in a constantly changing world
Work Attitudes
• Indistinct work-life balance
• Aspirational
• Impatient
• Flexible and willing to
experiment
• Demanding
Fuel Cell Passenger Car Market: Profile of Potential Adopters of Fuel Cell Passenger Cars, Europe,
North America, and Japan, 2014
Buyer Characteristics
GeographyUrban and suburban (based on hydrogen infrastructure
development)
Segment
• Upper-middle-class baby boomers with income over
$100,000 (for SUV and sports segment)
• Generation-Y buyers in their mid-20’s and early 40’s with
incomes larger than $55,000 (for compact and sedan)
Attitude
• Concerned about dependence on foreign oil and political
activity
• Willingness to buy
Vehicle AccessMost have access to another car with an internal-combustion
engine
Vehicle Range Daily driving range between 50–60 kms
Tech
Savvy
Full-time employment
Early
Adopters
Frost & Sullivan
26
Advanced Driver Assistance Systems
27
Adaptive Cruise
Control (ACC)
Lane Departure
Warning (LDW)
Intelligent
Headlights
IR SensorsComplementary metal-
oxide semiconductor
(CMOS) Sensor
Short-/Long-
range RADAR
Camera-
based ACC
(CMOS)
The Advanced Driver Assistance Systems market includes a range of solutions which
are in turn supported by a variety of sensors
Night Vision (NV)
Frost & Sullivan
Forward Collision
Warning (FCW)Park Assist (PA)
Blind Spot Detection
(BSD)
Short and
long-range
RADAR
CMOS
Sensor Based
Short-range
RADAR
Ultrasonic
Sensor
Ultrasonic
Sensor
Camera
Based
Non-exhaustive list of sensors
28
Between 2015 and 2020, there is expected to be a five fold growth in the deployment of
ADAS fitments in Europe and North America
0
5.000.000
10.000.000
15.000.000
20.000.000
25.000.000
ACC LDW FCW NV BSD PA
Un
its
ADAS Types
North America Europe
0
5.000.000
10.000.000
15.000.000
20.000.000
25.000.000
30.000.000
35.000.000
40.000.000
45.000.000
ACC LDW FCW NV BSD PA
Un
its
ADAS Types
North America Europe
Frost & Sullivan
All figures are rounded. The base year is 2015
ADAS: Market Size, North America and Europe, 2015 and 2020
29
Drivers Short Mid Long
Government regulations, inclusion of ADAS in 5-star safety ratings system H M M
Cost of sensors and cameras declining M H L
Technology and innovation synergies—penetration in various segments as per OEM
strategyM M H
Entry-level car segment with ADAS attracting customers M M L
Uptake will be driven, on the demand side, by increased consumer acceptance but is
shaped in particular by a regulatory “push”
Frost & Sullivan
ADAS: Key Market Drivers and Restraints, Europe, 2015–2020
Restraints Short Mid Long
Uncertainty in policies, lack of clarity on regulations H H H
High package prices for ADAS applications H H M
Responsiveness of assistance by driver M M H
Consolidation of hardware and evolving software L M H
30
Park assist, lane departure warning and forward collision warning are amongst the
technologies that are on legislators’ agendas
2015 2017 2019 2021
North America has mandated the use of rear parking camera on all new cars from 2014.
However, the legislation is not likely to make it to Europe.
Mono-camera-based
AEB is facing the
challenge of
incorporating pedestrian
detection to compete
with stereo cameras.
Impact of Regulation
100% of all cars in 2019
would have to be fitted
with rear cameras,
reducing the use of US
sensors for PA.
Mandates for AEB
Autonomous Emergency Braking is now a necessary technology for receiving five star rating in
Europe and North America, based on the regional NCAP rating. For the next stage, EU NCAP is
introducing pedestrian detection in 2016.
LDW/FCW MandateEither FCW or LDW
uptake will see
exponential growth in
vision-based systems
(mono and stereo).
North America is likely to mandate 1 of the 2 LDW or FCW in the market, based on the impact
assessment studies conducted under NHTSA.
Effect of Mandate: Low High
Mandates for Rear Park
Cameras
Frost & Sullivan
ADAS: Legislation Implementation Timeline, North America and Europe, 2015–2021
31
From a technology point of view, OEMs have opted for a complex sensor suite to
comprehensively meet the needs of ADAS systems, since there is no single sensor that
can cater to all of their requirements
• High benefit to cost ratio.
• As opposed to LIDARs that
only see a grayscale in the
infrared spectrum, camera
can distinguish colors.
• Wider field of view with up
to 3000 lines of sight.
• Delivers a potent stream of
point clouds.
• Uses emitted light, so it
works independently of
ambient light.
• Higher resolution than
RADAR and robust against
interference.
Camera LIDAR
• Good longitudinal
performance; Mature
solution; with range.
• Long- and mid-range
RADARs are now cost
effective due to maturing
technology.
RADAR
• Requires pattern-
recognizing software.
• Requires illumination.
• Quality of resolution is sub
par for precise judgements.
• Takes a great deal of CPU
or custom chips.
• Cost-intensive manual
labor required to build
scanners.
• Limited range; about 70
meters.
• Slower refresh rates.
• More efficient LIDARs are
difficult to package.
• Lateral performance;
Stationary objects.
• Poor range and field of
view.
• Individually not capable of
short-distance
measurements.
vs. vs.
Ad
van
tag
eD
isad
van
tag
e
Frost & Sullivan
ADAS: Comparative Analysis of Sensors, North America and Europe, 2015
32
From a competitive point of view, the present-day value chain is complex with M&A
activity expected to consolidate Tier 2
Mobileye, Magneti Marelli, Automotive
Lighting
Autoliv, Bosch, Continental, DENSO, Delphi,
HELLA, TRW, Valeo
Ford, GM, Fiat, Toyota, BMW,
Audi, Opel, etc
Tier 1 Suppliers – Provide driver
assistance systems (for example:
LDW, ACC, FCW, LKA, park assist,
night vision systems) to OEMs
OEMs – Integrate the customized ADAS systems into the
vehicles
Sub systems
Systems
CogniVue, SensoMotoric Instruments,
LeddarTech
Freescale Semiconductors,
STMicroelectronics, Texas
Instruments
Tier 3 Suppliers – Develop vision and sensing technology (for
example: computer-vision algorithms, microprocessors), licensing
it to large-scale SoC manufacturers
Tier 2.5 Suppliers – Manufacture in large scales the
technology licensed from developers to cater to the needs of
automotive-specific Tier 2s and Tier 1s
Tier 2 Suppliers –
Manufacture and supply the
vision processor chip and the
vision algorithms
Frost & Sullivan
33
Bosch is the leading supplier in the largest segment with its multi-sensor capability in
RADAR and LIDAR essential to help integration with existing OEM solutions and build a
stronger LDW roadmap for the future
Suppliers Key OEMs
Bosch Mercedes Benz, Audi, VW
Continental BMW, Mercedes Benz
Delphi GM, Volvo, Audi
Valeo VW, Volvo
Autoliv BMW, Mercedes Benz
HELLA BMW, Mazda,
TRW Fiat, BMW, VW
Denso Fiat, Toyota
ACC 2015 2016 2017 2018+
Option 1
FCW
Single
mono
camera +
77 GHz
Option 2
CW and ACC Solution
79 GHz RADAR
=>Bosch, Continental
Option 3
FCW Solution Incorporating
ACC and AEB
Mono Camera + LIDAR
=>Bosch, Continental,
Valeo
Option 4
Stereo Camera Based
LDW that combines the data for FCW and
AEB
=>Bosch, Continental, Autoliv
FCW Roadmap
Frost & Sullivan
ADAS: LDW Market Overview, North America and Europe, 2015
34
OEM Platform Strategies
35
The platform architecture defines the framework for a vehicle with OEMs increasingly
moving to modular and mega platforms which break up the vehicle into various modules
that are then standardized across segments
PV OEMs’ Platform Strategy: Platform Architecture Definition, Global, 2015–2022
An architecture defines the overall framework of the vehicle including its footprint, driveline, and engine
orientations, and suspension, which form the vehicle’s DNA and its driving dynamics. Examples of key
architectures are front engine and rear drive (FR), rear engine and rear drive (RR), mid-engine and
rear drive (MR), and longitudinal engine mounting and transverse engine mounting.
Platform
Architecture
Modular platforms break the vehicle architecture into various modules. These modules comprise
various systems such as suspension systems and braking systems. The modules are designed to be
common among various vehicles and segments. This enables the vehicle design to be standardized
and remain customizable.
Modular
Platforms
A platform that uses the principle of modularity is highly scalable and produces more than a million
units per annum. Megaplatforms are able to incorporate various vehicle segments and designs into the
same platform. These platforms are used for global standard vehicle architectures. For example, the
MQB platform by VW in 2022 is expected to be the #1 megaplatform.
Mega-platforms
Frost & Sullivan
36
By 2022, 13 manufacturers will account for 77.3% of global PV production …
PV OEMs’ Platform Strategy: Production Share Breakdown, Global, 2015 and 2022
11,3% 11,3%
11,7%9,7%
9,8%9,6%
10,0%8,2%
8,9%8,8%
6,7%7,0%
5,3%5,4%
5,0%4,9%
3,7%
3,9%
2,3%2,7%
2,2%2,7%
1,4%1,5%
1,2%
1,5%
20,5%22,7%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
80,0%
90,0%
100,0%
2015 2022
Passen
ger
Veh
icle
OE
M P
rod
ucti
on
Sh
are
Bre
akd
ow
n (
%)
Calendar Year
*Other PV OEMs
Geely Group
Tata Motors Group
Daimler Group
BMW Group
PSA Group
Honda Group
FCA Group
Ford Group
Hyundai Group
General Motors Group
Renault-Nissan Group
Toyota Group
Volkswagen Group
13 OEMs only
77.3% Production share
Upward movement Downward movementLegend: Stable
13 OEMs only
78.6% Production share • Global automotive
production expected to
expand at a CAGR* of
3.2% from 87.3 Million
units in 2015 to 108.9
Million units by 2022.
• Volkswagen Group is
expected to retain the
number one position in
terms of units production
through its strategic
investments in China and
other developing
markets.
• Toyota Group followed by
Renault Nissan Group
are expected to be other
automakers in the top 3
list.
LMC, Frost & Sullivan
37
... but their vehicles will be based on 26.7% fewer platforms than in 2015
PV OEMs’ Platform Strategy: Platform Reduction Roadmap, Global, 2015 and 2022
12 9
2819
22
18
26
14
18
13
12
8
17
13
12
12
10
9
9
6
7
5
13
9
9
8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2015 2022
Passen
ger
Veh
icle
OE
Ms G
lob
al
Pla
tfo
rm
Bre
akd
ow
n
Calendar Year
Geely Group
Tata Motors Group
Daimler Group
BMW Group
PSA Group
Honda Group
FCA Group
Ford Group
Hyundai Group
General Motors Group
Renault-Nissan Group
Toyota Group
Volkswagen Group
13 OEMs
143 Global Platforms
13 OEMs
195 Global Platforms
Upward movement Downward movementLegend: Stable
(26.7%) platform
reduction • On an average, PV
OEMs are expected to
reduce 26.7% of their
global platforms by 2022.
• Ford group followed by
VW group are among the
mainstream OEMs to
have the least number of
platforms to produce
global models.
• Daimler group followed
BMW group are among
the luxury OEMs to have
the least number of
platforms to produce
global models.
LMC, Frost & Sullivan
38
Globally, for the 13 OEMs, 70 modular platforms are expected to spin off some 534
models and 57.3 million vehicles by 2022
PV OEMs Platform Strategy: Future Global Modular Platforms and Models, Global, 2022
• Modular and all other
global platforms by 2022
will account for 900
production models and
84.2 million production
units.
• The 70 modular platforms
by 2022 will account for
about 534 models and
57.3 million production
units, that is, an average
of 8 models per platform.
• Similarly, the 73 other key
platforms by 2022 will
account for another 366
models and 26.9 million
production units, that is,
an average of 5 models
per platform.
Modular Platforms
70
Non -Modular
Platforms
73
0
30
60
90
120
150
2022
Calendar Year
Modular Platforms
534
Non –Modular
Platforms
366
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2022
Calendar Year
Modular Platforms
57.3
Non-Modular Platform
26.9
0,00
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,00
50,00
60,00
70,00
80,00
90,00
2022
Calendar Year
No
. o
f p
latf
orm
s
No. of M
odels
Pro
duction in m
illio
ns
Frost & Sullivan
39
Renault-Nissan and VW are anticipated to lead the adoption of modular platforms with
GM, Toyota, Ford and Hyundai following
400,000–
600,000
Platform Strategy: Key OEM’s Modular Platform Comparison, Global, 2022
No. of Modular Platforms
Ave
rag
e M
od
els
Pe
r P
latf
orm
Volkswagen Group
Toyota
Group
Renault
Nissan Group
Hyundai
Group
Ford
Group
FCA Group
Honda
Group
PSA
Group
BMW
Group
Daimler
Group
Tata
Group
Geely
Group
GM Group
Bubble Size Is Average Production Volume Per Platform in Units
600,000–
800,000> 1,000,000< 400,000
800,000–
1,000,000
Honda group is anticipated to build a modular platform for CR-V, Accord
and Civic by 2017. Three models account for 36% of the groups sales
Average Lines
• Upward Movement would imply the company is
increasing the models in the modular platform. This
would reduce the raw materials through economies
of scale. This would further improve the gross
margins of the company.
• Movement towards the left would signify the
company is reducing their platforms through further
consolidation. This would reduce the fixed costs for
the company. Hence, the operating margins of the
company would improve.
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LMC, Frost & Sullivan
40
Renault’s Common Modular Family platforms will produce 65% of its global volumes in
2022, with 67 models using between 11 and 15 modules
PV OEMs’ Platform Strategy: CMF Platforms, Global, 2015
• The CMF Platform Strategy is key to Renault-Nissan Alliance’s
goals of Mobility for All and Sustainable Mobility. CMF
architecture is cascaded with several platforms.
• Through the CMF platform, the company uses the same platform
to develop a variety of segments (up to 7 per platform) for
various markets.
• The engine compartment consists of 2 modules. The front
underbody, cockpit, and rear underbody each consists of 3
modules. Hence, using a total of 11 modules, various body
designs are developed.
Vehicle TypeEngine
Compartment
Front
UnderbodyCockpit
Rear
Underbody
Electrical
and
Electronics
MUV
SUV
Sedan
Hatch-
back
Heavy Weight
Middle Weight
Light Weight
High Position
Mid Position
Low Position
Heavy Weight
Middle Weight
Light WeightLow Hood
High Hood
Designed
for luxury,
premium,
and low-
cost
vehicles
Primary Benefit is Refined Supply Chain
• Common suppliers and standardized component
sharing across platforms to the tune of 60% is
expected.
• For instance, Renault and Nissan share a full 66% of
their major 100 suppliers including multiple sources
(the result of Tsunami experience).
• About 70 key components standardization by Renault-
Nissan (Battery, HVAC, Door Handles, Glasses)
Frost & Sullivan
41
VW’s Modular Transversal Toolkit (MQB) platform is expected to produce 9.1m units
encompassing 50 models using 12 standardized modules
PV OEMs’ Platform Strategy: Modular Toolkits Strategy, Global, 2015
Modular Toolkits
Strategy
Platform
Architectures
MQB MLB
NSF MSB
MEB
• The modular toolkits
strategy is used to
develop 5 key platform
architectures that cater to
various segments and
models.
• The platform
architectures are the
guidelines to develop the
modular platforms
(MQB1,MQB2,MLB1,ML
B2,MLB3,MSB).
• The platforms are further
broken into modules that
are standardized.
• By using different
combinations of the
modules, the various
models are developed.
Cost Reduction as the Primary
Benefit
• For instance, VW group targets an
at least 20% reduction in
development cost by adopting
modular toolkit strategy.
• Development cost is 10%
(approximately) of the vehicle cost
for mass-market OEMs like VW.
• Typically, at such high volumes,
vehicle price could become
competitive by at least 2%.
MQB Platform Modules• The platform consists of 3
structural modules that are
broken into:
• 3 front and under-body
chassis
• 5 Front Door
• 4 Rear Floor
• Using the combination of these
12 modules, the MQB platform
produces models across brands
such as Audi, Skoda, Seat, and
Volkswagen.
Frost & Sullivan
42
Aftermarket
43
In 2016, the aftermarket will be shaped by developments that are related to increased
connectivity in and outside cars, with six key trends (1/2)
Heightened global focus on pollution control and emission norms, exhaust control
components replacement market is expected to grow swiftly across most regions
Emission Control Component Aftermarket 2
Technology focused at improving vehicle service delivery for Independent Aftermarket
service providers will see a high magnitude enhancement. Market will see newer
software subscription based models from diagnostic data providers
Technology in the Bay1
Parts eCommerce Growth in Emerging Markets3
Emerging markets like China and Brazil have witnessed greater ecommerce participation
in the aftermarket. Forecasted dips in these economies will further fuel growth of this
channel in 2016, as customers focus on less expensive parts for maintenance
Frost & Sullivan
44
In 2016, the aftermarket will be shaped by developments that are related to increased
connectivity in and outside cars, with six key trends (2/2)
While eRetailers have been primarily targeting DIYers, aftermarket participants are
slowly realizing the opportunity in B2B channel and in 2016 the channel is expected to
see significant activity on the online platform. The trend will find maximum traction in the
Americas and Western Europe.
eRetail in B2B Sales5
Service aggregators have emerged as a popular choice for customers to research and
fix service appointments, This trend is expected to grow stronger and aftermarket will
see newer players entering across carious regions globally
Service Aggregation, Mobile Service Next-Gen Business Models4
Private Labelling6
Challenge from private label brands in expected to aggravate national WDs, and retailers
will expand their offerings across more number of product categories. Private label
brands are expected to account for almost 33% of total sales in North America in 2016
Frost & Sullivan
45
The service bay of the future will evolve under the influence of a combination of vehicle
and market related factors …
Connected Vehicles
Telematics, Remote
diagnostics
Electric VehiclesPlug and play components
Electronics
Increased complexity
Regulatory
Environment
Free competition
Increasing Average
Vehicle Age
Long maintenance spend
life
Technician Skill Gap
Service inefficiency
Light WeightingMaterials unfriendly to
repairs
Eye on ConveniencePower to the hand (hand
held tools for technicians)
Ve
hic
le S
ide
Ma
rket
Sid
e
Automotive Aftermarket: Top Trends Impacting Vehicle Service Bay of the Future, 20151
Frost & Sullivan
46
… to the extent that the garage of tomorrow will become a truly digital experience to the
benefit of the customer and service provider
Website optimized for different
search engines and platforms
(desktop/tablet/mobile)
Detailed service offerings listing
Value-added offerings highlighted
Chat pop-up
Appointment Scheduler
Repair cost calculator
DIYer corner
Listing on service aggregators
Store Website In-Store Capabilities
Use of tablets with latest diagnostic software
installed
VIN lookup capabilities to track down past
repair history
Augmented Reality based applications for
service aid
OBD II based real time diagnosis capabilities
Data logging provisions
3D Printers, Wearables
Value-Added Offerings
On-call assistance
Mobile servicing options
Subscription based service
options
Female Friendly Staffing and
store layout
Over the air real time repair status
updates
In-vehicle interfacing for service
appointment updates and
scheduling
Automotive Aftermarket: Garage of Tomorrow, Global1
Frost & Sullivan
47
Replacement Part
Category
2015 Revenue
(S Billion)
2016 Revenue
($ Billion)2015-16 growth rate
Tires 80.3 87.5 9.0%
Batteries 14.6 14.7 0.7%
Brake parts 24.1 25.7 6.6%
Filters 10.6 11.8 11.3%
Collision body 33.1 37.5 13.3%
Starters and alternators 8.7 8.8 1.1%
Lighting 6.2 6.2 0.0%
Exhaust components 4.6 5.0 8.7%
Spark plugs 3.3 3.4 3.0%
Others* 181.6 183.9 1.3%
Total 367.0 384.5
The total global aftermarket is expected to increase by 4.8% with particular growth from
emission control components
Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue by Category,
Global, 2015-2016
* Others includes steering system hard parts, Reman'd engine and transmission, CV drive axle and boot kit, Reman'd rack and pinion steering gear, HVAC and engine cooling components of commercial vehicles, Class 6-8 truck powertrain systems and components, Class 6-8 truck chassis systems and components, tire pressure monitoring systems, light vehicle exhaust emission control systems, fuel delivery systems, engine control units, ignition parts, automotive sensors, ignition wire sets, Class 6-8 engine components, selected fractional horsepower motors, fuel injectors, fuel pumps, selected automotive Reman'd pumps, sports compact underhood components, belt, hoses, gaskets and seals, battery, carburetor, gauge, internal engine hard parts.
2
Frost & Sullivan
All figures are rounded. The base year is 2015
48
Region CountryAutomotive Aftermarket eCommerce
Penetration 2015 (%)
North AmericaUnited States 5-6%
Canada 1-2%
South AmericaBrazil 2-2.5%
Mexico ~0.5%
Europe
UK 5-6%
France 6-7%
Germany 6-7%
Spain 2-3%
Italy 2-3%
Russia 2-3%
Asia
India ~0.5%
China ~0.2%
eRetailing penetration will, from a low base, increase most rapidly in developing South
American and Asian markets
Automotive Aftermarket: eRetailing Penetration, 20153
Frost & Sullivan
All figures are rounded. The base year is 2015
49
Aggregators are emerging as a popular choice in Europe and North America for owners
to research and arrange service appointments
Competition: Moderate
Highlights:
One of the early markets
exposed to this concept
Size of market poses
challenge in maintaining
accurate and reliable data
Players to Watch
RepairPal
YourMechanic.com
AutoMD
OpenBay
Competition: Strong
Highlights:
Regional players
Small geographic coverage
favors in making data
comprehensive
Players to Watch
Whocanfixmycar.com, UK
ClickMechanic, UK
Autobutler.dk, Denmark
Allogarage.fr, France
Mechanify.com , UK
Motoring.co.uk, UK
Automotive Aftermarket: Major Service Aggregator, 20154
Frost & Sullivan
50
eRetailers are also expanding into B2B channel sales, creating niche service areas and
helping to boost revenues for all stakeholders
Past
Part Manufacturers
Distributor
Customer
(IRF, Fleet)Retailers
Customer
Part Manufacturers
Distributor
Customer
(IRF, Fleet)Retailers
Customer
eRetailers
(Autozone
Pro, itaro
Pro, exist.ru)
Future
Customer goes to a
partner workshop or
takes delivery at a
given/home address
Workshop
Network
(Partnerships with
garages
nationwide)
Customized UI : On the
lines of a typical B2B
ordering platform, with
facets of B2C portal
adopted to ease ordering
Direct ordering
via online B2B
portal
(Online ordering with customized fulfillment options will
dominate both B2B and B2C channels)
Borderline B2C, with order delivered at partner
workshops
5
Frost & Sullivan
51
Autozone O’Reilly Advance Auto NAPA
Brands
Duralast
Duralast Gold
Valucraft
C-Max
BestTest,
BrakeBest
Master Pro
Micro-Gard
Murray
O’Reilly Auto
Parts
Power
Torque
Super Start
Ultima
Omnispark
Autocraft
Driveworks
Tough One
Wearver
NAPA
Sales
Contribution of
Private Label
~50% ~35% ~25% ~90%
Store Count 5279 4163 5276 6000
Geographic
PresenceUS, Mexico, Brazil US US US, Canada
DIFM:DIY
Sales16:84 41:59 37:63 80:20
Value
Proposition
Duralast brand has
emerged as one of
the largest selling
brands in NA.
Strengthening the
brand with larger
coverage is key
Large mix of private brands
dilutes the brand name.
Consolidation required
On the other hand, extended
coverage of private label brands
ensure higher turnover in
volumes
Good mix of brands,
with more focus
required on bringing
larger number of parts
under an umbrella
brand
Success of the
program group has
been largely based on
its private-label brands
and it continues to
maintain its focus in
the area
Private labelling is becoming a key contributor in North America and this trend could
well take hold in other major markets globally
Future of Automotive Parts and Service Retailing: Private Labeling6
AAIA, Frost & Sullivan
All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013
52
Appendices
53
Principal abbreviations
ACC Adaptive Cruise Control GM General Motors
ADAS Advanced Driver Assistance Systems HC Hydrocarbon
AEB Autonomous Emergency Braking IAM Independent Aftermarket
APAC Asia Pacific IC Internal Combustion
AT Automatic Transmission km Kilometre
B2B Business To Business LDW Lane Departure Warning
B2C Business To Consumer M Million
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke MQB Modularer Querbaukasten (Modular Transversal Toolkit)
BSD Blind Spot Detection MR Mid-engine and Rear drive
CAGR Compound Average Growth Rate NA North America
CFRP Carbon Fiber Reinforced Polymer NCAP New Car Assessment Programme
CMF Common Modular Family NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
CO Carbon Monoxide NL Netherlands
CO 2 Carbon Dioxide NO x Nitrogen Oxide
DCT Dual Clutch Technology NV Night Vision
DIFM Do It For Me OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer
DIY Do It Yorself PA Park Assist
EGR Exhaust Gas Recirculation PM Particulate Matter
eREVs Extended-Range Electric Vehicles PSA Groupe PSA (Peugeot Citroën)
EV Electric Vehicle PV Passenger Vehicle
FCV Fuel Cell Vehicle RR Rear engine and Rear drive
FCW Forward Collision Warning SUV Sports Utility Vehicle
FR Front engine and Rear drive UK United Kingdom
g Gram VW Volkswagen
GDI Gasoline Direct Injection
54
Frost & Sullivan contacts
John DaviesSenior Consultant
Business & Financial Services
Tel +33 1 42 81 21 01
Livio VaninettiDirector
Italy
Tel +39 02 4851 6135
Luca RaffelliniHead
Business & Financial Services
Tel +44 20 7343 8384
55
Frost & Sullivanwww.frost.com
October 2016