ASQ Clinic On Risk 09
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Transcript of ASQ Clinic On Risk 09
© JD Consulting, 2009
Practical Applications
of Risk Management
ASQ – Orange Empire
by: Jack Dhuwalia,
President,
J D Consulting
November 10, 2009
© JD Consulting, 2009 2
Attendee Notes:
From this presentation, what do I want to have answered/clarified?
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_______________________________Ideas that I can apply:
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© JD Consulting, 2009 4
Welcome!
• Phones
• Interactive – please share
• Relaxed approach
• Write questions and “Aha!” moments/ideas on the summary sheet provided
© JD Consulting, 2009 5
• Familiarity with Risk Management
• Industry: Medical, Aerospace, IT, Service and other
• Questions you’d like to have answered – lets hear them
Background of the audience
© JD Consulting, 2009 6
My plan
• Risk is part of every day life
• Introduce simple concepts
• Apply them to Supplier/Material risk
• Ideas on risk reduction/management
• Have a fun, learning experience for all
• Handout have more stuff than we’ll cover
© JD Consulting, 2009 7
Risk Analysis – complicated?
• Common sense
• We do it every day
– Look both ways before crossing …
– Getting the brakes fixed before …
• Purpose: Manage risk to an acceptable level – “zero” risk?
• Write “Aha!” moments/ideas
© JD Consulting, 2009 9
What do you think of the impact?
• Personal life?
• Impact on family life - security
• Business now and future
• Does it shake up consumer confidence?
• Competitive advantage?
– Market place
– Regulatory
• Quality of life
© JD Consulting, 2009 11
ISO 14971-2007
• Medical devices – Application of risk management to medical devices
• Significant to EU
• Accepted by FDA - expectations
• Application to drugs/biologics - recent ICH Q9 includes risk management
• Transfers to other industries as well as service groups
© JD Consulting, 2009 12
Definitions
• Harm – Physical injury or damage to health, property or environment
• Hazard – Potential source of harm
• Hazardous situation – Circumstances in which people, property or the environment are exposed to one or more hazards (see Mr. Jaws!)
© JD Consulting, 2009 13
• Risk – Combination of probability of occurrence of harm and severity of that harm
• Risk estimation – Process used to assign values of the probability of occurrence of harm and severity of that harm
Definitions (contd.)
© JD Consulting, 2009 14
Definitions (contd.)
• Risk evaluation – process of comparing risk against given risk criteria to determine the acceptability of the risk
© JD Consulting, 2009 17
Calculations
• P1 is the probability of hazardous situation occurring
• P2 is the probability of “it” leading to harm
• P1 x P2 is the probability of occurrence of harm
© JD Consulting, 2009 18
Calculations for Shark-bite
• P1 is when I might be in open ocean – 20 dives x 0.75 hr/dive / (365 days x 24 hr/day) = 0.0017
• P2 is “it” leading to harm –
• From Mr. Jaws – near zero since I only dive in warm waters
• From other sharks – estimate 5/20 = 0.25
• P1 x P2 = 0.0017 x 0.25 = 0.0004, or 4/10,000 dives – Probability of occurrence of harm
© JD Consulting, 2009 24
Human Nature
• Denial
• “It” won’t happen to me
• No one is “that stupid” to do…
• Blind spots
• They can’t “see” the problem
• Likely to miss potential risks
The same mind that creates a given
problem simply cannot fix the problem.
© JD Consulting, 2009
Risk Assessment Summary
O-5 ALARP NAC NAC NAC NAC
O-4ALARP
ALARP NAC NAC NAC
O-3ALARP
ALARPNAC NAC
Occ O-2ALARP
ALARPNAC
O-1ALARP
S-1 S-2 S-3 S-4 S-5
Severity
© JD Consulting, 2009 29
Risk Assessment
• Vendor/Supplier/Material risk
• Design risk
• Manufacturing process risk
• User risk (idiot-proofing)
• Risk assessments are mostly subjective since hard data is seldom available in many situations
© JD Consulting, 2009 30
Risk analysis techniques
• FMEA is bottoms-up
– Excellent for production/process risk
– Some use for design risk
– Creates “blind-spots”
• FTA is top-down
– Excellent for user risk
– Helps complete the picture – eliminates “blind spots”
© JD Consulting, 2009 31
FMEA
#
Proce
ss
step/FUNCTIO
N
Potential
Failure
Mode
POTENTIA
L EFFECTS
OF
FAILURE
Potential
Causes
of
Failure
CURRENT
PROCESS
CONTROLS
Before
MitigationAfter Mitigation
O
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v
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y
D
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ti
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R
P
N
Mitigations
O
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S
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D
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P
N
© JD Consulting, 2009 32
What is FTA?
• A top-down approach which assumes the safety hazard and then analyzes the possible causes.
• Starts with a postulated undesired consequence and looks for possible causes or fault modes at the lower system or component level.
• Used for COMPLEX SYSTEMS.
© JD Consulting, 2009 33
Supplier Risk
• Common to most companies
• Common to every day life such as
– Auto recalls
– Electrical safety - toaster
© JD Consulting, 2009 35
Supplier Risk Reduction –
sterile packaging service
• Potential problem of losing sterility due to poor package seals
– Verified material specs
– Discovered that manufacturing process didn’t have an alarm or a shut down if malfunction resulting in poor seal segment
– Worked with the supplier to create a more robust out-going inspection and audit
– Reduced the probability of occurrence into “ALARP” or “green” zone
© JD Consulting, 2009 36
Supplier Risk Reduction
Example - Component
• Example: Injection molded connector with parts cracking – failure in red
– High probability of occurrence
– To bring it to below “red” zone
– Work with supplier to implement process validation
– Adding in-process testing to stress the part to failure, then operating much below
– Same test at incoming inspection until resolution
© JD Consulting, 2009 37
Supplier Risk Reduction –
sterile packaging service
• Potential problem of losing sterility due to poor package seals
– Verified material specs
– Discovered that materials in past lots didn’t have sufficient adhesive
– Worked with the supplier to create a more robust in-coming inspection and audit
– Reduced the probability of occurrence into “ALARP” or “green” zone
© JD Consulting, 2009 38
Supplier Risk Reduction –
sterile packaging service
• Potential problem of running an incorrect load configuration
– Supplier must follow the exact load configuration for Gamma Irradiation
– Incorrect load places the risk factors in “red” zone
– Working with production and quality and systems in place to assure compliance
– Reduced the probability of occurrence into “ALARP” or “green” zone
© JD Consulting, 2009 39
Supplier Risk Reduction –
finished product – tubing set
• Again, the risk analysis placed it in the “red” zone
• Working with supplier to discover that residual solvent stays inside the tubing
• Solvent bubbles into blood being circulated causing potential embolism in patient
• Supplier changed the solvent which completely evaporates ahead of time
© JD Consulting, 2009 40
Supplier Risk
• Look for business risk, process risk, quality system risk, production planning risk, resources risk, ability to solve problems - quickly and effectively …
© JD Consulting, 2009 41
Supplier Risk (contd.)
• Treat it as if it a part of your quality and management system
– Because it affects you and your risk
– Per ISO 9001, ISO 13485, FDA – QSR, the manufacturer is fully responsible for the finished product, regardless whether the supplier provides a component or the entire product or provides a service regardless of Supplier’s ISO certification
© JD Consulting, 2009 42
Supplier Risk (contd.)
• Know the risk the supplier product/service affects to your product
• This means a risk assessment has been made and is “driving” the supplier assessment
© JD Consulting, 2009 43
Supplier Risk (contd.)
• Main areas of concern
– Business and operational capability
– Technological capability
– Ethics, values (what is important to them?)
– Can they supply the necessary• Quality
• Safety
• Performance
• Reliability
© JD Consulting, 2009 44
Supplier Risk (contd.)
• Operational capability such as:
– Ability and willingness to respond to performance indicators such as:
• Lead times
• On-time delivery
• Response time
• Past performance, experience and human resources (quality and quantity) all play into it
© JD Consulting, 2009 45
Supplier Risk (contd.)
• Controls such as:
– Change control
– Control of their suppliers (incl. audits)
– Quality System (ISO, etc.)
– Process capability
– Process validations
– Complaint handling and responsiveness
– Corrective and preventive actions
© JD Consulting, 2009 47
Learnings from the experience
• Please look at your notes on the summary sheet provided
• Share ideas to take-home
• Share ideas that make sense to me
© JD Consulting, 2009 48
My plan – we covered
• Risk is part of every day life
• Introduce simple concepts
• Apply them to Supplier/Material risk
• Ideas on risk reduction/management
• Have a fun, learning experience for all
© JD Consulting, 2009 49
Gratitude
• ASQ Orange Empire Section 0701
• Dave Nagy
• Audience for your participation
© JD Consulting, 2009
Other information
• To contact Jack Dhuwalia– Email: [email protected]
– Phone:949-854-4534
– www.jdconsultingsite.com
• FDA
– www.fda.gov/cdrh devices
• GHTF– www.ghtf.org/documents
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