ASIAHORCs Joint Symposium 2009, Nagoya …...2 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Year 1995 2000 2005 u U 0.6...

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Professor Barry W. Brook Sir Hubert Wilkins Chair of Climate Change Director of Climate Science, Environment Institute School of Earth and Environmental Sciences The University of Adelaide Email: [email protected] ASIAHORCs Joint Symposium 2009, Nagoya Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species extinctions under climate change

Transcript of ASIAHORCs Joint Symposium 2009, Nagoya …...2 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Year 1995 2000 2005 u U 0.6...

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Professor Barry W. BrookSir Hubert Wilkins Chair of Climate Change

Director of Climate Science, Environment InstituteSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences

The University of AdelaideEmail: [email protected]

ASIAHORCs Joint Symposium 2009, Nagoya

Integrating bioclimate with population models to improve forecasts of species

extinctions under climate change

mailto:[email protected]
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Climate Change Science

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2001-2007 Mean Surface Temperature Anomaly (◦C)Base Period = 1951-80, Global Mean Anomaly = +0.54

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Current and projected impacts

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Synergies involved in global change

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Next generation methods for assessing extinction risk due to climate synergies

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Global climate modelling and downscaling

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Species distribution and niche modelling

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Cou

nt

abundance ~ soil fertility + wetness2 + radiation3

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Demographic population viability

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?

? ?

(pollen evidence)Primary refugium

Primary refugium(no pollen evidence)

Secondary refugium

500 km

?

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Putting the elements together

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1966, 1974 Ricklefs 1973 1975) 1967) 1969 1970 Connell ... · 1974b; Pielou 1975; Arrnstrong and McGehee 1976a, 1976b; McGehee and Arm- strong 1977). However, the general conclusion

1966, 1974 Ricklefs 1973 1975) 1967) 1969 1970 Connell ... · 1974b; Pielou 1975; Arrnstrong and McGehee 1976a, 1976b; McGehee and Arm- strong 1977). However, the general conclusion

WORLD ECONOMIC SURVEY, 1975 - United Nations · WORLD ECONOMIC SURVEY, 1975 ... 24 October 1970 - calls for a biennial review and appraisal of performance and ... export and import

WORLD ECONOMIC SURVEY, 1975 - United Nations · WORLD ECONOMIC SURVEY, 1975 ... 24 October 1970 - calls for a biennial review and appraisal of performance and ... export and import

1970 1974 1975 1978 - Oxford Brookes University

1970 1974 1975 1978 - Oxford Brookes University

Records, 1970-1979 · Records Record Unit 264 Page 2 of 37 the correspondence of program administrators Robert K. Poole, 1970-1975, and James A. Sherburne, 1975-1978, with host countries

Records, 1970-1979 · Records Record Unit 264 Page 2 of 37 the correspondence of program administrators Robert K. Poole, 1970-1975, and James A. Sherburne, 1975-1978, with host countries

Commissioners Commissaires€¦ · Matthew E. Welsh 1965–1970 1966–1970 (co-chair/co-président) Christian A. Herter Jr. 1970–1975 (co-chair/co-président) Henry P. Smith III

Commissioners Commissaires€¦ · Matthew E. Welsh 1965–1970 1966–1970 (co-chair/co-président) Christian A. Herter Jr. 1970–1975 (co-chair/co-président) Henry P. Smith III

LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 - Panda · 2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 INTRODUCTION 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.6 0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8

LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 - Panda · 2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 INTRODUCTION 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.6 0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8

8.1.- DOGMA CENTRAL BIOLOGÍA MOLECULAR TEMIN: NOBEL 1975 Retrotranscriptasa F. Crick 1970.

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Blumberg CV 2014 - Welcome to URMC - Rochester, NY ... · PDF fileEducation MD, 1975 BS, 1970 Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT (1970-75) Yale University Graduate School

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faust - stretch out time: 1970-1975

faust - stretch out time: 1970-1975

The Chicago American New York Times The Champaign … · The Chicago American, ... November 8, 1968 January 10, 1975 Newsweek Special Memos, 1970-1978 Percy, ... 1975 9/15/1975 11/24/1975

The Chicago American New York Times The Champaign … · The Chicago American, ... November 8, 1968 January 10, 1975 Newsweek Special Memos, 1970-1978 Percy, ... 1975 9/15/1975 11/24/1975

ERL series Small & High Power Current Sensing Low …19 型番 ERL0510 1.0±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.3±0.2 ERL0816 1.6±0.2 0.8±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.3±0.2 ERL1220 2.0±0.2 1.25±0.2 0.5±0.2

ERL series Small & High Power Current Sensing Low …19 型番 ERL0510 1.0±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.3±0.2 ERL0816 1.6±0.2 0.8±0.2 0.5±0.2 0.3±0.2 ERL1220 2.0±0.2 1.25±0.2 0.5±0.2

CHAPTER IV THE CIVIL WAR IN CAMBODIA, 1970-1975shodhganga.inflibnet.ac.in/bitstream/10603/16057/8/09_chapter 4.pdfTHE CIVIL WAR IN CAMBODIA, 1970-1975 . The history of Cambodia, from

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Gender Disparity under the Law and Women’s Well-Being · 2019. 8. 9. · GLOBAL AVERAGE GDI SCORES, 1970 – 2016 Year Global Average GDI Score 1970 0.7374 1975 0.7588 1980 0.7727

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DOGMA CENTRAL BIOLOGÍA MOLECULAR TEMIN: NOBEL 1975 Retrotranscriptasa F. Crick 1970.

DOGMA CENTRAL BIOLOGÍA MOLECULAR TEMIN: NOBEL 1975 Retrotranscriptasa F. Crick 1970.

TRADE LIBERALIZATION EXPERIENCE IN THE PHILIPPINES, … · percent moved to Luzon. The proportion increased to 37.2 percent in 1960-1970 and 48.4 percent in 1970-1975. Movements into

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LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008...2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 INTRODUCTION 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.6 0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 Index (1970=1.0)

LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008...2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 INTRODUCTION 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.6 0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 Index (1970=1.0)

Bowling Green State University · Figure 1. Women's Marriage Rate, 1970 - 2015 90 80 70 60 50 40 32.3 30 20 10 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: 1970 — 2000,

Bowling Green State University · Figure 1. Women's Marriage Rate, 1970 - 2015 90 80 70 60 50 40 32.3 30 20 10 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: 1970 — 2000,

Impact of technological development and economic growth in the U.S. between 1945- 1975. Civil Rights Movement Political developments between 1945-1970.

Impact of technological development and economic growth in the U.S. between 1945- 1975. Civil Rights Movement Political developments between 1945-1970.

Hans von Storch (ca 1970-1975 Progammierer bei Ramming und Sündermann)

Hans von Storch (ca 1970-1975 Progammierer bei Ramming und Sündermann)