Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

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ASA Wisconsin Chapter Meeting Friday, April 24, 2015

Transcript of Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Page 1: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

ASA Wisconsin Chapter

Meeting

Friday, April 24, 2015

Page 2: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Residual Values for

Machinery and Equipment

ASA presents:

Presenter:

Sharon Desfor, ASA

Upon webinar completion, the participant will be better able to:

Define a residual value and assess when, why, and how is it used

Recognize common errors in residual values (how NOT to calculate

them)

Calculate equipment residual values

Determine other considerations (different depreciation rates, lease

return provisions, and using your own judgment)

Page 3: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Why Should You Perform

Residual Value Projections?

Page 4: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

(Source: U.S. Equipment Finance Market Study 2012-2013 from the Equipment Leasing & Foundation)

Page 5: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

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Page 6: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Comments on methodology

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Page 7: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The majority of banks do not account for any

further inflation in their calculations. This

conservatism can be used to mitigate their risk

factor. Some will then calculate their own present

values at various inflation rates just to see what

kind of margins they might enjoy at lease

termination, but then book the residual at the

uninflated number.

Comments on methodology

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Page 8: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Sharon’s very opinionated opinion

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Page 9: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

What does “residual” mean?

Page 10: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

What is a Residual Value?

“Essentially, the term residual value

means the value remaining after some

of the asset’s normal useful life has

been consumed. It can also refer to the

value of the asset at a defined future

point in time. Though the future value is

often defined as the future fair market

value, that’s not always the case.

Again, it is important that the pertinent

sections of the lease document be

reviewed prior to performing any

valuation in connection with a lease.”

(Valuing Machinery and Equipment: The Fundamentals

of Appraising Machinery and Technical Assets, Third

Edition, American Society of Appraisers)10

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Is it even valid to give a future FMV?

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Page 12: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

Owners of an asset,

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Page 13: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

Operators of those assets,

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Page 14: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

Lenders to those owners,

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Page 15: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

Taxing authorities (IRS, Inland Revenue)

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Page 16: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

Lessees of the assets,

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Page 17: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Who Uses Them?

but mostly Lessors of assets.

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Page 18: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

When are they used?

Lease inception

Annual FASB compliance

audit

Asset substitution in a

lease

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Page 19: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Question

How often are you asked to perform a residual

value projection?

A. At least weekly

B. Every month or two

C.2 or 3 times a year

D.Once a year or less

E. I’ve never been asked for a residual value

projection before

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Page 20: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

What are Residual Value

Projections Used For,

Anyway?

Page 21: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Why & How Are They Used?

What are residual value projections used for,

anyway?

• Determining an assets’ end-of-lease value

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Page 22: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Why & How Are They Used?

What are residual value projections used for,

anyway?

• Determining an assets’ end-of-lease value

• The ultimate purpose is developing the lease rate

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Page 23: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Why & How Are They Used?

What are residual value projections used for,

anyway?

• Determining an assets’ end-of-lease value

• The ultimate purpose is developing the lease rate

• Fair rental calculations (remember ME204?)

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Page 24: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Why & How Are They Used?

What are residual value projections used for,

anyway?

• Determining an assets’ end-of-lease value

• The ultimate purpose is developing the lease rate

• Fair rental (remember ME204?)

• Lease rate buildup

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Page 25: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

CONTROLLABLE NON-CONTROLLABLE

Lease Rate Buildup – An Oversimplification

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Page 26: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Lease Rate Buildup An Over-Simplification

First - A Loan Example @ 7 year Fixed Rate

2.50%

0.75%

1.50%

1.50%

-.25%6.00%

COST OF

FUNDS

RISK [LOSS

PROVISION]OPERATING

EXPENSESPROFIT LESS: FEES

CLIENT

RATE

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Page 27: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Lease Rate Buildup An Over-Simplification

Now – Price A Lease for 7 years

CLIENT

LOAN

RATE

LESS:

RESIDUAL

UPSIDE

BENEFITS

LESS:

PARTIAL

TAX

BENEFITS

LESS: LIKE KIND

EXCHANGE

BENEFITS

LOWER

LEASE

RATE

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Page 28: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Question

Have you ever been asked to participate or

consult in lease rate negotiations?

A. Yes

B. No

C. It’s been so long I’m a virgin again.

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Page 29: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

How NOT to Calculate

Residual Values

Page 30: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

This is a blue book excerpt for the subject asset

2003 average Mid Time value is $1.52MM

2003 Factory List Price is $1.375MM

$1.52MM divided by $1.375MM is 110.5%

Therefore, in ten years the subject asset will be worth

110.5% of its new acquisition price

What is the error?

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 31: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The example uses only current market data

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 32: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The example uses only current market data

• There is no way of establishing from the given data

whether the current value of the asset is historically

relevant

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 33: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The example uses only current market data

• There is no way of establishing from the given data

whether the current value of the asset is historically

relevant

The example uses an old historical price

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 34: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The example uses only current market data

• There is no way of establishing from the given data

whether the current value of the asset is historically

relevant

The example uses an old historical price

• The correct price to use is the Replacement Cost New

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 35: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

• This is a compilation of past blue book data for the

subject asset

• What is the most common thing the asset manager

or appraiser will forget to do?

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 36: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

The inexperienced appraiser or the asset

manager often forgets to adjust the data for

inflation

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 37: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Initial value at lease initiation

x

Does this look right? =

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 38: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Failing to engage your brain to pick out

unrealistic projections

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 39: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

This particular asset ceased production in 1992

Once the resale values are adjusted for inflation, what

else needs adjustment?

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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Page 40: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Failure to adjust historical cost to a current

RCN is an incredibly common error for out-

of-production assets

Common Errors (How NOT to calculate)

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We’re moving on next to calculating the

depreciation rate, or decline rate.

Any questions?

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Page 42: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Calculating Residual Values

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First Line Of Calculations

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Page 44: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

First line of calculations

• How to calculate the current value as a % of RCN

Year of Mfr CPI Trend Factor Historic Cost

Trended

Historic Current Value % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 2,350,000 100.00%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 2,234,000 95.06%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 2,118,000 90.13%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 2,002,000 85.19%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,886,000 80.26%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,770,000 75.32%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 1,720,000 73.19%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 1,670,000 71.06%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 1,620,000 68.94%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 1,570,000 66.81%

Page 45: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

First line of calculations

• Normalize known current sales to standard

Year of Mfr CPI Trend Factor Historic Cost

Trended

Historic Current Value % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 2,350,000 100.00%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 2,234,000 95.06%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 2,118,000 90.13%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 2,002,000 85.19%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,886,000 80.26%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,770,000 75.32%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 1,720,000 73.19%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 1,670,000 71.06%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 1,620,000 68.94%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 1,570,000 66.81%

•The circled current values

are known, as is the RCN.

•The highlighted values may

be calculated by straight-line

depreciation or other means.

Page 46: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

First line of calculations

• Trend historical cost to RCN as needed

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor x Historic Cost

Trended

Historic Current Value % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% * 2,350,000 2,350,000 2,350,000 100.00%

2012 226.4 101.71% * 2,280,000 2,319,074 2,234,000 95.06%

2011 219.1 105.10% * 2,202,000 2,314,361 2,118,000 90.13%

2010 216.6 106.32% * 2,125,000 2,259,211 2,002,000 85.19%

2009 215.3 106.96% * 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,886,000 80.26%

2008 211.1 109.09% * 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,770,000 75.32%

2007 202.4 113.77% * 1,750,000 1,991,057 1,720,000 73.19%

2006 198.3 116.13% * 1,390,000 1,614,166 1,670,000 71.06%

2005 190.7 120.76% * 1,325,000 1,600,005 1,620,000 68.94%

2004 185.2 124.34% * 1,300,000 1,616,436 1,570,000 66.81%

Page 47: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

First line of calculations

• Simple division

Year of Mfr CPI Trend Factor Historic Cost

Trended

Historic Current Value % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 2,350,000 100.00%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 2,234,000 95.06%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 2,118,000 90.13%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 2,002,000 85.19%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,886,000 80.26%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,770,000 75.32%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 1,720,000 73.19%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 1,670,000 71.06%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 1,620,000 68.94%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 1,570,000 66.81%

Divide Current Value by

Trended Historic Cost.

Page 48: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

First line of calculations

• These percentages are your first line of calculations

Year of Mfr CPI Trend Factor Historic Cost

Trended

Historic Current Value % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 2,350,000 100.00%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 2,234,000 95.06%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 2,118,000 90.13%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 2,002,000 85.19%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,886,000 80.26%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,770,000 75.32%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 1,720,000 73.19%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 1,670,000 71.06%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 1,620,000 68.94%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 1,570,000 66.81%

Page 49: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Second Line Of Calculations

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Page 50: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Second line of calculations

• How to calculate the past value as a % of RCN

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor

Historic

Cost

Trended

HistoricPast Values

Trended

Past % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 1,370,000 1,370,000 58.30%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 1,375,000 1,398,564 59.51%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 1,455,000 1,529,244 65.07%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 1,455,000 1,546,895 65.83%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,685,000 1,802,238 76.69%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,237,500 1,349,936 57.44%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 987,500 1,123,525 47.81%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 987,500 1,146,755 48.80%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 987500 1,192,457 50.74%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 912500 1,134,614 48.28%

Page 51: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Normalize past sales to standard

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor

Historic

Cost

Trended

HistoricPast Values

Trended

Past % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 1,370,000 1,370,000 58.30%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 1,375,000 1,398,564 59.51%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 1,455,000 1,529,244 65.07%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 1,455,000 1,546,895 65.83%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,685,000 1,802,238 76.69%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,237,500 1,349,936 57.44%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 987,500 1,123,525 47.81%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 987,500 1,146,755 48.80%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 987500 1,192,457 50.74%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 912500 1,134,614 48.28%

•The circled past values are

known, as is the current

value.

•Highlighted values may be

calculated by straight-line

depreciation or other means.

Second line of calculations

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Page 52: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Second line of calculations

Trend past values as needed

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor

Historic

Cost

Trended

HistoricPast Values

Trended

Past % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 1,370,000 1,370,000 58.30%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 1,375,000 1,398,564 59.51%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 1,455,000 1,529,244 65.07%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 1,455,000 1,546,895 65.83%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,685,000 1,802,238 76.69%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,237,500 1,349,936 57.44%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 987,500 1,123,525 47.81%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 987,500 1,146,755 48.80%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 987500 1,192,457 50.74%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 912500 1,134,614 48.28%

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Page 53: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Second line of calculations

Trend historical cost to RCN if needed

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor

Historic

Cost

Trended

HistoricPast Values

Trended

Past % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 1,370,000 1,370,000 58.30%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 1,375,000 1,398,564 59.51%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 1,455,000 1,529,244 65.07%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 1,455,000 1,546,895 65.83%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,685,000 1,802,238 76.69%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,237,500 1,349,936 57.44%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 987,500 1,123,525 47.81%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 987,500 1,146,755 48.80%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 987500 1,192,457 50.74%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 912500 1,134,614 48.28%

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Page 54: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Second line of calculations

Simple division

Year of Mfr CPI

Trend

Factor

Historic

Cost

Trended

HistoricPast Values

Trended

Past % of RCN

2013 230.28 100.00% 2,350,000 2,350,000 1,370,000 1,370,000 58.30%

2012 226.4 101.71% 2,280,000 2,319,074 1,375,000 1,398,564 59.51%

2011 219.1 105.10% 2,202,000 2,314,361 1,455,000 1,529,244 65.07%

2010 216.6 106.32% 2,125,000 2,259,211 1,455,000 1,546,895 65.83%

2009 215.3 106.96% 1,965,000 2,101,719 1,685,000 1,802,238 76.69%

2008 211.1 109.09% 1,855,000 2,023,541 1,237,500 1,349,936 57.44%

2007 202.4 113.77% 1,750,000 1,991,057 987,500 1,123,525 47.81%

2006 198.3 116.13% 1,390,000 1,614,166 987,500 1,146,755 48.80%

2005 190.7 120.76% 1,325,000 1,600,005 987500 1,192,457 50.74%

2004 185.2 124.34% 1,300,000 1,616,436 912500 1,134,614 48.28%

Divide Trended Past Value by

Trended Historic Cost.

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Page 55: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

It is possible to reconcile to a most probable value

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

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Page 56: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

Take the trended historic price as RCN

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

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Page 57: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

Use first line of calculations as long as stable

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

57

Page 58: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

End with second line of calculations

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

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Page 59: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

SLN or appropriate choice of market depreciation from last

of 1st to 2nd line of calculations

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

59

Page 60: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Reconciliation

Now look at it. Is it sensible? Realistic?

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

Most

Probable

Residual

Value Past % of RCN * TH

Annual

depreciation

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

60

Page 61: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Other considerations

Different rates of depreciation for options and extras

Trended Historic (TH)

2,350,000

Current % of RCN

Annual

deprec. Most Likely

Residual

Value

Optional

equipment Past % of RCN

Annual

deprec.

100.00% 2,350,000 $2,350,000 100.00% $ 300,000 58.30% 1,370,000

95.06% 2,234,000 4.94% $2,234,000 95.06% $ 250,000 57.30% 1,346,458 0.86%

90.13% 2,118,000 4.94% $2,118,000 90.13% $ 200,000 56.29% 1,322,916 0.86%

85.19% 2,002,000 4.94% $2,002,000 85.19% $ 150,000 55.29% 1,299,374 0.86%

80.26% 1,886,000 4.94% $1,886,000 80.26% $ 100,000 54.29% 1,275,832 0.86%

75.32% 1,770,000 4.94% $1,770,000 75.32% $ 80,000 53.29% 1,252,290 0.86%

73.19% 1,720,000 2.13% $1,642,916 69.91% $ 70,000 52.29% 1,228,748 0.86%

71.06% 1,670,000 2.13% $1,515,832 64.50% $ 65,000 51.29% 1,205,206 0.86%

68.94% 1,620,000 2.13% $1,388,748 59.10% $ 65,000 50.28% 1,181,664 0.86%

66.81% 1,570,000 2.13% $1,261,664 53.69% $ 65,000 49.28% 1,158,122 0.86%

64.68% 1,520,000 2.13% $1,134,580 48.28% $ 65,000 48.28% 1,134,580 0.86%

61

Page 62: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Other considerations

Different ages of parts of

line or asset:2008 Sikorsky S92A,

Corporate/VIP

configured, factory

demonstrator

Purchased in 2011

Corporate configuration

removed, replaced

with offshore interior

Interior is 3 years

younger than the

airframe

62

Page 63: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Other considerations

63

Page 64: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

Questions?

64

Page 65: Asa wisconsin chapter april 2015 meeting presentation: residual values for machinery and equipment

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