ARGOMARINE Final Conference - MEDESS-4MS Project Presentation - Michela De Dominicis

MEDESS-‐4MS Project Mediterranean Decision Support System

for Marine Safety

Michela De Dominicis1 and the MEDESS4MS partners

(1)  INGV, Is8tuto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (Gruppo Nazionale di Oceanografia Opera8va, Bologna) Italy)

OVERVIEW

S  Project outline and partnership

S  The MEDESS4MS system and service scenarios

S  The oil spill model MEDSLIK-‐II and its applica8on to the Costa Concordia emergency case

PROJECT OUTLINE

MEDESS4MS is dedicated to the mari8me risks preven8on and strengthening of mari8me safety related to oil spill pollu8on in the Mediterranean.

MEDESS-‐4MS will deliver an integrated opera8onal mul8 model oil spill predic8on service in the Mediterranean using the well established oil spill modelling systems, the na8onal ocean forecas8ng systems and to be connected to the exis8ng monitoring plaWorms (CSN, AIS).

Project start: 01/02/2012 -‐ Project end: 31/01/2015

h_p://www.medess4ms.eu

PARTNERSHIP

Seven of the project partners are opera8ng during the last 10 years forecas8ng centers, while six partners are providing individually oil spill predic8ons at local and sub-‐regional level, in close coopera8on with their na8onal opera8onal

response agencies. Ins8tu8onal partners and users are involved in the partnership.

Oil spill satellite monitoring system

(SAR) and AIS

OIL SPILL models for

FORECASTING

WEB INTERFACE interactive access to the multi-model

service scenarios

Institutional/operational users

MEDESS4MS SYSTEM

Meteorological analyses and

forecast (ECMWF and MOON)

Oceanographic analyses and

forecasts (GMES MCS and MOON)

MEDESS4MS Service Scenarios

The MEDESS-‐4MS services will be delivered through 3 service scenarios (SS), in order to assist opera8onal response agencies. SS1 – Real 8me – Automa8c simula8ons using satellite images This scenario concerns the opera8onal monitoring and forecas8ng of the Mediterranean Sea, in order to connect 8mely detected oil slicks to oil spill models, and provide rapid predic8ons of the movement of spilled oil. The scenario will be designed for the Users with opera8onal responsibility, like Coast Guards.


SS2 – Delayed mode – Offline simula8ons in the past. This scenario is mainly aimed at off-‐line processing of past observa8ons, performing a large number of simula8ons randomly varying the environmental data used to transport the oil. In the framework of this scenario one can determine most likely spill paths for spills on a monthly and seasonal basis and simulate probabili8es of oiling the water surface and shorelines. The scenario allows the risk assessment of a par8cular site to oil spills. This solu8on is intended for the use of REMPEC and generic users.


SS3 – Management of emergency – Real 8me simula8ons done by the users (for example REMPEC or ITCG). This scenario is mainly devoted to assist the decision makers involved in real 8me management of emergency opera8ons. The services will allow the users to launch, by the User Interface, a set of simula8on using different oil spill models and meteo-‐marine forecast data.

MEDESS4MS hydrodynamic forecas8ng systems

Geographical coverage of the MEDESS4MS wave forecas8ng systems

Geographical coverage of the MEDESS4MS atmospheric forecas8ng systems

MEDESS4MS atmospheric and wave forecas8ng systems

MEDESS4MS OIL SPILL MODELS

The MEDSLIK-‐II oil spill model

The oil spill model code MEDSLIK-‐II, based on its precursor oil spill model MEDSLIK is a freely available community model.

The development of the MEDSLIK-‐II model is supported by a formal agreement (Memorandum of Agreement for the Opera8on and Con8nued Development of MEDSLIK-‐II) signed by:

The code is now freely available under the GNU Free Sofware License with

the aim of a_rac8ng a cri8cal mass of scien8sts and users: •  to contribute to the development of the code •  to use the model in very different condi8ons and check its performance

h_p://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/MEDSLIKII

q  MEDSLIK-‐II uses a lagrangian representa8on of the oil slick.

q  MEDSLIK-‐II predicts the transport and diffusion and oil transforma8on processes due to complex physical and chemical processes occurring in the sea-‐water at the surface.

Features of the MEDSLIK-‐II model

q  MEDSLIK-‐II includes a proper representa8on of high frequency currents, the wave induced currents and wind fields in the advec8ve components of the lagrangian trajectory model.

q  MEDSLIK-‐II has been coupled with the remote-‐sensing data.

MFS Mediterranean Forecasting system (INGV)

1/16°x1/16° ~ 6Km

MEDSLIK-‐II in Italy can use the currents fields provided by:

[ ])t('ddt)t,()t,()t,()t(d swc xxUxUxUx +++=

EULERIAN CURRENTS WIND CORRECTION WAVE CORRECTION TURBULENCE

ADVECTION – DIFFUSION PROCESSES

AFS Adriatic Forecasting

system (INGV)

1/45°x1/45° ~ 2.2Km

SCRM Sicilian Channel Regional Model (CNR-IAMC)

1/32°x1/32°, ~3.5 Km

WMED Western Mediterranean

Regional Model (CNR-IAMC)

1/32°x1/32°, ~3.5 Km

Tyrrhenian Sea Model

(ENEA) 1/48°x1/48°, ~2

Km

Relocatable model (INGV)

1 - 3 Km

Italian Coast Guard-‐ MEDSLIK-‐II Oil Spill forecas8ng system

Meteo-‐Oceanographic data download The ITCG oil spill forecas8ng system downloads every day the

Mediterranean Forecas8ng System and the Adria8c Forecas8ng System model outputs and ECMWF winds.

MEDSLIK-‐II with Graphical User Interface

for the input and output visualiza8on

Date of accident: 13/01/2012. The boat contained 2500 tons of oil (API 17). Every day (since 16/01/2012) a bulle8n has been produced with the possible scenario of pollu8on, the following week the produc8on of the mul8-‐model model bulle8n started. The release of oil has been assumed constant during the 72 hours of simula8on.

Simula8ons of possible oil spill scenarios

GNOO supported the Italian Coast Guard in the produc8on of their Bulle8n

Italian mul8-‐model bullejn (INGV, CNR-‐IAMC e ENEA)

MFS (INGV) 6.5 km

WMED (CNR-‐IAMC) 3.5 km

TYRR (ENEA) 2km

Italian mul8-‐model bullejn (INGV, CNR-‐IAMC e ENEA)

INGV had acces to the data of the drifers deployed in the framework of the ARGOMARINE project (thanks to CIMA-‐ University of the Algarve, CNR-‐IRST and Parco Nazionale Arcipelago Toscano)

The 4 drifers (SPHERE) released the 14 of February 2012 have been simulated using the MEDSLIK-‐II model coupled with MFS, TYRR, WMED and the relocatable model.

27/11/12

MFS

The relocatable model produces high horizontal resolu8on currents and can be nested in any area of the Mediterranean Sea.

3 km model implementa8on, nested in the Mediterranean Forecas8ng System (MFS)

3km

Relocatable model Nes.ng

EXP1: No Islands, Start = 14 Feb

EXP3: Giglio+Giannutri Islands, Start = 13 Feb



Relocatable model Nes.ng

MFS

Drifer 1 MFS: blue TYRR: yellow WME: green Relocatable: pink Real drfiters: red

CURRENTS

CURRENTS + STOKES DRIFT

CURRENTS + STOKES DRIFT + WIND

Final remarks

S  MEDESS4MS will provide an mul8-‐model oil spill service to strengthen the European/na8onal/regional response chain for accidental spills and deliberate discharges from ships.

S  MEDESS4MS does not aim at developing new elementary service chains but will integrate and consolidate the exis8ng ones, based on the experience gained through the interac8on with opera8onal response agencies, REMPEC and EMSA during real oil spill incidents in the region and the demonstra8ons and inter-‐calibra8on exercises carried out in the framework of EC projects.

S  The oil spill forecast accuracy usually increases with high resolu8on eulerian currents.

S  MEDSLIK-‐II is today available at basin scale allowing a possible support to oil spill emergencies in the en8re Mediterranean basin.

ARGOMARINE Final Conference - MEDESS-4MS Project Presentation - Michela De Dominicis

Documents

Transcript of ARGOMARINE Final Conference - MEDESS-4MS Project Presentation - Michela De Dominicis