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Transcript of Apparel Logistics Dubai
Transportation InfrastructureTransportation Infrastructure in GCC States: Challenges in GCC States: Challenges
and Opportunitiesand Opportunities
Prof Philbert SureshFaculty, Business Administration
Founder – GUST Logistics Forum
WORLD BIZ CONFERENCE
April 26 – 27, 2007
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 2
Scope of the Research Paper
Three words define the research paper on development economics: investment, integration and strategy-thinking that will translate to a trade-related infrastructure; development of transportation & logistics systems; and focus on sharing scarce resources to manage the opportunity cost in the Gulf Region. The signposts are clear for a GCC Rail Link, Intermodalism and Shipping, thus creating a production possibility frontier beyond the immediate boundaries of each GCC state. Will a change of mind and heart lead to harmonization of trade and transportation policies in the region that will benefit the greater number of stakeholders – the government, business enterprises and the people in this part of the world? Actions Research is a new methodology that will provide some clues to this
development today.
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 3
Salient Points
Drive Towards Triangulation: investment, integration and strategy-thinking
Share scarce resources and manage the increasing opportunity cost
Create a production possibility frontier beyond the immediate boundaries
Redefine GCC Leadership - change of mind and heart Harmonize trade and transportation policies Profit greater number of stakeholders – the government,
business enterprises and the people in this part of the world Use Action Research: a new methodology for exploring
clues to transportation/logistics management in
development economics .
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 4
Transportation &
Logistics Issuesin
GCC States
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On scrutiny T & L in GCC States
Intra-regional trade patterns – defines development economics
Harmonization of inter-regional transport policies Effective use of scarce resources – the petrodollar Better management of opportunity cost and production
possibility frontier Integration of Intermodalism and Logistics in GCC
states: Customs Union / Free Trade / Single GCC currency
Curriculum, professional training and development in GCC states
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What is What is GUST Logistics GUST Logistics Forum Forum in Kuwait?in Kuwait?
“Our mission is to empower young creative minds for the 21 century
Transportation and Logistics using appropriate technology for economic
growth and leadership in GCC States”
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Kuwait Bahrain KSA Oman Qatar UAE
Area
(Sq Km)
17,800 706 2.250.000 309,500 11,500 83,600
Population (mln)
2,270,865 642,972 20,665,000 2,287.642 544,031 2,776,000
GNP ($mln)
29,705 6,620 139,383 15,596 12,180 52,125
Exports ($ mln)
12,100 1,583 50,756 4,968 4,010 23,200
Imports ($ mln)
7,616 2,430 28,032 5,701 2,496 38,510
Favorable
BOT
Unfavorable
BOT
Favorable
BOT
Unfavorable
BOT
Favorable
BOT
Unfavorable
BOT
SOURCE: Gulf Cooperation Council Secretariat – August 6, 2002
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GCC: Scarcity and Choice
Unfavourable BOT
EXPORTS – IMPORTS DEFICIT (-)
Favourable BOT
EXPORTS – IMPORTS
SURPLUS (+)
UAE = -15, 215 ( 28,510-23,275)
Bahrain =- 847 (2,430-1,583)
Oman = -733 (5,701 – 4918)
TOTAL = 16,795 Million USD
Kuwait = + 4,514 (12,140-7,616)
KSA = + 22,724 (50,756-28,123)
Qatar = + 1,514 (4,010-2,496)
TOTAL = 28,762 Million USD
NET GAIN GCC( mln) = US$ 11,987 (28,762 – 16,775)
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 9
A Simplified Framework of the Global Economy
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Global Shifts in GDP
The reverse is happening today – re-emergence of rapidly transforming economies such as China and India with sustained high growth and oil wealth of GCC countries from 1980 to present
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World Merchandise Production and Trade
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The Global Triad – Concentration of World GDP and exports
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The Network of World Trade
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Land Utilization
Spatial Planning for Intermodal Transportation
Population to Land Ratio in GCC States– Kuwait – Bahrain– KSA– Oman– Qatar– UAE
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SCARCITY, CHOICE, AND OPPORTUNITY COST IN GCC STATES
A graph that shows all the combinations of goods and services that can be produced if all of society’s resources in GCC States are used efficiently.
THE PRODUCTION POSSIBILITY FRONTIER
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Production Possibility Frontier PPF – Intermodal Transportation – Two Modes
Production Possibility Frontier leverages each mode of transport and optimizes the final output – of containerized cargo movement
Sea
Rail
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SCARCITY, CHOICE, AND OPPORTUNITY COST
Negative Slope and Opportunity Cost
Inefficiency from Misallocation of Land in Transportation
marginal rate of transformation (MRT)
The slope of the production possibility frontier (ppf).
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Transportation &
Logistics
TECHNOLOGY
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Transportation Trends of Future
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Conventional vs Hybrid
CONVENTIONAL Diesel bus sale price is US$ 354,000
HYBRID bus goes for $500,000 a pop!
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Comparative Cost of Technology – Trucking
Over the course of 12 years life span, a conventional diesel bus will consume 142,656 gallons, or $343,800.96 worth of diesel fuel (based on current diesel prices...which will be a distant memory by the end of the year). Our company's bus, however, will consume roughly 88,447 gallons, or $213,157.27 worth of diesel fuel.
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Soaring Energy Stocks Renewable Bio Fuels : Ethanol + Solar + Bio Thermal
Hydrogen Fuel Cars – Test Market of Automakers
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Transport Simulation - Intermodalism
The intermodal transportation simulation system technologically offers for a first time opportunity to electronically integrate, by modeling and simulation, the intermodal world of transportation (highway, maritime, rail, and air) using sensory modes (vision and acoustics). Virtual reality at present primarily involves the sense of vision.
However, we live in a multisensory world. The intermodal transportation simulation system offers a major sensory breakthrough which couples intermodalism with technology that can better describe present day problems, as well as develop effective solutions for the 21st century
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Cash is Dead = E Payments
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The Virtuous Circle: Electronic Payments
and Economic
"...the annual number of electronic payment transactions, currently at approximately 210 billion worldwide, will double by the end of the decade and is growing at a compounded annual rate equal to four times the expected growth in real domestic product (GDP)." - Global Insight,
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Leading World Cargo Airports
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Leading World Container Hubs
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Transportation &
Logistics
ACTION RESEARCH METHODS
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AR Defined
Action research aims to contribute both to the practical concerns of people in an immediate problematic situation and to the goals of social science by joint collaboration within a mutually acceptable ethical framework (Rapoport, 1970, p. 499).
This AR is very appropriate to study the collaborative nature and series of transportation and logistics activities in the spectrum of the Supply Chain Management. The presenter is involved in using AR for Intermodalism and Logistics.
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Participatory AR Methods
Find and critically review secondary data
Observe directly (see for yourself)
Seek those who are experts about specific issues
Key probes (Dubai RTA study of managing traffic increase on the roads – 5m to 20 m trips per day in 2010)
Case studies and stories (retail price increase in dairy products – monopoly)
Do-it-yourself Seasonal calendars Daily time use analysis
Groups (casual or random encounter; focus; representative or structured for diversity; community, neighbourhood or a specific social group; or formal
Mapping and modelling (GIS) Local analysis of secondary
sources (Satellite Imagery GOOGLE Earth / GPS)
Transect walks(Simpson BBC program)
Timelines and trend and change analysis
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 32
More AR Methods
Institutional or Venn diagramming
Linkage diagrams Well-being grouping (or
wealth ranking) Matrix scoring and
ranking Team contracts and
interactions
Shared presentations and analysis
Contrast comparisons Drama and
participatory video making on key issues
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AR Menu of Methods - Review
Transect walks: systematically walking with key informants through an area, observing, asking, listening, discussing, learning about different zones, local technologies, introduced technologies, seeking problems, solutions, opportunities, and mapping and/or diagramming resources and findings.
Transects take many forms: vertical, loop, along a
watercourse, sometimes even the sea bottom!
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Simpson’s World Example of AR
BBC world affairs editor John Simpson has visited most of the world's trouble-spots
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 35
14 KM from North Rim Grand Canyon, Arizona
Panorama Google Earth
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Grand Canyon SkywalkMarch 21, 2007
Members of the media and the Hualapai tribe take a preview walk on the
Skywalk, billed as the first-ever cantilever-shaped glass walkway. It extends 70 feet from the western Grand Canyon's rim more
than 4,000 feet above the Colorado River on the Hualapai Reservation
at Grand Canyon, Arizona.
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A world of diversity
"Nothing is as practical as a good theory” (Kurt Lewin 1940)
YoMiM Experiment in AR (research conducted by a group of young women in management (YoWiM), initiated by Kate McArdle as part of her PhD Research }
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 38
Future Research INTERMODALISM
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Mitsui wins $763m Saudi railway order
by Reuters on Tuesday, 03 April 2007
Mitsui said it is teaming up with Al Rashid Trading & Contracting Co. of Saudi Arabia and Australia's Barclay Mowlem to build an 818km (508 miles) portion of the North-South Railway, which is being built to move mineral traffic from Saudi Arabia's interior to an industrial complex to be built on the Gulf coast.
www.gust.edu.kw/glf 40
Tracing Origin Through RFID
When the origin of clothing brands becomes a concern for imposing quota liberalization and counterfeit products, smart labels is a boon to those who manage the global trade.
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Technology - Poncho Knit
“ Technology is the latest accessory to hit the apparel world. By embracing technology solutions, forward-thinking apparel and footwear companies are fashioning tight, visible, integrated supply chains -- and reaping the rewards.” Amy Roach
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Celebrity and Brands Impacts Retail Logistics
Such celebrity-inspired fashion crazes, as well as each year's must-have items, and standard seasonal clothing such as bathing suits and outerwear, make the apparel supply chain more time-sensitive than many other verticals.
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Fulfillment in e-Logistics
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Students form a windmill at Youth Energy Summit at Willim and Mary College – Nov 2006
Check your Car tire pressure Everyday – that affect CO2 emission in Dubai and everywhere
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The Cube Game
By way of summary, we would emphasize that action research is not a methodology
but an orientation that shapes methodological practices.
There are no right answers, rather lots of choices,
and quality of inquiry is shaped by the appropriateness of these choices
and way they are made.
Peter Reason and Kate Louise McArdleCentre for Action Research in Professional Practice
University of Bath
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