Annual investor conference - Power management solutions · Power Electronics. Managing electrical...
Transcript of Annual investor conference - Power management solutions · Power Electronics. Managing electrical...
© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Annual investor conference
Uday Yadav, President and COO - Industrial SectorMarch 1, 2019
2© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Today’s themes• Vehicle electrification strategy is on track
• New growth opportunities from intelligent products and differentiated IoT solutions
• Positioned to capture continued Aerospace Aftermarket growth
• New regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
• Managing Hydraulics operating complexities, addressing margin inefficiencies through improved execution
3© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
The Industrial Sector serves a diverse set of end markets
United States58%
Geographic mix
Rest of World42%
Aerospace• Commercial transports• Regional jets • Business jets• General aviation• Civil rotorcraft• Commercial aftermarket• Military transports• Military fighters• Military rotorcraft• Military aftermarket
Hydraulics • Construction & mining• Agriculture• Oil & gas• Commercial vehicles• Industrial machining• Material handling• Industrial processing• Recreation• Filtration• Hydraulics aftermarket
Vehicle & eMobility• Commercial vehicles• Passenger vehicles • Medium-duty trucks• Off-highway
• Light-duty trucks• Agriculture• Construction & material handling • Vehicle aftermarket
End-market mix
$8.7B2019E Sales
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Industrial Sector overviewAerospace Hydraulics Vehicle
• Hydraulic pumps, motors& valves
• Hydraulic steering controls• Conveyance & fittings
• Valves & valve actuation• Transmission & clutches• Torque control• Advanced combustion
• Hydraulic pumps, motors & valves
• Fuel pumps & valves• Conveyance & ducting
Key Applications
Key Products
Megatrends
• Commercial aircraft• Military aircraft
• Mobile equipment• Stationary equipment
• Commercial vehicles • Passenger cars
$1.9B2018 sales
$2.8B2018 sales
$3.5B2018 sales
Intelligent & connected
Environmental concerns
Energy efficiency
Global demographics
Demand for superior value solutions
$320M2018 sales
• Commercial & Passenger• Off road
eMobility
• EV Fuses • EV transmissions• Inverters & converters• On-board chargers
• ~$2.1B• 21.4% - 22.0%
2019E Sales & ROS
• ~$2.9B• 14.0% - 14.6%
• ~$3.4B• 17.4% - 18.0%
• ~$0.35B• 6.1% - 6.7%
EV = all electric vehicle architectures
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Dynamic industry shifts continue to create opportunities for growth
Intelligent, connected, and autonomous• Cloud enabled products in the field • Investing in portfolio shift over next decade
Additive manufacturing• Active customer engagement • Center of excellence investment
Regional growth • Localization of products• Customer tailored solutions
Electrification / blended power• Expanding electrification portfolio• Leveraging enterprise-wide capabilities
Tiered-product offering• Expanding addressable market • Delivering superior customer value
Restructuring and repositioning• World-class manufacturing footprint• Improving customers’ supply chain
Strategic partnerships• Gaining scale & competitiveness • Product & geographic adjacencies
Intelligent, connected,
andautonomous
Tiered-product offering
Regional growth
Restructuringand
repositioning
Electrification / blended power
Strategicpartnerships
Driving organic growth by continuing to invest in our core capabilities
Additive manufacturing
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Today’s topics
Accelerating Aerospace aftermarket growth
Electrification, Blended PowerTM and eMobility status1
2
3
Capitalizing on new regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
Managing Hydraulics operational complexity and execution
4
Creating intelligent and connected growth opportunities
5
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Electrification of industrial mobile markets impacts powertrain and actuation functions
Leveraging Eaton’s Electrical scale, pedigree, and differentiated technical capabilities to uniquely penetrate multiple end markets
Hydraulics AerospaceVehicle/eMobility
Core products, manufacturing footprint, supply chain, and Blended PowerTM technology roadmaps
Mobile markets transitioningShift towards electric vehicles Migration to more electric aircraft
1. Powertrain2. Actuation
Eaton’s Leveraged Capabilities
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eMobility business launched in March 2018 is right on track
Electric power capabilities Managing electrical power
Eaton’s deep expertise makes us a trusted partner to customers
Targeting $2B to $4B in revenue by 2030
Vehicle domain knowledgeUnderstand vehicle dynamics
+
Power electronics & conversion
Power distribution & protection
Market growing in line with our projections
Robust pursuit pipeline continues to grow as our electric vehicle market credibility increases
Rapid ramp up of global organization
Significantly advanced portfolio breadth
High customer engagement and confidence
Capturing opportunities earlier than planned with accelerated product development
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Electric vehicle market growth aligned with projections
Longer term EV market adoption rates continue to be in line with our projections
Multiple enablers continue to drive electrification adoption
OEMs continue strategic repositioning
2018 2030E
6.1
7.8
2018 2030EInternal combustion engineHybrid / Plug-in Hybrid
Battery electric vehicleContains internal combustion engine
EV Market Mix ExpectationsNumber of vehicles produced (in millions)
115
9498%
88%
97%89%
Light Vehicle Commercial Vehicle
By 2025, ~25% of our vehicle portfolio exposure will be linked to higher growth, EV end marketsEV = all electric vehicle architectures
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Increased depth of portfolio over last 12 months with accelerated product development…
Power ElectronicsManaging electrical power
Power SystemsManaging mechanical power
Power Distribution and ProtectionSafely and reliably distributing power
Traction inverter
DC/DC converter
On board charger
48v auxiliary inverter
EV fuel tank isolation valve
Low and high voltage fuses
48V mild hybrid
EV transmission
Resettable circuit protection
Power distribution unit
…and we are winning across the portfolio
Won development agreement
Program win
EV = all electric vehicle architectures
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New technical challenges for customers are creating opportunities
?New Technical Challenges
Increased
Higher power density
Smaller and more efficient electronics
More intelligent solutions
Integrated and coordinated components
NewWe need innovative solutions!!
Uniquely positioned with expertise in vehicle dynamics and managing high-voltage power
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eMobility
Traction Inverter
Power Electronics
Power Distribution and Protection
Power Distribution and Protection
Resettable Circuit Protection
Incorporates increased power density, better thermal management, high efficiency electronics and control algorithms
A resettable device that includes embedded sensing to enable precise trip levels to be set by the OEM
Better range
Durability
Scalability
Accelerating product development is capturing earlier than planned opportunities
Eaton’s technology provides solutions for critical customer challenges
Precise setting
Durability and safety improvement
Intelligent PDU
Considered the “brains” in controlling and understanding the health of the high voltage electronics and wiring
Predictive failures
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Achieving significant program wins and traction with customers since March 2018 launch
Development programs
Launch to mature year revenue
Pursuit3 to 9 months
12 to 30 months
Campaign Win Process
24 to 36 months
Strong momentum with program wins and development agreements
$900M11Development
agreements
$200M+Mature yearprogram wins
Pursuit pipeline
Current ScorecardTraction Inverter Win
$100M+ Mature year revenue win
• ~$450M life of program win
• Major global automotive OEM customer
• Won with superior technical solution against global competitors
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eMobility next 12 month focus
Volume ramp up: Successfully launch new programs and volume ramp up on key products
New business wins: Deliver on 2018 development agreements, secure more in 2019, and achieve >$200M in mature year revenue from new business wins
Expansion in key growth markets: Expand capacity and capabilities in key growth markets and deliver operational excellence at automotive performance level
Product development: Continue to develop product portfolio
eMobility
Volume ramp up
New business
wins
Expansion in key growth
markets
Product development
Well positioned to leverage new capabilities and win in high-growth EV markets
EV = all electric vehicle architectures
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Today’s topics
Accelerating Aerospace aftermarket growth
Electrification, Blended PowerTM and eMobility status1
2
3
Capitalizing on new regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
Managing Hydraulics operational complexity and execution
4
Creating intelligent and connected growth opportunities
5
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Our portfolio continues to evolve with intelligent and connected products and IoT solutions
Products Intelligence Enabled Connected IoT Solutions
Pumps
Blended PowerTM
Intelligent valves
Widening scope across the industrial markets
Machine learning
Intelligent Power
Transmissions Predictive maintenance
Enhancing customer value from intelligent and connected products
Evaluating several new business models and solutions to capitalize IoT capabilities
Providing benefits from products that adapt to real-time performance needs
Process optimization
Asset management
Early in IoT journey, but tangible solutions begin to demonstrate real revenue opportunities
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• Enhanced efficiency and productivity
• Lower operating costs
• Easy set up and operation
• Improved safety
Mobile controls are a $2B market; growing at ~3% CAGR, advanced controls growing at 3x to 4x faster
Intelligent products enabling Hydraulic solutions
Customer Needs
CMT and CMA valves• Integrated sensing, distributed
control, and independent metering features
• On-board software enables valve to take input commands, interpret sensors and respond quickly
• Set up in days or weeks vs. weeks to months
Eaton Solution
10%-15%Customer Benefits
Fuel savings
Improved boom oscillation 75%
Faster placementimproved control 50%
~$200M revenue opportunity
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Eaton’s intelligent and connected products provide solutions addressing end user needs
End User Pain Points
Crop yield loss
Downtime due to unplanned failures
• Crops are in remote and harsh environments• Harvester machine is complex with a wide
range of sizes and features• Equipped with over 70 hydraulic components
Creating new revenue opportunities through IoT solutions – sugarcane harvester
Assets planning and scheduling
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Cloud data supports utilization and overall fleet efficiency, prediction of equipment condition, harvest yield optimization, and maintenance
Cloud analytics and edge computing applied to speed control and contamination to improve equipment availability and reduce yield loss
Intelligent real-time vehicle control and performance Cloud-based analytics for fleet optimization
Fleet planning & asset optimization
Maintenance scheduling
• Speed control & optimization
• Pump displacement & system pressure
Critical element in sugarcane harvester ecosystem, delivering immediate, real-time benefits
Benefits to customer
Partner IoT CloudAsset availability
Harvest data
Field data
Equipment condition
Motor speedPump rate
Maintenance schedule
Reduction in yield loss
~10% 10%+
Reduction in downtime
~$50M new revenue opportunity
Engine speed Contamination monitoring
19
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Eaton’s position in the ecosystem enables it to provide broader benefits through an IoT platform
Low asset utilization
Unscheduled downtime
Flight Delays
• Ground refueling ecosystem is complex and inefficient
• Eaton has a leadership position in intelligent ground refueling systems
End User Pain Points
Pit valve
Fuel nozzle Water
detector
Digital monitor
Eaton is helping shape the ground refueling ecosystem
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Operator
E-tix
Fueling monitor
INTERPLANE FUELER
AIRLINE FUELER
OIL & GAS CO.
Data collected is sent to cloud to provide deep analytical insights in overall fleet performance, health, and utilization
Eaton’s intelligent digital pressure control system reduces fueling time by 30%
Intelligent fueling Cloud-based analytics for fleet optimization
Integrating diverse information sets to provide optimal asset management and improved turn-around-time
Optimized scheduling
Fleet management
Eaton IoT Cloud
Fuel pressure
Water contaminationTruck location
Flight data
Operator performance
Incident records
Flow rate
Fueling demand/volume
Improved asset utilization
Operations manager
20%+
Minutes
Post fueling tasksPrior to fueling tasks
Fueling process
Benefits to customer
Ground re-fueling end-to-end time
21
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Today’s topics
Accelerating Aerospace aftermarket growth
Electrification, Blended PowerTM and eMobility status1
2
3
Capitalizing on new regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
Managing Hydraulics operational complexity and execution
4
Creating intelligent and connected growth opportunities
5
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Aftermarket focus shifting Aerospace mix and driving profitable growth over next five years
~$250M new aftermarket revenues opportunity over the next five years
Eaton Aerospace Business Mix
Aftermarket 2019 – 2023
CAGR
▲4%Market
▲6%Eaton
Continuing to shift Aerospace mix
Targeting $1B aftermarket sales by 2023, driven by a continued strategic focus on:
Driving retrofits, modifications, and upgrades
Capitalizing on repairs in engine super cycle and innovating around the repair cycle
Leveraging increased military spending
2013 2018 2023
37% 39% 42%
Aftermarket OEM & other
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Growing retrofits, modifications, and upgrades Opportunity to win share on
in-service aircraft
Providing customer value through:
• Improved product performance
• Expanded capability (tech insertion)
• Extended product life
Key growth opportunity independent of market conditions
Proven track record of ability to capitalize on later lifecycle opportunities
In-service fleet
In-service support
Production
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 yrs.R&D, design
1
2
3
Entry into serviceFirst metal cut
End of production Final aircraft retired
Early serviceReliability
Mature fleetPerformance
SunsettingLife extension
# of
airc
raft
With life extension
Production
Aerospace Lifecycle Insertion Opportunities
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Successful retrofits and upgrades on in-service aircraft
Providing enhanced safety & aircraft readiness through higher reliability & technology insertion
Airbus A320 Electric Motor-Pump
• Retrofit of A320 ACMP, offering improved reliability
• Two per aircraft, dual source application
• 500+ aircraft upgraded to-date
• Strong market share on new aircraft
Boeing CH-47 EPUSHA
• Replaced manual handpump with electric pump
• Reduces personnel exposure to harm
• US Army pre-F model fleet retrofitted
• Now seeing follow-on repair demand
EPUSHA: electric pump for utility system hydraulic accumulator
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Engine super-cycle driving repair opportunities Rapid fleet and traffic growth driving significant
engine repair and overhaul opportunity
Shop visit cycle for key legacy engines not peaking until 2022 and beyond
Strong aftermarket content on legacy engines for fuel and conveyance systems
Component repair share of engine overhaul spend increasing2019 2025
CFM56*
V2500
CF34
+20%
+34%At peak in 2022
+20%At peak in 2023
+23%At peak in 2025
Shop visits+9%
*Note: CFM56 reflects CFM56-5A, 5B, & 7B onlySource: Aviation Week 2019 Commercial Fleet/MRO Forecast
Engine repair and overhaul a key driver of aftermarket growth
Legacy narrowbody and regional jet engine shop visits peaking in 2025
All other commercial enginesLegacy narrowbody and regional jets
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Aircraft engine tubes and ducts represent a significant element of engine maintenance
Innovating around the repair cycle with intelligent solutions
Intelligent and connected solutions will enable improved uptime and reduce total lifecycle costs
Digitized data collection
Eaton Intelligent Solution
Repair turn time
▼80%Machine intelligence
Lifecycle cost
▼50%Eaton repair
1
2
3
Customer pain points
Maintenance time
Wastage Cost
$$
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Realizing anticipated benefits from improved military budget conditions
Life extensions and fleet readiness continue to be a key area of focus for the military
Eaton benefiting from strong maintenance demand, including spares for aging platforms
Targeting platforms for product upgrades, increasing safety, reliability, and affordability
Investing in additive manufacturing solutions to reduce lead times and repair turn times
Supporting military fleet with spares, repairs, and upgrades
F-15 engine-driven hydraulic pump• 1,000+ F-15 in service with
three pumps per aircraft• Dual source application• Highly reliable product,
reducing total life cycle cost
M-1 engine-driven hydraulic pump
• 1,200+ unit spares order with Defense Logistics Agency
• Actively pursuing additional platform opportunities
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Today’s topics
Accelerating Aerospace aftermarket growth
Electrification, Blended PowerTM and eMobility status1
2
3
Capitalizing on new regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
Managing Hydraulics operational complexity and execution
4
Creating intelligent and connected growth opportunities
5
30© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Regional growth and partnerships are strategic drivers of Vehicle’s transformation
• Brazil, India, and China expected to grow from 20% to 30% of Vehicle Group revenue by:
Building regional capabilities
Improving cost structure through manufacturing, engineering, and supply base
• Significantly growing unconsolidated revenues from partnerships in Asia
Emerging Markets Revenue Growth
2018
20%
2023
30%
Brazil, China, India Rest of World
2023 revenuebooked business70%
Growth in emerging markets through product offering, footprint, localization, and technology
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Growing share with the right footprint and technology
ChinaBrazil India
• Expansion of manufacturing capability
• High quality manufacturing base
• Local content with superior operational excellence
• Large manufacturing capability
Brazil, India, and China revenue growing ~$350M in incremental revenue over five years
• Light automated transmission• Strong partnership model with
vertically integrated customers
• R&D focus on regional needs• Local automated
transmission product
• High quality valvetrain products
• Higher torque transmissions
• Superior design and reliable products
• Tailored to local needs
• Torque, engine brake, fuel vapor and valvetrain
• Partnerships enable fast market access
Footprint
Technology
Growing share
Great Market Position Doubling Business Expanding & Growing Core
• Solutions tailored around increasing regulations
• Strong local application expertise
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Hydraulics capitalizing on China’s evolving construction market dynamics
Excavators make up 75% of a $6.5B construction equipment addressable market
Mini excavators growing 3x to 4x faster than broader excavator market
• Early stage economic development • Large infrastructure projects • Utilizes heavy-duty equipment
• Maturing economies have small scale projects and smaller equipment
• Urbanization rates driving shift towards small excavators driven by a number of benefits, including:
Versatile and multifunctional
Sharp turn radius
Easy to transport
Better noise control
Early
M
atur
e
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Our strong suite of components for the small excavator segment positions us to lead
Swing Drive
Track Drive
Main Pump
HRCsSiCV/MCD
Hose & Fittings
Main Control Valve
Eaton is a market leader in track and swing drives due to:
Higher torque capabilities enables heavier loads
Precise control
Better noise level
Customers benefit from increased productivity and improved fuel efficiency
Eaton has the right technology and footprint to deliver ~$100M of incremental revenue
34© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Today’s topics
Accelerating Aerospace aftermarket growth
Electrification, Blended PowerTM and eMobility status1
2
3
Capitalizing on new regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics
Managing Hydraulics operational complexity and execution
4
Creating intelligent and connected growth opportunities
5
35© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Hydraulics business vs. our enterprise-wide evaluation criteria
Ability to lead in large global markets
Above average growth potential
High margin potential
High returns
Consistent profitability
Addressable market >$2B
Long-term growth > real GDP
Segment operating margins in mid- to high- teens
Return on tangible assets mid-twenties or above
Minimum of low-teens margins at the trough
Restructuring actions taken to improve overall margin and consistency
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With restructuring actions underway, market ramped faster than expected creating significant challenges
Fixed cost improvement as % of sales
200bps 100bps to 200bps
Supply chain constraintsRight sized
5 plants
175K part numbers
eliminatedQuick market
recovery
Closed 6 plants
New exit taxes
Expanded 150K sq ft
facility
Built 320K sq ft
facility
Facility ramp up delays
81 new suppliers
Adjusting to new
business model
Increased temp labor &
scrap
Unplanned equipment downtime
New tariff implications
Tight freight
dynamics
Restructuring Actions Internal Execution Challenges
Margin inefficiencies
External Market Dynamics
Moved 35 product lines
Inefficiencies isolated and improving in 2019 and largely resolved by end of 2020
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2018 2019 2020
Freight Material Inefficiencies
48% Improvement
Inefficiencies • Challenges in ramping up new capacity
• Labor overtime
• Unplanned equipment downtime
• Increased usage and scrap
Freight• Supply chain complexity
• Premium freight
Material Economics• Higher prices
• Supplier switching costsInefficiencies expected to be
largely resolved by end of 2020
Hydraulics Margin Drivers
Action plans in place and capability being bolstered to address inefficiencies
Confirming peak-to-trough through the cycle margins of 13% to 16%
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Today’s themes• Vehicle electrification strategy is on track
• Successful eMobility launch• Broadened portfolio development driving signature platform wins
• New growth opportunities from intelligent products and differentiated IoT solutions• Game changing intelligent mobile valve technology• Solving challenges in the sugar cane industry and aerospace refueling segment
• Positioned to capture continued Aerospace Aftermarket growth• Taking advantage of modification and upgrade insertion opportunities• Innovating around the repair lifecycle through IoT and process optimization
• New regional growth opportunities in Vehicle and Hydraulics • Shifting Vehicle mix towards higher growth countries through technology, localization, and partnerships • Hydraulics capitalizing on China’s evolving construction market dynamics
• Managing Hydraulics operating complexities • Addressing margin inefficiencies through improved execution
39© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..