AMT Stock Pitch

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Megan Reddington November 9th, 2015 1 SBA Reval Investment Thesis AMT Overview Growth Drivers Risks Conclusion

Transcript of AMT Stock Pitch

Megan Reddington

November 9th, 2015

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

Risks of Owning SBA Risks of Selling SBA

Has a nominal cap on exposure in emerging markets

Little geographic diversification

Falling behind competition ◦ AMT has been acquiring

overseas assets for years

Expectations too low ◦ What people expect is too

low

SBA complements SMIF portfolio ◦ Our portfolio leans in the

direction of more conservative and defensive assets

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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Source: Yahoo Finance

November 4th Closing Price: $98.03

Target Price: $114.09

Current Yield: 1.91%

Why invest in AMT: ◦ 1. AMT is undervalued

◦ 2. Relative performance of SBA vs AMT due to the

emerging markets exposure

◦ 3. Demand drivers for both short and long term

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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SBA Reval Investment

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AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

AMT is generating free cash flows

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

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SBA Reval Investment

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AMT

Overview

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Drivers Risks Conclusion

The American Tower A tower is a vertical structure built on a parcel of land, designed to accommodate multiple tenants

Tenants lease the tower and space below it for their equipment

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT Overview

Growth Drivers

Risks Conclusion

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Adding more tenants, equipment and upgrades results in higher returns. Revenue is added with minimal incremental cost.

SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

American Tower’s primary business ◦ Over 98% of revenue is generated from leasing

properties

Annual churn rate: ~1%-2%

AMT yields high operating margins and lease

renewal rates its industry ◦ 10 year non-cancelable contracts

◦ Annual lease escalators to the contacts

In the US: ~3%

International: based on local inflation indices

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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AMT’s International Market

SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

Short term (1-10 years): ◦ Global economy/developing markets adopting

smartphones

Long term (10+ years): ◦ Driverless cars, the increase data usage

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

Average monthly traffic skyrocketed 2,268% from 2009 to 2014

Nearly half a billion mobile

devices and connections were

added in 2014

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT Overview

Growth Drivers

Risks Conclusion

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

March, 2015: AMT acquired the rights to 11,324

wireless communication towers from Verizon

Communications Inc.

October, 2015: AMT agrees to buy 51% controlling

stake in India’s mobile operator, Viom networks for 76 billion rupees

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

‣ Changes in technology

‣ Tenants sharing site infrastructure

‣ Currency risk

‣ Deterioration in the macro environment

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

We are at the very early phase of a global economic expansion

We must move out of just focusing on the US (what worked) and move towards the global market (what will work)

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion

Sell SBA Shares

Buy AMT Shares $3,693

AMT is undervalued

Relative performance of SBA vs AMT due to the

emerging markets exposure

Demand drivers both short and long term for AMT

prove growth in their bottom-line and

geographically

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SBA Reval Investment

Thesis

AMT

Overview

Growth

Drivers Risks Conclusion