AMT Stock Pitch
-
Upload
megan-reddington -
Category
Documents
-
view
289 -
download
0
Transcript of AMT Stock Pitch
Megan Reddington
November 9th, 2015
1
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
Risks of Owning SBA Risks of Selling SBA
Has a nominal cap on exposure in emerging markets
Little geographic diversification
Falling behind competition ◦ AMT has been acquiring
overseas assets for years
Expectations too low ◦ What people expect is too
low
SBA complements SMIF portfolio ◦ Our portfolio leans in the
direction of more conservative and defensive assets
3
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
November 4th Closing Price: $98.03
Target Price: $114.09
Current Yield: 1.91%
Why invest in AMT: ◦ 1. AMT is undervalued
◦ 2. Relative performance of SBA vs AMT due to the
emerging markets exposure
◦ 3. Demand drivers for both short and long term
6
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
AMT is generating free cash flows
8
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
The American Tower A tower is a vertical structure built on a parcel of land, designed to accommodate multiple tenants
Tenants lease the tower and space below it for their equipment
4
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT Overview
Growth Drivers
Risks Conclusion
11
Adding more tenants, equipment and upgrades results in higher returns. Revenue is added with minimal incremental cost.
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
American Tower’s primary business ◦ Over 98% of revenue is generated from leasing
properties
Annual churn rate: ~1%-2%
AMT yields high operating margins and lease
renewal rates its industry ◦ 10 year non-cancelable contracts
◦ Annual lease escalators to the contacts
In the US: ~3%
International: based on local inflation indices
12
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
13
AMT’s International Market
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
Short term (1-10 years): ◦ Global economy/developing markets adopting
smartphones
Long term (10+ years): ◦ Driverless cars, the increase data usage
14
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
Average monthly traffic skyrocketed 2,268% from 2009 to 2014
Nearly half a billion mobile
devices and connections were
added in 2014
15
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
March, 2015: AMT acquired the rights to 11,324
wireless communication towers from Verizon
Communications Inc.
October, 2015: AMT agrees to buy 51% controlling
stake in India’s mobile operator, Viom networks for 76 billion rupees
18
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
‣ Changes in technology
‣ Tenants sharing site infrastructure
‣ Currency risk
‣ Deterioration in the macro environment
19
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
We are at the very early phase of a global economic expansion
We must move out of just focusing on the US (what worked) and move towards the global market (what will work)
20
SBA Reval Investment
Thesis
AMT
Overview
Growth
Drivers Risks Conclusion
Sell SBA Shares
Buy AMT Shares $3,693