AM Markets - Klaipėdos mokslo ir technologijų parkas AM Business and Markets Industrial... ·...

88
Additive Manufacturing 3D printing AM Markets Antti Salminen Laboratory of Laser Processing (LUT Laser) School of Energy Systems Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT) 1 Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Transcript of AM Markets - Klaipėdos mokslo ir technologijų parkas AM Business and Markets Industrial... ·...

Additive Manufacturing – 3D printing

AM Markets

Antti Salminen

Laboratory of Laser Processing (LUT Laser)School of Energy Systems

Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT)

1Klaipeda 10.4.2017

”…3D printing that has the potential to revolutionize the way wemake almost everything…the next revolution in manufacturing isMade in America. We can get that done.”

Barack Obama, President of USA

2Klaipeda 10.4.2017

3Klaipeda 10.4.2017

4resilience-economics.comKlaipeda 10.4.2017

General process from CAD to part

5Gibson et al., Additive Manufacturing TechnologiesKlaipeda 10.4.2017

Terminology

Additive manufacturing of metallic materials can be divided into(according to F2792-12a):

1. Directed energy deposition (DED) an additive manufacturingprocess in which focused thermal energy is used to fusematerials by melting as they are being deposited.Methods using dynamic wire feed or dynamic powder feed tolaser beam are included to these technologies.

2. Powder bed fusion (PBF) an additive manufacturing process inwhich thermal energy selectively fuses regions of a powder bed.Methods using laser beam or electron beam source of thermalenergy are included to these technologies.

Klaipeda 10.4.2017 6

Terminology

Additive manufacturing of metallic materials can be divided into(according to F2792-12a):

3. Material jetting an additive manufacturing process in whichdroplets of build material are selectively depositedThese methods are based on binder which is jetted to metalpowder. Binder is removed from work piece in post-processing,and this way formed porous material is filled with infiltrator.

4. Sheet lamination an additive manufacturing process in whichsheets of material are bonded to form an object.Work piece is manufactured from thin, joined steel plates.Joining happens for example via ultrasound or friction welding.

Klaipeda 10.4.2017 7

Principle of powder bed fusion

8Klaipeda 10.4.2017

• Direct Energy Deposition (DED) process is based on laser cladding

• Additive material is fed dynamically during the process• In DED cladding process is used to build shapes in 3D

DED

Laser cladding – 2D Direct Energy Deposition – 3D

Vs.

Klaipeda 10.4.2017 9

10

DED

Outer surface

Filling

More layers:Hatch distance is changed for each layer

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

11

DED

− Cross section as cut− Solid material− Even heat effect

− Side view shows the layers− Accurate surfaces are

machined

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

DED enables higher speed High productivity means typically loss of accuracy

− So called micro 3D is done with separate lab systems

High accuracy requires typically machining

Building speed

12Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Powder bead fusion: 1- 3 mm3/s DED: 3 - 10 mm3/s

AM Markets

Hype curve of Gartner

14

Expectations given by hypeMaturity of technology

Hype curve

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve

15http://www.ecampusnews.com/top-news/the-hype-cycle-of-mooc-courses/

Maturity

Visi

bilit

y

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2011

16

Idea management

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2012

17Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2013

18Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2014

19Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2015

20Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gartner hype curve 2016

21Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Suitability of AM: size – batch size

22Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Stratasys stock price history

23Klaipeda 10.4.2017

3D Systems stock price history

24Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Arcam stock price history

25Klaipeda 10.4.2017

3D systems and Stratasys acquired:− During last five years both 5-10 companies manufacturing 3D-printers

2014 GE acquired:− Morris technologies, an American 3d printing subcontractor

2015 DMG Mori Seiki acquired:− DMG Mori a manufacturer of hybrid PBF systems

2015 GE acquired:− Avio Aero, an Italian 3d printing subcontractor

10/2016 Oerlikon acquired:− 3D printing subcontractor

11/2016 GE acquired:− Arcam, the manufacturer of EB based PBF machines− Concept laser, a manufacturer of laser based PBF machines

4/2017 DMG Mori Acquired:− Realizer, a manufacturer of laser based PBF machines

Recent activity

26Klaipeda 10.4.2017

27Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Global sales of AM materials

28Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Wohlers report, 2013

Industrial systems unit sales

29Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Wohlers report, 2013

World market

30Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Wohlers report, 2013

Markets by number of systems

31Wohlers report, 2013Klaipeda 10.4.2017

3D printer average selling price

32Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Wohlers report, 2013

33

84%

BK30A0900 Additive Manufacturing

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

3D printed electronics market

34Klaipeda 10.4.2017

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2014 2019 2023

Rest of the market forAM in AerospacePowder beadequipment

AM market for aviation

35

Sales to the aerospaceindustry of AM equipment andassociated software, servicesand materials

Milli

on U

SD

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Metal AM machine market

36

Increase 2012- 2014 = 76%

Increase 2013- 2014 = 55%

Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Wohlers report, 2015

Emergence of AM

37Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Gas turbine blades Development time for prototype -90% Test environment:

− 13000 rpm− 1600 km/h− 1 250 oC− Force of 11 tons.

Turbine blades

38Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Stealth keys

39Klaipeda 10.4.2017

The three structural elements shown are all designed to carry the same structural loads and forces.

The potential of 3DP in construction

40Klaipeda 10.4.2017

"This is not only an exciting development for the construction sector, but many other industries as well. In the case of this particular piece, the height is approximately half that of one

designed for traditional production methods, while the direct weight reduction per node is 75%. On a construction project that means

we could be looking at an overall weight reduction of the total structure of more than 40%. But the really exciting part is that this

technique can potentially be applied to any industry that uses complex, high quality, metal products.“

— Salomé Galjaard, Team Leader at Arup

The potential of 3DP in construction

41Klaipeda 10.4.2017

http://www.arup.com/news/2015_05_may/11_may_3d_makeover_for_hyper-efficient_metalwork

Design potentia

42Klaipeda 10.4.2017

The global economy is worth 70 trillion USD Manufacturing more than 15% of that, 10.5 trillion USD If AM takes 1% of global manufacturing the volume is 105 billion

USD ( over 100x the estimate of 2021)

Market opportunity and forecast

43

Wohlers report, 2013

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Market opportunity and forecast

44

Milli

ons

of U

SD

Wohlers report, 2013

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Current and future potential

45ey.com/3DprintingKlaipeda 10.4.2017

Heat exchanger design

Optimised heat exchanger:Repeated freely designed optimized

elements.Self supporting drop shaped

channels.Turbulence generator inside tubes

maximise the heat exchange.

Material: EOS Aluminium AlSi10Mg Equipment: EOSINT M 270Building time: n. 85 h

Industrial applications

Golf ball mould

Conformal coolingCooing channels follow the geometry of

mould improved coolingIncrease in productivity 20 %

Industrial applications

Robot gripper

Gripper lifts four ball bearings at timeTraditional structure as several pneumatic componentsWith AM one component, which acts as pneumatic

gripper, is made

Industrial applications

Robot gripper

Traditional gripper

AM gripper

Weight: 1 542 g 215 gPrice: 2 670 € 1 700 €Height*: 87,5 mm 30 mmSpare partdelivery

3 weeks 4 days

Life time 10 M cycles 5 M cycles

Industrial applications

* From C-joint

Hydraulic bloc

Combines two input channels to one output channel.

Original design:Four holes drilled into solid block of

material

Front Top

Industrial applications

4

Drilled holes

Blogged holes1

2 31

4

2 3

Hydraulic bloc

AM structure:Struts carry the mechanical loads FEM optimized structure carries the optimized flow channels

Industrial applications

Specialist software exist that allows internal structures of the 3Dmodel to be optimized for AM manufacturing

For example Within and Netfabb Selective Space Structures(Autodesk), SolidThinking Inspire (Altair), nTopology etc.

Usually expensive software, however nTopology Element can be downloaded for free.

Internal structure optimization

52Klaipeda 10.4.2017

- Weight bearing manifold- Structure optimized with

Within and manufactured by PBF

Agile project management and Integration of AM software in process chain

Amorphous metals and multimaterial combinations

Multi laser concepts, process control, automation, new processes

Micro machining process (MMP) and computed tomography

Repair of high value components and mobile applications

What can be expected

53Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Engineering & software

Materials

Machines

Post processing

Services

Impact

AM part cost will drop significantly

AM market will grow

exponentially

AM stock prices are approaching

fair valuation

AM Costs

Case landing gear

55

Main landing gear of the Italian aircraft P180 Avant II by Piaggio Aero Industries S.p.A.

Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Re-designed to utilize potential provided by AM, unhanged pars with orange color

a) General view of landing supportb) Image from topc) Detail from side

Case landing gear support

56

a)

b)

c)

Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Cost with investment casting

57Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Cost with investment casting

58Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Cost with AM

59Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Cost with AM

60Atzeni & Salmi, 2012Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Total costs

61Rickenbacher et al 2011Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Case Teeth adjustment

Unaesthetic, bad for self consistence Uncomfortable and solid Requires constant follow up by orthodontics dentist Cost of treatment 3 000 – 5 000 €

Current technology

63Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Use of AM

64

http://www.zrdental.com/Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Started 1997 80-miljon tools made 2011 delivery of 309 335 set Typically 30 - 40 tools per patient Treatment plan 18-24 months Production currently 34 000 tools per day (24/7 with 85%

efficiency)

AM orthodontics

65Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Case Virgin Atlantic: monitor support

How to optimize weight

67

Model 1: Cutting from solid billetWeight 0.8 kg

Model 3: AM optimizedWeight 0.37 kg

Model 2: AM lattice structureWeight 0.31 kg

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Lifecycle analysis

68

Example with 90 Mkm travel in a long route

Cutting 100 kg 2 kg 5 kg 43 779 kg 43 886 kg

AM Lattice 16 kg 5 kg 1 kg 16 238 kg 16 260 kg

AM Optimum 18 kg 7 kg 2 kg 20 339 kg 20 366 kg

ProcessRaw

materialsCO2

ProductionCO2

DeliveryCO2

UsageCO2

Life-cycleCO2

Raw materials Production Delivery/

salesConsumer

usageDisposal/ recycling

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Lifetime CO2 emission

69

Model 1: Cutting from solid billet100%

Model 3: AM optimized46%

Model 2: AM lattice structure37%

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Price of machined part $500 Price of AM part $2,500 Return of investment 2 years. 0.49 kg weight saving per piece $ 1 500 savings on fuel consumption per annum $ 45 000 savings on fuel consumption during the 30 years

lifecycle of plane Product life cycle 5-7 years (estimate) Lifecycle savings $ 6 500 - $ 9 000

Costs

70Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Build speed 10 cm3/h 40 cm3/h 80 cm3/hMachine cost 500 k€ 700 k€ 800 k€Share of monitoring 5% 2% 0%Machine utilization 86% 84% 81%Steel powder price 89 €/kg 70 €/kg 30 €/kgPost-processing work 1.52 h/kg 1.05 h/kg 0.96 h/kg

Forecast: metal AM costs in euros/cm3

71Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Renishaw wanted to design bottle opener which would be light, strong and impossible to made with other manufacturing methods.

Case study - Eliminating supports

72Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

Second step included modifying the model so that it would support itself.

Case study - Eliminating supports

73Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

Manufactured bottle openers.

Case study - Eliminating supports

74Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

• Manifold blocks are complex components where numerous pipes come together and intersect.

• Traditionally, manifold blocks are created by cross drilling from a solid metal block.

Case – Minimizing manifolds

75Klaipeda 10.4.2017Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

• One way to prevent clogging and make the flow slightly better is to use internal plugs.

Case – Minimizing manifolds

76Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

DfAM step 1- extract the essentials that are needed.

Case – Minimizing manifolds

77Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

DfAM step 2 - Optimize flow

Case – Minimizing manifolds

78Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

DfAM step 3 – Define wall thicknesses and add supports

Case – Minimizing manifolds

79Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

• Result : Flow and weight optimized part• Original part made out of aluminum, optimized one out of

stainless steel. Still 50 % weight savings.

Case – Minimizing manifolds

80Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

Part consolidation

81Klaipeda 10.4.2017 Source: Marc Saunders, Renishaw

Manufacturing large parts, DED

82Klaipeda 10.4.2017

Repair of bearing surfaces of cam

shaft

On-site repairing –corrosion wear in turbine

On-site repairing –corrosion wear in turbine

On-site repairing –corrosion wear in turbine

Manufacturing large parts, DED

86www.3ders.orgKlaipeda 10.4.2017

Lappeenranta University of Technology

Laser Processing Laboratory

For more information:www.lut.fi/laser

Contact person:Professor Antti Salminen [email protected]. +359 40 767 4387

87

Thank you for your attention!

Klaipeda 10.4.2017

www.lut.fi/laser

88Klaipeda 10.4.2017