Alternative future_16aeyc

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By: Aey 11B

Transcript of Alternative future_16aeyc

Page 1: Alternative future_16aeyc

By: Aey 11B

Page 2: Alternative future_16aeyc

Current

Situation

Probable

Future

Preferable

Future

Actions

!

*click on the dots to

navigate through

different sections of the

timeline*

Alternative

Future TimelineHom

e

Page*Bibliography*

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World population 2008• In 2008, 6.7 billion people lived on earth. From this amount, 1.2

billion lives in developed countries while the majority which is 5.5

billion people lives in less developed countries.

• Approximately four out of ten pregnancies world wide are

unwanted pregnancies. This means that almost half of the births

that contributes to population growth human consumption of

resource is unwanted.

• There is a tendency that the majority population of those who live

in more developed countries tend to have longer life expectancy

and lower birth rates. On the contrary those living in less

developed countries show shorter life expectancy and higher birth

rates

• In addition to that, in developed country, the average birth per

female is 1.6 in developed countries, 3.2 in developing

countries, and 4.7 in least developed countries.

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Fishery in 2012• In 2012 more than 1.2 billion people on earth rely on fish as their primary source of protein

• 52% of the fish stocks are fully exploited, 17% are over exploited and around 7% of fish stocks are

depleting worldwide.

• Within the last 60 years the stocks of large fishes have dropped at a remarkable amount by 90%

• Fishermen uses the method of trawling to capture the shrimps. They will drag a strong and large

fishing net which is approximately the size of four football pitch across the ocean floor. This

method usually catches a lot of unwanted marine life, usually around 80-90% of the marine life

caught are by catch. The massive amount of by catch over a period of time will lead to rapid

depletion to a particular species

• For example the scientists recommended that 10,000 tones of blue fin tuna should be fished so

that it would be sustainable and blue fin tuna would be able to reproduce at a steady rate.

however, the EU and other fishing nations decided that they would set the limit at 29,500 tones.

What is very horrifying and sad is that 61,000 tones of tuna was actually caught, almost six times

more than the rate that they would be able to reproduce sustainably and has lead to a decline of

the blue fin tuna's population. If the

Current population of blue fin

tuna is to be compared with

when blue fin tunas were un

fished, there would have

been approximately 96.4%

decline in its population. All

Atlantic Blue Fin tuna is now

extinct in the Black Sea.

Tuna_decline_sized. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Global Water consumption in

2013• There are 783 million people who are living without access to clean drinking water.

• Approximately 70% of the earth's surface is water. Of that 70%, 97.5% is salt water

which we cannot make use of and there is only 2.5% of fresh water on earth. Of that

2.5% of fresh water, 70% are frozen in ice caps and more fresh water are trapped

deep underground where it is impossible to access. This leaves humans and other

living organisms dependent on fresh water with less than 1% which are accessible

and can be used. This proves that there is a very limited and finite amount of fresh

water on earth.

• At present, 70% of the accessible water is being used for agriculture, 20% for

industry, and only 10% for domestic or personal use. Every year the demand for

fresh water increases by 64 billion cubic meter which is an increasing trend which

does not seem like it will be slowing down anytime soon.

WF-consumption2. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014. Water_issues. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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World population 2014• The current world population in 2014 is

approximately 7.2 billion people on earth or to be

more exact 7,211,239,210 people living on earth.

The largest continent in the world in terms of

population is still Asia and the country which

currently holds the largest population is still china.

• It is estimated that

for every seven

second, someone

is born. On the

other hand, for

every thirteen

second, someone

passes away.

World_population. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Oil consumption 2014• Currently 74,900,000 barrels of oil have already been

pumped out of the earth and there are only

1,200,000,000,000 barrels of oil left. If we continue to

consume oil at the same rate, the amount of oil left can

only sustain us for forty more years.Machine which pumps

oil• The demand of oil globally

continues to increase.

Currently, the global oil

consumption increases by

890,000 barrels daily.

• Approximately as of 2014 there

are 1.09 million barrels of oil

pumped per dayReturn

Home

Stock-footage-oil-pump-jack-in-a-field. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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World's population in 2025• It is predicted that the population in 2025 will be in

the range of 7.9 to 8 billion people worldwide if the mortality and fertility rate continue its trend

• India and China will continue to be the worlds two most populated countries. It is predicted that each country will contain around 1.45 billion people each.

• There will not be a lot of change in terms of numbers for the developed countries because the majority of population growth occurs in developing and underdeveloped countries.

• The population growth may increase the risk of 25 million Europeans going into poverty

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Human consumption of water in

2025• 48 countries will face shortage for safe drinking water affecting up to 3 billion

people

• 24 billion people will be living without fresh water

• 1.8 billion people will have to undergo absolute water scarcity. On top of that

two thirds of the world's population will not have sufficient water to live a

comfortable life; they will have to live under water-stressed conditions.

• The amount of water being pumped out of the earth will increase by 18% in

developed countries and up to 50% in developing and under developed

countries.

• The demand for water from the industry section will increase by 56% because

there is a lot of industrial growth.

• The majority demand for water will be coming from the agricultural section. In

2025 economic growth is expected which increases the income for most

individuals. With more income people would have the means to spend more

money on different sectors of their life such as food. One kilogram of rice

requires 3,500 liters of water to produce while one kilogram of beef requires

15,000 liters of water to produce. When the demand for the more 'healthy'

food increases, more water will be needed during the production phase.

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Fishery in 2030• In this year more than 3/4 of the ocean's fish stocks will have

either been overfished, depleted, or over exploited. This is

why the amount of fish farms are increasing even though it is

neither good towards the environment nor fishes. It is

predicted that 60% or more of the world's fish will be coming

from fish farms. • In 2006 fish farms raised

nearly 70 million tons of

seafood which converts into

approximately 80 billion

dollars. In this year, 2030; it is

expected that there will be a

70% more yield.

• Human annual consumption of

fish will rise to around 150-160

million tones which for a

average person, it is 19-20 kg.

Fish2012_2030. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014.

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Oil Consumption in 2030• Crude oil will still remain as the main energy source in

this year and the demand for oil globally could reach 106

million barrels per day. It is predicted that there will be

enough oil to produce approximately 99 to 110 million

barrels per day.

• A price for a barrel of oil will be at least 113 dollars

• Because of the traditional fuels such as oil running out

people are investing up to 17 trillion dollars on renewable energy in 2030. However

sustainable energy such

as, tidal, solar, and biomass

combined will still only

account for 4% of the

world's energy source.

Saupload_2h3csab. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Fishery in

2048• It is predicted that if the current

situation does not improve and

humans continue to fish with the

same rate and method, the stocks

of all fish caught as food will most

likely collapse which means that

there may be no more seafood.

• The ocean's ecosystem

worldwide is most likely expected

to breakdown

• If the ocean is damaged it will

result in harmful algae

blooms, decrease in oxygen

levels, and ocean flooding. Fish

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Human Consumption of water in

2050• Water can be a limitation to an economic growth

because it is the essential core to industry yet we are still using it at a tremendous unsustainable amount. It is predicted that 45% of the total GDP which is around 63 trillion dollars will be at risk due to water stressed. The numbers 1.5 times larger than the current day entire global economy.

• The demand for fresh water will increase by 55%

• 3.9 billion people will be living under severe water stressed conditions

• It is predicted that water shortage will occur affecting at least half of the entire population which is more than 4.5 billion people

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World’s population

2050• The world population is projected to reach 9.6 billion people, more than

half of the population growth is predicted to come from Africa alone.

• It is predicted that globally, the population of people age 50 or more will

triple if compared to the year 2010. In the year 2010 the population of

people aged 50 or more is 531 million people but in 2050 it is expected

to reach 1.5 billion people. This is caused by the fact that the world as a

whole is now declining in terms of birth rates. It is also predicted that

the population of children aged younger than 15 is expected to increase

by only 10% from 2010.

• In this year china will have a population of 1.38 billion people which

means that it will no longer be the world's most populated country

because India will have a population of more than 1.62 billion people.

While some countries are facing rapid population growths there are also

some nations which its population are declining. Countries such as

Japan, Russia, and Germany will face 10% or more in terms of

population decline. This means that Japan's population will reduce by

19 million people, 23 million people for Russia, and 10 million people for

Germany.

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Oil consumption 2050

• If the current rate of oil consumption

continues in the year 2050 there will be

110% increase in oil demand.

• It is predicted that there will be a demand

of more than 190 million barrels to be

pumped out per day. One of the reasons is

because the number of cars on the road is

expected to increase by at least one

billion. Return

Home

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Population 2025

• The world's population is a trend which is

hard and almost impossible to decrease.

• However, it would be better if the majority

of females does not have more than two to

three children. By having fewer babies it

helps the global population in the long

term to possibly decline

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Water 2025• There will be enough water for everyone to use to

sufficiently and suit their needs but not excessively.

• Areas which face sever water shortage are noticed by nations which has the mean to help and get them out of the issue.

• Governments are indulging industries to take serious notice of the waste disposed into waterways or oceans. Every company must be required to treat the water waste produced cleaning it up by at least 80% to prevent contamination of the already scarce water.

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Fishery 2030• Reduce consumption of large fish by 50%

so that the remaining species of large fish

such as the blue fin tuna can hopefully

restore its population.

• Fishermen stick very closely to the

regulations about the fishing limits and the

amount of by catch are starting to decrease

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Oil consumption 2030

• The rate of oil consumption will show a

decreasing trend

• Renewable energy are becoming more

accessible because the price is

decreasing

• People's value towards green energy is

decreasing and they are realizing its

importance even more

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Fishery

2048• The biodiversity in ocean is nearly fully

restored and highly destructive fishing methods such as dynamite fishing are no longer used.

• The amount of by catch must not be more than 10% of the total amount of marine life caught

• All fishermen fishing in the ocean has legal permits and the majority of fishermen will not practice overfishing.

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Water consumption in

2050• There is a sustainable future for humans and

other organisms on earth in terms of water.

• There are limits to how much water a household can use per day in relation to the amount of residents in a home. Industry will also have a limit in relation to their needs and the industry's scale, the amount of water used will recorded monthly.

• Brackish water and salt water are now usable and drinkable after it goes through the desalination process.

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Population in the year

2050• The average number of children per women will be

two

• The amount of unwanted pregnancies will be less than two out of ten pregnancies worldwide

• The disparities of population growth in both developed and under developed countries will be relatively close. The population increase if under developed countries should not be more than 10% different than developed countries.

• The trend of world population will slightly decline and hopefully not reach 10 billion people

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Oil Consumption 2050• Renewable energy makes up the majority of

energy source because it is sustainable and

does not pollute the environment.

• Follow the example of Sweden because it is the

first country declaring to be oil free by 2020. For

a country to be oil free it assures them that they

will have long term energy supply

Return

HomeGood-oil-drop. Digital image. N.p., n.d.Web. 6 May 2014

No Oil Sign. Digital image. N.p., n.d.Web. 6 May 2014Renewable-energy-02. Digital image.

N.p., n.d. Web

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World’s population in

2025• Governments should issue

regulation demanding that from

secondary school onwards there

must be a mandatory course

teaching about birth and

population control.

• More education about population

and the consequences that follow

if the population exceeds the

amount that earth can support will

most likely influence the student's

decisions about numbers of

children they want to have and

their safety precautions to prevent

unwanted pregnancies.Nursing. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Staring at Pregnancy Test. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Water Consumption in

2025• Use technology to develop a desalination water treatment system

which does not require a large amount of energy when it is required to

purify salt and brackish water. The purified water must also meet the

quality requirements of fresh water.

• Governments should help fund the desalination program so that the

system will have the support it needs to develop a large scale project

of desalinating the water.

• The price should not be too

expensive so that it can be

accessible for everyone especially

for less developed countries such

as parts of Africa because they will

most likely be facing severe water

shortage.

Renewable-Energy-Sources. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Fishery

2030• Support organizations which work to

protect the ocean such as Oceana, Blue

Ocean Institute, and Green Peace

• Buy only MSC-certified seafood. This is

because seafood labeled MSC is

considered to be sustainable, fishing at a

reasonable quantity. If seafood does not

have MSC label the source where the

seafood came from may be illegal or

practice overfishing.

• More education about the importance of

biodiversity to students.

Guidelogo. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014GREENPEACE%20LOGO. Digital image. N.p., n.d.Web. 6 May 2014

Oceana-Logo. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Oil Consumption 2030• Continue to further develop the alternative fuels and sustainable energy

sources so that they can be made and used more efficiently making them

more affordable and used in a wider range.

• Provide tax discount for car companies that sell cars which can be used

with bio fuels

• Because research are usually costly, research that relates to green

energy willreceive discounts, this

will encourage scientists

and companies to

research about green

energy furthermore.

• Government provides a

special rate or tax

discounts for companies

or households which runs

on 90% or more green

energy.

Biofuel. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Fishery 2048• Use technology to improve fishing methods. For example, when fishing

shrimps the new technology would be able to identify the characteristics

of a shrimp. Animals which does not fit the characteristics programmed in

the computer will be neglected, the fishing net will alter its course and try

to minimize the amount of by catch as possible.

• Strict laws about legal fishing

license and regulation about

the quantity that a particular

specie can be fished per

year. If these laws are

violated the persecutor must

face severe consequences

such as facing jail time.

Vintage-fishing-license-1953. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Water consumption

2050• Control on water limits a person can use per day. An average

person uses around 150 liters of water per day.

• Governments should introduce a system where people would

have a personal scanner which they will scan on tap, drinking

fountain, or sources which is a water source. The scanner will

activate the water source which allows water flow, at the same

time it will record how much water is being used. If the person

reaches the water limit, the scanner will no longer have the ability

to active water sources.

• Governments should issue a law that every new and existing

industry must submit a current report about its company. A new

department will be set up to specifically evaluate the company's

scale, its demand for water, and what the company's annual water

consumption should be. If the company exceeds the water

limits, they will be forced to pay higher taxes.

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World’s population 2050

• Because one of the main value in life is money, if a family has more than two children, for every extra child the family would have to pay more tax and the extra child(ren) will not receive free public education or any other benefit the government offers.

• The population must be controlled critically because if the population reaches or exceeds 10 billion people there may not be enough resources to keep up with the growing demand.

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Oil consumption 2050• In this year, the trend starts to change because instead of using green energy

and being rewarded, if you do not use green energy you will be penalized

instead.

• Government creates a law that that there must be an annual tax increase for

household that does not use green energy for at least 80% of the entire

household's energy consumption

• Each household must submit a monthly report to the government about their

sources and usage of energy

• For industry, green energy must account for at least 75% of the total amount of

energy used otherwise it will face consequences such as increase in annual tax

income. Return

Home

Sunflowertif. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Green-Energy1. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014Floating-wind-turbines. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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