By: Aey 11B

Alternative Future

Current Situation

Probable Future

Preferable Future

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Alternative Future

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*Bibliography*

Current Situation

2008-2014

World population 2008• In 2008, 6.7 billion people lived on earth. From this

amount, 1.2 billion lives in developed countries while the majority which is 5.5 billion people lives in less developed countries.

• Approximately four out of ten pregnancies world wide are unwanted pregnancies. This means that almost half of the births that contributes to population growth human consumption of resource is unwanted.

• There is a tendency that the majority population of those who live in more developed countries tend to have longer life expectancy and lower birth rates. On the contrary those living in less developed countries show shorter life expectancy and higher birth rates

• In addition to that, in developed country, the average birth per female is 1.6 in developed countries, 3.2 in developing countries, and 4.7 in least developed countries.

Fishery in 2012• In 2012 more than 1.2 billion people on earth rely on fish as their primary source of

protein• ;52% of the fish stocks are fully exploited, 17% are over exploited and around 7% of

fish stocks are depleting worldwide. • Within the last 60 years the stocks of large fishes have dropped at a remarkable

amount by 90%• Fishermen uses the method of trawling to capture the shrimps. They will drag a strong

and large fishing net which is approximately the size of four football pitch across the ocean floor. This method usually catches a lot of unwanted marine life, usually around 80-90% of the marine life caught are by catch. The massive amount of by catch over a period of time will lead to rapid depletion to a particular species

• For example the scientists recommended that 10,000 tones of blue fin tuna should be fished so that it would be sustainable and blue fin tuna would be able to reproduce at a steady rate. however, the EU and other fishing nations decided that they would set the limit at 29,500 tones. What is very horrifying and sad is that 61,000 tones of tuna was actually caught, almost six times more than the rate that they would be able to reproduce sustainably and has lead to a decline of the blue fin tuna's population. If the

Current population of blue fin tuna is to be compared with when blue fin tunas were un fished, there would have been approximately 96.4% decline in its population. All Atlantic Blue Fin tuna is now extinct in the Black Sea.

Tuna_decline_sized. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Global Water consumption in 2013

• There are 783 million people who are living without access to clean drinking water.

• Approximately 70% of the earth's surface is water. Of that 70%, 97.5% is salt water which we cannot make use of and there is only 2.5% of fresh water on earth. Of that 2.5% of fresh water, 70% are frozen in ice caps and more fresh water are trapped deep underground where it is impossible to access. This leaves humans and other living organisms dependent on fresh water with less than 1% which are accessible and can be used. This proves that there is a very limited and finite amount of fresh water on earth.

• At present, 70% of the accessible water is being used for agriculture, 20% for industry, and only 10% for domestic or personal use. Every year the demand for fresh water increases by 64 billion cubic meter which is an increasing trend which does not seem like it will be slowing down anytime soon.

WF-consumption2. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014. Water_issues. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

World population 2014• The current world population in 2014 is

approximately 7.2 billion people on earth or to be more exact 7,211,239,210 people living on earth. The largest continent in the world in terms of population is still Asia and the country which currently holds the largest population is still china.

• It is estimated that for every seven second, someone is born. On the other hand, for every thirteen second, someone passes away.

World_population. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Oil consumption 2014• Currently 74,900,000 barrels of oil have already

been pumped out of the earth and there are only 1,200,000,000,000 barrels of oil left. If we continue to consume oil at the same rate, the amount of oil left can only sustain us for forty more years. Machine which

pumps oil• The demand of oil globally

continues to increase. Currently, the global oil consumption increases by 890,000 barrels daily.

• Approximately as of 2014 there are 1.09 million barrels of oil pumped per dayReturn

Home

Stock-footage-oil-pump-jack-in-a-field. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Probable Future

Now- 2050

World's population in 2025

• It is predicted that the population in 2025 will be in the range of 7.9 to 8 billion people worldwide if the mortality and fertility rate continue its trend

• India and China will continue to be the worlds two most populated countries. It is predicted that each country will contain around 1.45 billion people each.

• There will not be a lot of change in terms of numbers for the developed countries because the majority of population growth occurs in developing and underdeveloped countries.

• The population growth may increase the risk of 25 million Europeans going into poverty

Human consumption of water in 2025

• 48 countries will face shortage for safe drinking water affecting up to 3 billion people

• 24 billion people will be living without fresh water• 1.8 billion people will have to undergo absolute water scarcity. On

top of that two thirds of the world's population will not have sufficient water to live a comfortable life; they will have to live under water-stressed conditions.

• The amount of water being pumped out of the earth will increase by 18% in developed countries and up to 50% in developing and under developed countries.

• The demand for water from the industry section will increase by 56% because there is a lot of industrial growth.

• The majority demand for water will be coming from the agricultural section. In 2025 economic growth is expected which increases the income for most individuals. With more income people would have the means to spend more money on different sectors of their life such as food. One kilogram of rice requires 3,500 liters of water to produce while one kilogram of beef requires 15,000 liters of water to produce. When the demand for the more 'healthy' food increases, more water will be needed during the production phase.

Fishery in 2030• In this year more than 3/4 of the ocean's fish stocks

will have either been overfished, depleted, or over exploited. This is why the amount of fish farms are increasing even though it is neither good towards the environment nor fishes. It is predicted that 60% or more of the world's fish will be coming from fish farms.

• In 2006 fish farms raised nearly 70 million tons of seafood which converts into approximately 80 billion dollars. In this year, 2030; it is expected that there will be a 70% more yield.

• Human annual consumption of fish will rise to around 150-160 million tones which for a average person, it is 19-20 kg.

Fish2012_2030. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014.

Oil Consumption in 2030• Crude oil will still remain as the main energy

source in this year and the demand for oil globally could reach 106 million barrels per day. It is predicted that there will be enough oil to produce approximately 99 to 110 million barrels per day.

• A price for a barrel of oil will be at least 113 dollars

• Because of the traditional fuels such as oil running out people are investing up to 17 trillion dollars on renewable

energy in 2030. However sustainable energy such as, tidal, solar, and biomass combined will still only account for 4% of the world's energy source.

Saupload_2h3csab. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Fishery in 2048• It is predicted that if the

current situation does not improve and humans continue to fish with the same rate and method, the stocks of all fish caught as food will most likely collapse which means that there may be no more seafood.

• The ocean's ecosystem worldwide is most likely expected to breakdown

• If the ocean is damaged it will result in harmful algae blooms, decrease in oxygen levels, and ocean flooding.

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Human Consumption of water in 2050

• Water can be a limitation to an economic growth because it is the essential core to industry yet we are still using it at a tremendous unsustainable amount. It is predicted that 45% of the total GDP which is around 63 trillion dollars will be at risk due to water stressed. The numbers 1.5 times larger than the current day entire global economy.

• The demand for fresh water will increase by 55% • 3.9 billion people will be living under severe water

stressed conditions• It is predicted that water shortage will occur affecting

at least half of the entire population which is more than 4.5 billion people

World’s population 2050

• The world population is projected to reach 9.6 billion people, more than half of the population growth is predicted to come from Africa alone.

• It is predicted that globally, the population of people age 50 or more will triple if compared to the year 2010. In the year 2010 the population of people aged 50 or more is 531 million people but in 2050 it is expected to reach 1.5 billion people. This is caused by the fact that the world as a whole is now declining in terms of birth rates. It is also predicted that the population of children aged younger than 15 is expected to increase by only 10% from 2010.

• In this year china will have a population of 1.38 billion people which means that it will no longer be the world's most populated country because India will have a population of more than 1.62 billion people. While some countries are facing rapid population growths there are also some nations which its population are declining. Countries such as Japan, Russia, and Germany will face 10% or more in terms of population decline. This means that Japan's population will reduce by 19 million people, 23 million people for Russia, and 10 million people for Germany.

Oil consumption 2050• If the current rate of oil consumption

continues in the year 2050 there will be 110% increase in oil demand.

• It is predicted that there will be a demand of more than 190 million barrels to be pumped out per day. One of the reasons is because the number of cars on the road is expected to increase by at least one billion.

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Preferable Future

Now- 2050

Population 2025• The world's population is a trend

which is hard and almost impossible to decrease.

• However, it would be better if the majority of females does not have more than two to three children. By having fewer babies it helps the global population in the long term to possibly decline

Water 2025• There will be enough water for everyone to use to

sufficiently and suit their needs but not excessively.

• Areas which face sever water shortage are noticed by nations which has the mean to help and get them out of the issue.

• Governments are indulging industries to take serious notice of the waste disposed into waterways or oceans. Every company must be required to treat the water waste produced cleaning it up by at least 80% to prevent contamination of the already scarce water.

Fishery 2030•  Reduce consumption of large fish by

50% so that the remaining species of large fish such as the blue fin tuna can hopefully restore its population.

• Fishermen stick very closely to the regulations about the fishing limits and the amount of by catch are starting to decrease

Oil consumption 2030

• The rate of oil consumption will show a decreasing trend

• Renewable energy are becoming more accessible because the price is decreasing

• People's value towards green energy is decreasing and they are realizing its importance even more

Fishery 2048

• The biodiversity in ocean is nearly fully restored and highly destructive fishing methods such as dynamite fishing are no longer used.

• The amount of by catch must not be more than 10% of the total amount of marine life caught

• All fishermen fishing in the ocean has legal permits and the majority of fishermen will not practice overfishing.

Water consumption in 2050

• There is a sustainable future for humans and other organisms on earth in terms of water.

• There are limits to how much water a household can use per day in relation to the amount of residents in a home. Industry will also have a limit in relation to their needs and the industry's scale, the amount of water used will recorded monthly.

• Brackish water and salt water are now usable and drinkable after it goes through the desalination process.

Population in the year 2050

• The average number of children per women will be two

• The amount of unwanted pregnancies will be less than two out of ten pregnancies worldwide

• The disparities of population growth in both developed and under developed countries will be relatively close. The population increase if under developed countries should not be more than 10% different than developed countries.

• The trend of world population will slightly decline and hopefully not reach 10 billion people

Oil Consumption 2050

• Renewable energy makes up the majority of energy source because it is sustainable and does not pollute the environment.

• Follow the example of Sweden because it is the first country declaring to be oil free by 2020. For a country to be oil free it assures them that they will have long term energy supply

Return HomeGood-oil-drop. Digital image. N.p., n.d.

Web. 6 May 2014No Oil Sign. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014Renewable-energy-02. Digital image. N.p.,

n.d. Web

Action!!

Now- 2050

World’s population in 2025• Governments should issue

regulation demanding that from secondary school onwards there must be a mandatory course teaching about birth and population control.

• More education about population and the consequences that follow if the population exceeds the amount that earth can support will most likely influence the student's decisions about numbers of children they want to have and their safety precautions to prevent unwanted pregnancies.

Nursing. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Staring at Pregnancy Test. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Water Consumption in 2025

• Use technology to develop a desalination water treatment system which does not require a large amount of energy when it is required to purify salt and brackish water. The purified water must also meet the quality requirements of fresh water.

• Governments should help fund the desalination program so that the system will have the support it needs to develop a large scale project of desalinating the water.• The price should not be too expensive so that it can be accessible for everyone especially for less developed countries such as parts of Africa because they will most likely be facing severe water shortage. Renewable-Energy-Sources. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Fishery 2030• Support organizations which work to

protect the ocean such as Oceana, Blue Ocean Institute, and Green Peace

• Buy only MSC-certified seafood. This is because seafood labeled MSC is considered to be sustainable, fishing at a reasonable quantity. If seafood does not have MSC label the source where the seafood came from may be illegal or practice overfishing.

• More education about the importance of biodiversity to students.

Guidelogo. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014GREENPEACE%20LOGO. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Oceana-Logo. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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Oil Consumption 2030• Continue to further develop the alternative fuels and sustainable

energy sources so that they can be made and used more efficiently making them more affordable and used in a wider range.

• Provide tax discount for car companies that sell cars which can be used with bio fuels

• Because research are usually costly, research that relates to green energy will

receive discounts, this will encourage scientists and companies to research about green energy furthermore.• Government provides a special rate or tax discounts for companies or households which runs on 90% or more green energy.

Biofuel. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Fishery 2048• Use technology to improve fishing methods. For example, when

fishing shrimps the new technology would be able to identify the characteristics of a shrimp. Animals which does not fit the characteristics programmed in the computer will be neglected, the fishing net will alter its course and try to minimize the amount of by catch as possible. • Strict laws about legal fishing license and regulation about the quantity that a particular specie can be fished per year. If these laws are violated the persecutor must face severe consequences such as facing jail time.

Vintage-fishing-license-1953. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Water consumption 2050

• Control on water limits a person can use per day. An average person uses around 150 liters of water per day.

• Governments should introduce a system where people would have a personal scanner which they will scan on tap, drinking fountain, or sources which is a water source. The scanner will activate the water source which allows water flow, at the same time it will record how much water is being used. If the person reaches the water limit, the scanner will no longer have the ability to active water sources.

• Governments should issue a law that every new and existing industry must submit a current report about its company. A new department will be set up to specifically evaluate the company's scale, its demand for water, and what the company's annual water consumption should be. If the company exceeds the water limits, they will be forced to pay higher taxes.

World’s population 2050

• Because one of the main value in life is money, if a family has more than two children, for every extra child the family would have to pay more tax and the extra child(ren) will not receive free public education or any other benefit the government offers.

• The population must be controlled critically because if the population reaches or exceeds 10 billion people there may not be enough resources to keep up with the growing demand.

Oil consumption 2050• In this year, the trend starts to change because instead of using green

energy and being rewarded, if you do not use green energy you will be penalized instead.

• Government creates a law that that there must be an annual tax increase for household that does not use green energy for at least 80% of the entire household's energy consumption

• Each household must submit a monthly report to the government about their sources and usage of energy

• For industry, green energy must account for at least 75% of the total amount of energy used otherwise it will face consequences such as increase in annual tax income. Return

Home

Sunflowertif. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

Green-Energy1. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014Floating-wind-turbines. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

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2014. <http://www.organicauthority.com/fish-farms-to-supply-more-than-60-percent-of-all-the-worlds-edible-fish-by-2030/>. • "HISTORY OF CRUDE OIL PRICES." HISTORY OF CRUDE OIL PRICES. N.p., n.d. Web. 05 May 2014.

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Bibliography

Background image bibliography

• A world in blue water. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014. 

• 20pump/20sunset. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014

• 4511586_orig. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May 2014• Trawlers%20overfishing%20cod. Digital image. N.p., n.d.

Web. 6 May • 2014• Vision-for-the-world. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May

2014• Single-tree-sunset. Digital image. N.p., n.d. Web. 6 May

2014