Alberta’s Labour Market Highlights€¦ · 5 37.1 37.4 39.2 40.4 40.8 42.2 42.6 43.2 44.9 46.0...

Alberta Labour and Immigration

Alberta’s

Labour Market Highlights2019

Table of Contents

1. Characteristics of the Workforce

2. Employment

3. Unemployment

4. Wages

5. Labour Market Outlook

6. Online Resources

2

Characteristics of the Workforce

3

Components of Population Growth

4

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Natural Growth

Net Inter-provincial Migration

Net International Migration

• Alberta’s population growth

continued to be driven by

migration – both

international and inter-

provincial.

• In 2019, the province

sustained the gain in inter-

provincial migrants from the

previous year. Net inter-

provincial migration was

negative in 2016 and 2017

due to the weak economic

conditions in the province.

Data Source: Alberta Treasury Board and Finance, March 2020

Median Age in Canada and Provinces*

5

37.1 37.4 37.4 39.2 40.4 40.8 42.2 42.6 43.2 44.9 46.0 47.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

Age in years

* As of July 1, 2019

Source: Statistics Canada, Population Estimates on July 1st

• Alberta had the youngest

population among the provinces

as of July 1, 2019.

o Median age was 37.1 years,

lowest among all provinces.

o The proportion of persons

aged 65 years and over was

estimated at 13.3%, 2nd

lowest among the provinces.

Yukon had the lowest at

12.7%.

Educational Attainment of Alberta’s Labour

Force

6

34.4%

21.7%

2009

35.0%

30.0%

2019

0 to 8 years

Some high school

High school graduate

Some post-secondary

Post-secondarycertificate or diploma

University degree

Data Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey

• Alberta’s labour

force is highly

educated. The

combined share of

workers with post-

secondary

certificate and

university degree

rose to 65% in 2019

from 56.1% in 2009.

Educational Attainment of the Labour Force

in Canada and Provinces

7

71.2%67.9% 67.9% 67.1% 65.7% 65.0% 64.6%

61.0% 60.7% 58.3% 58.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%• The education profile of

Alberta’s labour force

compares well with the rest

of Canada.

• In 2019, the combined

share of labour force with a

post-secondary certificate

or diploma and university

degree in the province of

65% was among the

highest in the Prairie

provinces.

• It was also close to the

national average of 67.1%.Data Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey

8

Labour Force Participation Rates, 2019

58.4%

61.4%

62.2%

64.8%

65.1%

65.5%

65.7%

66.5%

66.5%

69.0%

71.4%

Newfoundland and Labrador

New Brunswick

Nova Scotia

Quebec

Ontario

British Columbia

Canada

Prince Edward Island

Manitoba

Saskatchewan

Alberta

• Participation rate in the

labour force by Albertans

was the highest among

all provinces. It was also

higher than the national

average.

• Alberta’s labour force

participation rate

remained above 70%

since 1980.


Participation Rate by Age Group and Gender

9

72.7%

94.1% 93.9% 92.4%

53.9%

80.4%

69.6%

80.8% 86.5% 82.3%

37.4%

68.0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

15-24years

25-44years

45-49years

50-54years

55+ years All Ages(15+

years)

2009

Male Female

64.7%

93.9% 94.2% 92.7%

52.5%

76.9%

64.2%

82.1%85.0%

81.7%

38.6%

65.7%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

15-24years

25-44years

45-49years

50-54years

55+ years All Ages(15+

years)

2019

Male Female


• Women’s

participation in the

labour market was

lower than that of

men across all age

groups.

• However, the gap

between men and

women’s labour

market participation

has narrowed

across most age

groups.

Labour Force Statistics by Economic Region,

2019

10

Banff-Jasper-Rocky

Mountain House

and Athabasca-

Grande Prairie-Peace

River

Wood

Buffalo –

Cold Lake

Camrose –

Drumheller

Lethbridge –

Medicine Hat

Edmonton

Red Deer

Calgary

Wood Buffalo – Cold Lake:

• Working Age Population: 112,300

• Labour Force : 87,500

• Unemployment Rate : 5.6%

Camrose – Drumheller

• Working Age Population : 158,800



Lethbridge – Medicine Hat




Banff-Jasper-Rocky Mountain House

and Athabasca-Grande Prairie-Peace River




Edmonton

• Working Age Population : 1,210,000



Red Deer




Calgary:

• Working Age Population :1,362,600




Employment

11

Employment level and growth rate, 2019

12Data Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey

2,301

2,343

3.7%

-1.6%

1.9%

0.5%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

1,800

1,900

2,000

2,100

2,200

2,300

2,400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Growth, in %Persons, in 000 • Total employment

expanded for the 3rd

consecutive year in

2019. It exceeded the

peak level recorded in

2015.

• However, the year-on-

year growth slowed to

0.5%, an indication

that the economy still

remains weak.

13

1.9%

0.5%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Change, in %Change, in 000

persons

Part-timeemployment

Full-timeemployment

Growth Rate

Employment change by type of work, and

growth rate

• The growth in

employment in 2019 was

driven by part-time work

which grew by 2.0%.

• Full-time employment

grew by 0.2% in 2019, a

reversal in the trend

observed in the last 2

years where full-time

employment was the

main driver for

employment growth.


14

3,600

23,700

49,200

136,000

141,700

236,800

75,000

84,100

87,400

105,900

115,000

115,700

137,400

146,100

157,400

184,700

249,600

293,400

Forestry and Logging and Support Activities

Utilities

Agriculture

Manufacturing

Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction

Construction

Information, Culture and Recreation

Business, Building and Other Support Services

Wholesale Trade

Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing

Public Administration

Other Services

Transportation and Warehousing

Accommodation and Food Services

Educational Services

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

Retail Trade

Health Care and Social Assistance

Employment by Industry, 2019

• Industries in the

Services-Producing

Sector were the major

employers in Alberta.

The sector accounted for

almost 3 quarters of

employed Albertans in

2019.


Change in Employment by Industry

15

Industry 2018 2019 % Change

Total, all industries 2,330,700 2,343,000 0.5%

Goods-Producing Sector 601,100 591,300 -1.6%

Agriculture 49,300 49,200 -0.2%

Forestry and Logging with Support Activities 5,700 3,600 -36.8%

Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction 147,400 141,700 -3.9%

Utilities 23,400 23,700 1.3%

Construction 245,400 236,800 -3.5%

Manufacturing 129,800 136,000 4.8%

Services-Producing Sector 1,729,700 1,751,700 1.3%

Wholesale Trade 86,300 87,400 1.3%

Retail Trade 247,100 249,600 1.0%

Transportation and Warehousing 138,800 137,400 -1.0%

Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing 105,700 105,900 0.2%

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 180,800 184,700 2.2%

Business, Building and Other Support Services 86,100 84,100 -2.3%

Educational Services 157,300 157,400 0.1%

Health Care and Social Assistance 278,600 293,400 5.3%

Information, Culture and Recreation 78,000 75,000 -3.8%

Accommodation and Food Services 148,100 146,100 -1.4%

Other Services 113,800 115,700 1.7%

Public Administration 109,600 115,000 4.9%

• The services sector

was the province’s

main source of

employment growth in

2019.

• In particular, the

Health Care and

Social Assistance

industry led the

growth in employment

at 5.3%.


Employment by Occupation, 2019

16

51,900

81,000

83,100

177,100

195,200

198,500

238,900

382,300

398,500

536,600

Occupations in art, culture, recreation andsport

Natural resources, agriculture and relatedproduction occupations

Occupations in manufacturing and utilities

Health occupations

Natural and applied sciences and relatedoccupations

Management occupations

Occupations in education, law and social,community and government services

Business, finance and administrationoccupations

Trades, transport and equipment operatorsand related occupations

Sales and service occupations• Sales and Trades

occupations

consistently accounted

for the highest

employment among the

different occupational

groups in the last 10

years.

• On average, these 2

occupational groups

comprised over 40% of

total employment in the

province in the last 10

years. Data Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey

17

Change in Employment by Occupation, 2019

Occupation 2018 2019 % Change

Total, all occupations 2,330,700 2,343,000 0.5%

Sales and service occupations 512,700 536,600 4.7%

Trades, transport and equipment operators and related

occupations 399,700 398,500 -0.3%

Business, finance and administration occupations 376,300 382,300 1.6%

Occupations in education, law and social, community and

government services 244,700 238,900 -2.4%

Management occupations 218,100 198,500 -9.0%

Natural and applied sciences and related occupations 190,400 195,200 2.5%

Health occupations 170,200 177,100 4.1%

Natural resources, agriculture and related production

occupations 91,700 81,000 -11.7%

Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 75,100 83,100 10.7%

Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 51,900 51,900 0.0%

• The top 2 occupation

groups which led

employment growth

were:

o manufacturing

and utilities;

and

o sales and

services.


18

Unemployment

19

Number of Unemployed

141,500 142,000

120,700104,400 106,900 111,700

148,000

200,800 194,700

164,100173,200

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


• The number of

unemployed

Albertans inched

up slightly in 2019,

after 2 consecutive

years of declines.

• However, the level

of unemployment

was lower in 2019

compared to the

peak observed in

2016.

20

Unemployment Rate in Alberta

• Unemployment rate in

Alberta remained

elevated relative to

historical trends.

• It was higher than the

national rate in the last

4 years.

• Despite the increase in

employment level in

2019, unemployment

rate increased due to

the larger magnitude of

increase in the labour

force.

4.7%

8.1%

6.9%

5.7%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Alberta

Canada


21

Unemployment Rate in Canada and

Provinces, 2019

11.9%

8.8%

7.9%

7.2%

6.9%

5.7%

5.6%

5.4%

5.3%

5.1%

4.7%



New Brunswick

Nova Scotia

Alberta

Canada

Ontario

Saskatchewan

Manitoba

Quebec

British Columbia

• Alberta had the highest

unemployment rate in the

Prairie Region. This has

been the case since 2016.


22

Unemployment Rate by Industry, 2019

N/A*

N/A*

N/A*

4.4%

4.7%

9.1%

1.9%

2.0%

2.9%

3.1%

3.4%

3.5%

3.6%

3.7%

5.1%

5.4%

5.4%

7.2%

Agriculture

Forestry and logging and support activities

Utilities

Manufacturing

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction

Construction


Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Leasing


Wholesale Trade




Other Services

Retail Trade




Services-Producing

Sector: 3.8%

Goods-Producing

Sector: 6.2%

• The slight uptick in the

provincial

unemployment rate

was also reflected at

the industry level.

• Unemployment rate

increased in all

industries except in:

o Finance,

insurance, real

estate, rental and

leasing; and

o Educational

services.Data Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey

23

Unemployment Rate by Occupation, 2019

• Occupations related to

Natural resources and

Trades had the highest

unemployment rates as

they were most impacted

by the falling oil prices.

This has been the trend

since 2014.

• However, unemployment

rates for these 2

occupational groups have

declined from the peak

rates in 2016. 8.1%

7.7%

4.7%

4.3%

3.6%

3.6%

3.2%

2.8%

2.5%

1.0%

0.0% 2.4% 4.8% 7.2% 9.6%


Trades, transport and equipmentoperators and related occupations

Sales and service occupations







Health occupations


24

Duration of Unemployment, 2019

12.7

17.817.1

13.214.1 14.5 14.6

20.2

23.1

21.620.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Weeks

• The duration of

unemployment in

Alberta was down to

20.7 weeks in 2019.

• It is an improvement

compared to the last 2

years but remains high

relative to the

unemployment

duration seen in the

last 10 years.


25

Duration of Unemployment in Canada and

Provinces, 2019

12.6

14.4

15.9

16

16.3

16.7

16.7

17.4

17.6

19.1

20.7

0 10 20 30

British Columbia

New Brunswick

Ontario

Manitoba


Nova Scotia

Canada


Quebec

Saskatchewan

Alberta

• Despite the improvement

relative to 2017, the

unemployment duration

of 20.7 weeks in Alberta

was the highest among

the provinces. This was

also higher compared to

the national average of

16.7 weeks.

26

Number of Employment Insurance (EI)

Beneficiaries

101,090

50,560

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000• The slight improvement in

labour market conditions in the

last 3 years was also reflected

in the continued decline in the

number of Albertans receiving

EI benefits.

• The number of beneficiaries

has been on a continuous

decline since its peak in October

2016, which coincided with the

changes in EI rules.

Data Source: Statistics Canada

27

Wages

28

Average Hourly Wages

$24.58$25.46

$27.68

$29.61 $30.76$31.39

$21.99$22.88

$24.07$25.72

$26.92$27.83

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Alberta

Canada

• Alberta’s average

hourly wage

remained higher

than the national

average.


29

Average Hourly Wages by Industry, 2019

$20.45

$31.76

$33.75

$44.98

$47.94

$17.90

$24.17

$25.26

$26.31

$26.79

$31.33

$32.08

$32.67

$34.38

$39.00

$41.50

0 20 40 60

Agriculture

Manufacturing

Construction

Forestry, Fishing, Mining, Quarrying, Oil and Gas

Utilities


Wholesale and Retail Trade



Other Services (except public administration)


Finance, Insurance, Eeal Estate, Rental and Leasing





Goods-Producing Sector: $36.50

Services-Producing Sector: $29.77

• Industries in

the Goods-

Producing

Sector paid

higher wages

compared to

those in the

Services-

Producing

Sector.


30

Average Hourly Wages by Occupation, 2019

$20.33

$26.68

$31.78

$31.43

$32.06

$31.70

$33.86

$35.24

$42.80

$50.02

0 20 40


Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport

Business, finance and administration occupations

Trades, transport and equipment operators andrelated occupations



Health occupations





• Management

occupations and

Natural and applied

sciences and

related occupations

were the highest

paid occupational

groups in 2019.

31

Labour Market Outlook

Disclaimer:

The long-term outlook presented in the succeeding slides are based on forecast

undertaken prior to COVID-19. The Alberta Short-Term Employment Forecast was not

updated for the period 2020-2022 due to the lack of information that could capture the

impact of COVID on the individual occupations.

32

33

Data Source: Alberta’s Occupational Outlook, 2019-2028

-4,000

16,000

36,000

56,000

76,000

96,000

116,000

136,000

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

JobOpenings

Job seekers

CumulativeImbalance

• Over the period 2020 to

2028, Alberta is

expected to face

balanced labour market

conditions. The number

of job openings is

expected to keep pace

with the number of job

seekers.

• However, imbalances

are expected to occur at

the occupational level.

10-Year Labour Market Outlook

Job Openings, 1-Digit NOC

34

Data Source: Alberta’s Occupational Outlook, 2019-2028

• Over the 2019-2028

projection period, most

job openings will be

concentrated in:

o sales and service

occupations;

o trades and

transport

occupations; and

o business,

finance, and

administration

0 100,000 200,000 300,000


Trades, transport and equipment operatorsand related occupations




Health occupations





Job Openings: ExpansionDemand

Job Openings: ReplacementDemand

Job Seekers, 1-Digit NOC

35

0 100,000 200,000 300,000


Trades, transport and equipment operators andrelated occupations

Business, finance and administration occupations



Health occupations




Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport

School Leavers

In-migration

Net re-entrants

• Most job seekers

will go into Sales

and services

occupations. This

group will also have

the highest job

openings.

• This occupational

group is also

expected to receive

the highest number

migrant workers

For more information, please visit:

36

Alberta Labour Market Information:

https://www.alberta.ca/labour-market-information.aspx

Alberta Learning Information Service:

www.alis.alberta.ca

Canada-Alberta Job Bank:

www.jobbank.gc.ca

Statistics Canada:

www.statcan.gc.ca

https://www.alberta.ca/labour-market-information.aspx

http://www.alis.alberta.ca/

http://www.jobbank.gc.ca/

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/

37

ISBN 978-1-4601-4781-8

ISSN 2368-9536

Alberta Labour and Immigration, Government of Alberta

June 2020

Alberta’s Labour Market Highlights 2019

https://www.alberta.ca/job-market-forecasts.aspx#toc-3

https://open.alberta.ca/publications/2368-9536

For more information, contact: [email protected]



mailto:[email protected]

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