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    American Journal of Business Research (AJBR)

    Volume 1, Number 1, 2008

    ISSN 1934-6484

    Editor: Dr. Alireza Lari, Fayetteville State University

    Editorial Board:

    Dr. Aaron Clark, North Carolina State University

    Dr. Khalid Dubas, Fayetteville State University

    Ms. Nasim Lari, North Carolina State University

    Dr. Pooneh Lari, North Carolina State University

    Dr. Fazlul Miah, Fayetteville State University

    Dr. Parviz Partow-Navid, California State University - LA

    Dr. Dothang Truong, Fayetteville State University

    Copyright by American Institute of Higher Education, LLC Permission to make digital or hard

    copies of all or part of this journal for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided

    that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial use. All copies must bear a full

    citation. Permission from the Editor is required to post to servers, redistribute to lists, or utilize

    in a for-profit or commercial use. Permission requests should be sent to Dr. Alireza Lari, Editor-

    in-Chief, American Journal of Business Research, AmHighEd, P.O. Box 3553, Cary, NC 27519.

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    Editors Message

    I am proud to present the first issue of the American Journal of Business Research (AJBR). The

    mission of the AJBR is to be the premier journal on interdisciplinary education and practice,

    integrating different areas of business, education and health care management. To support this

    mission, AJBR emphasizes quality and originality in the papers that it publishes. In addition, AJBRrecognizes the international and cultural influences on business education, research and

    practice, and seeks international input in all aspects of the journal, including content, authorship

    of papers, readership, paper reviews, and Editorial Board membership. AJBR continuously seeks

    original articles of special interest to educators and practitioners in all areas of business,

    economics, accounting, healthcare management, statistics, supply chain, project management,

    quality management and business education.

    Authors should review the Guide for Initial Submission of Manuscripts at the end of this issue

    and visit www.amhighed.com for more details. Authors may submit their manuscripts to the

    editor at [email protected].

    AJBR is listed in Cabells Directories of Publishing Opportunities in Management, Marketing,

    Accounting, Economics and Finance.

    Professionally yours,

    Professor Alireza Lari, Editor

    Statement of Peer Review Integrity

    All papers published in the American Journal of Educational Studies have undergone rigorous

    peer-review. This includes an initial editor screening and double-blind refereeing by two or more

    expert referees.

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    Table of Contents

    AJBR V1N1

    Article:

    Non-Governmental Organizations in Azerbaijan: Change in a Post-Soviet Society

    By Roger A. Ritvo

    5

    Testing an Integrated Model of e-Learning Adoption Decision

    By John Heinrichs, Jeen-Su Lim, Hermina Anghelescuand Janice Utz

    21

    The Impact of Inward FDI Stock on GDP Growth: An Empirical Evidence From

    Central and Eastern Europe

    By Lucyna Kornecki and Vedapuri Raghavan

    41

    Utility Accounting System Change During Increasing Competition: An Application

    of Discriminant Analysis

    By Joe E. Dowd and Elizabeth J. Tipton Murff

    59

    An EXCEL-based Template for the Machinists Sequencing Problem

    By Qirjako Theodhori, Charles White and Arben Asllani

    79

    An Empirical Investigation of the HALO Effect of Financial Performance on the

    Relationship between Corporate Reputation and CEO Compensation

    By Jooh Lee and Ernest H. Hall Jr.

    93

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    American Journal of Business Research, Vol1, No1, 2008

    Ritvo 5

    NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS IN AZERBAIJAN: CHANGE IN A POST-SOVIET SOCIETY

    Roger A. Ritvo

    Auburn University Montgomery

    Montgomery, AL 36117

    ABSTRACT

    This article presents the findings of a research project1 on the leadership and governance

    patterns of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in Azerbaijan. A newly formed democracy

    based on Western ideals, this former Soviet state is struggling with how to reap the benefits of

    the NGO movement while trying to maintain the control that strong central pre-Soviet

    governments held. It is an impossible balancing act. Kurt Lewins force field analysis model

    frames this analysis of the recent development on hundreds of nonprofit organizations. Using a

    competency framework for effective governance and organizational leadership, the results of

    this research demonstrate that competencies may be multi-national, but face numerous

    challenges in developing countries and societies where turmoil and macro-level structures are

    not firmly in place. The future for NGOs in this post-Soviet state is uncertain; recent events and

    small successes pave the road for further development, unless the government changes its

    policies.

    Keywords: NGOs, Azerbaijan, Lewin, Force Field Analysis, Governance

    Introduction

    Azerbaijans developing NGOs provide an excellent opportunity to apply Kurt Lewins classic

    force field analysis model of change to an emerging post-Soviet democracy. This article also

    applies the competency-based model of effective governance in order to see if this Unites

    States-based approach works in other countries. The worlds hot spots which surround

    Azerbaijan include Russia, Georgia and Iran. In addition, the Azerbaijan-Armenian civilian and

    military hostilities have lasted almost two decades. About the size of Indiana, this nation broke

    1The author wishes to acknowledge Auburn University Montgomerys Research Council for partial

    support of this project and the University Institutional Review Board for its approval and guidance.

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    from its Soviet bonds in 1991 and joined the United Nations (2007) a year later. Ninety percent

    of its approximately 9 million people are Azeri and almost 95% are Muslim. The 19% inflation

    rate in 2007 hurt NGO budgets severely (AzerNews, 2007a); the governments official prediction

    for 2008 is 12 14%. (AzerNews, 2007b) The capital city of Baku is currently experiencing an

    economic boom. A rapidly expanding commercial center, its growth has been fueled literally by

    oil from the Caspian Sea and a BP-lead construction of the pipeline to the Mediterranean Sea.

    Yet, just because globalization is increasingly visible in dress, transportation, commerce,

    television, music, tourism and technological improvements, one must not forget that this is a

    secular Muslim country. Calls to prayer echo through the capital city of Baku and the country

    celebrates its religious traditions. The family remains the basic social unit. While the country is

    no longer as rural and agricultural as it once was, the tradition of families providing mutual aid,

    protection and support still remains.

    What impact do these customs and mores have on NGOs? First, the family is the core of the

    society and tradition dictates that it will care and provide for its members. Since there were

    eight decades of Soviet rule, the population learned to fear government more than rely on it for

    support care and services beyond formal education and medicine. As if to prod itself, an official

    Azerbaijani government report (2006) stressed the minimum contributions made by NGOs in

    responding to the "sharp decline in living standards of the population (p. 11). "It is estimated

    that 49% of the population is living in poverty [as the government itself defines the term]." (p.13)

    NGOs in Azerbaijan face sometimes insurmountable hurdles. When individuals want to start an

    NGO to meet what they believe is a need, political power is often required just to get through

    the registration process. A report by the US Agency for International Development (2002) found

    that the Ministry of Justice, which is responsible for NGO registration, utilizes internal

    instructions and regulations that are not available to the public to regulate the registration of

    NGOs. This has resulted in a near halt in registration of new organizations over the past two

    years.

    Yet, those NGOs that have government favor find the experience responsive and efficient. To

    demonstrate, the Azerbaijan Marketing Society (2007, p. 3) was established on July 7, 2000 and

    registered on August 16, 2000. During an interview a city government official stated that

    NGOs are best when they do humanitarian work, but they should not try to make policy

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    alongside the government. Another commented that the government still has Soviet thinking

    so people do not trust government or NGOs which the government supports. It worries that

    younger people will want to change the system; it is afraid of that. It should therefore come as

    no surprise that NGOs are precluded from election monitoring or associated politically-focused

    activities. They do so at their own peril.

    Mistrust creates conflicts and barriers to cooperation and progress. It also leads to stereotyping

    and demonizing the other side. A group of government officials was asked to describe what

    animals NGOs brought to mind, responses included snakes, rats, chameleons, cats (take a lot

    but give little back) and dogs (loud and make a mess for others to clean up).

    Azerbaijan's NGOs are falling on hard times after the authorities amended the country's grants

    legislation to repeal tax breaks. The changes mean that organizations which receive grants nowhave to pay more than a quarter of their payroll fund and two per cent of every salary into the

    Public Social Security Fund. (ReliefWeb, 2003) In addition, NGOs pay over 20% taxes on

    revenues from services or investments. Since the national tax codes do not provide deductions

    for individual or corporate charitable donations, philanthropy is neither in the national

    consciousness nor in public culture.

    The government does not trust NGOs and aspires to have greater control over the third

    sector.(USAID, 2005) According to data released by the NGO-Forum, the number of NGOs in

    Azerbaijan is increasing. The Forum reports some progress in registering NGOs; as of November

    2005 the NGO sector consisted of approximately 3000 organizations, 60% of which are

    registered. Approximately 20% of these focus on hunger, housing, youth services,

    environmental initiatives, human rights, legal education, and economic development.

    Globalization has opened up Azerbaijan to the international commercial, cultural, economic,

    political and scientific communities. Change is everywhere in Azerbaijan and yet progress is slow.

    The push for reforms includes external international pressure because of the oil-rich Caspian Sea

    and growing internal domestic needs. Shedding the autocratic leadership that characterized the

    Soviet system, Azerbaijan is now emerging democracy, complete with the attendant problems of

    disputed elections, high corruption, an unstable banking system, and increased demands on its

    oil. Unfortunately, it ranks in the bottom half of all countries in the "ease of doing business" and

    159th out of 178 in "dealing with licenses." (World Bank, 2007, p. 106)

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    Against this background of a changing society, the next section of this article explores the

    personal and professional highlights of Kurt Lewins (1890 1947) life and contributions to

    planned change at the individual, team, organizational and societal levels (Lewin, 1948).

    Lewins Background and Research

    Lewin, Lippitt and Whites research (1939) explored democratic, authoritarian and laissez-faire

    leadership styles. They documented that groups and teams that used a democratic style of

    leadership were found to be more effective than other groups with different styles; leadership is

    both functional and positional. Authority comes from expertise and members ability to move

    the team toward its goals rather than just viewing leadership as the person with the gavel or

    title.

    Conversely, groups with authoritarian leaders had less creativity and less successful decision

    making processes. Members with more power controlled those with less power and influence,

    even if the bottom members had something of value to contribute. Laissez faire leaders did not

    succeed as much as democratic leaders because they omit the teams need for structure, limits,

    and goal-directed decisions. The struggles faced by NGOs in Azerbaijan reflect the research

    findings that stress the difficulty of moving from authoritarian regimes to democratic, open and

    civil societies.

    Dictatorships, totalitarianism and autocratic leadership were more than just an academic

    interest to Kurt Lewin. The Nazis killed his mother in a concentration camp. Through the

    constant prodding of the Emergency Committee In Aid of Displaced Foreign Scholars, Lewin

    received the proper immigration papers to come to the United States. In all, some 6,000

    displaced scholars and professional persons from Europe appealed to the Committee. Of that

    number 335 were granted assistance. (New York Public Library, 2007) Thus, the freedom

    fighters and public rallies in Azerbaijan would certainly have resonated with Lewins values since

    he knew the horrors and dangers of repression.

    Earlier in his life, Kurt Lewin faced discrimination and prejudice. A promising career in education

    was capped because promotions were denied to most Jews. So, would it surprise his peers at

    Cornell and Iowa that Lewin opposed anti-Semitism? He is quoted as saying If universities were

    required by law to admit students on merit and not on the basis of race or religion, the practice

    would bring new and more favorable attitudes." (Marrow, p. 204)

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    Force Field Analysis

    "If you want to truly understand something, try to change it" (Lewin, 1951). People often refer

    to the status quo in order to show no movement, demonstrating an unwillingness to change, or

    being too lazy to push for needed change. Kurt Lewin developed a model that shows why the

    status quo is more than just a moment in time, a laissez faire attitude. It is the result of opposing

    forces creating a quasi-stationary equilibrium.

    Field theory is grounded in the following principles: first, behavior results from the interaction of

    many factors operating at the same time. These forces create a dynamic field where a change

    in one factor will have an impact on the others and the system as a whole. Actions and decisions

    are grounded more in todays reality than in our interpretation of the past or aspirations for the

    future. And, in order to understand a situation, the individuals life space must be understood.

    Thus, individual choices, organizational realities, public policies and global issues can be

    understood as fields which balance opposing factors. Called a force field analysis, the model

    demonstrates that situations look like this:

    Figure One: Force Field Analysis

    Driving Forces Restraining Forces

    Current Situation

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    DRIVING FORCES push in the direction of a desired change. Examples of driving forces include

    weaker performance than expected, new leadership, newly-approved strategic plans and down-

    sizing. RESTRAINING FORCES provide the counter-balance and are those factors that minimize,

    deflect, or constrain the driving forces. Such barriers to change would include a lack of financial

    resources to implement the new strategic plan, a poor economy, rigid personnel policies, low

    morale, or out-dated technology.

    Using this model, any existing situation is defined as the equilibrium balancing the driving and

    restraining forces. It is particularly useful diagnostic tool with strong action implications. It can

    identify and create both allies for change as well as help develop strategies to overcome

    resistances. For planned change to occur, (a) reduce the restraining forces, (b) strengthen or add

    driving forces, and/or (c) do some of each.

    Creating dis-equilibrium is the first step in the planned change process. Called unfreezing, this

    process involves preparing the system for change. It can come through policy (Effective January

    1st, full time employees with three years service will receive an additional vacation day for each

    year of employment.), personnel (Our new VP for Diversity is Mary Smith.), program plans

    (Our new cooperative venture with the county hospital will expand services to the elderly.) or

    physical plant issues (Our Facilities Committee has purchased land downtown.) Each of these

    will create dis-equilibrium and help prepare the system for change. Of course, each of these can

    create anxiety, fear of the unknown all key restraining forces.

    The goals and aspirations of any planned change effort must support the systems vision and

    become the target for the re-freezing point. This is where the system hopes the new equilibrium

    will occur: higher production levels, a responsive customer service culture, and new

    compensation programs. As Schein (2007) clearly notes, For change to occur, this force field

    had to be altered under complex psychological conditions because just adding a driving force

    toward change often produced an immediate counterforce to maintain the equilibrium. This

    observation led to the important insight that the equilibrium could more easily be moved if one

    could remove restraining forces since there were usually already driving forces in the system.

    NGOs and Change in Post-Soviet Azerbaijan

    One of Lewins concepts was Genidentity, the belief that objects kept their identity over time.

    Can this principle be applied to societies? Lewin certainly believed it could. He became an

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    advocate for democratic societies, the approval of the State of Israel, community relations and

    racial understanding as part of the changing social world. (Marrow, p. 163) As a supporter of

    the creation of Israel, it is not a stretch to conclude that Lewin would have supported the

    independence of the states of the former Soviet Union. Azerbaijan is an emerging democracy

    and thus changing its life forces, social institutions and the relationship between the government

    and the people. NGOs are part of this shifting landscape.

    Nonprofit Board Competencies

    One of the key issues for this study of nonprofit boards is how do research-based board

    competencies relate to non-US NGOs? Emslie (2007) studied Englands National Health Service

    boards and documented that competencies transcend national boundaries. But, to date, there is

    no literature on these board competencies in Azerbaijan or other post-Soviet countries. Based

    on research findings, Chait, Holland and Taylor (1996), Holland, Ritvo and Kovner (1997) and

    others developed and expanded six competencies of effective nonprofit boards. The primary

    duties of any nonprofit board include: (a) recruiting, hiring, retaining, evaluating and terminating

    the CEO, (b) developing and monitoring strategic plans, (c) assuring all resources (human,

    physical, fiscal, etc) are used appropriately, (d) representing the organization to stakeholders and

    external constituencies, (e) evaluating its own performance, and (f) recruiting new members.

    Not every board member must be skilled in all six areas, but the board as a whole helps ensure

    high performance when these skills are present within the members as a group, team and board.

    And, as research documents, having these competencies and maintaining them over time

    requires different skills and approaches. Each of the following sections defines the competency

    and relates Azerbaijani NGO experiences.

    Board Competencies

    A board engages its Contextual Competencies when it focuses on the broad issues which do, or

    may, have an impact on their system. For example, how does the nonprofits mission and values

    fit into the larger social context? In Azerbaijan, contextual competencies also include the need

    to understand the organizations place, role and function in the larger society. This includes its

    work with, around, through, and in spite of the rules and regulations of different levels of

    government. Quotes from interviews with current or former NGO board members illustrate this

    competency. A former board member of a small childrens service organization noted that

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    NGOs help the country and its people develop. Another quote comes from the CEO/director of

    an arts organization in Baku: Azerbaijans economy develops because of these organizations. A

    broader social change perspective comes from a member of three boards: NGOs play an

    important role in developing democracy and building a civil society. They promote democracy by

    giving people an opportunity to express their points of view and to be involved in important

    social tasks. These illustrate the macro-level context of their NGOs programs and services.

    Strategic competencies keep the boards collective eye on the future. Board decision making

    must include current information on public policies, community needs, labor force issues,

    monetary and fiscal changes, competitors efforts and demographic trends. With inaccurate or

    incomplete information, boards will tend to rely solely on internal impact data: how did these

    trends affect the system? By then it is too late to develop coherent, responsive longer term

    strategic plans when the thinking is myopic, short term and internally focused. In Azerbaijan,

    these strategic competencies were noted as very low: long term planning, conversations about

    mission, values, goals and objectives rarely occur. The USAID report on Azerbaijan notes that

    most NGOs do not understand the concept or purpose of a mission statement: NGOs work

    mainly from project to project and rely heavily on a top-down management structure. Few NGOs

    develop or utilize constituencies, strategic plans, mission statements, or maintain permanently

    paid staff. A very small number of NGOs are beginning to apply some strategic planning

    techniques. Further, only a small portion of the NGO sector, mostly in Baku, is technically well

    equipped. In terms of capacity, Baku-based NGOs are generally more advanced than their

    counterparts in the regions. Thus, this competency may be of value, but when organizational

    survival is a daily issue, long-term perspectives become a luxury.

    Analytical competencies are needed for the board to dissect the complexity of issues before it

    takes action. For example, employees in most organizations expect pay increases on an annual

    basis, whether across the board or merit based. But, the board must also analyze the total cost

    to the system, including the less visible impact on benefits, what ones competitors in the

    marketplace are doing and the impact on revenue streams. After all, there is a limit to how

    much the public is willing to pay to visit the local museum. How does the board understand

    what restraining forces exist and what strategies does it develop to respond to them?

    NGO leaders face an added problem. The USAID Report also notes that Though legislation

    formally provides NGOs with the right to work without restraint, in reality this is not the case.

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    The government uses spontaneous tax or labor inspections to place pressure on NGOs to

    conform or in some instances to dissolve them. In fear of being visited by these agencies, most

    NGOs do not involve themselves in political or social concerns if their involvement may be seen

    in an unfavorable light by the government. In other words, self-regulation is frequently practiced

    by NGOs in Azerbaijan.

    In addition, the existing Law on the Registration of Legal Entities requires that written

    notifications be provided to the applicant within ten days of an application being received and

    provides for a written explanation for any rejection. However, the Ministry does not issue

    receipts when applications are submitted and they very rarely proffer loosely written rejection

    letters, thus providing the applicant with no recourse for challenging the Ministrys decision.

    Due to the severity of the problem, several international philanthropic organizations and

    diplomatic missions are working with Azerbaijani NGOs to solve the registration problem. It is

    the old Catch-22:.NGOs must register to exist but can not.

    Political competencies do not refer to the public political electoral process. Rather, it is the

    process of reconciling differences in values, reaching effective compromises that move toward

    goals, and allowing input from those who are affected by decisions. For example, assuming

    limited funds, should a small NGO use its resources to educate people on ways to prevent

    HIV/AIDS? Should it fund services to some people who are HIV positive or should it sponsor

    research to help understand and stop this international pandemic? Each of these options

    represents different values. Research is a long term process with many failures; education must

    be reinforced and does not always lead to behavior change; services to those who already have

    HIV may require long term commitments. Which should an organization choose? How will its

    leadership decide?

    Effective political skills help create networks of agencies attempting to serve larger populations.

    For example, the National Council of Azerbaijan Youth Organizations began in 1996 as a

    consortium of 46 NGOs (Society for Humanitarian Research, 2007). But not all such well-

    intended efforts succeed. The Association of Lawyers in Azerbaijan may be typical. After a long

    struggle to get registered, they were finally denied. Unfortunately, the lack of an office,

    equipment and financial resources has hindered the ALA from expanding its scope and

    functioning more effectively (International League of Human Rights, 2007).

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    Educational competencies focus on the question How does a board learn? In addition to

    learning from experience, this competency includes developing new members skills and

    information base. It involves gaining a clear understanding of client and staff needs so leaders

    can establish functional and attainable priorities.

    Most importantly, it involves information. In Azerbaijan, a major impediment to developing

    strong educational competencies is the governments general approach to sharing information;

    it prefers not to. A Yale Law School Report (2005) shows how defiant the system can be.

    Although it is a signatory partner on international efforts to improve childrens rights, health and

    social conditions, Azerbaijan has so far not met the requirement of the Convention - to

    disseminate it widely within country. This has a serious impact on local NGOs which strive to

    help children. In addition, NGOs do not take sufficient efforts to create a positive public image.

    They do not promote transparency in their activities and they remain closed from the general

    population. As a result, public awareness about NGOs and their activities remains low (USAID

    Report, 2005).

    How do board members resolve different perspectives based on different information or a lack

    of shared values? Interpersonal competencies help board members work together effectively as

    a group. How are differences resolved? Is there an open appraisal process for the CEO and the

    board members themselves? How does the board cultivate new leadership? Is power shared or

    held closely by an elite subgroup? Just having powerful individuals does not assure effective

    work at the group level. Board members usually benefit from process time to reflect on how

    decisions were made and testing at some later point in time if the best decisions were made.

    The interpersonal competencies as defined above clash with many Azeri cultural values that can

    stress hierarchy, a sense of place, adherence to religious edicts, family needs and tradition above

    public law and policy. These are not intrusions on interpersonal competency; rather they help

    define acceptable behavior in that culture.

    Conclusions

    First, Lewins ideals for community relations and democracy survive his death 6 decades ago.

    This article provides ample testimony to the enduring power of his work and how it applies

    today. Several questions provided the impetus for this research. First, can the force field

    analysis model be used to understand problems at the macro and micro-level and in a post-

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    Soviet country? The answer is strongly affirmative. The forces for change and its impediments

    are different than at the individual level. But because they form a life space and field, the model

    applies as a diagnostic tool. Figure Two below shows both Driving and Restraining Forces.

    Figure Two: Force Field Analysis, Summary of Driving and Restraining Forces on NGOs inAzerbaijan

    Driving Restraining

    Limited government services Minimal public support

    New generation expects change Fear of governmental authority

    Growing number of volunteers Some NGOs exist on paper only

    Recent NGO successes provide

    hope

    Traditional role of family as care-givers

    Understanding benefits of

    transparency

    Little public support

    Committed citizens making a

    difference

    Little philanthropic history

    More government NGO

    registration

    Little effort to provide public data

    Growing needs of the Azerbaijanipopulation

    No ethics statements

    Emerging democratic system is

    under scrutiny

    Oppressive tax codes

    Armenias occupation of its land Legal restrictions

    Limited programs and services

    Caspian Sea oil brings

    international inspection

    Small professional staff

    Increasing international interest Few national success models

    Globalization brings international

    tourism and inspections Little fundraising experience

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    A second question for this research regards NGO leadership. Do the board competencies used

    by several researchers apply in Azerbaijan? If any conclusions can be drawn from this research,

    it is that the six board competencies do not directly apply with as much vigor in an emerging

    democracy as they do elsewhere. This is not because many dedicated individuals are not trying;

    they are. Rather, the emphasis is less on long-term leadership than on nearer-term program

    management and service delivery. Strategic planning is a luxury when one is busy trying to

    survive. Since most NGOs are in their embryonic state, many will not survive; most will never

    even meet the requirement that they register with the government.

    The contextual competency emerges as the most widely used skill, while political and strategic

    abilities are the least used. Interviews document that NGO leadership understands the world in

    which they operate. The long term perspectives on issues required for strategic competencies to

    be used effectively are muted by the needs of daily survival. Political differences are often

    minimized because the board members themselves often work as volunteers at the program

    level, planning and then offering the NGO services.

    Third, what does the future hold? According to Azerbaijan's Embassy in the United States (2007)

    "The Government Initiative to Bolster Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) was approved

    on July 27, 2007 by the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan. This is a part of the

    Administrations ongoing effort to strengthen Azerbaijans civil society in particular NGOs and

    independent media. This new Executive Order will provide government financial and logistical

    support to NGOs, as well as improve the legal environment for their operations. This supports

    Lewins thesis about reducing restraining forces.

    The four elements of empowerment information, inclusion/participation, accountability and

    local organizational capacity can be combined to create more effective, responsive, inclusive,

    accountable institutions (Narayan, 2002, p. 31). Former President of the World Bank James D.

    Wolfensohn best summarized the challenge for the future; referring to the relationships

    between NGOs, governments and the World Bank, he stressed We are really interdependent.

    But we must build mutual trust. (Wolfensohn and Kircher, 2005, p. 38) And therein lies the

    future of NGOs in Azerbaijan.

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    References

    Azerbaijan Embassy in Washington, D.C. (2007). August 15, 2007 Press Release. Retrieved

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    TESTING AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF E-LEARNING ADOPTION DECISION

    John H. Heinrichs

    Wayne State University

    Detroit, MI 48202

    Jeen-Su Lim

    The University of Toledo

    Hermina Anghelescu and Janice Utz

    Wayne State University

    Detroit, MI 48202

    ABSTRACT

    This study investigates the impact of content richness and access ubiquity on e-learning course

    satisfaction and intention to take additional e-learning courses. Content richness and access

    ubiquity were incorporated into the technology adoption model along with the perceived

    usefulness and perceived ease-of-use factors. Path analysis was employed as the statistical tool

    to evaluate the hypothesized relationships regarding the influence of the content richness and

    access ubiquity factors. The results from this study suggest that content richness was a primary

    factor in predicting student satisfaction with e-learning courses and the intention to take

    another e-learning course. Additionally, access ubiquity was shown to influence student

    satisfaction with e-learning courses.

    Keywords: perceived ease-of-use, perceived usefulness, TAM, Lisrel, Path Model, e-learning,

    access ubiquity, content richness

    Introduction

    In this knowledge-based economy characterized by rapid and continual change, knowledge

    acquisition and its strategic use is a source of sustained competitive advantage for the

    organization. Therefore, it becomes critical for the organization to develop a method to easily

    educate and exchange information among organizational members (Heinrichs & Lim, 2005;

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    Virkus & Wood, 2004). To accomplish this information exchange in a timely manner, the

    utilization of information technology tools and techniques for electronically transferring learning

    opportunities and instructional content to knowledge workers and also for developing a

    supporting infrastructure is required (Leidner & Jarvenpaa, 1995; Ong, Lai, & Wang, 2004). This

    method of providing learning opportunities delivered via leading-edge information technologies

    incorporating the internet, intranet, and / or extranet is commonly referred to or defined as e-

    learning, online learning, or web-based learning (Schweizer, 2004; Selim, 2007; Trombley & Lee,

    2002). E-learning, then, can be viewed as using various information technology tools and

    techniques along with media ranging from simple text-based web pages with images and

    graphics to complex websites incorporating both real-time video and podcasting as well as web

    presence capabilities and includes the use of question and answer polling techniques, electronic

    discussion boards, blogs, wikis, and email (Trombley & Lee, 2002).

    E-learning tools and techniques have become one of the most significant educational

    developments in the information technology industry (Selim, 2007). Yet, as businesses and

    educational institutions move instructional delivery to a synchronous e-learning format, there

    exists a need to better understand the critical success factors associated with the e-learning

    adoption decision (Arbaugh, 2000; Saad, 2007). The identified critical success factors must

    facilitate understanding of the various reasons for acceptance of the e-learning technology tools

    and associated delivery methods.

    Many businesses and educational institutions are embracing the challenge of offering and

    delivering e-learning content synchronously, so the question of when e-learning will become an

    established and integrated component of the total educational process is raised. Successfully

    integrating e-learning into the organizations learning culture does not result from isolating and

    focusing solely on e-learning information technology concerns and issues but rather from

    infusing e-learning concepts and technology into the overall culture of the organization.

    While past studies have applied the technology acceptance model (TAM) in various contexts

    such as internet use, e-commerce, software productivity tools, and ERP systems (Lim, Lim, &

    Heinrichs, 2005), the applicability of TAM to facilitate understanding of the e-learning adoption

    decision has only recently begun to receive attention from researchers. Several researchers

    have reported the application of TAM in the context of e-learning and online education

    (Arbaugh, 2000; Gao, 2005; Saad, 2007; Roca, Chiu, and Martnez, 2006). Gao (2005) reported

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    results that suggest that TAM is an effective tool for predicting student acceptance of web-

    based course support systems. Saad (2007) investigated student behavior and attitudes

    toward online learning. Roca, Chiu, and Martnez (2006) uncovered that the influence of

    perceived quality (which was defined as being composed of information quality, service quality,

    and system quality) on student satisfaction was strong.

    The determining factors related to e-learning course content and the delivery mode need to be

    well integrated into the research model. Arbaugh (2000), Selim (2007), and Sun and Cheng

    (2007) initiated this line of research as they evaluate various factors of e-learning such as

    flexibility, student-faculty interaction, online course content, and various delivery mode factors.

    It is important to continue this stream of research. Therefore, this study contributes to this

    stream of research and extends TAM to the online course adoption decision by incorporating e-

    learning determinant factors. In addition to testing TAM in the context of online course

    adoption, this study assesses the impact of e-learning course factors on the original TAM

    factors.

    Literature Review

    Many educational offerings such as lecture series, academic courses, training seminars, and

    certificate programs are being delivered to the students using Internet technologies (Saad,

    2007). To investigate the students usage of and the various factors associated with e-learning

    technology, many research studies have adopted the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM)

    developed by Davis (1986, 1989). This study expands the TAM by incorporating the additional

    factors of content richness and access ubiquity into the investigation of e-learning effectiveness.

    The proposed integrated e-learning adoption decision model (see Figure 1) posits content

    richness and access ubiquity as the antecedents of the two TAM factors, perceived ease-of-use

    and perceived usefulness.

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    Figure 1

    Hypothesized Integrated e-Learning Adoption Decision Model

    Two Original TAM Factors

    The technology acceptance model (TAM) originally developed by Davis (198x) posits that beliefs

    and attitudes are key determinants as to whether a specific technology will be adopted or

    rejected. Davis, Bagozzi, and Warshaw (1989) demonstrated that the initial attitudes of the user

    regarding the factors of perceived ease-of-use and perceived usefulness will influence attitudes

    towards the use of the technology (Lee, 2006). Recent research on e-learning and TAM has

    provided support for the links between the TAM factors of perceived usefulness and perceived

    ease-of-use and the students intention to use the e-learning system (Gao, 2005; Ong, Lai, &

    Wang, 2007; Saad, 2007). In the context of e-learning, the perceived usefulness factor of TAM

    is described as the degree to which students believe that using an online course will enhance

    their learning performance; whereas the perceived ease-of-use factor is described as the degree

    to which students believe that the use of the online course application is relatively effortless.

    Therefore, perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-use influences the students intention to

    accept and adopt the e-learning courses either directly or indirectly.

    Selim (2002) tested the two original TAM factors of perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-

    use as predictors of student acceptance of online course websites. Selim (2002) reported results

    supporting TAM. Ong, Lai, and Wang (2007) and Lee (2006) suggest expanding the overall

    ++

    ++

    +Satisfaction

    AccessUbiquity

    ContentRichness

    Intention+

    PerceivedEase-of-Use

    PerceivedUsefulness

    ++

    +

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    applicability of TAM by investigating additional factors beyond the two original factors. It is

    believed that learning using online tools involves a multitude of additional factors including a

    knowledge workers knowledge of and experience with information technology. Saad (2007)

    expanded the perceived usefulness factor with three additional dimensions labeled

    performance related outcome expectations, personal-related outcome expectations, and

    intrinsic motivation and reported that the effects of content quality on perceived usefulness

    were significant.

    Since online learning systems can be viewed as technology applications, TAM argues that

    knowledge workers will only use the system if they perceive that its use will enhance their

    learning performance. Such learning performance enhancement may be measured in terms of

    learning productivity, the effectiveness of learning, and/or improvements in test scores.

    Content Richness

    Acceptance and overall effectiveness of e-learning courses requires quality course content

    (Drago, Peltier, & Sorensen, 2002; Tricker, Rangecroft, Long, & Gilroy, 2001). In addition to

    utilizing either paper-based or electronic textbooks coupled with electronic discussion boards,

    effective e-learning courses should integrate multimedia into the course content so as to engage

    the learner. The multimedia content in these e-learning courses can be in the form of

    animation, video lectures, podcasts, PowerPoint presentations, and/or simulations. However,

    to be effective, the multimedia course content should be integrated judiciously into the course

    (Schweizer, 2004).

    Media richness is a key characteristic that learners consider when working with e-learning

    course websites (Palmer, 2002). Richness is defined as the ability of presented information to

    change the learners understanding within a specific time interval (Daft & Lengel, 1986). Media

    richness, then, refers to the e-learning courses multimedia contents capacity to facilitate

    shared meaning and understanding (Daft & Lengel, 1984). It refers to the contents ability to

    convey key concepts to the learner. The e-learning course websites can provide the learner with

    various levels of richness ranging from simple text-based to complex multimedia presentations.

    Media richness theory developed by Daft & Lengel (1986) suggests that the low media richness

    achieved by only using text-based content and by eliminating nonverbal cues would make tasks

    like discussion of issues difficult. While multimedia content material in e-learning courses has

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    been shown to attract a learners attention and interests, the use of multimedia content alone

    does not necessarily result in significant positive satisfaction with the e-learning course (Sun &

    Cheng, 2007). As such, this range of capacities makes a website difficult to position along the

    media richness continuum originally proposed by Daft and Lengel (1986).

    Achieving communication efficiency required to convey concepts in a defined time interval can

    be affected by the usefulness of the chosen media and the specific characteristics of the

    required communication task (Daft & Lengel, 1984, 1986; Trevino, Lengel, & Daft, 1987).

    Communication tasks that are designed to clarify ambiguous concepts so that understanding of

    the material is achieved in a timely manner are considered high on the media richness

    continuum; whereas, communication tasks that require a significant time to develop the

    learners understanding are considered low on the media richness continuum. With regard to

    the characteristics of these communication tasks, media richness theory proposes that the

    purpose of the multimedia content is to reduce uncertainty and equivocality. Uncertainty is

    associated with the insufficient level of required information; whereas, equivocality is

    associated with determining the meanings of potentially ambiguous situations. Effective e-

    learning course design and structure then facilitates the flow of information in a timely fashion

    reducing uncertainty. So, the role of multimedia content in uncertainty reduction should be to

    convey a sufficient amount of correct information. The e-learning course with high uncertainty

    and equivocality in course concepts or material requires the use of material that is rated high on

    the media richness continuum.

    One of the key characteristics of e-learning courses is the capability to integrate different types

    of media thereby creating rich multimedia course content material. However, since multimedia

    does not have consistent effects on promoting a learners learning performance, it does not

    necessarily produce significant effects on the learners understanding of the course content (Sun

    & Cheng, 2007). Furthermore, research has shown that unnecessary multimedia elements in

    instructional content may actually distract learners and decrease overall learning performance.

    The results of many empirical studies have indicated that content quality is important in

    determining learners level of satisfaction (Katerattanakul & Siau, 1999; McKinney et al., 2002).

    A major dimension of e-learning course content quality is associated with content richness.

    Content richness positively affects a learners level of satisfaction with the e-learning course

    (Arbaugh, 2000). The special characteristics of IT tools such as the use of the internet with

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    hyperlinks permit learners to share and access numerous resources, in addition to accessing the

    fundamental course contents (Lee, 2006). Collectively, these described concepts are identified

    as content richness. This discussion then leads to the following hypotheses.

    Hypothesis 1: Content richness is positively related to (a) perceived usefulness and (b)perceived ease-of-use.

    Hypothesis 2: Content richness is positively related to satisfaction.

    Access Ubiquity

    Ubiquitous access to online course content is anticipated to expand in the coming years as

    information technology continues to advance and as learners demand anytime / anywhere

    learning opportunities (Hill & Roldan, 2005). Access ubiquity can be simply defined in terms of

    e-learning course, computer system, and information availability (Palmer, 2002) with library

    support contained in the information availability component (Selim, 2007). The potential

    benefits provided to the learner as a result of access ubiquity include shortened response time

    between the learner and the instructor as well as increased real-time interaction opportunities

    and among learners in the course.

    For ubiquitous access to be a key factor, the efficient and effective use of information

    technology in delivering the e-learning-based components is important. Critical to the success

    of e-learning is ensuring that the IT infrastructure required to deliver e-learning content is

    reliable and capable of delivering the multimedia content. The IT infrastructure then must

    include accessibility, bandwidth, course management systems, internet availability, and security

    (Selim, 2007). For the learner acceptance of the e-learning systems, the learner must have

    confidence in the learning system and must have confidence that the data captured during the

    e-learning course will not be compromised. As such, access ubiquity also is defined to include

    perceived credibility (Ong, Lai, & Wang, 2007).

    With anytime / anywhere access being provided by mobile computing, it becomes possible to

    develop course delivery applications that not only are capable of responding to learners anytime

    / anywhere but that also actively seeks out and engages learners. As a primary tool for

    collaborative learning environments, in which knowledge is developed and evolved by the

    learners, online threaded discussion is a prime candidate for e-learning (Leidner & Jarvenpaa,

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    1995). Yet, a number of challenging issues must be addressed in designing such an environment

    to ensure learner acceptance (Hill & Roldan, 2005).

    There are major concerns revolving the design and development of quality e-learning content

    (Trombley & Lee, 2002). First, learners must take initiative and must have the necessarytechnical skills to participate in an e-learning course. Learners having access to an e-learning

    system can now interact with instructional materials in various formats anywhere / anytime

    (Lee, 2006). Furthermore, given the functionality of the information technology infrastructure,

    they can interact with teachers and classmates both individually and on a simultaneous basis.

    This discussion leads to the following hypothesis regarding the impact of access ubiquity on the

    factors in TAM including satisfaction and intention.

    Hypothesis 3: Access ubiquity is positively related to (a) perceived usefulness and (b)perceived ease-of-use.

    Hypothesis 4: Access ubiquity is positively related to satisfaction.

    Based upon the literature review, a proposed path model describing the factors that influence

    the learners satisfaction with and intention to take another e-learning course was developed.

    The hypothesized model links the factors of content richness and access ubiquity with the

    independent factors from the technology acceptance model of perceived usefulness and

    perceived ease-of-use on the dependent factors of satisfaction and intention.

    Methodology

    This study adopted the path analysis approach to describing the e-learning adoption data and

    the relationships among the various factors. There were four dependent factors that were

    identified and the study focused on the predictive ordering of the variables in relationship to the

    technology acceptance model.

    Subjects and Procedures

    This research study used a self-administered questionnaire method to obtain responses. A total

    of 173 students from two midwest universities participated in the study. In this study 15% of

    the respondents were males and 85% of the respondents were females. The respondents were

    20% undergraduate students and 80% graduate students. The students were invited to

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    participate in the study via an email message from the researchers. Neither monetary nor non-

    monetary incentives were provided to the respondents.

    When the respondents first accessed the electronic survey, they were presented with web

    pages containing an overview of the research study, information regarding informed consent,

    and contact information they could use if they had questions regarding the survey. After the

    initial explanatory web pages, the respondents were presented with the survey web pages

    containing the instructions regarding completing the survey and the survey questions. The

    respondents were asked to answer all of the questions carefully.

    Construct Measures

    The instrument used in this study contained question items measuring six different conceptual

    areas. Those six constructs were perceived usefulness, perceived ease-of-use, content richness,access ubiquity, satisfaction, and intention to take another online course (Table 1). Also

    included in this survey were various classification questions such as age, gender, and distance

    from campus.

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    Table 1

    Variable and Factor Listing

    Variable Questionnaire Item Associated

    Factor

    Factor

    Description

    A1 Taking an online course is very easy for me. Factor 1

    Perceived

    Usefulness

    A2 I believe that an online course site helps me in my

    understanding of the class material.

    Factor 1

    A3 Using the online course sites increases my academic

    performance.

    Factor 1

    A4 The online course website is useful for taking classes. Factor 1

    B1 I find it easy to use the online course website. Factor 2Perceived

    Ease-of-

    Use

    B2 It was easy for me to become skillful at using online

    course sites.

    Factor 2

    B3 I find the online course website easy to use. Factor 2C1 Technical content delivery quality of online courses. Factor 3

    Content

    Richness

    C2 Descriptive content delivery quality of online courses. Factor 3

    C3 Effectiveness of providing explanation in online courses. Factor 3

    C4 Quantity of learning in online courses. Factor 3

    C5 Quality of learning in online courses. Factor 3

    C6 Effectiveness of the video material delivery in online

    courses.

    Factor 3

    D1 Online course availability for effective access. Factor 4 Access

    UbiquityD2 Information availability for effective access. Factor 4

    E1 Overall, how satisfied are you with this online course? Factor 5

    Satisfaction

    E2 How satisfied are you with the course content? Factor 5

    E3 How satisfied are you with the course delivery? Factor 5

    E4 How satisfied are you with the course requirements? Factor 5

    E5 How satisfied are you with the access to the online

    course?

    Factor 5

    E6 How satisfied are you with the additional course materials

    available in the online courses?

    Factor 5

    F1 How willing are you to take another online course? Factor 6

    Intention

    F2 How willing are you to recommend online courses to your

    peers?

    Factor 6

    F3 How likely is it that you will take another online course in

    the next 12 months?

    Factor 6

    The questions used to measure perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-use were adapted

    from Davis (1986) and Igbaria, Iiarvi and Maragahh (1995). Respondents were asked to indicate

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    their agreement or disagreement with the presented statements using a 5-point Likert-type

    scale which ranged from (1) strongly disagree to (5) strongly agree. The questions used to

    measure content richness and access ubiquity were adapted from Drago, Peltier, & Sorensen,

    (2002), Lee (2006), Palmer (2002) Roca, Chiu, and Martnez (2006). Respondents were asked to

    indicate their willingness to recommend or take another online course using a 5-point scale

    ranging from (1) not at all willing to (5) extremely willing. Respondents were asked to indicate

    their satisfaction with various aspects of online course with various statements that used a 5-

    point Likert-type scale ranging from (1) very dissatisfied to (5) very satisfied.

    Analysis and Results

    Path analytic model analysis via LISREL was used to analyze the data (Joreskog & Sorbom, 1989,

    1993). The hypothesized enhanced learning adoption model was developed and presented inFigure 1. In evaluating the hypothesized model, overall fit indices of the model as well as the

    individual factor coefficients were determined and evaluated.

    Factor Analysis, Mean Values, and Reliabilities

    Responses to the multi-item measures were factor analyzed using a principal component factor

    analysis. The factors in each of the dependent and independent variables were varimax rotated.

    Results of the factor analysis are shown in Table 2. As a part of the measurement item

    purification process, any items cross loading to other factors or factor loadings of .50 or lower

    are deleted from the final scale items. A brief description of the final scale items resulting from

    the item purification procedure follows.

    The independent variables were composed of four factors labeled as perceived usefulness which

    is represented by three items; perceived ease-of-use which is represented by three items;

    content richness which is represented by six items; and access ubiquity which is represented by

    two items. The dependent variables were composed of two factors labeled satisfaction which is

    represented by six items and intention which is represented by three items.

    For the various variables under investigation, the scale means were calculated. Table 2 presents

    factor analysis results, the scale mean values and reliability for each of the constructs. The scale

    mean values for the independent variables ranged from 3.80 to 4.32 based upon a 5 point scale

    with 1 defined as Strongly Disagree and 5 defined as Strongly Agree. The scale mean values for

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    the dependent variables ranged from 4.08 to 4.12. The Cronbach alphas for the independent

    variables were calculated as 0.729 for access ubiquity, 0.826 for perceived usefulness, 0.847 for

    perceived ease-of use, and 0.914 for content richness. The Cronbach alphas for the dependent

    variables were calculated as 0.757 for intention and 0.896 for satisfaction. The Cronbach alphas

    for the six scales are greater than the recommended guideline of 0.70 (Nunnally, 1978).

    Therefore, it can be concluded that all six scales show adequate reliability.

    Table 2

    Factor Analysis Results

    Independent Variables Dependent Variables

    Variable

    Factor 1:

    Perceived

    Usefulness

    Factor 2:

    Perceived

    Ease-of-Use

    Factor 3:

    Content

    Richness

    Factor 4:

    Access

    Ubiquity

    Factor 5:

    Satisfaction

    Factor 6:

    IntentionA1 .758 .127 .119 .250 -- --

    A3 .719 .228 .311 .036 -- --

    A2 .712 .149 .393 .093 -- --

    B3 .112 .908 .146 .026 -- --

    B1 .181 .878 .124 .054 -- --

    B2 .386 .640 .190 .272 -- --

    C2 .356 .124 .811 .013 -- --

    C1 .026 .211 .805 .136 -- --

    C6 .000 .177 .777 .265 -- --

    C4 .445 .085 .768 .128 -- --

    C3 .451 .119 .734 .135 -- --

    C5 .488 .000 .694 .094 -- --

    D1 .100 .067 .112 .916 -- --

    D2 .287 .169 .431 .682 -- --

    E1 -- -- -- -- .833 .087

    E3 -- -- -- -- .822 .221

    E6 -- -- -- -- .780 .446

    E2 -- -- -- -- .769 .192

    E4 -- -- -- -- .763 .175

    E5 -- -- -- -- .698 .223

    F3 -- -- -- -- .006 .844

    F1 -- -- -- -- .379 .817

    F2 -- -- -- -- .556 .662Mean 3.85 4.32 3.80 4.12 4.12 4.08

    Std. Dev. 0.81 0.69 0.82 0.84 0.74 1.08

    Measure of

    Sampling

    Adequacy

    0.880 0.881

    Reliability 0.826 0.847 0.914 0.729 0.896 0.757

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    Path Analysis

    The literature on content richness and access ubiquity views these factors as being merely

    correlated. As such, these two factors were linked but no directional connectors were

    associated with them. These factors were then added as antecedents to the TAM structure.

    Each factor should be normally distributed and this model meets the assumption required of

    path analysis (Stevens, 1996; Bentler & Chou, 1987). Kline (1998) recommends at least four

    tests be performed to evaluate the goodness of fit of the proposed model. These multiple fit

    criteria are used to rule out measuring biases inherent in the various measures (Hair, Anderson,

    Tatham & Black, 1995). The fit criteria test groups include chi-square; goodness of fit index

    (GFI), normed fit index (NFI), or comparative fit index (CFI); non-normed fit index (NNFI); and

    standardized root mean square residual (SRMR).

    The overall fit of the path model was judged to be satisfactory based on the overall goodness-of-

    fit criteria. The ratio of chi-square to degrees of freedom was 1.68 (Chi-square of 6.72 with 4 df,

    p = .15). The Goodness of Fit Index (GFI) was 0.99; the Normed Fit Index (NFI) was 0.99; and

    Bentlers Comparative Fit Index (CFI) was 0.99. Each of these indices were above the desired

    minimum acceptable 0.90 level used to accept the model (Bagozzi & Yi ,1988; Hair, Anderson,

    Tatham & Black, 1995). CFI are less sensitive to sample size than the other tests so it was used

    when the sample size is less than 200 (Fan, Thompson, & Wang, 1999). The Non-Normed Fit

    Index (NNFI) was 0.98 and the Standardized Root Mean Square Residual (SRMR) was 0.029. By

    convention, there is a good model fit if the SRMR is less than or equal to 0.06 (Hu & Bentler,

    1999).

    Figure 2 presents the path analysis results. Based on the goodness of fit indices and the

    recommended values, the fit of this proposed model was determined to be acceptable (Bagozzi

    & Yi, 1988; Hair, Anderson, Tatham & Black, 1995). The significance of individual path

    coefficient was also evaluated. Figure 2 shows that five of the hypothesized paths are significant

    at the 0.05 level. One of the hypothesized paths was not significant at the 0.05 level. The sign

    for all path coefficients are in the expected direction. The paths from content richness to

    perceived usefulness (0.48), to perceived ease-of-use (0.32), and to satisfaction (0.50) are

    positive and significant at the 0.05 level providing supports for the hypotheses 1 and 2. The

    path coefficients from access ubiquity to perceived ease-of-use and satisfaction were 0.17 and

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    0.21 respectively. These two coefficients are significant at the 0.05 level and in the expected

    direction supporting hypotheses 3b and 4. However, the path coefficient from access ubiquity

    to perceived usefulness was not significant at the 0.05 level. Therefore, hypothesis 3a is not

    supported by the result.

    Figure 2

    Integrated e-Learning Adoption Decision Model

    Direct and Indirect Effects

    Path coefficients can be used to highlight direct and indirect effects in the discovered model.

    The direct and indirect effects are reflected in the arrows shown in the model. The total causal

    Fit Statistics & Measures for the Recommended

    Enhanced Learning Adoption Path Model Value Value

    Chi-square/degrees of freedom 1.68 3.0

    Bentler Bonets Normed Fit Index (NFI) 0.99 .90

    Goodness of Fit Index (GFI) 0.99 .90

    Comparative Fit Index (CFI) 0.99 .90

    Tucker-Lewis Non-Normed Fit Index (NFFI) 0.98 .90

    Root Mean Square Residual (RMR) 0.029 .10

    * p < .05 -- ns = not significant

    0.50*

    F3: Content

    Richness

    F4: AccessUbiquity

    F6: Intention

    0.17*

    0.04 ns

    0.50*

    0.21*

    0.28*

    F2: PerceivedEase-of-use

    F5: Satisfaction

    F1: Perceived

    Usefulness0.42*

    0.17 *

    0.48*

    0.32*

    0.09 ns

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    effect of the factor i on the factor j is the sum of the values of all the paths from i to j.

    Considering satisfaction as the final dependent factor i in the presented model and

    considering content richness as the independent factor j, the indirect effects are calculated

    by multiplying the path coefficients for each path from content richness to satisfaction.

    The total indirect effect of content richness on satisfaction is calculated to be 0.10 and the direct

    effect is calculated to be 0.50. Thus, thetotal effect of the independent factor content richness

    on the dependent factor satisfaction is the sum of the direct effect and indirect effect (0.50 +

    0.10) for a value of 0.60. The total effect of the independent factors access ubiquity, perceived

    usefulness and perceived ease-of-use on the dependent factor satisfaction are similarly

    calculated for the values of 0.24, 0.17, and 0.09.

    Similarly, the total effect of the factors content richness, access ubiquity, perceived usefulness,perceived ease-of-use, and satisfaction on intention to take another course can be calculated.

    The total effect of these factors is 0.25, 0.10, 0.07, 0.04, and 0.42 respectively.

    Table 3: Direct and Indirect Effects

    F3: Content

    Richness

    F4: Access

    Ubiquity

    F2: Perceived

    Usefulness

    F1: Perceived

    Ease-of-Use

    F5:

    Satisfaction

    TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE

    F2:

    Usefulness .57 .48 .09 .14 .09 .05 -- -- -- .28 .28 -- -- -- --

    F1:

    Ease-of-Use.32 .32 -- .17 .17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

    F5:

    Satisfaction.60 .50 .10 .24 .21 .03 .17 .17 -- .09 .04 .05 -- -- --

    F6:

    Intention.25 -- .25 .10 -- .10 .07 -- .07 .04 -- .04 .42 .42 --

    TE = Total Effect DE = Direct Effect IE = Indirect Effect

    Discussion

    Path analysis is a powerful statistical tool to aid in the analysis of effect decomposition for

    models with two or more dependent variables. Reviewing the total effects for the factors shows

    that the content richness factor is the most significant factor in determining satisfaction.

    Satisfaction is a significant factor in determining intention to take another online course.

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    Content richness involves the various methods used to deliver the content, explain the material,

    and the quality and quantity of information presented to the student. To help ensure

    satisfaction with the course, the instructor should devote resources to ensure the multimedia

    component of the course is of high quality. As with any other course, the instructor should be

    focused on providing high quality delivery of the content and should ensure that the online tool

    facilitates the technical and descriptive content delivery.

    This study expands the TAM for use in understanding online course delivery. With 65% of

    schools identified online education as key to their long term strategy, it is crucial for programs

    to develop and maintain a high degree of satisfaction (Allen & Seaman, 2005). This study

    provides support for the importance of content richness and access ubiquity to the delivery of

    online courses.

    In interpreting the findings of this study, care should be given. Due to the nature of the sample,

    the generalizability of the results is somewhat limited. The findings may not be applicable to

    other disciplines or other categories of students taking online classes. Future research should

    test the proposed model with expanded sample base. As users are more concerned about how

    an e-learning system provides information and how it will make them more productive in their

    tasks In an e-learning context (Roca, Chiu, & Martnez, 2006), future research should measure

    the increased productivity in e-learning tasks in addition to the satisfaction with and intention to

    take additional e-learning courses.

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    Kornecki and Raghavan 41

    THE IMPACT OF INWARD FDI STOCK ON GDP GROWTH: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM

    CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE

    Lucyna Kornecki and Vedapuri Raghavan

    Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University (ERAU)

    Daytona Beach, FL 32114

    ABSTRACT

    This article analyses the post communist era in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and tests

    the hypothesis that the foreign direct investment (FDI) contributes to the economic growth of

    the CEE countries. The first part of this research reflects macroeconomic changes in the post

    communist CEE and examines GDP per capita and economic growth rate. The second section

    discusses an inward FDI flow and inward FDI stock as a percentage of GDP and the third section

    estimates the impact of the FDI stock on economic growth in the CEE using regression growth

    model based on the production function. This study found a positive association between FDI

    and economic growth in the CEE and proved tremendous impact of FDI stock on GDP growth.

    Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Central and Eastern Europe

    Introduction

    The FDI inflows in the CEE economies has been a vital factor in the first stage of the privatization

    process during the transition period. As the privatization and restructuring process has come to

    an end, the main reasons to pursue FDI are to boost productivity, encourage employment,

    stimulate innovation and technology transfer, and to enhance sustained economic growth

    (Mueller & Goic, 2002). The CEE countries have identified the positive effects of FDI on the

    transformation process of the economy. FDI has increased in the past twenty years, to become

    the most common type of capital flow needed for the reconstruction and stabilization of the CEE

    economies.

    This paper reviewed the experiences of CEE countries integrating into the global market and

    analyzed the basic economic growth trends, and the link between FDI stock and economic

    growth. The following countries were examined in this article: Poland, the Czech Republic,

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    Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia. All these countries became members of the European Union

    (EU) on May 1, 2004 (www.eurunion.org). The EU membership has shaped major aspects of

    economic policies and legislation in CEE (Sohinger, 2005).

    The largest economy among the analyzed countries is Poland, with the population of 38.601million. This compares to 10.244 million in the Czech Republic, 10.063 million in Hungary, 5.392

    million in Slovakia, and 2.004 million in Slovenia (UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics).

    The research utilized 1960-2006 archival data from the following sources: United Nations

    Conference on Trade and Development (UNCAD), United Nations Economic Commission for

    Europe (UNECE), World Investment Reports, as well as other selected databases.

    Literature Review

    The CEE countries increased their participation in the world economy since the fall of

    communism; particularly over the last few years. They accepted the challenge of trade openness

    and attracted significant foreign direct investment. Going global has helped them to grow faster

    (Cernat & Vranceanu, 2002).

    The available literature does not provide empirically tested evidence on the effects of FDI on

    economic growth in the CEE. This study examines the link between FDI stock and economic

    growth in CEE countries and focuses on the impact of inward FDI on economic growth using a

    production function model. The results showed that inward FDI stock contributes tremendously

    to economic growth in the CEE and constitutes an essential factor stimulating sustained

    economic growth.

    FDI has been acknowledged as most crucial fac