AJBR Vol1 Number1 Nov2008
Transcript of AJBR Vol1 Number1 Nov2008
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American Journal of Business Research (AJBR)
Volume 1, Number 1, 2008
ISSN 1934-6484
Editor: Dr. Alireza Lari, Fayetteville State University
Editorial Board:
Dr. Aaron Clark, North Carolina State University
Dr. Khalid Dubas, Fayetteville State University
Ms. Nasim Lari, North Carolina State University
Dr. Pooneh Lari, North Carolina State University
Dr. Fazlul Miah, Fayetteville State University
Dr. Parviz Partow-Navid, California State University - LA
Dr. Dothang Truong, Fayetteville State University
Copyright by American Institute of Higher Education, LLC Permission to make digital or hard
copies of all or part of this journal for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided
that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial use. All copies must bear a full
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in a for-profit or commercial use. Permission requests should be sent to Dr. Alireza Lari, Editor-
in-Chief, American Journal of Business Research, AmHighEd, P.O. Box 3553, Cary, NC 27519.
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Editors Message
I am proud to present the first issue of the American Journal of Business Research (AJBR). The
mission of the AJBR is to be the premier journal on interdisciplinary education and practice,
integrating different areas of business, education and health care management. To support this
mission, AJBR emphasizes quality and originality in the papers that it publishes. In addition, AJBRrecognizes the international and cultural influences on business education, research and
practice, and seeks international input in all aspects of the journal, including content, authorship
of papers, readership, paper reviews, and Editorial Board membership. AJBR continuously seeks
original articles of special interest to educators and practitioners in all areas of business,
economics, accounting, healthcare management, statistics, supply chain, project management,
quality management and business education.
Authors should review the Guide for Initial Submission of Manuscripts at the end of this issue
and visit www.amhighed.com for more details. Authors may submit their manuscripts to the
editor at [email protected].
AJBR is listed in Cabells Directories of Publishing Opportunities in Management, Marketing,
Accounting, Economics and Finance.
Professionally yours,
Professor Alireza Lari, Editor
Statement of Peer Review Integrity
All papers published in the American Journal of Educational Studies have undergone rigorous
peer-review. This includes an initial editor screening and double-blind refereeing by two or more
expert referees.
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Table of Contents
AJBR V1N1
Article:
Non-Governmental Organizations in Azerbaijan: Change in a Post-Soviet Society
By Roger A. Ritvo
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Testing an Integrated Model of e-Learning Adoption Decision
By John Heinrichs, Jeen-Su Lim, Hermina Anghelescuand Janice Utz
21
The Impact of Inward FDI Stock on GDP Growth: An Empirical Evidence From
Central and Eastern Europe
By Lucyna Kornecki and Vedapuri Raghavan
41
Utility Accounting System Change During Increasing Competition: An Application
of Discriminant Analysis
By Joe E. Dowd and Elizabeth J. Tipton Murff
59
An EXCEL-based Template for the Machinists Sequencing Problem
By Qirjako Theodhori, Charles White and Arben Asllani
79
An Empirical Investigation of the HALO Effect of Financial Performance on the
Relationship between Corporate Reputation and CEO Compensation
By Jooh Lee and Ernest H. Hall Jr.
93
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NON-GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATIONS IN AZERBAIJAN: CHANGE IN A POST-SOVIET SOCIETY
Roger A. Ritvo
Auburn University Montgomery
Montgomery, AL 36117
ABSTRACT
This article presents the findings of a research project1 on the leadership and governance
patterns of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in Azerbaijan. A newly formed democracy
based on Western ideals, this former Soviet state is struggling with how to reap the benefits of
the NGO movement while trying to maintain the control that strong central pre-Soviet
governments held. It is an impossible balancing act. Kurt Lewins force field analysis model
frames this analysis of the recent development on hundreds of nonprofit organizations. Using a
competency framework for effective governance and organizational leadership, the results of
this research demonstrate that competencies may be multi-national, but face numerous
challenges in developing countries and societies where turmoil and macro-level structures are
not firmly in place. The future for NGOs in this post-Soviet state is uncertain; recent events and
small successes pave the road for further development, unless the government changes its
policies.
Keywords: NGOs, Azerbaijan, Lewin, Force Field Analysis, Governance
Introduction
Azerbaijans developing NGOs provide an excellent opportunity to apply Kurt Lewins classic
force field analysis model of change to an emerging post-Soviet democracy. This article also
applies the competency-based model of effective governance in order to see if this Unites
States-based approach works in other countries. The worlds hot spots which surround
Azerbaijan include Russia, Georgia and Iran. In addition, the Azerbaijan-Armenian civilian and
military hostilities have lasted almost two decades. About the size of Indiana, this nation broke
1The author wishes to acknowledge Auburn University Montgomerys Research Council for partial
support of this project and the University Institutional Review Board for its approval and guidance.
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from its Soviet bonds in 1991 and joined the United Nations (2007) a year later. Ninety percent
of its approximately 9 million people are Azeri and almost 95% are Muslim. The 19% inflation
rate in 2007 hurt NGO budgets severely (AzerNews, 2007a); the governments official prediction
for 2008 is 12 14%. (AzerNews, 2007b) The capital city of Baku is currently experiencing an
economic boom. A rapidly expanding commercial center, its growth has been fueled literally by
oil from the Caspian Sea and a BP-lead construction of the pipeline to the Mediterranean Sea.
Yet, just because globalization is increasingly visible in dress, transportation, commerce,
television, music, tourism and technological improvements, one must not forget that this is a
secular Muslim country. Calls to prayer echo through the capital city of Baku and the country
celebrates its religious traditions. The family remains the basic social unit. While the country is
no longer as rural and agricultural as it once was, the tradition of families providing mutual aid,
protection and support still remains.
What impact do these customs and mores have on NGOs? First, the family is the core of the
society and tradition dictates that it will care and provide for its members. Since there were
eight decades of Soviet rule, the population learned to fear government more than rely on it for
support care and services beyond formal education and medicine. As if to prod itself, an official
Azerbaijani government report (2006) stressed the minimum contributions made by NGOs in
responding to the "sharp decline in living standards of the population (p. 11). "It is estimated
that 49% of the population is living in poverty [as the government itself defines the term]." (p.13)
NGOs in Azerbaijan face sometimes insurmountable hurdles. When individuals want to start an
NGO to meet what they believe is a need, political power is often required just to get through
the registration process. A report by the US Agency for International Development (2002) found
that the Ministry of Justice, which is responsible for NGO registration, utilizes internal
instructions and regulations that are not available to the public to regulate the registration of
NGOs. This has resulted in a near halt in registration of new organizations over the past two
years.
Yet, those NGOs that have government favor find the experience responsive and efficient. To
demonstrate, the Azerbaijan Marketing Society (2007, p. 3) was established on July 7, 2000 and
registered on August 16, 2000. During an interview a city government official stated that
NGOs are best when they do humanitarian work, but they should not try to make policy
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alongside the government. Another commented that the government still has Soviet thinking
so people do not trust government or NGOs which the government supports. It worries that
younger people will want to change the system; it is afraid of that. It should therefore come as
no surprise that NGOs are precluded from election monitoring or associated politically-focused
activities. They do so at their own peril.
Mistrust creates conflicts and barriers to cooperation and progress. It also leads to stereotyping
and demonizing the other side. A group of government officials was asked to describe what
animals NGOs brought to mind, responses included snakes, rats, chameleons, cats (take a lot
but give little back) and dogs (loud and make a mess for others to clean up).
Azerbaijan's NGOs are falling on hard times after the authorities amended the country's grants
legislation to repeal tax breaks. The changes mean that organizations which receive grants nowhave to pay more than a quarter of their payroll fund and two per cent of every salary into the
Public Social Security Fund. (ReliefWeb, 2003) In addition, NGOs pay over 20% taxes on
revenues from services or investments. Since the national tax codes do not provide deductions
for individual or corporate charitable donations, philanthropy is neither in the national
consciousness nor in public culture.
The government does not trust NGOs and aspires to have greater control over the third
sector.(USAID, 2005) According to data released by the NGO-Forum, the number of NGOs in
Azerbaijan is increasing. The Forum reports some progress in registering NGOs; as of November
2005 the NGO sector consisted of approximately 3000 organizations, 60% of which are
registered. Approximately 20% of these focus on hunger, housing, youth services,
environmental initiatives, human rights, legal education, and economic development.
Globalization has opened up Azerbaijan to the international commercial, cultural, economic,
political and scientific communities. Change is everywhere in Azerbaijan and yet progress is slow.
The push for reforms includes external international pressure because of the oil-rich Caspian Sea
and growing internal domestic needs. Shedding the autocratic leadership that characterized the
Soviet system, Azerbaijan is now emerging democracy, complete with the attendant problems of
disputed elections, high corruption, an unstable banking system, and increased demands on its
oil. Unfortunately, it ranks in the bottom half of all countries in the "ease of doing business" and
159th out of 178 in "dealing with licenses." (World Bank, 2007, p. 106)
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Against this background of a changing society, the next section of this article explores the
personal and professional highlights of Kurt Lewins (1890 1947) life and contributions to
planned change at the individual, team, organizational and societal levels (Lewin, 1948).
Lewins Background and Research
Lewin, Lippitt and Whites research (1939) explored democratic, authoritarian and laissez-faire
leadership styles. They documented that groups and teams that used a democratic style of
leadership were found to be more effective than other groups with different styles; leadership is
both functional and positional. Authority comes from expertise and members ability to move
the team toward its goals rather than just viewing leadership as the person with the gavel or
title.
Conversely, groups with authoritarian leaders had less creativity and less successful decision
making processes. Members with more power controlled those with less power and influence,
even if the bottom members had something of value to contribute. Laissez faire leaders did not
succeed as much as democratic leaders because they omit the teams need for structure, limits,
and goal-directed decisions. The struggles faced by NGOs in Azerbaijan reflect the research
findings that stress the difficulty of moving from authoritarian regimes to democratic, open and
civil societies.
Dictatorships, totalitarianism and autocratic leadership were more than just an academic
interest to Kurt Lewin. The Nazis killed his mother in a concentration camp. Through the
constant prodding of the Emergency Committee In Aid of Displaced Foreign Scholars, Lewin
received the proper immigration papers to come to the United States. In all, some 6,000
displaced scholars and professional persons from Europe appealed to the Committee. Of that
number 335 were granted assistance. (New York Public Library, 2007) Thus, the freedom
fighters and public rallies in Azerbaijan would certainly have resonated with Lewins values since
he knew the horrors and dangers of repression.
Earlier in his life, Kurt Lewin faced discrimination and prejudice. A promising career in education
was capped because promotions were denied to most Jews. So, would it surprise his peers at
Cornell and Iowa that Lewin opposed anti-Semitism? He is quoted as saying If universities were
required by law to admit students on merit and not on the basis of race or religion, the practice
would bring new and more favorable attitudes." (Marrow, p. 204)
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Force Field Analysis
"If you want to truly understand something, try to change it" (Lewin, 1951). People often refer
to the status quo in order to show no movement, demonstrating an unwillingness to change, or
being too lazy to push for needed change. Kurt Lewin developed a model that shows why the
status quo is more than just a moment in time, a laissez faire attitude. It is the result of opposing
forces creating a quasi-stationary equilibrium.
Field theory is grounded in the following principles: first, behavior results from the interaction of
many factors operating at the same time. These forces create a dynamic field where a change
in one factor will have an impact on the others and the system as a whole. Actions and decisions
are grounded more in todays reality than in our interpretation of the past or aspirations for the
future. And, in order to understand a situation, the individuals life space must be understood.
Thus, individual choices, organizational realities, public policies and global issues can be
understood as fields which balance opposing factors. Called a force field analysis, the model
demonstrates that situations look like this:
Figure One: Force Field Analysis
Driving Forces Restraining Forces
Current Situation
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DRIVING FORCES push in the direction of a desired change. Examples of driving forces include
weaker performance than expected, new leadership, newly-approved strategic plans and down-
sizing. RESTRAINING FORCES provide the counter-balance and are those factors that minimize,
deflect, or constrain the driving forces. Such barriers to change would include a lack of financial
resources to implement the new strategic plan, a poor economy, rigid personnel policies, low
morale, or out-dated technology.
Using this model, any existing situation is defined as the equilibrium balancing the driving and
restraining forces. It is particularly useful diagnostic tool with strong action implications. It can
identify and create both allies for change as well as help develop strategies to overcome
resistances. For planned change to occur, (a) reduce the restraining forces, (b) strengthen or add
driving forces, and/or (c) do some of each.
Creating dis-equilibrium is the first step in the planned change process. Called unfreezing, this
process involves preparing the system for change. It can come through policy (Effective January
1st, full time employees with three years service will receive an additional vacation day for each
year of employment.), personnel (Our new VP for Diversity is Mary Smith.), program plans
(Our new cooperative venture with the county hospital will expand services to the elderly.) or
physical plant issues (Our Facilities Committee has purchased land downtown.) Each of these
will create dis-equilibrium and help prepare the system for change. Of course, each of these can
create anxiety, fear of the unknown all key restraining forces.
The goals and aspirations of any planned change effort must support the systems vision and
become the target for the re-freezing point. This is where the system hopes the new equilibrium
will occur: higher production levels, a responsive customer service culture, and new
compensation programs. As Schein (2007) clearly notes, For change to occur, this force field
had to be altered under complex psychological conditions because just adding a driving force
toward change often produced an immediate counterforce to maintain the equilibrium. This
observation led to the important insight that the equilibrium could more easily be moved if one
could remove restraining forces since there were usually already driving forces in the system.
NGOs and Change in Post-Soviet Azerbaijan
One of Lewins concepts was Genidentity, the belief that objects kept their identity over time.
Can this principle be applied to societies? Lewin certainly believed it could. He became an
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advocate for democratic societies, the approval of the State of Israel, community relations and
racial understanding as part of the changing social world. (Marrow, p. 163) As a supporter of
the creation of Israel, it is not a stretch to conclude that Lewin would have supported the
independence of the states of the former Soviet Union. Azerbaijan is an emerging democracy
and thus changing its life forces, social institutions and the relationship between the government
and the people. NGOs are part of this shifting landscape.
Nonprofit Board Competencies
One of the key issues for this study of nonprofit boards is how do research-based board
competencies relate to non-US NGOs? Emslie (2007) studied Englands National Health Service
boards and documented that competencies transcend national boundaries. But, to date, there is
no literature on these board competencies in Azerbaijan or other post-Soviet countries. Based
on research findings, Chait, Holland and Taylor (1996), Holland, Ritvo and Kovner (1997) and
others developed and expanded six competencies of effective nonprofit boards. The primary
duties of any nonprofit board include: (a) recruiting, hiring, retaining, evaluating and terminating
the CEO, (b) developing and monitoring strategic plans, (c) assuring all resources (human,
physical, fiscal, etc) are used appropriately, (d) representing the organization to stakeholders and
external constituencies, (e) evaluating its own performance, and (f) recruiting new members.
Not every board member must be skilled in all six areas, but the board as a whole helps ensure
high performance when these skills are present within the members as a group, team and board.
And, as research documents, having these competencies and maintaining them over time
requires different skills and approaches. Each of the following sections defines the competency
and relates Azerbaijani NGO experiences.
Board Competencies
A board engages its Contextual Competencies when it focuses on the broad issues which do, or
may, have an impact on their system. For example, how does the nonprofits mission and values
fit into the larger social context? In Azerbaijan, contextual competencies also include the need
to understand the organizations place, role and function in the larger society. This includes its
work with, around, through, and in spite of the rules and regulations of different levels of
government. Quotes from interviews with current or former NGO board members illustrate this
competency. A former board member of a small childrens service organization noted that
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NGOs help the country and its people develop. Another quote comes from the CEO/director of
an arts organization in Baku: Azerbaijans economy develops because of these organizations. A
broader social change perspective comes from a member of three boards: NGOs play an
important role in developing democracy and building a civil society. They promote democracy by
giving people an opportunity to express their points of view and to be involved in important
social tasks. These illustrate the macro-level context of their NGOs programs and services.
Strategic competencies keep the boards collective eye on the future. Board decision making
must include current information on public policies, community needs, labor force issues,
monetary and fiscal changes, competitors efforts and demographic trends. With inaccurate or
incomplete information, boards will tend to rely solely on internal impact data: how did these
trends affect the system? By then it is too late to develop coherent, responsive longer term
strategic plans when the thinking is myopic, short term and internally focused. In Azerbaijan,
these strategic competencies were noted as very low: long term planning, conversations about
mission, values, goals and objectives rarely occur. The USAID report on Azerbaijan notes that
most NGOs do not understand the concept or purpose of a mission statement: NGOs work
mainly from project to project and rely heavily on a top-down management structure. Few NGOs
develop or utilize constituencies, strategic plans, mission statements, or maintain permanently
paid staff. A very small number of NGOs are beginning to apply some strategic planning
techniques. Further, only a small portion of the NGO sector, mostly in Baku, is technically well
equipped. In terms of capacity, Baku-based NGOs are generally more advanced than their
counterparts in the regions. Thus, this competency may be of value, but when organizational
survival is a daily issue, long-term perspectives become a luxury.
Analytical competencies are needed for the board to dissect the complexity of issues before it
takes action. For example, employees in most organizations expect pay increases on an annual
basis, whether across the board or merit based. But, the board must also analyze the total cost
to the system, including the less visible impact on benefits, what ones competitors in the
marketplace are doing and the impact on revenue streams. After all, there is a limit to how
much the public is willing to pay to visit the local museum. How does the board understand
what restraining forces exist and what strategies does it develop to respond to them?
NGO leaders face an added problem. The USAID Report also notes that Though legislation
formally provides NGOs with the right to work without restraint, in reality this is not the case.
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The government uses spontaneous tax or labor inspections to place pressure on NGOs to
conform or in some instances to dissolve them. In fear of being visited by these agencies, most
NGOs do not involve themselves in political or social concerns if their involvement may be seen
in an unfavorable light by the government. In other words, self-regulation is frequently practiced
by NGOs in Azerbaijan.
In addition, the existing Law on the Registration of Legal Entities requires that written
notifications be provided to the applicant within ten days of an application being received and
provides for a written explanation for any rejection. However, the Ministry does not issue
receipts when applications are submitted and they very rarely proffer loosely written rejection
letters, thus providing the applicant with no recourse for challenging the Ministrys decision.
Due to the severity of the problem, several international philanthropic organizations and
diplomatic missions are working with Azerbaijani NGOs to solve the registration problem. It is
the old Catch-22:.NGOs must register to exist but can not.
Political competencies do not refer to the public political electoral process. Rather, it is the
process of reconciling differences in values, reaching effective compromises that move toward
goals, and allowing input from those who are affected by decisions. For example, assuming
limited funds, should a small NGO use its resources to educate people on ways to prevent
HIV/AIDS? Should it fund services to some people who are HIV positive or should it sponsor
research to help understand and stop this international pandemic? Each of these options
represents different values. Research is a long term process with many failures; education must
be reinforced and does not always lead to behavior change; services to those who already have
HIV may require long term commitments. Which should an organization choose? How will its
leadership decide?
Effective political skills help create networks of agencies attempting to serve larger populations.
For example, the National Council of Azerbaijan Youth Organizations began in 1996 as a
consortium of 46 NGOs (Society for Humanitarian Research, 2007). But not all such well-
intended efforts succeed. The Association of Lawyers in Azerbaijan may be typical. After a long
struggle to get registered, they were finally denied. Unfortunately, the lack of an office,
equipment and financial resources has hindered the ALA from expanding its scope and
functioning more effectively (International League of Human Rights, 2007).
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Educational competencies focus on the question How does a board learn? In addition to
learning from experience, this competency includes developing new members skills and
information base. It involves gaining a clear understanding of client and staff needs so leaders
can establish functional and attainable priorities.
Most importantly, it involves information. In Azerbaijan, a major impediment to developing
strong educational competencies is the governments general approach to sharing information;
it prefers not to. A Yale Law School Report (2005) shows how defiant the system can be.
Although it is a signatory partner on international efforts to improve childrens rights, health and
social conditions, Azerbaijan has so far not met the requirement of the Convention - to
disseminate it widely within country. This has a serious impact on local NGOs which strive to
help children. In addition, NGOs do not take sufficient efforts to create a positive public image.
They do not promote transparency in their activities and they remain closed from the general
population. As a result, public awareness about NGOs and their activities remains low (USAID
Report, 2005).
How do board members resolve different perspectives based on different information or a lack
of shared values? Interpersonal competencies help board members work together effectively as
a group. How are differences resolved? Is there an open appraisal process for the CEO and the
board members themselves? How does the board cultivate new leadership? Is power shared or
held closely by an elite subgroup? Just having powerful individuals does not assure effective
work at the group level. Board members usually benefit from process time to reflect on how
decisions were made and testing at some later point in time if the best decisions were made.
The interpersonal competencies as defined above clash with many Azeri cultural values that can
stress hierarchy, a sense of place, adherence to religious edicts, family needs and tradition above
public law and policy. These are not intrusions on interpersonal competency; rather they help
define acceptable behavior in that culture.
Conclusions
First, Lewins ideals for community relations and democracy survive his death 6 decades ago.
This article provides ample testimony to the enduring power of his work and how it applies
today. Several questions provided the impetus for this research. First, can the force field
analysis model be used to understand problems at the macro and micro-level and in a post-
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Soviet country? The answer is strongly affirmative. The forces for change and its impediments
are different than at the individual level. But because they form a life space and field, the model
applies as a diagnostic tool. Figure Two below shows both Driving and Restraining Forces.
Figure Two: Force Field Analysis, Summary of Driving and Restraining Forces on NGOs inAzerbaijan
Driving Restraining
Limited government services Minimal public support
New generation expects change Fear of governmental authority
Growing number of volunteers Some NGOs exist on paper only
Recent NGO successes provide
hope
Traditional role of family as care-givers
Understanding benefits of
transparency
Little public support
Committed citizens making a
difference
Little philanthropic history
More government NGO
registration
Little effort to provide public data
Growing needs of the Azerbaijanipopulation
No ethics statements
Emerging democratic system is
under scrutiny
Oppressive tax codes
Armenias occupation of its land Legal restrictions
Limited programs and services
Caspian Sea oil brings
international inspection
Small professional staff
Increasing international interest Few national success models
Globalization brings international
tourism and inspections Little fundraising experience
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A second question for this research regards NGO leadership. Do the board competencies used
by several researchers apply in Azerbaijan? If any conclusions can be drawn from this research,
it is that the six board competencies do not directly apply with as much vigor in an emerging
democracy as they do elsewhere. This is not because many dedicated individuals are not trying;
they are. Rather, the emphasis is less on long-term leadership than on nearer-term program
management and service delivery. Strategic planning is a luxury when one is busy trying to
survive. Since most NGOs are in their embryonic state, many will not survive; most will never
even meet the requirement that they register with the government.
The contextual competency emerges as the most widely used skill, while political and strategic
abilities are the least used. Interviews document that NGO leadership understands the world in
which they operate. The long term perspectives on issues required for strategic competencies to
be used effectively are muted by the needs of daily survival. Political differences are often
minimized because the board members themselves often work as volunteers at the program
level, planning and then offering the NGO services.
Third, what does the future hold? According to Azerbaijan's Embassy in the United States (2007)
"The Government Initiative to Bolster Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) was approved
on July 27, 2007 by the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan. This is a part of the
Administrations ongoing effort to strengthen Azerbaijans civil society in particular NGOs and
independent media. This new Executive Order will provide government financial and logistical
support to NGOs, as well as improve the legal environment for their operations. This supports
Lewins thesis about reducing restraining forces.
The four elements of empowerment information, inclusion/participation, accountability and
local organizational capacity can be combined to create more effective, responsive, inclusive,
accountable institutions (Narayan, 2002, p. 31). Former President of the World Bank James D.
Wolfensohn best summarized the challenge for the future; referring to the relationships
between NGOs, governments and the World Bank, he stressed We are really interdependent.
But we must build mutual trust. (Wolfensohn and Kircher, 2005, p. 38) And therein lies the
future of NGOs in Azerbaijan.
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TESTING AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF E-LEARNING ADOPTION DECISION
John H. Heinrichs
Wayne State University
Detroit, MI 48202
Jeen-Su Lim
The University of Toledo
Hermina Anghelescu and Janice Utz
Wayne State University
Detroit, MI 48202
ABSTRACT
This study investigates the impact of content richness and access ubiquity on e-learning course
satisfaction and intention to take additional e-learning courses. Content richness and access
ubiquity were incorporated into the technology adoption model along with the perceived
usefulness and perceived ease-of-use factors. Path analysis was employed as the statistical tool
to evaluate the hypothesized relationships regarding the influence of the content richness and
access ubiquity factors. The results from this study suggest that content richness was a primary
factor in predicting student satisfaction with e-learning courses and the intention to take
another e-learning course. Additionally, access ubiquity was shown to influence student
satisfaction with e-learning courses.
Keywords: perceived ease-of-use, perceived usefulness, TAM, Lisrel, Path Model, e-learning,
access ubiquity, content richness
Introduction
In this knowledge-based economy characterized by rapid and continual change, knowledge
acquisition and its strategic use is a source of sustained competitive advantage for the
organization. Therefore, it becomes critical for the organization to develop a method to easily
educate and exchange information among organizational members (Heinrichs & Lim, 2005;
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Virkus & Wood, 2004). To accomplish this information exchange in a timely manner, the
utilization of information technology tools and techniques for electronically transferring learning
opportunities and instructional content to knowledge workers and also for developing a
supporting infrastructure is required (Leidner & Jarvenpaa, 1995; Ong, Lai, & Wang, 2004). This
method of providing learning opportunities delivered via leading-edge information technologies
incorporating the internet, intranet, and / or extranet is commonly referred to or defined as e-
learning, online learning, or web-based learning (Schweizer, 2004; Selim, 2007; Trombley & Lee,
2002). E-learning, then, can be viewed as using various information technology tools and
techniques along with media ranging from simple text-based web pages with images and
graphics to complex websites incorporating both real-time video and podcasting as well as web
presence capabilities and includes the use of question and answer polling techniques, electronic
discussion boards, blogs, wikis, and email (Trombley & Lee, 2002).
E-learning tools and techniques have become one of the most significant educational
developments in the information technology industry (Selim, 2007). Yet, as businesses and
educational institutions move instructional delivery to a synchronous e-learning format, there
exists a need to better understand the critical success factors associated with the e-learning
adoption decision (Arbaugh, 2000; Saad, 2007). The identified critical success factors must
facilitate understanding of the various reasons for acceptance of the e-learning technology tools
and associated delivery methods.
Many businesses and educational institutions are embracing the challenge of offering and
delivering e-learning content synchronously, so the question of when e-learning will become an
established and integrated component of the total educational process is raised. Successfully
integrating e-learning into the organizations learning culture does not result from isolating and
focusing solely on e-learning information technology concerns and issues but rather from
infusing e-learning concepts and technology into the overall culture of the organization.
While past studies have applied the technology acceptance model (TAM) in various contexts
such as internet use, e-commerce, software productivity tools, and ERP systems (Lim, Lim, &
Heinrichs, 2005), the applicability of TAM to facilitate understanding of the e-learning adoption
decision has only recently begun to receive attention from researchers. Several researchers
have reported the application of TAM in the context of e-learning and online education
(Arbaugh, 2000; Gao, 2005; Saad, 2007; Roca, Chiu, and Martnez, 2006). Gao (2005) reported
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results that suggest that TAM is an effective tool for predicting student acceptance of web-
based course support systems. Saad (2007) investigated student behavior and attitudes
toward online learning. Roca, Chiu, and Martnez (2006) uncovered that the influence of
perceived quality (which was defined as being composed of information quality, service quality,
and system quality) on student satisfaction was strong.
The determining factors related to e-learning course content and the delivery mode need to be
well integrated into the research model. Arbaugh (2000), Selim (2007), and Sun and Cheng
(2007) initiated this line of research as they evaluate various factors of e-learning such as
flexibility, student-faculty interaction, online course content, and various delivery mode factors.
It is important to continue this stream of research. Therefore, this study contributes to this
stream of research and extends TAM to the online course adoption decision by incorporating e-
learning determinant factors. In addition to testing TAM in the context of online course
adoption, this study assesses the impact of e-learning course factors on the original TAM
factors.
Literature Review
Many educational offerings such as lecture series, academic courses, training seminars, and
certificate programs are being delivered to the students using Internet technologies (Saad,
2007). To investigate the students usage of and the various factors associated with e-learning
technology, many research studies have adopted the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM)
developed by Davis (1986, 1989). This study expands the TAM by incorporating the additional
factors of content richness and access ubiquity into the investigation of e-learning effectiveness.
The proposed integrated e-learning adoption decision model (see Figure 1) posits content
richness and access ubiquity as the antecedents of the two TAM factors, perceived ease-of-use
and perceived usefulness.
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Figure 1
Hypothesized Integrated e-Learning Adoption Decision Model
Two Original TAM Factors
The technology acceptance model (TAM) originally developed by Davis (198x) posits that beliefs
and attitudes are key determinants as to whether a specific technology will be adopted or
rejected. Davis, Bagozzi, and Warshaw (1989) demonstrated that the initial attitudes of the user
regarding the factors of perceived ease-of-use and perceived usefulness will influence attitudes
towards the use of the technology (Lee, 2006). Recent research on e-learning and TAM has
provided support for the links between the TAM factors of perceived usefulness and perceived
ease-of-use and the students intention to use the e-learning system (Gao, 2005; Ong, Lai, &
Wang, 2007; Saad, 2007). In the context of e-learning, the perceived usefulness factor of TAM
is described as the degree to which students believe that using an online course will enhance
their learning performance; whereas the perceived ease-of-use factor is described as the degree
to which students believe that the use of the online course application is relatively effortless.
Therefore, perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-use influences the students intention to
accept and adopt the e-learning courses either directly or indirectly.
Selim (2002) tested the two original TAM factors of perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-
use as predictors of student acceptance of online course websites. Selim (2002) reported results
supporting TAM. Ong, Lai, and Wang (2007) and Lee (2006) suggest expanding the overall
++
++
+Satisfaction
AccessUbiquity
ContentRichness
Intention+
PerceivedEase-of-Use
PerceivedUsefulness
++
+
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applicability of TAM by investigating additional factors beyond the two original factors. It is
believed that learning using online tools involves a multitude of additional factors including a
knowledge workers knowledge of and experience with information technology. Saad (2007)
expanded the perceived usefulness factor with three additional dimensions labeled
performance related outcome expectations, personal-related outcome expectations, and
intrinsic motivation and reported that the effects of content quality on perceived usefulness
were significant.
Since online learning systems can be viewed as technology applications, TAM argues that
knowledge workers will only use the system if they perceive that its use will enhance their
learning performance. Such learning performance enhancement may be measured in terms of
learning productivity, the effectiveness of learning, and/or improvements in test scores.
Content Richness
Acceptance and overall effectiveness of e-learning courses requires quality course content
(Drago, Peltier, & Sorensen, 2002; Tricker, Rangecroft, Long, & Gilroy, 2001). In addition to
utilizing either paper-based or electronic textbooks coupled with electronic discussion boards,
effective e-learning courses should integrate multimedia into the course content so as to engage
the learner. The multimedia content in these e-learning courses can be in the form of
animation, video lectures, podcasts, PowerPoint presentations, and/or simulations. However,
to be effective, the multimedia course content should be integrated judiciously into the course
(Schweizer, 2004).
Media richness is a key characteristic that learners consider when working with e-learning
course websites (Palmer, 2002). Richness is defined as the ability of presented information to
change the learners understanding within a specific time interval (Daft & Lengel, 1986). Media
richness, then, refers to the e-learning courses multimedia contents capacity to facilitate
shared meaning and understanding (Daft & Lengel, 1984). It refers to the contents ability to
convey key concepts to the learner. The e-learning course websites can provide the learner with
various levels of richness ranging from simple text-based to complex multimedia presentations.
Media richness theory developed by Daft & Lengel (1986) suggests that the low media richness
achieved by only using text-based content and by eliminating nonverbal cues would make tasks
like discussion of issues difficult. While multimedia content material in e-learning courses has
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been shown to attract a learners attention and interests, the use of multimedia content alone
does not necessarily result in significant positive satisfaction with the e-learning course (Sun &
Cheng, 2007). As such, this range of capacities makes a website difficult to position along the
media richness continuum originally proposed by Daft and Lengel (1986).
Achieving communication efficiency required to convey concepts in a defined time interval can
be affected by the usefulness of the chosen media and the specific characteristics of the
required communication task (Daft & Lengel, 1984, 1986; Trevino, Lengel, & Daft, 1987).
Communication tasks that are designed to clarify ambiguous concepts so that understanding of
the material is achieved in a timely manner are considered high on the media richness
continuum; whereas, communication tasks that require a significant time to develop the
learners understanding are considered low on the media richness continuum. With regard to
the characteristics of these communication tasks, media richness theory proposes that the
purpose of the multimedia content is to reduce uncertainty and equivocality. Uncertainty is
associated with the insufficient level of required information; whereas, equivocality is
associated with determining the meanings of potentially ambiguous situations. Effective e-
learning course design and structure then facilitates the flow of information in a timely fashion
reducing uncertainty. So, the role of multimedia content in uncertainty reduction should be to
convey a sufficient amount of correct information. The e-learning course with high uncertainty
and equivocality in course concepts or material requires the use of material that is rated high on
the media richness continuum.
One of the key characteristics of e-learning courses is the capability to integrate different types
of media thereby creating rich multimedia course content material. However, since multimedia
does not have consistent effects on promoting a learners learning performance, it does not
necessarily produce significant effects on the learners understanding of the course content (Sun
& Cheng, 2007). Furthermore, research has shown that unnecessary multimedia elements in
instructional content may actually distract learners and decrease overall learning performance.
The results of many empirical studies have indicated that content quality is important in
determining learners level of satisfaction (Katerattanakul & Siau, 1999; McKinney et al., 2002).
A major dimension of e-learning course content quality is associated with content richness.
Content richness positively affects a learners level of satisfaction with the e-learning course
(Arbaugh, 2000). The special characteristics of IT tools such as the use of the internet with
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hyperlinks permit learners to share and access numerous resources, in addition to accessing the
fundamental course contents (Lee, 2006). Collectively, these described concepts are identified
as content richness. This discussion then leads to the following hypotheses.
Hypothesis 1: Content richness is positively related to (a) perceived usefulness and (b)perceived ease-of-use.
Hypothesis 2: Content richness is positively related to satisfaction.
Access Ubiquity
Ubiquitous access to online course content is anticipated to expand in the coming years as
information technology continues to advance and as learners demand anytime / anywhere
learning opportunities (Hill & Roldan, 2005). Access ubiquity can be simply defined in terms of
e-learning course, computer system, and information availability (Palmer, 2002) with library
support contained in the information availability component (Selim, 2007). The potential
benefits provided to the learner as a result of access ubiquity include shortened response time
between the learner and the instructor as well as increased real-time interaction opportunities
and among learners in the course.
For ubiquitous access to be a key factor, the efficient and effective use of information
technology in delivering the e-learning-based components is important. Critical to the success
of e-learning is ensuring that the IT infrastructure required to deliver e-learning content is
reliable and capable of delivering the multimedia content. The IT infrastructure then must
include accessibility, bandwidth, course management systems, internet availability, and security
(Selim, 2007). For the learner acceptance of the e-learning systems, the learner must have
confidence in the learning system and must have confidence that the data captured during the
e-learning course will not be compromised. As such, access ubiquity also is defined to include
perceived credibility (Ong, Lai, & Wang, 2007).
With anytime / anywhere access being provided by mobile computing, it becomes possible to
develop course delivery applications that not only are capable of responding to learners anytime
/ anywhere but that also actively seeks out and engages learners. As a primary tool for
collaborative learning environments, in which knowledge is developed and evolved by the
learners, online threaded discussion is a prime candidate for e-learning (Leidner & Jarvenpaa,
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1995). Yet, a number of challenging issues must be addressed in designing such an environment
to ensure learner acceptance (Hill & Roldan, 2005).
There are major concerns revolving the design and development of quality e-learning content
(Trombley & Lee, 2002). First, learners must take initiative and must have the necessarytechnical skills to participate in an e-learning course. Learners having access to an e-learning
system can now interact with instructional materials in various formats anywhere / anytime
(Lee, 2006). Furthermore, given the functionality of the information technology infrastructure,
they can interact with teachers and classmates both individually and on a simultaneous basis.
This discussion leads to the following hypothesis regarding the impact of access ubiquity on the
factors in TAM including satisfaction and intention.
Hypothesis 3: Access ubiquity is positively related to (a) perceived usefulness and (b)perceived ease-of-use.
Hypothesis 4: Access ubiquity is positively related to satisfaction.
Based upon the literature review, a proposed path model describing the factors that influence
the learners satisfaction with and intention to take another e-learning course was developed.
The hypothesized model links the factors of content richness and access ubiquity with the
independent factors from the technology acceptance model of perceived usefulness and
perceived ease-of-use on the dependent factors of satisfaction and intention.
Methodology
This study adopted the path analysis approach to describing the e-learning adoption data and
the relationships among the various factors. There were four dependent factors that were
identified and the study focused on the predictive ordering of the variables in relationship to the
technology acceptance model.
Subjects and Procedures
This research study used a self-administered questionnaire method to obtain responses. A total
of 173 students from two midwest universities participated in the study. In this study 15% of
the respondents were males and 85% of the respondents were females. The respondents were
20% undergraduate students and 80% graduate students. The students were invited to
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participate in the study via an email message from the researchers. Neither monetary nor non-
monetary incentives were provided to the respondents.
When the respondents first accessed the electronic survey, they were presented with web
pages containing an overview of the research study, information regarding informed consent,
and contact information they could use if they had questions regarding the survey. After the
initial explanatory web pages, the respondents were presented with the survey web pages
containing the instructions regarding completing the survey and the survey questions. The
respondents were asked to answer all of the questions carefully.
Construct Measures
The instrument used in this study contained question items measuring six different conceptual
areas. Those six constructs were perceived usefulness, perceived ease-of-use, content richness,access ubiquity, satisfaction, and intention to take another online course (Table 1). Also
included in this survey were various classification questions such as age, gender, and distance
from campus.
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Table 1
Variable and Factor Listing
Variable Questionnaire Item Associated
Factor
Factor
Description
A1 Taking an online course is very easy for me. Factor 1
Perceived
Usefulness
A2 I believe that an online course site helps me in my
understanding of the class material.
Factor 1
A3 Using the online course sites increases my academic
performance.
Factor 1
A4 The online course website is useful for taking classes. Factor 1
B1 I find it easy to use the online course website. Factor 2Perceived
Ease-of-
Use
B2 It was easy for me to become skillful at using online
course sites.
Factor 2
B3 I find the online course website easy to use. Factor 2C1 Technical content delivery quality of online courses. Factor 3
Content
Richness
C2 Descriptive content delivery quality of online courses. Factor 3
C3 Effectiveness of providing explanation in online courses. Factor 3
C4 Quantity of learning in online courses. Factor 3
C5 Quality of learning in online courses. Factor 3
C6 Effectiveness of the video material delivery in online
courses.
Factor 3
D1 Online course availability for effective access. Factor 4 Access
UbiquityD2 Information availability for effective access. Factor 4
E1 Overall, how satisfied are you with this online course? Factor 5
Satisfaction
E2 How satisfied are you with the course content? Factor 5
E3 How satisfied are you with the course delivery? Factor 5
E4 How satisfied are you with the course requirements? Factor 5
E5 How satisfied are you with the access to the online
course?
Factor 5
E6 How satisfied are you with the additional course materials
available in the online courses?
Factor 5
F1 How willing are you to take another online course? Factor 6
Intention
F2 How willing are you to recommend online courses to your
peers?
Factor 6
F3 How likely is it that you will take another online course in
the next 12 months?
Factor 6
The questions used to measure perceived usefulness and perceived ease-of-use were adapted
from Davis (1986) and Igbaria, Iiarvi and Maragahh (1995). Respondents were asked to indicate
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their agreement or disagreement with the presented statements using a 5-point Likert-type
scale which ranged from (1) strongly disagree to (5) strongly agree. The questions used to
measure content richness and access ubiquity were adapted from Drago, Peltier, & Sorensen,
(2002), Lee (2006), Palmer (2002) Roca, Chiu, and Martnez (2006). Respondents were asked to
indicate their willingness to recommend or take another online course using a 5-point scale
ranging from (1) not at all willing to (5) extremely willing. Respondents were asked to indicate
their satisfaction with various aspects of online course with various statements that used a 5-
point Likert-type scale ranging from (1) very dissatisfied to (5) very satisfied.
Analysis and Results
Path analytic model analysis via LISREL was used to analyze the data (Joreskog & Sorbom, 1989,
1993). The hypothesized enhanced learning adoption model was developed and presented inFigure 1. In evaluating the hypothesized model, overall fit indices of the model as well as the
individual factor coefficients were determined and evaluated.
Factor Analysis, Mean Values, and Reliabilities
Responses to the multi-item measures were factor analyzed using a principal component factor
analysis. The factors in each of the dependent and independent variables were varimax rotated.
Results of the factor analysis are shown in Table 2. As a part of the measurement item
purification process, any items cross loading to other factors or factor loadings of .50 or lower
are deleted from the final scale items. A brief description of the final scale items resulting from
the item purification procedure follows.
The independent variables were composed of four factors labeled as perceived usefulness which
is represented by three items; perceived ease-of-use which is represented by three items;
content richness which is represented by six items; and access ubiquity which is represented by
two items. The dependent variables were composed of two factors labeled satisfaction which is
represented by six items and intention which is represented by three items.
For the various variables under investigation, the scale means were calculated. Table 2 presents
factor analysis results, the scale mean values and reliability for each of the constructs. The scale
mean values for the independent variables ranged from 3.80 to 4.32 based upon a 5 point scale
with 1 defined as Strongly Disagree and 5 defined as Strongly Agree. The scale mean values for
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the dependent variables ranged from 4.08 to 4.12. The Cronbach alphas for the independent
variables were calculated as 0.729 for access ubiquity, 0.826 for perceived usefulness, 0.847 for
perceived ease-of use, and 0.914 for content richness. The Cronbach alphas for the dependent
variables were calculated as 0.757 for intention and 0.896 for satisfaction. The Cronbach alphas
for the six scales are greater than the recommended guideline of 0.70 (Nunnally, 1978).
Therefore, it can be concluded that all six scales show adequate reliability.
Table 2
Factor Analysis Results
Independent Variables Dependent Variables
Variable
Factor 1:
Perceived
Usefulness
Factor 2:
Perceived
Ease-of-Use
Factor 3:
Content
Richness
Factor 4:
Access
Ubiquity
Factor 5:
Satisfaction
Factor 6:
IntentionA1 .758 .127 .119 .250 -- --
A3 .719 .228 .311 .036 -- --
A2 .712 .149 .393 .093 -- --
B3 .112 .908 .146 .026 -- --
B1 .181 .878 .124 .054 -- --
B2 .386 .640 .190 .272 -- --
C2 .356 .124 .811 .013 -- --
C1 .026 .211 .805 .136 -- --
C6 .000 .177 .777 .265 -- --
C4 .445 .085 .768 .128 -- --
C3 .451 .119 .734 .135 -- --
C5 .488 .000 .694 .094 -- --
D1 .100 .067 .112 .916 -- --
D2 .287 .169 .431 .682 -- --
E1 -- -- -- -- .833 .087
E3 -- -- -- -- .822 .221
E6 -- -- -- -- .780 .446
E2 -- -- -- -- .769 .192
E4 -- -- -- -- .763 .175
E5 -- -- -- -- .698 .223
F3 -- -- -- -- .006 .844
F1 -- -- -- -- .379 .817
F2 -- -- -- -- .556 .662Mean 3.85 4.32 3.80 4.12 4.12 4.08
Std. Dev. 0.81 0.69 0.82 0.84 0.74 1.08
Measure of
Sampling
Adequacy
0.880 0.881
Reliability 0.826 0.847 0.914 0.729 0.896 0.757
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Path Analysis
The literature on content richness and access ubiquity views these factors as being merely
correlated. As such, these two factors were linked but no directional connectors were
associated with them. These factors were then added as antecedents to the TAM structure.
Each factor should be normally distributed and this model meets the assumption required of
path analysis (Stevens, 1996; Bentler & Chou, 1987). Kline (1998) recommends at least four
tests be performed to evaluate the goodness of fit of the proposed model. These multiple fit
criteria are used to rule out measuring biases inherent in the various measures (Hair, Anderson,
Tatham & Black, 1995). The fit criteria test groups include chi-square; goodness of fit index
(GFI), normed fit index (NFI), or comparative fit index (CFI); non-normed fit index (NNFI); and
standardized root mean square residual (SRMR).
The overall fit of the path model was judged to be satisfactory based on the overall goodness-of-
fit criteria. The ratio of chi-square to degrees of freedom was 1.68 (Chi-square of 6.72 with 4 df,
p = .15). The Goodness of Fit Index (GFI) was 0.99; the Normed Fit Index (NFI) was 0.99; and
Bentlers Comparative Fit Index (CFI) was 0.99. Each of these indices were above the desired
minimum acceptable 0.90 level used to accept the model (Bagozzi & Yi ,1988; Hair, Anderson,
Tatham & Black, 1995). CFI are less sensitive to sample size than the other tests so it was used
when the sample size is less than 200 (Fan, Thompson, & Wang, 1999). The Non-Normed Fit
Index (NNFI) was 0.98 and the Standardized Root Mean Square Residual (SRMR) was 0.029. By
convention, there is a good model fit if the SRMR is less than or equal to 0.06 (Hu & Bentler,
1999).
Figure 2 presents the path analysis results. Based on the goodness of fit indices and the
recommended values, the fit of this proposed model was determined to be acceptable (Bagozzi
& Yi, 1988; Hair, Anderson, Tatham & Black, 1995). The significance of individual path
coefficient was also evaluated. Figure 2 shows that five of the hypothesized paths are significant
at the 0.05 level. One of the hypothesized paths was not significant at the 0.05 level. The sign
for all path coefficients are in the expected direction. The paths from content richness to
perceived usefulness (0.48), to perceived ease-of-use (0.32), and to satisfaction (0.50) are
positive and significant at the 0.05 level providing supports for the hypotheses 1 and 2. The
path coefficients from access ubiquity to perceived ease-of-use and satisfaction were 0.17 and
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0.21 respectively. These two coefficients are significant at the 0.05 level and in the expected
direction supporting hypotheses 3b and 4. However, the path coefficient from access ubiquity
to perceived usefulness was not significant at the 0.05 level. Therefore, hypothesis 3a is not
supported by the result.
Figure 2
Integrated e-Learning Adoption Decision Model
Direct and Indirect Effects
Path coefficients can be used to highlight direct and indirect effects in the discovered model.
The direct and indirect effects are reflected in the arrows shown in the model. The total causal
Fit Statistics & Measures for the Recommended
Enhanced Learning Adoption Path Model Value Value
Chi-square/degrees of freedom 1.68 3.0
Bentler Bonets Normed Fit Index (NFI) 0.99 .90
Goodness of Fit Index (GFI) 0.99 .90
Comparative Fit Index (CFI) 0.99 .90
Tucker-Lewis Non-Normed Fit Index (NFFI) 0.98 .90
Root Mean Square Residual (RMR) 0.029 .10
* p < .05 -- ns = not significant
0.50*
F3: Content
Richness
F4: AccessUbiquity
F6: Intention
0.17*
0.04 ns
0.50*
0.21*
0.28*
F2: PerceivedEase-of-use
F5: Satisfaction
F1: Perceived
Usefulness0.42*
0.17 *
0.48*
0.32*
0.09 ns
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effect of the factor i on the factor j is the sum of the values of all the paths from i to j.
Considering satisfaction as the final dependent factor i in the presented model and
considering content richness as the independent factor j, the indirect effects are calculated
by multiplying the path coefficients for each path from content richness to satisfaction.
The total indirect effect of content richness on satisfaction is calculated to be 0.10 and the direct
effect is calculated to be 0.50. Thus, thetotal effect of the independent factor content richness
on the dependent factor satisfaction is the sum of the direct effect and indirect effect (0.50 +
0.10) for a value of 0.60. The total effect of the independent factors access ubiquity, perceived
usefulness and perceived ease-of-use on the dependent factor satisfaction are similarly
calculated for the values of 0.24, 0.17, and 0.09.
Similarly, the total effect of the factors content richness, access ubiquity, perceived usefulness,perceived ease-of-use, and satisfaction on intention to take another course can be calculated.
The total effect of these factors is 0.25, 0.10, 0.07, 0.04, and 0.42 respectively.
Table 3: Direct and Indirect Effects
F3: Content
Richness
F4: Access
Ubiquity
F2: Perceived
Usefulness
F1: Perceived
Ease-of-Use
F5:
Satisfaction
TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE TE DE IE
F2:
Usefulness .57 .48 .09 .14 .09 .05 -- -- -- .28 .28 -- -- -- --
F1:
Ease-of-Use.32 .32 -- .17 .17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
F5:
Satisfaction.60 .50 .10 .24 .21 .03 .17 .17 -- .09 .04 .05 -- -- --
F6:
Intention.25 -- .25 .10 -- .10 .07 -- .07 .04 -- .04 .42 .42 --
TE = Total Effect DE = Direct Effect IE = Indirect Effect
Discussion
Path analysis is a powerful statistical tool to aid in the analysis of effect decomposition for
models with two or more dependent variables. Reviewing the total effects for the factors shows
that the content richness factor is the most significant factor in determining satisfaction.
Satisfaction is a significant factor in determining intention to take another online course.
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Content richness involves the various methods used to deliver the content, explain the material,
and the quality and quantity of information presented to the student. To help ensure
satisfaction with the course, the instructor should devote resources to ensure the multimedia
component of the course is of high quality. As with any other course, the instructor should be
focused on providing high quality delivery of the content and should ensure that the online tool
facilitates the technical and descriptive content delivery.
This study expands the TAM for use in understanding online course delivery. With 65% of
schools identified online education as key to their long term strategy, it is crucial for programs
to develop and maintain a high degree of satisfaction (Allen & Seaman, 2005). This study
provides support for the importance of content richness and access ubiquity to the delivery of
online courses.
In interpreting the findings of this study, care should be given. Due to the nature of the sample,
the generalizability of the results is somewhat limited. The findings may not be applicable to
other disciplines or other categories of students taking online classes. Future research should
test the proposed model with expanded sample base. As users are more concerned about how
an e-learning system provides information and how it will make them more productive in their
tasks In an e-learning context (Roca, Chiu, & Martnez, 2006), future research should measure
the increased productivity in e-learning tasks in addition to the satisfaction with and intention to
take additional e-learning courses.
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THE IMPACT OF INWARD FDI STOCK ON GDP GROWTH: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM
CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE
Lucyna Kornecki and Vedapuri Raghavan
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University (ERAU)
Daytona Beach, FL 32114
ABSTRACT
This article analyses the post communist era in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and tests
the hypothesis that the foreign direct investment (FDI) contributes to the economic growth of
the CEE countries. The first part of this research reflects macroeconomic changes in the post
communist CEE and examines GDP per capita and economic growth rate. The second section
discusses an inward FDI flow and inward FDI stock as a percentage of GDP and the third section
estimates the impact of the FDI stock on economic growth in the CEE using regression growth
model based on the production function. This study found a positive association between FDI
and economic growth in the CEE and proved tremendous impact of FDI stock on GDP growth.
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Central and Eastern Europe
Introduction
The FDI inflows in the CEE economies has been a vital factor in the first stage of the privatization
process during the transition period. As the privatization and restructuring process has come to
an end, the main reasons to pursue FDI are to boost productivity, encourage employment,
stimulate innovation and technology transfer, and to enhance sustained economic growth
(Mueller & Goic, 2002). The CEE countries have identified the positive effects of FDI on the
transformation process of the economy. FDI has increased in the past twenty years, to become
the most common type of capital flow needed for the reconstruction and stabilization of the CEE
economies.
This paper reviewed the experiences of CEE countries integrating into the global market and
analyzed the basic economic growth trends, and the link between FDI stock and economic
growth. The following countries were examined in this article: Poland, the Czech Republic,
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Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia. All these countries became members of the European Union
(EU) on May 1, 2004 (www.eurunion.org). The EU membership has shaped major aspects of
economic policies and legislation in CEE (Sohinger, 2005).
The largest economy among the analyzed countries is Poland, with the population of 38.601million. This compares to 10.244 million in the Czech Republic, 10.063 million in Hungary, 5.392
million in Slovakia, and 2.004 million in Slovenia (UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics).
The research utilized 1960-2006 archival data from the following sources: United Nations
Conference on Trade and Development (UNCAD), United Nations Economic Commission for
Europe (UNECE), World Investment Reports, as well as other selected databases.
Literature Review
The CEE countries increased their participation in the world economy since the fall of
communism; particularly over the last few years. They accepted the challenge of trade openness
and attracted significant foreign direct investment. Going global has helped them to grow faster
(Cernat & Vranceanu, 2002).
The available literature does not provide empirically tested evidence on the effects of FDI on
economic growth in the CEE. This study examines the link between FDI stock and economic
growth in CEE countries and focuses on the impact of inward FDI on economic growth using a
production function model. The results showed that inward FDI stock contributes tremendously
to economic growth in the CEE and constitutes an essential factor stimulating sustained
economic growth.
FDI has been acknowledged as most crucial fac