Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of ‘ AMY08’ cooperation

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Air-Sea-Land Interaction Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Programs in China and a Proposal of Proposal of AMY08’ AMY08’ cooperation cooperation Ding Yihui National Climate Center, CMA On behalf of Prof. Guoxiong Wu, Chief Scientist of China 973 AIPO program

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Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of ‘ AMY08’ cooperation. Ding Yihui National Climate Center, CMA On behalf of Prof. Guoxiong Wu, Chief Scientist of China 973 AIPO program. 东 亚. 西 太 平 洋. 印 度 洋. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of ‘ AMY08’ cooperation

Page 1: Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of  ‘ AMY08’ cooperation

Air-Sea-Land Interaction Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Programs in China and a

Proposal ofProposal of ‘ ‘AMY08’ cooperationAMY08’ cooperation

Ding Yihui

National Climate Center, CMA

On behalf of Prof. Guoxiong Wu, Chief

Scientist of China 973 AIPO program

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The National Basic Research Program of China

Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction over Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction over the Joining Area of Asia and Indian-Pacific the Joining Area of Asia and Indian-Pacific Ocean (AIPO) and Its Impact on the Short-Ocean (AIPO) and Its Impact on the Short-Term Climate Variation in ChinaTerm Climate Variation in China

印印 度 洋 度 洋

西 西

太太

洋洋

东东亚亚

Period: 2006.09- 2011.09

Supported by Ministry of

Science and Technology of

China (MOST)

Adhesive Unit: Institute of

Atmospheric Physics (IAP), CAS

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RECOMMENDED BY:

国家海洋局State Oceanic Administration

中国气象局 Chinese Meteorology Administration

国家自然科学基金

委员会National Natural Science Foundation

of China

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1. 这里有世界上范围最大、海表温度最高的大“暖池”,是全球热带对流最强、水汽含量最多的区域

印 度 洋印 度 洋

西 太

西 太

洋洋南南海海

东东亚亚青藏高原青藏高原

The AIPO joining areaThe AIPO joining area

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南亚季风、澳洲季风和东亚季风等南亚季风、澳洲季风和东亚季风等三大季风系统在此交辉跌三大季风系统在此交辉跌宕宕 ,, 水汽输送经此交汇后水汽输送经此交汇后流向亚洲大陆,流向亚洲大陆,调控着中国的旱涝灾调控着中国的旱涝灾

害害。。该区域该区域还是台风源地还是台风源地。。

““ 亚印太交汇区”亚印太交汇区” 海陆气相互作用复杂,海陆气相互作用复杂,与我国气候变化密切相关与我国气候变化密切相关

南亚季风

东亚季风

澳洲季风

西太平洋气流 台风源区台风源区

Three monsoon systems interact

Typhoons invade

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The theme of the program is to identify

the characteristics, patterns, and causes

of air-sea interactions over the AIPO

joining area and the intrinsic

mechanisms of their impacts on the

short-term climate anomalies over China.

2. KEY SCIENTIFIC ISSUES

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Western Pacific gyre interaction between tropics and subtropics and its relationship with the western Pacific anticyclone 1

Air-sea interaction over the Indian Ocean and its impacts Air-sea interaction over the Indian Ocean and its impacts on the Asian monsoonon the Asian monsoon 2

Air-sea coupling process over Western Pacific-Eastern Indian Air-sea coupling process over Western Pacific-Eastern Indian Ocean warm pool and its impacts on the climate over ChinaOcean warm pool and its impacts on the climate over China

3

Water cycle over Asian Monsoon AreaWater cycle over Asian Monsoon Area 4

Development and improvement of CGCM5

6 Ocean data assimilation and East Asia climate predictability

3. SUBPROJECTS3. SUBPROJECTS

Modulation of air-sea interaction by land-sea thermal contrast 7

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研究西太平洋,特别是 黑潮的热量经向分配过程,太平洋热带 - 副热带流涡与副热带高压的相互作用,以及海气耦合对台风强度、频数和路径的年际变率的影响。

1st subproject: Western Pacific gyre interaction between tropics and subtropics and its relationship with the western Pacific anticyclone

第第11课题课题

亚太亚太

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第第22课课题题

亚亚 印印

2nd subproject: Air-sea interaction over the Indian Ocean and its impacts on the Asian monsoon

研究印度洋海气相互作用对亚洲季风及其准两年变化的影响,青藏高原与印度洋热力差异对东亚季风的影响

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第第 33 课题课题 印-太印-太

第 3 课题 西太平洋-东印度洋暖池海气耦合过程对我国气候的影响

研究暖池演变过程、特征与年际气候异常的关系,印度洋纬向模和 ENSO 的耦合,以及季节内振荡( ISO )对我国气候的影响及其机理。

3rd subproject: Air-sea coupling process over Western Pacific-Eastern Indian Ocean warm pool and its impacts on the climate over China

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4th subproject: Water cycle over the AIPO Area

持续性旱涝Persistent drought/flood

突发性洪涝Sudden flood

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5th subproject: Development and improvement of OGCM

评估现有耦合气候模式的基础上,探索新一代大洋环流模式发展的途径,提高耦合模式在“亚印太交汇区”的模拟能力,并为本项目研究提供数值试验平台 。

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发展一个高分辨率的“亚印太交汇区”海洋资料变分同化系统,建成一套高质量的“亚印太交汇区” 海洋再分析资料,为国内外相关研究和业务部门提供数据基础。探索改进 ENSO 和季风预报的新途径。

6th subproject: Ocean data assimilation and East Asia climate predictability

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揭示亚洲大陆-印度洋-澳大利亚海陆热力差异变化对印度洋海气相互作用的调控过程与相关机制;亚洲大陆-西太平洋海陆热力差异变化对西太平洋海气相互作用的调控过程与相关机制。

7th subproject: Modulation of air-sea interaction by land-sea thermal contrast

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2. 亚 - 印海气 1. 亚 - 太海气

4. 4. 水分循环水分循环

3. 印 - 太相互作用

7. 海陆热力对比应用出口模拟工具和数据基础

5. 5. 模式发模式发展展 6. 6. 资料同化资料同化

各课题之间的关系各课题之间的关系

短期气候预测短期气候预测

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科 目科 目 金额(万元)金额(万元)

人员费人员费 195

设备费设备费 900

管理费管理费 190

国际合作交流费国际合作交流费 300

课题其它相关费课题其它相关费 2215

合 计合 计 33800800

Approval Approval 35003500

Project BudgetProject BudgetProject BudgetProject Budget

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This year Chinese Academy of Science will organize another program which is mainly GEWEX oriented. Its research will focus on the water and energy cycle in Asia as well as the interaction between monsoon and aerosol and their impacts on the Asian Monsoon variability.

CAS Program

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Proposal

Asian Monsoon Year in 2008--AMY08

China- 973AIPOIndia- CTCZ

Japan- MAHASRIAustralia

AAMP/CLIVARSouth Korea-I.S.Kang

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科学 1 号

实验 3 号

Supplementary observation experimentsSupplementary observation experiments

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Air-sea flux tower at Xi-Sha Island

NEC

NECC

SEC

Kurosh

ioSurface

mooring east of Luzon Island

Indian Ocean

Western P

acific Ocean

SCS

ITF

Subsurface mooring off Java

coast

Subsurface mooring at Karimata

strait

Schematic observation plan of atmosphere-ocean interaction at the Asia-Indo-Pacific RegionSchematic observation plan of atmosphere-ocean interaction at the Asia-Indo-Pacific Region

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Observation stations of the Northern SCS cruiseStations/Cruise-legs

MVP line

Moorings

Mooring (110.5E, 14N)

Air-sea flux tower at Xi-Sha

Island

18N 断面观测:对 18N 向东延伸,并在开放航次期间同步实施定点浮标或潜标观测 (3-4 个航次)

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14

6

3

2

7

5

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1. 青藏高原的能量和水分循环对我国和全球气候的影响

图 1 全球气候模式与青藏高原区域气候模式以及陆面过程模式嵌套结构示意图 .

青藏高原精细模式--美国完成

全球气候系统模式--中国科学院完成

陆面/遥感区域模式-美国完成

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China-Japan Cooperative Project On Weather Disaster Reduction

75

75

80

80

85

85

90

90

95

95

100

100

105

105

110

110

20 20

25 25

30 30

35 35

40 40

010002000300040005000600070008000

m

CAMPTibet

GPS

PBL Tower

Windprofiler

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The Elevated Heat Pump (EHP) hypothesis (Lau et al. 2006)

Warm

Wwarm

Normal monsoonWater cycle (mid-May to mid-June)

e

Warmer

Cool

Warm

W

EHP-accelerated Monsoon water cycle(mid-May –June)

e

EHP postulates: a) an advance of the rainy season in northern India/Napal region in May-Juneb) In July-August, the increased convection spreads from the foothills of the HImalayasto central India, resulting in an intensification of the Indian monsoon.

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2. Indian projects

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Indian Monsoon Field Experiments and plans in the Indo-Gangetic Plains

P. Sanjeeva Rao, B.D. Acharya and D. R. Sikka*

Earth System Science DivisionDepartment of Science and Technology

Technology Bhawan, New Delhi-110 016, India. 40, Mausam Vihar, New Delhi-110051, India.

Acknowledgements : All participating Scientists in Monsoon Field Campaigns

Dr. CBS Dutt, ISRO-GBP, Bangalore Dr. K. Niranjan, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam Dr. N. Singh, IITM, Pune.

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Continental Tropical Convergence Zone (CTCZ) as a component of coupled Land-Ocean-Biosphere-Atmosphere System 2007-2010

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During northern summer, the oceanic TCZ migrates seasonally over Indian sub-continent

and leads to formation of a semi-permanent system known as monsoon trough (CTCZ) by second fortnight of July.

The monsoon trough is controlled by two centers of lows

Seasonal low At western end over Pakistan and adjoining area

Transient disturbances Form over the Head Bay

region and move across the trough.

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日 本   Project title

MAHASRI

Monsoon Asia Hydro-Atmosphere Scientific Research and Prediction Initiative

(Cf. MAHA=Great, Sri=Saint in Sanskrit)

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Four Regional Components of MAHASRI

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JEPP: Tibet

JEPP: Maritime continent

MAHASRI and related Japanese Projects (JEPP)

JEPP: Indochina

MAHASRI

JEPP: Thailand

JEPP: Indian Ocean

JAMSTEC/IORGC: Palau

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Automatic rain gauges in Indochina

High Density Rain Gauges 1

High Density Rain Gauges 2

18 N

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Proposal

Asian Monsoon Year in 2008--AMY08

China- 973AIPOIndia- CTCZ

Japan- MAHASRIAustralia

AAMP/CLIVARSouth Korea-I.S.Kang

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Air-sea flux tower at Xi-Sha Island

NEC

NECC

SEC

Kurosh

ioSurface

mooring east of Luzon Island

Indian Ocean

Western P

acific Ocean

SCS

ITF

Subsurface mooring off Java

coast

Subsurface mooring at Karimata

strait

Schematic observation plan of atmosphere-ocean interaction at the Asia-Indo-Pacific RegionSchematic observation plan of atmosphere-ocean interaction at the Asia-Indo-Pacific Region

Page 37: Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of  ‘ AMY08’ cooperation

Response from John Church-WCRP Chairman

Congratulations again on the research grant - It was exciting to hear about the work that you are planning with Japan and India and hopefully Australia on the Australian Asian Monsoon.  More broadly, planning has started on a WCRP/THORPEX “Year of Tropical Convection” for 2008.  We need to make sure your plans are linked to the broader plans so that the maximum benefit is gained.  … If we can link all of this together it will not only be good for the science but good for WCRP visibility and profile. 

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*January 5, 2006: The U.N. General Assembly, meeting in New York, proclaimed the year 2008 to be the U.N. International Year of Planet Earth. The Year's activities will span the three years 2007-2009 (www.yearofplanetearth.org/proclamation.htm).

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Year of coordinated Observing, modeling and Forecasting:

Addressing the Challenge of Organized Tropical Convection

This proposed activity arose out of a recommendation by the THORPEX/WCRP/ICTP Workshop on Organisation and Maintenance of Tropical Convection and the MJO, held in Trieste in March 2006. It was presented at the WCRP/CLIVAR SSG Meeting in Buenos Aires in April 2006.

Based on positive feedback from the WCRP Director and the SSG, the SSG asked that the proposal be developed in cooperation with THORPEX, GEWEX, CEOP, AAMP, WOAP, WMP, etc.

If implemented in 2008, this initiative could be a WCRP contribution to the UN Year of Planet Earth* and compliment IPY.

Version: June 29, 2006Version: June 29, 2006

Page 40: Air-Sea-Land Interaction Programs in China and a Proposal of  ‘ AMY08’ cooperation

EERRRROORRSS

ForecastForecastSimulateSimulate

AssimilateAssimilate

CompareCompareWithWith

ObservationsObservations

ImproveImproveModel, ICs,Model, ICs,

MethodsMethods

2007 2008 2009

diurnal cycle, synoptic systems, intraseasonal, annual cycle, mean,

mesoscale-to-planetary-scale organization

2010

Year of Year of Coordinated Coordinated Observing, Observing,

Modeling and Modeling and Forecasting Of Forecasting Of

The TropicsThe Tropics

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通过进行亚洲季风年 (AMY08)/国际季风年(IMY08)

深化对亚洲季风区海陆气相互作用过程的认识 改善季风预测 加强与国际合作 培养一批活跃在国际前沿的年轻大气科学家 ……………………

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Acknowledgment:

Prof. P. Sanjeeva Rao

Prof. Jun Matsumoto