Air Industry Overview, (1995), Standard Poor's Industry ...978-1-4757-6441-3/1.pdf · Lintner, J....

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References: Air Industry Overview, (1995), Standard & Poor's Industry Surveys, http://www.library. upenn.eduJresources/databases/aboutiSandPIndSur.html Akaike, H. (1973), 'Information theory and the extension of maximum likelihood principle', in Petrov, N. and Csaki, F. (eds), 'Proceedings of the second international symposium on information theory', Budapest, Akademiai Kiado, pp. 267-281. Arditti, F. (1967), 'Risk and the Required Rate of Return', Journal of Finance, 22, pp.19-36. Ball, R. (1978), 'Anomalies in relationships between securities', yields and yield - surrogates', Journal of Financial Economics, 6, pp. 103 - 126. BaneIjee, A., Dolado, 1., Galbraith, J.W., and Hendry, D.F.(1993), 'Co-integration, error- correction, and the econometric analysis of non-stationary data', Oxford University Press, New York. Banz, R. (1981), 'The relationship between returns and market value of common stocks', Journal of Financial Economics, 9, pp. 3 - 18. Basu, S. (1977), 'Investment performance of common stocks in relation to the price - earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis', Journal of Finance, 32, pp. 663 - 682. Basu, S. (1983), 'The relationship between earnings, yield, market value and the return for NYSE common stocks: Further evidence', Journal of Financial Economics, 12, No 1. Begg, D., Fisher, S., and Dornbusch, R. (1997), 'Economics', 5 th edition, London: McGraw-Hill. Bernard, V. (1986), 'Unanticipated Inflation and the Value of the Firm', Journal of Financial Economics, 15, pp. 285-321. Berry, M., Burmeister, E., and McElroy, M. (1988), 'Sorting out Risks Using Known APT Factors', Financial Analysts Journal, March-April 1988, pp.29-43. Bhandari, L. (1988), 'Debt - Equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence', Journal of Finance, 43, pp. 507 - 529. Bong - Soo Lee (1992), 'Causal relations among stock returns, interest rates, real activity and inflation', Journal of Finance, 46, 4, pp. 1591 - 1603. Boudoukh, J., Richardson, M., and Whitelaw, R. (1994), 'Industry returns and the Fisher effect', Journal of Finance, 49, 5, pp. 1595 - 1615. Breeden, D. (1979), 'An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities', Journal of Financial Economics, 7, pp.256-296. Brown, P., Kleidon, A., and Marsh, T. (1983), 'New evidence on the nature of size - related anomalies in stock prices', Journal of Financial Economics, 12, pp.33-56. Burmeister, E., and Wall, K. (1986), 'The Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Macroeconomic Factor Measures', The Financial Review, Feb. 1986. Burmeister, E., and McElroy, M. (1987), 'APT and multifactor asset pricing models with measures and unobserved factors: Theoretical and econometric issues', Discussion paper, Department of Economics, University of Virginia and Duke University. Burmeister, E., and McElroy, M. (1988), 'Joint estimation of factor sensitivities and risk premia for the APT', Journal of Finance, 43, 3, pp. 721 - 733.

Transcript of Air Industry Overview, (1995), Standard Poor's Industry ...978-1-4757-6441-3/1.pdf · Lintner, J....

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References:

Air Industry Overview, (1995), Standard & Poor's Industry Surveys, http://www.library. upenn.eduJresources/databases/aboutiSandPIndSur.html

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INDEX OF AUTHORS

Akaike, H: 50, 64, 69 Alexander, G: 14,34 Arditti, F: 15 Bailey, J: 14,34 Ball, R: 11,95, 145 BaneIjee, A: 70 Banz,R: 10,84,85,94, 102, 118, 145

Basu,S: 10, 11,94,95,96, 145 Begg, D: 8 Bernard, V: 130 Berry, M: 129 Bhandari, L:ll, 95, ll8, 145 Bong - Soo Lee: 144 Boudoukh, J: 22 Breeden, D: 115, 144 Brown, P: 97, 118 Burke, T: 15 Burmeister, E: 12

Campbell, J, Y: 128 Capaul, C: 128 Carleton, W: 84,86 Chan, K: 130 Cban,L: 10,95,97, 118 Chen, N: 12, 13,71, 106, 107, 109, 114, 115, 116,117,118, ll9, 131, 132, 137, 138, 139, 144, 145, 152 Damodaran, A: 12, 107 Dickey, D: 50, 70, 73 Dolado, J: 70 Dornbusch, R: 8 Dumas, B: 131, 138 Engerman, M: 14 Engle, F: 73 Eun, C: 22 Fabozzi, F: 77, 128 Fama, E: 7, 10, II 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 102, 107, 109, ll8, 119, 125, 145, 152 Ferson, W: 15,22, ll8, 131, 132, 137, 138, 139 Fisher, S: 8 Francis, C: 77 Francis, J: 128 French, K: 10, ll, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 102, 118, 118, 125, 145, 152 Fuller, W: 50,70,73 Galbraith, JW: 70 Gallant, A: 62 Gibbons, M: 87

Granger, C: 73 Griffiths, WE: 57, 58, 62 Gultekin, M, N: 139 Gultekin, M: 128 Gultekin, N: 128 Gyourko, J: 78 Hamao, Y: 95, 97, 107, 118, 128, 132, 138, 144 Hardouvelis, G.: 110, ll8 Harris, R: 50 Harvey, C: 118, 131, 132, 137, 138, 139 Hendry, DF: 70 Hill, R C: 57, 58, 62 Hsieh, D: 130 Isimbabi, M: 106 Jacobs, J: 2 Jaffe, J: 97 Jones, C: 4, 16, 17, 18 Jordan, D: 106, 107, 114, 115, 131, 137, 138,144 Judge, G G: 57, 58, 62 Kane, E: 78 KaYUssanos, M G: 4, 128, 162 Keirn, D: 15 Keneth R.: 10,95 King, B: 8,9,15,128

Kleidon, A: 97, 118 Lakorushok,J: 10,145 Lanstein, R: 10,95 Lee, T C: 57, 58, 62 Levy, R: 75, 84 Lintner, J: 9,73,76 Lucas, R: 115, 144 Lutkepohl, H: 57, 58, 62 MacBeth: 107 MacKinnon, J G: 50

Magnus, J R: 62

Marcoulis, S N: 4,128, 162 Marsh, T: 97, 118 Martinez, A: 13, 107, 118, 144 McElroy: 12

Nerlove, M: 15, 128 Neuberger, J: 15,78 Pearce, D: 144 Penati, A: 139

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Pindyck, R: 52, 55, 97 Poon, S: 13,68, 106, 107, 109, 110, 114, 115, 118, 130, 132, 138, 144 Porter, M: 19 Rail Industry Overview: 28 Reid, K: 10, 95 Reinganum, M: 10, 11,84,85,94,95, 145 Resnick, B: 22

Resourses for the Future: 30 Richardson, M: 20 Roley, V: 144 Roll, R: 10, 12, 13, 14, 71, 94, 106, 107, 109, 114,115,116,118,119,128,144,152 Rosenberg, B: 10, 16,95, 145 Ross, S: 12, 13, 14, 71, 106, 107, 109, 114, 115, 116,118, 119, 144, 152 Rouwenhorst, K,G: 128

Rowley, I: 128 Rubinfeld, D: 52, 55, 98 Rubinstein, M: 144 Rubio, J: 13, 107, 118, 144 Saunders, A: 15, 106 Schwarz, G: 50, 69 Shapiro, A: 10,94,145 Sharpe, VV:9, 14,34,73,76 Sirnanoff, D: 34

Smith, A: 1 Solnik,B: 131,138

Stambaugh, R: 87 Stattman, D: 10, 95, 145 Stoll, H: 95 Stopford, M: 1 Taylor, S J: 13, 68, 106, 107, 109, 114, 115, 118, 130, 132, 138, 144 The Jones Act Reform Coalition Report: 24 Theil, H: 87 Thierer, A: 29 Transportation Industry Study Report: 24, 25,27,28,32 Unal, H: 15,78 VVall, K: 12

VVasserfallen, VV: 13, 110, 116, 118, 130, 131,139,144 VVeiss, R, A: 128 VV esterfield, R: 97 VVhaley, R: 95 VVhitelaw, R: 22 Yourougou, P: 15, 106 Zellner, A: 58, 60, 61 Ziobrowski, A: 138 Ziobrowski, B: 138

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INDEX OF SUBJECTS

Air Freight: 26 Air Transport Association: 26 Air Transportation: 5, 21, 24, 25, 26, 35, 37, 40,75,87,89,91,98,99,100, 101, 102, 103, 111,112,113,114,115, 116, 117,120,122, 124,125, 126, 141, 142, 143, 144,145,147, 156, 157 Airlines: 25, 26, 27, 30, 40, 136 Akaike: 50, 64, 69, 135 Alpha: 77, 78,79,80,81,82,83,84,85,86, 87,88,97, 141, 142, 143, 147, 148, 149, 150, 152, 161 Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT): 12, 13 ARl~A:43,63,64,65,68,69, 130 ARMA: 64, 69, 70, 134, 135 Asset Returns: 9, 131, 139 Asset Risk: 9, 73, 76 Asset To Book Ratio: 93, 94, 96,102,103, 104,118,119,125, 126 Asset Values: 68, 71 Augmented Dickey Fuller (AD F) Tests: 50, 63,70,73 Autocorrelation Coefficients: 47, 64, 69, 70 BARRA: 14, 16, 152 BEIME Ratio: 10,94,95 Bear ~arket Conditions: 5, 56,72,75,77, 83,84,92,141,147 Beta: 5, 141, 142, 143, 146, 147, 148,149, 150,152, 160, 161 Book Leverage: 11, 149

Book to ~arket Ratio: 7 Book Value of Equity: 5, 10, II, 145, 148, 149,152, 153, 161 Box-Pierce Q-statistic: 133, 134 Bulk Shipping: 2 Bull ~arket Conditions: 5, 56, 72, 75,77,83, 84,92,141,147 Business Cycle: 13, 14

Cabotage Laws: 24, 25 Capital Asset Pricing ~odel (CAP~): 5, 9, 73,75,76 CAP~: 5,9, 10,66,73,75,76,77,79,80, 81,82,83,84,87,88,91,98,99,100,101, 104,111,112,114,116,117,120,122,126, 127,141,146, 157, 158, 159, 160, 162 Cash Flows: 12, 18, 107, 108, 131, 150, 159, 160 Chemical Industry: 32

Coefficient of Variation: 43, 45, 73 Company Analysis: 8 Consumption Prices: 69,70

Contemporaneous: 134 Corporate Bonds: 13 Country effects: 128

Credit risk: 129, 130, 131, 132,137 Crude Oil: 32 Cyclical Industry: 34 DataStream: 67, 68, 69, 74,132 Default Risk: 12 Department Of Defense: 27

Department of Transportation: 26 Deregulation: 24, 26, 28

Diversified Portfolio: 15,75, 162 Dividends: 12,67,76, 108, 109, 133 DOT: 26 Durbin-Watson (DW): 54

EIP Ratios: 11, 95

Earnings to Price (EIP) Ratio: 5, 14,51,68, 93,94,95,96, 103, 104, 118, 119, 125, 126, 142, 145, 148, 149 Earnings: 8, 10,23,68,95, 127, 158 Economic Growth: 13, 33

Efficient market: 130 Electric Power: 31 Electricity Generation: 30, 31

Electricity Industry: 29, 30, 31, 41, 89, 91, 102, 112, 114, 117, 123, 124, 125, 153 Eurodollar deposit rate: 133 European ~onetary Union: 128

Excess ~arket Returns: 50, 55, 57, 59, 70

Exchange rates: 129, 130, 131, 133, 134, 135, 138, 140 Expensed Knowledge Investments: 20

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Fixed Capital Investment: 20

Fundamental Analysis: 7 Fundamental Factors: 14,94, 105 Gas: 5, 30, 32, 33, 35, 38, 41, 75, 87, 88, 89, 91,99, 100, 101, 102, 103, Ill, 112, 113, 115,116,117, 120, 122, 123, 124, 125, 136, 141,142,143, 144, 145, 147, 152, 153, 161 General Freight Carriers: 29 Generalized Least Squares (GLS): 56, 57, 58, 59,60,61

Global capital market integration: 128 Global exchange rates: 129, 131, 133 Global industrial output: 132 Global industry returns: 129, 132 Global Dlflation: 130, 131, 132

Global measures of Dlflation: 129

Global portfolios: 128 Global risk: 129, 130, 134, 136, 139

Global: 6, i3, 143, 153, 154, 155, 158, 161, 162 Gold Price: 14

Goodness of Fit: 54

Growth Stocks: 95, 96, 102, 125

Industrial Production: 5, 7,12,13,14,68,69, 70, 106, 107, 108, 109,110,114, 117, 118, 119, 123, 126, 129, 130, 131, 132, 133, 134, 135, 138, 140, 142, 144, 150, 152, 154, 161 Industry Analysis: 6, 8, 16, 18,36,66

Industry Classification: 6, 13, 14, 15,20,22, 106, 120, 143, 148 Industry Effect: 15, 16, 128

Industry Groupings: 13, 16, 22, 106 Inflation: 5, 7, 12, 13, 14, 34, 68, 69, 70, 71, 106,107,108,114,116,117,118,119,123, 124,126,127,129,131,133,134,139,140, 144,150,154,161 Interest Rates: 5,12,13, 14,68,70, 106, 107, 108,110,114,115,117,118, 123, 124, 126, 132,150, 155 International: 1,3,6,14,16,17,26,27,67, 72,74,79,80,81,82,85, 128, 129, 130, 131, 132,134, 135, 136, 137, 138, 139, 140, 143, 153,154,155 Internationalisation: 129

Leverage: 11,95,96, 102, 103, 125, 126, 149, 153 Liner Shipping: 2 Liquefied Petroleum Gas: 32, 38 Logaritlunic Returns: 44, 67

Maastricht Treaty: 128 Macroeconomic Factors: 3, 5, 6, II, 12, 13, 14, 16,34,51,66,93, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110,114,116,117,118,119,124,126,128, 130,131,135,139,140,142,143,144,146, 149,150,151,152,153,154, 155, 156, 161 Macroeconomic Model: 13 Major Industry Groups: 21 Maritime Cabotage: 24 Maritime Security Act: 25 Market Conditions: 1,5,56,72,75,77,78, 83,84,92,95,141,147 Market Leverage: 11,95,96, 102, 103, 125, 153 Market Portfolio: 49, 51, 76 Market Returns: 3, 1350,67,69,70,73,76, 78,95,96, 109, 119 Market Risk: 10,74,75,76,89,93,94, 106, 137,146 Market Value Of Equity: 5, 10, 11,92,93, 96, 103, 104, 118, 126, 145, 148, 149, 152 Mean: 4,43,44,45,46,47,48,49, 50,72, 73, 79 Microeconomic Factors: 5, 6, 7, II, 13, 14, 16,90,94,95,97,98,102,103,104, lOS, 106, 118, 119, 123, 124, 126, 142, 145, 146, 148, lSI, 156, 157, 161 ML Estimator: 53, 58, 60, 61

Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI): 129, 131, 132, 133, 139 Morgan Stanley: 6, 129, 132, 139, 154, 161

Motor Gasoline: 32 Motor Vehicles: 27, 28, 29 MSCI country returns: 131 MSCI Index: 129

MSCI World Index: 131, 133

Multifactor Model: 11, 12, 13, 14, 16,93, 98,99,100,101,106, Ill, 114, 116, 117, 118, 122, 126, 127, 139, 142, 143, 150, 156, 159, 160 Multivariate Least Squares (MLSQ): 43, 58, 60,63,87, 110, 112, 150

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National Energy Policy: 32, 33 Natural Gas: 33, 38

Non Transport Industries: 1 Non-systematic Risk: 9, 74, 76, 82 Oil Prices: 5, 7, 13, 14,33,51,64,68,69,70, 106,107, 108, llO, ll5, ll6, ll7, ll8, ll9, 124,126,129,130,131,132, 137, 138, 140, 142,144,150,151,152,153, 154, 156, 161 OLS Estimators: 52, 53, 60, 62, 63 One Month Treasury Bill: 50, 69, 72 Operating Differential Subsidy (ODS): 25 Ordinary Least Squares (OLS):52, 134 Passenger Trains: 27 Petroleum Products: 32, 33

Petroleum Refining Industry: 32, 33,91,92, 102, 103, 116, 124, 125, 126, 142, 156, 157 Portfolio managers: 140

Pricing: 3,4,5,9, ll, 12, 13,31,32,36,51, 73,75,76,79,106,107,109,115, 116, 124, 128, 137, 143, 162 Rail Transportation: 5, 27, 35, 75, 87, 88, 89, 91,92,98,99,100,101,102,103, 111,112, 113, ll5, ll7, 120, 122, 123, 124, 141, 142, 143, 144, 147 Railroad Industry: 28 Real Estate Industry: 15,34,35,42,75,78, 91,92,98,104, ll2, 113, 122, 123, 139,141, 142, 147, 149, 152 Real Estate: 5, 15,20,34,39,75,78,87,88, 89,91,92,98, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, III, 112,113,115,117,120,122,123,124,136, 141,142,143,144,147 Residual Risk: 10, 76

Resources For The Future: 30 Risk Free Rate: 51, 67, 73,133 Roll-onIRoIl-off (ROIRO): 25 S&P500: 15, 1776 Salomon Brothers: 13 Securities Exchange Commission: 97 Seemingly Umelated Regression Equations: 43,58,60

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Shipping Industry: 2, 23, 72, 91, 146, 160, 162 SIC Classification System: 6,22, 87, 107 SIC Codes: 21,22,40,41,4267 SIC System: 20, 21, 22, 36

Size Effect: 85 Solvents: 32 Specialised Carriers: 29 Standard Deviation: 15,43,45,73,78,86 Stationary: 50, 63, 64, 70, 73 Stock Returns: 1,5,6,7,8,9, 10, II, 12, 13, 14, 15, 18,20,43,46,74,75,90,91,93,94, 95,96, 103, 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 114, 115,116, ll7, 118, 119,123,124,125,126, 128,129, 130, 132, 137,138,139, 140, 143, 147,148,150,151, 152, 153, 154, 155, 157, 162 Subsidy Program: 25

SURE: 43,58,60, 61, 62, 63,87, 97, 104, 110, 120, 148, 152 Systematic Risk: 5,9,15,51,74,75,76,82, 84,86,87,88,90,91,92,92,98, 104, 112, 123,147,149,160, 162 Technical Analysis: 7

Technological Change: 19 Term Structure: 5, 12,68,69,70, 106, 107, 108,110, ll4, ll5, 117, 118, 119, 124, 126, 132, 142, 144, 150, ISS The Jones Act: 24, 25

The Market: 3,4,5,7,9, 10, II, 12, 13, 14, 17,18,19,31,33,43,46,49,50,66,67,71, 73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,87,88,89,91, 93,96, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 112, 113, 116,117,118,122,123,126,127,139,148, 149, 150, 152, 157, 160, 161 The Media General Financial Weekly: 22 Tokyo Stock Exchange: 138 Total Asset Risk: 73, 76 Total Assets: 11,29, 142, 152 Trading Activity: 14 Transnational: 6 Transportation Industry: 1,2,5,6,21,23, 24,25,26,27,28,35,36,40,66,67,71,73, 74,75,78,83,84,87,88,89,90,91,92,98, 102,103,104, ll2, 113, 116, 117, 122, 123, 124,125,126,137,141,142,143,146,147, 148,149,150,151,152,153,156,157,158, 161

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Treasury Bill Rate: 133

Trucking Industry: 28,29,98, 115, 124 Unanticipated Changes: 5, 51, 68, 69, 70, 109,110,114,115,116,117,118,119,124, 126,138,142, 144,150, 154, Value Line Investment Survey: 22 Value of Stocks: 4, 93 VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive): 57 Variance: 45,46,47,48,50,52,53,55,56, 57,59,61

Water Transportation Industry: 1,2, 5, 6, 21, 24,35,36,66,71,73,74,75,78,83,84,86, 87,88,89,90,91,92,98,99, 100, 101, 102, 103,104, Ill, 112, 113, 116, 117, 122, 123, 125, 12~ 141, 142, 143, 146, 147, 148, 14~ 150, lSI, 152, 153, 156, 157, 158, 160, 161 White Noise: 50, 64, 96, 110, 119, 134 Working Capital: 20, 158

World economy: 129,140 World equity index: 131, 133, 134, 139 Yield: 9, 13,50,57,60,76,77,83,84,139