Air conditioning and refrigeratioin trends edited - MCE 2014
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Transcript of Air conditioning and refrigeratioin trends edited - MCE 2014
Global AC Trends
MOSTRA, March
2014
Anette Meyer
Holley
2 Excellence in Market Intelligence 2
AC Global trends
Critical
Very Certain
Energy Efficiency and
renewables
Market Globalization &
Industry consolidation
Refrigerants
VRF vs. Chiller
Market Drivers
Joint Ventures
And Alliances
European Economy
Market Restraints
Emerging
Countries Material
cost
Chinese
growth
slowdown
Smart
buildings
smart homes
Legislation
Ventilation/
DOAS
US recovery
3 Excellence in Market Intelligence
World air conditioning market, 2011-2016
Value (US$m)
Volume (units)
Total 2013:
117.2 million units
Total 2013:
US$89.9 billion
3
4 Excellence in Market Intelligence 4
Global minisplit market
Top 10 countries in Europe in 2013 by units
(number of pieces)
5 Excellence in Market Intelligence 5
AC VRF market
World market for VRF from 2011 to 2016
in units (number of pieces)
Top 10 countries in the world market VRF in
2013 by units (number of pieces)
Top 10 countries in Europe in 2013 by units
(number of pieces)
6 Excellence in Market Intelligence 6
AC Chiller market
World Market for chillers from 2011 to
2016 in value (US$m)
Top 10 countries in the world market for
chillers in 2013 by value (US$m)
Top 10 countries in Europe for chillers in
2013 by value (US$m)
7 Excellence in Market Intelligence
The Italian Chiller market
7
8 Excellence in Market Intelligence
The Italian Packaged Market
8
9 Excellence in Market Intelligence
AC growth rate in Europe, 2013
9
12% -5%
-1% 1%
10 Excellence in Market Intelligence
World fastest growing markets, CAGR 2012-17
10
Warm spots >10-20% growth
Cold spots <0% growth
Hot spots >20% growth
India
Indonesia
Russia
Columbia
Chile
Nigeria
Brazil
Venezuela Vietnam
Australia
Turkey Japan
World Refrigeration
– 2011-2016
MOSTRA,
MARCH 2014
Anette Meyer
Holley
12 Excellence in Market Intelligence
The Output
12
13 Excellence in Market Intelligence
Definitions and double counting
13
compressors OEM – no
double count
Condensing
units
Racks/packs
Evaporator &
refrigeration
units
Heat
exchangers
OEM/local ref companies buying
from OEM outside
country – no
double count
Double
counting
no double
count
Double
counting
14 Excellence in Market Intelligence
Global drivers
14
Importance
Degree of Adoption
low
high
med
high
med
• In EU countries supermarkets and energy efficiency are key
• In India, China and Brazil, improving the food chain is a main driver
EU Legislation/
Outlawing of R22;
Directive 2009/125/EC on
Ecodesign1 a framework
for energy reduction
Supermarkets –
Energy Efficiency/
Green credentials
Improve food
chain/avoid
waste
Discount
stores – Lidl,
Aldi etc.
Smaller
supermarkets
Design
Reliability
Quick
installation
Price of
Copper
Reduce noise
levels
Inverters
15 Excellence in Market Intelligence
Overview by country & product, by volume (units)
15
Total 2012: 19,287,606 units
20%
24%
3%
5% 6%
11%
5% 4%
22%
16 Excellence in Market Intelligence
End user sectors
16
• Food manufacturing, food distribution and storage and food retailing/ etc
account for the bulk of refrigeration – approximately 75-80%
Pharmaceutical Petro-Chemical Marine Leisure Building services
17 Excellence in Market Intelligence
Growth in refrigeration, by product area,
by value, CAGR
17
2012 total: 31,034.5 US$ million
7.2%
6.8%
6.2%
5.9%
5.6%
5.4%
18 Excellence in Market Intelligence
Contact details
18