Air Cargo Panel Istanbul 2015 TURTRANS 173
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Transcript of Air Cargo Panel Istanbul 2015 TURTRANS 173
Alper AKBAŞ Project Coordinator
2015 TURTRANS 1732014 TURTRANS 045 PROJECT INTRODUCTION
CONNECTIVITY IS POWER
5th MOST CONNECTED CITY of theWORLD
WELCOME TO ISTANBUL
The Natural Hub of the World
1st Istanbul has the largest connectivity growth in last 5 years
Source: Master Card Global Destination Cities Index 2014, 2015
WHY AVIATION?
Why we need to focus on aviation?CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT
GLOBAL JOBS SUPPORTED IN THE WORLD58MTRILLION
GDP$2.4OF WORLD’S GDP%3.4
GLOBAL JOBS SUPPORTED IN THE WORLD 105MTRILLION
GDP $6
TODAYIN 20 YEARS
%4.1OF WORLD’S GDP
As the second largest inter-governmental organization with 57 states over the continents, There is no doubt that we are influenced by “Civil Aviation’s Economic Impact” intensely.
q
FINANCE
CONSTRUCTIONAUTOMOTIVE
AVIATION
$3.25$2.9 $2.3
$1.4
$3.25$1 =CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - Multiplier Effect
Industries’ GDP ContributionsCIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT
1971 2031
1965 2030
Air Transportation Center of Gravity is shifting into the Islamic World.
Are we ready to embrace it and benefit from it?
?
CENTER OF GRAVITY - AVIATION & ECONOMY
Source:AirbusGMF2012&OxfordEconomics
Shift in Air Traffic Center of GravityBetween 1971-2031
Shift in Economic Center of GravityBetween 1965-2030
10% increase in global connectivity
$55 billion increasein global outputs each year
If global airport capacity fails to keep up with
travel demand
2 million jobs, 225 million pax, $110
billion revenue will be lost by 2035
If aviation were a country,
it would rank 21st in size by GDP
Why we need to focus on aviation?CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT
What happensIf the demand&supply equilibrium
of aviation / airports fails
?
8.7 MillionsDIRECT EMPLOYMENT
470 KAIRPORT OPERATORS5% 58.1
Supported Total Employment
MILLION
AIRLINES2,3 Million 26%
ANS195 K2%
Production & AeroSpace1,2 Million14%
OTHERS
CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
8.7 MillionsDIRECT EMPLOYMENT
470 KAIRPORT OPERATORS5% 58.1
Supported Total Employment
MILLION
AIRLINES2,3 Million 26%
ANS195 K2%
Production & AeroSpace1,2 Million14%
OTHERS
%26Airline
%5Airport
Operators
%16ANS
+Producers
%53 ?
%47
CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
8.7 MillionsDIRECT EMPLOYMENT
470 KAIRPORT OPERATORS5% 58.1
Supported Total Employment
MILLION
53%4,6 MILLIONS
AIRLINES2,3 Million 26%
ANS195 K2%
Production & AeroSpace1,2 Million14%
OTHERS
%26Airline
%5Airport
Operators
%16ANS
+Producers
%53 ?
%47
AIRPORTS OTHER
CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
More than 55 Countries%70 of International Destinations
with Narrow Body
ISTANBUL
Global Connectivity Development (2014-2016) - İstanbul vs. Major European Hubs
*Number of Direct Destinations (2014-2016)
Natural HubsAre they enough to achieve more?
OR ?Do we have
to improve the processes?
Do we have to / can we create Artificial Hubs?
Because…..!
39 of 47 Aviation Mega Cities are schedule- constrained today.
IATA WSG level 3: airports where conditions make it impossible to meet demand IATA WSG level 2: airports with potential for congestion IATA WSG level 1: airport infrastructure is adequate
In The Islamic GeographyLeading Hubs and their feeders are already congested
!IATA WSG level 3: airports where conditions make it impossible to meet demand
Türk Hava Kurumu ÜniversitesiSivil Havacılık ve İstihdam
EUROCONTROL: Challenges of Growth, 2013
With foreseen expansion planning taken into account, it is predicted that:
• 12% of demand will be unaccommodated• 1.9 million flights • 237 million passengers
EUROPEAN AIRPORTS2035
Türk Hava Kurumu ÜniversitesiSivil Havacılık ve İstihdam
EUROCONTROL: Challenges of Growth, 2013
With foreseen expansion planning taken into account, it is predicted that:
• 12% of demand will be unaccommodated• 1.9 million flights • 237 million passengers
EUROPEAN AIRPORTS
If global airport capacity fails to keep up with
travel demand
2 million jobs, 225 million pax, $110
billion revenue will be lost by 2035
$110 BillionLOST
2035
Capacity Building in Airports
Measuring and Benchmarking of “PMPI (Passenger Movement Performance Index)”
among the OIC countries.
2014 045
TURTRANS
160 More than 160 face to face surveysamong departure passengers
398Passenger Reviews analyzedon skytrax.com
1200 More than 1200Observed and measured passengers
DURINGall study visits
6 COUNTRIES , 6 STUDY VISITS, 6 MEETINGS
BENCHMARK SCALE
AIRPORT IATA CODE BENCHMARK SCORE
HAMAD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DOH 82DUBAI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DXB 80
KUALA LUMPUR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT KLIA 79KUWAIT INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT KWI 78ATATÜRK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IST 77
SOEKARNO-HATTA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT CGK 72
0 1005025 75
PMPI SCORES
PMPIPASSENGER MOVEMENT PERFORMANCE INDEX“
“
According to ACI, the five measures of airports’ performance are:
• Passengers • Origination and destination passengers, • Aircraft movements, • Freight or mail loaded/unloaded • Destinations (non-stop)
And today airports are the performance indicators of cities, countries and ECONOMIES…
Freight is importantbecause…
$ 3 million
$ 15 million
Air Passenger Lines Air Cargo Lines
1 Frequency per week
Airports are more important than everbecause…
1/3 of World Population4 Hours Flight
2/3 of World Population8 Hours Flight
916 millionsExport Market
Population
25 CitiesP > 10 millions
149 CitiesP > 1 millions
Direct Connection
Non GVC Trade GVC TradeGVC and non-GVC trade in goods and services, 1995 and 2011, billion USD. Source: IATA Value of Air Cargo, December 2016
NEW TREND OF GLOBAL TRADE :GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS
GVC GVCs are complex, interlinked networks of cross-border and domestic flows of goods, services, and factors of production (capital, including knowledge capital,
and labor).
KEEPING THE CENTER OF GRAVITY
21Passenger TrafficINCREASE
Air Cargo TrafficINCREASE
Passenger Flow Cargo Flow
2014TURTRANS045 2015TURTRANS173
Assessment and Enhancement of Air Cargo Interconnectivity
2015
173TURTRANS
Assessment and Enhancement of Air Cargo Interconnectivity Among the OIC Member States:
The Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach (ACCMA) to Facilitate INTRA- OIC Trade.
35% Air transport carries around 35% of world trade by value.
$Value of cargo handled by air 6.4Trillion
TOTAL AIR FREIGHT TRAFFIC GROWTH Airbus GMF 2015
Co-Modality Approach: ““efficient use of different modes on their own and in combination”
Intermodal / Multimodal Transport: “movement of goods in one and the same loading unit or road vehicle, which uses successively two or more modes of transport without handling the goods themselves in changing modes” (train or ocean is obligatory)
Combined Transport: “intermodal transport where the major part of the European journey is by rail, inland waterways or sea and any initial and/or final legs carried out by road are as short as possible”
2006
Befo
re
Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach:““efficient use of different modes on their own and in combination”where the main mode is Air Cargo Transportation.
2016
To consolidate air freight (collected from catchment area) in an air cargo hub,
To convey the consolidated higher amount of freight via long or medium haul flights operated by all cargo carriers or combined carriers to other regional airports or to
other hubs in order to deploy to ending nodes.
Air Cargo Hub and Spoke System fed by all transportation modes
THE METHODOLOGY - I
Desk Based Studies
• Detailed Analysis of air cargo flows and data: traffic, trade, capacity, commodities• State-of-Affairs & Due Diligence • Determination of the airports with high potential and strong catchment area
METHODOLOGY
Study Visits
• Malaysia• Indonesia• Tunisia• Mozambique
Cooperation Meeting in Istanbul
• Share of findings• Participation of study countries• Cargo Facility Visits (THY & MNG)
Final ReportOnline Tools
0 5025
To provide an assessment and due-diligence of “Air Cargo Inter-Connectivity” level of OIC airports and world airports for comparison via
“Air Cargo Interconnectivity Index”,
To identify some of the most appropriate locations among OIC member states for the purpose of establishment of air cargo hubs and logistic
centers in the context of Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach,
To identify the challenges apropos regularity framework of air cargo transportation among OIC member states, and by doing so to facilitate the
establishment of air cargo logistic centers,
EXPECTED OUTPUTS
0 5025
To develop practical recommendations regarding regularity framework by the preparation of an example “Multi-Literal Agreement” in order to create a collaboration platform opportunity among member states.
To increase the awareness of decision makers of commercial entities recorded in member states about the existence of potential air cargo
logistic centers.
EXPECTED OUTPUTS
The ultimate aim of the project is to create a common collaboration and cooperation platform among OIC member states and relevant commercial
entities on air cargo transportation.
Opportunity for A New Cooperation and Collaboration Platform
Increase in Air Cargo ConnectivityIncrease in Intra-OIC and OIC Trade
A new revenue source for airports
A COMMON COLLABORATION PLATFORM BECAUSE…
Gravity Center of Air Trade
Gravity Center of Air Transport Capacity
Tunisia
Mozambique
Malaysia
Iran
Study CountriesGravity Centers
Mozambique is of crucial importance with respect to its geo-strategic location and potential for growth.
Recent decades in Mozambique witnessed significant projects of transportation infrastructure.
In par ticular ly, the Development Corridors of Mozambique and the Nampula Region (which has a brand new and modern airport, Nacala Airport) has been discussed in the case study.
It is believed that any support given to Mozambique with respect to air cargo transportation will result in high benefits for the country and for intra-OIC trade.
Boeing GMF, 2015
Boeing GMF, 2015
Newly established Enfidha Hammamet International Airport and Express Air Cargo company have remarkably increased the potential of Tunisia.
In addition to this, the ongoing port construction in Enfidha is another opportunity to boost air cargo traffic of Tunisia.
This developments in Tunisia will make it possible to consolidate air cargo among Africa continent.
A collaboration between Tunisian and OIC Member States air freight carriers is believed to result in high benefits in short term.
Tunisia
Malaysia have proven its proficiency in civil aviation among the recent decades. In particularly, the recent project of “Aeropolis” is one of the world’s most outstanding aviation projects.
The know-how of Malaysia which is one of the most collaborative member states can play a catalyst role in the development of other OIC Member States.
“Aeropolis Project” will be elaborated in the case study section of the final project report, with precious support of Malaysia Airports Holding.
It is believed that it is a very important example for other member states which are planning to establish efficient logistics centers.
TIME FOR FIGURES(15 minutes of presentation apropos of findings
via Tableau Software)(Not included in PDF copy)
THIS RESULT CAN BE ONLY ACHIEVABLE WITH OUR
COLLABORATION and COOPERATION
Increase in Air Cargo ConnectivityIncrease in Intra-OIC and OIC Trade
A new revenue source for airports
WE NEED TO COLLABORATE…
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
ALPER AKBAŞProject Coordinator
THANKYOU
www.aviationportal.org