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    This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States

    Agency foal Development.

    January, 2011

    This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States

    Agency for International Development.

    January, 2011

    This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States

    Agency for International Development.

    January, 2011

    PERCEPTIONS OF THE

    PERCEPTIONS OF THE

    INVESTMENT CLIMATE FOR

    AGRIBUSINESS IN

    ZIMBABWE: 2011

    CONTRACT NO. EDH-I-15-05-00004-00

    TASK ORDER EDH-I-15-05-00004-00

    August 2011

    This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development.It was prepared by Mr David Irwin under subcontract of IMANI to DAI.

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    INVESTMENT

    CLIMATE FOR

    AGRIBUSINESS IN

    ZIMBABWE: 2011

    CONTRACT NO. EDH-I-00-05-00004-00

    TASK ORDER EDH-I-15-05-00004-00

    FinalforUSAIDApproval

    ProgramTitle: ZimbabweAgriculturalCompetitivenessProgram(ZimACP)

    SponsoringUSAIDOffice: USAID/Zimbabwe

    ContractNumber: EDHI00050000400

    Contractor: DAI

    DateofPublication: August2011

    Author:

    DAI

    The authors views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the

    United States Agency for International Develo ment or the United States Government.

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    Contents

    1. SUMMARY ..................................................................................... 52. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 7

    3. ENABLING ENVIRONMENT ASSESSMENTS ...................................... 7

    4. RATIONALE FOR THIS STUDY.......................................................... 95. METHODOLOGY ........................................................................... 96. NATIONAL VIEW .......................................................................... 107. REVIEW BY SECTOR ...................................................................... 228. REVIEW BY BUSINESS SIZE ............................................................ 269. REVIEW BY LOCATION ................................................................. 2710. COST OF RED TAPE ..................................................................... 37

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    5

    Business leader perceptions of the investment

    climate for Agribusiness in Zimbabwe: 2011

    1. Summary

    ThisreporthasbeenpreparedtohighlightthefactorsthatinhibitagribusinessesinZimbabwe

    fromachievingitsfullpotentialincreatingjobsandwealth.Itfocusesontheperceptionsof

    businessleaders,

    since

    investment

    decisions

    are

    based

    on

    perceptions

    of

    the

    environment

    and

    expectationsofhowitmightchange.Understandingthoseperceptionscanassistbusiness

    associationsandpolicymakerstofocusonthefactorsthatarecausingparticulardifficulties,so

    thereportalsosuggestsprioritiesforaction.Businessleaderswereaskedabout:

    Theenablingenvironmentfactorsthatareimportanttotheirbusiness;

    Thefactorsthatmakeitdifficulttodobusiness;

    Whetherarangeofpublicagenciesweresupportiveofbusiness;

    Theperceptionofwhetherand,ifso,howbusinessassociationsareaddressingeach

    factor;

    Theirperceptionofwhetherand,ifso,howgovernmentisaddressingeachfactor;

    Theirviewofwhethereachfactorwouldbelikelytodeterfutureinvestment;

    Theirsatisfactionwiththelevelofpublicprivatedialogue

    Theirassessmentofthecostsinvolvedinmeetingtherequirementofregulationandred

    tape.

    Thefactorsthatmakeitdifficultforbusinessestogetonwithrunningandgrowingtheir

    businessarepower,allaspectsofcreditand,tosomeextent,waterandroads.

    Figure 1: Issues that cause difficulty weighted by importance

    Respondentsperceivebusinessassociationstobemakingsomeefforttoimproveallfactors.

    Therearecleargeographicaldifferences,however,withrespondentsinMaronderaandGweru

    thinkinglessoftheeffortsoftheassociations.Thereislittledifferenceinperceptionbetween

    respondentswhoaremembersofabusinessassociationandthosearenot.

    Respondentssimilarlyperceivethegovernmenttobemakingsomeeffortonmostissues,

    thoughnotonthecrucialissueofaccesstofinance.Again,therearegeographicaldifferences

    withrespondentsinMaronderaandGwerugenerallylesspositive.

    Respondentssaidthatnofactorcompletelydetersfurtherinvestment(score>2.5)butalsosaid

    thatnofactorencouragesiteither(score

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    6 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    deterrentarecredit(access,loanperiodsandinterestrates)followedbycorruptionandthen

    power.

    Figure 2: Factors which deter investment

    Again,therearegeographicaldifferences,withrespondentsinBulawayoleastpositiveabout

    investment.Thereareconsiderabledifferencesinperceptionwhensizeofrespondentsis

    considered,withrespondentsemploying15beingleastpositiveaboutinvestment.

    Mostrespondentsthinkthatthereshouldbemorepublicprivatedialoguepresumably

    hopingthatthiswillleadtoimprovementsintheenablingenvironment.

    Wehavepreparedanenablingenvironmentpriorityindexbasedonthelevelofdifficulty

    perceivedby

    respondents

    combined

    with

    their

    perception

    of

    effort

    being

    made

    by

    governmenttoaddresseachissue.Noteinthechartthatthehigherthescore,themore

    enablingthefactorandthelowerthenumber,themoredisablingthefactor.

    Figure 3: Enabling environment priority index

    Sotheprioritiesareaccesstocreditandpower,withcorruptionregardedasmuchlessofa

    priorityfor

    attention,

    though

    that

    is

    not

    to

    say

    that

    it

    can

    be

    ignored

    since

    it

    is

    an

    investment

    deterrent.Import/exportandbordersareperceivedverypositively.

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    7

    Apoorenablingenvironmentincreasescostsandreducescompetitiveness.Muchofthisis

    hardtoassess,butitispossibletolookatthespecificcostsofredtapeandlicensing.

    Respondentsestimatethattheyarespendingasmuchas10percentoftheirincomeon

    dealingwithregulationreducingthissignificantlywouldmeanbusinesseswouldbemore

    profitableandwouldthenbeabletoreinvestmoreoftheirearnings,perhapsevenreducing

    theneedtorelyonexternalfinancing,butcertainlyreducingtheirgearing,thusmakingit

    easier

    to

    raise

    finance

    when

    necessary.

    ThisisthefirsttimethatasurveysuchasthishasbeenundertakeninZimbabwe.Itishoped

    thatitwillbepossibletorepeatthisonaregularbasis,sincetherealvaluewillcomefrom

    lookingatthetrendsandinparticularwhetherprojectssuchasZimACPcanmakea

    difference.

    2. Introduction

    Thisreporthasbeenpreparedtohelpbusinessassociations(includingfarmersunions,

    commodityassociationsetc)andpolicymakerstounderstandbetterthebusiness

    environmentfaced

    by

    the

    agricultural

    sector

    in

    Zimbabwe.

    It

    has

    been

    commissioned

    by

    the

    ZimbabweAgriculturalCompetitivenessProgramTrust(ZimACP),a4.5year,USAIDfunded

    programme,whoseroleistoraisethelevelandqualityofprivatesectoradvocacyandthe

    effectivenessofpublicprivatedialoguewithintheagriculturalsectoraswellasdesigningand

    implementinginitiativestosupportagriculturalbusinessesinZimbabwetoimprovetheir

    competitivenessoverthelifeoftheprogramme.

    Itisnowcommonlyacceptedthatimprovementsintheenablingenvironmentleadtogreater

    levelsofinvestmentbytheprivatesector,morewealthandjobcreation,andultimatelymore

    povertyalleviation.1Improvingthebusinessenvironmentisnotalwayseasy.Itrequiresco

    operationanddialoguebetweenthepublicandprivatesectors.Tomakethebiggestimpact,

    governmentand

    business

    associations

    need

    to

    understand

    the

    needs

    of

    business

    and

    to

    prioritisethoseissueswhicharecausingthebiggestheadachesandwhicharemostlikelyto

    deterinvestment.Thepurposeofthisreportistocontributetothatunderstandingand

    debate.

    Itishopedthattheresultspresentedinthisreportwillstimulatediscussionaboutwaysin

    whichtheenvironmentcouldbeimprovedforfarmersandagribusinesses.However,itisalso

    intendedthattheresultsshouldprovideabaselinesothatZimACPcandeterminethelevelof

    improvementintheenablingenvironmentasperceivedbyfarmersandagribusinesses.From

    2012,comparisonstudieswillbeundertakentotrackperceptionsastheyreflectactionstobe

    takenbybusinessleaders.

    3. Enabling environment assessments

    Severalinternationalorganisationsprepareglobalbusinessenvironmentsurveys.Perhapsthe

    bestknownistheannualWorldBankDoingBusinessReport.

    InDoingBusiness2011,Zimbabweisranked157outof183countries,moreorlessatthe

    samelevelas2010and2009.Figure4showsZimbabwespositioncomparedtoasmall

    numberofothersubSaharancountries.InDoingBusiness2011,Mozambiqueranked126,

    Kenyaranked98,SouthAfricaranked34andMauritiusranked20.Somecountrieshave

    adoptedambitioustargetstoimprovetheirposition:Nigeria,forexample,isrankedat137in

    DB2011and

    aims

    to

    be

    in

    the

    top

    20

    by

    2020.

    1 See for example World Bank Doing Business reports (www.doingbusiness.org) and World Development Report 2005.

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    8 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Thereisaproblemwithusingrankingssinceacountrycanfallsimplybecauseothersmake

    moreeffortorcanrisesimplybecauseothersfail.Buttherankingsareusefulinthattheygive

    atleastsomeindicationofhowcountriesareperforming.

    Figure 4: Doing business rankings

    Source: adapted from World Bank Doing Business reports (2005-11)

    Table1showshowZimbabweranks(outof183countries)insomeoftheindividualareas

    anditcoulddobetterinallofthem.ItisworthnotingthatZimbabwefell30placesingetting

    creditin2010and30placesinenforcingcontractsin2011.Ifthereisanythingthatbusinesseslikelessthanapoorenablingenvironment,itisanunstableenablingenvironment,sincethis

    makesitsomuchhardertoplanahead.

    Table 1: Zimbabwe: Doing Business rankings

    2009 rank 2010 rank 2011 rank

    Ease of doing business (overall rank) 158 159 157

    Starting a business 164 145 143

    Dealing with construction permits 174 178 172

    Registering property 85 84 82

    Getting credit 84 113 128

    Paying taxes 157 130 131

    Enforcing contracts 77 78 110

    Sources: World Bank (2008) Doing Business 2009; World Bank (2009) Doing Business 2010: reforming through difficulttimes;World Bank (2010) Doing Business 2011: making a difference for entrepreneurs.

    WhilsttheWorldBanksworkisvaluabletopolicymakersinhighlightingareasworthyof

    reformandpromotingdebate,itdoesnotofferaholisticviewinthatitfocusesonanarrow

    selectionofindicators.Encouragingmorepeopletostartinbusinessortojointheformal

    economy,or

    encouraging

    more

    investment,

    will

    depend

    upon

    abroader

    perception

    of

    the

    easeofdoingbusinessthanthenarrowviewreportedinDoingBusiness.

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    9

    4. Rationale for this study

    WithorganisationssuchastheWorldBankandWorldEconomicForumundertakingresearch

    toassesstheproblemsfacedbybusiness,itmayseemthatthereisnoneedforfurther

    studies.Thisstudyisdifferent,however:

    Thisstudygathersandreportsontheperceptionsofbusinessleadersthemselves.People

    acton

    the

    basis

    of

    their

    perception

    of

    the

    environment

    (even

    ifthat

    is

    not

    wholly

    accurate)

    andtheirbestguessofwhattheenvironmentmightbelikeinthefuture. Itistherefore

    important,ifnotmoreimportant,forpolicymakerstounderstandtheperceptionsof

    businessleaders,inadditiontothemoreobjectivemeasuresofthebusiness

    environment.

    DoingBusinessdoesnotlookatspecificsectors,butthisresearchfocusesspecificallyon

    thefactorsthatareimportanttofarmersandagribusinesses.Also,unlikeDoingBusiness,

    itaimstoidentifygeographicaldifferences.

    Thereareawiderangeoffactorswhichtogethercomprisetheenablingenvironment,

    thoughnotallareimportanttoeverybusinessorsector.

    Thesurveynotonlyaskedaboutthefactorsthatareproblematicbutalso,unlikeother

    surveys,asked

    business

    leaders

    to

    identify

    the

    factors

    where

    business

    associations

    and

    the

    governmentareperceivedtobemakingapositiveeffort.

    Thesurveyhasattemptedtoquantifythecoststobusinessofmeetingtheregulatory

    requirementsimposedonthem.

    5. Methodology

    ThefieldworkwasundertakenduringMayand June 2011byJIMATDevelopment

    Consultants,aninternationaldevelopmentconsultancyfirmwithitsheadofficeinHarare,

    Zimbabwe.ThesurveywasconductedusingaquestionnaireoriginallydesignedbyDavidIrwin

    andmodifiedindiscussionswithZimACPtoreflectthelocalcircumstances.

    Thequestionnaire

    was

    pre

    tested

    by

    JIMAT.

    The

    questionnaires

    were

    administered

    face

    to

    faceandresultsforeachrespondenttranscribedintoaspeciallydesignedspreadsheet.

    Thesampleconsistedofbusinessleaders,orselfemployedbusinesspeople.Asamplingframe

    waspreparedtoprovideasamplepopulationgreaterthan385(togive,statistically,a95per

    centconfidenceleveland5percentprecisionassuminga50percentdegreeofvariability).

    WeestimatedapercentageforeachofthesixcommoditiescoveredbyZimACP(horticulture,

    cereals,legumes&oilseeds,livestock&meat,cottonandtreecrops)basedonFAOstatistics

    andonaconversationwiththeChiefEconomistattheMinistryofAgriculture,Mechanisation

    &IrrigationDevelopment.ThereisadesirebyZimACPtocoverthewholevaluechainsothe

    surveyalsocoveredinputandequipmentsuppliers,agroprocessorsandancillaryservice

    providers,

    such

    as

    banks,

    vets

    and

    trainers.

    Zim

    ACP

    works

    nationally,

    so

    was

    keen

    to

    cover

    at

    leastfiveareasinthesurveythough,tosimplifythelogisticsforthefirstsurvey,restrictedthe

    fieldworktoanareawithina60kmradiusofeachcity:Harare,Bulawayo,Gweru,Mutareand

    Marondera.Ideally,thegeographicsplitofthesampleshouldbebasedongeographic

    contributiontoGDPbutfiguresarenoteasilyavailable,sopopulationwasusedasaproxy;

    someagriculturalsectorsareconcentratedinoneortwogeographicareassothesplitwas

    adjusted.Wealsorecognisedthatfindingexactlytherightnumberofrespondentsforeach

    subgroupmightbechallenging,sothefieldteamusedthemasaguideratherthanbeing

    expectedtoachievetheexactnumbersinthesamplepopulation.

    Intheevent,thesamplepopulationcomprised390businessescoveringarangeofagricultural

    sectors,locationsandbusinesssizes.Thecompositionofthesampleisshownintable2.

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    10 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Table 2: Sample population composition

    By sector By commodity (farmers &processors)

    By number ofemployees

    Farmers 224 Cereals 72 0-5 62

    Processors 123 Cotton 74 6-50 244

    Total farmers & processors 347 Horticulture 66 51-100 37

    Input suppliers 25 Livestock 60 >100 39

    Ancillary service providers 18 Pulses & legumes 24

    Total sample 390 Mixed 51

    347

    By location By business association

    Harare 182 Member 220

    Bulawayo 63 Not member 170

    Gweru 70 Total 390

    Mutare 46

    Marondera 29

    Personaldetails

    of

    respondents

    were

    collected

    in

    the

    hope

    that

    we

    can,

    in

    the

    future,

    run

    this

    asapanelsurvey.However,allrespondentswereassuredthattheirresponseswouldbe

    treatedtotallyconfidentially.

    6. National view

    6.1 Factors important to business

    Inthefirstquestion,respondentswereaskedtoindicatewhichofarangeoffactorswere

    importanttothesuccessoftheirbusinessandthentoindicatewhethereachofthosefactors

    madedoingbusinessverydifficult,somewhatdifficult,hadroomforimprovementorwasnot

    aproblem

    at

    all.

    The

    reason

    for

    splitting

    the

    results

    is

    that

    it

    is

    quite

    possible

    for

    afactor

    to

    be

    importantamanufacturermightneedareliablesourceofelectricpowerforexampleora

    servicebusinessmightrelyoneffectivetelecommunicationsbutforthatfactornottocause

    problemspowerortelecommunicationsmightbereliablyavailable.

    Figure 5: Importance of factors (all respondents)

    Withtheexceptionofimport&exportregulationsandborders&airports,mostfactorswere

    seenasimportant.

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    11

    6.2 Factors which make business difficult

    Figure6showsthefactorsthatbusinessesperceivetomakelifedifficult.Thefactorsthat

    makebusinessverydifficultareaccesstofinance,power,loanperiodsandinterestrateson

    loans.

    Figure 6: Factors which make business difficult

    Itisnotalwayseasytoassimilatethedatawhenresponsesaresummarisedinthisway,sothe

    resultshavebeencodedbyallocatingascoreforeachresponseasfollows:1notaproblem;

    2

    could

    be

    improved;

    3

    makes

    doing

    business

    somewhat

    difficult;

    4

    makes

    doing

    business

    verydifficult.So,anaveragescoreof4wouldmeanthateveryrespondentthinksthatanissue

    makesbusinessverydifficultandanaveragescoreof1meansthateveryoneseestheissueas

    notaproblem.TheresultsaresummarisedinFigure7.

    Figure 7: Factors which make business difficult

    Ascan

    immediately

    be

    seen,

    access

    to

    finance

    and

    power

    are

    both

    regarded

    as

    making

    businessmorethansomewhatdifficult.Loanperiodsandinterestratesarenotfarbehindso

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    12 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    evenifabusinesscanaccessaloan,thetermsareseentomakebusinessdifficultaswell.

    Roadsandwaterarealsoseenasmakingbusinesssomewhatdifficult.

    InFigure8,thefactorswhichmakebusinessdifficultaredisaggregatedbymainactivity.For

    mostfactors,thereislittletochoosebetweenthedifferentgroupsofrespondents.Itisworth

    noting,however,thatserviceprovidersseemtohavethemostproblemwiththeenforcement

    ofcontracts.Theyalsohavethemostproblemwithroads.

    Figure 8: Factors which make business difficult

    InFigure9,thefactorsthatcausedifficultyhavebeenweightedbyimportancetothe

    respondent.Whilsttheoverallscoresareslightlylower,theresultsareverysimilar.Powerand

    accesstofinancemakebusinesssomewhatdifficult,withloanperiodsandinterestrates

    causingproblems.Borders&airports,import&exportregulationsandtradesunionsareseen

    asnotbeingproblematicatall.

    Figure 9: Issues that cause difficulty weighted by importance

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    13

    6.3 Public agencies

    Thereareanumberofpublicagenciesintendedtosupportbusiness(suchastheZimbabwe

    InvestmentCentre(ZIC)),ortoregulatebusiness(suchastheEnvironmentalManagement

    Authority(EMA))orhaveadifferentrole(suchaslocalauthoritiesandNationalIncomes&

    PricingCommission(NIPC)).Allimpactonbusinessinsomeway,sorespondentswereasked

    whethertheyfoundeachoffouragenciessupportive.Whilstnonescoredparticularlywell,itis

    interestingto

    note

    that

    more

    than

    20

    per

    cent

    of

    respondents

    saw

    the

    EMA

    as

    very

    supportive.

    Figure 10: Public agencies support business

    Aswith

    the

    assessment

    of

    which

    factors

    make

    doing

    business

    difficult,

    the

    responses

    were

    codedtogiveasinglescoreforeachagency.TheresultsareshowninFigure11andFigure12.

    ZimbabweInvestmentCentreandNIPCareperceivedtomakenodifferencewhilsttheEMA

    andlocalgovernmentareperceivedtobesomewhatsupportive.Itisinterestingtonote,

    however,thatinMarondera,theEMAisseenasmakingnodifferenceandtheotherthreeare

    allperceivedtobeunsupportive.

    Figure 11: Perception of public agencies support for business (by location)

    Perhapslesssurprisingly,thelargerabusiness,themorelikelytheyaretoseetheagenciesas

    supportive.Businessesemployingonetofivepeopleseearetheagenciesasmakingno

    difference,borderingonunsupportiveforNIPCandZimbabweInvestmentCentre.

    Figure 12: Perception of public agencies support for business (by size)

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    14 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    6.4 Business association performance

    Thetermbusinessassociationisusedtocoveranyassociationthatpurportsinsomewayto

    representbusinessesorindividualsinrelationtobusinessmatters,includingtrade

    associations,chambersofcommerce,farmersunionsetc.

    Weaskedrespondentswhethertheyperceivedbusinessassociationsweremakingeffortto

    addressthe

    different

    factors

    of

    the

    enabling

    environment.

    Theresponseswerecodedtogiveasinglescoreforeachfactor:anaveragescoreof4

    representsaperceptionthatbusinessassociationsaremakingtheissueworse;3suggeststhat

    thebusinessassociationsaremakingnoefforttoaddresstheissue;2suggeststhat

    associationsaremakingsomeeffort;and1suggeststhatassociationsaremakingarealeffort

    toaddresstheissue.

    Giventhatoneofthereasonsthatbusinessesjoinbusinessassociationsistoencouragethe

    associationtomakeadifference,onemighthaveexpectedasubstantialdifferenceinthe

    responsesofmembersandnonmembers.Itisinterestingtonote,therefore,thatthe

    differencesarefairlysmall,thoughmembersthinkmorehighlyofassociationsonmostfactors.

    Theresults

    for

    import

    &

    export

    regulations

    and

    borders

    &

    airports

    imply

    aperception

    that

    associationsaremakingarealefforttomakeadifference,butformostrespondentsthese

    factorsareunimportant.Onalltherest,associationsareseenasmakingsomeefforttomakea

    difference.

    Figure 13: Perception of business association effort to make a difference

    Thereislittletochoosebetweenresponseswhendisaggregatingbysector.

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    15

    Figure 14: Perception of business association effort to make a difference

    Thereseemstobelittledifferenceinresponsebetweencommodities(coveringbothfarmers

    andprocessors).

    Figure 15: Perception of business association effort to make a difference

    Whenwedisaggregatebylocation,however,wedoseesomedifferences.InMarondera,

    associationsare

    perceived

    to

    be

    making

    no

    effort

    on

    every

    factor

    (including

    borders

    &

    airports

    andimport&exportregulations).InGweru,associationsareperceivedtobealmostasbad.

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    16 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 16: Perception of business association effort to make a difference

    Whenwedisaggregatebysize,weseethatitisthesmallestbusinesseswhohavetheworst

    perceptionoftheeffortsmadebybusinessassociations.

    Figure 17: Perception of business association effort to make a difference

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    17

    6.5 Government performance

    Weaskedrespondentswhethertheyperceivedgovernmentwasmakingeffortstoaddressthe

    differentfactorsoftheenablingenvironment.Answersrangedfromthegovernmentis

    makingrealeffortstoaddresstheissue(coded1),throughsomeeffort(coded2),noeffort,

    (coded3)togovernmentactionsaremakingthisissueworse(coded4).So,anaveragescore

    of1wouldmeanthateveryrespondentthinksthatthegovernmentismakingarealeffortto

    addressthe

    issue

    and

    an

    average

    score

    of

    4would

    mean

    that

    every

    respondent

    thinks

    that

    the

    governmentismakingtheissueworse.

    Inallaspectsofcreditaccess,loantermsandinterestratesthegovernmentwasperceived

    tobemakingnoeffort.Foreveryotherfactor,however,thegovernmentwasperceivedtobe

    makingsomeeffort.Therearesomeresultstowhichattentionshouldbedrawn.Processors

    aremoreworriedthanotherbusinessesbytheavailabilityofskilledlabour,licensing&

    regulationandinvestmentregulation.Farmersaremoreworriedthanotherbusinessesby

    corruption,roadsandwater.

    Figure 18: Perception of government effort to make a difference

    Onceagain,therearesomestrikingregionaldifferences.BusinessesinMaronderaperceivethe

    governmentismakingnoeffortforeveryfactor,withtheleasteffortinbordersandairports.

    BusinessesinGweruhaveperceptionsthatarealmostthesame.BusinessesinBulawayo

    perceivethatleasteffortisbeingmadetoaddresstheissueofaccesstofinance.

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    18 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 19: Perception of government effort to make a difference

    6.6 Influence on investment

    Thenext,andpossiblythemostimportant,questionaskedrespondentswhichfactorswere

    likelytoinfluenceinvestmentdecisionsandhow(scored1:encouragefurtherinvestment;2:

    neitherencouragenordeter;3:deterfurtherinvestment).Nofactorwasseenasdefinitely

    deterringinvestment,thoughpowercomesclose,atleastforsuppliers,andloanperiods,at

    leastforserviceproviders.Corruptionalsodetersinvestment.

    Figure 20: Factors which affect investment decisions

    Thepictureismoremixed,however,whenwedisaggregatebycommodity.Livestockfarmers

    andprocessorsseemtobemostdeterredfrominvestment,particularlyworryingaboutpower,

    allaspectsofcreditandenforcingcontracts.Cottonfarmersandprocessorsaremostdeterred

    bycorruption,

    which

    they

    say

    does

    deter

    further

    investment.

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    19

    Figure 21: Factors which affect investment decisions

    ThereisalsoconsiderablegeographicvariationwithbusinessesinBulawayomostdeterred

    frominvesting.Theysaythataccesstofinance,loanperiodsandinterestrateswoulddeter

    furtherinvestment,thoughcorruptionsandenforcingcontractsarenotfarbehind.Businesses

    inGwerusaythatcorruptionwoulddeterfurtherinvestment.

    Figure 22: Factors which affect investment decisions

    Thereisconsiderablevariation,too,whenwedisaggregatebysizeofbusiness.Businesses

    employing15aredeterredfromfurtherinvestmentthemostparticularlybyallaspectsof

    credit,bycorruptionandbypower,thoughenforcingcontracts,roadsandtaxationareclose

    behind.

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    20 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 23: Factors which affect investment decisions

    6.7 Public Private Dialogue

    Publicprivatedialogueisimportantinensuringthatpublicandprivatesectorseach

    understandtheotherandthereisevidencethatgood,interactivecommunicationsmakea

    differenceinraisingthelevelofunderstanding.

    Soweaskedaquestionthathasnotgenerallybeenaskedinotherbusinessleaderperception

    surveys,thoughwasaskedinthemostrecentsurveyinNigeria.Specifically,weasked

    respondentswhethertheyweresatisfiedwiththelevelofdialoguebetweenthepublicsector

    andprivatesector.

    Only10percentofrespondentsaresatisfiedwiththelevelofpublicprivatedialogue.

    Figure 24: Satisfaction with level of public private dialogue

    Onemighthaveexpectedtheretobeabigdifferencebetweenrespondentswhoaremembers

    ofabusinessassociationandrespondentswhoarent.Interestingly,thereisaverysmall

    difference,though

    members

    are

    slightly

    more

    satisfied.

    It

    is

    not

    possible

    to

    draw

    conclusions,

    however,whetherthisisbecausethereisalowlevelofdialogueorthatassociationsarenot

    goodattellingtheirmembersaboutwhattheyaredoing.

    Figure 25: Satisfaction with level of public private dialogue

    Sothere

    are

    twin

    challenges

    here

    both

    to

    increase

    the

    amount

    of

    dialogue

    and

    to

    ensure

    that,

    thefactthatthereisregulardialogueiscommunicatedeffectivelytobusiness.

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    6.8 Enabling environment priorities

    Wehavepreparedanenablingenvironmentpriorityindexbasedonthelevelofdifficulty

    perceivedbyrespondentscombinedwiththeperceptionofhowthegovernmentisaddressing

    theissue.

    Thechartbelowshowsthecombinedviewsforalloftheissues.Notethatthescalehasbeen

    invertedand

    rebased

    so

    that

    afactor

    that

    causes

    the

    most

    difficulty

    for

    business

    and

    in

    which

    thegovernmentismakingtheproblemworsewillbeshownaszeroandafactorthatcauses

    theleastdifficultyforbusinessandinwhichthegovernmentismakingarealefforttoimprove

    thepositionisshownas100.

    Thisrevealsthatborders&airportsandimport&exportregulations,neitherofwhichare

    importanttomostrespondents,aredoingthebest.Thefactorsthatneedattentionareaccess

    tofinance,togetherwithloanperiodsandinterestrates,power,roadsandwater.Corruption

    comesnextbutisseenasratherlessofanissuethaninothercountrieswhereasimilarsurvey

    hasbeenundertaken.

    Figure 26: Enabling environment priority index

    Whilstitisdifficulttocombineallviewsintoasinglefigure,werecognisethathavingasingle

    figuremakesiteasytoseeataglancewhethertheprivatesectorperceivesthattheenabling

    environmenthasimprovedordeteriorated.

    Wehave

    therefore

    calculated

    asingle

    figure

    of

    65

    which

    compares

    favourably

    with

    the

    resultsofsurveysinothercountriesinsubSaharanAfrica,thoughthatisnottosaythatit

    couldbemuchbetter.

    Table 3: Enabling environment perception index

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    Zimbabwe 65

    Nigeria 62 60

    Tanzania 57 66 67 63

    Kenya 52 56

    Uganda 63 59

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    22 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    7. Review by sector

    7.1 Farmers & Processors

    Mostfarmersandmostprocessorsspecifiedthecommodityinwhichtheyspecialisedand,

    below,wehavelookedatthefactorsbycommoditytoexplorewhetherfarmersand

    processorssawthingsdifferentlydependingontheirprimarycommodity.Itshouldbenoted

    thatmostcommoditiesareconcentratedinspecificgeographicareas,sodifferenceswillnot

    necessarilybeduesolelytothecommodity.Figure27showstheoverallperceptionoffarmers

    andprocessors.Forfarmers,theissuethatcausesthemostdifficultyisaccesstofinance,

    followedbypowerandthenloanperiodsandinterestrates.Waterandroadsbothmake

    businesssomewhatdifficult.Otherissuesaremuchlessofaproblem.

    Thereseemstobeasignificantdifferencebetweenfarmersandprocessorsintheirviewofthe

    difficultycausedbyaccesstofinance,thoughitisstillthesecondbiggestproblemfor

    processors.Processorssaythatpoweristheirbiggestproblem.Whilsttheissuesarenotseen

    assevere,itisinterestingtonotethebigdifferencesinperceptionofdifficultycausedby

    licensing,investmentregulations,import&exportrequirementsandborders&airports.There

    isalsoabigdifferenceintheperceptionofdifficultycausedbysecurity.Noneofthese

    differencesis

    surprising.

    Figure 27: Factors which make business difficult

    7.1.1 Cereals

    Cerealfarmersandprocessorssaythatallaspectsofaccesstofinanceandpowerarethe

    issuesthatcausethemdifficulty.Roadscausethemsomedifficulty.

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    Figure 28: Factors which make business difficult for cereals

    7.1.2 Cotton

    Cottonfarmersandprocessorssayalsothatpowerandaccesstofinanceareproblems(though

    interestinglyloanperiodsandinterestratesseemtobelessofaproblem.Roadsaremorea

    problembuttheirbiggestissueiswaterthoughitshouldbestressedthatstillonlymakes

    businesssomewhatdifficult.Corruptionismuchmoreofaproblemforcottonfarmersand

    processors.Securityseemstobemuchlessofanissueforcottonthanforothercommodities.

    Figure 29: Factors which make business difficult for cotton

    7.1.3 Horticulture

    Horticulturefarmersandprocessorssaythataccesstofinancemakesbusinessverydifficult,

    withpower,interestratesandloanperiodsalsocausingdifficulty.Theyalsosaythatenforcing

    contractsisabigproblem.

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    25

    Figure 32: Factors which make business difficult for pulses & legumes

    7.2 Input suppliers

    Suppliersofinputsmayhaveabusinesswiderthansimplysupplyingtheagriculturalsector.

    However,theirproblemsarebroadlythesameasthoseoffarmersandprocessors.Thebiggest

    problemsarecausedbyaccesstofinance,loanperiodsandinterestrates.Powerand

    corruptionmakebusinesssomewhatdifficult.Tradesunions,health&safetyregulationsand

    theenvironmentalmanagementactbarelyfeatureasproblems.

    Figure 33: Factors which make business difficult for input suppliers

    7.3 Ancillary service providers

    Providersofancillaryservicesarealsolikelytobeprovidingservicestomorethanjustthe

    agriculturalsector.Thereseemstobemoredistinctionbetweenissuesthatareproblematic

    andissuesthatarenot,thoughtheproblemareasareverysimilar.Accesstofinanceandloan

    periodscausedifficulty,thoughinterestratesarethebiggestissue.Poweristhesecond

    biggestissue.Roadsmakebusinesssomewhatdifficultasdoestelecomsandtaxation.Trades

    unions,health&safetyregulationsandimport&exportregulationsdonotmakeany

    difference.

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    26 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 34: Factors which make business difficult for service providers

    8. Review by business size

    Respondentswereaskedtostatehowmanystafftheyemployed.Noteveryrespondent

    answeredthisquestion,butmostdid.

    Figure 35: Factors which make business difficult: by business size

    Analysingtheresponsesbybusinesssizeisinteresting.Theprevailingviewamongstdonors

    andpolicymakersisthatabadbusinessenvironmenthitssmallfirmsthehardest(because,

    forexample,theyrelymoreonexternalfinance,highcompliancecostsarespreadovera

    smaller

    revenue

    base

    and

    they

    are

    less

    likely

    to

    be

    able

    to

    take

    a

    stand

    say

    on

    corruption),

    but

    theseresultssuggestthatisnotthecase.Ofcourse,thismaybeduetothefactthatin

    Zimbabwemanysmallbusinessesdonotcomplywithregulationsanyway(meaningthatthe

    complianceburdenisminimal),andthatlargercompanieswithmorecomplexoperationsare

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    27

    morelikelytobecapitalintensive(meaningfinanceismoreofaconstraint)andaremorelikely

    torelyonports,theenforcementofcontractsetc.Itmayalsohavesomethingtodowithlevels

    ofawarenessexecutivesofbigcompaniesaremorelikelytohavetravelledtotheUSAand

    EuropeandwillthusbemoreawareofthelimitationsoftheZimbabweanbusiness

    environment.

    Thesmallestbusinesses,thatis,thoseemployingfewerthan5people,saythatthebiggest

    problemis

    caused

    by

    access

    to

    finance

    and

    they

    appear

    to

    have

    abigger

    problem

    with

    this

    thanlargerbusinesses.Theyhaveaproblemwithpoweraswellwhichalsomakesbusiness

    verydifficultthoughitisfirmsemployingmorethan100peoplewhosaytheyhavethe

    biggestproblemswithpower.

    Firmsemployingmorethan100alsohavethebiggestproblemswithtelecoms,labourlaw,

    import&exportregulationsandhealth&safetyregulations.

    Itseemsthatitisfirmsemploying51100peoplewhohavethemostproblemwithcorruption.

    Perhapsthemostinterestingobservationisthatfirmsemploying650findeveryfactor(except

    licensing&regulation,whichisnotabigproblem)aslessproblematicthanothersizesof

    business.

    9. Review by location

    Figure 36: Factors which make business difficult: by location

    ItseemsthatbusinessesinBulawayo,onthewhole,findthefactorsmoreproblematicthan

    businesseselsewhere.AccesstofinancemakesbusinessverydifficultinBulawayo.Theyhave

    thebiggestproblemwithloanperiods.BusinessesinBulawayo,however,haveleastproblem

    withtradesunions.

    PowercausesmoredifficultyforbusinessesinMarondera,butBulawayoisclosebehind.

    Businessesin

    Bulawayo

    have

    the

    most

    problem

    with

    roads

    and

    water.

    It

    is

    businesses

    in

    Gweru

    andMarondera,however,thatperceivemostdifficultywithcorruptionandlabourlegislation.

    Import&exportregulationsonlyseemtocauseaprobleminMarondera.

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    28 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    9.1 Harare

    InHarare,accesstofinanceandpowermakesbusinessdifficult.

    Figure 37: Factors which making business difficult

    Businessesseemtothinkthatbusinessassociationsaremakingsomeefforttoaddressmostof

    theissues.Theyarenotregardedasmakingnoeffortormakingtheissuesworse.

    Figure 38: Business association performance in addressing key factors

    Governmentisalsoregardedasmakingsomeeffortoneveryissueandisnotperceivedtobe

    makingnoeffort ortobemakingtheissuesworse.

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    Figure 39: Government performance in addressing key factors

    Itseems

    that

    businesses

    in

    Harare

    are

    not

    deterred

    from

    investment

    by

    most

    factors,

    though

    accesstofinance,especiallyinterestrates,isadeterrent.Powerandcorruptionarecloseto

    beingdeterrents.

    Figure 40: Factors which affect investment decisions

    9.2 Bulawayo

    Asnotedearlier,accesstofinanceandpowermakebusinessverydifficultinBulawayo.Roads

    andwatermakedoingbusinesssomewhatdifficult.

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    30 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 41: Factors which making business difficult

    BusinessesinBulawayothinkbusinessassociationsaremakingarealefforttoaddresstwo

    factors:import&exportregulationsandborders&airports.Otherwisetheythinkassociations

    aremakingnoeffort.

    Figure 42: Business association performance in addressing key factors

    Thereis,itseems,averysimilarviewofthegovernmentwhichisseentobemakingareal

    efforttoaddressimport&exportregulationsandborders&airports.Governmentisseento

    bemakingnoeffortonanyotherfactorthoughtheireffortstoaddressaccesstofinance

    comeinformostcriticism.

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    Figure 43: Government performance in addressing key factors

    InBulawayo,

    no

    factor

    encourages

    investment

    and

    it

    is

    deterred

    by

    access

    to

    finance

    with

    corruptionandinfrastructurecomingclosetobeingdeterrentsaswell.

    Figure 44: Factors which affect investment decisions

    9.3 Gweru

    InGweru,nofactormakesbusinessverydifficult,thoughcorruption,whichisthebiggest

    issue,power,

    roads,

    water

    and

    access

    to

    finance

    all

    make

    business

    somewhat

    difficult.

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    32 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 45: Factors which making business difficult

    Businessassociationsareperceivedtobemakingnodifferenceneithermakinganeffortto

    addresstheissuesnormakingtheissuesworse.

    Figure 46: Business association performance in addressing key factors

    Thepictureseemsslightlymoremixedwhenbusinessesareaskedabouttheirperceptionof

    howgovernment

    is

    addressing

    the

    issues.

    However,

    on

    average,

    government

    is

    seen

    to

    be

    makingnoefforttoaddressanyissue,butnorisitseentobemakingtheissuesworse.

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    Figure 47: Government performance in addressing key factors

    BusinessesinGweruaremorepositiveaboutinvestment,withtradesunions,health&safety

    regulations

    and

    telecoms

    encouraging

    investment.

    The

    only

    real

    deterrent

    is

    corruption.

    Figure 48: Factors which affect investment decisions

    9.4 Mutare

    ThefactorsthatcauseproblemsinMutareareaccesstofinanceandpower.

    Figure 49: Factors which making business difficult

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    34 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Businessassociationsareseenasmakingnoefforttoaddressanyissue,exceptforimport&

    exportregulationsandborders&airports.

    Figure 50: Business association performance in addressing key factors

    Figure 51: Government performance in addressing key factors

    Governmentisperceivedinasimilarway,makingnoefforttoaddressthebulkofissues.

    Whilst

    no

    factors

    would

    encourage

    investment,

    none

    would

    deter

    it

    either.

    Once

    again,

    though,itiscorruptionthatcomesclosesttobeingadeterrent.

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    35

    Figure 52: Factors which affect investment decisions

    9.5 Marondera

    InMarondera,powermakesdoingbusinessverydifficult.Corruptionheadsthelistoffactors

    thatmakesbusinesssomewhatdifficult,alongwithaccesstofinance,waterandroads.

    Figure 53: Factors which making business difficult

    Business

    associations

    are

    not

    seen

    to

    be

    making

    any

    effort

    to

    address

    the

    issues.

    They

    are

    seen

    lesspositivelythanineveryotherlocation.

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    36 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate

    Figure 54: Business association performance in addressing key factors

    Onceagain,viewsofgovernmentaresimilar.Thegovernmentisnotseentobemakingany

    issuesworse,

    but

    nor

    is

    government

    seen

    to

    be

    making

    any

    effort

    to

    address

    the

    issues.

    Figure 55: Government performance in addressing key factors

    Figure 56: Factors which affect investment decisions

    Thereisremarkableuniformitywhenitcomestolookingatwhichfactorswoulddeteror

    encourageinvestmentwithnofactormakingadifferenceeitherway.

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    37

    10.Cost of red tape

    Respondentswereaskedaboutthecostsofregulation:thedirectcostoflicensingincluding

    thecostofthelicencesthemselves,theeffectivecostthroughthestafftimerequiredto

    completepaperworkassociatedwithregulation,andtheeffectivecostthroughstafftimeof

    dealingwiththeenforcersofregulation.Respondentswereaskedtosayinwhichexpenditure

    bandtheybelievedthateachofthesecategoriesofcostfell.

    Figure 57: Cost of red tape and regulation

    Mostrespondentsestimatedthatthecostsofregulationwereinthebandof03percentfor

    eachofthethreecategoriesofexpense,thoughmanythoughtthattheywereconsiderably

    higher.Combiningthese,itseemsthatmostrespondentsspendaround11percentof

    turnoveronredtapeandregulation,thoughserviceprovidersandsuppliersthoughtthattheir

    costswerehigher.

    Figure 58: Cost of red tape and regulation

    Amongstfarmersandprocessors,thecostswerehighestforlivestockandlowestforcotton.

    Figure 59: Cost of red tape and regulation

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    Theproblemwithlicensingandregulationisthatitiseasytounderestimatethetruecosts.If

    abusinesssendsamemberofstafftorenewapermitorpayatax,andthepersonqueuesall

    day,thatcostmaynotbeaccuratelycapturedbythebusiness.Iftheownertakespaperwork

    homeandcompletesitintheevening,thereisagoodchancethatthecostwillnotbe

    captured.Andiftaxinspectors,say,cometothebusiness,causingdisruption,itislikelythat

    thecostoflostproductionwillnotbeadequatelycapturedeither.Sowhilstthecostsappear

    high,

    there

    is

    a

    good

    chance

    that

    they

    will

    actually

    be

    higher

    still.

    Gettingthisdownwouldnotonlymakebusinessesfeelthatthegovernmentwastryingto

    makeadifference,butwouldfreeupresourcesthattheycouldinvestedinexpandingtheir

    businessescreatingmorewealth,creatingmorejobs,becomingmoreprofitable,andthus

    payingmoretaxessoeverybodywins.