ZIMBABWE Da Cecil Rhodes a Mugabe. Zimbabwe Africa australe.
Agri-business leaders perceptions of the enabling environment in Zimbabwe 2011
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Transcript of Agri-business leaders perceptions of the enabling environment in Zimbabwe 2011
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This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States
Agency foal Development.
January, 2011
This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States
Agency for International Development.
January, 2011
This publication was produced by DAI for review by the United States
Agency for International Development.
January, 2011
PERCEPTIONS OF THE
PERCEPTIONS OF THE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE FOR
AGRIBUSINESS IN
ZIMBABWE: 2011
CONTRACT NO. EDH-I-15-05-00004-00
TASK ORDER EDH-I-15-05-00004-00
August 2011
This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development.It was prepared by Mr David Irwin under subcontract of IMANI to DAI.
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INVESTMENT
CLIMATE FOR
AGRIBUSINESS IN
ZIMBABWE: 2011
CONTRACT NO. EDH-I-00-05-00004-00
TASK ORDER EDH-I-15-05-00004-00
FinalforUSAIDApproval
ProgramTitle: ZimbabweAgriculturalCompetitivenessProgram(ZimACP)
SponsoringUSAIDOffice: USAID/Zimbabwe
ContractNumber: EDHI00050000400
Contractor: DAI
DateofPublication: August2011
Author:
DAI
The authors views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the
United States Agency for International Develo ment or the United States Government.
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Contents
1. SUMMARY ..................................................................................... 52. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 7
3. ENABLING ENVIRONMENT ASSESSMENTS ...................................... 7
4. RATIONALE FOR THIS STUDY.......................................................... 95. METHODOLOGY ........................................................................... 96. NATIONAL VIEW .......................................................................... 107. REVIEW BY SECTOR ...................................................................... 228. REVIEW BY BUSINESS SIZE ............................................................ 269. REVIEW BY LOCATION ................................................................. 2710. COST OF RED TAPE ..................................................................... 37
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Business leader perceptions of the investment
climate for Agribusiness in Zimbabwe: 2011
1. Summary
ThisreporthasbeenpreparedtohighlightthefactorsthatinhibitagribusinessesinZimbabwe
fromachievingitsfullpotentialincreatingjobsandwealth.Itfocusesontheperceptionsof
businessleaders,
since
investment
decisions
are
based
on
perceptions
of
the
environment
and
expectationsofhowitmightchange.Understandingthoseperceptionscanassistbusiness
associationsandpolicymakerstofocusonthefactorsthatarecausingparticulardifficulties,so
thereportalsosuggestsprioritiesforaction.Businessleaderswereaskedabout:
Theenablingenvironmentfactorsthatareimportanttotheirbusiness;
Thefactorsthatmakeitdifficulttodobusiness;
Whetherarangeofpublicagenciesweresupportiveofbusiness;
Theperceptionofwhetherand,ifso,howbusinessassociationsareaddressingeach
factor;
Theirperceptionofwhetherand,ifso,howgovernmentisaddressingeachfactor;
Theirviewofwhethereachfactorwouldbelikelytodeterfutureinvestment;
Theirsatisfactionwiththelevelofpublicprivatedialogue
Theirassessmentofthecostsinvolvedinmeetingtherequirementofregulationandred
tape.
Thefactorsthatmakeitdifficultforbusinessestogetonwithrunningandgrowingtheir
businessarepower,allaspectsofcreditand,tosomeextent,waterandroads.
Figure 1: Issues that cause difficulty weighted by importance
Respondentsperceivebusinessassociationstobemakingsomeefforttoimproveallfactors.
Therearecleargeographicaldifferences,however,withrespondentsinMaronderaandGweru
thinkinglessoftheeffortsoftheassociations.Thereislittledifferenceinperceptionbetween
respondentswhoaremembersofabusinessassociationandthosearenot.
Respondentssimilarlyperceivethegovernmenttobemakingsomeeffortonmostissues,
thoughnotonthecrucialissueofaccesstofinance.Again,therearegeographicaldifferences
withrespondentsinMaronderaandGwerugenerallylesspositive.
Respondentssaidthatnofactorcompletelydetersfurtherinvestment(score>2.5)butalsosaid
thatnofactorencouragesiteither(score
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6 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
deterrentarecredit(access,loanperiodsandinterestrates)followedbycorruptionandthen
power.
Figure 2: Factors which deter investment
Again,therearegeographicaldifferences,withrespondentsinBulawayoleastpositiveabout
investment.Thereareconsiderabledifferencesinperceptionwhensizeofrespondentsis
considered,withrespondentsemploying15beingleastpositiveaboutinvestment.
Mostrespondentsthinkthatthereshouldbemorepublicprivatedialoguepresumably
hopingthatthiswillleadtoimprovementsintheenablingenvironment.
Wehavepreparedanenablingenvironmentpriorityindexbasedonthelevelofdifficulty
perceivedby
respondents
combined
with
their
perception
of
effort
being
made
by
governmenttoaddresseachissue.Noteinthechartthatthehigherthescore,themore
enablingthefactorandthelowerthenumber,themoredisablingthefactor.
Figure 3: Enabling environment priority index
Sotheprioritiesareaccesstocreditandpower,withcorruptionregardedasmuchlessofa
priorityfor
attention,
though
that
is
not
to
say
that
it
can
be
ignored
since
it
is
an
investment
deterrent.Import/exportandbordersareperceivedverypositively.
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7
Apoorenablingenvironmentincreasescostsandreducescompetitiveness.Muchofthisis
hardtoassess,butitispossibletolookatthespecificcostsofredtapeandlicensing.
Respondentsestimatethattheyarespendingasmuchas10percentoftheirincomeon
dealingwithregulationreducingthissignificantlywouldmeanbusinesseswouldbemore
profitableandwouldthenbeabletoreinvestmoreoftheirearnings,perhapsevenreducing
theneedtorelyonexternalfinancing,butcertainlyreducingtheirgearing,thusmakingit
easier
to
raise
finance
when
necessary.
ThisisthefirsttimethatasurveysuchasthishasbeenundertakeninZimbabwe.Itishoped
thatitwillbepossibletorepeatthisonaregularbasis,sincetherealvaluewillcomefrom
lookingatthetrendsandinparticularwhetherprojectssuchasZimACPcanmakea
difference.
2. Introduction
Thisreporthasbeenpreparedtohelpbusinessassociations(includingfarmersunions,
commodityassociationsetc)andpolicymakerstounderstandbetterthebusiness
environmentfaced
by
the
agricultural
sector
in
Zimbabwe.
It
has
been
commissioned
by
the
ZimbabweAgriculturalCompetitivenessProgramTrust(ZimACP),a4.5year,USAIDfunded
programme,whoseroleistoraisethelevelandqualityofprivatesectoradvocacyandthe
effectivenessofpublicprivatedialoguewithintheagriculturalsectoraswellasdesigningand
implementinginitiativestosupportagriculturalbusinessesinZimbabwetoimprovetheir
competitivenessoverthelifeoftheprogramme.
Itisnowcommonlyacceptedthatimprovementsintheenablingenvironmentleadtogreater
levelsofinvestmentbytheprivatesector,morewealthandjobcreation,andultimatelymore
povertyalleviation.1Improvingthebusinessenvironmentisnotalwayseasy.Itrequiresco
operationanddialoguebetweenthepublicandprivatesectors.Tomakethebiggestimpact,
governmentand
business
associations
need
to
understand
the
needs
of
business
and
to
prioritisethoseissueswhicharecausingthebiggestheadachesandwhicharemostlikelyto
deterinvestment.Thepurposeofthisreportistocontributetothatunderstandingand
debate.
Itishopedthattheresultspresentedinthisreportwillstimulatediscussionaboutwaysin
whichtheenvironmentcouldbeimprovedforfarmersandagribusinesses.However,itisalso
intendedthattheresultsshouldprovideabaselinesothatZimACPcandeterminethelevelof
improvementintheenablingenvironmentasperceivedbyfarmersandagribusinesses.From
2012,comparisonstudieswillbeundertakentotrackperceptionsastheyreflectactionstobe
takenbybusinessleaders.
3. Enabling environment assessments
Severalinternationalorganisationsprepareglobalbusinessenvironmentsurveys.Perhapsthe
bestknownistheannualWorldBankDoingBusinessReport.
InDoingBusiness2011,Zimbabweisranked157outof183countries,moreorlessatthe
samelevelas2010and2009.Figure4showsZimbabwespositioncomparedtoasmall
numberofothersubSaharancountries.InDoingBusiness2011,Mozambiqueranked126,
Kenyaranked98,SouthAfricaranked34andMauritiusranked20.Somecountrieshave
adoptedambitioustargetstoimprovetheirposition:Nigeria,forexample,isrankedat137in
DB2011and
aims
to
be
in
the
top
20
by
2020.
1 See for example World Bank Doing Business reports (www.doingbusiness.org) and World Development Report 2005.
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8 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Thereisaproblemwithusingrankingssinceacountrycanfallsimplybecauseothersmake
moreeffortorcanrisesimplybecauseothersfail.Buttherankingsareusefulinthattheygive
atleastsomeindicationofhowcountriesareperforming.
Figure 4: Doing business rankings
Source: adapted from World Bank Doing Business reports (2005-11)
Table1showshowZimbabweranks(outof183countries)insomeoftheindividualareas
anditcoulddobetterinallofthem.ItisworthnotingthatZimbabwefell30placesingetting
creditin2010and30placesinenforcingcontractsin2011.Ifthereisanythingthatbusinesseslikelessthanapoorenablingenvironment,itisanunstableenablingenvironment,sincethis
makesitsomuchhardertoplanahead.
Table 1: Zimbabwe: Doing Business rankings
2009 rank 2010 rank 2011 rank
Ease of doing business (overall rank) 158 159 157
Starting a business 164 145 143
Dealing with construction permits 174 178 172
Registering property 85 84 82
Getting credit 84 113 128
Paying taxes 157 130 131
Enforcing contracts 77 78 110
Sources: World Bank (2008) Doing Business 2009; World Bank (2009) Doing Business 2010: reforming through difficulttimes;World Bank (2010) Doing Business 2011: making a difference for entrepreneurs.
WhilsttheWorldBanksworkisvaluabletopolicymakersinhighlightingareasworthyof
reformandpromotingdebate,itdoesnotofferaholisticviewinthatitfocusesonanarrow
selectionofindicators.Encouragingmorepeopletostartinbusinessortojointheformal
economy,or
encouraging
more
investment,
will
depend
upon
abroader
perception
of
the
easeofdoingbusinessthanthenarrowviewreportedinDoingBusiness.
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4. Rationale for this study
WithorganisationssuchastheWorldBankandWorldEconomicForumundertakingresearch
toassesstheproblemsfacedbybusiness,itmayseemthatthereisnoneedforfurther
studies.Thisstudyisdifferent,however:
Thisstudygathersandreportsontheperceptionsofbusinessleadersthemselves.People
acton
the
basis
of
their
perception
of
the
environment
(even
ifthat
is
not
wholly
accurate)
andtheirbestguessofwhattheenvironmentmightbelikeinthefuture. Itistherefore
important,ifnotmoreimportant,forpolicymakerstounderstandtheperceptionsof
businessleaders,inadditiontothemoreobjectivemeasuresofthebusiness
environment.
DoingBusinessdoesnotlookatspecificsectors,butthisresearchfocusesspecificallyon
thefactorsthatareimportanttofarmersandagribusinesses.Also,unlikeDoingBusiness,
itaimstoidentifygeographicaldifferences.
Thereareawiderangeoffactorswhichtogethercomprisetheenablingenvironment,
thoughnotallareimportanttoeverybusinessorsector.
Thesurveynotonlyaskedaboutthefactorsthatareproblematicbutalso,unlikeother
surveys,asked
business
leaders
to
identify
the
factors
where
business
associations
and
the
governmentareperceivedtobemakingapositiveeffort.
Thesurveyhasattemptedtoquantifythecoststobusinessofmeetingtheregulatory
requirementsimposedonthem.
5. Methodology
ThefieldworkwasundertakenduringMayand June 2011byJIMATDevelopment
Consultants,aninternationaldevelopmentconsultancyfirmwithitsheadofficeinHarare,
Zimbabwe.ThesurveywasconductedusingaquestionnaireoriginallydesignedbyDavidIrwin
andmodifiedindiscussionswithZimACPtoreflectthelocalcircumstances.
Thequestionnaire
was
pre
tested
by
JIMAT.
The
questionnaires
were
administered
face
to
faceandresultsforeachrespondenttranscribedintoaspeciallydesignedspreadsheet.
Thesampleconsistedofbusinessleaders,orselfemployedbusinesspeople.Asamplingframe
waspreparedtoprovideasamplepopulationgreaterthan385(togive,statistically,a95per
centconfidenceleveland5percentprecisionassuminga50percentdegreeofvariability).
WeestimatedapercentageforeachofthesixcommoditiescoveredbyZimACP(horticulture,
cereals,legumes&oilseeds,livestock&meat,cottonandtreecrops)basedonFAOstatistics
andonaconversationwiththeChiefEconomistattheMinistryofAgriculture,Mechanisation
&IrrigationDevelopment.ThereisadesirebyZimACPtocoverthewholevaluechainsothe
surveyalsocoveredinputandequipmentsuppliers,agroprocessorsandancillaryservice
providers,
such
as
banks,
vets
and
trainers.
Zim
ACP
works
nationally,
so
was
keen
to
cover
at
leastfiveareasinthesurveythough,tosimplifythelogisticsforthefirstsurvey,restrictedthe
fieldworktoanareawithina60kmradiusofeachcity:Harare,Bulawayo,Gweru,Mutareand
Marondera.Ideally,thegeographicsplitofthesampleshouldbebasedongeographic
contributiontoGDPbutfiguresarenoteasilyavailable,sopopulationwasusedasaproxy;
someagriculturalsectorsareconcentratedinoneortwogeographicareassothesplitwas
adjusted.Wealsorecognisedthatfindingexactlytherightnumberofrespondentsforeach
subgroupmightbechallenging,sothefieldteamusedthemasaguideratherthanbeing
expectedtoachievetheexactnumbersinthesamplepopulation.
Intheevent,thesamplepopulationcomprised390businessescoveringarangeofagricultural
sectors,locationsandbusinesssizes.Thecompositionofthesampleisshownintable2.
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10 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Table 2: Sample population composition
By sector By commodity (farmers &processors)
By number ofemployees
Farmers 224 Cereals 72 0-5 62
Processors 123 Cotton 74 6-50 244
Total farmers & processors 347 Horticulture 66 51-100 37
Input suppliers 25 Livestock 60 >100 39
Ancillary service providers 18 Pulses & legumes 24
Total sample 390 Mixed 51
347
By location By business association
Harare 182 Member 220
Bulawayo 63 Not member 170
Gweru 70 Total 390
Mutare 46
Marondera 29
Personaldetails
of
respondents
were
collected
in
the
hope
that
we
can,
in
the
future,
run
this
asapanelsurvey.However,allrespondentswereassuredthattheirresponseswouldbe
treatedtotallyconfidentially.
6. National view
6.1 Factors important to business
Inthefirstquestion,respondentswereaskedtoindicatewhichofarangeoffactorswere
importanttothesuccessoftheirbusinessandthentoindicatewhethereachofthosefactors
madedoingbusinessverydifficult,somewhatdifficult,hadroomforimprovementorwasnot
aproblem
at
all.
The
reason
for
splitting
the
results
is
that
it
is
quite
possible
for
afactor
to
be
importantamanufacturermightneedareliablesourceofelectricpowerforexampleora
servicebusinessmightrelyoneffectivetelecommunicationsbutforthatfactornottocause
problemspowerortelecommunicationsmightbereliablyavailable.
Figure 5: Importance of factors (all respondents)
Withtheexceptionofimport&exportregulationsandborders&airports,mostfactorswere
seenasimportant.
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6.2 Factors which make business difficult
Figure6showsthefactorsthatbusinessesperceivetomakelifedifficult.Thefactorsthat
makebusinessverydifficultareaccesstofinance,power,loanperiodsandinterestrateson
loans.
Figure 6: Factors which make business difficult
Itisnotalwayseasytoassimilatethedatawhenresponsesaresummarisedinthisway,sothe
resultshavebeencodedbyallocatingascoreforeachresponseasfollows:1notaproblem;
2
could
be
improved;
3
makes
doing
business
somewhat
difficult;
4
makes
doing
business
verydifficult.So,anaveragescoreof4wouldmeanthateveryrespondentthinksthatanissue
makesbusinessverydifficultandanaveragescoreof1meansthateveryoneseestheissueas
notaproblem.TheresultsaresummarisedinFigure7.
Figure 7: Factors which make business difficult
Ascan
immediately
be
seen,
access
to
finance
and
power
are
both
regarded
as
making
businessmorethansomewhatdifficult.Loanperiodsandinterestratesarenotfarbehindso
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12 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
evenifabusinesscanaccessaloan,thetermsareseentomakebusinessdifficultaswell.
Roadsandwaterarealsoseenasmakingbusinesssomewhatdifficult.
InFigure8,thefactorswhichmakebusinessdifficultaredisaggregatedbymainactivity.For
mostfactors,thereislittletochoosebetweenthedifferentgroupsofrespondents.Itisworth
noting,however,thatserviceprovidersseemtohavethemostproblemwiththeenforcement
ofcontracts.Theyalsohavethemostproblemwithroads.
Figure 8: Factors which make business difficult
InFigure9,thefactorsthatcausedifficultyhavebeenweightedbyimportancetothe
respondent.Whilsttheoverallscoresareslightlylower,theresultsareverysimilar.Powerand
accesstofinancemakebusinesssomewhatdifficult,withloanperiodsandinterestrates
causingproblems.Borders&airports,import&exportregulationsandtradesunionsareseen
asnotbeingproblematicatall.
Figure 9: Issues that cause difficulty weighted by importance
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6.3 Public agencies
Thereareanumberofpublicagenciesintendedtosupportbusiness(suchastheZimbabwe
InvestmentCentre(ZIC)),ortoregulatebusiness(suchastheEnvironmentalManagement
Authority(EMA))orhaveadifferentrole(suchaslocalauthoritiesandNationalIncomes&
PricingCommission(NIPC)).Allimpactonbusinessinsomeway,sorespondentswereasked
whethertheyfoundeachoffouragenciessupportive.Whilstnonescoredparticularlywell,itis
interestingto
note
that
more
than
20
per
cent
of
respondents
saw
the
EMA
as
very
supportive.
Figure 10: Public agencies support business
Aswith
the
assessment
of
which
factors
make
doing
business
difficult,
the
responses
were
codedtogiveasinglescoreforeachagency.TheresultsareshowninFigure11andFigure12.
ZimbabweInvestmentCentreandNIPCareperceivedtomakenodifferencewhilsttheEMA
andlocalgovernmentareperceivedtobesomewhatsupportive.Itisinterestingtonote,
however,thatinMarondera,theEMAisseenasmakingnodifferenceandtheotherthreeare
allperceivedtobeunsupportive.
Figure 11: Perception of public agencies support for business (by location)
Perhapslesssurprisingly,thelargerabusiness,themorelikelytheyaretoseetheagenciesas
supportive.Businessesemployingonetofivepeopleseearetheagenciesasmakingno
difference,borderingonunsupportiveforNIPCandZimbabweInvestmentCentre.
Figure 12: Perception of public agencies support for business (by size)
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14 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
6.4 Business association performance
Thetermbusinessassociationisusedtocoveranyassociationthatpurportsinsomewayto
representbusinessesorindividualsinrelationtobusinessmatters,includingtrade
associations,chambersofcommerce,farmersunionsetc.
Weaskedrespondentswhethertheyperceivedbusinessassociationsweremakingeffortto
addressthe
different
factors
of
the
enabling
environment.
Theresponseswerecodedtogiveasinglescoreforeachfactor:anaveragescoreof4
representsaperceptionthatbusinessassociationsaremakingtheissueworse;3suggeststhat
thebusinessassociationsaremakingnoefforttoaddresstheissue;2suggeststhat
associationsaremakingsomeeffort;and1suggeststhatassociationsaremakingarealeffort
toaddresstheissue.
Giventhatoneofthereasonsthatbusinessesjoinbusinessassociationsistoencouragethe
associationtomakeadifference,onemighthaveexpectedasubstantialdifferenceinthe
responsesofmembersandnonmembers.Itisinterestingtonote,therefore,thatthe
differencesarefairlysmall,thoughmembersthinkmorehighlyofassociationsonmostfactors.
Theresults
for
import
&
export
regulations
and
borders
&
airports
imply
aperception
that
associationsaremakingarealefforttomakeadifference,butformostrespondentsthese
factorsareunimportant.Onalltherest,associationsareseenasmakingsomeefforttomakea
difference.
Figure 13: Perception of business association effort to make a difference
Thereislittletochoosebetweenresponseswhendisaggregatingbysector.
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Figure 14: Perception of business association effort to make a difference
Thereseemstobelittledifferenceinresponsebetweencommodities(coveringbothfarmers
andprocessors).
Figure 15: Perception of business association effort to make a difference
Whenwedisaggregatebylocation,however,wedoseesomedifferences.InMarondera,
associationsare
perceived
to
be
making
no
effort
on
every
factor
(including
borders
&
airports
andimport&exportregulations).InGweru,associationsareperceivedtobealmostasbad.
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16 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 16: Perception of business association effort to make a difference
Whenwedisaggregatebysize,weseethatitisthesmallestbusinesseswhohavetheworst
perceptionoftheeffortsmadebybusinessassociations.
Figure 17: Perception of business association effort to make a difference
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6.5 Government performance
Weaskedrespondentswhethertheyperceivedgovernmentwasmakingeffortstoaddressthe
differentfactorsoftheenablingenvironment.Answersrangedfromthegovernmentis
makingrealeffortstoaddresstheissue(coded1),throughsomeeffort(coded2),noeffort,
(coded3)togovernmentactionsaremakingthisissueworse(coded4).So,anaveragescore
of1wouldmeanthateveryrespondentthinksthatthegovernmentismakingarealeffortto
addressthe
issue
and
an
average
score
of
4would
mean
that
every
respondent
thinks
that
the
governmentismakingtheissueworse.
Inallaspectsofcreditaccess,loantermsandinterestratesthegovernmentwasperceived
tobemakingnoeffort.Foreveryotherfactor,however,thegovernmentwasperceivedtobe
makingsomeeffort.Therearesomeresultstowhichattentionshouldbedrawn.Processors
aremoreworriedthanotherbusinessesbytheavailabilityofskilledlabour,licensing&
regulationandinvestmentregulation.Farmersaremoreworriedthanotherbusinessesby
corruption,roadsandwater.
Figure 18: Perception of government effort to make a difference
Onceagain,therearesomestrikingregionaldifferences.BusinessesinMaronderaperceivethe
governmentismakingnoeffortforeveryfactor,withtheleasteffortinbordersandairports.
BusinessesinGweruhaveperceptionsthatarealmostthesame.BusinessesinBulawayo
perceivethatleasteffortisbeingmadetoaddresstheissueofaccesstofinance.
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18 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 19: Perception of government effort to make a difference
6.6 Influence on investment
Thenext,andpossiblythemostimportant,questionaskedrespondentswhichfactorswere
likelytoinfluenceinvestmentdecisionsandhow(scored1:encouragefurtherinvestment;2:
neitherencouragenordeter;3:deterfurtherinvestment).Nofactorwasseenasdefinitely
deterringinvestment,thoughpowercomesclose,atleastforsuppliers,andloanperiods,at
leastforserviceproviders.Corruptionalsodetersinvestment.
Figure 20: Factors which affect investment decisions
Thepictureismoremixed,however,whenwedisaggregatebycommodity.Livestockfarmers
andprocessorsseemtobemostdeterredfrominvestment,particularlyworryingaboutpower,
allaspectsofcreditandenforcingcontracts.Cottonfarmersandprocessorsaremostdeterred
bycorruption,
which
they
say
does
deter
further
investment.
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Figure 21: Factors which affect investment decisions
ThereisalsoconsiderablegeographicvariationwithbusinessesinBulawayomostdeterred
frominvesting.Theysaythataccesstofinance,loanperiodsandinterestrateswoulddeter
furtherinvestment,thoughcorruptionsandenforcingcontractsarenotfarbehind.Businesses
inGwerusaythatcorruptionwoulddeterfurtherinvestment.
Figure 22: Factors which affect investment decisions
Thereisconsiderablevariation,too,whenwedisaggregatebysizeofbusiness.Businesses
employing15aredeterredfromfurtherinvestmentthemostparticularlybyallaspectsof
credit,bycorruptionandbypower,thoughenforcingcontracts,roadsandtaxationareclose
behind.
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20 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 23: Factors which affect investment decisions
6.7 Public Private Dialogue
Publicprivatedialogueisimportantinensuringthatpublicandprivatesectorseach
understandtheotherandthereisevidencethatgood,interactivecommunicationsmakea
differenceinraisingthelevelofunderstanding.
Soweaskedaquestionthathasnotgenerallybeenaskedinotherbusinessleaderperception
surveys,thoughwasaskedinthemostrecentsurveyinNigeria.Specifically,weasked
respondentswhethertheyweresatisfiedwiththelevelofdialoguebetweenthepublicsector
andprivatesector.
Only10percentofrespondentsaresatisfiedwiththelevelofpublicprivatedialogue.
Figure 24: Satisfaction with level of public private dialogue
Onemighthaveexpectedtheretobeabigdifferencebetweenrespondentswhoaremembers
ofabusinessassociationandrespondentswhoarent.Interestingly,thereisaverysmall
difference,though
members
are
slightly
more
satisfied.
It
is
not
possible
to
draw
conclusions,
however,whetherthisisbecausethereisalowlevelofdialogueorthatassociationsarenot
goodattellingtheirmembersaboutwhattheyaredoing.
Figure 25: Satisfaction with level of public private dialogue
Sothere
are
twin
challenges
here
both
to
increase
the
amount
of
dialogue
and
to
ensure
that,
thefactthatthereisregulardialogueiscommunicatedeffectivelytobusiness.
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6.8 Enabling environment priorities
Wehavepreparedanenablingenvironmentpriorityindexbasedonthelevelofdifficulty
perceivedbyrespondentscombinedwiththeperceptionofhowthegovernmentisaddressing
theissue.
Thechartbelowshowsthecombinedviewsforalloftheissues.Notethatthescalehasbeen
invertedand
rebased
so
that
afactor
that
causes
the
most
difficulty
for
business
and
in
which
thegovernmentismakingtheproblemworsewillbeshownaszeroandafactorthatcauses
theleastdifficultyforbusinessandinwhichthegovernmentismakingarealefforttoimprove
thepositionisshownas100.
Thisrevealsthatborders&airportsandimport&exportregulations,neitherofwhichare
importanttomostrespondents,aredoingthebest.Thefactorsthatneedattentionareaccess
tofinance,togetherwithloanperiodsandinterestrates,power,roadsandwater.Corruption
comesnextbutisseenasratherlessofanissuethaninothercountrieswhereasimilarsurvey
hasbeenundertaken.
Figure 26: Enabling environment priority index
Whilstitisdifficulttocombineallviewsintoasinglefigure,werecognisethathavingasingle
figuremakesiteasytoseeataglancewhethertheprivatesectorperceivesthattheenabling
environmenthasimprovedordeteriorated.
Wehave
therefore
calculated
asingle
figure
of
65
which
compares
favourably
with
the
resultsofsurveysinothercountriesinsubSaharanAfrica,thoughthatisnottosaythatit
couldbemuchbetter.
Table 3: Enabling environment perception index
2008 2009 2010 2011
Zimbabwe 65
Nigeria 62 60
Tanzania 57 66 67 63
Kenya 52 56
Uganda 63 59
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22 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
7. Review by sector
7.1 Farmers & Processors
Mostfarmersandmostprocessorsspecifiedthecommodityinwhichtheyspecialisedand,
below,wehavelookedatthefactorsbycommoditytoexplorewhetherfarmersand
processorssawthingsdifferentlydependingontheirprimarycommodity.Itshouldbenoted
thatmostcommoditiesareconcentratedinspecificgeographicareas,sodifferenceswillnot
necessarilybeduesolelytothecommodity.Figure27showstheoverallperceptionoffarmers
andprocessors.Forfarmers,theissuethatcausesthemostdifficultyisaccesstofinance,
followedbypowerandthenloanperiodsandinterestrates.Waterandroadsbothmake
businesssomewhatdifficult.Otherissuesaremuchlessofaproblem.
Thereseemstobeasignificantdifferencebetweenfarmersandprocessorsintheirviewofthe
difficultycausedbyaccesstofinance,thoughitisstillthesecondbiggestproblemfor
processors.Processorssaythatpoweristheirbiggestproblem.Whilsttheissuesarenotseen
assevere,itisinterestingtonotethebigdifferencesinperceptionofdifficultycausedby
licensing,investmentregulations,import&exportrequirementsandborders&airports.There
isalsoabigdifferenceintheperceptionofdifficultycausedbysecurity.Noneofthese
differencesis
surprising.
Figure 27: Factors which make business difficult
7.1.1 Cereals
Cerealfarmersandprocessorssaythatallaspectsofaccesstofinanceandpowerarethe
issuesthatcausethemdifficulty.Roadscausethemsomedifficulty.
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Figure 28: Factors which make business difficult for cereals
7.1.2 Cotton
Cottonfarmersandprocessorssayalsothatpowerandaccesstofinanceareproblems(though
interestinglyloanperiodsandinterestratesseemtobelessofaproblem.Roadsaremorea
problembuttheirbiggestissueiswaterthoughitshouldbestressedthatstillonlymakes
businesssomewhatdifficult.Corruptionismuchmoreofaproblemforcottonfarmersand
processors.Securityseemstobemuchlessofanissueforcottonthanforothercommodities.
Figure 29: Factors which make business difficult for cotton
7.1.3 Horticulture
Horticulturefarmersandprocessorssaythataccesstofinancemakesbusinessverydifficult,
withpower,interestratesandloanperiodsalsocausingdifficulty.Theyalsosaythatenforcing
contractsisabigproblem.
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Figure 32: Factors which make business difficult for pulses & legumes
7.2 Input suppliers
Suppliersofinputsmayhaveabusinesswiderthansimplysupplyingtheagriculturalsector.
However,theirproblemsarebroadlythesameasthoseoffarmersandprocessors.Thebiggest
problemsarecausedbyaccesstofinance,loanperiodsandinterestrates.Powerand
corruptionmakebusinesssomewhatdifficult.Tradesunions,health&safetyregulationsand
theenvironmentalmanagementactbarelyfeatureasproblems.
Figure 33: Factors which make business difficult for input suppliers
7.3 Ancillary service providers
Providersofancillaryservicesarealsolikelytobeprovidingservicestomorethanjustthe
agriculturalsector.Thereseemstobemoredistinctionbetweenissuesthatareproblematic
andissuesthatarenot,thoughtheproblemareasareverysimilar.Accesstofinanceandloan
periodscausedifficulty,thoughinterestratesarethebiggestissue.Poweristhesecond
biggestissue.Roadsmakebusinesssomewhatdifficultasdoestelecomsandtaxation.Trades
unions,health&safetyregulationsandimport&exportregulationsdonotmakeany
difference.
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26 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 34: Factors which make business difficult for service providers
8. Review by business size
Respondentswereaskedtostatehowmanystafftheyemployed.Noteveryrespondent
answeredthisquestion,butmostdid.
Figure 35: Factors which make business difficult: by business size
Analysingtheresponsesbybusinesssizeisinteresting.Theprevailingviewamongstdonors
andpolicymakersisthatabadbusinessenvironmenthitssmallfirmsthehardest(because,
forexample,theyrelymoreonexternalfinance,highcompliancecostsarespreadovera
smaller
revenue
base
and
they
are
less
likely
to
be
able
to
take
a
stand
say
on
corruption),
but
theseresultssuggestthatisnotthecase.Ofcourse,thismaybeduetothefactthatin
Zimbabwemanysmallbusinessesdonotcomplywithregulationsanyway(meaningthatthe
complianceburdenisminimal),andthatlargercompanieswithmorecomplexoperationsare
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27
morelikelytobecapitalintensive(meaningfinanceismoreofaconstraint)andaremorelikely
torelyonports,theenforcementofcontractsetc.Itmayalsohavesomethingtodowithlevels
ofawarenessexecutivesofbigcompaniesaremorelikelytohavetravelledtotheUSAand
EuropeandwillthusbemoreawareofthelimitationsoftheZimbabweanbusiness
environment.
Thesmallestbusinesses,thatis,thoseemployingfewerthan5people,saythatthebiggest
problemis
caused
by
access
to
finance
and
they
appear
to
have
abigger
problem
with
this
thanlargerbusinesses.Theyhaveaproblemwithpoweraswellwhichalsomakesbusiness
verydifficultthoughitisfirmsemployingmorethan100peoplewhosaytheyhavethe
biggestproblemswithpower.
Firmsemployingmorethan100alsohavethebiggestproblemswithtelecoms,labourlaw,
import&exportregulationsandhealth&safetyregulations.
Itseemsthatitisfirmsemploying51100peoplewhohavethemostproblemwithcorruption.
Perhapsthemostinterestingobservationisthatfirmsemploying650findeveryfactor(except
licensing®ulation,whichisnotabigproblem)aslessproblematicthanothersizesof
business.
9. Review by location
Figure 36: Factors which make business difficult: by location
ItseemsthatbusinessesinBulawayo,onthewhole,findthefactorsmoreproblematicthan
businesseselsewhere.AccesstofinancemakesbusinessverydifficultinBulawayo.Theyhave
thebiggestproblemwithloanperiods.BusinessesinBulawayo,however,haveleastproblem
withtradesunions.
PowercausesmoredifficultyforbusinessesinMarondera,butBulawayoisclosebehind.
Businessesin
Bulawayo
have
the
most
problem
with
roads
and
water.
It
is
businesses
in
Gweru
andMarondera,however,thatperceivemostdifficultywithcorruptionandlabourlegislation.
Import&exportregulationsonlyseemtocauseaprobleminMarondera.
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28 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
9.1 Harare
InHarare,accesstofinanceandpowermakesbusinessdifficult.
Figure 37: Factors which making business difficult
Businessesseemtothinkthatbusinessassociationsaremakingsomeefforttoaddressmostof
theissues.Theyarenotregardedasmakingnoeffortormakingtheissuesworse.
Figure 38: Business association performance in addressing key factors
Governmentisalsoregardedasmakingsomeeffortoneveryissueandisnotperceivedtobe
makingnoeffort ortobemakingtheissuesworse.
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29
Figure 39: Government performance in addressing key factors
Itseems
that
businesses
in
Harare
are
not
deterred
from
investment
by
most
factors,
though
accesstofinance,especiallyinterestrates,isadeterrent.Powerandcorruptionarecloseto
beingdeterrents.
Figure 40: Factors which affect investment decisions
9.2 Bulawayo
Asnotedearlier,accesstofinanceandpowermakebusinessverydifficultinBulawayo.Roads
andwatermakedoingbusinesssomewhatdifficult.
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30 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 41: Factors which making business difficult
BusinessesinBulawayothinkbusinessassociationsaremakingarealefforttoaddresstwo
factors:import&exportregulationsandborders&airports.Otherwisetheythinkassociations
aremakingnoeffort.
Figure 42: Business association performance in addressing key factors
Thereis,itseems,averysimilarviewofthegovernmentwhichisseentobemakingareal
efforttoaddressimport&exportregulationsandborders&airports.Governmentisseento
bemakingnoeffortonanyotherfactorthoughtheireffortstoaddressaccesstofinance
comeinformostcriticism.
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31
Figure 43: Government performance in addressing key factors
InBulawayo,
no
factor
encourages
investment
and
it
is
deterred
by
access
to
finance
with
corruptionandinfrastructurecomingclosetobeingdeterrentsaswell.
Figure 44: Factors which affect investment decisions
9.3 Gweru
InGweru,nofactormakesbusinessverydifficult,thoughcorruption,whichisthebiggest
issue,power,
roads,
water
and
access
to
finance
all
make
business
somewhat
difficult.
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32 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 45: Factors which making business difficult
Businessassociationsareperceivedtobemakingnodifferenceneithermakinganeffortto
addresstheissuesnormakingtheissuesworse.
Figure 46: Business association performance in addressing key factors
Thepictureseemsslightlymoremixedwhenbusinessesareaskedabouttheirperceptionof
howgovernment
is
addressing
the
issues.
However,
on
average,
government
is
seen
to
be
makingnoefforttoaddressanyissue,butnorisitseentobemakingtheissuesworse.
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33
Figure 47: Government performance in addressing key factors
BusinessesinGweruaremorepositiveaboutinvestment,withtradesunions,health&safety
regulations
and
telecoms
encouraging
investment.
The
only
real
deterrent
is
corruption.
Figure 48: Factors which affect investment decisions
9.4 Mutare
ThefactorsthatcauseproblemsinMutareareaccesstofinanceandpower.
Figure 49: Factors which making business difficult
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34 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Businessassociationsareseenasmakingnoefforttoaddressanyissue,exceptforimport&
exportregulationsandborders&airports.
Figure 50: Business association performance in addressing key factors
Figure 51: Government performance in addressing key factors
Governmentisperceivedinasimilarway,makingnoefforttoaddressthebulkofissues.
Whilst
no
factors
would
encourage
investment,
none
would
deter
it
either.
Once
again,
though,itiscorruptionthatcomesclosesttobeingadeterrent.
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35
Figure 52: Factors which affect investment decisions
9.5 Marondera
InMarondera,powermakesdoingbusinessverydifficult.Corruptionheadsthelistoffactors
thatmakesbusinesssomewhatdifficult,alongwithaccesstofinance,waterandroads.
Figure 53: Factors which making business difficult
Business
associations
are
not
seen
to
be
making
any
effort
to
address
the
issues.
They
are
seen
lesspositivelythanineveryotherlocation.
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36 BusinessLeadersPerceptionoftheInvestmentClimate
Figure 54: Business association performance in addressing key factors
Onceagain,viewsofgovernmentaresimilar.Thegovernmentisnotseentobemakingany
issuesworse,
but
nor
is
government
seen
to
be
making
any
effort
to
address
the
issues.
Figure 55: Government performance in addressing key factors
Figure 56: Factors which affect investment decisions
Thereisremarkableuniformitywhenitcomestolookingatwhichfactorswoulddeteror
encourageinvestmentwithnofactormakingadifferenceeitherway.
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37
10.Cost of red tape
Respondentswereaskedaboutthecostsofregulation:thedirectcostoflicensingincluding
thecostofthelicencesthemselves,theeffectivecostthroughthestafftimerequiredto
completepaperworkassociatedwithregulation,andtheeffectivecostthroughstafftimeof
dealingwiththeenforcersofregulation.Respondentswereaskedtosayinwhichexpenditure
bandtheybelievedthateachofthesecategoriesofcostfell.
Figure 57: Cost of red tape and regulation
Mostrespondentsestimatedthatthecostsofregulationwereinthebandof03percentfor
eachofthethreecategoriesofexpense,thoughmanythoughtthattheywereconsiderably
higher.Combiningthese,itseemsthatmostrespondentsspendaround11percentof
turnoveronredtapeandregulation,thoughserviceprovidersandsuppliersthoughtthattheir
costswerehigher.
Figure 58: Cost of red tape and regulation
Amongstfarmersandprocessors,thecostswerehighestforlivestockandlowestforcotton.
Figure 59: Cost of red tape and regulation
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Theproblemwithlicensingandregulationisthatitiseasytounderestimatethetruecosts.If
abusinesssendsamemberofstafftorenewapermitorpayatax,andthepersonqueuesall
day,thatcostmaynotbeaccuratelycapturedbythebusiness.Iftheownertakespaperwork
homeandcompletesitintheevening,thereisagoodchancethatthecostwillnotbe
captured.Andiftaxinspectors,say,cometothebusiness,causingdisruption,itislikelythat
thecostoflostproductionwillnotbeadequatelycapturedeither.Sowhilstthecostsappear
high,
there
is
a
good
chance
that
they
will
actually
be
higher
still.
Gettingthisdownwouldnotonlymakebusinessesfeelthatthegovernmentwastryingto
makeadifference,butwouldfreeupresourcesthattheycouldinvestedinexpandingtheir
businessescreatingmorewealth,creatingmorejobs,becomingmoreprofitable,andthus
payingmoretaxessoeverybodywins.