Afs Present a Ion on Power Sector

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    ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT

    POWER SECTOR

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    OVERVIEW

    Pakistan is attempting to restructure the electric power sector to catch up

    and keep pace with the gigantic strides the power utility business has

    made during the 20th century.

    The World is moving towards an integrated electric power system.

    Electricity is produced, traded and sold across international boundaries in

    many parts of the World.

    Pakistan has to immediately start working towards creating an

    environment that will not only enable but also attract international

    trading in electricity. If we do not keep pace with the changing global

    environment, we will be isolated and left even further behind than where

    we found ourselves at the end of the previous century.

    A first step to creating a climate conducive to investment and economic

    development is the need to enunciate a new regime to regulate the utility

    business of the future

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    ABOUT COMPANIES

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    LIQUIDITY

    Particulars KAPCO

    JAPAN

    POWER HUBCO

    KOHINO

    OR KESC AVERAGE

    2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8

    Current Ratio 1.38 0.99 1.04 3.50 0.53 3.41

    Acid Test Ratio 1.21 0.90 0.99 2.91 0.44 3.1

    Account Receivable

    Turn over1.91 5.52 2.51 3.46 2.49 9.94

    TotalAsset Turnover 0.98 0.63 1.00 1.01 0.54 2.61

    Day's Sales in

    Inventory37.15 37.47 36.88 104.16 144.76 111.5

    Inventory Turn Over 9.83 7.13 2.51 13.73 3.65 19.47

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    Solvency

    Particulars KAPCO

    JAPAN

    POWER HUBCO KOHINOOR KESC AVERAGE

    2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8

    Debt Ratio 0.63 0.78 0.55 0.26 0.13 0.47

    Equity Ratio 0.37 3.45 1.20 0.30 0.24 1.064

    Times Interest Earned 4.65 0.7 2.32 121.0 214.1 0.93

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    Profitability

    Particulars KAPCO

    JAPAN

    POWER HUBCO

    KOHINOO

    R KESC AVERAGE

    2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8

    Profit Margin 14.24 -3.62 0.04 8.86 -32.77 2.132

    Gross Margin 16.71 6.34 0.08 12.94 -27.26 4.626

    Return on TotalAssets 13.98 -2.29 0.04 8.90 -17.27 2.346

    Return on Common

    Stockholders Equity 37.35 -10.17 0.09 9.98 -30.87 5.454

    Book Value per Common

    Share24.23 10.00 24.60 27.15 7.56 11.766

    Basic Earning per Share 9.05 0.05 0.07 0.09 -0.17 1.834

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    Market Prospects

    Particulars KAPCO

    JAPAN

    POWER HUBCO KOHINOOR KESC AVERAGE

    2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8 2007-8

    Price Earning Ratio 5.08 - 13.29 7.03 -1.22 3.43

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    Reasons

    Late finalization of 2002 power policy Late initiation of new projects

    Long processing time

    Not soliciting new power plants

    Reliance of unsolicited proposal

    WAPDA was not allowed to install thermal power plants Private sector started taking advantages

    Availability of machines in the international market

    No serious efforts on effeciency improvement and

    energy conservation

    Time of day metering system is not up to its strength

    Hydropower not comming up

    Small hydro power plants are not being taken up by

    WAPDA

    Closure of some IPP & WAPDAs power plants

    Not payment of fuel bills to fuel suppliers

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    Reasons (contd)

    International investors are not comming with

    enthusiasm

    International recession

    Governace issue No serious efforts to exploit alternative energy

    resources

    Huge reserve of coal is not being used

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    Issues

    Most of the new thermal power plants are basedon fuel oil

    Cost of electricity generations

    Fuel imports major implecations on forx reseve

    Volatility of crude oil prices

    Fuel transporation and import infrastructure

    Road / railway network

    Port facilities

    Gas is not available for new power plants

    Un efficient energy useage

    No incentive from the government to developalternative energy resources

    Rental power plant is sucidal

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    Remedies / Suggestions

    Development of alternative energy

    The Regulator should be linient in tariff for wind and

    solar power plants

    Manufacturing facility for wind and solar power plantsbe encouraged by the government

    Coal should be used for power generation including

    imported Coal

    Thermal power plants should be installed by WAPDA inparllel to IPPs

    More emphasis should be on energy conservation and

    efficiency improvement

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    Remedies / Suggestions (contd)

    Time of day tariff should be implemented in all

    catagories of consumers

    A digonostic study should be conducted for oil

    transporatation infrastructure and port facilities Captive power plant should brougt on bar

    Industrial sector should be encouraged to install

    their own power plants and surplus should be

    purchased by WAPDA at a competitive price

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    Thanks