Africa's Militaries: A Missing Link in Democratic Transitions

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    AfricA Security Brief

    Afcas Mltaes: A Mss L Demcatc TastsBy MAThurin C.houngnikpo

    A P u b l i c A t i o n o f t h e A f r i c A c e n t e r f o r S t r A t e g i c S t u d i e S

    Mlta accetace f cvla att emas a mss ece f Afcas demcatc tast zzle.

    Wle fte eceved as a wated estct te vew f te sect sect, te dctef demcatc cvla ctl f te mlta bsts te letmac, caabltes, ad efmace f teamed fces.

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    H i g H l i g H t s

    n o . 1 7 / J A n u A r y 2 0 1 2

    politics remains widespread across the continent.

    This is prominently in view in Egypt where, in

    the midst o political transition, the military is

    attempting to maintain a privileged role or it-

    sel despite the widespread demands or genuine

    democratic reorm.

    A spate o military coups rom 2008 to 2010

    in Mauritania, Guinea, Niger, and Madagascar

    raised the specter o a return to military rule in

    Arica. While the subsequent resumption o civil-

    ian government in Guinea and Niger has reduced

    these concerns, evidence o military inluence in

    War is too important to be let to the generals.

    Georges Clemenceau, ormer prime minister o France

    It is a difcult period or everybody, but we believe that it is a political thing. We are not politicians. We

    are military proessionals and we are determined to remain so. Nobody, no matter what, no matter the eort, will

    drag us into it.

    Nigerian Army Chie o Sta Lieutenant General Abdulrahman Dambazzau in May 2010 shortly

    ater the oce and authorities o the Nigerian presidency were transerred to Vice President

    Goodluck Jonathan by the National Assembly ollowing the death o President Umaru YarAdua

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    In Cte dIvoire, Togo, Guinea Bissau, Ethiopia,

    the Central Arican Republic, Chad, Sudan, Angola,

    Rwanda, and many other Arican states, democrati-

    zation or the consolidation o political reorms has

    been severely inhibited by armed orces that regu-

    larly intervene in political and economic matters. In

    Uganda, or instance, the military is permitted to se-

    lect 10 ocers to serve as members o parliament. In

    some cases, the armed orces operate autonomously

    and even maintain commercial interests outside the

    military budget. In Rwanda, the military grows, buys,

    processes, and exports commercial crops through a

    military-owned company.1 Military ocers in An-

    gola participate in contract negotiations with oreign

    companies, sit on corporate boards, and are majority

    shareholders in telecommunications rms.2

    Such practices are not only counterproductive

    to democratic governance, but also undermine stabil-

    ity, economic development, and even the interests o

    the militaries themselves. In cases where militaries

    have assumed total control over government, the re-

    sults have usually been disastrous. Annual economic

    growth rates in Nigeria and Mali, or example, have

    been on average a ull 3 percentage points lower dur-

    ing periods o military versus civilian rule. While

    lauded or their discipline and quick decisionmak-

    ing, militaries have little background in job creation,

    macroeconomic policy, public health, or the many

    other complex challenges o governing. More gener-

    ally, military decisionmaking is rigidly hierarchical

    and beyond appeal, whereas in the public domain,

    policy implementation tends to be more eective

    when built through a consultative, transparent, and

    deliberative process.

    Beyond the blunt military putsch, increasingly

    prevalent and sinister developments in Arica are the

    emergence o democratic and creeping coups. In

    the ormer, a military coup is staged, ollowed by atactical withdrawal to hold elections that are won

    by a recently retired military ocerto the acco-

    lades o both regional and international organiza-

    tions. Such was the case ollowing the 2008 coup in

    Mauritania by General Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz.

    In creeping coups, civilian leaders will slowly erode

    the powers and authorities o legislatures, judiciaries,

    civil society groups, and other potential sources o

    opposition. This was the pattern ollowed by the now

    deposed President Mamadou Tandja in Niger and is,

    arguably, the process under way currently in Djibouti

    and Malawi, among other places. Co-opting security

    leaders or counterbalancing the military with special

    presidential security units is key to the success o such

    extra-constitutional exercises o authority.

    The level o such co-optation is extensive in

    some countries. The use o orce against peaceul

    demonstrations in recent years by security units in

    the Democratic Republic o the Congo, Ethiopia,

    Uganda, Malawi, and Cameroon, among others, is

    case in point. The shooting o unarmed civilians

    clearly indicates that some security sector leaders

    in Arica continue to see their role as deending

    the regime in power rather than the constitution

    contravening even basic codes o military conduct

    and emerging democratic norms on the continent.

    Upcoming elections in Zimbabwe, Senegal, Burkina

    Faso, and Kenya may pose similar dilemmas or these

    countries military and police leadership.

    Even where legitimate civilian rule predomi-

    nates, civil-military relations remain strained in

    much o Arica. Given its unique institutional dy-

    namics, responsibilities, and standard procedures,

    the military can nd it challenging to interact withparliament, civil society organizations, or other ci-

    vilian entities. Likewise, most Arican civilian o-

    cials lack a deep understanding o security issues

    and institutions. Productive engagement, coopera-

    tion, and mutual respect are elusive and rustration

    is common.

    In Nigeria, or example, the President o

    the Senate explained in a 2008 speech to ellow

    D. Mat C. h s te Academc Ca f

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    wll ate te cess fdemcatc csldat

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    legislators that one o the countrys greatest national

    security threats was a lack o amiliarity between ci-

    vilian and military agencies that demanded a con-

    sistent and coherent process o engagement with a

    view to strengthening the security agencies work

    vis--vis the legislature, particularly in the areas

    o appropriation, constitutional reorms, oversight

    unctions, oreign policy, and national security.3

    Put simply, Aricas civilian and military leaders

    barely know one another.

    Despite noteworthy progress toward democracy

    since the end o the Cold War, the infuence o the

    security services in Arica continues to overshadow

    democratic development on the continent. Compli-

    cations resulting rom military overreach are not only

    limited to Aricas ragile or autocratic countries but

    also continue to be a challenge in the continents

    better governed states. Military acceptance o civil-

    ian authoritythe doctrine o civilian controlre-

    mains a missing piece o Aricas democratic transi-

    tion puzzle. For democracy to sink deep roots on the

    continent, the security sector needs to be a willing

    partner in the process o democratic consolidation.

    inculcAting A doctrine of c iv il iAn,

    democrAtic Authority

    The legitimacy o the security sector is ultimate-

    ly derived rom the authority vested in it by demo-

    cratically elected civilian leaders under the rule o

    law. This, in turn, helps ensure that the use o orce,

    the most authoritative demonstration o national

    power, is seen as justiied and thereore supported

    by the general population. Recognizing the power o

    this legitimacy is the basis o the doctrine o civilian

    control o the military.

    However, this doctrine is typically poorly un-

    derstood or respected in Arica.4 This is a conse-

    quence o many complex actors, including coloniallegacies, weak oversight, and corruption. Colonial

    administrations typically structured and mandated

    Arican security orces to protect executive oces

    and strategic resources as well as to control and sup-

    press Aricans perceived as threats to the status quo.

    Remnants o these structures and outlooks still linger

    in Arica. Persistent weak governance has also meant

    that checks and balances to constrain public sector

    agencies to their ocial remit are easily breeched.

    Since they tend to be comparatively well unded and

    are oten one o the biggest sectors o government in

    Arica, the armed orces oten overstep their bounds

    with little opposition.

    To be clear, it is not always leaders o the armed

    orces who attempt to seize power. Many civilian

    authoritarians have intentionally used the security

    services to weaken political opposition and protect

    their authority and patronage networks.

    Strengthening the doctrine o civilian control

    o the military, then, requires institutional adjust-

    ments on the part o both military and civilian au-

    thorities. Such adjustments commence by aligning

    the distinct but complementary core strengths o

    civilian authorities and the armed orces. By con-

    structively applying orce or the threat o orce, dis-

    ciplined security orces are able to infuence, man-

    age, or control events, the principal purpose being

    to protect national security. Yet such actions only

    have credibility to the extent that they are seen as

    supporting a democratic leadership.

    By contrast, a civilian government derives its

    powers directly rom the governed. This generates

    a political authority that can more eectively man-

    age and sustain security, as well as economic and

    social development. Legitimate governments are

    inherently more stable because they have relatively

    greater societal support to address internal prob-

    lems, adapt to change, and navigate confict that

    aects individual and collective well-being.5 Like-wise, coercion can be applied more credibly when

    decisions to use orce are made by democratically

    elected civilians. Thus, the armed orces and their

    actions are deemed legitimate indirectly through

    their deerence to legitimate civilian authorities

    and civilian governing structures.

    In a similar manner, the doctrine o civilian

    control recognizes that the military, as a specialized

    te amed fces ad teacts ae deemed letmate

    indirectly t te defeecet letmate cvla attes

    ad cvla ve stctes

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    government agency with dened roles and responsi-

    bilities, is supposed to implement rather thanormu-

    late security policy. The military is but one instru-

    ment with which to enhance security. Diplomacy,

    socioeconomic policies, and various mediation tools

    all aect the drivers o tensions and disputes. More-

    over, broad strategic matters, such as the decision

    to declare war, end confict, and procure advanced

    armaments, have signicant impacts on all citizens.

    Legitimate civilian leaders and institutions are in a

    better position to balance the application o these

    various instruments and considerations than coun-

    terparts in the armed orces.

    benefitS of c iv il iAn rule And

    dAngerS of Polit ic izAtion

    This distinction between policymaking and

    policy implementation yields practical benets or

    the security services. Excessive intererence ree

    rom checks and balances has tended to erode ca-

    pacity and proessionalism in the security sector as

    well as the caliber o its leadership. For instance,

    lack o legitimacy oten compels authoritarians to

    rely on ethnically or geographically biased recruit-

    ment to maintain allegiance. This tends to weaken

    readiness and eectiveness. The security orces are

    also more likely to be used as an employer o last

    resort, resulting in large but poorly educated and

    ill-trained military services. In Guinea Bissau, or

    example, the ratio o troops to total population

    is more than twice the average in West Arica.

    Meanwhile, its swollen ranks are undisciplined,

    its equipment dated and unusable, and interservice

    strie acute.

    Cte dIvoires security sector experienced a

    similar dilution o proessionalism over the last de-

    cade. Personnel tripled in size as ormer President

    Laurent Gbagbo continually doled out state re-sources to purchase the support o key constituen-

    cies. The gradual growth and politicization o the

    security services was a major contributor to insta-

    bility in the country, which culminated in a deadly

    stando ollowing Gbagbos loss in the November

    2010 presidential elections. The national deense

    orces disregarded their obligations to uphold the

    constitution and instead sided with Gbagbo in his

    eort to overturn the electoral results. Thousands

    died beore Gbagbo was captured. Having discred-

    ited themselves and their uniorm, military leaders

    were no longer able to command the respect o the

    population or ulll their role in society. The coun-

    trys new military leaders now ace the daunting

    task o reorming and realigning security services

    that were once a highly respected orce in Arica.

    Such setbacks can be avoided i Arican militaries

    adapt to and uphold expanding democratic reorms

    on the continent.

    Military and authoritarian governments will also

    attempt to buy the loyalty o one component o the

    armed orces at the expense o others to secure the

    regimes continued rule. Such considerations may

    lead to swings in budgetary support, avoring a spe-

    ciic branch o the armed orces at the expense o

    another, only to swing back in the other direction

    some time later.

    The presidential guard in Togo, or example,

    is avored over other branches o the military and

    staed predominantly by the ruling partys ethnic

    kin, skewing promotions and training that limit the

    militarys capabilities. The resentment generated

    has contributed to multiple instances o mutiny in

    the armed orces since the early 1990s. Meanwhile,

    the military remains decient in its rapid reaction

    capability, the small navy and air orce have been

    sidelined, and general doctrine, strategy, and deense

    structures are unclear.6

    A study o the budgeting process in Ethiopia de-

    termined that the centralization o spending decisions

    has led to higher levels o interservice rivalry and sub-

    optimal resource allocation.7 In Kenya, Uganda, and

    South Arica, evidence suggests that procurements

    o aulty or overpriced military equipment may have

    concealed diversions o unds to political campaigns.8

    Frequent shits, promotions, and demotions inRwandas security leadership have bred uncertainty

    and instability in the ocer corps. For instance, Pres-

    ident Paul Kagame suddenly announced the removal

    o the head o national intelligence in July 2011. His

    replacement was an army general who had been un-

    der house arrest or most o 2010. Such manipulation

    undercuts military proessionalism. The lack o con-

    tinuity also severely constrains the security services

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    ability to modernize, make strategic arms procure-

    ments, and plan or the uture.

    Civilian authority, then, should also be subject

    to checks and balances, with the legislative branch

    having a critical role in approving military budgets

    and security policies. Without such accountability,

    decisions are more liable to be based on political, in-

    stitutional, or personal interest as opposed to the real

    needs o the security services to protect the nation.

    Studies o military expenditures and corruption

    have ound that improvements in oversight should

    increase resources available to the military.9 Addi-

    tionally, eective oversight creates opportunities or

    citizens and civil society to have a voice in security

    policy and provision. Trusted, legitimate security

    services, in turn, are able to more easily cooperate,

    inorm, and interact with civilians.

    In short, tangible benets accrue under the doc-

    trine o civilian control. When decisions are made

    and resources allocated through a process o account-

    able and democratic governance, the outcomes are

    more likely to serve the national interest.

    bAlAnce through

    PArliAmentAry overSi ght

    Many Arican parliaments have recently become

    more open and responsive to their electorates and

    increasingly active in developing and approving leg-

    islation. However, most have yet to ully incorporate

    oversight as a core activity.

    Even where parliamentarians have demon-

    strated legislative aptitude and capacity, oversight

    has not been prioritized. In Ghana, or example,

    roughly 70 percent o Ghanaian members o parlia-

    ment rate as poor the bodys perormance on over-

    sight. Among parliamentary committees, deense

    and security portolios are not very active. In Benin,

    Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda, members o parliamentrarely ocus primarily on matters o national secu-

    rity.10 Not a single bill was proposed in Ghanas De-

    ense and Interior Parliamentary Committee rom

    2007 through 2009.11

    Auditing o the executive, the military budget,

    and the security sector more generally is also weak.

    The Democratic Republic o the Congo, Nigeria, An-

    gola, Senegal, Niger, Chad, Malawi, and several other

    Arican countries all rank near the bottom o indices

    o deense budget transparency in part due to inre-

    quent, incomplete, or nonexistent audits.12 When

    released, many audits contain no inormation on mil-

    itary procurements, which are deemed condential.13

    However, studies have shown that actual expendi-

    tures exceed deense budgets by approximately 20

    percent annually in Mali, Ghana, Ethiopia, Kenya,

    and Nigeria.14 Even when parliament actively reviews

    and approves military budgets, audits o subsequent

    spending, delivery o procurements, and perormance

    are still essential.

    Public Accounts Committees (PACs) are anoth-

    er particularly important oversight institution. Typi-

    cally chaired by an opposition member o parliament

    to ensure integrity, PACs are a common venue in

    parliamentary systems or reviewing audits, assessing

    government expenditures, holding hearings on policy

    implementation, and identiying corrective measures

    as necessary.15

    In Ghana, the PAC has actively exercised its

    investigative powers, holding many public meet-

    ingssome are even televisedand has uncovered

    misappropriation and raud.16 The Public Accounts

    Committee o Ugandas Parliament has also been a

    vital backstop to the Deence and Internal Aairs

    Committee. Though their eectiveness remains

    impeded by excessive classication o documents

    and manipulation by the executive branch, misap-

    propriation o unds has been exposed and ocials

    have been penalized and imprisoned ollowing re-ports rom Ugandas Auditor General and hearings

    by the PAC.17

    As the ears and eyes o citizens, parliamentar-

    ians must ensure that principles o good governance

    and the rule o law apply to the deense and security

    orces. Active parliamentary involvement makes the

    dierence between civilian oversight and democratic

    oversight. A state without parliamentary oversight o

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    its security sector should at best be deemed an unn-

    ished democracy.

    the WAy forWArd

    Democratic civilian control o the security sector

    in Arica has been uneven during the past 20 years

    o democratization experience. Still, Aricas institu-

    tions o accountability have been gaining traction.18

    To make urther progress, Arica will need to build

    on this momentum.

    As a starting point, parliamentary committees

    should more thoroughly scrutinize security sector

    leadership appointments put orth by the executive

    branch. In those countries where parliament remains

    excluded rom such approval processes, institutional-

    izing it should be a priority. Without checks and bal-

    ances, appointments are vulnerable to politicization.

    Among those parliaments that are legally em-

    powered to oversee such appointments, many lack

    ully capable and available legislative sta that nor-

    mally perorm such analysis. Addressing this is a

    priority. Civil society actors and independent media

    should also be encouraged to conduct and openly

    share evidence-based assessments o the integrity and

    merits o candidates.

    Strengthening scrutiny o appointments achieves

    multiple goals. Most importantly, it improves secu-

    rity by identiying the most qualied appointees. It

    also sends a signal to all in the military that capable

    proessionals will be rewarded. Security sector lead-

    ers who are appointed through a more accountable

    process will likewise have more credibility and will

    reduce the armed orces vulnerability to manipula-

    tion by political actors. Parliamentary review o se-

    nior military appointments can also help balance the

    prevailing dominance o the executive branch over

    national security.

    Parliamentarians should also move to curtail theexcessive use o opaque budgeting to und the secu-

    rity sector and clariy the standards o inormation

    classication, which are oten abused to shield secu-

    rity sector activity rom scrutiny. National security is

    a priority or any state and merits adequate support.

    Legislators should not be reticent in justiying these

    outlays. At the same time, many Arican states need

    to recalibrate their orce structures to meet contem-

    porary security challenges. This includes scrutiny o

    the role and cost o presidential guards.

    To do so, parliamentarians must cultivate their

    expertise in security sector issues. Civilian leaders

    that are versed in the nuances and complexities o

    military strategy, policing, intelligence, threat as-

    sessment, and similar acets o national security will

    gain the trust and respect o military leaders, as well

    as more ably judge the qualities o policy options. A

    growing number o Arican research institutes and

    civil society organizations specialize in security issues.

    Aricas parliaments should engage more with such

    organizations and sponsor members participation in

    their programs and exchanges.

    Legislative agendas must also devote more at-

    tention to national security matters. Members o

    deense and security committees should hold more

    public hearings with security experts and ocials on

    emerging threats, civil-military relations, deploy-

    ments and operations, and the nations long-term

    goals or military modernization, among many other

    topics. Promising initiatives and reorms emerging

    rom these hearings should then inorm new bills

    to be considered by these committees. Ombuds-

    men, PACs, and special commissions have proven

    to be critical elements o parliamentary oversight

    and thereore should be provided stronger mandates

    and unding.

    Aricas Regional Economic Communities canalso play vital roles in improving democratic over-

    sight o the armed orces. Various security-oriented

    bodiessuch as the Economic Community o West

    Arican States Committee o Chies o Deence,

    Sta Council o Elders, the Deense and Security

    Commission, and similar entities at other Regional

    Economic Communitiesoer valuable venues to

    identiy practical ways to institutionalize democratic

    teatal ates mstbade te eaemet

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    practices in the security sector. For instance, to bet-

    ter manage ormer military ocers roles in politics,

    these committees and councils could devise guide-

    lines or enhanced asset disclosures o military lead-

    ers and moratoriums on running or oce once they

    have retired rom active duty.

    These and other criteria could even provide the

    basis or a security sector peer review along the lines

    o the Arican Peer Review Mechanism, a now 10-

    year old initiative that publicizes multiple in-depth

    assessments o a range o governance indicators in

    Arican states.

    More generally, Arican states also need to

    ratiy the AU Charter on Democracy. Once rati-

    ed by 15 members10 have done so thus ar

    this will strengthen the legal ramework to prevent

    unconstitutional actions and creeping coups on

    the continent.

    International partners must broaden their en-

    gagement beyond narrow train and equip para-

    digms o devising security assistance to meet opera-

    tional needs and ocus more on overall governance

    and accountability. Specically, security partner-

    ships should avor those countries that are more

    democratic and thereore more likely to contribute

    to regional stability. Directing security assistance to

    countries with more eective oversight mechanisms

    will, likewise, better ensure that unds and transers

    are used responsibly.

    In the end, consolidating democracy requires

    positive and productive civil-military relations.

    Contrary to most assumptions, such changes can be

    achieved to the mutual benet o civilian and mili-

    tary communities. Democratic oversight o the secu-

    rity services is dicult to realize, but the benets to

    regional, national, and human security that accrue

    rom it are substantial and long lasting.

    noteS

    1 James Karuhanga, RDF Expects Over 15,000 Tonnes o

    Cassava Harvest,New Times (Rwanda), March 29, 2011.

    2 Raael Marques de Morais, Angola: The Presidencythe

    Epicentre o Corruption, Pambazuka News, August 5, 2010.

    3 Stanley Nkwazema and Suuyan Ojeio, Mark Lists

    Challenges o National Security, This Day (Nigeria), August

    20, 2008.

    4 Mathurin C. Houngnikpo, Guarding the Guardians:Civil-

    Military Relations and Democratic Governance in Arica(Burlington,

    VT: Ashgate Publishing, 2010).

    5 Bruce M. Russett and John R. ONeal, Triangulating Peace:

    Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations(New

    York: Norton, 2001).

    6 Togo: Armed Forces,Janes Sentinel Security ReviewWest

    Arica, IHS Global Insight, November 11, 2011.

    7 Ethiopia Deence Spending Irrational, South Arican

    Press Agency, May 1, 2005.

    8 Ben Magahy, Dominic Scott, and Mark Pyman, Deence

    Corruption Risk In Sub-Saharan Arica: An Analysis o Data Relat-

    ing Corruption in Deence Establishments to Development Outcomes

    (London: Transparency International, 2009), 32.

    9 Ibid., 28.

    10 Joel D. Barkan, Legislative Power in Emerging Arican

    Democracies, in Legislative Power in Emerging Arican Democra-

    cies, ed. Joel D. Barkan (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 2009),

    242.

    11 Sarah Brierley, Ghana Country Report, Centre or Social

    Science Research, University o Cape Town, 2010, 4, available at

    .

    12 Mariya Gorbanova and Leah Wawro,The Tranparency o

    National Deence Budgets (London: Transparency International,

    2011).

    13 Wuyi Omitoogun, A Synthesis o Case Studies, in Bud-

    geting or the Military Sector in Arica: The Processes and Mechanisms

    o Control, ed. Wuyi Omitoogun and Eboe Hutchul (London: Ox-

    ord University Press, 2006), 250251.

    14 Magahy, Scott, and Pyman, 21.

    15 Nthabiseng Ngozwana, Good Practice Guide or Public

    Accounts Committees in SADC, Southern Arica Development

    Community Organisation o Public Accounts Committees, August

    2009, available at .

    16 Staan I. Lindberg with Yongmei Zhou, Co-optation De-

    spite Democratization in Ghana, in Legislative Power in Emerging

    Arican Democracies, 158.

    17 Country ReportUganda, Countries at the Crossroads

    2006 (Washington, DC: Freedom House, 2006).

    18 Joseph Siegle et al.,Arica and the Arab Spring: A New

    Era o Democratic Expectations, Arica Center or Strategic Studies

    (ACSS) Special Report No. 1 (Washington, DC: ACSS, Novem-

    ber 2011).

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    AfricA center for

    StrAtegic StudieS

    Director: Ambassador William

    M. Bellamy (Ret.)

    National Deense University

    300 Fith Avenue, Building 21Fort Lesley J. McNair

    Washington, DC 20319-5066

    Phone: + 1 202-685-7300

    Web site: www.aricacenter.org

    AfricA center

    regionAl office

    in dAkAr

    Deputy Regional Manager:

    Claude Toze

    Phone: 221 33 869 61 60

    Email: [email protected]

    AfricA center

    regionAl office

    in AddiS AbAbARegional Manager:

    Brad Anderson

    Phone: 251 11 517 4000

    Email: [email protected]

    AfricA Security briefS

    Editor: Joseph Siegle, Ph.D.

    Phone: + 1 202-685-6808

    Email: [email protected]

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