Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R....

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Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University of Pennsylvania CTN Meeting 3.22.07

Transcript of Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R....

Page 1: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions:

Current Examples and Future Directions

James R. McKay, Ph.D.

Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry

University of Pennsylvania

CTN Meeting

3.22.07

Page 2: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Overview of Presentation

• Major problems in providing addiction treatment and how we’ve tried to address them

• Adaptive treatment models and how they are developed

• Examples of adaptive treatment in specialty care• Examples of adaptive treatment in other treatment

settings• Challenges in designing and implementing

adaptive treatment protocols

Page 3: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Problems in Addiction Treatment

• High rates of dropout and continued alcohol and drug use– In community-based programs– In research protocols

• Even with evidence-based treatments, considerable response heterogeneity

Page 4: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Attempts to Address Nonresponse?

• Improve existing treatments

• Develop new treatments

• Tailoring, or “matching” treatments to subgroups of patients

Results???

Page 5: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Still left with variable response…..

• Even when treatment delivery is standardized and high adherence to manual is achieved, some patients do well and others do not.

• Very hard to predict who will do well in a particular treatment

• Some patients do well at first, but then deteriorate• Nonresponse often blamed on the patient, but that

is likely not the whole story.

Page 6: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Another Possible Approach?

Adaptive Treatment

Page 7: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

In Adaptive Treatment Protocols…

• Treatment is tailored or modified on the basis of measures of response (e.g., symptoms, status, or functioning) obtained at regular intervals during treatment

• Goal is to deliver the treatment that is most effective for a particular patient at a particular time.

• Rules for changing treatment are clearly operationalized and described…..

“If……..Then”• Temporal issues important– when has sufficient time

elapsed to indicate “non-response”?

Page 8: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

How Do You Put Together an Adaptive Protocol?

Page 9: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Experimental Design for Developing Adaptive Protocols

• Use randomization to develop optimal adaptive treatment strategies– Example: What to do with early non-responders?

• Switch treatment?• Augment treatment?

• Determine the set of decision rules and interventions that produce the highest percentage of responders

THEN…….

• Compare the optimal adaptive protocol to TAU or other treatments in standard RCT

Page 10: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

The alternative approach….

• Devise adaptive protocol on the basis of:– Expert clinical judgment– Feedback from patients– Prior research findings– Face validity

• Compare that adaptive protocol to TAU or other treatment in standard RCT

• Pros and Cons: Faster than experimental approach, but protocol may be flawed

Page 11: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Examples of Adaptive Protocols from Addiction Specialty Care

Page 12: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Recovery Management Checkups

• Protocol developed by Dennis, Scott et al.– Interview patients every quarter for 2 years– If patient reports any of the following……

• Use of alcohol or drugs on > 2 weeks

• Being drunk or high all day on any days

• Alcohol/drug use led to not meeting responsibilities

• Alcohol/drug use caused other problems

• Withdrawal symptoms

….. ….Patient transferred to linkage manager

Page 13: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

RMC

• Linkage Manager provides the following:– Personalized feedback– Explore possibility of returning to treatment– Address barriers to returning to treatment– Schedule an intake assessment– Reminder cards, transportation, and escort to

intake appointment

Page 14: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Results: RMC vs. TAU

• Time to return to treatment 376 vs. 600 days (p< .05)

• Total days of treatment 62 vs. 40 days (p< .05)

• In need of treatment at 24 months 43% vs. 56% (p< .01)

• In need of treatment in at least 5 quarters 23% vs. 32% (p< .05)

Dennis et al. (2003) Evaluation and Program Planning, 26, 339-352

Page 15: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Methadone Treatment

• Brooner & Kidorf (2002) protocol– Methadone patients start in low intensity

psychosocial condition– Missed session or dirty/missing urine leads to

increases in psychosocial counseling– Providing additional contingencies for

participation further improves outcomes• More/less convenient dosing times• Methdone taper and possible discharge

Page 16: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Penn Telephone Continuing Care Study

• Patients: – 359 graduates of 4-week IOP programs– Cocaine (75%) and/or alcohol (75%) dependent

• Continuing care treatment conditions (12 weeks):– Standard group counseling (STND) – Individualized relapse prevention (RP) – brief telephone-based counseling (TEL)

McKay et al., 2004, Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology

Page 17: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Continuing Care Conditions

• Telephone Monitoring and Counseling

– Weeks 1-4, patients make a 15 minute call and attend a “transition” group (1x/week @)

– Weeks 5-12, patients have telephone contact only (1x/week)

– During calls, patients report results of self-monitoring and progress toward 1-2 goals, and plan goals for next week

– Patients use a workbook that structures intervention for each week.

– Total minutes of contact with therapist 50% of minutes in other conditions

Page 18: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Total Abstinence Rates

0

10

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3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24

Month

% A

bstin

ent STND

RP

TEL

Tx Main EffectTEL > STND p< .05

McKay et al., 2005, Archives of General Psychiatry

Page 19: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Treatment Strategy:

Using Progress in Initial Phase of Treatment to Select Optimal

Continuing Care Models

Page 20: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

7-Item Composite Risk Indicator

• Failure to achieve key goals while in IOP:– Any alcohol use in prior 30 days– Any cocaine use in prior 30 days– Attendance at < 12 self-help meetings in prior 30 days– Social support < median for the sample– Does not have goal of absolute abstinence– Self-efficacy < 80%

• Current dependence on both alcohol and cocaine

(each item: yes=1, no=0)

McKay et al., 2005, Addiction, Archives of General Psychiatry

Page 21: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Nu

mb

er o

f P

arti

cip

ants

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7Composite Risk Indicator Score

Distribution of Scores on the Composite Risk Indicator

Mean score= 2.50

Page 22: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

TEL vs. STND contrast X Risk Index Score: p < .05

Page 23: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Figure #1 Predicted Aggregated and Compressed Log "Bad" Costs Model: FGRBadcostlog = Txcond Sequence FGRBLBadcostlog Program

Txcond*FGRBLBadcostlog

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2

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0 2 4 6 8 10

Baseline "Bad" Costs (log)

3-m

onth

Fol

low

-up

"Bad

" C

osts

(log

)

STD RP (Not Significant) TR

Most favorable baseline level

Most favorable interventions

Crossover point STD vs. TR: "Bad" costs $830

(6.72 on log scale)

Least favorable baseline level

≥ $830; 27% (N = 98)

< $830; 73% (N = 261)

Page 24: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Extended Telephone-Based Adaptive Protocol for the Management of Cocaine

Dependence

Page 25: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Design

• Patients: Cocaine dependent IOP participants recruited after achieving early engagement

• Treatment conditions:– Treatment as usual (TAU)

– TAU plus adaptive protocol (24 mo.)

– TAU plus adaptive protocol (24 mo.), plus incentives for participation and cocaine-free urines (12 mo)

• Outcomes assessed over 24 months

Page 26: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

The Telephone Calls

• Frequency: weekly at first, titrated to bimonthly• Each call starts with a brief “risk assessment” that assesses

negative and positive factors and yields overall risk score (low, moderate, high)

• Similar protocol to prior study for telephone counseling: 1. Provide feedback on risk level 2. Review progress/goals from last call3. Identify upcoming high-risk situations 4. Select target for remainder of call5. Brief problem-solving regarding target concern(s)6. Set goal(s) for interval before next call7. Suggest change in level of care if warranted

Page 27: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Protocol

• Increases in services triggered when risk reaches moderate level– First: increase frequency of phone calls– Second: bring patient in for 1-2 face-to-face

evaluation and motivational interviewing (MI) sessions

– Third: provide 8 CBT relapse prevention sessions

– Fourth: refer back to IOP

Page 28: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Examples of Adaptive Protocols from Non-Specialty Addiction

Care

Page 29: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Primary Care Protocols for Heavy Drinkers

• Kristenson et al. (1983, 2003)– Patients randomized to visits with a nurse (every

month) and physician (every 3 months), vs. TAU

– Both provided for up to 4 years

– GGT levels monitored, and treatment/drinking goals modified on basis of scores

– Results: fewer sick days, fewer hospital days, lower mortality over 6 and 16 years than TAU

Page 30: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Continuing Care Naltrexone Protocol

• O’Malley et al. (2003) study of NTX treatment comparing primary care (PC) and specialty care (CBT) approaches

• First, pts given NTX and randomized to PC or CBT for 10 weeks

• Responders (57%) further randomized:– PC plus extended NTX vs. placebo (24 wks)

– CBT plus extended NTX vs. placebo (24 wks)

Page 31: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Alcohol Use Results and Interpretations

• Findings:– Initiation phase: PC=CBT– Extended PC phase: NTX > placebo– Extended CBT phase: NTX= placebo

• Resulting treatment algorithm– If patient responds to PC and NTX in first 10 weeks,

continue both for at least 24 more weeks– If patient responds to CBT and NTX in first 10 weeks,

continue CBT but stop NTX

• Note: no guidance regarding nonresponders

Page 32: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Naltrexone Study(David Oslin, PI)

• Experimental design to determine optimal algorithms for naltrexone responders and nonresponders

• All patients begin with 8 week trial of open label naltrexone, plus weekly medication management session

• During the 8 week trial, patients self-select into Responder and Non-responder groups

• First randomization: Different definitions of “non-response”– More than 1 heavy drinking day– More than 4 heavy drinking days

Page 33: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Naltrexone, cont.

Second Randomization

• Nonresponders:– Add CBI and drop NAL (i.e., “switch”)– Add CBI and continue NAL (i.e., augment”)

• Responders: – NAL script plus no further care– NAL script plus telephone disease management

Page 34: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Intervention Strategies Embedded in Oslin Trial

Adaptive intervention

Definition of nonresponder

Decision rules for responders

Decision rules for nonresponders

1 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

2 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

3 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

4 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

5 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

6 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

7 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

8 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

Page 35: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Comparing Definitions of Response

Adaptive intervention

Definition of nonresponder

Decision rules for responders

Decision rules for nonresponders

1 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

2 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

3 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

4 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

5 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

6 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

7 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

8 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

Page 36: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Comparing Augment vs. Switch for NonResponders

Adaptive intervention

Definition of nonresponder

Decision rules for responders

Decision rules for nonresponders

1 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

2 > 1 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

3 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

4 > 1 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

5 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone NTX with CBI

6 > 4 heavy drinking day Stay with NTX alone Change to CBI alone

7 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM NTX with CBI

8 > 4 heavy drinking day NTX with TDM Change to CBI alone

Page 37: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Summary of Possible Adaptations

• Non-responders– Step up (e.g., OP to IOP or residential)

– Lateral move (e.g., CBT to TSF)

– Modality change (e.g., CBT to medication)

– Step down (e.g., IOP to telephone monitoring)

• Responders– Reduce frequency of intervention (e.g., IOP to OP)

– Change to lower burden intervention (e.g., OP to periodic check-ups, or e-treatment)

Page 38: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Adaptive Treatment and the CTN:

Difficult Problems………….. But Big Opportunitiesand Potential Benefits

Page 39: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Challenges in Adaptive TreatmentClinical• Keeping patients engaged, especially when

deterioration occurs• Increasing compliance with adaptive changes,

especially “step ups” • Identifying alternative treatments for non-

responders– Lack of a variety of effective medications– Are different types of “talk” therapy really different

enough? – How important is patient preference/choice?

Page 40: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Challenges, cont.Research• Incorporating choice in algorithms

– Comparing heterogeneous condition to other interventions

• Sequential randomization designs– Randomizing patients 2+ times– Analytic issues (first decision)

• Power– Primary vs. secondary comparisons– New methods under development

Page 41: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Focus of Efforts in Treatment Development

• Emphasis in field has been on improving efficacy and adherence to manuals, and coming up with more cost-effective approaches.

• Shift emphasis to making participation more attractive to the patients to improve retention:– Greater weight to patient choice– at intake, and for

non-responders– Use of more convenient forms of care whenever

possible– Incentives for participation?

Page 42: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Possible Research Designs

• Adaptive strategies to address early dropout– Test providing a menu of treatment options vs. efforts

to re-engage in standard care

“So you don’t like IOP. How about…….?”

• Adaptive medication algorithms– Start with promising med– augment with or switch to

additional medication for nonresponders

Page 43: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Research Designs, cont.

• Adaptive studies that combine behavioral and pharmacological interventions:– Start with medication and low intensity behavioral

treatment, step up to more intensive treatment if no response

– Offer non-responders sequential package that first involves switching meds, but then includes augmentation with stepped up behavioral treatment if response still not achieved.

Page 44: Adaptive Treatment Strategies in the Addictions: Current Examples and Future Directions James R. McKay, Ph.D. Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry University.

Acknowledgments

• Colleagues:– NIDA CTN algorithms group– Dave Oslin, Kevin Lynch, Tom TenHave– Susan Murphy, Linda Collins

• Grant support:– NIDA: K02-DA00361, R01-DA14059, R01-

DA20623 – NIAAA: R01AA14850