Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations Alan Mayrer Tom Norris Al Renner...

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Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations Alan Mayrer Tom Norris Al Renner Edward Taylor

Transcript of Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations Alan Mayrer Tom Norris Al Renner...

Page 1: Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations Alan Mayrer Tom Norris Al Renner Edward Taylor.

Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations

Alan MayrerTom NorrisAl Renner

Edward Taylor

Page 2: Accuracy and Cost Effectiveness of Army Body Fat % Calculations Alan Mayrer Tom Norris Al Renner Edward Taylor.

History

• Army definition of an effective leader.

• Army disqualifying factors.

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Questions

• Core Question– Is the Ohio Army National Guard (OHARNG)

disqualifying good leaders because soldiers exceed the OHARNG’s body fat percentage standard?

• Secondary Questions– Is the OHARNG method of measuring body fat

percentage accurate?– If the OHARNG’s current method is inaccurate,

what more accurate methods exist

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Questions continued

• Secondary Questions– What are the costs associated with discharging

soldiers as a result of not adhering to the body fat standards?

– Are there any cost savings associated with using a different body fat measurement tool/process?

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Research Purpose and Rationale

• Why is this important?

• How will information be obtained?

• What do we want to have happen?

• Who do we need to influence to get it done?

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Research Setting and Context

• Ohio Army National Guard• Vision – “When called we respond with ready

units”• Focused on process for calculating % BF• Setting – Joint Force HQs, Columbus, OH• Two possible outcomes for organization:– Change method of calculating % body fat– Keep existing method of calculating % body fat

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Data Collection

• Secondary data is sufficient– Two main sources: Deputy Chief of Staff for

Personnel and the OHARNG Operations and Training department (G-3)

• Analyze personnel data to select a target group

• The key stakeholders• Evidence that will influence stakeholders

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Data Analysis

• Techniques– Record and sort common data from secondary

research sources– Note any discrepancies in research• Secondary research may have opposing results

– Cross-tabulation method• Finds relationship between two variables• Introduce elaboration analysis

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Data Analysis (cont.)

Organization1) Members Discharged by Gender and Reason • Indicates how many soldiers discharge for BF%

2) Members Discharged by Gender and by Body Fat %• Number of soldiers in BF% range per Gender

3) Cost of Member Discharged by Gender & Body Fat %• Cost of soldier in the BF% range

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Data Analysis (cont.)

4) Margin of Error and Cost of Measurement by Gender • Compares margin of error per gender for each method• Shows cost of method per gender

5) Margin of Error with Discharged Soldiers by Body Fat %• How many soldiers in each BF% and MOE%

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Data Analysis (cont.)

6) Comparing Costs by Margin of Error with Discharged Soldiers by Body Fat % Cost of Discharged by Body Fat Percentage Over Minimum

Gender Method Margin of

Error %

0.01-

0.99%

1.0%-

1.99%

2.00%-

2.99%

3.00%-

3.99%

4.00%-

4.99%

5.00%-

5.99%

6.00%-

6.99%

Totals

Male OHARNG

Standard

$$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Male Alt. 2 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Male Alt. 3 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female OHARNG

Standard

$$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female Alt. 2 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female Alt. 3 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Totals: $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

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Data Analysis (cont.)

7) Comparing Costs by Method Gender Method Discharge Totals Cost of Method

Per Soldier

Cost of Method *

Number of

Soldiers

Total Cost

Male OHARNG Standard $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Male Alt. 2 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Male Alt. 3 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female OHARNG Standard $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female Alt. 2 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

Female Alt. 3 $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$ $$.$$

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• Skinfold (hand calipers) vs. Bioelectrical impedance Conclusion: “Anthropometric method significantly

underestimated and bioimpedance overestimated body fat compared to the D2O method”

• Ultrasound portable (UT) device vs. Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) machine Result: UT as accurate as DEXA; however, it costs

less and is portable

Review of Relevant Literature

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Review of Relevant Literature• CBE (Circumference Based Equations )+ Simple and low cost to administer– Limited ability to validly estimate body fat

percentage• SBE (Skinfold Based Equations)+ Valid and reliable results, more costly than CBE – Impractical for military personnel to administer

• HW (Hydrostatic Weighing)+ Thoroughly validated lab method– Relies on specialized & costly equipment

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Data Presentation

• Deputy & other audience members will receive official report before briefing

• Beginning of Briefing:– Review purpose of the research– Organizational problem hypothesis– Sub Questions– Benefits of Data

• Know discharge costs associated with Body Fat %• May discover cheaper measuring method• May find more accurate methods, thus reducing costs of

training and replacement (discharge costs)

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Data Presentation

• Review the data collected– Where– Who authorized– Types of data collected

• Give totals in two formats:– Grand Totals– Totals by Gender

• Types– Bar graph most appropriate

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Cost by Method (grand total view)

Alt. 2 Alt. 3 OHARNG Standard$0.00

$50,000.00

$100,000.00

$150,000.00

$200,000.00

$250,000.00

$124,900.00

$210,700.00

$236,500.00

Sum of Discharge TotalsSum of Cost of Method * Number of SoldiersSum of Total Cost

Cost

in U

.S. d

olla

rs

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Cost of Method per Gender

Alt. 2 Alt. 3 OHARNG Standard

Alt. 2 Alt. 3 OHARNG Standard

Female Male

$0.00

$20,000.00

$40,000.00

$60,000.00

$80,000.00

$100,000.00

$120,000.00

$140,000.00

$57,400.00

$93,700.00

$107,500.00

$67,500.00

$117,000.00

$129,000.00

Sum of Discharge TotalsSum of Cost of Method * Number of SoldiersSum of Total Cost

Cost

in U

.S. d

olla

rs

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Data Presentation (cont)

• Graphs will be in sequential order– Explain the process at required level of detail– Final Slides will have conclusions

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Timeline

• Data Collection (costs and methods)– 3 months

• Army paperwork requests– 6 months

• Army paperwork time frame– 15 years• Half before war started• Half after war began

G. Allen Renner
NEED TO CHANGE THIS TO ACTUAL DATES.
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Timeline continued……

• Implementation– 1 year of final recommendation– 5 year nationwide (if recommended)

• Revisiting issue– Every year

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Timeline Title

Line 1

Line 2

Line 3

Line 4

Line 5

Line 6

Line 7

Line 8

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

On time!

To edit the timeline, select the timeline object, and then click Ungroup on the Draw menu.

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Resources

• People– Statistician– Research Analyst– G1 & G3

• Hardware– Computers & communications

• Software– MS Office– XL Stat

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Resources

• People– Statistician• ensure the quality of data/organization

– Research analyst • with military briefing experience• Publish final report

– Deputy Chief of Staff for Personnel (G1 & G3) • Personnel Data• Training costs Data

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Resources (continued)

• Equipment– Computers– Communications (Internet)

• Software– Research & Analysis• MS Office• XL Stat• Encryption Software if required by G1

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Permissions

• The Adjutant General for OH National Guard– Responsible for military readiness of AG Dept– Senior Cdr of Ast. Adjutant General Army

• Ast. Adjutant General Army (ATAG)– Commander Ohio Army National Guard (OHARNG)

• OHARNG is source of secondary research data• Need TAG & ATAG as champions to US Army

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Potential Ethical Issues

• Two potential ethical issues– Pride effects decision making process

• Alternative is more cost effective method but not selected

– Unscrupulous Army personnel may record false BF% • Personal bias towards certain soldiers

• Actions to address issues– Charts: to objectively show costs associated with

both methods

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Changes expected

• Army will change BF measurement method– More cost efficient– More accurate• Update Army 600-9 Regulation• No grandfathering

• Army will train all soldiers on new methods• Fewer soldiers being discharged– Talent pool for officers and non-commissioned

officers increases

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Things done differently

• Change order of process– Move section 7 to before 5– Brief section 1-3 before moving forward• Receive feedback and approval before moving to

section 4 – 6• Saves time and errors in sections 4-6