A NALYTICAL TOOLS FOR IDENTIFYING SKILL NEEDS : part of the social innovation tool-kit? Sanja...
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Transcript of A NALYTICAL TOOLS FOR IDENTIFYING SKILL NEEDS : part of the social innovation tool-kit? Sanja...
ANALYTICAL TOOLS FOR IDENTIFYING SKILL NEEDS: part of the social innovation tool-kit?
Sanja Crnković-Pozaić
Croatia
[email protected], Vienna
Themes today
• Working definition of social innovation
• Social innovation skills
• Metodology of identifying skill needs
• Possible uses in pursuit of social innovation
2
Definition of social innovation• Development requires the increase of
both material and social welfare• As much as innovation in marketable
goods and services creates material welfare, so
• Social innovation creates new value in the sphere of social welfare
• Therefore, social innovation is both a concept and a strategy for achieving balanced and sustainable development
3
Making social innovation possible• Resources available in a country for
social innovation determine the potential for achieving value added in the public good
• Types of resources needed:– Political will / setting objectives – Policy framework – Financial resources– Human resources– Institutional infrastructure
4
Possible fields of interest for social innovation
5
Skills for social development• Understanding both the supply and the
demand for skills in the 5 outlined fields is key to promoting social innovation
• The questions we will be asking:– Which occupations are dominant in the fields of
social development?– Which skill mixes are needed for the dominant
fields?– What are the long term trends in demand for relevant
occupations?– What are the characteristics of labour supply for the
given occupations?– How do labour demand and supply match up?
6
About skill sectors
• A skill sector includes:– Qualifications, – occupations and competences
which belong to a particular field of knowledge
• All skill levels are present from research to higher education, to simple occupations for which no qualifications are required, only practical experience
7
The skill sector is rather like a tree
• Roots are the qualifications• When knowledge is applied in a
work environment occupations result
• The branches are economic activities or industries where occupations are applied
• The highest branches signify higher knowledge content
• The horizontal spread of the branches signifies the application of knowledge in very many industries
8
High dispersion of occupations in the ICT industry
9
High concentration in the Forestry skill sector
10
Long term trends in ICT key industries, 2000-2011
11
The social innovation fields in Croatia(data 1Q 2011)
Ecology and environment
• 5 economic activities
• 29 occupations
• 19,603 employed
• 12 skill sectors
Research and development
• 2 economic activities
• 6 occupations
• 3,320 employed
12
Education• 5 economic
activities
• 29 occupations
• 19,603 employed
• 12 skill sectors
Public administration•7 economic activities•55 occupations•92,126 employed•18 skill sectors
The application to Croatia• Social welfare
– 5 economic activities– 13 occupations– 15,749 employed– 7 skill sectors
13
Health– 5 economic activities–41 occupations–72,204 employed–14 skill sectors
Social networks• 3 economic
activities
• 5 occupations
• 2,578 employed
• 5 skill sectors
Skill sectors in Social Welfare, 2011-Q1, %
14
The demand for social welfare services, education and health is growing
15
Steps in assessing demand for skills : some conclusions
• Steps taken:– Identify key economic sectors– Trace occupations within them– Group occupations into similar skill
sectors– Look at long term trends in
employment of key economic sectors– Work out the skill structure of each
economic sector and estimate roughly the demand for skills.
16
Assessing supply of skills for the whole health and social welfare sector in Croatia
• Look at qualifications linked to the skill sector
• Lower level of analysis to the region• Look at replacement demand for each
key industry• Compare annual replacement with
unemployed and new entrants to the labour market
17
Matching supply and demand Health and social welfare skill sector, 2010DEMAND• Total employment in sector – 80,784• Employees aged 50-64 – 34,4%• Annual retirement – 1,853• No. of vacancies 2010 – 7,129• Demand is expected to grow
SUPPLY• Unemployed with health occupations – 6,735• New entrants from education – 1,146• Total supply – 6,735
Replacement demand – 6,735-1,853= +4,882
Replacement with youth – minus 70718
What have we learned?
• The demand for skills in the health and social welfare sector will be fuelled by demographic change, longevity and the increasing pace of change
• There is short term excess supply of skills and there is more than adequate replacement demand
• There is medium term rise in demand as shown by the number of vacancies in relation to the number of unemployed
• The enrolment in health related qualifications is falling in time and more students carry on to higher education
• The long term prospects for this skill sector are not good and the only way out may have to be immigration.
19
Conclusions – uses of the methodology• Planning qualifications, enrolment
quotas• Understanding demand for mediation
and career guidance• Human resource strategies for regional
development• Industrial sector strategies
• Employment promotion plans• HUMAN RESOURCE NEEDS FOR
SOCIAL INNOVATION?20