502331 capital budgeting techniques pp13

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13.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer. Chapter 13 Chapter 13 Capital Budgeting Capital Budgeting Techniques Techniques

Transcript of 502331 capital budgeting techniques pp13

13.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Chapter 13Chapter 13

Capital Budgeting Capital Budgeting TechniquesTechniques

13.2 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

After Studying Chapter 13, After Studying Chapter 13, you should be able to:you should be able to:

1. Understand the payback period (PBP) method of project evaluation and selection, including its: (a) calculation; (b) acceptance criterion; (c) advantages and disadvantages; and (d) focus on liquidity rather than profitability.

2. Understand the three major discounted cash flow (DCF) methods of project evaluation and selection – internal rate of return (IRR), net present value (NPV), and profitability index (PI).

3. Explain the calculation, acceptance criterion, and advantages (over the PBP method) for each of the three major DCF methods.

4. Define, construct, and interpret a graph called an “NPV profile.”

5. Understand why ranking project proposals on the basis of IRR, NPV, and PI methods “may” lead to conflicts in rankings.

6. Describe the situations where ranking projects may be necessary and justify when to use either IRR, NPV, or PI rankings.

7. Understand how “sensitivity analysis” allows us to challenge the single-point input estimates used in traditional capital budgeting analysis.

8. Explain the role and process of project monitoring, including “progress reviews” and “post-completion audits.”

13.3 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Capital Budgeting Capital Budgeting TechniquesTechniques

• Project Evaluation and Selection

• Potential Difficulties

• Capital Rationing

• Project Monitoring

• Post-Completion Audit

13.4 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Project Evaluation: Project Evaluation: Alternative MethodsAlternative Methods

• Payback Period (PBP)

• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

• Net Present Value (NPV)

• Profitability Index (PI)

• Refer to the additional PowerPoint slides and the Excel spreadsheet “VW13E-13b.xlsx” for computer-based solutions.

13.5 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Proposed Project DataProposed Project Data

Julie Miller is evaluating a new project for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW).

She has determined that the after-tax cash flows for the project will be

$10,000; $12,000; $15,000; $10,000; and $7,000, respectively, for each of

the Years 1 through 5. The initial cash outlay will be $40,000.

13.6 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Independent ProjectIndependent Project

• IndependentIndependent – A project whose acceptance (or rejection) does not prevent the acceptance of other projects under consideration.

• For this project, assume that it is independent of any other potential projects that Basket Wonders may undertake.

13.7 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Payback Period (PBP)Payback Period (PBP)

PBPPBP is the period of time required for the cumulative

expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the

initial cash outflow.

PBPPBP is the period of time required for the cumulative

expected cash flows from an investment project to equal the

initial cash outflow.

0 1 2 3 4 5

–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K

13.8 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

(c)10 K 22 K 37 K 47 K 54 K

Payback Solution (#1)Payback Solution (#1)

PBPPBP = a + ( b – c ) / d= 3 + (40 – 37) / 10= 3 + (3) / 10= 3.3 Years3.3 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5

–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K

CumulativeInflows

(a)

(-b) (d)

13.9 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Payback Solution (#2)Payback Solution (#2)

PBPPBP = 3 + ( 3K ) / 10K= 3.3 Years3.3 Years

Note: Take absolute value of last negative cumulative cash flow value.

CumulativeCash Flows

–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7 K

0 1 2 3 4 5

–40 K –30 K –18 K –3 K 7 K 14 K

13.10 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

PBP Acceptance CriterionPBP Acceptance Criterion

Yes! The firm will receive back the initial cash outlay in less than 3.5 years. [3.3 Years < 3.5 Year Max.]

The management of Basket Wonders has set a maximum PBP of 3.5 years for projects of this type.

Should this project be accepted?

13.11 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

PBP Strengths PBP Strengths and Weaknessesand Weaknesses

StrengthsStrengths::

• Easy to use and understand

• Can be used as a measure of liquidity

• Easier to forecast ST than LT flows

WeaknessesWeaknesses::

• Does not accountfor TVM

• Does not consider cash flows beyond the PBP

• Cutoff period is subjective

13.12 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

IRR is the discount rate that equates the present value of the future net cash

flows from an investment project with the project’s initial cash outflow.

CF1 CF2 CFn (1 + IRR)1 (1 + IRR)2 (1 + IRR)n

+ . . . ++ICO =

13.13 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

$15,000 $10,000 $7,000

IRR SolutionIRR Solution

$10,000 $12,000

(1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2

Find the interest rate (IRR) that causes the discounted cash flows to equal $40,000.

+ +

++$40,000 =

(1+IRR)3 (1+IRR)4 (1+IRR)5

13.14 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

IRR Solution (Try 10%)IRR Solution (Try 10%)

$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF10%,1) + $12,000(PVIF10%,2) +$15,000(PVIF10%,3) + $10,000(PVIF10%,4) + $

7,000(PVIF10%,5)

$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(0.909) + $12,000(0.826) + $15,000(0.751) + $10,000(0.683) + $ 7,000(0.621)

$40,000$40,000 = $9,090 + $9,912 + $11,265 + $6,830 + $4,347

= $41,444$41,444 [[Rate is too low!!Rate is too low!!]]

13.15 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

IRR Solution (Try 15%)IRR Solution (Try 15%)

$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF15%,1) + $12,000(PVIF15%,2) + $15,000(PVIF15%,3) + $10,000(PVIF15%,4) + $

7,000(PVIF15%,5)

$40,000$40,000 = $10,000(0.870) + $12,000(0.756) + $15,000(0.658) + $10,000(0.572) + $ 7,000(0.497)

$40,000$40,000 = $8,700 + $9,072 + $9,870 + $5,720 + $3,479

= $36,841$36,841 [[Rate is too high!!Rate is too high!!]]

13.16 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

0.10 $41,444

0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603

0.15 $36,841

X $1,4440.05 $4,603

IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)

$1,444X

=

13.17 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

0.10 $41,444

0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603

0.15 $36,841

X $1,4440.05 $4,603

IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)

$1,444X

=

13.18 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

0.10 $41,444

0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603

0.15 $36,841

($1,444)(0.05) $4,603

IRR Solution (Interpolate)IRR Solution (Interpolate)

$1,444X

X = X = 0.0157

IRR = 0.10 + 0.0157 = 0.1157 or 11.57%

13.19 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

IRR Acceptance CriterionIRR Acceptance Criterion

No! The firm will receive 11.57% for each dollar invested in this project at a cost of 13%. [ IRR < Hurdle Rate ]

The management of Basket Wonders has determined that the hurdle rate

is 13% for projects of this type.

Should this project be accepted?

13.20 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

IRRs on the CalculatorIRRs on the Calculator

We will use the cash flow registry to solve the IRR for this problem

quickly and accurately!

13.21 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Actual IRR Solution Using Actual IRR Solution Using Your Financial CalculatorYour Financial Calculator

Steps in the ProcessStep 1: Press CF key

Step 2: Press 2nd CLR Work keys

Step 3: For CF0 Press -40000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 4: For C01 Press 10000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 5: For F01 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 6: For C02 Press 12000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 7: For F02 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 8: For C03 Press 15000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 9: For F03 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

13.22 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Actual IRR Solution Using Actual IRR Solution Using Your Financial CalculatorYour Financial Calculator

Steps in the Process (Part II)Step 10:For C04 Press 10000 Enter ↓ keysStep 11:For F04 Press 1 Enter ↓ keysStep 12:For C05 Press 7000 Enter ↓ keysStep 13:For F05 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 14: Press ↓ ↓ keys

Step 15: Press IRR key

Step 16: Press CPT key

Result: Internal Rate of Return = 11.47%

13.23 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

IRR Strengths IRR Strengths and Weaknessesand Weaknesses

StrengthsStrengths::

• Accounts for TVM

• Considers all cash flows

• Less subjectivity

WeaknessesWeaknesses: :

• Assumes all cash flows reinvested at the IRR

• Difficulties with project rankings and Multiple IRRs

13.24 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Net Present Value (NPV)Net Present Value (NPV)

NPV is the present value of an investment project’s net cash

flows minus the project’s initial cash outflow.

CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n

+ . . . ++ - ICOICONPV =

13.25 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Basket Wonders has determined that the appropriate discount rate (k) for this

project is 13%.

$10,000 $7,000

NPV SolutionNPV Solution

$10,000 $12,000 $15,000 (1.13)1 (1.13)2 (1.13)3

+ +

+ - $40,000$40,000(1.13)4 (1.13)5

NPVNPV = +

13.26 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV SolutionNPV Solution

NPVNPV = $10,000(PVIF13%,1) + $12,000(PVIF13%,2) + $15,000(PVIF13%,3) + $10,000(PVIF13%,4) + $ 7,000(PVIF13%,5) – $40,000$40,000

NPVNPV = $10,000(0.885) + $12,000(0.783) + $15,000(0.693) + $10,000(0.613) + $ 7,000(0.543) – $40,000$40,000

NPVNPV = $8,850 + $9,396 + $10,395 + $6,130 + $3,801 – $40,000$40,000

= - $1,428$1,428

13.27 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV Acceptance CriterionNPV Acceptance Criterion

No! The NPV is negative. This means that the project is reducing shareholder

wealth. [Reject Reject as NPVNPV < 00 ]

The management of Basket Wonders has determined that the required

rate is 13% for projects of this type.

Should this project be accepted?

13.28 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV on the CalculatorNPV on the Calculator

We will use the cash flow registry to solve

the NPV for this problem quickly and

accurately!

Hint: If you have not cleared the cash flows from your calculator, then you may skip to Step 15.

13.29 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Actual NPV Solution Using Actual NPV Solution Using Your Financial CalculatorYour Financial Calculator

Steps in the ProcessStep 1: Press CF key

Step 2: Press 2nd CLR Work keys

Step 3: For CF0 Press -40000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 4: For C01 Press 10000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 5: For F01 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 6: For C02 Press 12000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 7: For F02 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 8: For C03 Press 15000 Enter ↓ keys

Step 9: For F03 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

13.30 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Steps in the Process (Part II)Step 10:For C04 Press 10000 Enter ↓ keysStep 11:For F04 Press 1 Enter ↓ keysStep 12:For C05 Press 7000 Enter ↓ keysStep 13:For F05 Press 1 Enter ↓ keys

Step 14: Press ↓ ↓ keys

Step 15: Press NPV key

Step 16: For I=, Enter 13 Enter ↓ keys

Step 17: Press CPT key

Result: Net Present Value = -$1,424.42

Actual NPV Solution Using Actual NPV Solution Using Your Financial CalculatorYour Financial Calculator

13.31 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV Strengths NPV Strengths and Weaknessesand Weaknesses

StrengthsStrengths::

• Cash flows assumed to be reinvested at the hurdle rate.

• Accounts for TVM.

• Considers all cash flows.

WeaknessesWeaknesses::

• May not include managerial options embedded in the project. See Chapter 14.

13.32 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Net Present Value ProfileNet Present Value Profile

Discount Rate (%)0 3 6 9 12 15

IRRNPV@13%

Sum of CF’s Plot NPV for eachdiscount rate.Three of these points are easy now!

Net

Pre

sen

t V

alu

e

$000s15

10

5

0

-4

13.33 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Creating NPV Profiles Creating NPV Profiles Using the CalculatorUsing the Calculator

Hint: As long as you do not “clear” the

cash flows from the registry, simply start at Step 15 and enter a different discount rate. Each resulting NPV will provide a

“point” for your NPV Profile!

13.34 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Profitability Index (PI)Profitability Index (PI)

PI is the ratio of the present value of a project’s future net cash flows to the project’s initial cash outflow.

CF1 CF2 CFn (1+k)1 (1+k)2 (1+k)n

+ . . . ++ ICOICOPI =

PI = 1 + [ NPVNPV / ICOICO ]

<< OR >>

Method #2:

Method #1:

13.35 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

PI Acceptance CriterionPI Acceptance Criterion

No! The PIPI is less than 1.00. This means that the project is not profitable.

[Reject Reject as PIPI < 1.001.00 ]

PIPI = $38,572 / $40,000

= .9643 (Method #1, previous slide)

Should this project be accepted?

13.36 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

PI Strengths PI Strengths and Weaknessesand Weaknesses

StrengthsStrengths::

• Same as NPV

• Allows comparison of different scale projects

WeaknessesWeaknesses::

• Same as NPV

• Provides only relative profitability

• Potential Ranking Problems

13.37 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Evaluation SummaryEvaluation Summary

Method Project Comparison Decision

PBP 3.3 3.5 Accept

IRR 11.47% 13% Reject

NPV -$1,424 $0 Reject

PI .96 1.00 Reject

Basket Wonders Independent Project

13.38 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Project Evaluation: Remember Project Evaluation: Remember Chapter 12 ‘New Asset’ project?Chapter 12 ‘New Asset’ project?

Discount rate: 16%PBP: 2.19IRR: 28.40%

NPV: 19,328.69$ PI: 1.26

Accept: Exceeds discount rate

Accept: Increase shareholder wealthAccept: Greater than 1.00

Accept: Assume want payback within 3 yrs

0 (75,000)$ (75,000)$

1 33,332$ (41,668)$ 2 36,446$ (5,222)$

3 28,147$ 22,925$ 4 37,075$ 60,000$

Cumulative CFYear Cash Flow We will start with the cash flows of the project and also

calculate the cumulative cash flow values.

We can use Excel functions / approaches to calculate each of the following methods from the above cash flows.

13.39 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Other Project Other Project RelationshipsRelationships

• Mutually Exclusive Mutually Exclusive – A project whose acceptance precludes the acceptance of one or more alternative projects.

• DependentDependent – A project whose acceptance depends on the acceptance of one or more other projects.

13.40 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Potential Problems Potential Problems Under Mutual ExclusivityUnder Mutual Exclusivity

A. Scale of InvestmentA. Scale of Investment

B. Cash-flow PatternB. Cash-flow Pattern

C. Project LifeC. Project Life

Ranking of project proposals may create contradictory results.

13.41 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

A. Scale DifferencesA. Scale Differences

Compare a small (S) and a large (L) project.

NET CASH FLOWSProject S Project LEND OF YEAR

0 -$100 -$100,000

1 0 0

2 $400 $156,250

13.42 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

A. Scale DifferencesA. Scale Differences

Calculate the PBP, IRR, NPV@10%, and PI@10%.

Which project is preferred? Why?

Project IRR NPV PI

S 100% $ 231 3.31

L 25% $29,132 1.29

13.43 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

A. Scale DifferencesA. Scale Differences

0 (100)$ (100,000)$ 1 -$ -$ 2 400$ 156,250$

Discount rate: 10%IRR: 100.00% 25.00%

NPV: 230.58$ 29,132.23$ PI: 3.31 1.29

BEST!!Greatest NPV

Rate NPV - Small NPV Large0% $300.00 $56,250.002% $284.47 $50,182.624% $269.82 $44,461.916% $256.00 $39,061.948% $242.94 $33,959.19

10% $230.58 $29,132.2312% $218.88 $24,561.5414% $207.79 $20,229.3016% $197.27 $16,119.2018% $187.27 $12,216.3220% $177.78 $8,506.9422% $168.74 $4,978.5024% $160.15 $1,619.41

Year CF - Small CF - Large

$0.00

$10,000.00

$20,000.00

$30,000.00

$40,000.00

$50,000.00

$60,000.00

$0.00

$50.00

$100.00

$150.00

$200.00

$250.00

$300.00

$350.00

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%

Axis Title

Graph the NPV Profiles for 'Small' and 'Large' projects

NPV - Small

NPV Large

Refer to VW13E-13b.xlsx on the ‘Scale’ tab.

Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet ‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Scale’ tab.

13.44 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

B. Cash Flow PatternB. Cash Flow Pattern

Let us compare a decreasing cash-flow (D) project and an increasing cash-flow (I) project.

NET CASH FLOWSProject D Project IEND OF YEAR

0 -$1,200 -$1,200 1 1,000 100

2 500 600

3 100 1,080

13.45 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

D 23% $198 1.17$198 1.17

I 17% $198 1.17$198 1.17

Cash Flow PatternCash Flow Pattern

Calculate the IRR, NPV@10%, and PI@10%.

Which project is preferred?

Project IRR NPV PI

13.46 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Examine NPV ProfilesExamine NPV Profiles

Discount Rate (%)0 5 10 15 20 25-2

00

0

200

40

0

6

00

IRR

NPV@10%

Plot NPV for eachproject at various

discount rates.

Net

Pre

sen

t V

alu

e ($

)

Project IProject I

Project DProject D

13.47 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Fisher’s Rate of IntersectionFisher’s Rate of Intersection

Discount Rate ($)0 5 10 15 20 25-2

00

0

200

400

60

0N

et P

rese

nt

Val

ue

($)

At k<10%, I is best!At k<10%, I is best! Fisher’s Fisher’s RateRate of ofIntersectionIntersection

At k>10%, D is best!At k>10%, D is best!

13.48 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

B. Cash Flow PatternB. Cash Flow Pattern

Refer to VW13E-13b.xlsx on the ‘Pattern’ tab.

0 (1,200)$ (1,200)$ 1 1,000$ 100$ 2 500$ 600$ 3 100$ 1,080$

Discount rate: 10%IRR: 22.79% 16.93%

NPV: 197.45$ 198.20$ PI: 1.16 1.17

BEST??Greatest NPV

Rate NPV - Decrease NPV Increase0% $400.00 $580.002% $355.21 $492.454% $312.72 $411.006% $272.36 $335.138% $233.98 $264.33

10% $197.45 $198.2012% $162.63 $136.3214% $129.42 $78.3716% $97.72 $24.0118% $67.41 ($27.02)20% $38.43 ($75.00)22% $10.67 ($120.15)24% ($15.92) ($162.69)

Year CF - Decrease CF - Increase

($200.00)

($100.00)

$0.00

$100.00

$200.00

$300.00

$400.00

$500.00

$600.00

$700.00

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%

NPV Profiles for two similar projects

NPV - Decrease

NPV Increase

Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet ‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Pattern’ tab.

13.49 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

C. Project Life DifferencesC. Project Life Differences

Let us compare a long life (X) project and a short life (Y) project.

NET CASH FLOWSProject X Project YEND OF YEAR

0 -$1,000 -$1,000 1 0 2,000

2 0 0

3 3,375 0

13.50 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

X 50% $1,536 2.54

Y 100% $ 818 1.82

Project Life DifferencesProject Life Differences

Calculate the PBP, IRR, NPV@10%, and PI@10%.

Which project is preferred? Why?

Project IRR NPV PI

13.51 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

C. Project Life DifferencesC. Project Life Differences

Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet ‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Life’ tab.

0 (1,000)$ (1,000)$ 1 -$ 2,000$ 2 -$ -$ 3 3,375$ -$

Discount rate: 10%IRR: 50.00% 100.00%

NPV: 1,535.69$ 818.18$ PI: 2.54 1.82

BEST??Greatest NPV

Rate NPV - X NPV - Y0% $2,375.00 $1,000.002% $2,180.34 $960.784% $2,000.36 $923.086% $1,833.72 $886.798% $1,679.18 $851.85

10% $1,535.69 $818.1812% $1,402.26 $785.7114% $1,278.03 $754.3916% $1,162.22 $724.1418% $1,054.13 $694.9220% $953.13 $666.6722% $858.64 $639.3424% $770.14 $612.90

Year CF - X CF - Y

$0.00

$500.00

$1,000.00

$1,500.00

$2,000.00

$2,500.00

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%

NPV Profiles for X and Y - neither repeated

NPV - X

NPV - Y

13.52 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Another Way to Another Way to Look at ThingsLook at Things

1. Adjust cash flows to a common terminal year if project “Y” will NOTNOT be replaced.

Compound Project Y, Year 1 @10% for 2 years.

Year 0 1 2 3

CF –$1,000 $0 $0 $2,420

Results: IRR* = 34.26% NPV = $818

*Lower IRR from adjusted cash-flow stream. X is still Best.

13.53 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Replacing Projects Replacing Projects with Identical Projectswith Identical Projects

2. Use Replacement Chain Approach (Appendix B) when project “Y” will be replaced.

0 1 2 3

––$1,000 $2,000$1,000 $2,000 – –1,000 $2,0001,000 $2,000

– –1,000 $2,0001,000 $2,000

––$1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $2,000$1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $2,000

Results: IRR = 100% NPV*NPV* = $2,238.17$2,238.17

*Higher NPV, but the same IRR. Y is BestY is Best.

13.54 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

C. Project Life DifferencesC. Project Life Differences

Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet ‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Life2’ tab.

Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3-1000 2000

0 (1,000)$ (1,000)$ -1000 20001 -$ 1,000$ -1000 20002 -$ 1,000$ -1000 1000 1000 20003 3,375$ 2,000$

Discount rate: 10%IRR: 50.00% 100.00%

NPV: 1,535.69$ 2,238.17$ PI: 2.54 3.24

BEST??Greatest NPV

Rate NPV - X NPV - Y0% $2,375.00 $3,000.002% $2,180.34 $2,826.214% $2,000.36 $2,664.096% $1,833.72 $2,512.638% $1,679.18 $2,370.93

10% $1,535.69 $2,238.1712% $1,402.26 $2,113.6114% $1,278.03 $1,996.6016% $1,162.22 $1,886.5518% $1,054.13 $1,782.9020% $953.13 $1,685.1922% $858.64 $1,592.9524% $770.14 $1,505.79

Year CF - X CF - Y

$0.00

$500.00

$1,000.00

$1,500.00

$2,000.00

$2,500.00

$3,000.00

$3,500.00

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%

NPV Profiles for X and Y-repeated

NPV - X

NPV - Y

13.55 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Capital RationingCapital Rationing

Capital Rationing occurs when a constraint (or budget ceiling) is placed on the total size of capital expenditures

during a particular period.

Example: Julie Miller must determine what investment opportunities to undertake for Basket Wonders (BW). She is limited to a maximum expenditure of $32,500 only for this capital budgeting period.

13.56 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Available Projects for BWAvailable Projects for BW

Project ICO IRR NPV PI

A $ 500 18% $ 50 1.10 B 5,000 25 6,500 2.30 C 5,000 37 5,500 2.10 D 7,500 20 5,000 1.67 E 12,500 26 500 1.04 F 15,000 28 21,000 2.40 G 17,500 19 7,500 1.43 H 25,000 15 6,000 1.24

13.57 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Choosing by IRRs for BWChoosing by IRRs for BW

Project ICO IRR NPV PI

C $ 5,000 37% $ 5,500 2.10 F 15,000 28 21,000 2.40 E 12,500 26 500 1.04 B 5,000 25 6,500 2.30

Projects C, F, and E have the three largest IRRs.

The resulting increase in shareholder wealth is $27,000 with a $32,500 outlay.

13.58 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Choosing by NPVs for BWChoosing by NPVs for BW

Project ICO IRR NPV PI

F $15,000 28% $21,000 2.40 G 17,500 19 7,500 1.43 B 5,000 25 6,500 2.30

Projects F and G have the two largest NPVs.

The resulting increase in shareholder wealth is $28,500 with a $32,500 outlay.

13.59 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Choosing by PIs for BWChoosing by PIs for BW

Project ICO IRR NPV PI

F $15,000 28% $21,000 2.40B 5,000 25 6,500 2.30 C 5,000 37 5,500 2.10 D 7,500 20 5,000 1.67 G 17,500 19 7,500 1.43

Projects F, B, C, and D have the four largest PIs.

The resulting increase in shareholder wealth is $38,000 with a $32,500 outlay.

13.60 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Summary of ComparisonSummary of Comparison

Method Projects Accepted Value Added

PI F, B, C, and D $38,000

NPV F and G $28,500

IRR C, F, and E $27,000

PIPI generates the greatestgreatest increaseincrease in shareholder wealth shareholder wealth when a limited capital

budget exists for a single period.

13.61 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Single-Point Estimate Single-Point Estimate and Sensitivity Analysisand Sensitivity Analysis

• Allows us to change from “single-point” (i.e., revenue, installation cost, salvage, etc.) estimates to a “what if” analysis

• Utilize a “base-case” to compare the impact of individual variable changes• E.g., Change forecasted sales units to see

impact on the project’s NPV

Sensitivity AnalysisSensitivity Analysis: A type of “what-if” uncertainty analysis in which variables or assumptions are changed from a base case in order to determine their impact on a project’s measured results (such as NPV or IRR).

13.62 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Post-Completion AuditPost-Completion Audit

Post-completion Audit

A formal comparison of the actual costs and benefits of a project with original estimates.

• Identify any project weaknesses

• Develop a possible set of corrective actions

• Provide appropriate feedback

Result: Making better future decisions!

13.63 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

Multiple IRR Problem*Multiple IRR Problem*

Two!! Two!! There are as many potential IRRs as there are sign changes.

Let us assume the following cash flow pattern for a project for Years 0 to 4:

–$100 +$100 +$900 –$1,000

How many How many potentialpotential IRRs could this IRRs could this project have?project have?

* Refer to Appendix A

13.64 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV Profile – Multiple IRRsNPV Profile – Multiple IRRs

Discount Rate (%)0 40 80 120 160 200

Ne

t P

res

ent

Va

lue

($00

0s)

Multiple IRRs atk k = 12.95%12.95% and 191.15%191.15%

75

50

25

0

–100

13.65 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.

NPV Profile – Multiple IRRsNPV Profile – Multiple IRRs

Hint: Your calculator will only find ONE IRR – even if there

are multiple IRRs. It will give you the

lowest IRR. In this case, 12.95%.