400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ......

26
www.luxtera.com 400G Optical Transceivers Economic Comparisons in Silicon Photonics Brian Welch

Transcript of 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ......

Page 1: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

www.luxtera.com

400G Optical Transceivers

Economic Comparisons in Silicon Photonics Brian Welch

Page 2: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential − http://www.ieee802.org/3/400GSG/public/13_07/palkert_400_01_0713.pdf

2. An Economic Comparison of PSM4, PAM, and LR4 − http://www.ieee802.org/3/bm/public/jan13/welch_01b_0113_optx.pdf

3. SMF Link Costs over Time − http://www.ieee802.org/3/bm/public/jul13/welch_01_0713_optx.pdf

Background Materials

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 3: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• This presentation is an economic comparison of potential 400G optical transceivers

• This presentation is not a technical comparison

of potential 400G optical transceivers

400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 4: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• Compares: Module and Link Costs (vs. Distance) − Using a material basis [2]

• Assumes all solutions are equally technically feasible. − No parametric yield impairments for ‘harder’ solutions

• Assumes all solutions are shipping in the same volume • Does not include amortization of development cost in cost

comparisons • Doesn’t look at all potential solutions − Tries to cover the ‘space’, from simple to complex

400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 5: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

First Generation

• PSM16 – Electrical: 16x25 Gbps – Optical: 16x25 Gbps

• 4xPAM4 – Electrical: 16x25 Gbps – Optical: 4x100G (PAM4)

• 4λ-PAM4 – Electrical: 16x25 Gbps – Optical: 1x400G

• 4λ LWDM • PAM4

Second Generation

• PSM8 – Electrical: 8x50 Gbps – Optical: 8x50 Gbps

• 4xPAM4 – Electrical: 8x50 Gbps – Optical: 4x100G (PAM4)

• 4λ-PAM4 – Electrical: 8x50 Gbps – Optical: 1x400G

• 4λ LWDM • PAM4

Potential Solutions under Comparison

Comparison Baseline: 100G – PSM4

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Only PSM8 is an envisioned optical spec revision between First and Second Generations

Page 6: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Module Costs

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 7: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 68 mm2 880

CMOS Area 17 mm2 3576

Light Source(s) 1 3000

PSM4 – From Welch_01b_0113_optx

7 IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

Page 8: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

PSM16 – Gen 1 PSM8 – Gen 2

PSM16 and PSM8

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Lase

r Driv

er x

2(2

.6m

m x

350

u)

1keFuse

4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Bandgap

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Lase

r Driv

er x

2(2

.6m

m x

350

u)

1keFuse

4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Bandgap

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 144 mm2 408

CMOS Area 60 mm2 1020

Light Source(s) 1 2400-3000

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 108 mm2 553

CMOS Area 33 mm2 1827

Light Source(s) 1 2400-3000

4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Lase

r Driv

er x

2(2

.6m

m x

350

u)

1keFuse

Bandgap

4 RX

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin CTL(x=570u)

MZI Driver(x=900u)

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Lase

r Driv

er x

2(2

.6m

m x

350

u)

1keFuse

Bandgap

Page 9: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

4xPAM4 – Gen 1 4xPAM4 – Gen 2

4xPAM4

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 130 mm2 453

CMOS Area 58 mm2 1052

Light Source(s) 1 2400-3000

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 108 mm2 552

CMOS Area 40 mm2 1509

Light Source(s) 1 2400-3000 D

igital(550^2 m

in, 550x700 w

ith large rom

)

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

Bandgap

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin C

TL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

MU

X

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin C

TL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

MU

X

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin C

TL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

MU

X

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin C

TL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

MU

X

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

Bandgap

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

Bandgap

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PAM MZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

Bandgap

PLL

PLL

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

PAM MZI

Pin CTL(x=570u)

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PAM MZI

PAM MZI

Pin CTL(x=570u)

Page 10: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

4λxPAM4 – Gen 1 4λxPAM4 – Gen 2

4λxPAM4

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Bandgap

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

MU

X

PLL

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

MU

X

PLL

4 RXR

outin

g / L

oop

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

WD

M C

ON

TRO

LER

WD

M C

ON

TRO

LER

CW

Las

er D

river

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End 4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

TIA / LA

(x=850u)V

RE

G / iP

hoto(x=390u)

Offset Cancel

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

CW

Las

er D

river

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

MU

X

PLL

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PA

M M

ZI

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

MU

X

PLL

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Bandgap

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 191 mm2 306

CMOS Area 62 mm2 975

Light Source(s) 4 600-750

Area / Count per Wafer

Silicon Photonics Area 159 mm2 370

CMOS Area 46 mm2 1314

Light Source(s) 4 600-750

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Bandgap4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

WD

M C

ON

TRO

LER

WD

M C

ON

TRO

LER

CW

Las

er D

river

CW

Las

er D

river

1keFuse

4 RX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

CW

Las

er D

river

4 TX

Rou

ting

/ Loo

p

Digital

(550^2 min,

550x700 with

large rom)

Bandgap

PLL

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

PLL

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PAM MZI

PAM MZI

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PLL

PLL

Pin CTL(x=570u)

PAM MZI

PAM MZI

Pin CTL(x=570u)

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

AD

C

AD

C F

ront

End

TIA / LA(x=850u)

VREG / iPhoto(x=390u)

Offset C

ancel

Page 11: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

DPW PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4λxPAM4-G1 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4λxPAM4-G2

Silicon Photonics IC

880 408 453 306 553 552 370

CMOS IC 3576 1020 1052 975 1827 1509 1314

Light Source(s) 3000 2400 2400 600 2400 2400 600

Chipset BOM Comparison

Relative Cost PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4λxPAM4-G1 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4λxPAM4-G2

Silicon Photonics IC†

0.67 1.45 1.30 1.93 1.07 1.07 1.59

CMOS IC 0.33 1.16 1.12 1.21 0.65 0.78 0.89

CMOS Total Area

1.00 2.61 2.42 3.14 1.72 1.85 2.48

Light Source(s) 1† 1 1 4 1 1 4

11 IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

† May use lower power light source

Page 12: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Module Comparison - BOM

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Components PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4λxPAM4-G1 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4λxPAM4-G2

CMOS Total 1.00 2.61 2.42 3.14 1.72 1.85 2.48

Light Source(s) 1 1 1 4 1 1 4

TEC(s) 0 0 0 4 0 0 4

Optical Coupler 8 Fiber 32 Fiber 8 Fiber 2 Fiber 16 Fiber 8 Fiber 2 Fiber

Optical Connector

8 Fiber 32 Fiber 8 Fiber 2 Fiber 16 Fiber 8 Fiber 2 Fiber

PCB 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Housing 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Module Cost PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4λxPAM4-G1 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4λxPAM4-G2

Chipset 2 4.11 3.92 11.14 3.22 3.35 10.48

Normalized Module (Un-Yielded)†

1 2.05 1.96 6.6 1.61 1.66 5.27

† With Packaging and Transformation Costs Applied

Page 13: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

90%

77%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

89% 90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99% 100%

Tota

l Ass

embl

y Yi

eld

Yield Per Optical Attach

Module Assembly Comparison - Yield

PSM/PAM

LWDM

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 14: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

First Generation Second Generation

Yielded Module Cost

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99%100%

Mod

ule

Cost

Yield per Attachment

PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4LxPAM4-G1

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

90% 91% 92% 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99% 100%M

odul

e Co

st

Yield per Attachment

PSM4 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4LxPAM4-G2

Module Cost PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4-G1 4λxPAM4-G1 PSM8 4xPAM4-G2 4λxPAM4-G2

@ 95% Yield 1 2.05 1.96 8.53 1.61 1.66 6.81

Page 15: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Link Costs

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 16: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• Uses link architectures from kolesar_02_0313_optx.pdf

Link Costs

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 17: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• Prior Modeling Methodologies: − Summation Model (2xModule Cost + Fiber Plant Cost) o Pros: Simple o Cons: Does not account for different lifetimes of modules and fiber plant

− NPV Model o Pros: Accounts for the different lifetimes of modules and fiber plant o Cons: Requires assumptions about future module costs

• New Modeling Methodology: − Depreciation Model (2xModule Cost + Depreciated Value of fiber

plant) o Pros:

» Accounts for different lifetime of modules and fiber » Does not require any assumptions on future module costs

• Other Updates: − Revised materials costing on fiber and connectors

Link Cost Methodology

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 18: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• Uses MACRS depreciation table to derive ‘value used’ of a fiber plant. – Years 0 and 10 are ½ years

• Assumes 10 year average life of fiber plant

• Assumes 3.5 year average life of module

• ‘Depreciated value’ over said time is: – 0.1+0.18+0.144+0.115 = 0.539 – 53.9% of Fiber plant value

consumed in first generation

Depreciation Model

Year Depreciation 0 0.1 1 0.18 2 0.144 3 0.115 4 0.092 5 0.074 6 0.066 7 0.066 8 0.065 9 0.065

10 0.033

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 19: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

First Generation Second Generation

Link Costs – 25m to 500m

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

25 100 175 250 325 400 475

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4 4LxPAM4

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

25 125 225 325 425

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM8 4xPAM4- Gen2 4LxPAM4 - Gen2

Page 20: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

First Generation Second Generation

Link Costs – 500m to 2,000m

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4 4LxPAM4

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM8 4xPAM4- Gen2 4LxPAM4 - Gen2

Page 21: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

First Generation Second Generation

Link Costs – 2,000m to 10,000m

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM16 4xPAM4 4LxPAM4

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

PSM4 PSM8 4xPAM4- Gen2 4LxPAM4 - Gen2

Page 22: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Example: 400G to 4x100G Breakout Links

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

20.00

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Rela

tive

Link

Cos

t

Link Distance

4xPSM4 PSM16 PSM4 to PSM16 PSM16 to PSM4

Aggregated at 400G End (4x100G Fiber Plants) Aggregated at 4x100G End (400G Fiber Plants)

Page 23: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Other Costs and Considerations

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 24: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• Development Costs and Amortization − Some solutions may have higher development costs than others − Amortization of development costs can have a significant impact on

product COGS o Especially at low volumes and/or slow deployment growth rates

• Time to Market − Differing levels of development complexity can lead to very different

product availability dates • Price elasticity of demand − Higher cost solutions can drive down volumes, begetting even further cost

increases • Availability of ports − Highest volume port type is typically that deployed for short reach

interconnects − Enabling a common port for SMF interconnects can enable a larger TAM,

subsequently attracting more investment in cost optimized solutions

Other Costs and Considerations

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 25: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

Summary and Conclusions

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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Page 26: 400G Optical Transceivers - IEEE 802 · 1. 400G PMD Requirements for Broad Market Potential ... 400G Optical Transceivers: Economic Comparisons . IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study

• There are economically viable 400G solutions.

• Cost can be a strong function of objective definition − Objectives optimizing for 10km reaches unlikely to yield cost

optimized solutions for sub 500m reaches.

• Parallel SMF will be vital to the 500m objectives and

market.

Summary and Conclusions

IEEE 802.3 400 Gb/s Ethernet Study Group - November 2013

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