3Q06 Consolidated Results · 3Q06 Consolidated Results October 19, 2006 Certain statements in this...
Transcript of 3Q06 Consolidated Results · 3Q06 Consolidated Results October 19, 2006 Certain statements in this...
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3Q06 Consolidated ResultsOctober 19, 2006
Certain statements in this presentation and during the Q&A session of this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's
actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.
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Restatement
The restatement was as follows:
•Net Sales R$ 19.5 million•Cost of Sales R$ 19.5 million•Ebitda – as previously stated•Ebitda margin - 0.8 p.p, from 35.8% to 35.0%•Net income and net income per share – as previously stated
(R$ thousand)Old Restatement New
Net Sales 835.945 19.547 855.492 Cost of Sales 512.580 19.547 532.127 Gross Profit 323.365 - 323.365 Gross Margin 38,7% 0,9 p.p 37,8%Ebitda 299.106 - 299.106 Ebitda Margin 35,8% 0,8 p.p 35,0%
3rd quarter 2006
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Highlights
New pulp price increase of US$20 per ton announced for every market is expected to bring pulp prices to US$680/ton CIF Northern Europe by November 2006.
Record Consolidated Ebitda: US$138 million.
Mucuri Project: Assembly of plant has begun, is in line with financial and physical
schedule.
Share liquidity significantly increased, after conclusion of Ripasa restructuring: average daily trading up from R$ 3.2 million in 2Q06 to R$ 6.2 million in 3Q06.
Suzano starts sale of Ripasa products exclusively with the Ripax® cut size paper brand.
Issue of convertible debentures: R$ 240 million.
92% acquired by BNDES, the rest by other shareholders.
Starting with these results, our YoY comparisons are pro-forma including the 50% of Ripasa.
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Increase in sales volume (’000 tons)
(*) Difference between 9M06 annualized sales and 9M06 realized sales.(**) 9M06 annualized sales.
CAGR 14%
Consolidated sales evolution
('000 tons)
1.154 1.2841.038
1.295
-- 426
4321.154
1.2841.465
1.726
2003 2004 9M05 9M06
Sales volume 4Q sales
(*)
(**)
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Mucuri Project — Status
Capex of R$ 352 million in 3Q06; brings total spent so far to US$480 million, or 37% of the total approved by the Board Meeting of October 2006.Assembly of plant already started, in line with financial and physical scheduleConnection “tie-ins” between lines 1 and 2 realized during maintenance shutdown in September 2006.
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Photos – Setember 2006
Recovery boiler
Evaporation
Drying machine
Cooking
Turbo generator – Electricity room
Boiler being shipped at Antwerp
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Pulp Business Unit
Average pulp export price US$ 587/ton in 3Q06 – vs. US$558/ton in 2Q06.
Favorable forecast for the sector:
New price increase of US$ 20/ ton in November for all markets
High cost producers continuing to restructure their production.
Higher sales in this quarter due to consolidation of Ripasa sales, mainly sold to the domestic market. The start-up of the P630 project at Ripasa will increase access to the export market for Ripasa pulp.
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Pulp Business Unit
World inventories at 31 days, 1 day up from June.
Mucuri cash cost: US$ 206/ ton, with the partial effect of maintenance shutdown in September.
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143
181
36
122
158
38
111
149
2Q06 3Q06 3Q05
Pulp sales volume ('000 tons)
Domestic market Export market
Pulp exports - 3Q06(% of volume)
Europe53,1%Asia
35,3%
North America
7,7%
Latin America
3,9%
Pro-forma
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Paper Business Unit
Good outlook for the sectorDomestic market: Start of government paper purchases for schoolbooks program (PNLD), prices pressured by imports and appreciation of the Real.Export market: Higher international prices.
Domestic sales reached 63% of total paper sales volume. Domestic paper sales 8% up from 2Q06.Spread of paper prices to eucalyptus pulp list prices (CIF North Europe — in reels):
218163158
10-year average
2Q063Q06
US$ / ton
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Paper sales
Pro-forma
171
103273
184
108
292
167
133
300
2Q06 3Q06 3Q05
Paper sales volume ('000 tons)
Domestic market Export market
Paper exports - 3Q06(% of volume)
Latin America55,4%
Asia8,4%
Europe21,4%
North America14,4%
Other0,4%
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Quarter highlightsPro-forma with 50% of Ripasa
∆ %2Q063Q06
0.9%454 000 ton450 000 tonSales volume
7.8%171 000 ton184 000 tonPaper sales volume —domestic market
14.2%143 000 ton122 000 tonPulp sales volume —export market
9.9%10.4%1.5 pp
R$ 272 mmUS$ 125 mm
33.5%
R$ 299 mmUS$ 138 mm
35.0%
EbitdaR$US$Margin
—R$ 447 / tonR$ 447 / tonPulp cash cost (without cost of standing timber)
4.7%R$ 817 mmR$ 855 mmNet sales
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FX scenario and net profit
Change %2QT063Q06
5%R$ 103 mmR$ 98 mmNet profit (*)
(*) Inclduing Ripasa: proportional consolidation of 23.03% up to April 2006 and 50.0% after May 2006.
FX rate, R$ / US$ 2Q06 3Q06 3Q05Start of period 2.17 2.16 2.35 End of period 2.16 2.17 2.22 Average 2.18 2.17 2.34 Change -0.37% 0.46% -5.45%
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Leverage Pro-forma with 50% of Ripasa
1,055 9941,262
1,4101,594
446 440 440 498 551
2.87 2.83 2.89
2.372.26
0
200
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3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06
US$
Mil
lion
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0.5
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Net
deb
t/Eb
itda
Net debt Ebitda Net debt/ Ebitda
Note: Ebitda of 3Q06 annualized.
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Indebtness
Average maturity of long term debt: 4.1 yearsAverage cost of US$ debt: 5.9% p.a.Average cost of R$ debt : 9.3% p.a.
Debt schedule of amortization
1,312801
91583
863 682
1,757
Cash
4Q06
to
3Q07 4Q07
2008
2009
2010
2011
forw
ard
R$ m
illio
n
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1,505 1,019 1,049 705 7591,459
2,898
6,386
119
6890
109
202 195
116131
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06*
US$
Tsd
l
0
50
100
150
200
250
Trad
es
Avg. Daily volume Avg. Trades
Share liquidity
Liquidity of the stock increased after the restructuring of Ripasa and migration of minority shareholders:
After Ripasa restructuring
(*) From October 1 to October 16, 2006.
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IR team5511 3037 [email protected]
PressFernanda BurjatoGWA Comunicação [email protected] 3816 3922 // 13 9765-1526