2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

23
April 6, 2021 2022 AQMP Mobile Source Working Group Meeting #2 – Aircraft 2022 AQMP Mobile Source Working Group Meeting #2 – Aircraft Cleaning The Air That We Breathe… Cleaning The Air That We Breathe… 1

Transcript of 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Page 1: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

April 6, 2021

2022 AQMP Mobile Source Working Group Meeting #2 –

Aircraft

2022 AQMP Mobile Source Working Group Meeting #2 –

Aircraft

Cleaning The Air That We Breathe…Cleaning The Air That We Breathe…

1

Page 2: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Draft Aircraft Emissions Inventory and Potential Control Strategies

2

Page 3: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Draft Aircraft Emissions Inventory for South Coast AQMD

• Airports covered• Commercial (7), General Aviation (31), Military (3)

• Years covered• 2018 base year; 2023, 2031, and 2037 forecast years

• Emission calculation methodology• Aircraft operations (airports, FAA’s databases)• FAA’s AEDT tool; EPA’s average emission factors; FAA

survey data

• Draft inventory released April 2, 2021

3

Page 4: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

4

2018 aircraft operations by major category

Air Carrier27%

Air Taxi5%GA

67%

Military1%

Total = 3,422,479 operations

Page 5: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft operations by major aircraft type and commercial airport

5

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

BUR SNA LGB LAX ONT PSP SBD

Air

craf

t O

per

atio

ns

(th

ou

san

ds)

Air Carrier

2018 2023 2031 2037

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

BUR SNA LGB LAX ONT PSP SBD

Air

craf

t O

per

atio

ns

(th

ou

san

ds)

Air Taxi

2018 2023 2031 2037

Page 6: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft operations by major aircraft type and commercial airport (cont’d)

6

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

BUR SNA LGB LAX ONT PSP SBD

Air

craf

t O

per

atio

ns

(th

ou

san

ds)

General Aviation

2018 2023 2031 2037

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

BUR SNA LGB LAX ONT PSP SBD

Air

craf

t O

per

atio

ns

Military

2018 2023 2031 2037

Page 7: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

7

AirportTaxi time (min)

Mixing height (feet)In Out

LAX (2018) 12.18 19.24 1,800

LAX (2023) 13.26 21.01 1,800

LAX (2031) 15.76 24.97 1,800

LAX (2037) 17.91 28.39 1,800

LGB 4.39 13.17 1,800

SNA 5.75 9.63 1,900

BUR (pre-terminal)1 1.25 4.67 2,500

BUR (post-terminal)2 2.49 2.97 2,500

PSP 5 5 4,000

ONT 3.5 3.5 3,000

SBD Default Default 3,500

1Pre-terminal replacement taxi times used for 2018 and 20232Post-terminal replacement taxi times used for 2031 and 2037

Taxi times and mixing heights for commercial airports

Page 8: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

8

2018 aircraft emissions by major category

Air Carrier90%

Air Taxi3%

GA3%

Military4%

NOx EmissionsAir Carrier

6% Air Taxi4%

GA73%

Military17%

VOC Emissions

Total = 6,307 tons per year Total = 1,307 tons per year

Page 9: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

9

GA69%

Military7%

Commercial24%

VOC Emissions

Total = 1,307 tons per year

GA2%

Military4%

Commercial94%

NOx Emissions

Total = 6,307 tons per year

2018 aircraft emissions by airport type

Page 10: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions for commercial airports (NOx)

10

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Bob HopeAirport

John WayneAirport

Long BeachAirport

Los AngelesInternational

Airport

OntarioInternational

Airport

Palm SpringsInternational

Airport

SanBernardino

InternationalAirport

NO

x em

issi

on

s (t

py)

2018 2023 2031 2037

Page 11: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at Los Angeles International Airport

11

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 12: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at Bob Hope Airport

12

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 13: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at John Wayne Airport

13

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 14: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at Long Beach Airport

14

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 15: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at Ontario International Airport

15

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 16: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at Palm Springs International Airport

16

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 17: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Aircraft emissions at San Bernardino Airport

17

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2018 2023 2031 2037

Emis

sio

ns

(tp

y)VOC NOx

Page 18: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Comparison of NOx emissions with 2016 AQMP

18

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

2018 2023 2031 2037

NO

x em

issi

on

s (t

pd

)

2016 AQMP Draft 2021 Inventory

Page 19: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Growing contribution of aircraft emissions

19

4.8%7.4%

9.3%10.2%

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

2018 2023 2031 2037

Air

craf

t N

Ox

emis

sio

ns

(tp

d)

*2037 emissions are preliminary

*

Page 20: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

• Focus on forecast years: 2023, 2031, 2037

• Distinction between passenger and cargo aircraft

• FAA’s new Terminal Area Forecast (TAF) that will include the effects of COVID-19 on civil aviation (expected to be publicly available mid-to-late April at www.faa.gov)• Expected to result in lower forecasted aircraft operations

• Latest forecast of aircraft models/engines • Reflecting retirement of older aircraft• Increased use of newer aircraft

• Operational improvements not reflected in draft inventory

20

Potential updates to aircraft emissions inventory

Page 21: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

• New aircraft engine and auxiliary power unit (APU) standards (EPA/ICAO)

• Operational improvements• De-rated take-off• Single engine taxiing• Reduced APU usage/Zero-emission APU

• Routing aircraft with cleanest aircraft models/engines

• Promoting zero-emission aviation

• Others?

21

Potential aircraft control strategies

Page 22: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

• Update draft aircraft emissions inventory • FAA’s updated forecast (2023, 2031, 2037)

• Updated aircraft models/engines forecast based on inputs from airports and airlines

• Draft report available for review• Comments Due May 14, 2021

• Evaluate potential control strategies• Pursue potential future engine standards through EPA/ICAO

• Work with airports, airlines, and stakeholders to evaluate potential strategies

22

Next Steps

Page 23: 2022 AQMP MS Working Group for Aircraft

Staff Contact InformationStaff Contact Information

Zorik PirveysianPlanning and Rules Manager(909) [email protected]

Sang-Mi LeeProgram Supervisor(909) [email protected]

AQMP Mobile Source Working [email protected]

Xinqiu ZhangSenior Staff Specialist(909) [email protected]

Eric PraskeAir Quality Specialist(909) [email protected]

23