2020 Half-Year Results Presentation Ko… · 30/07/2020 · #1 #1 #2 Ongoing KEY FIGURES 470,000...
Transcript of 2020 Half-Year Results Presentation Ko… · 30/07/2020 · #1 #1 #2 Ongoing KEY FIGURES 470,000...
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2020 Half-Year ResultsPresentation
30 July 2020
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Agenda
Covid-19 update1.
2. H1 2020 financials
3. Outlook
5
10
22
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A PRESENCE IN 600 LIVING AREAS THROUGHOUT EUROPETo offer diversified and accessible solutions
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
RANGE OF SERVICES
56,000EMPLOYEESBEDS
86,046RESIDENTS/PATIENTS
949
6 countries representing nearly 55% of the EU population over 75 years old
FACILITIES
Number of facilities
Medical Care and Clinics
Assisted Living facilities
and shared housing for seniors
Home Care services
Nursing Homes
2019
SPAINBELGIUM ITALYGERMANYFRANCE NETHERLANDS
#1 #2#1 #1
Ongoing
KEY FIGURES
470,000
455 33,114
250 29,893122 13,111
33 935
73 6,876
16 2,117
Number of beds
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H1 2020: RESILIENCE THROUGH THE COVID-19 CRISISWITH INCREASED INVESTMENTS IN LOCAL CARE PATHWAYS
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
Adapting the network to operate in a safe Covid-19 environment over the long term
Sustained level of activity over the period despite lockdown measures
H1 2020: Revenue up 6.2% bolstered by acquisitions
and Restated EBITDA down to 13.2% (-140bps) due to Covid-19 impact (not incl. one-off Covid-19 costs)
High level of investment €516m allocated
to continuous development and transformation of the network
Korian remains fully mobilised to deliver on its 15 ESG commitments
Care continuity ensured by fully committed teams
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Covid-19 update
1.
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
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COVID-19 IMPACT (JULY, 2020)
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
Nursing Homes
Concentration of the epidemic in specific geographical areasSpecialised clinics
Assisted living and Shared housing
Home Care and at home hospitalisation
80% network affected by entry / activity restrictions:
Nursing Homes :
Entry freeze across the network due to lockdown
Lasting from March to end June
Healthcare:
Full interruption of ambulatory care
Significant drop of inpatient care – due to surgery lockdown
Partially compensated in France no compensation in Italy
Home Care
No specific restrictions - Increased activity (+27%)
Korian exposed to the virus through the location of its Nursing Homes: in Northern Italy, Belgium and France:
33% of the network affected by the virus at the peak
10% of residents were infected across the network
Over mortality rate vs. 2019 is 27% mid July can be extrapolated to 14% for 2020
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COVID-19: SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE SITUATION SINCE BEGINNING OF MAYTesting campaigns and distancing measures demonstrated efficiency
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
BEGINNING OF JUNE:SLOWDOWN CONFIRMED
LAST WEEK OF APRIL:CRISIS PEAK
No Covid-19 case
1 or 2 Covid-19 cases
≥ 3 Covid-19 cases
Caption
24 JULY 2020:97% OF THE NETWORK IS COVID FREE*
* 24 facilities with Covid cases mainly asymptomatic
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VIGI-COVID: ADAPTED NETWORK
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
• Specific hygiene rules
• On site training
• E-leaning tools
• Information campaigns
• Specific heatwave protocol
• Based on and updated with latest
scientic research
• 70 days of PPE stocks to cover epidemic
levels
• Of which 10 days in each facility
• Specific investments in individual air
conditionning units
• Investment in reusable and sustainable
protection
• Testing campaign rolled out in May/
June covering the majority of the
network
• Targeted campaigns in the vicinity of
local clusters
• All new residents and staff members
tested
• All symptoms tested
NEW EUROPEAN
STANDARD DEFINED
LARGE STOCK
OF PPE
TESTING PROTOCOL
DEFINED
Audit supported by Bureau Veritas already ongoing
100% of sites covered by 30th September 2020
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LEARN FROM THE CRISIS TO IMPROVE OUR QUALITY OF SERVICE:COMPLETE FEEDBACK PROCESS ONGOING WITH INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
1,000 interviews with our main stakeholders
5 Different categories*
Commitment and mobilization
of Korian’s teams in France
Residents and patients
Families
TargetedGeneral public
(50+)
1Prescriptors
2
Employees**
3Commercial
Prospects
4
** Opinion Way survey
Residents’ families
5
92%
""
Ifop survey for Korian carried out in 82% of Korian
Nursing homes network in France with 612 families
between 8th and 12th June 2020
Korian Employees
* IFOP studies between 5 to 26 June 2020 covering a sample of each category from 82% of French nursing home network. Similar studies to be undertaken across Europe.
General PublicPrescriptors
Commercial prospects
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H1 2020 financials
2.
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
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TIMELINE OF COVID IMPACTSProlonged period of restrictions on activities
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
February 2020 March 2020 April 2020 May 2020
22.02
First measuresto limit visits
June 2020 July 2020
Peak of the Pandemic
09.03 Lombardy is confined Red Zone
Period affected by direct entry freeze and limited healthcare activity
11.05
End of generallockdown
16.06 End ofconfinement to rooms in NH
End June
Easing of entry freeze for Nursing Home in Europe
with the exception of Lombardy
12.03 Outpatient activity suspended in Puglia
07.03 Belgium NH limit visits(11.03 government order)
18.05 reopening ofoutpatients activityin Puglia
17.03 Lockdown
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COVID IMPACTS OVER H1 2020Pandemic impacting revenue and engendering specific one-off costs
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
IMPACT ON ACTIVITY ONE OFF
€m Covid Loss Compensation Net
Bonus (52) 40 (12)
Other (31) 23 (8)
ONE OFF(83) 63 (20)
IMPACT
€m Covid Loss Compensation Net
Revenue (100) 38 (62)
Variable costs 24 24
EBITDAR(76) 38 (38)
IMPACT
TOTAL EBITDAR IMPACT ON H1 2020
€(58)m
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COVID IMPACTS OVER H1 2020Pandemic impacting margins
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
€m Actual One OffActual restated
from One OffUnder activity
ActualRestated
from Covid-19
Revenue 1,877 1,877 (62) 1,938
EBITDAR 443 (20) 463 (38) 501
EBITDAR margin (%) 23.6% 24.7% 25.9%
EBITDA 227 (20) 247 (38) 285
EBITDA margin (%) 12.1% 13.2% 14.7%
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871.6 941.6
895.7934.9
2019 2020
Q1 Q2
H1 2020 REVENUE DRIVEN BY EXTERNAL GROWTH
Nursing Homes entry freeze and Healthcare interruption in Italy and France
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
REVENUE
Reported growth Organic growth
€1,876.5mvs €1,767.3m in H1 2019 +6.2% +1.0%
+3.7%+8.0%
-1.6%+4.4%
Organic Growth +1.0% impacted by €62m Covid-19 losses
Affected by entry freeze across Europe
Differentiated impacts: Sharp decrease in inpatient healthcare activities
Interruption of outpatient ambulatory healthcare activities
Various compensation policies
Healthcare activities by country represent c. 50% of lost revenue
Over representation of healthcare activities in Italy withno compensation: Italy represented c. 50% of lost revenue
Reported Growth +6.2%
Supported by 32 acquisitions over 2019 & 2020
In line with initial expectations
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12acquisitions
4Greenfields delivered
31 1
1
1
1
1
3 2
1
1
LOCAL CARE PATHWAYS DEVELOPMENT
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
H1 2020 ACHIEVEMENTS
Medical Care and
Clinics
Assisted Living facilities
and shared housing for
seniors
Home Care services
Nursing Homes
SPAIN
1
BELGIUM ITALY
1
1
GERMANYFRANCE
1
1
1
NETHERLANDS
Greenfields delivered
3
3
Estimated
run rate
c. €200m
Strengthening our local services network in Europe
Germany: Integrated care networks
Italy: Local medical services presence
Netherlands: Development of small-size care communities
France: Strengthening medical capabilities and continueddevelopment of alternative, inclusive accomodations
Integrating facilities within digital ecosystems trough partnershipswith start-ups and building innovative care pathways outside the walls
Digital platforms
Qualivita acquisition covering several activities
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DIFFERENTIATED REGIONAL IMPACT IN Q2 OF COVID-19 Related to lockdown measures
Strong revenue growth in France driven by acquisitions, offsetting Covid
impact on healthcare and nursing home entries until June
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
FRANCE*
Strong contribution of acquisitions in Netherlands, offsetting entry
freeze in Belgium
BENELUX**
Limited slowdown of revenue growth in a lockdown context
Resilient performance thanks to strict management of cost structure
GERMANY
Strong impact of Covid-19 on existing perimeter, not compensated
shutdown of medical activities and entry ban in nursing homes for
3 months, partially offset by acquisitions
ITALY
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019
REVENUE 917.1 864.7
REPORTED GROWTH 6.1% 6.4%
ORGANIC GROWTH 1.8% 3.1%
EBITDAR MARGIN 26.2% 27.3%∆ EBITDAR MARGIN -1.1 pt
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019
REVENUE 496.8 473.0
REPORTED GROWTH 5.0% 5.2%
ORGANIC GROWTH 3.5% 4.7%
EBITDAR MARGIN 24.5% 25.1%∆ EBITDAR MARGIN -0.6 pt
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019
REVENUE 283.6 248.3
REPORTED GROWTH 14.2% 21.6%
ORGANIC GROWTH 5.7% 6.1%
EBITDAR MARGIN 23.7% 25.0%∆ EBITDAR MARGIN -1.3 pt
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019
REVENUE 179.0 181.2
REPORTED GROWTH -1.2% 8.1%
ORGANIC GROWTH -16.1% 1.7%
EBITDAR MARGIN 18.8% 24.0%∆ EBITDAR MARGIN -5.2 pts
* Included Spain for €16.9m in H1 2020 VS €8.2m in H1 2019** Included Netherlands for €24.3m in H1 2020
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DECREASE IN EBITDA MARGIN REFLECTING COVID-19 IMPACT ON EBITDAR
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
€m(excluding IFRS 16)
H1 2020 H1 2019 ∆%
Revenue 1,876.5 1,767.1 6.2%
Staff costs (1,096.4) (983.2) 11.5%
Other costs (337.3) (323.9) 4.1%
EBITDAR 442.9 460.0 -3.7%
% of revenue 23.6% 26.0% -240 bps
External rents (215.5) (201.7) 6.8%
% of revenue 11.5% 11.4% +10 bps
EBITDA 227.4 258.3 -12.0%
% of revenue 12.1% 14.6% -250 bps
One Off (20)
EBITDA restated from One Off 247.5 258.3
% of revenue 13.2% 14.6% -140 bps
Covid-19 impact (38)
EBITDA restated from Covid-19 285.5 258.3
% of revenue 14.7%* 14.6% -10 bps
Restated EBITDA from Covid: €285.5m
Margin 14.7%
EBITDA MARGIN: 12.1%-250 bps vs H1 2019
Personnel costs maintained up +11.5%
Staff costs represent 58% of Revenue – up 280 bps
Recruitments maintained
To ensure care continuity and swift restart
Fixed external rent costs
No rent renegotiation over the period
Trend maintained over the period
Lower real estate ownership in bolt on operations
* EBITDA restated from Covid-19 calculated on revenue, restated
from €(62)m net compensation on revenue loss, i.e €1,938m
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GROUP INCOME STATEMENT
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019 ∆ %
Revenue 1,876.5 1,767.1 6.2%
EBITDAR 442.9 460,0 -3.7%
EBITDA 227.4 258.3 -12.0%
Amt.Dep and Provisions (106.2) (95.6) 11.1%
EBIT 121.2 162.7 -25.5%
Non current expenses (20.8) (6.1) n.a
Operating income 100.3 156.6 -36.0%
Financial result (64.6) (60.8) 6.3%
Net income before tax 35.7 95.8 -62.7%
Income tax (14.1) (33.5) -57.9%
% tax rate 39.5% 35.0% + 450 bps
Minority interests (1.3) (2.2) -41.8%
Net profit - Group share 20.3 60.1 -66.2%
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
1
2
3
1
2
3
€(20.8)m non current expenses mainly due to
€(12.7)m M&A costs related to H1 2020 acquisitions
€(7.3)m restructuring, mainly in Germany following closing of Casa Reha HQ
€(64.6)m financial result
Increase in net debt
But reduced average interest rate costfrom 2.4% to 2.2% (cash impact of 1.7%)
€20.3m positive net profit (Group share)
Temporary increase of tax rate to 39.5% notablydue to change in country mix and effects in Belgium
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CONTINUED HIGH INVESTMENT LEVEL IN A CONSOLIDATING ENVIRONMENT
€m (excluding IFRS 16) H1 2020 H1 2019 ∆
EBITDA 227.4 258.3 -12.0%
Non cash & others (22.6) (29.6)
Change in WCR (33.0) (11.4)
Operating Capex (48.2) (44.0)
Operating Cash Flow 123.6 173.3 -28.7%
Income tax paid (32.2) (28.1)
Financial expenses paid (47.7) (58.6)
Operating Free Cash Flow (OFCF) 43.6 86.6 -49.7%
Development capex (52.7) (38.1)
Financial investments (bolt-on acquisitions) (225.8) (167.4)
Net Free cash flow (FCF) (234.8) (119.0)
Odirnane interest (5.7) (4.5)
Real estate investments / divestments (238.0) (172.6)
Net debt variation (534.7) (297.1)
1
2
3
1
2
3
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
OFCF significantly impacted by Covid-19
€43.6m Covid-19 impacts in EBITDA and delayed cash-in for compensation
Sustained real estate investments combining
Acceleration of Greenfields and investment in new builds
Some opportunistic buy back operations
Real estate acquisition from Bolt-on deals
Bolt on acquisitions momentum increased
Strengthening local presence in the countries
Diversification of activities
Development capex increased to transform the network
Renovation programs
Investment in health care network
Digital & IT investments
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STRONG PIPELINE TO ENHANCE GROWTH POTENTIAL
H1 2020 Pipeline H2 2020-2023
# of beds New capacities # of beds New capacities # of beds
December 2019 H1 2020 June 2020Estimated
End 2023
Estimated
End 2023
France (including Spain) 33,690 1,541 35,231 8,037 43,268
Germany 29,418 475 29,893 2,022 31,915
Benelux (Belgium+Netherlands) 13,015 1,031 14,046 3,082 17,128
Italy 6,552 324 6,876 1,338 8,214
Total 82,675 3,371 86,046 14,479 100,525
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
150 new agencies targetedfor end 2020
Ahead of development roadmap
14,479 new capacitiesestimated by end 2023 75% greenfields 25% bolt-on acquisitions
Outpatient capacityto double in France From 450 in 2019
to nearly 900 by 2022
Petits fils accelerated development
Real Estate ongoing projects
vs 200 in June 2019 249
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3.2x3.1x
3.7x
2,5
3,5
4,5
H1 2019 FY2019 H12020
A RESILIENT FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS - JULY 30th, 2020
1,454 1,711
1,062 1,290
640 694
FY 2019 H1 2020
NET DEBT BREAKDOWN (€m) (excluding IFRS 16)
RE debt IAS 17
3,156 3,695
+54
+201
+257
RE debtowned assets
Net Financial debt excl. RE
LEVERAGE RATIO (excluding real estate debt)
Portfolio value
€2,329m
€1,290m55% LTVvs 52% as of 31.12.2019
Real estate debt
+ 28% vs 30.06.19+14% vs 31.12.2019
LOAN TO VALUE 55%DEBT MATURITY PROFILE
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 >2027
Syndicated Loan OCEANE SSD/NSV EURO PP Other Corporate Debts Real Estate
Net value
> 1bn> 1 bn
liquidityAverage interest rate reduced
from 2,4% to 2,2%
Covenant 4.5x
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Outlook
4.
2019 ANNUAL RESULTS - FEBRUARY 28th, 2020
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OUTLOOK H2 2020
All guidance remains suspended
2020 HALF-YEAR RESULTS – 30 JULY 2020
Vigilant and resilient network using specific Vigi-Covid Standard
Sustained restart of entries from June in Nursing Homes and ClinicsIn Nursing Homes: +1 point after a low of -5 points on the average occupancy rate in Europe
In Clinics (full hospitalization and outpatients): +10 points in 1 month on the occupancy rate (>90%)
Fully mobilised to deliver on our 15 ESG commitments
Supporting positive development activity in H2Both organic and inorganic
Confidence in the relevance of our multi-local and diversified care model
Committed to deliver on roll out in Europe
SAVE THE DATES:Q3 Sales & Updated 2020 Guidance – 28 October 2020
INVESTOR DAY – 10 November 2020