2019-09-10 City of Vancouver Investor Presentation final · • Repayment of the City’s...
Transcript of 2019-09-10 City of Vancouver Investor Presentation final · • Repayment of the City’s...
September 10, 2019
City of Vancouver Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
• This presentation and subsequent discussion, contains certain forward-looking information, forecasts, projections, goals and strategies (the “forward-looking information”) with respect to revenues, funding, expenses, the financial condition, results of operation and business of the City of Vancouver (the “City”). This forward-looking information represents the City’s expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involves known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. This material is for information purposes only.
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High quality credit ratings
Thriving and robust economy
Stable revenue sources and property tax base
Strong fiscal management
Commitment to regular issuance
Investment Proposition
Aaa (stable) AAA (stable)
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Maintaining Highest Quality Credit Rating
May 09, 2019 • “The affirmation of the Aaa ratings is based
on positive operating outcomes which are supported by reliable revenues and a large, diverse economic base.”
• “The ratings also reflect the city's high levels of liquidity.”
• “The stable outlook reflects Moody’s assumption of continued strong fiscal performance over the next 18-24 months from predictable sources of income, and continued excellent levels of liquidity and strong debt affordability.”
February 07, 2019 • “Continuity of sound management under new
government and steady, but milder, economic growth will support creditworthiness.…”
• “The stable outlook reflects our assumption that a solid economy and comprehensive fiscal planning will facilitate operating and after-capital fiscal surpluses over the next two year.”
• “We believe that Vancouver's detailed long-term financial planning, as well as its experienced financial management team, will provide a solid fiscal policy anchor as the city's new government looks to implement its policy agenda.”
Economy
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Metro Vancouver – Positive Economic Indicators
3.9% 4.2%
4.0%
4.4%
2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4%
2.6%
0.9% 1.1%
3.0%
2.1% 1.9%
2.1%
1.7% 1.6% 1.7%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F
Metro Vancouver Canada Real GDP Growth (%)
5.9% 5.9%
5.4%
4.6% 4.3% 4.3%
4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
6.9% 6.9% 7.0%
6.3%
5.8% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2020F 2021F
Unemployment (%)
1.5%
1.0%
1.3%
1.1% 1.2% 1.2%
1.1%
1.3% 1.4%
1.5%
1.1%
0.9% 1.0%
1.2% 1.3%
1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2020F 2021F
Population Growth (%)
1.1% 1.2%
2.2% 2.2%
3.1%
2.4%
2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
1.9%
1.1% 1.4%
1.6%
2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F 2020F 2021F
CPI (%)
Source: The Conference Board of Canada Winter 2019; Statistics Canada; CMHC Housing Time Series Database
Metro Vancouver continues to be a thriving and robust economy.
Neighbourhood Energy
Strategy
Zero Emission Buildings Plan Transportation 2040
Vancouver Food Strategy
Healthy City Strategy Climate Change
Adaptation Strategy Greenest City Action Plan
Electric Vehicle
Ecosystem Strategy
A FAMILY OF
STRATEGIES
GREENEST CITY ACTION PLAN 7
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2019 Greenest City-Wide Success
Source: City of Vancouver Greenest City 2020 Action Plan, which can be found at vancouver.ca/GreenestCityActionPlan
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Task Force for Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (“TFCD”)
In 2018 the annual financial report, the City was the first municipality to include climate-related financial disclosures that align or partially align with TCFD
recommendations
TCFD Recommended Climate Related Disclosures City of Vancouver Disclosures
Governance • Governance on risks and opportunities
Strategy
• Impacts to business, strategy and financial planning where material
Risk Management
• Disclose how risk is identified, assessed and managed
Metrics & Targets
• Disclose metrics & targets to assess and manage risks and opportunities
• Vancouver’s Climate Strategies and Governance (page 32 & 33, 2018 CoV Annual Report)
• Climate Risk and Adaptation in Vancouver (page 34 & 35 2018 CoV Annual Report)
• 2019-2022 Capital Plan
• Climate Metrics and Targets in Vancouver (page 37 2018 CoV Annual Report)
• Climate Risk and Adaptation in Vancouver (page 34 & 35 2018 CoV Annual Report)
• 2019-2022 Capital Plan
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Strong Fiscal Management
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Long-term Capital Planning
The 2019-2022 Capital Plan was approved in Dec 2018
Strategic choices about investments
Every 4 years
Identifies objectives to be achieved
(may include specific projects)
Assigns order-of-magnitude funding
10-Year Capital Strategic
Outlook
Shorter-term priorities
Every 4 years
Identifies program priorities and specific
projects to be completed
Assigns specific funding level
4-Year
Capital Plan
Project approval
Every year
Provides detailed information and
plans about projects to be completed
Assigns fixed funding level
1-Year Capital Budget
(updated quarterly) + 4-year forecast
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Strong Liquidity Position
Consolidated Reserves Balance as of 31 December 2018: $1,177.4 million
“strong liquidity profile”
“exceptional liquidity”
339 400 424 437 471 509
637 676 761
825 844
995
1,177
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200Consolidated Reserves
12 year cumulative growth of $838M (+240%)
$ millions
- Excludes Sinking Fund
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“The City’s budget supports a livable, sustainable and equitable city”…..Sadhu Johnson, City Manager
2019 OPERATING REVENUES $1,513 MILLION
2019 OPERATING EXPENSES $1,513 MILLION Statutory requirement to balance budget
• The 2019 property tax increase reflects the cumulative items: inflation; the property tax impact of the provincial government’s new Employer Health Tax; and the additional investments in infrastructure renewal approved in the 2019-2022 Capital Plan.
• Property tax increase • 2019 – 4.50% • 2018 – 3.90% • 2017 – 3.40% • 2016 – 2.02% • 2015 – 2.46%
• Key priorities for the 2019 Budget and Five-Year Financial Plan are: • Increase housing supply and
affordability, and improve availability and supports for renters and vulnerable citizens.
• Maintain and improve operations and service levels.
• Invest in public safety. • Continue to build vibrant
communities and public spaces that support arts, culture and the environment.
• Meet our commitments to provide safe and healthy workplaces and public spaces
Source: 2019 Budget
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2019 – 2022 Capital Plan - $2.8 billion
Source: 2019-2022 Capital Plan, City of Vancouver
Under this Capital Plan, the Council approves in principle a borrowing limit totaling $495M.
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Financing and Debt Profile
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Legislative Framework
Vancouver Charter • Debt financing only for capital infrastructure
• City Council establishes limits for public utilities
• Electorate approves other borrowing limits
Debt servicing charges (principal & interest) for general capital program
• 100% funded from Operating Budget, refinancing not allowed
• Repayment of the City’s debentures are funded by the City of Vancouver’s ability to
levy taxes & fees.
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Keeping Debt at a Manageable Level
The City takes a careful approach to its use of debt • Used to renew and enhance public amenities and infrastructure
• While ensuring a balanced budget
As part of the City’s long-term debt strategy: • Water and sewer transitioning from debt to Pay-As-You-Go model
• Helps lower overall debt and save interest costs in the long run
Source: City of Vancouver 2018 Budget and 5-Year Financial Plan
Net Debt at a manageable level
Excludes Olympic Village debt fully repaid in 2014
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Consistent and Established Sinking Fund Debenture Program
125 125 140 110 105 90 90 85 85
120
020406080
100120140160
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 GreenBond
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Debenture Maturity Profile
For 2019, Council has approved a regular debenture issuance of up to $100M. Announcement will be made later this fall.
Issuance Year Face Amount Coupon (pa) Maturity
2009 $125M 4.90% 2 Dec 2019
2010 $125M 4.50% 1 Jun 2020
2011 $140M 3.45% 2 Dec 2021
2012 $120M 3.70% 18 Oct 2052
2013 $110M 3.75% 24 Oct 2023
2014 $105M 3.05% 16 Oct 2024
2015 $90M 2.90% 20 Nov 2025
2016 $90M 2.70% 15 Dec 2026
2017 $85M 2.85% 3 Nov 2027
2018 $85M 3.10% 21 Sep 2028
$1,075M - Total Issued Debentures (to date)
$ millions
Outstanding Debentures Cumulative Net Debt
346 411
477 543 582 611 622 617 616 598 589
138 87
118 77
121 178
246 326
418 395 494
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F
$ millions
Sinking Fund
Net Debt
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Contacts & Additional Information Name Title Telephone Email
Patrice Impey Director of Finance and General Manager 604-873-7610 [email protected]
Grace Cheng Director, Long-Term Financial Strategy and Planning / Deputy City Treasurer
604-871-6654 [email protected]
Tim Leung City Treasurer 604-873-7250 [email protected]
Anthony Tia Senior Analyst 604-873-7443 [email protected]
Websites
General http://vancouver.ca/
Greenest City Action Plan http://vancouver.ca/green-vancouver/greenest-city-action-plan.aspx
Investors Relations ((including Green Bond Framework and Second Party Opinion) https://vancouver.ca/your-government/investor-relations.aspx
Budgets and Finances http://vancouver.ca/your-government/budgets.aspx
Capital Plan for 2019-2022 https://vancouver.ca/your-government/capital-plan-2019-2022.aspx
2019 Budget and Five-Year Plan https://vancouver.ca/files/cov/2019-budget-book.pdf
Vancouver Economic Commission http://www.vancouvereconomic.com/
Vancouver Charter http://www.bclaws.ca/civix/document/id/complete/statreg/vanch_00
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