2017 05 09 San Angelo TSCPA Chapter...Motley Sherman Ochiltree Comal Estimated Population Change,...
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@TexasDemography Demographics of Texas and the San Angelo Area San Angelo TSCPA Chapter San Angelo, Texas May 9, 2017
Transcript of 2017 05 09 San Angelo TSCPA Chapter...Motley Sherman Ochiltree Comal Estimated Population Change,...
@TexasDemography
Demographics of Texas and the San Angelo Area
San Angelo TSCPA Chapter
San Angelo, Texas
May 9, 2017
Growing States, 2000‐2016
2000Population(millions)
2010Population(millions)
2016 Population (millions)
NumericChange
2010-2016 (millions)
PercentChange
2010-2016
United States 281.4 308.7 323.1 14.3 4.7%Texas 20.8 25.1 27.8 2.7 10.8%California 33.8 37.2 39.2 1.9 5.4%Florida 15.9 18.8 20.6 1.8 9.6%Georgia 8.2 9.7 10.3 .6 6.4%North Carolina 8.0 9.5 10.1 .6 6.4%Washington 5.8 6.7 7.3 .6 8.4%Arizona 5.1 6.4 6.9 .5 8.4%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2016 Population Estimates.
1.9 1.63.0 2.8
3.9 4.3
0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.40.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2016 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Total Population in Texas, 1950‐2016 (millions)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
86%?
113 - 10,000
10,001 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 4,589,928
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
PresidioTerrell
CulbersonReeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Hill
Duval
Harris
Frio
Bell
Kerr
Kenedy
Starr
Polk
Clay
Edwards
Irion
Hall
Ellis
Jeff Davis
Sutton
Uvalde
Bee
Hale
Dallam
Leon
Bexar
Gaines
Hidalgo
Upton
Hartley
King
Erath
Jack
Kinney
Kent
Zavala
Brazoria
Tyler
GrayOldham
Dimmit
CassLynn HuntWise
La Salle
Rusk
Kimble
Lamb
Medina
Floyd
Terry
Coke
Llano
Liberty
Ector
Andrews
Milam
Travis Lee
Knox
Mills
Smith
Falls
Ward
Collin
Jones
Nolan
Potter
Burnet
Cottle
Nueces
Taylor
Zapata
Real
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Martin
Garza
DallasFisher
Moore
Baylor
Kleberg
Archer
Scurry
Cameron
Cooke
Mason
Parker
Castro
Navarro
Brooks
Hardin
Deaf Smith
Lavaca
Donley
Hays
Goliad
Denton
El Paso
Fannin
Tarrant
Crane
Carson
Crosby
Borden
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Foard
Wood
Menard
Panola
Walker
Winkler
Harrison
Eastland
Loving
Bandera
Wichita
Hood
Matagorda
Brown
Reagan Houston
Maverick
Jasper
Coleman
Tom Green
Bailey
DeWittAtascosa
Bosque
Wharton
Concho
Runnels
Fayette
Haskell
Calhoun
Newton
Live Oak
Randall
Sterling
Jefferson
Briscoe
McMullen
Parmer
Jim Hogg
Mitchell
Wilson
Victoria
Trinity
Roberts
Howard
Bastrop
Grayson
San Saba
Midland
Hockley Dickens
Swisher
Gonzales
Anderson
Dawson
Willacy
Grimes
Wheeler
Cherokee
Colorado
Lubbock
Karnes
Red River
Refugio
Austin
Hemphill
Williamson
Jackson
Blanco
Ochiltree
McCulloch
Sherman
Wilbarger
Hansford
Callahan
McLennan
Yoakum
Angelina
Hopkins
Lipscomb
StephensPalo Pinto
Stonewall
Hamilton
MontagueCochran
Jim Wells
Limestone
Kaufman
Fort Bend
Titus
Comal
Armstrong
Kendall
FreestoneComancheGlasscock
Johnson
Galveston
Henderson
Montgomery
Brazos
Van Zandt
Chambers
Robertson
Waller
Sabine
Upshur
Hutchinson
Shackelford
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Lampasas
Collingsworth
Hardeman
Throckmorton
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Washington Orange
Rains
Gregg
Morris
San Augustine
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016
5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.
-2,010 - 0
1 - 1,000
1,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 497,469
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
Glasscock Shelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2015 to 2016
6Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2016 Vintage.
85 counties lost population over this one year period.-2,227 - -500
-499 - 0
1 - 5,000
5,001 - 25,000
25,001 - 56,587
Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016
7Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
Pecos
Brewster
Webb
Hudspeth
PresidioTerrell
CulbersonReeves
Val Verde
Crockett
Hill
Duval
Harris
Frio
Bell
Kerr
Kenedy
Starr
Polk
Clay
Edwards
Irion
Hall
Ellis
Jeff Davis
Sutton
Uvalde
Bee
Hale
Dallam
Leon
Bexar
Gaines
Hidalgo
Upton
Hartley
King
Erath
Jack
Kinney
Kent
Zavala
Brazoria
Tyler
GrayOldham
Dimmit
CassLynn HuntWise
La Salle
Rusk
Kimble
Lamb
Medina
Floyd
Terry
Coke
Llano
Liberty
Ector
Andrews
Milam
Travis Lee
Knox
Mills
Smith
Falls
Ward
Collin
Jones
Nolan
Potter
Burnet
Cottle
Nueces
Taylor
Zapata
Real
Coryell
Bowie
Motley
Young
Lamar
Martin
Garza
DallasFisher
Moore
Baylor
Kleberg
Archer
Scurry
Cameron
Cooke
Mason
Parker
Castro
Navarro
Brooks
Hardin
Deaf Smith
Lavaca
Donley
Hays
Goliad
Denton
El Paso
Fannin
Tarrant
Crane
Carson
Crosby
Borden
Schleicher
Gillespie
Shelby
Foard
Wood
Menard
Panola
Walker
Winkler
Harrison
Eastland
Loving
Bandera
Wichita
Hood
Matagorda
Brown
Reagan Houston
Maverick
Jasper
Coleman
Tom Green
Bailey
DeWittAtascosa
Bosque
Wharton
Concho
Runnels
Fayette
Haskell
Calhoun
Newton
Live Oak
Randall
Sterling
Jefferson
Briscoe
McMullen
Parmer
Jim Hogg
Mitchell
Wilson
Victoria
Trinity
Roberts
Howard
Bastrop
Grayson
San Saba
Midland
Hockley Dickens
Swisher
Gonzales
Anderson
Dawson
Willacy
Grimes
Wheeler
Cherokee
Colorado
Lubbock
Karnes
Red River
Refugio
Austin
Hemphill
Williamson
Jackson
Blanco
Ochiltree
McCulloch
Sherman
Wilbarger
Hansford
Callahan
McLennan
Yoakum
Angelina
Hopkins
Lipscomb
StephensPalo Pinto
Stonewall
Hamilton
MontagueCochran
Jim Wells
Limestone
Kaufman
Fort Bend
Titus
Comal
Armstrong
Kendall
FreestoneComancheGlasscock
Johnson
Galveston
Henderson
Montgomery
Brazos
Van Zandt
Chambers
Robertson
Waller
Sabine
Upshur
Hutchinson
Shackelford
Childress
Burleson
Nacogdoches
Lampasas
Collingsworth
Hardeman
Throckmorton
Guadalupe
Caldwell
Aransas
Marion
San Patricio
Madison
San Jacinto
Delta
Washington Orange
Rains
Gregg
Morris
San Augustine
Franklin
Somervell
Rockwall
-4.8% - 0%
0.1% - 2.5%
2.6% - 5%
5.1% - 10%
10.1% - 18.1%
Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2015 to 2016
8Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2016 Vintage.
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
-5% - -2%
-1.9% - 0%
0.1% - 2%
2.1% - 4%
4.1% - 18.3%
CountyU.S. Rank Population Change
Population Change
Percent of Change from
Natural Increase
Percent Changefrom Domestic
Migration
Percent Change from
International Migration
Harris 2 56,587 79.9% ‐27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462 44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198 44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209 79.9% ‐20.9% 41.0%Denton 11 27,689 23.9% 67.1% 9.0%Fort Bend 13 27,388 24.8% 59.4% 15.8%Collin 14 26,506 25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505 44.2% 33.3% 22.5%
Williamson 22 20,659 20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769 18.5% 73.5% 8.0%Hidalgo* 54 10,529 113.5% ‐33.4% 19.9%
Hidalgo County had negative net migration (‐13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016
Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016
County U.S. Rank
2015‐2016Percent
Population Change
Percent Change from Domestic Migration
Percent Change from InternationalMigration
Kendall 2 5.2% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 82.2% 1.8%Comal 6 4.4% 88.5% 2.0%
Williamson 14 4.1% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 59.4% 15.8%
Montgomery 24 3.7% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 67.1% 9.0%Kaufman 36 3.4% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 83.5% 0.7%Ellis 50 3.1% 78.1% 2.6%
*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates
89.5% 86.7%
41.5%
65.9%
49.7% 53.7%
10.5% 13.3%
58.5%
34.1%
50.3% 46.3%
1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
MigrationNatural Increase
Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, 1950-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates
Top 10 Gross Migration States for Domestic Migration to Texas, 2013
12
62,386
28,906
33,321
28,457
30,672
19,139
19,451
22,049
21,129
18,924
31,499
29,051
19,988
22,259
12,719
23,141
18,428
15,504
14,803
14,715
California
Oklahoma
Florida
Louisiana
Illinois
Colorado
Arizona
New Mexico
New York
Georgia
Out‐Migrants From Texas In‐Migrants to Texas
U.S. Census Bureau ACS 1-Year PUMS,2013
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2015 Population Estimates 11
NH White, 53%
NH Black, 11%
NH Asian, 3%
NH Other, 1%
Hispanic, 32%
2000
NH White, 43%
NH Black, 12%
NH Asian, 5%NH Other, 2%
Hispanic, 39%
2015
Texas White (non‐Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2014
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Popu
latio
n
Age
White (non‐Hispanic)
Hispanic
14Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 + years
Male White, Non‐Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic
15
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014
Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates
250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 + years
Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Male Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic Female, Hispanic
16
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014
Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates
250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year
5 years
10 years
15 years
20 years
25 years
30 years
35 years
40 years
45 years
50 years
55 years
60 years
65 years
70 years
75 years
80 years
85 + years
Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Male Hispanic
Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic Female, Hispanic
17
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014
Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates
Top 10 Gross Migration States for Domestic Migration to Texas, 2013
18
62,386
28,906
33,321
28,457
30,672
19,139
19,451
22,049
21,129
18,924
31,499
29,051
19,988
22,259
12,719
23,141
18,428
15,504
14,803
14,715
California
Oklahoma
Florida
Louisiana
Illinois
Colorado
Arizona
New Mexico
New York
Georgia
Out‐Migrants From Texas In‐Migrants to Texas
U.S. Census Bureau ACS 1-Year PUMS,2013
Domestic and International Net Migration for the Top Five Growth States, 2013‐14
19
138,546
154,467
‐32,090
41,975
22,106
112,306
84,637
161,318
14,234
24,818
Florida
Texas
California
Arizona
Georgia
Domestic Migration International Migration
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates, 2015
Annual Shares of Recent Non‐Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005‐2013
Place of Birth, Texas, 2011 and 2015
21
2011 2015
Native 83.6% 83.0% *
Born in United States 82.4% 81.6% *
State of residence 60.6% 59.7% *
Different state 21.8% 21.9%
Born in Puerto Rico, U.S. Island areas, or born abroad to American parent(s)
1.2% 1.4% *
Foreign born 16.4% 17.0% *
U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 5-Year Samples, 2006-2010 and 2011-2015* Estimates for time periods are significantly different (p<.05)
Language Spoken at Home and English Proficiency, Texas, 2006‐2010 and 2011‐2015
22
2006‐2010 2011‐2015Speak a language other than English at home 34.2% 35.0%Spanish 29.2% 29.5%Asian and Pacific Islands languages 2.5% 2.7%
Language other than English at homeEnglish Less than Very Well
Spanish 43.4% 41.3%5‐17 Years 28.6% 26.1%18‐64 Years 46.5% 44.2%65 plus 60.5% 57.8%
Asian and Pacific Islands languages 46.2% 45.3%5‐17 Years 26.4% 25.6%18‐64 Years 47.2% 45.6%65 plus 73.6% 71.8%
U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 5-Year Samples, 2006-2010 and 2011-2015
Selected Demographic Characteristics, Texas and Tom Green County, 2011‐15
23
TexasTom Green County
PopulationPopulation estimates, July 1, 2016 27,862,596 118,386Population estimates base, April 1, 2010 25,146,100 110,224
Population, percent change ‐ April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016 10.8 7.4
Population, Census, April 1, 2010 25,145,561 110,224
Age Persons under 5 years, percent, July 1, 2015 7.2 6.8Persons under 18 years, percent, July 1, 2015 26.3 23.6
Persons 65 years and over, percent, July 1, 2015 11.7 14.6Persons 65 years and over, percent, April 1, 2010 10.3 13.8
Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Sample 2011-2015
Selected Demographic Characteristics, Texas and Tom Green County, 2011‐15
24
TexasTom Green County
Race and Hispanic Origin
Black or African American alone, percent, July 1, 2015 12.5 4.6Black or African American alone, percent, April 1, 2010 11.8 4.0
Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2015, 38.8 38.8Hispanic or Latino, percent, April 1, 2010 37.6 35.7
White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2015 43 54.3White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, percent, April 1, 2010 45.3 57.9
Families and Living Arrangements
Households, 2011‐2015 9,149,196 42,825Persons per household, 2011‐2015 2.84 2.54Living in same house 1 year ago, percent of persons age 1 year+, 2011‐2015 83.3 77.9Language other than English spoken at home, percent of persons age 5 years+, 2011‐2015 35.0 24.5
Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Sample 2011-2015
Selected Demographic Characteristics, Texas and Tom Green County, 2011‐15
25
TexasTom Green County
Education
High school graduate or higher, percent of persons age 25 years+ 81.9 83.2
Bachelor's degree or higher, percent of persons age 25 years+ 27.6 22.1
Health
With a disability, under age 65 years, percent 8.1 10.2
Persons without health insurance, under age 65 years, percent 19.1 17.8
Economy
In civilian labor force, total, percent of population age 16 years+ 64.3 59.5
In civilian labor force, female, percent of population age 16 years+ 57.7 55.5
Mean travel time to work (minutes), workers age 16 years+ 25.6 17.3
Income and Poverty
Median household income (in 2015 dollars), 2011‐2015 $53,207 $46,711
Per capita income in past 12 months (in 2015 dollars), 2011‐2015 $26,999 $25,274Persons in poverty, percent 15.9 15.6
Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Sample 2011-2015
Percent of the Population that is Foreign Born, Census Tracts,San Angelo Area , Texas 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample 26
Tom Green
Irion
Concho
Coke
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Sterling
Crockett
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China(Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
0% - 5%
5.1% - 15%
15.1% - 25%
25.1% - 40%
40.1% - 73.1%
Median Age, Census Tracts, San Angelo Area, Texas 2010-2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5-Year Sample 27
Tom Green
Taylor
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Mitchell
Irion
Concho
Nolan
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, EsriJapan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, ©OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
10.1 - 29.9
30.0 - 34.9
35.0 - 44.9
45.0 - 55.0
Tom Green
Coleman
Reagan
Glasscock
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Irion
ConchoTom Green
Coleman
Reagan
Glasscock
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Irion
Concho
Persons per Square Mile
0 – 10
11 – 50
51 – 500
501 – 4,000
4,001 – 56,000
1970 1980 1990
Density by Census Tract, San Angelo Area, 1970‐2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses. Geolytics, Neighborhood Change Database Tract Data from 1970-2010
2000 2010
Tom Green
Colem
Reagan
Glasscock
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Irion
Concho
Tom Green
Coleman
Reagan
Glasscock
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Irion
Concho
Tom Green
Coleman
Reagan
Glasscock
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
MenardCrockett
Coke
Irion
Concho
Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty, Census Tracts, San Angelo Area, Texas 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample 29
Howard
Tom Green
Coleman
CallahanTaylor
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Crockett
Coke
McCulloch
Sutton
Mitchell
IrionConcho
Kimble
Nolan
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp.,NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand),MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
0% - 10%
10.1% - 20%
20.1% - 30%
30.1% - 40%
40.1% - 91.5%
Percent of Housing Units Built Before 1960, Census Tracts, San Angelo Area, Texas, 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample
0% - 25%
25.1% - 45%
45.1% - 65%
65.1% - 80%
80.1% - 100%
30
Tom Green
Irion
Concho
Coke
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Sterling
Crockett
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China(Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
Percent of Housing Units Built Between 1960 and 1999, Census Tracts, San Angelo Area, Texas, 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample
0% - 25%
25.1% - 45%
45.1% - 65%
65.1% - 80%
80.1% - 100%
31
Tom Green
Irion
Concho
Coke
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Sterling
Crockett
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China(Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
Percent of Housing Units Built After 1999, Census Tracts, Metroplex Area, Texas, 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample
0% - 25%
25.1% - 45%
45.1% - 65%
65.1% - 80%
80.1% - 100%
32
Tom Green
Irion
Concho
Coke
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Sterling
Crockett
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp., NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China(Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
Average Commute Time in Minutes, Census Tracts, San Angelo Area, Texas Area 2009-2013
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5-Year Sample 33
4.8 - 15
15.1 - 20
20.1 - 25
25.1 - 30
30.1 - 70
Howard
Tom Green
Coleman
CallahanTaylor
Sterling
Schleicher
Runnels
Menard
Crockett
Coke
McCulloch
Sutton
Mitchell
IrionConcho
Kimble
Nolan
Sources: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, USGS, Intermap, increment P Corp.,NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand),MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMap contributors, and the GIS User Community
Projected Population, Counties, Texas, 2020‐2050
34
40 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 2,500,000
2,500,001 - 7,600,000
2020 2030
2040 2050
Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Scenario
Projected Population, Counties, Texas, 2020‐2050
35
40 - 100,000
100,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 2,500,000
2,500,001 - 7,600,000
2020203020402050
Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Scenario
Projected Percent Change in Population 2010‐2050
DallasHoward
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
DeafSmith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
LibertyLee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
Upton
Hamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
Burleson Hardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
MadisonMcCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
MitchellNavarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
Jim Wells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
BastropAustin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
SanJacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
ShermanOchiltree
Comal
36
-51.2% - 0%
0.1% - 25%
25.1% - 50%
50.1% - 75%
75.1% - 425%
Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Scenario
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Millions
Zero Migration
0.5 of 2000‐2010 Migration
2000‐2010 Migration
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2050
37
Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections
Projected doubling date from 2010
242525262627272828
Millions
Zero Migration
0.5 of 2000‐2010Migration
Projected and Estimated Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2015
38Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Projected Population for the San Angelo Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2010‐2050
100,000
105,000
110,000
115,000
120,000
125,000
130,000
135,000
.5 of 2000‐2010 Scenario 2000‐2010 Scenario
39
Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau Estimates 2014
Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010‐2050
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
NH‐WhiteNH‐BlackHispanicNH‐Other
40Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario
Percent of Civilian Labor Force by Occupation, Texas, 2008, 2014 and 2014‐2008 Difference
9.3%
4.4% 4.4%
7.7%
3.9%
12.3%
9.9%
4.7%5.3%
6.8%
3.5%
12.0%
0.5% 0.3%0.9%
‐0.9% ‐0.4% ‐0.3%‐2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
2008 2014 Difference 2014‐2008
41Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2008, 2010, 2014`
Educational Attainment, Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2011 and 2015
2011 2015
Percent high school graduate or higher 81.1% 82.4% *
Percent bachelor's degree or higher 26.4% 28.4% *
42U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 1-Year Samples, 2011 and 2015* Years significantly different p<.05
Percent of the Population Aged 25 Years and Older with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, Texas Counties, 2014
Dallas
Howard
FoardFloyd
Brewster
FranklinHunt
Newton
Starr
Kinney
Collingsworth
TomGreen
Coleman
Brazoria
Leon
Duval
Lamb
Morris
Smith
Jackson
Medina
Wheeler
Dallam
Callahan
Lamar
Coryell
Gaines
Kendall
Nacogdoches
Milam
Hays
Willacy
Johnson
Reagan
Webb
Shackelford
Bowie
Scurry
Kenedy
Somervell
Oldham
Taylor
King
Borden
Walker
Stephens
Deaf Smith
Roberts
Tyler
Val Verde
Brown
Parker
Harris
Zapata
RedRiver
Karnes
PaloPinto
GlasscockShelby
Wood
Crosby
Refugio
Burnet
Sterling
Montgomery
San Augustine
Rains
Nueces
Jack
Swisher
Camp
Brazos
Orange
Colorado
Pecos
Cochran
Parmer
FreestoneWinkler
Wichita
Gray
Schleicher
Hardeman
TravisGillespie
Yoakum
Fayette
Uvalde
Grimes
VanZandt
Throckmorton
Falls
Grayson
Ellis
Hall
Dickens
TrinityReeves
Marion
Terrell
Lynn
LaSalle
Jasper
Jones
Castro
Victoria
Kleberg
Briscoe
Clay
Matagorda
Brooks
Runnels
Carson
Liberty
Lee
Hale
Bexar
Garza
Montague
UptonHamilton
FisherDawson
Dimmit
Hutchinson
Llano
Presidio
Eastland
Sabine
Wharton
Rusk
Tarrant
Lavaca
Childress
Hidalgo
Kaufman
Moore
Menard
Edwards
SanPatricio
Terry
Crockett
Houston
Waller
Coke
Ward
Titus
Lampasas
Haskell
Martin
Atascosa
HemphillHartley
Young
BurlesonHardin
Gonzales
McMullen
Erath
Galveston
Hopkins
McLennan
Madison
McCulloch
Donley
Kent
Real
Sutton
Midland
Hudspeth
Zavala
Harrison
Comanche
Mitchell
Navarro
Crane
Lubbock
Wise
Washington
Jeff Davis
El Paso
Gregg
Williamson
Lipscomb
Mason
Henderson
Hansford
Chambers
Hill
Potter
JimWells
DeltaStonewall
Ector
Cameron
Maverick
Collin
Baylor
Panola
Guadalupe
Bastrop
Austin
Andrews
Anderson
Blanco
DeWitt
Bandera
Bell
Aransas
Archer
Armstrong
Bee
Angelina
Bailey
Jefferson
Frio
Fannin
Goliad
Loving
Cass
Fort Bend
Bosque
Hockley
SanSaba
Kerr
Mills
Cooke
Wilbarger
Irion
Caldwell
JimHogg
Culberson
Upshur
Cherokee
Denton
Concho
Randall
Kimble
Knox
Polk
Hood
San Jacinto
Robertson
Wilson
Nolan
Cottle
Calhoun
Rockwall
LiveOak
Motley
Sherman Ochiltree
Comal
43
5.1% - 15%
15.1% - 20%
20.1% - 25%
25.1% - 30%
30.1% - 49.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2014
Percent Distribution of Educational Attainment of Persons Aged 25 Years and Older, Texas, 2008‐2015
20.4% 18.9% 17.6%
25.4% 25.5% 25.3%
28.8% 29.1%28.7%
17.1% 17.7% 18.7%
8.3% 8.7% 9.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Percent
Year
Graduate or ProfessionalDegree
Bachelor Degree
Some College or AssociateDegree
High School or Equivelent
Less than High School
44Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Samples, 2008‐2015
11.8% 12.2%6.7%
36.5% 33.6%
29.6%
14.2% 23.9%
27.6%27.5%
36.3%
15.9%
32.2%
22.7%24.0%
22.4%
57.7%
37.2%
13.2% 15.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Black Asian Non‐HispanicWhite
Hispanic All Other
Bachelor, Graduate,Professional Degree
Some College or AssociateDegree
High School or Equivelant
Less than High School
45
Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1‐Year Sample, 2015
Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25‐64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –
High School Graduates and Above
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001‐2011
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates,
Texas
47
15.0%
23.8%
31.3%
20.1%
9.8%
18.1%
24.0%
29.9%
18.7%
9.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Less than High School High School orEquivalent
Some College /Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree
Percen
t of the
Civilian
Labor Force
Educational Attainment
2011 ACS
2030 Constant 2011 %
These should be going DOWN These should be going UP
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended
Rates, Texas
48
15.0%
23.8%
31.3%
20.1%
9.8%11.4%
20.4%
34.3%
22.1%
11.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Less than High School High School orEquivalent
Some College /Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree
Percen
t of the
Civilian
Labor Force
Educational Attainment
2011 ACS
2030 Trended (2001‐2011 Trend)
These should be going DOWN These should be going UP
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario
Contact
State DemographerOffice: (210) 458‐6530Email: [email protected]: demographics.texas.gov
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
@TexasDemography
49
