2015 Automotive R&D Event Presentation -...
Transcript of 2015 Automotive R&D Event Presentation -...
2015 Automotive R&D EventBrian Aranha, VP Automotive Worldwide, London June 2015
DisclaimerForward-Looking Statements This document may contain forward-looking information and statements about ArcelorMittal and its subsidiaries. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “target” or similar expressions. Although ArcelorMittal’s management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors and holders of ArcelorMittal’s securities are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of ArcelorMittal, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially and adversely from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in the filings with the Luxembourg Stock Market Authority for the Financial Markets (Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier) and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) made or to be made by ArcelorMittal, including ArcelorMittal’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2014 filed with the SEC. ArcelorMittal undertakes no obligation to publicly update its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
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Agenda
• The market opportunity
• Challenges
• Solutions
• Industry leadership
2
• Global platforms: Carmakers demand that the same products be delivered to their production facilities worldwide, to support global platforms that are designed centrally. The percentage of vehicles built on global platforms will increase from 46% in 2014 to 63% in 2020
• Regulation: Shift in product needs to meet regulatory targets for fuel economy as well as passenger safety during crash events
• ArcelorMittal offers the specific solutionsto address these challenges
• ArcelorMittal maintains both its geographical and its technologicalleadership in the automotive market
Key automotive industry requirements
ArcelorMittal well positioned to meet automotive industry requirementsArcelorMittal well positioned to meet automotive industry requirements3
4
Automotive growth in developed world
Developed market vehicle production rates increasing; recovery ongoingDeveloped market vehicle production rates increasing; recovery ongoing
USA / Canada and EU28 + Turkey vehicles production units
• USA and Canadian automotive
production forecast to stabilize at
~14m units level
• EU28 and Turkey recovery
ongoing. Expected to return to
2007 level in 2017 with further
growth potential beyond
8,000
020222018201620142012
18,000
20082006 2010
21,00020,00019,000
17,00016,00015,00014,00013,00012,00011,00010,0009,000
2020
13,818
18,056
USA & CanadaEU28 & Turkey
5
Automotive emerging market growth
Strong growth expected in China, Mexico and IndiaStrong growth expected in China, Mexico and India
China vehicle production (‘000s) • China production to grow steadily by
+10m units to ~32mvh in 2022
• India production to almost double by
2022 (from 3.6mvh in 2014 to 6.9mvh in
2022)
• Mexico production is expected to
increase by >50% between 2014-2022
will supply new demand to USA and
Canada
• Brazil and Russia expected to need
time to recover and reach 2013 level
(>2020)
2012201020082006
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,0000
20222020201820162014
+42%
22,610
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2006 2008 2010 20142012 202220182016 2020
+93%Brazil
IndiaRussia
Mexico
Brazil, India, Russia & Mexico vehicle production (‘000’s)
Source: IHS
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Rigorous fuel economy standards
Fuel economy targets to be achieved whilst improving crash performance standardsFuel economy targets to be achieved whilst improving crash performance standards
Global CO2 (or equivalent) regulation trends 2012-2025 US CAFE* rules (MPG)
• 2012-2025 rules are footprint driven – each vehicle has a mandated fuel economy standard based on track x wheelbase
• 2025 CAFE for Light Vehicle USA: 54.5 MPG based on projected 2025 fleet by EPA/NHTSA• Similar trend for passenger safety in a crash event
62.1
41.5
54.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
AverageTruckCars
* CAFE refers to Corporate Average Fuel Economy
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EU and US CO2 emission targets
By 2015 fuel economy rates have met but there is a greater challenge aheadBy 2015 fuel economy rates have met but there is a greater challenge ahead
Europe: On track to achieve the regulatory CO2 emissions targets• EU regulation of new car fleet average
CO2 emissions of 130 g/km by 2015 has been met in 2014 with an average of 123 g/km thanks to rapid progress in recent years
• Target of 95 g/km confirmed for 2021. The next targets are still under discussion
US: 2025 target is more challenging• The 2014 US new car fleet met the 2015
target (165 g/km) but require further improvements to meet the 2025 target of 97 g/km
• The US fleet is composed of larger cars making the CO2 target much harder to meet
50
100
150
200
250
C0 2
(g/k
m)
Europe USA
2007(159)
2014(123)
2021(95)
2015(130)
TargetsHistorical performance
Regulatory targets
2007(210)
2014(165)
2015(165)
2021(124)
2025(97*)
* 97 g/km of CO2 = 54.5 mpg
* Average emissions of new passenger cars sold in these years; ** Market consensus ( eg PSA, Renault, McKinsey) ; Source: European Federation for Transport and Environment (T&E), EPA, ArcelorMittal Corporate Strategy analysis, Automotive Worldwide update
EU and US emissions performance 2007-2025
10 kg of weight saved reduces ~1g of CO2 per km**
Source: NHTSA Volpe Transportation Research Center CAFE Compliance and Effects Model
0
10
20
60
50
30
40
Fuel
Eco
nom
y (M
PG)
54.5 MPG
25 MPG
58%12%
15%8% 7%
• A range of technologies are being implemented by automakers to reach the 54.5 MPG target
• Power train, electrification, aerodynamics and rolling resistance are the largest contributors
• Weight reduction is necessary to close the gap and compensate for under achievement by other technologies
US fuel economy breakdown (MPG)
Technologies to meet US 2025 fuel economy mandate
20% BIW weight reduction ie required to meet the 54.5 MPG target20% BIW weight reduction ie required to meet the 54.5 MPG target8
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ArcelorMittal automotive strategy
Four pillars to answer the key challenges and capture opportunitiesFour pillars to answer the key challenges and capture opportunities
Four key pillars of ArcelorMittal automotive strategy:
New products and solutions• Develop new products and solutions to meet OEM targets for
weight reduction and crash performance Downstream network
• Pursue downstream technology solutions through partnerships and wholly owned subsidiaries.
Quality and service leadership• Make existing products and solutions available wherever we have
automotive production facilities Geographical expansion
• Expand our geographic footprint into emerging markets
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Steel meets weight reduction needs
Steel can provide the required 20% BIW weight reduction needed to achieve 54.5 MPGSteel can provide the required 20% BIW weight reduction needed to achieve 54.5 MPG
S-in motion® C-Segment Vehicle
Achieved 20% BIW weight reduction from 2009 baseline with emerging grades
S-in motion®
Pickup Truck
Achieved 23% BIW weight reduction from 2013 baseline with commercial-available grades
S-in motion® NA D-Segment Vehicle
Targets 24% BIW weight reduction from 2015 baseline with commercially-available grades
Results in July, 2015
• ArcelorMittal has demonstrated that 20% BIW weight reduction needed to achieve 54.5 MPG can be achieved with existing steel grades with furtherpotential from new grades
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Further weight reduction potential
New product developments to offer an additional 3% weight reduction in next 2 YearsNew product developments to offer an additional 3% weight reduction in next 2 Years
• Due to very aggressive and weight reduction driven product development, ArcelorMittal keeps enhancing:
• Our portfolio of products for cold stamping with developments like Fortiform®, our family of 3rd Generation AHSS
• Our portfolio of products for hot stamping with Usibor® 2000 and Ductibor® 1000
23 2420Current
Potential
North America D segment (2015 base)
Pick up truck (2013 base)
C Segment (2009 base)
Potential weight savings of additional 3% over the next 2 years across our solutions
Further potential weight savings with new products (%)
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What are laser welded blanks?
Applying the necessary properties where they are neededApplying the necessary properties where they are needed
• Laser welded blanks are two or more flat steel sheets welded together by a laser. These sheets can:• Have different thicknesses• Be made of different alloys• Have different coatings
• Using laser welded blanks, automotive engineers can design parts with the necessary properties where they are needed, optimizing weight and safety
VideoLaser welding Stamping
1 part:- 2 different thicknesses- 2 different alloys
Laser Pressure
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Combining LWB and hot stampingfor maximum weight saving
Optimum balance between lightweight and strength thanks to Laser Welded BlanksOptimum balance between lightweight and strength thanks to Laser Welded Blanks
Door ring
Rear side member B-pillar
Front bumper beam
Tunnel
Front side member
A-pillar
B-pillar inner Seat cross member
Front rail extension
Shotgun
Usibor®
Ductibor®
ArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks footprint
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Global footprint and expandingGlobal footprint and expanding
North America
Concord, Ontario Pioneer, Ohio
Murfeesboro, Tennessee Delaco Tonawanda, NY (JV) Delaco Dearborn, Michigan (JV)
Silao, Mexico San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Europe
India
Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Chennai (JV) Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Pune (JV)
ChinaShanghai Baosteel & Arcelor Tailor Metal (JV)
AustraliaArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks Adelaide
Existing PlantsIn project
Birmingham UK Bremen Germany Neuwied Germany Liege Belgium Genk Belgium
Gent Belgium Lorraine France Senica Slovakia Zaragoza Spain Orhangazi Tk (JV)
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Technology leadership ranking by customers
Technology• In NAFTA, 11 out of 12 customers ranked ArcelorMittal the #1 supplier on
Technology Leadership
• In Europe, 11 out of 14 customers considers ArcelorMittal the technology leader of the steel industry
Industry awards
ArcelorMittal proudly accepted General Motors’ Supplier of the Year award for the second consecutive year at the automaker’s 23th annual ceremony held in Detroit on March 5, 2015. The Supplier of the Year award was given to just 78, or less than one percent, of GM’s global suppliers.
Majority of OEMs in Europe and NAFTA rank ArcelorMittal #1 in TechnologyMajority of OEMs in Europe and NAFTA rank ArcelorMittal #1 in Technology
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ArcelorMittal preferred AHSS supplier
ArcelorMittal increased AHSS capturing market shareArcelorMittal increased AHSS capturing market share
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025AH
SS s
hare
of t
otal
ste
el d
eman
d
AHSS evolution
NAFTA
ArcelorMittal market shares
Europe
• ArcelorMittal is maintaining or even increasing our overall market share in Europe and NAFTA
• AHSS share of the total steel market is increasing, exactly where our share is higher
• As the technology requirements to develop and produce new AHSS like Fortiform® are higher, our share on these products can further grow
Source: Ducker
Source: Regional ArcelorMittal Marketing intelligence
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Global presence and reach
ArcelorMittal supplying globally and increasing emerging region exposureArcelorMittal supplying globally and increasing emerging region exposureSource: LMC figures for Western & Eastern Europe & Russia; IHS figures for all other regions. Personal cars and light commercial vehicles < 6 t
> 20 M veh> 15 M veh & < 20 M veh> 10 M veh & < 15 M veh> 5 M veh & < 10 M veh> 2.5 M veh & < 5 M veh> 1 M veh & < 2.5 M veh< 1 M veh
Vehicle production 2014
Automotive production facilities
Alliances & JV
Commercial Teams
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Right products to right markets
ArcelorMittal supplying to meet local customer needsArcelorMittal supplying to meet local customer needs
+136%
2012 2016
HDG capacity increase to produce
Usibor®
Usibor® production facilities (2012 and 2016)
Source: LMC forecasts (01-2013) for Western & E. Europe & Russia; IHS forecasts (01-2013) for all other regions. Personal cars and light commercial vehicles < 6 t
> 20 M veh> 15 M veh & < 20 M veh> 10 M veh & < 15 M veh> 5 M veh & < 10 M veh> 2.5 M veh & < 5 M veh> 1 M veh & < 2.5 M veh< 1 M veh
Vehicle production 2014
Newly added facility
Indiana Harbor
Mouzon
AM/NS Calvert
Dudelange
Florange
Vega
VAMA
Existing facility in 2012
Sagunto
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NAFTA automotive landscape
AM/NS Calvert ideally located to serve the growing marketsAM/NS Calvert ideally located to serve the growing markets
Forecast Canadian, US, and Mexican automotive production change 2014 to 2019F
• For the first time since the great recession of 2008, the US Midwest production is not growing• Decline in Canada is much higher than the past several years• Southern US continues to grow• Mexico’s growth rate is more than double the rate of the past 5 years
46%
14%19%
21%
US SouthUS MidwestCanada Mexico
2014
26%
43%22%
10%
2019
Mexico+1,343,000 units
Southern US+454,000 units
AM/NS Calvert
US Midwest-7,800 units
Canada-485,000 units
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AM/NS Calvert
Strengthens existing auto steel franchise and ability to supply energy marketStrengthens existing auto steel franchise and ability to supply energy market
• World’s most advanced steel finishing facility. The largest newly constructed facility in the U.S. in 40 years
• Well positioned to supply growing demand in the SE US and Mexico with steels grades that meet 2025 safety and fuel economy targets
• Powerful, state-of-the-art hot-strip mill, well suited to supply fast-growing demand for advanced high-strength steels (AHSS)
• 5.3 million metric ton capacity with 1,650 team members
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AM/NS Calvert
On track for ramp up with full benefits to accrue in 2016/2017On track for ramp up with full benefits to accrue in 2016/2017
• AM/NS Calvert is now integrated with ramp up to full production and target market position on track
• Organization readiness• Prepared for ramp up to full capacity• ISO9001, ISO14001, ISO17025,
TS16949 certification in process• Technology partnership with NSSMC• Sales team integrated ArcelorMittal
as managing partner 100% responsible for marketing
• Market penetration• Approved on 157 of 182 automotive
qualification packages.• Further 20 estimated in 2015• Pipe & Tube customers
qualified/business established• Two steel service centres on-site
Production capacity
Hot strip mill: 5.3Mt
Cold rolling mill CPL: 1.1MtPLTCM: 2.5Mt
Hot dip galvanizing Line #1: 0.5MtLine #2: 0.6Mt (CAL)Line #3: 0.5MtLine #4: 0.5Mt
Continuous hot-dip galvanising line
CPL – Continuous Pickling Line; PLTCM - pickling line-tandem cold mill
Shanghai
VAMA
FAW-VW & BMW
Daimler & Nissan
BYD, Changan, Suzuki, CFMA & FAW-VW
Changfeng, Fiat, DPCA, Dongfeng, Honda, JMC & Suzuki
Geely, VW, GM, KIA, SAIC & Chery
SAIC, Toyota, GM, Honda, Nissan & BYD
Beijing
Guangzhou
Loudi
22
•VAMA well positioned to supply growing Chinese auto market (+35% 2014-2020)•VAMA well positioned to supply growing Chinese auto market (+35% 2014-2020)
VAMA greenfield JV facility in China
222017
2018F2016F2014
+29%
Auto steel consumption accessible to VAMA target products (market size in MT)
VAMA: Valin ArcelorMittal Automotive target areas and markets
• 1.5 MT state-of-the-art production facilities• Well-positioned to serve growing automotive market• Central office in Changsha with satellite offices in
proximity to decision making centers of VAMA’s customers
• VAMA will represent 10% of Chinese automotive steel market
BYD: Build Your Dreams; CFMA: Changan Ford Mazda Automobile; SAIC: Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation; JMC: Jiangling Motors Corporation
VAMA PLTCM
VAMA Mixed CAL VAMA CGL
• ArcelorMittal technology transfer team permanently detached to Lianyuan Steel:
• Process: Development of automotive grades to supply substrate to VAMA and coils to wheels market
ArcelorMittal Chief Technology Officer team dedicated to• Design production assets & select equipment suppliers • Develop metallurgical routes for VAMA scope• Deploy automotive specific process know how
Valin – LiangangHot Strip Mill
Auto finishing facility fully supported with ArcelorMittal technology
1.0M tonnes 0.5M tonnes
JV Shareholder structure:ArcelorMittal owns 49% direct 51% Valin Steel
0.5M tonnes
Hot rolled coil
VAMA: Leveraging ArcelorMittalTechnology
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ArcelorMittal production technology to be deployed through VAMA ArcelorMittal production technology to be deployed through VAMA
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India - potential JV with SAIL
ArcelorMittal technology to be delivered through local JV partnerArcelorMittal technology to be delivered through local JV partner
• MoU signed with SAIL on 22nd May to study feasibility of creating JV for constructing CR and HDG automotive steel production facility in one of the major auto clusters in India
• India forecast to become the 4th
largest automobile manufacturing nation by 2020, growing from ~3.5m units to over 7m units
• India is expected to grow as a hub for automobile export manufacturing facilities to cater to the international market
• Establishing an automotive focussed production presence in India is a natural progression in executing our global automotive strategy
02,0004,0006,0008,000 +93%
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
India auto production 2007-2022 (kveh)
2,2001,900
800 800
2021
+2,200
2,700
2014
1,900
4,900
ImportsDomesticOrganic growth
India auto steel consumption ktpa 2014-2021
2014: 3.7m passenger cars; 2.6Mtpa 2021F: 6.6m passenger cars; 4.8Mtpa
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Capital investments to support existing and new products
Selection of further investments:• $15 million at ArcelorMittal Vega to locally produce Usibor®
• Additional upgrades at AM/NS Calvert to supply the latest AHSS
• €140 million investment at ArcelorMittal Gent to enable production of Fortiform®, our family of 3rd Generation AHSS
• €9 million investment at ArcelorMittal Sagunto to enable production of Usibor® Alusi and increase the group capacity by adapting the hot dip galvanizing line in order to better serve the Southern European automotive market.
• Several investments at AMTB to support the development of Laser Welded Blanks as a mainstream light-weighting solution
Capital investments to fund franchise businessCapital investments to fund franchise business
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• This trend should remain progressive and light:
– Carbon fibre not expected to be high relevance before 2030
– Aluminium still too expensive to play a major role
– Steel remains the most recyclable metal (100% recyclable /
environmentally friendly)
– High strength steel to replace mild steel
– New steel material (ultra high strength) has potential to substitute
aluminium parts
Current and future material mix
Steel to remain material of choice with greater share of AHSSSteel to remain material of choice with greater share of AHSS
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SummaryRegulatory targets and trend towards global platforms created needs for the automotive industry• Continuous improvements to simultaneously meet fuel efficiency and safety
targets• Procure same materials across different regions
ArcelorMittal is investing to deliver responses to these needs• S-in motion® Pickup Truck demonstrated that a body-in-white reduction of
23% can be achieved via our current portfolio of steel products and solutions• Further weight reduction will be achieved with our upcoming steel grades• Enlarging industrial presence with VAMA, AM/NS Calvert and the potential
JV with SAIL in India
ArcelorMittal has products and market position to capture industry growth
Due to an unmatched strength, lightweight potential and global footprint,ArcelorMittal and steel will remain the choice of the automotive industry
Due to an unmatched strength, lightweight potential and global footprint,ArcelorMittal and steel will remain the choice of the automotive industry
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