2013 International Tourism Results and Prospects for 2014 · Prospects for 2014 UNWTO News...
Transcript of 2013 International Tourism Results and Prospects for 2014 · Prospects for 2014 UNWTO News...
2013 International Tourism Results and Prospects for 2014
UNWTO News Conference HQ, Madrid, Spain20 January 2014
John G.C. KesterActing Director,
Tourism Market Trends Programme
Inbound tourism: World
International tourist arrivals, 1995-2013* (million)
530562 588 604 627
677 676 696 690
762807
853909 927
891949
9951035
1087
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
International tourist arrivals (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
+2.0% -3.9% +6.5% +4.9% +5.0%+4.0%
International tourism fourth strong year in a row
World Inbound Tourism: International Tourist Arrivals, 2013* (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Middle East, 52 mn, 5%
Africa, 56 mn, 5%
Americas, 169 mn, 16%
Asia and the Pacific, 248 mn,
23%
Europe, 563 mn, 52%
Absolute numbers 2013 by region
International Tourist Arrivals (absolute change 2013, million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
29
14
63
0.10
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Europe Asia and thePacific
Americas Africa Middle East
Increase 2013 by region
52 million additional arrivals
International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
2
3
8
2
6
9
45
4
3
7
5
8
6
-5
4 4
76
4
10
45
4
1
4
2
65
0
4.05.0
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
WorldNorth
ern Euro
peWest
ern Euro
peCent
ral/East
ern Eu.
Souther
n/Medi
ter. Eu.
North-East
AsiaSout
h-East
AsiaOcea
niaSout
h Asia
North Americ
aCarib
bean
Central
America
South A
merica
North Afric
aSubs
aharan
Africa
Middle E
ast
12/11 13*/12
2013: South-East Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Southern and Mediterranean Europe and North Africa led growth
International Tourism Arrivals and Receipts, World
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
'90/89
'91/90
'92/91
'93/92
'94/93
'95/94
'96/95
'97/96
'98/97
'99/98
'00/99
'01/00
'02/01
'03/02
'04/03
'05/04
'06/05
'07/06
'08/07
'09/08
'10/09
'11/10
12*/1
1
% c
hang
e ov
er p
revi
ous
year
International tourist arrivalsInternational tourism receipts (local currencies, constant prices)
growth in receipts follows growth in arrivals closelyAsian financial and economic crisis: receipts grew slower
11S, SARS, economic downturn:receipts more affected
‘Great recession’:receipts more affected and slower to recover
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourism receipts 2012:
US$ 1,079 billion euro 840 billion
(miles de millones)
International Tourism Expenditure (% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
China
United S
tatesGerm
any
United K
ingdom
Russian F
ederati
onFran
ceCanada Jap
anAust
ralia
Italy
Singapo
reBraz
ilBelg
iumNeth
erlands
Korea, R
epublic
of
Hong Kong
(China
)Norw
aySwede
nSpai
nSwitze
rland
IndiaMala
ysia
Taiwan
(pr. of
China)
2012 2013* ytd
Major outbound marketsEmerging markets remain hot in 2013
B
RC
Outlook
www.unwto.org/facts
UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World
Better
Equal
Worse
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
150 144 140 137 132
71
131 139122 125
138119
144 140 136 143
98
72
140127 121 129
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Prospects (before)Evaluation (after)
Confidence upbeat
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals
6.0 5.76.5
2.0
-3.9
6.54.9
4.05.0
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Forecast
2014: 4% to 4.5%
Outlook: World ch
ange
(%)
Projection 2014Actual data
+4.6%
+6.2%
+3.0%
+6.2%
+2.9%
+3.8%
Average 2005-2013
2013
World +5.0% +4% to +4½%
Europe +5.4% +3% to +4%
Asia and the Pacific +6.0% +5% to +6%
Americas +3.6% +3% to +4%
Africa +5.6% +4% to +6%
Middle East +0.3% +0% to +5%
International tourism: projection full year 2014
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International Tourist Arrivals
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
millio
n
Trend 1995-2010Tourism Towards 2030 projectionActual 1995-2013*
1.4 bn
1,087 mn
1.8 bn
529 mn
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
Actual Trend vs. Tourism Towards 2030 projectionWorld
Thank you very much for your attention!
John G.C. KesterActing Director,
Tourism Market Trends Programme
World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
www.unwto.org