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University of Nebraska Medical CenterUniversity of Nebraska Medical Center
Methods Used inMethods Used in
Comparative Effectiveness ResearchComparative Effectiveness ResearchSeptember 18, 2012September 18, 2012
byby
Susan D. Horn, Ph.DSusan D. Horn, Ph.DInstitute for Clinical Outcomes ResearchInstitute for Clinical Outcomes Research
699 East South Temple, Suite 300 699 East South Temple, Suite 300 Salt Lake City, Utah 84102Salt Lake City, Utah 84102
801-466-5595 (V) 801-466-6685 (F)801-466-5595 (V) 801-466-6685 (F)[email protected] [email protected] www.isisicor.com
• How best to treat the patient in your office right now?
• “Scientific studies” provide imperfect guidance
• Clinical medicine is untidy; innumerable variables describe patients, providers, and practices
• Must consider clinical variability of patient populations, intervention combinations, and outcomes
The Problem
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1. Describe, compare, and contrast models to conduct comparative effectiveness research, including randomized controlled trials, analysis of claims databases, electronic medical record databases, condition or treatment registries, and practice-based evidence (PBE) study methodology.
2. Demonstrate how evidence-based practice and comparative effectiveness of treatments and treatment strategies can be derived using PBE study designs and health information systems, including clinical examples.
3. Present examples of PBE clinical findings related to quality, policy, and safety improvements.
Objectives of Presentation
3
• Comparative effectiveness research is designed to inform health-care decisions by providing evidence on the effectiveness, benefits, and harms of different treatment options.
• Evidence is generated from research studies that compare drugs, medical devices, tests, surgeries, or ways to deliver health care.
Comparative Effectiveness Research –What is it?
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There are two ways that evidence is found:1.Systematic reviews of existing evidence. Researchers look at all available evidence about benefits and harms of each treatment choice for different groups of people from existing clinical trials, clinical studies, and other research.2.New studies. Researchers conduct studies that generate new evidence of effectiveness or comparative effectiveness of a test, treatment, procedure, or health-care service.
Comparative Effectiveness Research –What types of evidence are used?
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We have Efficacy trials that determine whether an intervention produces a specified result(s) under well controlled conditions in a selected population – includes randomized controlled trials (RCTs)
We need Effectiveness trials that measure outcomes of an intervention under “real world” conditions in an unselected clinical population. Hypotheses and study designs of an effectiveness trial are formulated based on conditions of routine clinical practice and on outcomes essential for clinical decisions.
What We Have and What We Need
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More DefinitionsMore Definitions
• EfficacyEfficacy – benefit under the best possible – benefit under the best possible circumstances (Can it work?)circumstances (Can it work?)» Generation - RCT, explanatoryGeneration - RCT, explanatory» Synthesis – systematic review of RCTs (e.g. Cochrane)Synthesis – systematic review of RCTs (e.g. Cochrane)
• EffectivenessEffectiveness – benefit under ordinary practice (Does – benefit under ordinary practice (Does it work?)it work?)» Generation – effectiveness trial, pragmatic trial, Generation – effectiveness trial, pragmatic trial,
observational studiesobservational studies» Synthesis – systematic review of RCTs and observational Synthesis – systematic review of RCTs and observational
studiesstudies
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Effectiveness Trials and RCTsEffectiveness Trials and RCTs
RCTRCT
EffectivenessEffectiveness
Progenitor of Progenitor of RCTsRCTs
Practice effects Practice effects of RCT resultsof RCT results
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Databases for Effectiveness Databases for Effectiveness TrialsTrials
• RCT databasesRCT databases
• Large claims databases, Large claims databases, e.g., Medicare, Medicaid, CDCe.g., Medicare, Medicaid, CDC
• HMO or VA databases from claims and electronic HMO or VA databases from claims and electronic medical recordsmedical records
• Specific condition registries such as arthritis Specific condition registries such as arthritis registryregistry
• Practice-based evidence study registriesPractice-based evidence study registries PBE studies overcome limitations of RCTs (that limit patient types and PBE studies overcome limitations of RCTs (that limit patient types and
treatments)treatments)
More detailed patient, process, and outcome evaluation than is More detailed patient, process, and outcome evaluation than is possible with traditional registries or large claims datasetspossible with traditional registries or large claims datasets
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RCTRCT Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Researchfor Comparative Effectiveness Research
• RCT databases RCT databases – – gold standard for efficacy and gold standard for efficacy and value of interventionsvalue of interventions
• Advantages includeAdvantages include::
High internal validityHigh internal validity
Causal inferences can be made since patients with Causal inferences can be made since patients with known confounders are excluded and randomization known confounders are excluded and randomization eliminates unknown confounderseliminates unknown confounders
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RCTRCT Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• RCT databases RCT databases – – gold standard for efficacy and value of gold standard for efficacy and value of interventionsinterventions
• Limitations includeLimitations include::
Small sample sizes – too small to detect uncommon risksSmall sample sizes – too small to detect uncommon risks
Follow-up periods too short to assess long-term benefits/risksFollow-up periods too short to assess long-term benefits/risks
Higher-risk patients typically excluded; limited external validityHigher-risk patients typically excluded; limited external validity
Level of monitoring more rigorousLevel of monitoring more rigorous than done in routine practice than done in routine practice
High rates of treatment discontinuationHigh rates of treatment discontinuation
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Electronic Electronic DatabasesDatabases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Three primary sources of electronic databasesThree primary sources of electronic databases::
Large health systems with electronic medical record data, Large health systems with electronic medical record data, e.g., HMO, HMO Research Network (HMORN), and VA e.g., HMO, HMO Research Network (HMORN), and VA databasesdatabases
Insurance claims databases, e.g., Medicare, Medicaid, Insurance claims databases, e.g., Medicare, Medicaid, HCUP dataHCUP data
Disease or procedure-specific registriesDisease or procedure-specific registries
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Electronic Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Advantages includeAdvantages include::
Identify and track patient populations over timeIdentify and track patient populations over time
Measure treatment exposures over timeMeasure treatment exposures over time
Assess some health status, health behaviors, and other Assess some health status, health behaviors, and other potential confounderspotential confounders
Assess both positive and negative outcomes over timeAssess both positive and negative outcomes over time
Better suited to evaluate safety as opposed to effectivenessBetter suited to evaluate safety as opposed to effectiveness
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Insurance Claims Electronic Insurance Claims Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Many States and health care and pharmacy insurance Many States and health care and pharmacy insurance providers make administrative claims data available, providers make administrative claims data available, including Medicare, Medicaid, Healthcare Cost and including Medicare, Medicaid, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), Blue Cross Blue Shield, Utilization Project (HCUP), Blue Cross Blue Shield, and United Health.and United Health.
• Databases contain information on all health care Databases contain information on all health care encounters in which billable services were deliveredencounters in which billable services were delivered
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Insurance Claims Electronic Insurance Claims Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Advantages includeAdvantages include::
Cover millions of peopleCover millions of people
Ability to provide treatment exposures and adverse Ability to provide treatment exposures and adverse events, including hospitalizations and mortality, over events, including hospitalizations and mortality, over extended periods of timeextended periods of time
Provide population and subpopulation-based estimates Provide population and subpopulation-based estimates for various outcomesfor various outcomes
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Insurance Claims Electronic Insurance Claims Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Limitations includeLimitations include::
Functional and cognitive status, severity of illness, Functional and cognitive status, severity of illness, and health behaviors cannot be obtained and can be and health behaviors cannot be obtained and can be important unmeasured confoundersimportant unmeasured confounders
Possibility of exposure misclassification if patient Possibility of exposure misclassification if patient does not apply for insurance coverage for some does not apply for insurance coverage for some treatmenttreatment
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Health System Electronic Health System Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
•Advantages includeAdvantages include::
Data are of high quality usuallyData are of high quality usually
Cover millions of persons including minority and Cover millions of persons including minority and elderly populationselderly populations
Exist in electronic form so Exist in electronic form so somesome data elements may be data elements may be exported for use in comparative effectiveness researchexported for use in comparative effectiveness research
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Health System Electronic Health System Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Limitations includeLimitations include::
Restricted ability to capture patientsRestricted ability to capture patients’’ severity of illness, severity of illness, functional and cognitive status, health behaviors other functional and cognitive status, health behaviors other than smoking or pain.than smoking or pain.
Restricted access for CER unless researcher is part of Restricted access for CER unless researcher is part of organization that owns the dataorganization that owns the data
Often required variables are in text so are not Often required variables are in text so are not exportableexportable
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Clinical Registry Electronic Clinical Registry Electronic Databases Databases for Comparative Effectiveness Research for Comparative Effectiveness Research
• Systematically collected and stored health-related information Systematically collected and stored health-related information on specific patient populations, most often defined by a on specific patient populations, most often defined by a particular illness or procedure.particular illness or procedure.
• Advantages includeAdvantages include::
Designed to collect detailed information related to a particular illness or Designed to collect detailed information related to a particular illness or procedure, e.g., arthritis registry, CABG registry, cancer registriesprocedure, e.g., arthritis registry, CABG registry, cancer registries
• Limitations includeLimitations include: :
Typically created as an add-on or separate database from those used for Typically created as an add-on or separate database from those used for clinical care or paymentclinical care or payment
Limited information outside of particular illness or proceduLimited information outside of particular illness or procedure re
• Minimizing Bias in Existing Data
• Capturing variation in intervention combinations
• Capturing variation in outcomes
The Problems
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The Balancing ActThe Balancing Act
Experimental
Non-experimental
Different than routine care
Outcomes clearly defined
Balanced groups
Large sample size
Real world settings
Confounded by lifeStrong internal validityStrong external validityLonger follow-up
Defined patient population
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Causal Inference ComparisonCausal Inference Comparison
Randomized Experiment Quasi-Experiment
Cause precedes effect
Yes Yes
Cause covaries with effect
Yes Yes
Alternate explanations implausible
Yes ?
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Basic Problems in Basic Problems in Non-Randomized StudiesNon-Randomized Studies
• Non-independence of ObservationsNon-independence of Observations
« Many statistical analyses are based on the assumption Many statistical analyses are based on the assumption that the observations are independent.that the observations are independent.
« Studying patients treated in a single hospital or unit or Studying patients treated in a single hospital or unit or provider breaks this assumptionprovider breaks this assumption
« Intra-correlation among observationsIntra-correlation among observations23
Modeling to Account for Modeling to Account for Non-IndependenceNon-Independence
• Hierarchical designs that account for the Hierarchical designs that account for the intra-correlation intra-correlation
• Generalized estimating equation (GEE) Generalized estimating equation (GEE) regression models for clustered dataregression models for clustered data
• Robust standard errorsRobust standard errors
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Basic Problems in Basic Problems in Non-Randomized Studies Non-Randomized Studies
• Confounding by IndicationConfounding by Indication» Therapies administered in non-random fashionTherapies administered in non-random fashion
» Prognostic characteristics influence therapyPrognostic characteristics influence therapy
» Recipients of therapy at high risk for outcomesRecipients of therapy at high risk for outcomes
» Users differ from comparators in key respectsUsers differ from comparators in key respects
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Propensity Score TheoryPropensity Score Theory
• Multivariable scoring method that collapses Multivariable scoring method that collapses multiple multiple observed observed predictors of treatment into a predictors of treatment into a single value (a score)single value (a score)» Probability that a subject with given Probability that a subject with given
characteristics receives specified treatmentcharacteristics receives specified treatment» Removes confounding by components of the Removes confounding by components of the
scorescore» Used to: match, stratify, or modelUsed to: match, stratify, or model
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Instrumental Variable Analysis-Instrumental Variable Analysis-Theory Theory
• Identify instrument variables that are randomly Identify instrument variables that are randomly associated with individual case, correlated with associated with individual case, correlated with treatment, but uncorrelated with outcomestreatment, but uncorrelated with outcomes
• Therefore, the instrument can effectively Therefore, the instrument can effectively randomize subjects across treatment arms to randomize subjects across treatment arms to achieve equal distribution achieve equal distribution
• Controls for underlying differences in groups that Controls for underlying differences in groups that are are unobservableunobservable (endogeneity bias due to (endogeneity bias due to unobserved heterogeneity)unobserved heterogeneity)
• Supposedly permits estimation of causal effects Supposedly permits estimation of causal effects even when important confounders are unmeasuredeven when important confounders are unmeasured
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Instrumental Variables (IV) to address Instrumental Variables (IV) to address confounding by indication/selection biasconfounding by indication/selection bias
• Used to estimate effect of missing predictor variable or when Used to estimate effect of missing predictor variable or when there is measurement error in predictor variablethere is measurement error in predictor variable
• Instrument itself does not belong in prediction equation but is Instrument itself does not belong in prediction equation but is correlated with missing predictor variable. For example,correlated with missing predictor variable. For example,
• Severity of illness measure is missing; instead use distance Severity of illness measure is missing; instead use distance from patient home to treatment center as IVfrom patient home to treatment center as IV
• No measure of smoking in a community; instead use No measure of smoking in a community; instead use amount of tobacco taxes collected as IV to assess smoking amount of tobacco taxes collected as IV to assess smoking effect on health outcome.effect on health outcome.
• Disadvantage: Assumptions about IV not testable Disadvantage: Assumptions about IV not testable
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Overcoming Selection Bias/ Overcoming Selection Bias/ Confounding by IndicationConfounding by Indication
• Statistical adjustments:Statistical adjustments:–MatchingMatching–Propensity scoring/instrumental variablesPropensity scoring/instrumental variables–Covariate adjustments (Severity of Illness)Covariate adjustments (Severity of Illness)
• Ongoing debate about the adequacy of Ongoing debate about the adequacy of adjustmentsadjustments
30
PBE Presentation OverviewPBE Presentation Overview
• What is practice-based evidence (PBE) study methodology?What is practice-based evidence (PBE) study methodology?
• How does it incorporateHow does it incorporate patient heterogeneitypatient heterogeneity treatment heterogeneitytreatment heterogeneity outcome heterogeneityoutcome heterogeneity
• Discuss examples of PBE comparative effectiveness Discuss examples of PBE comparative effectiveness findingsfindings
• Discuss implications for health information technologyDiscuss implications for health information technology
31
What makes this approach What makes this approach different?different?
PBE Methodology
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• Both patients and providers report data
• Data come from existing EMR with standardized data elements about patient characteristics, treatments, processes, patient-reported data, and multiple outcomes
• Data are part of routine documentation, so not an ‘add-on’
• Rapid patient accrual since documentation is standard of care
• Longitudinal and ongoing
Comparative Effectiveness Issues AddressedUsing PBE
32
• Patient comparability is addressed with Comprehensive Severity Index (CSI): disease-specific, physiologic-based, >2,200 criteria, >5,500 disease-specific criteria sets
• CSI addresses confounding by indication/selection bias
• Database includes all treatments with date/dose/intensity/route
• Can assess drug and non-drug combination therapies
• Findings of PBE-CER more readily translated into practice
Comparative Effectiveness Issues Addressed Using PBE (cont)
33
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Practice Based Evidence (PBE) DesignPractice Based Evidence (PBE) Design
PBE is observational research that: PBE is observational research that:
» captures differential outcomes captures differential outcomes
» associated with naturally occurring variations in associated with naturally occurring variations in
treatmenttreatment
» while adjusting for severity of illness and injury, while adjusting for severity of illness and injury,
co-morbid conditions, and co-occurring treatmentsco-morbid conditions, and co-occurring treatments
34
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Practice-Based Evidence Study DesignPractice-Based Evidence Study Design
Process FactorsProcess Factors• Management StrategiesManagement Strategies• InterventionsInterventions• MedicationsMedications
Patient FactorsPatient Factors• Psychosocial/demographic FactorsPsychosocial/demographic Factors• Disease(s)Disease(s)• Severity of Disease(s)Severity of Disease(s)
› physiologic signs and symptomsphysiologic signs and symptoms• Genetic informationGenetic information• Measured at Multiple Points in TimeMeasured at Multiple Points in Time
Outcomes of interestOutcomes of interest• Clinical Clinical • Health StatusHealth Status• FunctionalFunctional• Cost/LOS/EncountersCost/LOS/Encounters• ProductivityProductivity
Standardize documentation of :Standardize documentation of :
Control for:Control for:
Measure:Measure:
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7 Signature Features of 7 Signature Features of PBE StudiesPBE Studies
1.1. Hypotheses can be focused or broadHypotheses can be focused or broad
2.2. All interventions are considered to determine relative All interventions are considered to determine relative contribution of each contribution of each
3.3. Broad patient selection criteria maximize generalizability Broad patient selection criteria maximize generalizability and external validityand external validity
4.4. Detailed characterization of the patient by robust Detailed characterization of the patient by robust measures of patient severity, genetic information, and measures of patient severity, genetic information, and functional statusfunctional status
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7 Signature Features of 7 Signature Features of PBE StudiesPBE Studies
5.5. Patient differences controlled statistically rather than Patient differences controlled statistically rather than through randomization through randomization
6.6. Facility and clinical/patient buy-in through use of trans-Facility and clinical/patient buy-in through use of trans-disciplinary Clinical Practice Teamdisciplinary Clinical Practice Team
7.7. Strength of evidence built through the research processStrength of evidence built through the research process
PBE findings are more PBE findings are more generalizablegeneralizable and and transportabletransportable than than RCT findingsRCT findings
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PBE PBE Signature Feature: Interventions Signature Feature: Interventions
2.2. Consider all interventions Consider all interventions to determine relative to determine relative contribution of each. contribution of each.
Uses a detailed characterization of the care Uses a detailed characterization of the care process through a well-designed point-of-care process through a well-designed point-of-care (POC) documentation system(POC) documentation system
– User-defined and user friendlyUser-defined and user friendly– Time sensitive characterization of all Time sensitive characterization of all
interventionsinterventions
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PBE PBE Signature Feature: Patients Signature Feature: Patients
4.4. Detailed characterization of the patient Detailed characterization of the patient by robust by robust measures of individual severity and functional statusmeasures of individual severity and functional status
Includes Comprehensive Severity Index (CSIIncludes Comprehensive Severity Index (CSI®®))
– Over 2,200 condition-specific signs, symptoms, Over 2,200 condition-specific signs, symptoms, and physical findingsand physical findings
– Continuous score: 0 Continuous score: 0 ∞ ∞– Admission, discharge, maximum during stay, visitAdmission, discharge, maximum during stay, visit
Genetic informationGenetic information Includes Functional Independence Measure (FIM) Includes Functional Independence Measure (FIM)
and/or other measures of functional statusand/or other measures of functional status
40
PBE PBE Signature Feature: Signature Feature: Clinical Practice Team Clinical Practice Team
6.6. Facility and clinical buy-in Facility and clinical buy-in through use of through use of transdisciplinary Clinical Practice Team thattransdisciplinary Clinical Practice Team that:: Develops and frames the questionsDevelops and frames the questions Defines variablesDefines variables Gathers dataGathers data Interprets dataInterprets data Implements findingsImplements findings Fosters clinical and individual buy-in (bottom-up)Fosters clinical and individual buy-in (bottom-up) Facilitates knowledge translationFacilitates knowledge translation
41
PBE PBE Signature Feature: Signature Feature: Strength of Evidence Strength of Evidence
7.7. Strength of evidence Strength of evidence built through the research built through the research processprocess Added confounders preserve the significant Added confounders preserve the significant
associationassociation■ A change in outcomes follows a change in treatment A change in outcomes follows a change in treatment
as predicted by the PBE modelas predicted by the PBE model■ Repeated studies on the same topic yield similar Repeated studies on the same topic yield similar
findingsfindings
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PBE HallmarksPBE Hallmarks
• Decisions are made by Decisions are made by front-line clinicians front-line clinicians vs. vs. researchersresearchers
• ““Bottom-upBottom-up”” vs. vs. ““Top-downTop-down”” approach approach
• Guidance from researchers (scientific Guidance from researchers (scientific advisory board) and patient experienceadvisory board) and patient experience
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4343
PBE HallmarksPBE Hallmarks
–Non-experimentalNon-experimental: Follows outcomes of : Follows outcomes of treatments actually prescribedtreatments actually prescribed
–InclusiveInclusive: Uses patient populations undergoing : Uses patient populations undergoing routine clinical careroutine clinical care
–PragmaticPragmatic: Uses actual clinical outcomes: Uses actual clinical outcomes
–LowerLower CostCost than RCTsthan RCTs
–FasterFaster than RCTsthan RCTs
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Practice-Based Evidence Study DesignPractice-Based Evidence Study Design
• High external validityHigh external validity
- Includes essentially all patients with specific Includes essentially all patients with specific conditioncondition
- Captures confounders that could affect relevant Captures confounders that could affect relevant treatment responses. treatment responses.
- Reduces accidental associations between Reduces accidental associations between treatments and outcomestreatments and outcomes..
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Practice-Based Evidence Study DesignPractice-Based Evidence Study Design
Process FactorsProcess Factors• Management StrategiesManagement Strategies• InterventionsInterventions• MedicationsMedications
Patient FactorsPatient Factors• Psychosocial/demographic/history factorsPsychosocial/demographic/history factors• Disease(s)Disease(s)• Severity of Disease(s)Severity of Disease(s)
› physiologic signs and symptomsphysiologic signs and symptoms• Genetic informationGenetic information• Multiple Points in TimeMultiple Points in Time
Outcomes of interestOutcomes of interest• Clinical Clinical • Health StatusHealth Status• FunctionalFunctional• Cost/LOS/EncountersCost/LOS/Encounters• ProductivityProductivity
Standardize documentation of :Standardize documentation of :
Control for:Control for:
Measure:Measure:
46
Examples of Severity Systems to address Examples of Severity Systems to address Selection Bias/Confounding by IndicationSelection Bias/Confounding by Indication
Diagnostic/Procedure Based SystemsDiagnostic/Procedure Based Systems
• Clinical definition of severityClinical definition of severity
• Body Systems Count Body Systems Count
•Charlson Comorbidity Index (Charlson Comorbidity Index (1-yr death)1-yr death)
• 3 Disease Staging (hosp death)3 Disease Staging (hosp death)
• Patient Management Categories (hosp Patient Management Categories (hosp death)death)
• Resource-based definition of severityResource-based definition of severity
•Acuity Index Method (LOS)Acuity Index Method (LOS)
•APR DRGs (hosp $)APR DRGs (hosp $)
•Patient Management Categories (hosp $)Patient Management Categories (hosp $)
•Refined DRGs (hosp LOS, $)Refined DRGs (hosp LOS, $)
Physiologic/Clinically Based Physiologic/Clinically Based SystemsSystems
• 2 Apache II & III (ICU death)2 Apache II & III (ICU death)
• 2 Medisgroups (Atlas) (hosp death)2 Medisgroups (Atlas) (hosp death)
CSICSI®®
14
Comprehensive Severity Index (CSIComprehensive Severity Index (CSI®®)) used to avoid selection bias or confounding by indicationused to avoid selection bias or confounding by indication
• Severity defined as Severity defined as ““physiologic complexity physiologic complexity presented to medical presented to medical personnel due to the extent and interactions of a patientpersonnel due to the extent and interactions of a patient’’s diseasess diseases””
• Disease-specificDisease-specific: : 5,500 disease-specific groups; over 2,200 distinct criteria. 5,500 disease-specific groups; over 2,200 distinct criteria. ICD-9 codes trigger disease-specific patient signs, symptoms, and physical ICD-9 codes trigger disease-specific patient signs, symptoms, and physical findings used to score disease-specific and overall severity levelsfindings used to score disease-specific and overall severity levels
• No treatments usedNo treatments used as criteria as criteria
• ComprehensiveComprehensive (all diseases) (all diseases)• Clinically credibleClinically credible: : computes disease-specific and overall severity levelscomputes disease-specific and overall severity levels
• Can measure severity at Can measure severity at multiple time points multiple time points
• Allows statistical comparison Allows statistical comparison of interventions without confounding by of interventions without confounding by
severity of illnessseverity of illness47
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Characteristics of the CSI SystemCharacteristics of the CSI System
Developed as an addition to ICD-9-CMDeveloped as an addition to ICD-9-CM
Explicit severity criteria established for each ICD-9-CM Explicit severity criteria established for each ICD-9-CM codecode
Severity criteria result in a continuous severity score for Severity criteria result in a continuous severity score for each diagnosiseach diagnosis
Failure to meet enough criteria results in a severity rating of Failure to meet enough criteria results in a severity rating of zerozero
Overall patient severity computed as continuous score, Overall patient severity computed as continuous score, taking all diagnoses into accounttaking all diagnoses into account
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CSI Severity IndicatorsCSI Severity Indicators
Physiological signs and symptoms of a Physiological signs and symptoms of a diseasedisease- Vital signs- Vital signs
- Laboratory values- Laboratory values
- Radiology findings- Radiology findings
- Other physical findings- Other physical findings
Severity indicators are specific to each Severity indicators are specific to each disease based on ICD-9-CM codingdisease based on ICD-9-CM coding
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Pneumonia Criteria SetPneumonia Criteria Set480.0-486; 506.3; 507.0-507.1; 516.8; 517.1; 518.3; 518.5; 668.00-668.04; 997.3; 112.4; 136.3; 055.1480.0-486; 506.3; 507.0-507.1; 516.8; 517.1; 518.3; 518.5; 668.00-668.04; 997.3; 112.4; 136.3; 055.1
CATEGORY 1 2 3 4 Cardiovascular
pulse rate 51-100; ST segment changes-EKG; systolic BP 90mmHg
pulse rate 100-129; 41-50; PACs, PAT, PVCs-EKG; systolic BP 80-89mmHg
pulse rate 130; 31-40; systolic BP 61-79mmHg
pulse rate 30; asystole, VT, VF, V flutter; systolic BP 60 mmHg
Fever 96.8-100.4 and/or chills 100.5-102.0 oral; 94.0-96.7
102.1-103.9; 90.1-93.9 and/or rigors
104.0 90.0
Labs ABGs Hematology
pH 7.35-7.45
pO2 61mmHg
WBC 4.5-11.0K/cu mm; bands <10%;
pH >7.46 7.25-7.34
WBC 11.1-20.0K/cu mm; 2.4-4.4K/cu mm; bands 10-20%
pH 7.10-7.24
pO2 51-60mmHg WBC 20.1-30.0K/cu mm; 1.0-2.3K/cu mm; bands 21-40%
pH 7.09;
pO2 50mmHg
WBC 30.1K/cu mm; 1.0K/cu mm; bands 40%
Neuro Status
Lowest Glasgow coma score
12
chronic confusion
9-11
acute confusion
6-8
unresponsive
5
Radiology Chest X-Ray or CT Scan
infiltrate and/or consolidation in 1 lobe; pleural effusion
infiltrate and/or consolidation in >1 but 3 lobes;
infiltrate and/or consolidation in >3 lobes; cavitation or lung necrosis
Respiratory
white, thin, mucoid sputum
dyspnea on exertion; stridor; rales 50%/3 lobes; decreased breath sounds 50%/3 lobes; positive for fremitus; stridor hemoptysis NOS; blood tinged or purulent or frothy sputum
cyanosis present dyspnea at rest; rales >50%/ 3 lobes; decreased breath sounds >50%/ 3 lobes frank hemoptysis
apnea absent breath sounds >50%/ 3 lobes
Copyright 2006. Susan D. Horn. All rights reserved. Do not quote, copy or cite without permission.
51
Uses of PBE FindingsUses of PBE Findings
Create protocols depending on patient Create protocols depending on patient characteristics that result in better outcomescharacteristics that result in better outcomes
Evaluate treatments or programsEvaluate treatments or programs
PBE findings can be used to
52
Examples of PBE Study FindingsExamples of PBE Study Findings
• Children Hospitalized with RSVChildren Hospitalized with RSV. . Birth at 33-35 weeks Birth at 33-35 weeks GA is significantly associated with higher intubation GA is significantly associated with higher intubation rates, longer ICU stays, and longer hospital LOS rates, longer ICU stays, and longer hospital LOS (prompted guideline change for prophylaxis).(prompted guideline change for prophylaxis).
• Low-Level StrokeLow-Level Stroke. . More time spent in high-level More time spent in high-level rehabilitation activities, such as gait, upper extremity rehabilitation activities, such as gait, upper extremity control, and problem solving in the first three hours of control, and problem solving in the first three hours of therapy is significantly associated with higher total, therapy is significantly associated with higher total, motor, and cognitive FIM at discharge.motor, and cognitive FIM at discharge.
53
Pediatric Bronchiolitis StudyPediatric Bronchiolitis StudyLength of StayLength of Stay
4.34
54.3 3.5
7.1
4.8
6.2
4.5
3.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Site 6
Site 5
Site 7
Site 9
Site 4
Site 1
Site 3
Site 8
Site 2
Site 10
DayDayss
54
Pediatric Bronchiolitis StudyPediatric Bronchiolitis StudyCostCost
8,839
4,908
10,041
4,522
12,373
8,9349,342
6,097
4,122
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
Site 6
Site 5
Site 7
Site 9
Site 4
Site 1
Site 3
Site 8
Site 2
Site 10
55
Pediatric Bronchiolitis StudyPediatric Bronchiolitis StudyOutcome = Length of Stay n=804 ROutcome = Length of Stay n=804 R2=2=.62.62
- Age in months (.0006)- Age in months (.0006)
+ MCSIC (.0001)+ MCSIC (.0001)
+ O+ O22 used (.01) used (.01)
+ Steroids (.0001)+ Steroids (.0001)
+ Antibiotics (.0001)+ Antibiotics (.0001)
+ Intubation (.0001)+ Intubation (.0001)
+ Lasix (.0001)+ Lasix (.0001)
+ Interaction of chest + Interaction of chest physiotherapy and atelectasis physiotherapy and atelectasis (.0001)(.0001)
AssessmentAssessment ProceduresProcedures
56
Pediatric Bronchiolitis StudyPediatric Bronchiolitis StudyOutcome = Cost n=722 ROutcome = Cost n=722 R2=2=.73.73
- Age in months (.0001)- Age in months (.0001)
+ MCSIC (.0001)+ MCSIC (.0001)
+ Admitted to PICU (.0001)+ Admitted to PICU (.0001)+ Arterial line (.04)+ Arterial line (.04)+ Central line (.003)+ Central line (.003)+ Continuous nebulization (.0002)+ Continuous nebulization (.0002)+ Interaction: chest pt & atelectasis (.005)+ Interaction: chest pt & atelectasis (.005)+ Intubation (.0001)+ Intubation (.0001)+ Ipratropium bromide (.005)+ Ipratropium bromide (.005)+ Lasix (.0001)+ Lasix (.0001)+ Ribavirin (.0001)+ Ribavirin (.0001)+ Steroids (.0003)+ Steroids (.0003)
AssessmentAssessment ProceduresProcedures
Willson, et al. PEDIATRICS 2001;108(4):851-855.
57
Prematurity and RSV Prematurity and RSV Hospital OutcomesHospital Outcomes
< < 32 wks32 wks 33-35 wks33-35 wks 36 wks36 wks > > 37 wks37 wks p-valuep-value
IntubationIntubation 21.4%21.4% 38.7%38.7% 20%20% 12.1%12.1% 0.0020.002
ICU LOSICU LOS 5.8 days5.8 days 7.7 days7.7 days 4.2 days4.2 days 3.8 days3.8 days 0.0210.021
Hospital LOSHospital LOS 6.8 days6.8 days 8.4 days8.4 days 4.9 days4.9 days 4.1 days4.1 days <0.0001<0.0001
Admitted to ICUAdmitted to ICU 39.3%39.3% 48.4%48.4% 30.0%30.0% 27.9%27.9% 0.1010.101
HX of Hosp. for HX of Hosp. for RSV /BronchiolitisRSV /Bronchiolitis 14.3%14.3% 16.1%16.1% 6.7%6.7% 6.1%6.1% 0.1370.137
Significant Differences by Gestational Age GroupsSignificant Differences by Gestational Age Groups33-35 week GA infants had highest hospital resource use33-35 week GA infants had highest hospital resource use
58
RSV Hospital Outcomes and Policy ChangesRSV Hospital Outcomes and Policy Changes
ConclusionsConclusions• 33-35 week GA infants had highest hospital resource use33-35 week GA infants had highest hospital resource use
• 36 week infants have risk similar to full term infants36 week infants have risk similar to full term infants
• Changed guidelines for immunoprophylaxis Changed guidelines for immunoprophylaxis for 33-35 week for 33-35 week infantsinfants
• Changed guidelines for intubation Changed guidelines for intubation – try – try ‘‘stimulatingstimulating’’ first first
59
Post-Stroke Rehabilitation StudyPost-Stroke Rehabilitation Study
2001 – 2003; 1,161 patients2001 – 2003; 1,161 patients
PBE study designed to discover what combinations of PBE study designed to discover what combinations of
medical devices, therapies, medications, feeding medical devices, therapies, medications, feeding
approaches, and their interactions worked best for approaches, and their interactions worked best for
specific types of stroke patients treated in real-specific types of stroke patients treated in real-
world practices.world practices.
Study Objectives
60
• PhysiciansPhysicians
• NursesNurses
• Social WorkersSocial Workers
• PsychologistsPsychologists
• Physical TherapistsPhysical Therapists
• Occupational TherapistsOccupational Therapists
• Recreation TherapistsRecreation Therapists
• Speech/Language Speech/Language PathologistsPathologists
Post-Stroke Rehabilitation StudyPost-Stroke Rehabilitation Study
Trans-Disciplinary Project Clinical TeamTrans-Disciplinary Project Clinical Team
61
Outcome: Discharge Motor FIMOutcome: Discharge Motor FIMSevere Stroke – Full Stay
GeneralGeneral AssessmentAssessment
GeneralGeneralInterventionsInterventions
MedicationsMedications
PT PT InterventionsInterventions
– Age
– Black race
+ Mild motor impairment
+ Admission Motor FIM
+ Admission Cognitive FIM
– Days onset to rehab
+ Enteral feeding
– – Anti-ParkinsonsAnti-Parkinsons
– – ModafinilModafinil
–– Old SSRIsOld SSRIs
++ Atypical antipsychotics Atypical antipsychotics
– Formal assessment
– Bed mobility
+ Gait
+ Advanced gait
OT OT InterventionsInterventions
+ Home management
SLP SLP InterventionsInterventions
– Swallowing
– Orientation
+ Reading comprehension
62
Outcome: Discharge Motor FIMOutcome: Discharge Motor FIMSevere Stroke–1st 3 hour Therapy block only
GeneralGeneral AssessmentAssessment
GeneralGeneralInterventionsInterventions
MedicationsMedications
PT PT InterventionsInterventions
– Age – Severe motor impairment+ Admission Motor FIM+ Admission Cog. FIM+ No Dysphagia+ Neurotropic Impairments treated with meds
– Days onset to rehab
+ LOS
+ Enteral feeding
– – Other AntidepressantOther Antidepressant
–– Old SSRIsOld SSRIs
++ Atypical antipsychotics Atypical antipsychotics
– Bed mobility time in 1time in 1stst 3 hrs 3 hrs
+ Gait time in 1in 1stst 3 3 hrshrs
+ Advanced gait time in 1time in 1stst 3 hrs 3 hrs
OT OT InterventionsInterventions
+ Home management
SLP SLP InterventionsInterventions
Horn et al., Arch Phys Med Rehabil 2005;86(12 Supplement 2):S101-S114
Policy Changes from Stroke PBE Study
Early Rehabilitation Admission – get patient into
rehabilitation as soon as possible after stroke onset;
possibly start in Neuro ICU
Early gait in PT – start gait as soon as possible after rehab admission; put patient in harness on treadmill for safety
Early Feeding – continue or start enteral nutrition at rehab admission if patient is not able to eat full meals
Use Opioids for Pain – continue or start opioids at rehab admission if patient misses therapy due to pain 63
RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies,RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies, & PBE Compared & PBE Compared
Feature RCT Observational Cohort PBE
Researcher control of variables
Experimental Observational Observational
Time dimension Prospective Prospective or retrospective Prospective
Intervention(s)
1 or 2 discrete interventions; standardized protocols
1 or many; often a more global intervention, e.g., a program of interventions
All interventions deemed relevant; documented separately and in great detail so that one can examine interactions among interventions
Hypotheses Well-specified Specified, general, or none Focused or broad
Data source Primary dataPrimary data and/or large administrative data sets
Primary data supplemented by abstraction from clinical records
Protocol- vs. data- intensity
Protocol-intensiveNot inherently protocol- or data-intensive
Data intensive
Archives Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation 2012.
RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies,RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies, & PBE Compared & PBE Compared
Feature RCT Observational Cohort PBE
Exclusion criteria
Extensive exclusions to minimize variation
Minimal exclusions (permits studying specific subsets of patients)
Minimal exclusions (permits studying specific detailed subsets of patients)
Sample sizeTypically small (e.g., <200) because of narrow hypothesis
Usually large Large (e.g., >1,500)
Control for participant differences
Through exclusions and randomization
Through propensity scoring,instrumental variable (IV) analysis, and statistical control
Thorough detailed character-ization of comprehensive patient severity of illness and other relevant characteristics, and statistical control
BlindingSingle, double, or triple blinding
No No
Outcomes Few Few or manyMany- appropriate to study population
Effect size Often small Small or largeUsually small when samples are large
Archives Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation 2012.
RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies,RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies, & PBE Compared & PBE Compared
Feature RCTObservational
Cohort PBE
Attitude to Confounders
Not interesting; exclude them
Affect outcomes but may not be measured so hard to control
Affect outcomes, measure as many as suggested by clinical team, and are interesting
ValidityInternal—highExternal—low
Internal—lowExternal—moderate
Internal—moderate to highExternal—high
Causality Assigned AssumedAssumed; with drill-down analyses, implementation, and repeat studies can move close to ‘assigned’
Ability to examine treatment effects on subgroups
Limited, unless pre-designed and powered for subgroup analyses
More likely because of large data sets, but subgroup analyses may be limited by patient control strategies such as propensity scoring
Very likely since measure details about patients that are used to create specific subsets
Research culture (1) Top-down Varies Highly collaborative; bottom-up
Archives Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation 2012.
RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies,RCTs, Observational Cohort Studies, & PBE Compared & PBE Compared
Feature RCTObservational
Cohort PBE
Research culture (2)Not depend on local knowledge
VariesLocal knowledge highly valued and sought
Knowledge translation Less buy-in VariesHigh level of buy-in; findings more “transporatable”
Science of …. Confirmation ConfirmationConfirmation, discovery, and innovation
Science of …. Efficacy AssociationsAssociations and effectiveness
Cost High Varies Moderate
Archives Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation 2012.