0930 Thornton LSS Forum - KT

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    Large Scale Solar Overview

    Kane ThorntonDirector of Strategy

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    Australias Energy Challenge 2

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    Renewable Energy Objective

    A portfolio of renewable energy

    technologies that leverage from

    Australias world leading and diverseresource base to provide low cost and

    reliable energy supply.

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    Portfolio of Emerging Technologies

    Solar costs dropping dramatically Geothermal proving technical feasibility

    Wave and tidal power prototypes under

    development

    Competing with proven least costtechnologies:

    Wind

    Hydro

    Bio-energy

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    Renewable Energy Mix to 2020 5

    Source: MMA/Australi an Government, 2009.

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    Renewable Energy Costs (2015/2030) 6

    Source: EPRI/ Australian Government Department of Resources, Energy and Touris m, 2010.

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    Advancements in PV technology 7

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    IEA forecasts for PV growth 8

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    Global solar resource 9

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    Large Scale Solar

    Photovoltaic (PV) Concentrated Photovoltaics (CPV)

    Solar PV Dish

    Linear Fresnel PV

    HCPV - Tower

    Concentrated Solar Thermal (CST)

    Central receiver or power tower

    Parabolic trough Parabolic dish

    Linear Fresnel

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    International Status

    700MW of CSP in operation in the U.S. andSpain

    One-quarter of total grid-connected solar PVcapacity from utilityscale plants 200-kW +

    India sets target of 20 GW solar by 2022

    50+ countries and 25+ states/provinces withfeed-in tariffs

    Crystalline module price declines by 5060%percent ($3.50 /watt in 2008 to $2 /watt)

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    Australian Status

    Technologies proven internationally Excellent local research and deployment

    expertise

    Resource mapping

    Costs declining rapidly

    Significant off grid/export potential

    Not yet competitive with wind

    Requires additional policy support

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    Key Challenges

    Intellectual property Understanding the resource

    Network augmentation and access

    On ground experience - in Australia

    Capital intensive

    Tight financial markets

    Policy uncertainty and instability

    Picking technology winnersNeed long term and stable policy

    incentives to support a pipeline of

    projects

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    Large Scale Solar Support

    Renewable Energy Target Solar flagships $1.6 billion program

    52 projects shortlisted

    Develop experience in Australia Skills development

    Construction learnings

    Grid connection and integration Financing learnings and education

    Feed-in tariffs and grants

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    Todays Objectives

    Goal:Determine policy support to provide longterm incentives for large scale solar

    beyond Solar Flagships

    Explore:

    Variety of policy support mechanisms

    Feed in tariffs and their application

    Development of Policy Roadmap forLarge Scale Solar in Australia

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    Kane ThorntonDirector of Strategy

    [email protected]