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Military Analysts: Comments in the MonthHiehliehtsColonel Ken Allard

....................................................................................................r. Jed Babbin 1Lieutenant General Michael DeLong..................................................................Lieutenant General Thomas Mclnerney .............................................................Colonel Jeffrey McCausland...............................................................................Major General Robert H. Scales, Jr. ...................................................................Major General Donald W. Shepperd...................................................................Mr. Wayne Simmons ..........................................................................................

Colonel Ken Allard ............................................................................................Mr. Jed Bahbin ..............................................................................................................................................................ieutenant General Michael P. DeLong 10

...........................................................ieutenant General Thomas M cl ne rn q 20............................................................................olonel Jeffrey McCausland 21Major General Robert H. cales, Jr. .................................................................1Major General Donald W. Shepperd.................................................................2Mr. Wayne Simmons ........................................................................................4

HIGHLIGHTSColonel K en AIlard9 National Service:

o Does not advocate for a draft bu t thinks enlistment should be moreequal among all socio-economic levelsMr. Je d Babbin

9 Bolton Resigna tion:o Strong Supporter of Bolton and saw his resignation as a mistake

> Ro bert G ates:o "Gates is not reformer, not a strong leader, not a big military

strategist. At best he w ill be a caretaker over there"9 Iraq Study Group:o Claims that all the recomm endations are "really covering a gracefulexit". Expresses criticism towards the ISG.

9 Iran:o Argues that the only way t o win in Iraq is through Iran and Syriao Calls Tehran and Damascus the "center o f gravity of the enemy"

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o Says that we have been at war with Iran since 19799 Behav ioral Profiling: Supports the arrest of th e "flying Imams" andsupports "behavioral profiling"

Lieutenant Ge neral Michael P. DeLong9 Troo p Levels:o Did not think troop levels should be increased as per SenatorMcCain's recommendation9 Draft:o Would damage the military and is not needed. Argues that an allvolunteer force is best

Colonel Joh n G arre tt (USMC, Retired) -Fo x News> No recent com ment by Colonel Garrett

Com mand Sergeant Maior Steven Greer (USA, Retir ed) Fox News9 No recent comments by Com mand Sergeant Major Steven G reer

Lieutenant Genera l Thomas M c l n e r n q> Tough fight:

o "If people understand we're trying to create a moderate governmentthat can contain and eliminate this Islamic extremism , then they'llunderstand why this fight is so tough, because those extremists,those fascists-cannot et Iraq have a moderate government."o Need to lock Baghdad downo Questions Prime Minister Maliki's will> "End Game" for Ira q:o "End game" is "stable Iraq, not necessarily democratic"o Suggests an authoritarian governm ent with marshal law

o Comparisons to South Korea after Korean W aro Iraqi forces- Long run going to win"

9 Phased w ithdrawal:o Basically "cut and run"o Giving enemy the "game plan"9 I ran :o "Iran and Syria are trying to destabilize Iraq because they think ifit's destabilized, then the U.S. ill pull out."b Secretary Rumsfeld:

o "I believe ultimately history will be very good to him"b Dr. Gates:

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o "Gates may Wy to work with Iran but he is no fool and will be atough taskmaster."o Will continue with Secretary Rum sfeld's efforts to transform themilitary

Colonel Jeffre y M cCausland9 The ISG repor t - "On target":

o Key recommendation- raqi leadership has to grab situation they'rein with sectarian violenceo Broader diplomatic strategy - need to engage regional players.o Must be a combination of m ilitary, economic, political anddiplomatic efforts

9 Training Iraq i forces - "Not a silver bullet":o Military will embrace mo re em bedded military training teams w ithIraqi S ecurity Forces, but still difficult to traino Even after withdraw al, Some U.S. forces in Iraq or region toprovide "external security" (intelligence, communication)o Questionable if training can be done quickly

9 Tro op levels:o "Not surprising Gen . Abizaid called for retaining military flexibilityregarding troop levels, resisting thc call by many Dem ocrats iorcrcitino a timeiable for imm ediate withdrawal of U.S. tmoos"-~

> Increased deploym ent of National G uar d:o "Conceivable they m ight recommend an increase inU S . forces inIraq"o Question if there are enough forces in Baghdad9 Dr. Gates:o "Very cap able and experienced guy"o Dndicates change in Iraq strategyo "Average folks" on ground won 't pay attention to change

9 tatus of military equipment - "Real problem"Maior G eneral Rob er t H. Scales, J r .

9 Mr. Gates:o He brings "a fresh start and a n e w approach...with few ideological

preconceptions".. . he is "a collegial consensus maker" and has"good state and intelligence community relations"9 W here to invest DoD money:

o Thinks transformation is the best bet, but doesn't think that's whatMr. Gates will focus on first and m ost9 Th e Army today:

o It's "hanging on" because of the sergeantsOSDPublic AffairsResearch and Analysis

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> I raq :o The key to success in Iraq is to increase the adviser to the Iraqi unitso Troop levels in Iraqi units should increaseo Training of Iraqi troops closely could take m onths or even years

M aio r General Donald W. Sheuuerdb The ISG report:

o It's "nght on the mark...powerful and dramatic. It gives us a chanceto change direction there"o The group has it right when they say we need to talk to Iran andSyria diplomatically

> Recommendations:o Embedding combat troops with the Iraqi forces is "really smart" anda next step after that would be to m ove on to deal with the m ilitias

> Train ing of Ira qi forces:o It's going well, but they don't have the logistics, equipment, airsupport and long-term support they needo The fo rces "are very good, but they need some backbone.. . sometime"

> Conce pt of a dra ft:o "Buys into" the concept of national support for the service proposedby Dr. Moskoso Believes in a "quasi volunteer military" hut only if the nation feels"threatened"

> Mr. Gates:o Would tell Mr. Gates if given the chance to "watch your rhetoric anddo not say staying the course" or "we're going to w in" and do not se ta timetable for getting out.o Gates has "been well engaged for a length time in national security. Ithink he'll be very carefuland thoughtful on whatever he does"

Mr. W avne Simmons> Mr. Gates:

o He 's an "outstanding choice - a no-brainer" . one of the mostcomm endable things about Mr. Gates is that he came u p through theranks and has always been - fo r the most part - apolitical"

EXCERPTSColonel Ken Allard

San Antonio Express: Lesson of uneanal sacrifice - 11/29/06OSDPublic Affairs Research and Analysis

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"Bugging out is always an op tion, but so is ethnic cleansing or oil at $200 a barrel.Listen to lame duck R epublicans or eager new Dem ocrats and you might think thatthe only options for national policy are somewhere between surrender andstupidity. And while it's hard to make matters worse, give the politicians enoughtime and they'll figure out a way... B ut before we allow those grieving classmates and flags along U.S. 181 torecede into our collective memories, can we try recalling that the ideal of equalityin this country means that the burden of defending our freedom is theresponsibility of the many. Not just the few, the proud and the poor!'San Antonio Express: Me morials sal ute heroism. bu t so does sup po rt of a

11/08/06Then there are the recen t amputees wheeled through the PX by spouses every hitas courageous as their warrior sou l mates. O ne look at them and you realize thatyou haven't done nearly enough.So let this Veterans Day mark the turning po int. Because maybe it's time for all ofus to put aside the larger issues and simply concentrate on making a personaldifference in the lives of those brave young people.

Jed BabbinReal Cle ar Politics: Exit Rumsfeld, Smiling- 12/07/06One day in the next two weeks there will be a departure ceremony at the Pentagon.Flags will fly, bands will play and the liberal media will calumniate. Should thepresident choose to add the Presidential Medal of Freedom to the other honorsrendered, it's entirely possible that some newsrooms will have to bring in traumatherapists. The 527 Media will indulge themselves in one last feeding frenzy overthe man they love to hate, Dona ld Rumsfeld, Mr. Rum sfeld's departure will featurea revival of the political fables that have been written about him , and provide acautionary tale for his successor, Robert Gates.Mr. Rumsfeld will probably walk out of the Pentagon smiling at the thought of ajob well done. His tenure has been colored by an onslaught of media attacks, butRumsfeld know s that Am erican history is enriched by men who suffered the sametreatment at the hands o f the press and were later judged to be some of our greatestleaders. Grant, Sherman, and Lincoln endured appalling media attacks throughoutthe Civil War (Lincoln the incompetent baboon. Grant the drunk, Sherman thecrazy man) but historians were better able to judge them.The criticisms of Rum sfeld, both fair and foul, are overshadowed by a string oflasting accomplishments ranging from bringing ballistic missile defense fromtheory to realitv to transformation of the military from a Cold W ar garrison forceto the flexible forces needed to fight the war we're in. Add to that the rapidOSD 5PublicAffairs Research and Analysis

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overthrow of the Taliban and Saddam regimes, positioning America to deal withthe rise of China, subtract Bush's unwillingness to take the battle to the enemy'scenters of gravity, and Rum sfeld's record will be seen as imperfect, but one thatmay prove him to have been our best Secretary of Defense. History will be kinderto Rum sfeld than the daily press, just as it has been to our Civil W ar leaders,because it will see facts from a greater distance than those who write andbroadcast every day can achieve. Some o f the facts historians will place in contextare these.After 9-1 1, the president wanted to hit the Taliban hard, fast and decisively. ButArmy Chief of S taff Eric Shinseki insisted that almost the entire army had to bedeployed to do it, and that would take several months. Rumsfeld and the othermilitary leaders crafted a plan to take us to war - and to victory - n weeks.America attacked the Taliban in early October 2001 and the Shinseki army -except for Army Special Forces and helo forces- tayed home. By D ecember theregime was toppled. Then began the media's contrivance of stories - possibly incollusion with congressional Democrats - about Rumsfeld's supposed failures thathave led to everything from Usama bin Laden's escape to the mess inMesopotamia.The media suffered a panic attack at the beginning o fth e Afghan and Iraq wars.When our forces paused in the advance toward Baghdad, the media panicked.Reports said we're pausing, so we must be in trouble, we're running out of ammo,food and even water. There aren't enough troops. The war plan was wrong, and wehave to stop, we're in V ietnam, another quagmire. The m edia were proven sowrong so quickly and s o decisively that even they were em barrassed and they'venever forgiven Rumsfeld fo r it. Their revenge is in the contrivance of fables abouthim.The first myth was that Rumsfeld refused to put enough troops into the Tom Boraregion to capture bin Laden, that we'd "subcontracted" bin Laden's capture tounreliable Afghan tribal leaders, resulting in his escape. Gen. Tommy Franks,CENTCOM comm ander, debunked that in an op-ed in October 2004, but themedia persisted. In a November 2004 interview Marine Lt. G en. Mike "Rifle"Delong, Gen . Franks's second in com mand, told me, "Somebody could have madethat statement, but it sure a s hell wasn't the people who fought the war." ButDeLongts and Franks's facts weren't consistent with the media narrative, so themyth is perpetuated. Just like the 527 Media's metaphysical certainty thatRumsfeld didn't get along with the military and disregarded the senior generals'counsel."Rifle" DeLong had a few choice words abou t that as well. "...We bad thesediscussions with [the Joint Chiefs of Staff] and we also had them with theSecretary [R umsfeld ] and the Secretary agreed with us." What he described for theAfghan istan operations was the usual process with p lans developed in debates -OSD 6Public AffairsResearch and Analysis

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some heated, some not - between professionals. What DeLong told me then I haveconfirmed over and over in discussions with other senior military leaders.Rumsfeld is a tough guy t o work for, but he absorbs - and mostly follows -- theadvice of senior military leaders. If anything he's too tolerant of rebelliousgenerals Eric Shinseki should have been fired (and mieht have been hut for the-fact of his family connections to H awaii Sen. Dan Inouye).The greatest fable about Rumsfeld's tenure was the so-called "generals' revolt"contrived by the 527 Media in apparent collusion with the Democrats. Thepolitical m aneuver - culmina ting in the phony "congressional hearing" held byDemocrats during the 2006 campaign - is the most fascinating of all the myths.The statements and media appearances of the "rebelling" generals were obviouslycoordinated. The questions I posed last July about the media's collusion with theDemocrats and the generals haven't been answered. Which Democrat "war room"ran this operation? Why did the generals get a free ride, exempted from the toughquestions they should have had to answer? And that gives rise to ethical questionsabout the 527 media that will some day be answered.In conversations with a retired officer wh o was a member of the Joint Chiefs ofStaff at the time, he told me - and said the other Joint Chiefs would affirm - th atnone of the "rebel" generals had raised their newly-advertised concerns aboutRumsfeld's Iraq plans and operations while they were on active duty. None of themedia asked about this dereliction of duty: why d idn't these generals raise Cainover their supposedly-heartfelt criticisms through the chain of comm and whilethey were in a position to do so? The media didn't seek or tell the truth about thegenerals. That's the real story behind the story.Few know that in early 2003 - a month or more before the Iraq invasion -President Bush w as presented with two plans for post-war Iraq. The first, writtenby CIA Director George T enet and Secretary of State Colin Powell, provided for along occupation of Iraq and ihe nation-building that the presiden t renounced in his2000 camnaien. The second. a Pentaron nian authored bv Rumsfeld's learn.- - .provided for the establishment of a provisional government before the invasionand American withdrawal w ithin months of Saddam's overthrow. The president,convinced by Powell that "if you break it, you own it", chose the Powell-Tene tplan and ordered Rumsfeld to carry it out.When Baghdad fell, after the brief tenure of Gen. Jay Gamer, the presidentappointed L. Paul Brerner 111 to govern Iraq under Rumsfeld's direction. ButBremer proved to be a loose cannon, endlessly circling around from Pow ell toRice to the president to get permission to do whatever Rumsfeld didn't agree with,One pentagon official involved closely told me Bremer's tenure was disastrousbecause o fh is continuing reliance on the group surrounding Adnan P achachi, anold-time Sunni whose oersuasion of Bremer to leave Sunni militants alone wasone of the principal reasons the Sunni insurgency was able to gain strength.OSD 7Public Affain Research and Analysis

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Bremer's dec isions to disband the Iraqi army and delay the outlay o f reconstructionfunds alienated Iraqis almost completely. At about that time, the m edia begancontriving the myths of Rumsfeld and Iraq.All of those myths combined , in the m inds of some defeated Republicans, toblame Mr. Rumsfeld for the election debacle o f November. But that overlooks thefacts presented by the Zogby poll in late October that showed 49% of Americanswanted the president to retain Rumsfeld, against 42% who wanted him gone.When that poll was taken, the president's job approval numbers were about tenpoints lower than Rumsfeld's "stay or go" polls.In his Tuesday confirmation hearing, Dr. Gates said he was surprised at how muchtransformation of the military had actually been accomplished. He will be moresurprised at how the m edia has transformed itself since he last served ingovernm ent. He can learn a lot from studying how the media has treated hispredecessor. If he stud ies no other lesson, he should look at the "Rumsfeld refusesto testify" story that the AP manufactured last summer. (There's another story inthat incident, too. Rahm hmanucl used 10 issue press releases calling for people^n-simations. W hose idea was the AP stnn p of stories, centered around H i l l wClinton, culminating in her call fo r Rumsfeld's resignation? Did AP reporters - oreditors -collud e with Dem ocrats to write and time the stories?)Gates will have a very short media honeymoon. If he doesn't bring the Iraq war toa quick close -wh ich he, the Pentagon and the W hite House agree can't be donewithout surrendering it to the enemy - he'll soon enough be the subject of the samekind of contrived news stories. Welcome to the world of the 527 Media, Dr. Gates.If you don't toe the B aker-Ham ilton line, you'll soon be subject to the sam etreatment your predecessor received. You may even so enrageNYT columnistMaureen Dowd that she will write a poem excoriating you, as she did aboutRum sfeld two Decembers ago. It's a badge of honor you may yet earn.Dr.Gates will realize, asMr. Rumsfeld undoubtedly has, that the daily media-bashing comes from the ankle-biters, the po litically-active media that history willignore. And that's why Rumsfeld will be sm iling when he takes his leave.CNBC: Kudlow & Co moany- 12/04/06 17:07:36I think he's (Newt GinmiehI the worst guy for the iob (UNAmbassador.) Hewants to give away t h e first amend me^ for heaven's sake and we need somebodylike. we need som ebody like retired Marine General PX Kelly go in there and kickbutt and take namesCNBC: K udlnw & Com oany - C NB C 12/04/06 17:23:21Well, I don't think ; u'll see a confrontation between Mr. bush and the hillbecause I think these proposals I'm hearing now and things I have been readingOSD SPublicAffairs ResearchandAnalysis

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going to suffer something; our allies will suffer something the world has not seenbefore.CNBC: Kudlow & Company- 11/09/06 1 7 4 3 3 9It will not happen. That's a NeoC on position. Position forced on Don Rumsfeldwho never believed in nation building to start with. We see it in ruins right now inIraq. The issue whether Bo b Gates can tell George Bush the b loody truth. You'renot going to win that war by staying in Iraq. You 're either go ing to have to get outof there or go deal with Syria and Iran. Unless you do that, you can 't win this war.CNBC: Kudlow an d Com pany- 11/9/2006 1740 :24I think it's diminution of the influence of the defense departm ent. You seeascendancy of the state department here. It's not a question of changing theperson; it's a question whether the president is going to redirect the policy. I think ,o w intervention in Iraq, has, stalled and the president has to find a way to breakthe log jam.The Departure of Don Rumsfeld does not change anything on the ground for thetroops. Rumsfeld was doing what Mr. Bush wanted him to do. Bob Gates will dowhat Mr. Bush wants him to do. Gates is not reformer. Not a strong leader. Not abig military strategist. At best he will be a caretaker over there. The question is,what does the president want to do? I suspect he will want to do what the Baker,fabulous Baker boys, Baker and Hamilton, tell him that he should do.

Lieu tenan t Gen eral Michael P. DeLongCNN: Late E dition With Wo lfBlitzer- 11/26/06 11:45:13Well first of all it's not new from the representative but I don't support that. Thecurrent way that we do business right now, the military we've got the best youngmen, best young ladies, the best force that we ever had. I joined in the late '60swhen they had a draft. I came from nava l academy and watched the services growand each service brings its own un ique style but the way we're doing right nowwith the all volunteer forces by far the way to goCNN: La te Edition with Wolf Blitzer- 11/26/06 11 :47 23Well, as I listen to your program before and I think both gentlem en had a goodpoint. The issue right now in Iraqi army is pretty well trained. The Iraqi policeforce is pretty well trained they got some asperse and you have the Iraq i policewithout so much asperse and the government that cannot control either one rightnow. So bringing in more troops I don't know what good that would do. I talkedto john Abizaid and listen to him and have talked to other people, over there rightnow. I have been over there. I think they are doing what they need to do right nowbut unless they get a different governm ent, or a government that can control thesecurity of that country I think they are going to have a problem.OSDPublic Affairs Research and Analysis

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Brieadier G eneral David L. Gra neeCNN: L ou Dobbs Tonieh t -December 7DOBBS: This ISG - recommendations, 79 them in point o f fact, General Baton,does it give vou confidence that. as the re w rt is termed, that the w ay forward willbe m oreeff&tive?... RIG. GEN. DAVID GRA NGE , CNNM ILIT AR Y ANALYST: Well, itputs more people involved in the leadership of the nation behind the war effort,which basically has been somewhat isolated with, I think, very l ittle support fromthe rest of the governm ent.DOBBS: You bo th are expressing some hope. It's guarded hope..GRANGE: Well, I think there's definitely a chance fo r victory still to havesome come out of there somehow with a stable Iraq to some degree. What shouldhave happened is this report, this effort, should have happened when Paul Batonwas there during his tour years ago when all this type of resourcing would haveprobably paved the way for a sure success.DOBBS: The head of the Marine Corps says he's got to have more people, and heneeds those people quick. Everyone I talk to in the US . Army, the U.S. military --it's -wha t they're basically saying is, w e need a lot of help, more people, andquick. No one wants to support a draft. That's not what they're asking for. But thismilitary is worn down, and , as Senator McCain sa id today, being at this stage,being stressed and strung out is a lot better than being defeated. But how m uchlonger can this country reasonably tolerate the -- just the abuse of the U S . militaryby out policymakers that have put them into positions where we're spendingbillions of dollars on worn- out equipment, straining out - stringing out ourReserves, our Guard, and our regular military?GRANGE: Well, I'll g o ahead and start that of f if it's OK. I would - I think we'recoming to the end of the rope on the s ize of the military, committed the way theyare right now in Iraq and Afghanistan. And in particular, for being ready in casesomething happens in Iran or elsewhere around the world. We're asking too muchof the military for the comm itments right now that they're expected to accomplishto standard.Blunt reno rt calls Ir an situation 'dire' -December 7(Chicago Tribune). .Stephen 1.Hedges and Mike Doming.. "Y o u can't do it real fast," said David Grange, a former general in the U S .Arm y's Special Forces. "Y ou can gradually put them in there. It's not just numbers.These guys have to have the proper ranks and specialties and experience in orderto train. They're trainers, not recruits."CNN: O UDobbs Tonieht - December 1DO DDS: Joining me now , G eneral David Grange. General Grange, what do youthink of this idea to move troops w ithin Iraq and reposition them in Baghdad?OSD 11Public Affairs Research and Analysis

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BRIG. GEN. DAVID GR ANG E (RET), CNN MILITARY ANALYST:Well,two critical areas in Iraq. O ne is the Baghdad metropo litan area, and the other isthe Anbar province. And in Baghdad, you have a very tough situation wheresomeone has to p rovide security. The peop le are going to support whoeverprovides that security. The Iraqi a nny and police are not doing it, so they'resending American GIs in there.DOBBS: You know, you and I have --and indeed the nation -- have been talkingabout, wrestling with the issue of Iraq. We've talked about a general staff, theen tire U S military, the comm and structure sitting primarily in the Pentagon, notdelivering victory, calling for patience. We have the P entagon right now,apparently, scrambling to com e up w ith some sort of riposte to w hatever the IraqStudy Group comes up with. What arew e dealing with here as we approach thefourth anniversary of this war's beginning?GRAN GE: W ell, I think the biggest problem , Lou, is that the nation is not at war.You have the United S tates Arm y at war, you have the M arine Corps at war andthe rest of the government agencies, and everyone else is not a t war. And you can'twin a war unless you have unity of effort. And that's the problem .DO BBS: You know, General Grange, I think that is about as eloquently andaccurately as anybody has put that. So what do w e do? And how can a nation ofconscience, a democratic nation of conscience, ask, as we do and as we haveinstitutionalized, a military to go to war i n w hich there is not a shared burden, ashared sacrifice? And in the instance of Iraq, in my judgment, as we havediscussed before, certainly no clear strategy for victory?GRANGE: Well, as history proves, without that unified effort, we have not wonin the past. We have either had a tie or we've l o s t And so, that has to be done. AndI just - it bothers m e considerably that we're not going to put forth the effort,besides a new strategy - I mean , the strategy 's got to be to take down bad guys,like al- Sadr and others that are keeping the Iraqi governm ent from beingsuccessful, and get on w ith the m ission and accomplish it. Without a timelime;otherwise, if you use a time , time becomes the m ission instead of the effects you'retrying to achieve becoming the mission, and you won't win that way. And so, nowis the tim e not to rob Peter to Day Paul through other places in Iraq. 10 reinforceBaghdad hut to reinforce the en tire country so you don't leave a void, you takedown the important objectives and win this thing.CNN: Lon Dobbs Tonight -November 22PI LG RIM : You know, we reported earlier that General Abizaid said that hewants a tempora ry increase int roo ps. Last week before the Sena te Armed ServicesCommittee. he didn't indicate anv increase, And then suddenly there's 2.200 trOOpSmoving to Al Anbar. Are we having mixed signals here?GRA NGE : No, I think that the 2,200 marines going to A nbar province - I hopethis is the case, anyw ay - s the start of a reinforcem ent during this very criticalfour- to six-month period w here, I think, the future of Iraq is going to beOSD 12Public Affairs Research and Analysis

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determined. And I think it's better to have more than just enough in order to havethe flexibility to do the different things, the different requirements in bothAfghanistan and Iraq.PILG RIM : Let me read a comment that he told CNN today. "I could see a seriesof options coming together where you m ight have a short term increase for a goodreason and it would have to be tied to a specific plan!' Now, that plan is the openquestion. Is it a Pentagon call? Is it the Iraq Study Group call, White House plan?Where might this plan be com ing from that he's looking at this?GRANG E: The plan - he m ilitary past of the plan will be done by GeneralAbizaid's Central Comm and with approval from the Pentagon, the NationalSecurity Council, etcetera. Other aspects come into that plan because there's aState Department piece to it, there's USAID, there's other government agenciesthat are involved in the holistic plan that will be approved and put together,considering recommendations from the separate study groups aswell.PIL GR IM: Abizaid also said that he wants to double or he could considerdoubling the training forces for the Iraqi forces -- the U.S. force - doubling theU.S. forces. What do you think o f that?GRANGE: Well, I think that's probably necessary right now, because, obviously,one of the key issues is to provide trained and ready and loya l Iraqi forces to takeon most of this fight and to establish the rule o f law in a country which is theirresponsibility. And it doesn't just mean you add another 10 to a 10-man team. Youhave to add the right sk ills, the right rank structure to get the right mix in order toprovide that quality training. I also think that there may be -- and I wouldpersonally recommend this -tha t you would also do more combined operations.In other words, you w ould put whole U S . units alongside whole Iraqi units sothey fight side-by-side that give you some quality assurance, if that's som e kind ofa loyalty issue with a certainly faction instead o f the Iraqi governm ent.PILGRIM. That's interesting. I.ct me bring up thc commandant of the MarineCorns. deneral Jamcs Conwav cave h e Marines in Iraq and A~ h a n is lm re~ ' . ,stretched. Let's listen to what he had to say.(BEGIN VIDEO C LIP)GEN. JAMESCONWAY, US.MARINECORPS COM MAN DANT: I think wemav lose some of those folks. I think that the families, the young Marines, thesailors will say that's just more than 1 hink I'm willing to bear. And it could havesome negative consequences for us in that regard .(ENDVIDEO CLIP)PILG RIM : He's talking about the amount of time off that they get in betweentours - 180,000 Marines, he says that's a good level for peacetime. W e're hardly atpeacetime situation now, General?GRA NGE : Well, here's the issue on the rotation of forces. Whether you're on aseven-month our or a 12-month tour, whatever, you need sufficient time toretrain. Well, one would say, well, why d o you have to do that? You just cameback from combat, you should be trained. What happens is, you lose about 50OSD 13Public Affairs Researchand Analysis

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percent of the force on return back from a mission. That's regu lar troops as well assergeants and officers. So you get all these new, green troops in, plus you get newleaders in that have to come together as a team. Tha t takes time. Then there's othertraining that must be done fo r other places in the world that we have contingenciesfor. That takes time. They have to reset all their equipment, wh ich most of it'sbroken or just run hard and pu t away wet. And lastly, and the m ost important, arethe family issues, the moral aspects of missing Christmas, missing manyChristmases, Thanksgivings, weddings, birthdays. All these things wear onmilitary families. And w ith a force that's over, I think, 60 percent m arried, this istough and this morale issue is something to be considered.PI LG RI M : Certainly at this time of year it's fairly obvious. General Conway alsosaid that he thought that the M arines could sustain another conflict. What's youropinion of how strained the Marines are?GRANGE: I think the M arines and the Army are strained immensely. And I thinkthe - both - specially the ground forces, there must be an increase, not on theedges, a very large increase in forces in the Marine Corps and in the Army. Andthat's not an easy task. There's two pieces to that. One is you have to have itapproved by Congress and funded properly by C ongress. And that usually is alittle loose at times. And the second piece is that it's hard to get that many recruitsout of our society today. So the recruitingCNN: The Situation Room -Novemb er 16BLITZ ER: We're following a breaking news story out of southern Iraq. A convoyof contractors, including four Am ericans, ambushed ust a little while ago nearNasariya in the southern part of Iraq. We're watching this story very close ly. Iwant to bring in our m ilitary analyst, retired U S . Army B rigadier General DavidGrang e. You hear this kind of story. You know there's protection. There's a lot ofsuspension, as you also know, General Grange, that those who may haveambushed this convoy were w earing Iraqi army uniforms or police un iforms,which are apparen tly very plentiful. This seems like sort of a new structure on howto go after the people they wan t to go after. Just dress up a s the good guys.BRIG. GEN. DAVID GRANGE (RET.1.CNNMILITARY ANALYST: Well Ithink that is the case. What that does, it &uses security personne l in this case or itcould be US . soldiers or Iraqi - egular Iraqi army soldiers that are actually loyalto the gov ernment to hesitate in execu ting rules of engagement if there is a threat.And that gives the opponent a little bit of an edge to get the jump on anorganization like this.BL ITZ ER : These convoy s, incredibly dangerous. But as I observed myself lastyear when I was there, they are pretty sophisticated and they seem to have all theequipment they need. They've built up the annor.Apparently these guys juststopped inN asariy a at what they thought was are gula r Iraqi army checkpoint, butguess what? It apparently was not the case.OSD 14Public AffairsResearch and Analysis

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GRA NGE : Well and also why four? I mean if they go with three gun vehicles,three each, there is nine right there. So, I m ean, it just depends on how -- did theyget separated? What kind o f issue happened?But most o f these contractors, formerlaw enforcement agency personnel, and Special Ops or paratroopers, those kind ofsoldiers that - or Marines that retired are well trained, I mean these are not green-type recruits.BL ITZ ER : Th e 2,200 Marines who are about to be deployed to the al AnbarProvince in the w estern part of Iraq, they are aboard ships right now in the PersianGulf. These are in addition to the 140, 145,000 troops already there. It sounds,given the enormity of that geography over there like a -- you know a limitedcapability that they'll have to really do much.GRANG E: Well, I think it's about 20,000 to 30,000 Marines or soldiers short.This I S the time, if anything, to surge even if - and I am not talking about G.1.spatrolling streets. I'm talking about showing presence, showing resolve that w eaim to win, to m ake the Iraqi governm ent successful. And this four-to-six monthperiod is not a time to reduce strength or to piecemeal hut overwhelmingly occupyor support the different areas that are needed in Iraq.CNN: Lou Dobbs Tonight - November 16DOBBS: General Grange, the idea that there is still no straight- forward,articulated strategy in Iraq, that more of our men and women in uniform are beingkilled there. To hear General Abizaid yesterday, I don't know about you -well , letme just ask you. W ere you inspired by his assessment and prescription for thefuture in Iraq?BRIG. GEN.DAVID GRANGE, RET),CNN MILITARY ANALYST:believe it has to be m ore of a strategy than it was in testimony.A couple of thingshave to happen. One, yes, double the size of the advisory tcams, hut also establishand it has to be a suree. to do that establish combined Iraai-U.S. forces so have the.capabilities to m ove anywhere you need to to take on opponents. You m ust dosomething about the m ilitia, because it's only going to get worse. You have about afour to six-month window, I think, to do that and then I would send brigade sizeelements, 3,000 to 5,000 troops a piece on the Iranian border, Syrian border,Anbar Province, just to demonstrate resolve and to intimidate and forpsycholog ical effcct on our adversaries...DOB BS: General Grange, I have to tell you, as Tom Ricks says that, 18 months.You are m in e to have to nut me down as unnairiohc and s oft on Iraa. The idea of-losing more Americans over the course of a year and a half does not sit well withme. It sticks in my craw Because I don't see clear goals, clear strategy. And I don'tthink a lot of Americans do, either. Give us your best military insight into what inthe world we should be doing there?GRANG E: We have this four- to six-month window , I believe, to actually have achance to win this thing. And the winning may not look the way w e like it but it'sOS D 15Public Affairs ResearchandAnalysis

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not leaving where we're going to be a loser and so are the Iraqi people and thisregion of the world. So w e have to do something. Talk about who has the blame. Idon't understand why w e're so concerned about that piece o f it. W hy can'tsomeone ust lead these things to victory? Get the military back on its feet the wayit should be to take on the challenges of the 21st cen tury. Which is quite apparent.This is not an easy cha llenge for this country.DOBBS: Let m e ask you straight up. W hat is the world is W est Point producingamongst this group of generals, this war has taken longer than W orld W ar 11. Not asinglLgeneraihasbe&fired and every general talks about patience. And G eneralAbizaid is sitting there sounding like apolitic ian instead of a general when he'sstanding before Congress...G R AN GE: Lou, it's an Abraham Lincoln commanding a Grant and a Marshallto accomplish this mission. That's what's needed,DOBBS: W here do we find Grant and Marshall in this general staff?GRANGE: They are out there.CNN: CNN Newsroom -November 15PH ILLIPS: All right, so, where does the war go? With a new leader coming at thePentagon, and Dem ocrats poised to take control of Congress, let's b ring in ourmilitary analyst, retired Brigadier General David Grange. You know, he's say ingthere should be troops. There shouldn't be troops. Well, maybe there should betroops to help the Iraqi troops, but it's only temporary . He's going back and forth,General.BRIGADIER GENERA L DAVID GRANGE (RET.), CNN MILITARYANALYST: Here's why. There arethreemajor problems. One is the rising powerof the militia and disloyal Iraqi leaders. Number tw o is the influence from Iran.And num ber three is, there's not enough trained, loyal Iraqi soldiers or police. So,the answers have to be able to support those three problems, whether they needmore troops or less troops. And we can go into it from there.PHIL LIPS: Well, how do you -- all right, let's - let's say we lay it out with thosethree points you just made it. It sounds like that's going to need more troops.GRA NGE : It's going to need m ore troops not to go in, for instance, and clear a -a district within Baghdad. That should be the Iraqi police and military du ty, withAmerican support from behind, training and maybe advising.But what Americans need to be used for is. one. train more Iraai soldiers. Whether,they're loyal or not, that - hat's an Iraqi problem. We can't influence that verywell. And you are going to always have that problem.PHILLIPS: But...(CROSSTALK)GRA NGE : But more have to be trained to go in to actually let them clear thesecities. You don't need to have another Fallujah with American troops as the lead.PH ILL IPS: Well, it sounds like Abizaid...(CROSSTALK)OSD 16PublicAffairs Research and Analysis

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GRANGE: ... he Iraqi sovereign government...PH ILL IPS : Go ahead. I'm sorry, General.GRANGE: I'm sorry.PHILL IPS: No, I apologize.GRAN GE: No, I - I'm just saying, the Iraqi sovereign governm ent will not allowus to do that anyway.Where American troops need to be used is more in the backdrop , training Iraqitroops. And what I w ould do is, if you send more troops, which is really not a badidea, but for o ther reasons. That's psychological reasons.I would plop them down on the border o f Iraq, on the border of Syria, and out inAnhar Province to patrol and just conduct training exercises, because, right now,the -- the - he enemy feels that we're losing our will; we're not determined to winthis thing. And - nd they think we have the lack of resolve.So, if you did something like, you would throw them totally off balance and getsome kind of a positional advantage.PH IL LI PS : Well, this is a big beef with Senator John McCain as well. He hasbeen saying, look, you need more Marines; you need more Army. You got to takethe pressure off the Guard take the pressure off the Reserve.He and A bizaid got into a little bit of a back-and-forth. Let's take a listen.(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP1SEN. JOHN MCCAIN'(R), ARIZONA: I respect you enorm ously. I appreciateyour service. I regret deeply that you seem to think, that the status quo and the rateof progress we're making is acceptable.I think most Americans do not.ABIZAID: Well, Senator, I agree with you. T he status quo is not acceptable. And Idon't believe what I'm saying here today is the status quo.I am saying we must significantly increase our ability to help the Iraqi army byputting more Am erican troops with Iraqi units in military transition teams to speedthe amount of training that is done, to speed the amount of heavy weapons thatgets there. and to meed the ability of lraai t r o o ~ so d e ~ t o v .. . . .(END.VIDEO CLIP)PH ILL IPS: Let me ask you, is it the quality vs. the quantity? When - when --when McCain has talked about we need to nut more Armv and Marines in there.and - nd take the pressure off the Guard A d o ff th e Reserves, what is it about theArmy and the Marines? Are they - re they trained differently than the Guard andthe R eserve, where they c an go in there and mayhe accomplish this quicker?GRANGE: Well, it's hard to get -- to train up forces that only have a coupleweekends a month to - to m aintain proficiency, compared to active units, thattrain all year long.I mean, it's hard just to get active units ready to go to these kind of irregularwarfare fights, when they train 365 days a year. So, there is a bit o f a difference.And it's a fair way t o say it. I mean, you can't expect more than that.But the point is, there's two issues here. On e is, we have too small of a military tohandle all the things we have to do and be ready to do in the world. ReferenceOSD 17PublicAffairsResearch and Analysis

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Iraq, if you 're going to speed up the framing of Iraqi units to take on the fightthemselves, and y ou're going to surge that effort, then, you have probably got tosend more troops, if you d on't have enough, to do that, because right now is (hebreaking point.The nex t half-year or so, this may be it. And, so, if it takes more troops, then, bygoodness, do it. But the Iraqis have to be the ones that go in and do the fighting,finally.PH ILL IPS : Interesting. You say it's a -- it's a breaking point. Now w e have gotthis Iraq S tudy Group, Jim Bak er and the rest. Does that word study bother you? Imean, how m any m ore people will it take to study this war, vs. just taking actionand doing something?GR AN GE: W ell, yes, you can study it to death, but it's - it's almost gets timewhere you're - you're in the execution phase.And, so, that's right. And - -and I think one thing the study group's going to com eup is the regional approach, vice just Iraq. I m ean, Iraq can't be looked at in a siloby itself. It's tied too much, there 's too much connectivity to - to terrorist groupsto other countries, to other influences, militias, black m arkets, crimina ls,businesses, etcetera.And, so, you have to look at it in a regional approach...PH ILLIPS: And these death squads.GRANGE: ... to take it on.Exactly, the death squads. I mean, what about the m ilitia? Are w e -- is themilitiagoing to be allow ed to live alongside and operate alongside the elected sovereigneovernment?Are thev s o b o be inteerated . like Nationa l Guard. into the- - - ,military? Or are they going t o be taken down?A decision has to be decided to do one or the other. And if - and if the Iraqigovernment won't solve that problem, won't take that on, it's never go ing to getfixed. It is going to be like the Hezbollah in Lebanon. That -- that will be theresult.PH ILL IPS: General David Grange, always great to see you.GRANGE: Thankyou.

Colonel Ja ck JacobsMSNBC: Tucker with Tuc ker Carlson -December 6CARL SON : W e'll have much more time to talk about this in a minute, butbriefly, I just want, if you would, each o f you to sum up your responses to this.Colonel, when you read this, what w as you r reaction?JACO BS : Well, there are two things that jumped right out at me, and that wasdespite the fact this was com missioned by the W hite House, this is a damningindictment of two things about the W hite House.First, it said that its military policy stinks. And it also, in saying, Hey , you need toengage in Iraq - mean, Iran - here's a Freudian slip - ran and Syria. It saidyour foreign policy stinks, too.OSD ISPublic Affairs Research andAnalysis

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And those two things jumped right out at me much m ore blatantly than theprescriptions for what ought to be done on the ground...Colonel Jacobs, one of the recommendations is to close permanently all m ilitarybases in Iraq, when w e pull out, leave nothing behind. How useful wo uld it be tothe military to have a perm anent base or two in Iraq?MSNBC: Countdown w ith Keith Olberm ann -November 27OLBERMANN: ou use that key phrase, more troops. How many more troopswould it take to essentiallv staunch a civil war? And if we're not willine t o do that.~is the adm inistration essentially biding its time there in an effort to save face andnot really im pact the outcome?JACO BS : Well, I would have said some time ago that we needed, you know,maybe another 100,000, or a little bit more. And up until recently, I would havethought doubling the number of troops that are already there would have beenadequate.But I think, given the recent circum stances, I think a substan tial num ber, severalhundred thousand m ore, would be required. And furthermore, more significantly,would have to be a com mitment to do things that we have not yet done, and that isto insinuate ourselves in - n masse into areas, and to kill or capture all theenemy, to move peop le out of built-up areas into cam ps where we work throughthem to make sure that before we return them to wh ere they came from, thatthey're not bad guys, and so on.It's going to take a g reat deal of effort. I don't think we're prepared to make thateffort, and there's not a lot of tim e to do that. And I don't think the Americanpopulation is ready for it.MSNBC: Tuc ker with Tucke r Carlso n -November 27JACOBS: It's not true. You can, in fact, achieve significant objectives even in theenvironm ent of Iraq, but that's going to require two things. First, a massiveincrease in the number o f troops, which we're not prepared to undertake. We'rejust not going to do it. It's politically infeasihle. And , quite frankly, I'm not certainthat we even have the forces now or at any time in the near future in order to effectchange.And second, and perhaps more important, is the fact that we'd have to co mpletelychange how w e operate in Iraq. That means thatwe'd have to he prepared to injecttroops into small areas, take plenty o f casualties, which happens in w ars like this,and for there to he commens"ratecivilian casualties that u n p l a ~ e d . don'tthink the A merican oublic is nreoared for that. and, as I said. it's ooliticallv. . . . , Ainfeasible in a run-up to a general election in two years.MSNBC: Tuc ker with Tucke r Carlson -November 8CARL SON : Th e irony in that, since, of course, his public perception has beencompletely consum ed by, certainly defined by the war in Iraq.OSD 19PublicAffairs Research and Analysis

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may be we might have to use what w e did after the Korean war when PresidentSyngman Rhee was put in. we may to g o to authoritarian government civil rightsand martial law and do a whole host of things to get stability over there.Colonel Jeffre y M cCausland

WCBS 11/08/06 17:33:00> Transcripts available on requestWCBS 11/11/06 09:00:409 Transcripts available on requestWCBS 11/15/06 17:00:429 Transcripts available on request

Maior G enera l Rober t H. Scales, Jr .Fox News Sv ed al Renort with Brit Hu m e- December 8MIKE EMAMIEI: Pcnianir . o f k i a l i sav thci re not surnrised bs the, . ,recommendation of the Iraq Study G roup to expand the number of trainers, sincethe top U S . general in the M iddle East, John Abizaid, already said he wan ts tobeef up the number.. .Military officials say they're aware of the risk for theAm erican trainers.. ,MAJ. GEN. ROBER T SCALES (RET),MILITARYANALY ST: We haveenough troops to beef up the training capacity. The issue is not numbers. The issueis quality and preparation....Leaders have to be trained. Soldiers have to betrained. And that's going to take time, months if not years.NPR All Thines C onsidered - December 5Gen eral RO BER T SC ALE S (Retired, U.S. Arm y): I don't see any new ideas onthe table, nor wo uld I have expected him (Mr. Gates) to throw out ideas in hishearings. I do think, and I agree with General McCaffrey, is that what he brings tothe table is a fresh start and a new approach. He is by nature a collegial consensusmaker. He has good relations with State and the intelligence community. He hasfew ideological preconceptions that he brings to the table.I think he has a certain gravitas based on his past and his close assoc iation with thepresident which puts him at a new position, and so at the end o f the day, whatwe're looking for is, for lack of a better term, a sort of - not new options, but arebalancing of old options and an appearance that we're bringing to the table afresh set of intellectual capab ilities that we're going to throw at the problem.NPR All Thi ne s Considered - November 27ROBERT SCALES- ... 'm a Viemam w e r a n and a retired eeneral. Had vou toldme after 911 1 that my arm y would be fighting in its fourth year in Iraq , thatsoldiers would be heading back into combat for the third time in as many years Iwouldn't have believed it. Because after Vietnam I saw m y army collapse, broken,OSDPublic Affairs Research and Analysis

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disheartened and abandoned by the American people. But this isn't broken, at leastnot yet. Why? I think the arm y is hanging together better than any of us old vetsimagined because of sergeants. They're the soul of our Army...What can we learn from our sergeants? First, technoloey and machines don't fightwars, people do. At the end of the day its sergeants and soldie rs who have to do-the dirty business of killing and dying. The other lesson is that a volunteer forcewe beein with is the sam e one we finish with. It's ha rd to recruit durine w artime.So, our soldiers will soldier on but for how long, only they will be ab let o tell usand when they're gone, nothing remains to replace them.Fox News: The Biz St ow wl John Gibson - November 23HOST- ..At u hitipoint do Iraui sccuniv forces stand on their own two feel?.SCA LES: Boy, that's a great question, Julie. First of all, not all the Iraqi forces arebad. There's a problem w ith the Iraqi police. We all know that. But there are someIraqi ground units that are very good.The key to the strategy in the future is going to be to thicken the Am ericanpresence in Iraqi units and to increase the quantity of advisers to improve thequality of their equipment and to back o ff, to give the Iraqi leaders, the juniorleaders, partically sergeants, lieutenants and captains, more of an opportunity tolearn to fight while fighting, to leam fromus and then to apply those lessons infighting the war their way .Fox News Th e Bie S t o w with John Gibson - November 23HO ST J U L IE BAN DER AS: All right. So, let's talk about the Iraq study group,then you've got the Pentagon, then you've got the president heading to Jordan tomeet with Maliki all working to come u p with ideas to win this war in Iraq. Atpoint are there too many cooks in the kitchen?SCA LES : W ell, there are a lot of cooks in the kitchen, Julie, because the cooksare trying to devise a new recipe using old ingredien ts. And as you know, as acook yourself, how d ifficult that is. But in the end of the day, this is going to begood. It's good to have -t h e whole Iraq strategy is being rethought right now.And the more voices that you are able to listen to and the more eyes you have onthe problem, probably the sharper your conclusions will be. And the better the newstrategy is going to b e once it begins to em erge at the beginning of the new year.

M aior Genera l Donald W. ShennerdCNN N ewsroom - December 6HOSTKYRA PH IL LI PS : The Iraq Study Group calls for a whole new missionfor US . troops. Let's bring in our military analyst. Major General Don Shepperdfor a strategy session. So. what's your first imnression. general?MAJ. GEN.DON SHEPARD (KET)., CNN MILITARYANALYST: I tellyou, K yra, I think this report is right on the m ark. It is powerful. It is dram atic. Itgives us a chance to change direction there. It also says right of fth e bat that thereOSD 22Public AffairsResearchandAnalysis

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is no simple solution to Iraq, but on the other hand, staying the course, winning,bringing home the coon skin is not in the cards. So I think this really offers us anopportunity and is clearly on the mark.PH IL L IP S More troops or less troops? ... So what would those ex tra troops doShep?SH EP PA RD : Basically, you're talking about not increasing U S . troops in anyway, but taking the combat forces, stopping the combat, and concentrating on justtraining the Iraqis. I've traveled with these Iraq i forces. They are very good. Theyneed some backbone. They need some time. They need support, what have you...PH ILL IPS: All right. The Iran factor...Will that ever happen, the U S . talking toIran?SH EPP ER D: Well, I don't know. B ut, again, the study group is right on the mark.You have to talk to people dip lomatically...I think the Iraqi study group has go t it just right, talk to the people in the region,involve them, doesn't mean it will go anyw here but it's essential.CNN Newsroom - December 5HAR RIS: How is - give me your honest assessment of how that (the Iraqi forces)is going. And it always co mes down to how long and to what level are we trying totrain the Iraqi forces. Do w e want them to be the equal of U.S. forces?SHEPPERD: They will never be the equal of US . forces. That would be great ifthey could, but they will not he. I was on a conference call with General Caldwellfrom Baghdad this morning talking about this. Three of the 10 Iraqi divisions havetaken over control of their areas. Prime M inister al-Maliki has said that he wishesto have the other seven take over the control of their areas by June.Now, that is possible to train them up. And that training is going well, and theforces are doing well within their capabilities. What they don't have is logisticssupport, air support, the long-term support that they need.And s o you're going to see trainers with them for a long period of time. Ideally, wewould stay for years and not on ly train them, but watch them develop , make thembetter, and what have you . It doesn't look like that's in the cards, Tony. W e'regoing to be there with trainers for a long time, but our com bat forces are probablygoing to be reduced, and probably by the summer.CNN: This Week at War - November 26M AJ OR GEN. DON ALD SHE PPER D, U.S. AIR F OR C E (RET): learly, thewar is being shared more by the low er classes than if you had a d raft, a fair draft,such as Dr. Moskos is nronosine. What Dr. Moskos is nronosins in mv oninion is. - * . - , .a concept of national service that I would buy into. But as Congressman Rangel isproposing , ust a military draft. Num ber one, it's not needed right now in thenumbers that we're facing. It is not wanted by the m ilitary. I served in a war and ina military where people didn 't want to be there and the nation didn't support thewar and it was a disaster John.OSD 23Public Affairs Research andAnalysis

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